The Post PC Era : Taiwan's High Tech, Economy and Life Chun-Yen Chang National Academy of Engineering, USA Academia Sinica, Taiwan National Chiao-Tung University, Taiwan Formosa, the beautiful island, Taiwan Mountain: ¾, No natural Resources, but Rich innovative and dynamic people Taiwan GDP (Purchasing Power) GDP (purchasing power parity): $807.2 billion (2010 est.) country comparison to the world: 20 $745.4 billion (2009 est.) $759.8 billion (2008 est.) note: data are in 2010 US dollars GDP - per capita: $35,100 (2010 est.) country comparison to the world: 37 $32,400 (2009 est.) $33,100 (2008 est.) note: data are in 2010 US dollars Exports, led by electronics and machinery, generate about 70% of Taiwan's GDP growth. The heavy dependence on exports makes the economy vulnerable to downturns in world demand. Three financial memorandums of understanding, covering banking, securities, and insurance-opening the island to greater investments from the Mainland's financial firms and institutional investors, and providing new opportunities for Taiwan financial firms to operate in China. Patent Ranking Rank 2009 Patents/Country 2011 Patents/Country 1. U.S. U.S. 2. Japan Japan 3. Germany Germany 4. Taiwan Korea 5. Korea Taiwan 6. France France However need to improve the quality Patent /per capita : No. 1 ICT Revolution in 2011 Ignites The Post PC Era Pad PC Revolution Smart Phone Evolution Breakdown of the “Wintel Empire” Pad PC and Smart Phone • O/S :Android, iOS Window • CPU : Arms, Tegra, AMD Intel Open System VS. Close System Android ios Open System VS. Close System Linux Window ★Hardware and OS are free but service is charged ! IBM Survived by Transforming from Technology to Services . Revised Business Model . Re-vibrate the Company Culture. Source: The Economist, June 11th, p.68, 2011 Life is short 南柯一夢 HP i-pad acer HP? Acer? Dell? Nokia is diminishing or rebouncing? Dell are diminishing or rebouncing? Smart phones HTC Iphone … blackberry What is next? Much of Touches: Humanities Tablet Touch panel Touches entertainments Touches of services Much of Touches: Humanities Humanities Services Entertainments Black-Berry 獨霸或挑戰﹖Unipole or Multipole ﹖ M’s or I’s Empire? Microsoft 獨霸或挑戰﹖Unipole or Multipole ﹖ M’s or I’s Empire? Who is running up?!獨霸或戰國時代? It is interesting to watch the games! Future of VLSI The End:20nm, non-technical but Business Impossible The Start: Intel,TMC,UMC,Samsung,Elpida (1)3D I.C. Post SOC Era (2)III-V on Si Opportunities and Challenges for Taiwan Taiwanese Entrepreneurs : Stan Shih/ ACER and …….. Since its founding in 1976, Acer has achieved the goal of breaking the barriers between people and technology. Globally, Acer ranks No. 2 for total PCs and notebooks. A profitable and sustainable Channel Business Model is instrumental to the company's continuing growth, while its multi-brand approach effectively integrates Acer, Gateway, Packard Bell, and eMachines brands in worldwide markets. Acer strives to design environmentally friendly products and establish a green supply chain through collaboration with suppliers. Acer is proud to be a Worldwide Partner of the Olympic Movement, including the Vancouver 2010 Olympic Winter and London 2012 Olympic Games. Over 30 years of making history in the fast-paced IT industry, Acer’s far-reaching strategy of focusing on R&D and marketing development has laid the foundations and created a company ready to embrace the challenges of the future. The Acer Group employs 8,000 people worldwide. Estimated revenues for 2010 reached US$19.9 billion. Stan Shih and ACER A graduate of NCTU, obtained a Bachelor’s (1968), Master’s (1971), and honorary Ph.D. (1992)in Dept. of Electronics Engineering. In Sep. 1976, together with four partners, Mr. Shih co-founded Multitech International Corp., the forerunner of Acer, with US$25,000. led Acer to become a global PC vendor; today Acer ranks No. 3 for total PCs and No. 2 for notebooks worldwide. Stan Shih’s Smile Curve William Wang and VIZIO NO. 1 LCD TV IN US EUROPIAN MARKET ASIAN MARKET H. T. Cho and HTC DEC GROUP the chairman of HTC foundation, a public welfare organization. Graduate of the 8th EMBA, NCTU, 2007. HTC Brand strategies Smart phone in Android platform Innovative products and friendly user interface Product diversification