Policy Address
Adaptive policy-making in uncertainty
Civic Exchange’s Recommendations
18 August 2005
Overall Summary
Development Challenge
 Economic
 Human Development
 Quality of Life
Governance Challenge
 Robust rule of law
 Transparent decision-making
 No conflicts of interests, hidden agendas
 Participatory and democratic culture
 Universal and equal suffrage by 2011-2012
This presentation …
Economic development
 I: Population
 II: Harbour-front planning
Other issues please see written presentation
I: Population





Lower population
Confusion in different projections
Risk in over-projection
Invest now in ‘soft’ infrastructure
‘World city’ status depends on attracting
global talent
 Extend working life
 Healthcare costs related to public health
Beware of over-projection
Demographic window
Opportunity to improve ‘Soft’ infrastructure when TDR < 0.5
1.5
YR<15
TDR(0-14+60+/15-59)
AR 60+
1.0
0.5
0.0
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
Selected diseases
Least cost – promote lifestyle change
(Death/1,000)
1981
2001
% change
127.1
169.6
33.4
Strokes
62.7
46.5
(25.8)
Coronary heart disease
40.6
47.1
16.0
Chronic lung disease
29.4
31.4
0.7
Diabetes mellitus
5.1
10.0
96.0
Cancers –
exceptionally high
II: Harbour-front planning






Stop piece-meal planning.
Integrate road-town-marine planning.
Next 2-years to plan harbour-front as a whole.
Continue to invest - improve sub-optimal areas
4R: Rethink, Reengineer, Reprovision, Rezone.
Accept lower land sales revenue for higher
urban quality.
 Role for Chief Secretary.
Planning pressure for change
… new demands
 World class urban experience for residents and
tourists.
 Put people first.
 Create more spaces.
 Demand for aesthetics.
 Try sustainable ideas.
 Improve sub-optimal areas.
 Opportunity due to lower population projections.
Harbour-front
of the protected harbour
Land and facilities immediately adjacent to the protected harbour and all
government controlled land, infrastructure and facilities connected thereto.
Harbour-front land uses
Initial identification of land uses around the protected harbour
Evolving harbour and marine uses
land/water interfaces needed
Concept for future distribution of marine uses.
Inventory of harbour-front uses
Available land including central reclamation
Government controlled utility facilities
Public open spaces, promenades, parks and green
areas
420 ha Pink
100 ha Orange
160 ha Green
Arts, culture and leisure facilities
210 ha Red
Roads, transport infrastructure and facilities
210 ha Grey
100 ha Purple
100 ha Blue
Private property with public access to the harbour
Private property w/o public access to the harbour
Port operations
Harbour-front of the protected harbour
West Kowloon Cultural District
All figures provided are initial estimates only.
500 ha Dark Blue
1,800 ha
40 ha
Will Government use Urban Design Guidelines
and Harbour Planning Principles?
Available land including central reclamation
Government controlled utility facilities
Public open spaces, promenades, parks and green
areas
420 ha Govt
100 ha directly
160 ha controls
Arts, culture and leisure facilities
210 ha 1,100 ha
Roads, transport infrastructure and facilities
210 ha
60 %
100 ha Private
100 ha
10 %
Private property with public access to the harbour
Private property w/o public access to the harbour
Port operations
Harbour-front of the protected harbour
West Kowloon Cultural District
All figures provided are initial estimates only.
500 ha Port 30 %
1,800 ha
40 ha
Why invest in Harbour Planning?
 Land
 Victoria Harbour harbour-front areas:1,800 ha
 West Kowloon:
40 ha
 Available for development/public use: 600 ha
(15 x WKCD)
 Number of new permanent jobs
 West Kowloon:
8,900 jobs (Dynamic Star)
 Victoria Harbour: 50,000 jobs (133,500 jobs?)
All figures provided are initial estimates only
Why invest in Harbour Planning?
 Number of man years
Design and construction
 West Kowloon:
29,000 man years (Dynamic Star)
 Victoria Harbour: 200,000 man years (435,000 man years?)
 Land values
 West Kowloon:
 West Kowloon:
 Victoria Harbour:
HK$ 65bln (Hong Kong University)
HK$ 200bln (Stanley Ho)
HK$ 500bln (885bln - HK$ 3 trillion?)
 Priceless with clean air and clean water
All figures provided are initial estimates only.
Demand for harbour-front land
No new reclamation for the formation of land – how to manage?
Private and public development

