Social Security and Defined Benefit Pension Payout Choices: Evidence from a Survey of Retirees Steven Nyce, Towers Watson Sylvester Schieber, Towers Watson John Shoven, Stanford University and NBER Sita Slavov, George Mason University and NBER David Wise, Harvard University and NBER SIEPR Conference on Working Longer and Retirement October 9, 2015 Motivation • What is the best way to draw down on retirement assets? • Social Security: – Delaying Social Security is equivalent to purchasing annuity. – Delay can increase retirement wealth for many people (Shoven and Slavov 2014). – Majority have wealth to finance a 2-year delay. – Most claim at 62 or upon retirement; few delay to 70. Motivation • DB pensions: – Annuity versus lump sum choices. – Lump sums often actuarially disadvantageous. – May be optimal to use lump sum to delay Social Security. • Broader question: Why do people not annuitize? • We present new evidence on why people claim Social Security early and choose lump sums over annuities. Our Survey • Panel of retirees who receive services through Towers Watson’s OneExchange health insurance marketplace • Part of ongoing survey series conducted by Towers Watson. • 2,620 respondents. 4 2 0 Percent 6 8 Distribution of Birth Years 1920 1930 1940 1950 In what year were you born? 1960 1970 Part 1: Social Security Claiming Choices • Focus on people born after 1954 (n = 2,608). • 27.2 percent have NRA = 65, 44.8 percent have NRA = 66, remainder between 65 and 66. • Ask those who have claimed: – Why they claimed when they did. – How they financed a delay. – How familiar they were with various rules. • Ask those who have not yet claimed when they plan to claim and why. Table 1: Are you currently collecting Social Security benefits? Yes No, I have not yet started collecting Social Security benefits No, I am not eligible for Social Security benefits Missing Not applicable (born 1954 or later) Total No. 2,532 46 24 6 12 2,620 % 96.6 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.5 100 Distribution of Claiming Ages 30 20 10 0 Percent 40 50 Full Sample 20 40 60 Claiming Age (Rounded Down) 80 Table 2: What type of Social Security benefit do you receive? Retired Worker Disability Spousal Survivor Don’t know Missing Total No. 2,325 28 96 41 9 3 2,502 % 92.9 1.1 3.8 1.6 0.4 0.1 100 Table 3: What is your current relationship status? Single In a domestic partnership Married Divorced Widowed Separated Missing Total No. 112 21 1,957 120 311 6 81 2,608 % 4.3 0.8 75 4.6 11.9 0.2 3.1 100 Table 4: How did the total earnings in your career compare to your spouses? Mine were higher My spouse(s) earned more About the same Don’t know Missing Total No. 1,630 243 68 11 5 1,957 % 83.3 12.4 3.5 0.6 0.3 100 Table 5: What is your current employment status? Working full time Working part time Not currently working but looking for work Not currently working and not looking for work Missing Total No. 24 201 56 2,242 85 2,608 % 0.9 7.7 2.1 86.0 3.3 100 Table 6: Have you worked in the past? Yes No Missing Total No. 2,104 183 11 2,298 % 91.6 8 0.5 100 2 4 6 8 10 Full Sample 0 Percent Distribution of Retirement Ages 0 20 40 60 Retirement Age (Rounded Down) 80 Distribution of Claiming Ages (Restricted Sample, n = 1,802) 30 20 10 0 Percent 40 50 Primary Earner/Single, Retired Worker, Claim at 62+, W ork to 50+ 60 65 70 Claiming Age (Rounded Down) 75 Table 7: Claim Ages (Primary Earners/Singles, Claimed at 62+, Worker Benefit, Work to 50+) Indicator for claiming before/at/after NRA No. % Claim before NRA 1,212 67.3 Claim at NRA 424 23.5 Claim after NRA 166 9.2 Total 1,802 100 Distribution of Retirement Ages (Restricted Sample, n = 1,802) 6 4 2 0 Percent 8 10 Primary Earner/Single, Retired Worker