Running Head: MEMORIAL BIAS AS PREDICTOR OF DEPRESSIVE SYMPTOMS Relation of Depressive Symptoms to Mood-Congruent Memorial Bias in Young Children: A Longitudinal Study Kristel Thomassin Thesis completed in partial fulfillment of the requirements of the Honors Program in Psychological Sciences Under the direction of Professor David A. Cole Vanderbilt University April 2007 Memorial Bias 2 Abstract The current study examines whether children show evidence of adult-like depressive cognitive schemas and when such schemas emerge. Mood-congruent cognitive schemas have been strongly associated with adult depression (Ingram, 1984; Ingram et al., 1998). Findings suggest that a processing bias emerges in early childhood and adolescence (Neshat-Doost et al., 1998; Taylor & Ingram, 1999). The current study extends the current literature of mood-congruent memorial bias to 5- and 6-year old children. Controlling for prior depressive symptoms, results indicated that both biased recall and recognition are significant predictors of depressive symptoms from wave 2 to 3 but not from wave 1 to 2. Our results have narrowed the age range at which we first see evidence of biased memory and depressive symptoms. Memorial Bias 3 Relation of Depressive Symptoms to Mood-Congruent Memorial Bias in Young Children: A Longitudinal Study Recent research on depression has focused on the underlying mechanisms in an attempt to address potential risk factors for the development of depressive symptoms. Derivations of Beck’s (1976) cognitive model of depression have provided a strong foundation for such investigations. According to Beck (1976), depression can be characterized by a distorted information processing in which views of the self, world, and future are negatively biased. Correspondingly, depression in adults is characterized by negative cognitive schemas and biases that form a cognitive vulnerability to developing depression. Research on the relationship between affect and cognition derives primarily from Bower’s (1981) Network Theory of Affect. According to this theory, affective states influence cognitions through their effect on cognitive processes such as memory. As a result, affect-consistent information processing is enhanced at both the encoding and retrieving levels. In keeping with these models, Ingram has examined the relation of moodcongruent cognitive biases to depressive symptoms (Ingram, 1984; Ingram et al., 1998). Scher, Ingram, and Segal (2005) argued that cognitive are triggered by the negative mood associated with naturally occurring negative life events. Laboratory-based mood inductions provide a useful method to invoke a milder form of a mood that would be created by a stressful event. Individual differences in the strength of mood-activated depressive schemas constitute a preexisting cognitive diathesis for the development depressive symptoms (Segal & Shaw, 1986). Memorial Bias 4 Support for the relation between such cognitive distortions and depression in adults is robust. Matt, Vasquez, and Campbell (1992) conducted a meta-analysis of the published research on mood-congruent recall in normal nondepressed, subclinically depressed, clinically depressed, experimentally-induced depressed, and experimentallyinduced elated individuals. As hypothesized, nondepressed individuals showed biased recall in favor of positive stimuli. The pattern of recall for subclinically depressed persons was not biased. These individuals recalled a more balanced number of positive and negative stimuli. This pattern of results for nondepressed and subclinically depressed individuals provides support for the depressive realism phenomenon, which states that depressed individuals are more realistic in their view of the world whereas nondepressed individuals tend to show a positive bias (Alloy & Abramson, 1988; Greenberg et al., 1988; Matt et al., 1992). In comparison to non-depressed and subclinically depressed individuals, individuals whose depression was severe enough to warrant a diagnosis showed biased recall in factor of negative stimuli. Investigators have attempted to apply adult models of cognitive distortion and bias to younger children (Kendall et al., 1990; Murray et al., 2001; Neshat-Doost, 1998; Whitman & Leitenberg, 1990). When applying any adult cognitive model to a child population, it is critical to consider developmental differences that may influence the development and very nature of depression in children and adults. Although some investigators acknowledge this fact (Cicchetti & Schneider-Rosen, 1986; Rutter, 1986), others tend to minimize these differences (Whitman & Leitenberg, 1990). Even if some level of continuity exists between youth and adult models of cognitive distortions despite important cognitive developmental differences, it remains essential to consider these Memorial Bias 5 differences and not simply rely on adult models when examining mood-congruent memorial biases in children. The development of new developmentally appropriate childbased cognitive models is necessary to more adequately characterize the relation of cognitive distortions to depressive symptoms. Overall, findings