Min Kao and Garmin Forbes 400 Richest American (2008) The co-founder of Garmin with Gary Burrell 2011 Member of National Academy of Engineering,(NAE)USA Research in Teledyne Systems, NASA, U.S. Army Military GPS - NAVSTAR Founded in 1989 GPS products: Car navigation, outdoor, cartography, communication, marine, aviation,… 何友仁 and “Giant” Y.J.Ho,EMBA,2010/NCTU Giant was founded in 1972 with a mission: to create better bikes and improve the cycling experience. From the very start, innovation and manufacturing expertise set us apart. Morris Chang and F.C. Tzeng NO.1 in Semiconductor Foundry :TSMC Morris Chang: Foundry Father 1984 consultant to UMC,1985 board CHAIRMAN of UMC. TSMC's Morris Chang pioneered the $28 billion semiconductor foundry industry, kicking off a revolution in the business of chips Invented new business model F. C. Tzeng: Vice Chairman of TSMC Co-founded TSMC in 1987 Ten Outstanding Engineers 1985 Ph. D/NCKU. under the Supervision of Prof. C.Y.Chang Robert Tsao and John Huan Robert Tsao: MBA, 1971/NCTU John Huan :EE, 1973/NCTU 2010 Top10 Semiconductor Companies Ranking Core competencies The First CMOS Co. in Taiwan Since 1980 Pure-play foundry with internal R&D capability World-class 200/300mm manufacturing 45nm/40nm customized products ,Developing20/18nm Robert Tsao and John Huan Robert Tsao: MBA, 1971/NCTU John Huan :EE, 1973/NCTU UMC ,THE TAIWAN’s FIRST CMOS COMPANY,FOUNDED IN 1980 Leading Successful Bussiness in Supplying CMOS Watch Chips Since 1983,Build Up a Successful CMOS Industry in Taiwan.A Strong Foudation of Taiwan’s CMOS Technology Was Established. Without UMC’s Success, There is NO TSMC Where Were TheyFrom Year 19631966 NCTU established world class Si Planar Technology and MOSFET among Asia and and Europe, Attracted world experts to visit C.Y. Chang’s Semiconductor Research Center (SRC/NCTU) witness Dr. Dawon Kahng ,姜大元who made the first MOSFET (1960, DRC@Carneige Tech) Dr. C.T.Sah,薩支唐who made the first CMOS ( 1966, DRC,U.Penn ) Dr. G.L.Pearson The First PV Cell was Demonstrated at Bell Labs.,,Stanford U. Dr. F.Fang,方復I.B.M. T L Watson RC,IBM. Demonstrated the First QHE 1965 APL. 1970 C Y Chang’s Fine Product Microelectronic Corporation,萬邦電子公司, the first Si Planar Technology products was regarded as the "Fairchild of Taiwan". 1971 Stan Shih,founded acer co. Shih graduated from SRC/NCTU 1974 CMOS Pilot Plant led by Dr. D.H.Hu 胡定華with whole team member trained from from C Y Chang’s NCTU/SRC 1980 CMOS Co. UMC, successful sale of CMOS watch chips 1987 CMOS Co., TSMC, the world first foundry . Founded by M.Chang and F.C.Tseng. Si Planar Technology in 1964,The First in Asia 4- dimensional and Europe :The Aligner Mask AlignaPrecise made by C.Mask Y. Chang in 1964 Made by C.Y.Chang :The Earliest and the Only One 8 Chiang Chih-Kuo Ddecided to Develop Hi-Tech 蔣經國來訪 1965:半導體對台灣未來的重要性 Infrastrcucture in Taiwan ,Visited SRC/NCTU in 1965 蔣經國先生參觀交大半導體實驗室的鋁合金爐, 1965 初夏 蔣經國來訪 :台灣高科技的起點,1970 詢問張教授 左起張俊彥、張瑞夫、蔣經國與張去疑合影 14 “Without Prof. Chang’s leadership, Taiwanese Electronics Industry could not so flourish, not only to the economy of Taiwan but also to the would”, by C.T. Sah 2000 National Academy of Engineering, USA NIKKEI ASIA PRIZES On May 22, 2007, Prof. Chang was awarded the Japan Nikkei Prize: “ The Father of Taiwan Semiconductor Industry” What we Are Doing Now: The first RT CW Vicsel LD,and non- polar green to blue to UV LEDs. The world record Green Si Thin Film PV Parity module :production scale toward Grid Discovery of new physics: abnormal breakdown field strength in insulator or in depletion layer in nano-magnet induced field: > 30MV/cm (theoretically is 10MV/cm) Giant magnetic Capacitance for ultra high desity energy storage: Capacitance E=1/2 CV2 : the most important issue in 21st century. 1000 time higher than the Li batteries. Killing LED - Soild State Lighting Global Warming/Energy Savings Potential of LEDs If a 150 lm/Watt Solid State White source were developed, then in the United States alone: • We would realize $115 Billion cumulative Savings in 2025* • Alleviate the need of 133 new power stations!