Benefit, Claim at 62+, W ork to 50+ 50 60 70 80 Retirement Age (Rounded Down) 90 Difference Between Retirement Age and Claiming Age (Restricted Sample) 15 10 5 0 Percent 20 25 Primary Earner/Single, Retired Worker Benefit, Claim at 62+, W ork to 50+ -20 -10 0 10 Age last worked - Claiming age 20 30 Table 8: Satisfaction with Claiming Decision (Primary Earners/Singles, Claimed at 62+, Worker Benefit, Work to 50+) Claim before NRA Claim at NRA Claim after NRA Total How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following No. % No. % No. % No. % I am very satisfied with my decision on when to start my Social Security benefit Strongly Disagree 31 2.6 9 2.1 6 3.6 46 2.6 Disagree 77 6.4 13 3.1 5 3 95 5.3 Neither Agree Nor Disagree 148 12.2 29 6.8 9 5.4 186 10.3 Agree 543 44.8 195 46 73 44 811 45 Strongly Agree 391 32.3 174 41 73 44 638 35.4 Missing 22 1.8 4 0.9 0 0 26 1.4 Total 1,212 100 424 100 166 100 1,802 100 If I were to do it over again, I would have delayed starting Social Security until a later age Strongly Disagree 248 20.5 95 22.4 35 Disagree 339 28 165 38.9 60 Neither Agree Nor Disagree 211 17.4 67 15.8 33 Agree 273 22.5 58 13.7 24 Strongly Agree 90 7.4 18 4.2 6 Missing 51 4.2 21 5 8 Total 1,212 100 424 100 166 21.1 36.1 19.9 14.5 3.6 4.8 100 378 564 311 355 114 80 1,802 21 31.3 17.3 19.7 6.3 4.4 100 Table 8: Satisfaction with Claiming Decision (Primary Earners/Singles, Claimed at 62+, Worker Benefit, Work to 50+) Claim before NRA Claim at NRA Claim after NRA Total How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statements? No. % No. % No. % No. % If I were to do it over again, I would have lived off my other retirement saving after stopping work and before starting Social Security Strongly Disagree 292 24.1 105 24.8 41 24.7 438 24.3 Disagree 428 35.3 198 46.7 71 42.8 697 38.7 Neither Agree Nor Disagree 209 17.2 48 11.3 27 16.3 284 15.8 Agree 158 13 34 8 10 6 202 11.2 Strongly Agree 57 4.7 17 4 7 4.2 81 4.5 Missing 68 5.6 22 5.2 10 6 100 5.5 Total 1,212 100 424 100 166 100 1,802 100 If I were to do it over again, I would have worked longer Strongly Disagree 306 25.2 Disagree 346 28.5 Neither Agree Nor Disagree 211 17.4 Agree 229 18.9 Strongly Agree 60 5 Missing 60 5 Total 1,212 100 117 150 71 51 15 20 424 27.6 35.4 16.7 12 3.5 4.7 100 29 56 41 22 7 11 166 17.5 452 33.7 552 24.7 323 13.3 302 4.2 82 6.6 91 100 1,802.00 25.1 30.6 17.9 16.8 4.6 5 100 Table 9: Reasons for Claiming (Primary Earners/Singles, Claimed at 62+, Worker Benefit, Work to 50+) Claim Before NRA Claim at NRA Claim after NRA Total Which best describes your reason for starting to collect Social Security benefits when you No. % No. % No. % No. I/we needed the money 408 33.7 94 22.2 25 15.1 527 I/we didn't trust that Social Security wouldn't cut benefits in the future 194 16 44 10.4 12 7.2 250 I felt like my health wasn't good and that I might not enjoy a long life 123 10.1 13 3.1 5 3 141 I/we thought that I/we could invest the money and end up ahead 249 20.5 65 15.3 15 9 329 I/we had stopped working and assumed that one should commence Social Security benefits as soon as possible after stopping 398 32.8 90 21.2 34 20.5 522 I had reached full retirement age and the earnings test no longer applied to me 61 5 209 49.3 86 51.8 356 I/we were encouraged to claim by an employee at the Social Security office 46 3.8 16 3.8 13 7.8 75 Other 177 14.6 33 7.8 24 14.5 234 % 29.2 13.9 7.8 18.3 29 19.8 4.2 13 Table 10: Time Elapsed Between Retirement and Claiming (Primary Earners/Singles, Claimed at 62+, Worker Benefit, Work to 50+) Claim before NRA Claim at NRA Claim after NRA Total How many months elapsed between the time you last worked and the time you started receiving Social