The Joint 14th Annual PBFEA and 2006 Annual FeAT Conference 第十四屆亞太財務經濟及會計會議暨2006台灣財務工程學會 Bridging the Soft and Hard Indnstries by Chun Y. Chang National Endowed-Chair Professor and President of National Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu, Taiwan Foreign Associate, National Academy of Engineering, USA July 14,2006 Prologue In the last three decades, Taiwan has been very successful in making an economy miracle. Which is a successful story about an economy transformation from labor intensive into hi-tech intensive economy. But it is mainly due to the “hard-industry” which means that manufacturing of high-tech products such as semi-conductor chips, personal computers, and flat panel display which have shared more than 70% in the world market and also due to it’s successful policy of globalization. 90% of the goods are exporting. However, nowadays, we are facing a more serious challenges and competition mainly from the rise of Chinese economy and others like Korea, Japan etc., The way to conquer these problems, I think is that another transformation of our economy from “hard” industries into “soft” industries is needed but still based on the strong basis and capability of the “hard”. The appropriate approaches are, More globalization: from “made in Taiwan” to “made by Taiwan” More innovation: Education reform. More “Software Concept” than “Hardware Concept” The Incubator of Taiwan Hi-Tech Industries 1964 NCTU has established the 1st Semiconductor Research center/Informatics, 1st communication, Laser, I.C., Computer TV Transmitter 1970’s .CMOS project lead by (Led by D. H. Hu / NCTU) .Acer (Led by Stan Shih/NCTU) .1st LCD Lab at NCTU 1980 UMC 1987 TSMC 1990 LCD Industry / AU, Chi-Mei and Others 建立台灣最早的 IT 講座 NCTU established the earliest IT program in Taiwan 美國式自由開放的交通大學 建立台灣最早的 IT 講座 The Liberal American style University: NCTU Source:日本經濟新聞 Japan Economic News NCTU contribution to IEEE Journals 年 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 交通大學 (National Chiao-Tung niversity) 127 76 74 89 103 92 102 87 88 台灣大學 (National Taiwan University) 112 65 62 78 81 69 61 57 64 MIT (Massachusetts Insititute of Technology) 24 77 71 91 70 64 79 94 77 Stanford University 78 61 74 52 75 78 62 76 84 UCLA (University of California at Los Angeles) 98 48 65 70 64 65 66 48 42 U.C.Berkeley (University of California at Berkeley) 58 41 52 60 46 64 49 54 83 University of Illinois at Urbana-champaign 48 62 59 72 60 76 69 86 70 學校 In 1964, PM Chiang Ching-Kuo visited NCTU, who decided to develop Taiwan Hi-Tech Industries 台灣發展高科技的起點,1964年蔣經國來訪交大 蔣經國先生參觀交大半導體實驗室的鋁合金爐, 左起張俊彥、張瑞夫、蔣經國與張去疑合影 美國國家工程院首次頒給張俊彥為國家院士 我國國旗首次飄揚在美國國家學術院大廳 The national flag of ROC Taiwan is flying in the great hall of the National Academies, U.S.A. since Prof. Chang was conferred the foreign associate membership for the first time from Taiwan. “Without Prof. Chang’s Leadership, Taiwanese Electronics Industries could not be so flourish, not only to the economy of Taiwan but also to the world’’ Chih Tang SahNational Academy of Engineering U.S.A. The inventor of CMOS What’s the Next? 