from the relevant literature on biased memory in children is inconclusive, and the role of memorial biases as a cognitive vulnerability to developing depressive symptoms has not yet been entirely explained. Neshat-Doost et al. (1988) investigated whether there is a memorial bias for clinically depressed children and adolescents between the ages of 10 and 17. They hypothesized that when compared to nondepressed individuals, clinically depressed participants would show a negative bias in recall. The investigators presented the participants with 60 words and asked them to write down as many words as they could remember. Results supported their hypothesis that depressed children would show a bias in recall in favor of negative trait adjectives, and this bias was stronger in older, depressed children. These findings show evidence of a negative mood-congruent memorial bias in depressed adolescents. Similarly, Whitman and Leitenberg (1990) investigated the relation between memorial bias and depressive mood in 52 fourth-, fifth-, and sixth-grade students. They presented the participants with a word association task and provided each participant with artificial feedback on whether their association was “correct” or “incorrect” (Whitman & Leitenberg. 1990). Research assistants also asked children to recall which association they had made correctly. The investigators hypothesized that all children would show differential recall of information. Depressed children would overestimate the amount of negative feedback and underestimate positive feedback, and nondepressed children would Memorial Bias 6 underestimate the amount of negative feedback and overestimate the amount of positive feedback. Although their findings revealed no difference between the depressed and nondepressed participants in the recall of negative feedback, they did find a difference in the recall of positive feedback. Nondepressed children recalled more positive events than their depressed counterparts (Whitman & Leitenberg, 1990). These findings support evidence of mood-congruent memorial bias in nondepressed children, but they fail to support a negative bias in recall in depressed children. These inconsistencies may be explained partly by methodological limitations (Kendall et al., 1990). For example, some studies have relied on parents’ ratings of children’s depressive symptoms (Fuhrman & Kendall, 1986). The parent questionaires rely on second party observations of perceptible symptoms and therefore do not paint a full picture of an individual’s depressive symptoms. A second limitation is the use of word lists to assess distorted cognitions. Word lists are often developmentally inappropriate in their content and structure, relying on advanced levels of cognitive processing. Perhaps more reliable findings will require the use of more developmentally appropriate and meaningful stimuli to test for cognitive distortions and biased processing (Murray et al., 2001). Both of these limitations can be inadequate in measuring children’s depressive symptoms and distorted processing. The present study attempts to resolve the first issue by using a self-report measure of depressive symptoms. To address the second limitation, this study utilized a children’s story instead of mere word lists, thus presenting the children with a more engaging stimulus. Do children show evidence of adult-like depressive cognitive schemas, and if so, when do such schemas emerge? Cole and colleagues found evidence of a relation Memorial Bias 7 between mood-congruent cognitive bias and depression in 8- to 12-year old children (Cole & Jordan, 1995; Prieto, Cole, & Tageson, 1992). Furthermore, findings suggest that the onset of processing biases occurs in childhood and adolescence (Neshat-Doost et al., 1998; Taylor & Ingram, 1999). Much less research on depression in preschool age children has been conducted, and existing studies with children in this age group have yet to include an assessment of mood-congruent memorial bias. To our knowledge, no findings have conclusively shown mood-congruent memorial biases relating to depressive symptoms for children younger that 8-years-old. The current study therefore extends the investigation of mood-congruent memorial bias to 5- and 6-year old children. Evidence for cognitive distortions in childhood and early adolescence is inconsistent and evidence for such distortions in the preschool years is lacking. Murray et al. (2001) suggest that this lack of evidence stems from the fact that such negative schemas are latent and require an induced mood in order to be activated and expressed. The investigators base their hypothesis on similar findings in the adult literature. They further comment that negative self-distortions in preschool children may be more dependent on induced mood than in older children. Several studies have provided significant results to support this hypothesis (Taylor & Ingram, 1999; Kelvin, Goodyer, Teasdale, & Brechin 1999). In light of these findings, and in keeping with Ingram’s work, we decided to use a negative mood induction prior to assessing cognitive distortions in young children. The current