Security? No. % No. % No. % No. % Two months or less 210 26 91 40.1 52 53.1 353 31.2 3-11 months 114 14.1 41 18.1 16 16.3 171 15.1 12-23 months 80 9.9 22 9.7 7 7.1 109 9.6 24 months or more 397 49.2 71 31.3 21 21.4 489 43.2 Missing 6 0.7 2 0.9 2 2 10 0.9 Total 807 100 227 100 98 100 1,132 100 Table 11: Financing Gap Between Retirement and Claiming (Primary Earners/Singles, Claimed at 62+, Worker Benefit, Work to 50+) Claim before NRA Claim at NRA Claim after NRA Total How did you pay for living expenses between the time you stopped work and the time you started receiving Social Security? No. % No. % No. % No. % I/we used our savings 281 47.5 64 47.8 20 45.5 365 47.5 I/we relied on my spouse's income 70 11.8 22 16.4 4 9.1 96 12.5 I/we relied on help from family and friends 0 0 1 0.7 0 0 1 0.1 I/we took out a loan 1 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 0.1 Other 334 56.5 74 55.2 25 56.8 433 56.3 Table 12: Familiarity with Social Security Rules (Primary Earners/Singles, Claimed at 62+, Worker Benefit, Work to 50+, Born in 1943 or Later) Claim before NRA Claim at NRA Claim after NRA Total No. % No. % No. % No. % Monthly Social Security benefits increase by about 8 percent for each year you delay starting them between age 62 and 70 Not at all familiar 20 3.5 0 0 0 0 20 2.6 18 3.1 3 2.2 0 0 21 2.8 Somewhat familiar 128 22.1 22 15.8 2 4.9 152 20.1 140 24.2 35 25.2 4 9.8 179 23.6 Very familiar 267 46.2 79 56.8 35 85.4 381 50.3 Missing 5 0.9 0 0 0 0 5 0.7 Total 578 100 139 100 41 100 758 100 Social Security benefits for widows and widowers are based on the higher of the two spouses’ individual Social Security benefits Not at all familiar 39 6.7 4 2.9 2 4.9 45 5.9 20 3.5 8 5.8 2 4.9 30 4 Somewhat familiar 93 16.1 21 15.1 6 14.6 120 15.8 137 23.7 33 23.7 7 17.1 177 23.4 Very familiar 277 47.9 69 49.6 24 58.5 370 48.8 Missing 12 2.1 4 2.9 0 0 16 2.1 Total 578 100 139 100 41 100 758 100 Table 13: Desire to Change Claiming Age (Primary Earners/Singles, Claimed at 62+, Worker Benefit, Work to 50+, Born in 1943 or Later) Claim before NRA Claim at NRA Claim after NRA Total If you were contemplating retirement today, would you be more likely to wait to start Social Security? No, I would make the same decision Yes, I would delay starting Social Security as long as I could Missing Total No. 414 % 71.6 No. 115 % 82.7 No. 33 % 80.5 No. 562 % 74.1 160 4 578 27.7 0.7 100 24 0 139 17.3 0 100 8 0 41 19.5 0 100 192 4 758 25.3 0.5 100 Part 2: Defined Benefit Payout Choices • Focus on individuals who are retired from an employer (n = 2,381). • Ask about DB coverage and payout options that were offered. • Ask those with choice about approximate lump sum and annuity amounts. • Ask those who chose lump sum: – What they did with it. – Why they chose it. Table 14: Pension Type What best describes the type of pension offered by the main employer from which you retired? Defined Benefit Defined Contribution Not sure which type No retirement plan Don't know/not sure No. 1,817 914 195 46 46 % 76.3 38.4 8.2 1.9 1.9 Table 16: Payout Options Thinking about the money from your defined benefit (DB) plan, what options were offered to you at the time you left your company? Single Life Annuity Joint and Survivor Annuity Fixed Period Annuity Lump sum amount Other option No. 908 1,300 94 389 52 % 50 71.5 5.2 21.4 2.9 Table 17: Lump Sum Amounts Thinking about the lump sum benefit from your defined benefit (DB) plan, how large was the lump sum benefit when you came to retire? Less than $10,000 Between $10,000 and less than $25,000 Between $25,000 and less than $50,000 Between $50,000 and less than $100,000 Between $100,000 and less than $200,000 Between $200,000 and less than $300,000 Between $300,000 