* • Eliminate 258 million metric tons of Carbon* • Save 273TWh/year in energy** **A. D. Little, “Energy Savings Potential of SSL” Report for Dept. of Energy, http://www.eere.energy.gov/buildings/info/documents/pdfs/ssl_final_report3.pdf Worldwide Congratulations to Prof. C.Y. Chang A letter to Prof. M. Feng, Prof. S. Nakamura and Prof. K. Iga Dear Prof. M. Feng, Prof. S. Nakamura and Prof. K. Iga, It is my great pleasure to send the attachment of a reprint to you, which was published recently in Appl. Phys. Letts.97, 071114, 2010. In 1970, the first room temperature CW laser was made by Hayashi et al,. Today, we have made the first room temperature CW VCSEL successfully which is lasing at near UV band. One of my Ph.D. students, Po-Min Tu, made the n-GaN, In GaN/GaN MQW, P-GaN and P+-InGaN layer which are critical to make the device operational. Worldwide Congratulations to Prof. CY Chang “Wonderful Achievement of the 1st RT CW blue VCSEL.” Kenichi Iga “This opens a New Applications of GaN VCSEL.” Shuji Nakamura “Excellent Results of the 1st GaN VCSEL operated at RT CW.” Milton Feng Shuji Nakamura Kenichi Iga Milton Feng Professor of UCSB. President of Tokyo Institute of Technology. Nick Holonyak Endowed Chair Professor of UIUC. Inventor of high-brightness GaN-based blue LED. Inventor of surface emitting semiconductor lasers. Inventor of transistor laser, world's fastest transistor, light emitting transistors. Si Thin Film Solar Cell solars-china.com New Emmering Science and Technologies Nano-Magnets embeded: High energy storage, High brightness/power ratio LED/LD, High efficiency PV Module, High voltage diode/transistor/Iinverter, Discovery of new physics: abnormal breakdown field strength in insulator or in depletion layer in nano-magnet induced field: > 30MV/cm (theoretically is 10MV/cm) E=1/2 CV2, IF V→2X, then E→4X e.g : An electric car, with a 100kg super capacitor, travels 100km, with magnetsuper capacitor, it travels 400km more! “New Social Era of the Web Starts now”, -IEEE Spectrum ,June 2011 Google VS. Facebook A mobile web will be a smarter web Video is poised to inundate the web Everyday objects will join our social network Web data will explode, and that’s a good thing Voice and gestures will change human-computer interaction………. Taiwan’s Adventure: Making Things Smart and Small Bio-Engineering Solution SMART,SMALL AND LIGHT is needed for our diary life and also for Military Command and Control Solution Car Electronics, Phone ,PC, Home Appliances, TV, BioElectronics,……….. Finland has ONE Nokia, Korea has One Samsung, Taiwan has Multi-. “ Healthy Bio-Dynamic-Vibrate-System”. Epilogue Taiwan is one of the key players in the ICT world Founders of acer,Vizio, Garmin, Giant,HTC, Super-Micro Super- Computer etc. Top Semiconductor Foundry, efficient LED, Tops in Fabless/SOC, PC Manufacturing,Mobil Phones etc. Taiwan is participating the future of cloud ICT Taiwan is contributing the future green energy solutions Ready for the Future of Bio-Technologies. A lots of Challenges as well as Opportunities. Enjoying Good Life with Young Students with lots of Creative Ideas : OUR HOPE FOR THE FUTURE WE ARE SINCERELY HOPING THAT THERE IS NO “Green Childish Politics ???” Green Energy Solutions:Who is running up? PV Cells:1.Green & Cost Effect (<Grid Parity1$/W) 2.Green and Grid Parity First Solar : CdTe? CIGS? Multi-crystallize Si η = 15%~25% Single-crystallize Si η = 20%~30% Thin Film Si η = 12%~20% 3D T.F. Solar cell Si η = 12%~30% Quantum Solar Cell η = 20%~63% High Purity Green Effect: Pure Si Siemens is fading out UMG, SMG is prevailing <$ 15/kg, 7N 12N PV Cell PV Power Plants Green Energy Solutions Efficient LED (ECOE Group) Lighting—140 lm/w Efficient LED (ECOE Group) 240 lm/w Back Light—Power Saving Blue Disk Wafer Interconnect Winner Winner Strategic Technologies: Substrate: Low Cost/High Eff. (ECOE+ITRI) EPI: NAPSS (ECOE) Warring States Killer Technologies, materials •Lighting •FPD •Blue Disk •3D VLSI Customer DOE Roadmap 40 lm/$ 77 lm/$ 167 lm/$ 500 lm/$ 1000 lm/$ 28 lm/$ 40 lm/$ 91 lm/$ 300 lm/$ 900 lm/$ ECOE RESEARCH GROUP 44 NCTU Institute of Electronics Engineering Simple is beautiful • Pad PC is a toy or a professional tool? • All in one: PC + Phone Set + Camera + 3D • Smart phone’s display is too small: with Micro-Projector + 3D +Wireless • Smart ,Small, Light Devices : Micro-projector,3D-Disply,Wafer Level CMOS Sensor,……. ECOE RESEARCH GROUP 45 NCTU Institute of Electronics Engineering