3mln sq m large floor plate office buildings

Housing

New Government Offices

New LegCo Building

Hotels

Exhibition centre facilities
Arts, culture, leisure and sports facilities

Water amphitheatre

Sports stadium (50-60,000)

Multi Functional Sports Facility (10,000)

Performance hall (10,000)

Three new theatres (400, 800, 2,000)

Opera House and Concert Hall (3,000)

Arts village/arts development centre

Small theatres

Museums

Permanent circus

Zoo
Transport

Rail lines and train stations

Bus interchanges

Roads, incl Central-Wanchai Bypass

Mono Rail, tram,

Heliports
Public facilities

Waterfront promenade

Waterfront cafes and restaurants

Open public spaces and street art

Green city parks

Piazza areas

Festival market

Pedestrian linkages to harbour
Marine facilities

Cruise terminals

Public boat clubs

Yachting facilities

Marine Museum

Dragon Boat Races Circuit

Ferry terminals

Water taxis

Barge filling stations

Military berth for the PLA
Utilities

Pumping stations

Hospital
Integrated planning
It is not wasting time
There were plans … (Hung Hom)
But how do we implement? (Hung Hom)
There were plans … (Quarry Bay)
But how do we implement? (Quarry Bay)
There were plans … (Sheung Wan)
But how do we implement? (Sheung Wan)
Government makes promises…
Promises… to avoid walls

But how do we implement?
Island East-2004
But how do we implement?
Island East-2004
Central …
Pedestrians are squeezed …
How to implement ideas for the future?
Concept by Hong Kong Institute of Planners
Star Ferry
… not so nice today
Option I: Festival Market
… note P2 highway
Option II … is this possible?
Wanchai: do we want this?
new
new
Kowloon:
Let’s certainly fix this …
Kowloon…
Improve sub-optimal areas …
Kowloon:
What led to this? Let’s fix this ..
Tsimshatsui …
What will it be like?
Can we handle the traffic? Capacity planning..
Chief Executive
Legislative
Council
District
Councils
West Kowloon
Chief
Secretary
Financial
Secretary
Project team
Sustainable
Development
Unit
Lantau
Chief
Justice
Project team
Environment,
Transport
and Works
Home
Affairs
Housing,
Planning
and Lands
Commerce,
Industry and
Technology
Economic
Development
and Labour
Environment
al Protection
Department
Leisure and
Cultural
Services
Department
Housing
Department
Trade and
Industry
Department
Tourism
Commission
Architectural
Services
Department
Drainage
Services
Department
Electrical &
Mechanical
Services
Department
Transport
Department
Highways
Department
Building
Department
Lands
Department
Planning
Department
Land
Registry
Hong Kong Arts
Development
Council
Hong Kong
Tourism Board
Hong Kong
Economic
and Trade
Offices
Kowloon-Canton
Railway
Corporation
Invest
Hong Kong
Mass Transit
Railway
Corporation
Harbour-front Enhancement
Committee
Provisional
Construction
Industry
Co-ordination
Board
Town Planning
Board
Civil
Engineering
Development
Department
Water
Supplies
Department
Related
Organizations
Planning and Lands
Development Committee
Fragmented planning? Unaccountable
powers? Transport separate?
Urban Renewal
Authority
Chief Executive
Legislative
Council
Chief
Secretary
District
Councils
Financial
Secretary
Chief
Justice
Commerce,
Industry and
Technology
Economic
Development
and Labour
Trade and
Industry
Department
Tourism
Commission
Related
Organizations
West Kowloon
Sustainable
Development
Unit
Environment,
Transport
and Works
Environment
al Protection
Department
Architectural
Services
Department
Drainage
Services
Department
Electrical &
Mechanical
Services
Department
Project teamHousing,
Planning
Lantau
Home
Affairs
and Lands
Project team
Leisure and
Housing
Harbour-front
Enhancement
Cultural
Department
Services
Committee
Department
Building
Department
Harbour District
Lands
Department
Authority
Planning
Department
Land
Registry
Hong Kong
Tourism Board
Hong Kong
Economic
and Trade
Offices
Kowloon-Canton
Railway
Corporation
Invest
Hong Kong
Mass Transit
Railway
Corporation
Provisional
Construction
Industry
Co-ordination
Board
Transport
Department
Highways
Department
Civil
Engineering
Development
Department
Hong Kong Arts
Development
Council
Town Planning
Board
Independent Chair and Secretariat
Water
Supplies
Department
A new role for the Chief Secretary?
Urban Renewal
Authority