and less than $400,000 Between $400,000 and less than $500,000 $500,000 or more Don’t know Missing Total No. 4 7 13 16 51 57 41 26 82 82 10 389 % 1 1.8 3.3 4.1 13.1 14.7 10.5 6.7 21.1 21.1 2.6 100 Table 18: Annuity Amounts Thinking about one of the monthly benefits you were offered for the rest of life, how large was this monthly amount? Less than $500 Between $500 and less than $1000 Between $1000 and less than $1500 Between $1500 and less than $2000 Between $2000 and less than $3000 Between $3000 and less than $4000 Between $4000 and less than $5000 $5000 or more Don’t know Missing Total No. 53 150 238 261 371 235 119 181 88 38 1,734 % 3.1 8.7 13.7 15.1 21.4 13.6 6.9 10.4 5.1 2.2 100 Table 19: Lump Sum versus Annuity Choice Did you select a lump sum benefit or did you opt for a monthly benefit? Took the lump sum Took the monthly benefit for the rest of life Took the monthly benefit for a fixed period Took some money as a lump sum and the rest as a monthly benefit Missing Total No. 121 194 2 % 34.9 55.9 0.6 28 2 347 8.1 0.6 100 Table 20: Use of Lump Sum Benefit What did you do with your lump sum benefit? Rolled it into an IRA Used it to pay off debts or mortgage Spent it on a splurge item such as the vacation of a lifetime or a boat that you had always wanted Used for normal living expenses Invested the money in stocks, bonds and mutual Helped my children or grandchildren with their Other No. 128 6 % 85.9 4 1 11 36 1 5 0.7 7.4 24.2 0.7 3.4 Table 21: Reasons for Choosing Lump Sum To what extent do you agree with the following as reasons you selected the lump sum benefit option? I thought the value of the lump sum was greater than the potential value of lifetime monthly benefits Strongly Disagree Disagree Neither Agree Nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Missing Total My financial advisor suggested the lump sum was of greater value than the lifetime monthly benefits Strongly Disagree Disagree Neither Agree Nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Missing Total No. % 0 7 14 54 40 34 149 0 4.7 9.4 36.2 26.8 22.8 100 15 7 38 34 17 38 149 10.1 4.7 25.5 22.8 11.4 25.5 100 Table 21: Reasons for Choosing Lump Sum To what extent do you agree with the following as reasons you selected the lump sum benefit option? I needed the money to pay off existing bills and debts Strongly Disagree Disagree Neither Agree Nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Missing Total I did not trust the insurance company or provider of the lifetime monthly benefit was offering me a fair deal Strongly Disagree Disagree Neither Agree Nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Missing Total No. % 73 24 4 3 0 45 149 49 16.1 2.7 2 0 30.2 100 26 21 33 16 5 48 149 17.4 14.1 22.1 10.7 3.4 32.2 100 Table 21: Reasons for Choosing Lump Sum To what extent do you agree with the following as reasons you selected the lump sum benefit option? I was afraid that I might die before getting back monthly benefits equal to the value of my lump-sum balance Strongly Disagree Disagree Neither Agree Nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Missing Total No. % 16 17 23 35 14 44 149 10.7 11.4 15.4 23.5 9.4 29.5 100 Conclusions • Motivations for claiming Social Security early: – Need for cash. – Assumption that claiming should occur upon stopping work. – Desire to invest the money and come out ahead. • Majority indicate familiarity with provisions that make delay attractive. • Motivations for claiming lump sum: – Perception of actuarial fairness. – Possible desire to invest (large fraction rolled into IRA). • Further steps: – Examine relationships between health, work history, and wealth drawdown behavior. – Examine generosity of lump sums versus annuties.