Research & Discovery: Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Technologies Today for Solving Problems Tomorrow Limsoon Wong Institute for Infocomm Research Plan • Making Research Exciting – Have long-term vision – Knowing what counts • Looking for Emerging Opportunities – Misconceptions – Advice for increasing probability of success – Sources of opportunity for innovation • A role model • Reasons for Optimism in R&D Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Making Research Exciting Have Long-Term Vision • By 2010, quality of life will be improved by an ICT technology-based product of ours • By 2015, at least one Singapore company will become a successful MNC based on our technology-based product Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong What Really Counts…10X Impact • Good (practical) research should have a story like this at the end – produced a technology used by millions – produced a technology earning millions of dollars – produced a technology that makes a difference to the Singapore ICT industry – first to identify an important problem and solve it – first to solve an important existing problem – make a 10x improvement to the solution of an existing problem Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong • muvee Technologies’ Automatic Video Production Software Adopted by Sony’s Digital Imaging Devices • muvee’s pioneering technology will dramatically simplify creative photo and video production for millions of consumers. • Toppan has developed an original RFID chip, and peripheral devices, including tags and reader/writers, through collaboration with I2R • Annual sales of the system in Japan will reach 2 billion yen (S$31M) in 2005 • Some speculative tech for transforming sports editorial content production industry 30% 18% Enhanced Tennis TV • Vaccines are often the only solution for viral diseases • Finding & developing effective vaccine targets (epitopes) is slow and expensive process • Enabled MOM’s Occupational Hazards Dept to automate checking chemical safety info from Material Safety Data Sheets and verifying standards conformance Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Looking for Opportunity Misconceptions • • • • Innovation must big Innovations are the works of geniuses Innovations depend on novel ideas Innovations occur only in commercial markets Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Practical Advice to Increase Probability of 10X • Look for a clear need where – – – – solution is not expected for several years not at a big disadvantage to arrive before competition have or can build strength partner to move ahead faster in a win-win way In short, start from our strongest point, target for maximum impact, and attack competitor's weakest point. Also collaborate to gain advantage over "us"-only effort Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Practical Advice to Increase Probability of 10X • • • • Carry out what we set out to do Improve quality & rigor of our work Improve quality & passion of our people Evangelize our ideas & projects to the world Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Sources of Opportunity for Innovation • Unexpected success/failure in our work & outside event • Gap betw reality & common belief • Bottleneck in processes • Change of industry struct---new biz model, distribution channels, modes of business, etc. • Change in demographics---age, religion, income, etc. Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong • Change of mood & perception---terrorism, fashion, etc. • Fringe practices that may solve persistence breakdown in current central practices, ie. value innovation • New knowledge & scientific advances • Man-made barriers--legislation & regulation Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong A Role Model: Li Jinyan Jinyan’s Vision • No human will fall sick unexpectedly • No machine will fail unexpectedly Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Jinyan’s Aim for 10X • Diagnosis of diseases and optimization of treatments sufferings are reduced and chance of cure is increased • Prediction of faults in engineering systems and optimization of industrial systems safety is improved, cost is reduced, and quality is raised • Analysis of computer and network logs to detect intrusion and other threats cyber struct is strengthened, and assets are guarded Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Childhood ALL • Major subtypes: T-ALL, E2A-PBX, TEL-AML, BCR-ABL, MLL genome rearrangements, Hyperdiploid>50, • Diff subtypes respond differently to same Tx • Over-intensive Tx • The subtypes look similar • Conventional diagnosis – Immunophenotyping – Cytogenetics – Molecular diagnostics – Development of secondary cancers – Reduction of IQ • Under-intensiveTx – Relapse Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong • Unavailable in most ASEAN countries Single-Test Platform of Microarray & Knowledge Discovery training data collection feature integration Image credit: Affymetrix Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Impact Conventional Tx: • intermediate intensity to all 10% suffers relapse 50% suffers side effects costs US$150m/yr Jinyan’s optimized Tx: • high intensity to 10% • intermediate intensity to 40% • low intensity to 50% • costs US$100m/yr Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong •High cure rate of 80% • Less relapse • Less side effects • Save US$51.6m/yr An Important Ingredient in Jinyan’s Success: Collaborations He designs the dry expts & interprets betw the dry & wet He invents the algo’s She implements the algo’s He does the wet expts Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Reasons for Optimism in ICT R&D High-Level Drivers • Physical needs – nourishment, – health, ... • Security needs – – – – privacy protection stability ownership Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong • Socializing needs – – – – collaboration sharing be understood be informed • Entertainment needs – – – – novelty belonging communicating mobility Major Trends The use of info mgmt & tech has become • more complex • more “self-service” • more personalization • more embedded • more distributed • more pervasive Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Major Apps • “Traditional” Apps – – – – – – – – E-learning E-govt E-health E-traffic EAI SCM PDA Knowledge mgmt, ... • “Trans-disciplinary” Apps – Lifestyle & entertainment • organizing data, narrowing human-digital, virtual gaming, realistic immersive user experience, entertainment on demand, digital rights, asset mgmt, IP protection, ... – Tech in healthcare • pervasive digital media, adaptive syst, decision syst, … – Ubiquitous systems • privacy, security, monitoring of trans, image processing, lang translation, voice recognition, adaptive syst, decision syst – Smart sensors & intelligent syst • signal processing, pattern recognition, security, privacy, adaptive syst, decision syst, ... – Physical & digital security • Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong privacy, surveillance, authentication, access control, audit, behaviour analysis, abnormal event diagnostic, multimedia crytographic algo, ... Engines of Growth • Business intelligence – – – – – ontology & metadata tech adaptive tech human language tech collaboration tech decision tech • Information security – – – – security infrastructure cyber terrorism biometrics tech privacy & identity mgmt Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong • Native media processing & analysis – – – – production tech analysis tech distribution tech intuitive user interfaces protect video, audio, & image analysis decision tech Broad Band Grid Int Syst Engg Sci & Sensor in Networks Medicine Integrative Manufact Env Tech Enabled by Info Mgmt Energy Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong Thank You • • • • Pre-Horizon 2004 Seminar 1st Nov 2004 2:15pm-2:45pm BIG ONE Copyright © 2004 by Limsoon Wong