國外報導台灣成功的國家型計畫-from hard to soft(1) Nikkei Electronics 2005.12.5 2003~2006年各國ISSCC發表論文數統計表 2003 2004 2005 2006 Country Papers country Paper Country Papers Country Papers USA 80 USA 82 USA 93 USA 111 Japan 37 Japan 44 Japan 45 Japan 43 Korea 19 Korea 17 Korea 17 Taiwan 20 Netherlands 13 Netherlands 11 Taiwan 15 Korea 15 Germany 10 Germany 8 Netherlands 10 Germany 15 Italy 5 Belgium 7 Switzerland 10 Netherlands 8 Canada 4 Taiwan 6 Italy 8 Italy 8 Switzerland 4 Switzerland 5 Canada 7 Switzerland 4 France 4 Italy 4 France 6 Canada 4 Belgium 3 France 3 Germany 4 China 4 Taiwan 3 Canada 2 Belgium 4 France 3 China 2 Ireland 2 China 4 Belgium 3 Ireland 1 Finland 1 Ireland 4 Ireland 0 Finland 0 China 0 Finland 1 Finland 0 IEEE Solid State circuit Conference Nikkei Electronics 2005.12.5 Strategy Use Manufacturing Strength to Promote Design, Products and Brands Manufacturing Product Current Status: Unstable Reverse Triangle Brand Vision: The Brilliant Diamond Structure From hard to Soft (2) Taiwan Brand Strateay OEM ODM OBM Export Services Education I T Services Hub Health care ICT Services Finance Logistics Health Digi Games Sight Seeing Policy Taxation HR/Edu R/D Globalization Acquisition Acer Asus BenQ Top 5 N.B. Brands 2004~2006年全球前5大NB品牌出貨量 2006 2005 2004 出貨量 市佔暨排名 出貨量 市佔暨排名 出貨量 市佔暨排名 14500 18.60% 11000 18.30% 7929 16.2%(1) 12500 16.000% 9700~10000 16.30% 7442 15.2%(2) 11000 14.10% 6500~6800 10.90% 3933 8%(5) 8500~9000 11.20% 6800~7000 11.50% 5826 11.9%(3) 8000~8500 10.60% 5800~6000 9.60% 4318 8.8%(4) 總計 55000 70.50% 40000 66.60% 29448 60.1% 其他 23000 29.50% 20000 33.40% 19585 39.9% 總計 78000 100% 6000 100% 49033 100% 戴爾 Dell 惠普 HP 宏碁 Acer 東芝 Toshiba 新聯想 Lenovo 資料來源:IDC、台NB廠、電子時報整理(2005/12) From hard to Soft (3) The Embryo Model HW HW HW HW HW HW S/W S/W SW From hard to Soft (4)-Value Chain & Ecological Chains 歐洲三蘭國家之發展策略與定位 Taiwan/Finland/Holland/Ireland 創意中心 Innovation Value Added 品牌 Brand 研發中心 R/D Finland 產業乙 國際通路 Channels 製造中心 Mfg Ireland 運籌中心 Logistics 產業甲 Holland RD Design Engr Mfg Logistics Marketing Sales Service Service Weight 資料來源:台灣產業的發展與未來(2005),台灣經濟研究院ppt檔,頁44。 From Hard to Soft (4):Innovation of Taiwan 各主要國家歷年在美國核准之發明專利被引證次數(Forward citation) Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 U.S.A. 272419 163413 60842 7047 Japan 79995 50739 21501 2638 Germany 19221 12444 4944 598 Taiwan 13728 9434 3964 520 France 7482 4524 1742 173 England 9172 5580 2177 266 From hard to Soft(4): Innovation Epilogue • A Brilliant Success in Hard Industries • Future Prospect is Based on “Hard” to Develop Soft Industries, Hard → Soft , and “Hard + Soft” C. f. : India: Soft →Hard (Soft+Hard, Products, mfg, ……) • Innovative Education Logistics, Hubs ICT Services for Better Life ( Ubiquitous ICT) Health Care Finance W/ICT Better Culture, Better Environment, Ecologically Globalization Epilogue –Beauty of electron=Electronics The Electrons 電子之舞 With their round dance the electrons spin 踩者圓舞曲的舞步,電子婆娑迴旋 chrysalises of that which abides, 縈繞如蛹 the inmost cocoons 核心之繭 which do not open of their own accord 開啟奔放並非出於自我的不羈 but are of that which abides. 而是源於生命本然的悸動 There it is not a matter of hatching out. 無關乎羽化成蝶 There it is a matter of tending and protecting 破繭而出是溫柔的關照呵護 the metamorphoses of the inmost 將沈潛心底的 deeper-down swaying, 激盪律動 the innermost playing of women in dance. 幻化為女子深情曼妙的舞姿 From Dikter om ljus och mörker (Poems of Light and Darkness) --Harry Martinson 哈瑞 馬丁森 (1904-1978) (1974 Nobel Laureate in Literature) --劉美君譯 逍 遙 遊 – 「 去 水 「 至 以 擊 鵬 人 又 六 三 之 無 月 千 徙 已 息 里 於 , 者 , 南 神 也 搏 冥 人 。 扶 也 無 」 搖 , 功 而 , 上 聖 者 人 九 無 萬 名 里 」 , 莊 子