Name that tune. Song title? Performer(s)? R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | 1 Scientific Method (continued) “Finding New Information” 4/11/2011 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | 2 Objectives I want you to understand z scores. “Standard scores.” (Note – not standard deviation!) Pencils down. I don’t want you to take notes – just get the concept. - Randolph – remember to take roll. R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | Which when? Mode Range Median SIQR Mean (µ) SD (σ) -“Most common score.” -Easy to calculate. -Maybe be misleading. -Capture the center. -Not influenced by extreme scores. -Take every score into account. -Allow later manipulations. R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | 4 So far . . . . . . we’ve talked of summarizing ONE distribution of scores. – By ordering the scores. – By organizing them in graphs/tables/charts. – By calculating a measure of central tendency and a measure of dispersion. What happens when we want to compare TWO distributions of scores? 5 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | “Now, why would I want to do that”? Is your child taller or heavier? Is this month’s SAT test any easier or harder than last month’s? Is my 91 in my History class better than my 95 in my Math class? Is the new library lay-out better than the old one? Can more employees sign up, more quickly, for benefits with our new intranet site than with our old one? Did my class perform better on the TAKS test than they did on the TAAS test? 6 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | Well? COULD it be the case that your 91 in your History class is better than your 95 in your Math class? How? 7 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | What if . . . The mean in History was 50, and the mean in Digital Libraries Math was 99? (What, besides the fact that everyone else is trying to drop the History class!) So: You Mean History 91 50 Math 95 99 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | 8 The Point As I said last week, you need to know BOTH a measure of central tendency AND a measure of spread to understand a distribution. BUT STILL, this can be convoluted . . . “Well, daughter, how are you doing in school this semester”? 9 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | “Well, Mom . . . “. . . I had a 91 on my History test but the mean was 50 and the standard deviation was 12. But I got a 95 on Math test, whereas the mean on that test was 99 with a standard deviation of 1.” Of course, your mom’s reaction will be, “Just call home more often, dear.” 10 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | Wouldn’t it be nice . . . . . . if there could be one score we could use for BOTH classes, for BOTH the TAKS test and the TAAS test, for BOTH your child’s height and weight? There is – and it’s called the “standard score,” or “z score.” 11 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | Standard Score z = (X - µ)/σ “Hunh”? Each score can be expressed as the number of standard deviations it is from the mean of its own distribution. “Hunh”? (X - µ) – This is how far the score is from the mean. (Note: Could be negative! No squaring, this time.) Then divide by the SD to figure out how many SDs you are from the mean. 12 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | Z scores (cont’d.) z = (X - µ)/σ Notice, if your score (X) equals the mean, then z is, what? If your score equals the mean PLUS one standard deviation, then z is, what? If your score equals the mean MINUS one standard deviation, then z is, what? 13 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | An example Test 1 Test 2 Kris 76 76 Robin 52 86 Marty 58 80 Terry 58 90 ΣX 244 332 µ Mode, median? R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | 14 Let’s calculate σ – Test 1 – Mean = 61 X X-µ (X-µ)2 Kris 76 15 225 Robin 52 -9 81 Marty 58 -3 9 Terry 58 -3 9 Σ 244 0 324 /N 61 σ 81 9 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | 15 Let’s calculate σ – Test 2= Mean = 83 X X-µ (X-µ)2 Kris 76 -7 49 Robin 86 3 9 Marty 80 -3 9 Terry 90 7 49 Σ 332 0 116 /N 83 σ 29 5.4 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | 16 So . . . z = (X - µ)/σ Kris had a 76 on both tests. Test 1 - µ = 61, σ = 9 – So her z score was (76-61)/9 or 15/9 or 1.67. So we say that Kris’s score was 1.67 standard deviations above the mean. Her z score was 1.67. Test 2 - µ = 83, σ = 5.4 – So her z score was (76-83)/5.4 or -7/5.4 or –1.3. So we say that Kris’s score was 1.3 standard deviations BELOW the mean. Her z score was -1.3. Given what I said earlier about two-thirds of the scores being within one standard deviation of the mean . . . . Wouldn’t it be nice if we knew exactly how many . . . ? 17 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | z = (X - µ)/σ If I tell you that the average IQ score is 100, and that the SD of IQ scores is 16, and that Bob’s IQ score is 2 SD above the mean, what’s Bob’s IQ? If I tell you that your 75 was 1.5 standard deviations below the mean of a test that had a mean score of 90, what was the SD of that test? 18 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | z scores – table values z = (X - µ)/σ It is often the case that we want to know “What percentage of the scores are above (or below) a certain other score”? Asked another way, “What is the area under the curve, beyond a certain point”? THIS is why we calculate a z score, and the way we do it is with the z table. 19 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | Z distribution 20 R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | Study Guide . . . Later tonight, online. R.G. Bias | rbias@ischool.utexas.edu | 21