Communicating about Risks [Phillip G. Clampitt, Ph.D.] 7/1/2016 1 1. What is risk communication? Communicating about relative benefits and hazards – benefits – hazards – relative “weighing alternatives” Examples – Smoking – Alcohol – Drugs 7/1/2016 2 2. Analyzing risks Well developed science Based on fault trees Major dimensions – Exposure – Effect (“who” impacted, children) “ … the risk may be well understood in a statistical sense but still be uncertain at the level of individual events” (Morgan, Scientific American) 7/1/2016 3 3. Perceptions of Risk Not linear or straightforward Two dimensions – Ability to observe – Ability to control So what? – Perceptions change – Reactions change – Communications should change 7/1/2016 4 7/1/2016 5 4. Principles of perception What is a tolerable risk for some is intolerable for others Trust is a critical factor – Experts – Science (problem of uncertainty) Rules of thumb vary for different audiences Understanding is not the same as agreement & participation 7/1/2016 6 5. Ways of communicating Ancient way – Myths, legends, rituals, metaphors Old way – Expert Sender – Concerned Receiver Another way – Dialogue allowing perception of control 7/1/2016 7 6. The premise of effective risk communication “The essence of good risk communication is very simple: learn what people already believe, tailor the communication to the knowledge and to the decisions people face and then subject the resulting message to careful empirical evaluation” - Morgan Example: EPA’s 1st Radon brochure never address a key myth – Radon contamination is permanent) 7/1/2016 8 7. What is your objective? Minimize concerns Inform publics of expert opinion Educate publics Persuade publics “provide people with a basis for making an informed decision” “successful risk comm. need not result in consensus or in uniform personal behavior” (National Research Council) 7/1/2016 9 8. Developing the strategy AA – “Risk communication will suffer to the extent that the audience(s) is mischaracterized” National Research Council – “People tolerate risk for reasons that may have little to do with factual details, formal risk estimates, or details of risk abatement proposals” - Heath – Perceptions in the risk grid 7/1/2016 10 Strategy cont. Creating the right mindset – Accept the desire for non-expert audiences to exert control – Recognize the value-laden nature of risk assessment (“non-rationale”) – Realize that you better harvest the dissent or someone else will – Trust the power of dialogue over monologue 7/1/2016 11 Strategy cont. Develop the right processes – Collaborate with audiences in info. Gathering, risk assessment and control – Allow audiences to have a role in the risk control process – Build trust over time through community outreach – Allow the public to develop & practice emergency response measures 7/1/2016 12 Strategy cont. Facilitate the dialogue – Acknowledge the uncertainties – Do not trivialize concerns – Accept criticism of data and decision processes – Participate in dialogue underscoring both legitimate benefits & potential harms – Frame questions/concerns in terms of experiences & values of audiences 7/1/2016 13 Strategy cont. Assess the impact – Focus groups – Participation rates – Question analysis – Surveys 7/1/2016 14 9. Implement strategy Not a one-time event Publish policy statements Keep in contact with key audiences Monitor issues – locally – nationally – internationally Revise strategy 7/1/2016 15