study examines whether there is evidence for a mood-congruent memorial bias in young children, and whether this bias favors positive or negative stimuli. To avoid the problematic use of meaningless stimuli, the present study presents Memorial Bias 8 the participants with a children’s story about one child’s day. As Murray et al. (2001) explain, the use of the story, a more engaging stimulus, will allow for the spontaneous appearance of cognitions. Our study attempts to examine both recall and recognition in order to narrow down the level at which processing is affected. In comparison to recall, recognition requires fewer processes since what is being remembered is present. Recall, on the other hand, requires more processes with respect to retrieval. By examining moodcongruent memorial biases in kindergarten to second grade children, which is a younger age group than previously studied, the current study will help to identify when the relation between depressive schemas and mood in children first evolve. Essentially, this research attempts to examine the developmental origins of cognitive processes that may predispose later clinical depression. Using a variety of measures of memory including recall and recognition, we expected to see evidence of a negative mood-congruent memorial bias in both incidental recall and recognition paradigms. We further posited that this memorial bias would in turn serve as a cognitive vulnerability to the development of depressive symptoms. In fact, we hypothesized that a bias in memory would be a significant predictor of depressive symptoms. Methods This study is part of a larger, longitudinal investigation of the developmental origins of depressive cognitions in children. Participants were recruited at the start of the 2003-2004 academic year. Participants were in kindergarten at the beginning of the study and participated in three waves of data collection (with one year separating adjacent Memorial Bias 9 waves). Thus we collected data in kindergarten, first grade, and second grade. Parents and students actively provided their consent for participation in the study. Participants Participating children consisted of a single cohort of elementary school students recruited from two public schools from predominantly lower and working class neighborhoods in a mid-sized southern city. Not all participants were available for every wave of data collection. Each year we lost participants, primarily due to their moving out of the school district. Therefore, we recruited new participants at the end of each wave to offset this attrition. Initially, in wave I, 97 students participated in the study. Of these, 29 withdrew before the start of wave II, and 34 new students joined. Before the third wave, 41 students withdrew and 21 new students joined. Essentially, 31.6% of the initial participants dropped from the investigation prior to the last wave. To offset the effects of attrition, we redistributed consent forms to parents to recruit more students. Approximately 22% of the participants in the total sample (n = 158) were added to the study after wave I. Three participants’ data were eventually dropped because of equipment malfunction. With attrition and re-sampling, the sample sizes for waves 1, 2, and 3 were 97, 102, and 91, respectively. In comparison to those that completed the studies, there were no significant differences between those that attritted and joined. Over all waves, the sample was 48% male and 52% female. The average age of the children was 5.4 years (SD = 0.56), 6.6 (SD = 0.59), and 7.4 (SD = 0.56) for waves 1, 2, and 3, respectively. The sample was racially diverse, including students who were African American (60.9%), Caucasian (34.1%), Hispanic (2.5%), and multiethnic (2.5%). The number of children living in participants’ homes ranged from 1 to 7, with a mean of Memorial Bias 10 2.45 (SD = 1.2). Approximately 30% of the children had at least one parent who was currently or previously divorced. Parent education levels ranged from 8th grade or lower to some education after bachelor’s degree, with the majority of parents reporting they had completed high school or passed the high school equivalency test. Annual family income ranged from less that $10,000 to $120,000 (Mdn = $20,000). Measures Self-report measure of depressive symptom. The Children's Depression Inventory (CDI; Kovacs, 1981, 1982) is a widely used 27-item self-report instrument that assesses cognitive, affective, and behavioral symptoms of depression in children. Each item consists of three statements graded in order of increasing severity from 0 to 2. Children select one sentence from each group that best describes themselves for the past two weeks (e.g., 0 = “I am sad once in a while,” 1 = “I am sad many times,” 2 = “I am sad all the time”). In the current study, we treated this measure as an interview. A research assistant read each item and participants answered either verbally or by pointing to their response. Total scores range from 0 to 54 with total scores of 19 or greater considered to be indicative of significant levels of depressive symptoms (Kendall et al., 1990). In