Population Projections and
High School Enrollments
2013 to 2023
Daniel Martinez, PhD
Director, Institutional Research
November 7, 2014
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Data Sources
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•
•
•
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EMSI
California Department of Education
Maptitude
American Community Survey
COD MIS Files
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Source: Maptitude
3
Population Change, Coachella Valley*
West Valley
Cathedral City, CA
Desert Hot Springs, CA
Palm Springs, CA
Thousand Palms, CA
Central Valley
Indian Wells, CA
La Quinta, CA
Palm Desert, CA
Rancho Mirage, CA
East Valley
Coachella, CA
Indio, CA
Mecca, CA
Thermal, CA
Grand Total
2013
2023
Total Pop
Total Pop
163,584
180,160
55,807
61,562
46,543
52,337
52,348
56,090
8,886
10,171
126,677
141,510
4,880
5,665
42,338
47,844
61,663
68,027
17,796
19,974
170,167
199,465
43,023
51,202
96,974
112,710
13,630
16,042
16,540
19,511
460,428
521,135
% Change
2013
2023
Total Pop
15-19 Pop
15-19 Pop
10%
10,101
10,252
10%
4122
4213
12%
3225
3315
7%
2185
2142
14%
569
582
12%
5,687
5,711
16%
71
68
13%
2655
2761
10%
2497
2426
12%
464
456
17%
13,755
14,742
19%
4156
4510
16%
6926
7353
18%
1271
1372
18%
1402
1507
13%
29,543
30,705
*Updated
% Change
15-19
2%
2%
3%
-2%
2%
>1%
-4%
4%
-3%
-2%
7%
9%
6%
8%
7%
4%
Source: EMSI
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Population Change Difference by Age, 2013-2023
Coachella Valley-wide
14000
12000
10000
Diff <15
Diff 15-19
8000
Diff 20-24
Diff 25-29
6000
Diff 30-34
Diff 35-39
4000
Diff 40-49
Diff 50+
2000
0
West Valley
Central Valley
East Valley
-2000
Source: EMSI
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Total Enrolled Grade 12, Coachella Valley-wide, 2009-10 to 2013-14
3,000
2,448
2,500
2,234
2,502
2,358
2,248
1,936
2,000
1,932
1,932
1,785
1,500
1,805
1,364
1,222
1,183
1,228
1,243
1,000
500
Coachella Valley Unified
Desert Sands Unified
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
Palm Springs Unified
2013-14
Source: CDE
6
Graduating Seniors, Coachella Valley-wide, 2009-10 to 2012-13
2,500
2,073
1,934
2,000
2,004
1,902
1,538
1,500
1,000
918
958
1,565
1,478
1,470
995
917
500
Coachella Valley Unified
Desert Sands Unified
Palm Springs Unified
Source: CDE
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Coachella Valley-wide, Grade 12 Enrollment and Graduating Seniors
2009-10 to 2012-13
5,608
5,392
81%
5,363
83%
81%
5,386
82%
4,633
4,390
2009-10
4,391
4,338
2010-11
2011-12
Enrolled Grade 12
2012-13
Graduated
Source: CDE
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CVUSD, Ratio of Grade 12 Enrollment and Graduating Seniors, 2009-10 to 2012-13
1,222
81%
1,183
83%
1,243
82%
995
958
918
2009-10
1,228
81%
917
2010-11
2011-12
Enrolled Grade 12
2012-13
Graduated
Source: CDE
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DSUSD, Ratio of Grade 12 Enrollment and Graduating Seniors, 2009-10 to 2012-13
87%
85%
85%
2,448
85%
2,358
2,248
2,234
2,073
1,934
2009-10
2,004
1,902
2010-11
2011-12
Enrolled Grade 12
2012-13
Graduated
Source: CDE
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PSUSD, Ratio of Grade 12 Enrollment and Graduating Seniors, 2009-10 to 2012-13
79%
1,936
77%
1,932
82%
81%
1,932
1,785
1,538
2009-10
1,565
1,478
1,470
2010-11
2011-12
Enrolled Grade 12
2012-13
Graduated
Source: CDE
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Capture Rate for COD, Coachella Valley-wide, 2009-10 to 2012-13
5000
4633
4500
4390
4391
4338
4000
3500
3000
High School Graduates
2500
28%
24%
28%
26%
COD Enrollment
2000
1500
1221
1213
1099
1127
1000
500
0
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
Source: CDE and COD MIS files
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Capture Rate by USD, Coachella Valley-wide, Average Capture Rate, 2009-10 to 2012-13
2500
2000
1500
1000
28%
27%
24%
500
0
CV Grads
CV Capture
DS Grads
2009-10
DS Capture
2010-11
2011-12
PS Grads
PS Capture
2012-13
Source: CDE and COD MIS files
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Source: Maptitude and CCCGIS
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Source: Maptitude and CCCGIS
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Educational Attainment, 25 years or older, 2013
100%
10%
90%
4%
25%
28%
80%
70%
60%
7%
7%
47%
50%
40%
47%
51%
17%
17%
DSUSD Service Area
PSUSD Service Area
30%
20%
39%
10%
0%
CVUSD Service Area
Not a high school graduate
High school graduate, no Associate's
Associate's
Bachelor's Degree or higher
Source: ACS
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Where do M/T Students Live?
Source: Maptitude and COD MIS files
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For information about this presentation, please contact
Dr. Daniel Martinez
Director, Institutional Research
damartinez@collegeofthedesert.edu
760-776-7212
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