nonclinic populations, the measure has relatively high levels of internal consistency, testretest reliability, predictive, convergent, and construct validity (Blumberg & Izard, 1986; Carey, Faulstich, Gresham, Ruggiero, & Enyart, 1987; Kazdin, French, & Unis, 1983; Lobovits & Handal, 1985; Mattison, Handford, Kales, Goodman, & McLaughlin, 1990; Saylor, Finch, Spirito, & Bennett, 1984; Smucker, Craighead, Craighead, & Green, 1986). In the current study, the suicide item was dropped due to concerns by school administration. This 26-item questionnaire has shown a high degree of internal Memorial Bias 11 consistency in previous research (Cronbach's alpha = .89: Cole & Jordan, 1994). Cronbach’s alpha for the CDI in the current study was .77 for wave I, .85 for wave II, and .90 for wave III. Priming story/task. Prior to the memory task, the researcher first presented the participant with a story, which was intended to induce negative affect. The components of the priming story were quite similar for all waves, although the details differed each year. For the first wave, the kindergarteners were told a story of a child of the same gender and age as themselves whose puppy had run away. Then, the character’s parents told them that they would all be moving somewhere far away and cold, and that they had to say goodbye to all her friends and had to start a new school next year. For the second wave, the story was about a child who had broken a leg and could not play his/her favorite sport anymore. The participants in the third wave were told a story about a child who had his birthday party canceled because they had been bad and their mom was angry at them. The child in the story had to return all the presents and clean the house instead. To personalize the story, participants were asked if anything similar had ever happened to them, and they were allowed to elaborate. Memory task. The memory task for this study tested the participants’ uncued and cued recall of events in a story. The story was created by the researchers especially for this study. An illustrated picture book described the activities of an elementary-age and gender-neutral child named Ollie. The events of the story are categorized into 3 types: positive, negative, and neutral. Different stories were created each year in order to avoid any effects of previous exposure. Each story contained the same number of positive and negative events. During the first wave, the participants were told a story about Ollie’s Memorial Bias 12 school day. In the second wave, participants were told a story about Ollie’s Saturday at home. In the third wave, the participants were told a story about Ollie’s class fieldtrip to the zoo. During each story, Ollie experienced 13 positive events (e.g., Ollie got an ice cream cone), 13 negative events (e.g., Ollie got bit by a mosquito), and 10 neutral events (e.g., They saw elephants). Researchers administered the task individually to each participant by reading the story out loud while the child looked at the illustrated booklet. The priming story as well as the memory task was videotaped. Coding of uncued recall. After reading the story, the researcher removed the illustrated booklet and asked the participants what they remembered from Ollie’s day. Each event was recorded at the time of the data collection. The researcher asked on two different occasions if the child could remember anything else. At a later date, trained research assistants reviewed the videotapes and coded each event on a scale of 1 to 3 (1 = negative, 2 = neutral, 3 = positive). Any fabricated response (i.e. a recalled event that was not in the story) was also noted and rated. In an effort to note the quick and effortless recall of each participant, the researcher recorded the first three events the child spontaneously recalled. Inter-rater reliability correlation were examined for 30% of the tapes and were found to be .90 for positive events, .85 for neutral events, and .95 for negative events. Coding of cued recall. When the participant could no longer freely recall any additional events from the story, the research assistant showed the child the illustrations. The research assistant walked the participants through the story page-by-page asking the children what they remembered from each illustration. These responses were noted as cued recall or recognition. At a later date, these items were rated (negative, neutral, or Memorial Bias 13 positive) as well as any fabricated responses. Inter-rater reliability based on 30% was .90 for positive events, .85 for neutral events, and .95 for negative events. Derived measures. Several measures were computed in order to assess memorial bias. For our recall paradigm, we constructed a difference score (DIFREC) to represent biased recall (i.e., the number of positive items minus the number of negative items recalled). With respect to the first three items recalled, we computed a ratio (RANEG), which represented the proportion of the first three items recalled that were of negative valence. Lastly, we constructed a difference score (DIFREG) to represent biased recognition (i.e., the number of positive items recognized minus the number of negative items recognized). Procedure Graduate and advanced undergraduate research assistants received extensive training on proper experimental procedures and were tested on expected criteria prior to their first data collection. Data were collected at the child’s school during the nonacademic portion of their regular school day. The current study involves measures from a larger battery administered to participants during a one-hour session. This subset of measures took approximately 30 minutes to administer. Upon arrival, research assistants retrieved the participants from their classrooms one at a time. After these measures, the video camera was set up to record the remainder of the session. Research assistants told the priming story and presented the participants with the memory task. For their participation, children were given decorative pencils, stickers, and candy. Results Preliminary Analyses Memorial Bias 14 Descriptive statistics for the study measures are shown in Table 1. The mean scores for the CDI at each wave were elevated in comparison to scores in previous research with nonreferred school samples (Cole et al., 1998; Cole, Hoffman, Tram, & Maxwell, 2000). This may have been due to the fact that we read the CDI aloud to these children, possibly reducing their tendency to slip into either a nay-saying or a social desirability response set. It could also be because of the urban, high-poverty environment. As expected, participant scores on the recognition measures were considerably higher than scores on the recall measures. Intercorrelations between the memory measures and self-report measures of depressive symptoms are provided in Table 2. Recall Performance We conducted a series of linear regression analyses to investigate whether biased memory is a significant predictor of later depressive symptoms. In the first regression, we used a difference score (DIFREC) to represent biased recall. Thus, a positive difference score indicates a positive recall bias whereas a negative difference score indicates a negative recall bias. We regressed CDI scores at one wave onto DIFREC at a prior wave, while controlling for prior CDI scores (see Table 3). Results revealed that DIFREC at wave 1 significantly predicted CDI score at wave 3 while controlling for CDI scores at wave 1. These results were significant in the expected direction. A positive memorial bias at wave 1 predicted lower scores on the CDI at wave 3. We found the same pattern of results between wave 2 and wave 3 with positive memorial bias in wave 2 predicting CDI scores in wave 3. The regression of wave 2 CDI onto wave 1 DIFREC, however, was not significant, after controlling for wave 1 CDI scores. Memorial Bias 15 In the second set of regressions, we focused on the first three items recalled. Specifically, we constructed a negative ratio measure (RANEG), which represented the ratio of the first three recalled items that were of negative valence. Again, we regressed CDI scores onto prior RANEG scores, while controlling for prior CDI scores (see Table 4). Results revealed that RANEG at wave 2 significantly predicted CDI scores at wave 3, controlling for CDI at wave 2. This result was in the expected direction such that a more negative memorial bias was associated with higher scores on the CDI at wave 3. RANEG scores at wave 1, however, did not significantly predict CDI scores at either wave 2 or 3. Recognition Performance We also conducted linear regression analyses in order to examine whether biased recognition is a significant predictor of later depressive symptoms. Similar to the difference in recall analyses, we used a difference score (DIFREG) to represent biased recognition. We regressed CDI scores at each wave onto DIFREG at the prior wave, controlling for prior CDI scores (see Table 5). Results revealed that DIFREG at wave 2 significantly predicted CDI score at wave 3. These results were significant in the expected direction with a positive memorial bias predicting lower scores on the CDI. DIFREG scores at wave 1 did not significantly predict CDI scores at either wave 2 or 3. Discussion Four major results derived from this study. First, results indicated a significant relation between biased recall and depressive symptoms. Essentially, a positive bias in recall was a significant predictor of lower depressive symptoms. Second, a negative bias with respect to the first three items recalled was a significant predictor of higher depressive symptoms one year later. Third, a positive bias in recognition was also a Memorial Bias 16 significant predictor of lower depressive symptoms one year later. Lastly, a longitudinal relation between depressive symptoms and biased memory was evident between waves 2 and 3 (i.e, 1st and 2nd grade) of our study but not between in waves 1 and 2 (i.e., kindergarten and 1st grade). Each of these findings is discussed more completely below. The results of the recall portion of the memory task showed that participants who exhibited a positive bias in recall in kindergarten and first grade reported lower selfreported depressive symptoms in second grade. This supports the previous finding that children’s positively biased recall distinguishes depressed from nondepressed individuals (Taylor & Ingram, 1999; Whitman & Leitenberg, 1990). Findings suggest that there is evidence of negative mood-congruent memorial bias, and that this bias is a preexisting vulnerability to developing depressive symptoms one and two years later. Next, similar to the results of previous studies (Neshat-Doost, 1998), we found a negative bias in recall. More specifically, first graders’ negatively biased recall of the first three items predicted higher self-reported depressive symptoms in second grade. In order to make sure that automatic and spontaneous recall would be assessed, we noted the first three items that each participant spontaneously recalled. We posited that this would assess the participants’ free recall before their use of various memorial strategies. The significance of our results reinforces the aforementioned findings with the recall measure. Results were not significant from kindergarten to 2nd grade as they were in the recall measure. Looking at the recognition portion of the memory task, we found that positively biased recognition in the first grade predicted lower levels of self-reported depressive symptoms in second grade. These findings suggest that distortions in memory processing Memorial Bias 17 also occur at the encoding level. In comparison to biased recall, however, biased recognition in kindergarten was not a significant predictor of depressive symptoms in second grade. Our findings suggest that biased recognition is also a significant cognitive vulnerability to developing depressive symptoms one year later. According to the Network Theory of Affect (Bower, 1981), the processing of information in accordance with affective mood is enhanced at both the encoding and retrieving levels. The significant results with respect to our incidental recall paradigm does not isolate a certain level of processing. Adding the recognition paradigm suggests that encoding cannot be ruled out and is likely affected by mood. Furthermore, retrieval cannot be simply ruled out thus warranting further examination. With respect to our main hypothesis, the significance of recall and recognition as predictors of depressive symptoms is present from wave 2 to 3 but not from wave 1 to 2. These results suggest that memory-related cognitive distortions arise as significant predictors of depressive symptoms prior to the age of 8 in children in first and second grade but not in kindergartens. These are noteworthy findings for two reasons: first, our findings show the existence of mood-congruent memorial bias in much younger children than those previously studied. Second, results of our study have narrowed the age range at which we first see evidence of biased memory and depressive symptoms. Our findings show that the relation between mood-congruent memorial bias and depressive symptoms could arise in children as young as 6. Various shortcomings in the current study suggest avenues for future research. First, due to developmental limitations, young children have more difficulty with selfreflection (Murray et al., 2001). Children this young may have difficulty appropriately Memorial Bias 18 reporting depressive symptoms, especially if it requires reporting on the previous two weeks as does the CDI. Furthermore, children tend to focus on the here and now and may have a somewhat limited capacity for reporting past symptoms. The current study attempted to minimize this limitation by reading each CDI item to individual participants, but this does not address the issue of whether or not the participants comprehend the task. Perhaps the self-report measure of depressive symptoms should be administered in an unstructured interview format in order to yield a more accurate measure of depressive symptoms. Secondly, as Murray et al. comment, memorial biases may only be evident when a low mood is induced. With this in mind, it is important to note the implications of using a mood induction. The efficacy of our priming story in inducing such a mood is not clear. The story was constructed to fit all participants and was not geared towards each child. This universal story might be a problem when considering that it is necessary to activate negative schemas. Perhaps the priming story would be more effective if it were modified for each participant. Furthermore, the valence of each event in the story was determined by our investigators and therefore might not be perceived in the same manner by our participants. Lastly, the current study focused on nonreferred children taken from local schools. As a result, the application of these results to clinic-referred youth with clinically diagnosed depression in unclear. Perhaps our current results would be amplified in a clinical population. Further research should therefore examine the application of our results to a clinically depressed sample. Taken together, however, our findings are consistent with a causal relation between negative mood-congruent memorial biases and depressive symptoms. Memorial Bias 19 Table 1 Means and Standard Deviations for Memory Measures and Self-Report Measure of Depressive Symptoms for Each Wave Measure N Mean Std. Deviation Minimum Maximum Wave 1 CDI 95 11.91 6.77 0.00 28.00 Total Recall 93 8.46 5.50 0.00 25.00 Total Recognition 93 19.85 5.56 5.00 33.00 Diff in Recall 91 -0.08 0.34 -1.00 0.67 Diff in Recognition 93 0.06 0.11 -0.40 0.38 Negative Ratio 89 0.55 0.40 0.00 1.00 Wave 2 CDI 101 15.70 10.98 0.00 41.00 Total Recall 100 9.43 5.30 0.00 25.00 Total Recognition 100 20.87 4.92 9.00 33.00 Diff in Recall 98 -0.13 0.29 -1.00 0.50 Diff in Recognition 100 0.02 0.11 -0.40 0.33 Negative Ratio 97 0.50 0.39 0.00 1.00 Wave 3 CDI 90 10.20 7.39 0.00 34.32 Total Recall 87 8.78 4.71 0.00 21.00 Total Recognition 87 20.85 4.58 9.00 34.00 Diff in Recall 86 -0.33 0.22 -1.00 0.00 Diff in Recognition 87 -0.28 0.11 -0.59 0.00 Negative Ratio 87 0.44 0.40 0.00 1.00 Note. CDI = Children’s Depression Inventory. Diff in Recall = the difference between the number of positive items recalled and the number of negative items recalled. Diff in Recognition = the difference between number of positive items recognized and the number of negative items recognized. Negative Ratio = the proportion of the first three items recalled that were of negative valence. Memorial Bias 20 Table 2 Intercorrelations between Memory Measures and Self-Report Measures of Depressive Symptoms Measure 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Wave I 1. DIFREC 1 2. RANEG -.250* 1 3. DIFREG .086 -.042 1 4. CDI .016 .034 .116 1 5. DIFREC .096 -.122 -.083 .015 1 6. RANEG .037 .014 .124 .073 -.461** 1 7. DIFREG .495** -.333** .297* .069 .116 -.084 1 .021 -.155 .128 .297* -.125 .188 .025 1 9. DIFREC .251 -.165 -.052 .158 .072 .212 -.051 .064 1 10. RANEG .095 .074 -.113 -.146 -.086 -.053 .071 -.095 -.527** 1 11. DIFREG .231 -.122 .237 .206 .140 -.017 .192 .158 .263* -.195 1 -.296* .227 -.081 .460** -.339** .359** -.346** .306* -.035 -.028 .034 Wave II 8. CDI Wave III 12. CDI 1 Note. ** p< .01; * p< .05 CDI = Children’s Depressive Inventory; DIFREC = difference in recall; RANEG = ratio of negative items out of the three first remembered; DIFREG = difference in recognition. Memorial Bias 21 Table 3 Longitudinal Regressions of CDI onto Biased Recall (difference between positive and negative items recalled) controlling for prior CDI. Predictors B SE Beta t sig. 3.22 0.002 DV = CDI at Wave 2 Intercept 9.02 2.80 CDI at wave 1 0.50 0.20 0.30 2.45 0.017 Difference of items recalled at wave 1 -0.68 3.52 -0.02 -0.19 0.847 1.68 0.100 DV = CDI at Wave 3 Intercept 2.95 1.75 CDI at wave 1 0.39 0.12 0.41 3.18 0.003 Difference of items recalled at wave 1 -5.51 2.22 -0.32 -2.49 0.017 4.29 0.000 DV = CDI at Wave 3 Intercept 5.44 1.27 CDI at wave 2 0.18 0.07 0.31 2.62 0.011 Difference of items recalled at wave 2 -6.77 2.59 -0.31 -2.62 0.011 Note. CDI = Children’s Depression Inventory. Diff in Recall = the difference between the number of positive items recalled and the number of negative items recalled. Diff in Recognition = the difference between number of positive items recognized and the number of negative items recognized. Negative Ratio = the proportion of the first three items recalled that were of negative valence. Memorial Bias 22 Table 4 Longitudinal Regressions of CDI onto Ratio of Negative Items Recalled out of the Total of First Three Items Recalled controlling for prior CDI. Predictors B SE Beta t sig. 3.60 0.001 DV = CDI at Wave 2 Intercept 11.88 3.33 CDI at wave 1 0.45 0.20 0.28 2.28 0.026 Ratio of negative items recalled at wave 1 -4.77 3.23 -0.18 -1.48 0.145 0.37 0.714 DV = CDI at Wave 3 Intercept 0.94 2.56 CDI at wave 1 0.48 0.15 0.43 3.11 0.003 Ratio of negative items recalled at wave 1 3.37 2.53 0.18 1.33 0.190 2.80 0.007 DV = CDI at Wave 3 Intercept 4.12 1.47 CDI at wave 2 0.14 0.07 0.25 2.03 0.047 Ratio of negative items recalled at wave 2 4.93 2.19 0.28 2.25 0.028 Note. CDI = Children’s Depression Inventory. Diff in Recall = the difference between the number of positive items recalled and the number of negative items recalled. Diff in Recognition = the difference between number of positive items recognized and the number of negative items recognized. Negative Ratio = the proportion of the first three items recalled that were of negative valence. Memorial Bias 23 Table 5 Longitudinal Regressions of CDI onto Biased Recognition (difference between positive and negative items recognized) Controlling for Prior CDI. Predictors B SE Beta t sig. 3.48 0.001 DV = CDI at Wave 2 Intercept 9.33 2.68 CDI at wave 1 0.45 0.20 0.29 2.30 0.025 Difference of items recognized at wave 1 3.95 11.51 0.04 0.34 0.733 1.62 0.113 DV = CDI at Wave 3 Intercept 3.11 1.92 CDI at wave 1 0.51 0.14 0.49 3.71 0.001 Difference of items recognized at wave 1 -9.49 7.49 -0.17 -1.27 0.212 4.80 0.000 DV = CDI at Wave 3 Intercept 6.51 1.36 CDI at wave 2 0.20 0.07 0.32 2.87 0.006 -21.61 6.70 -.36 -3.22 0.002 Difference of items recognized at wave 2 Note. CDI = Children’s Depression Inventory. Diff in Recall = the difference between the number of positive items recalled and the number of negative items recalled. 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