NO MORE DEEP DRY HOLES?? Geothermal Energy! The Future Of Depleted Wells. Initially conceived and investigated by: Douglas B. Swift and Richard J. Erdlac, Jr. Formerly of West Texas Earth Resources Institute Total Energy Production, 1949-1999 80 U.S. Energy Consumption & Production Versus Research & Development (Arthur D. Little) Quadrillion Btu 70 60 50 40 30 1949 1954 1959 1964 1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 Energy Production By Source, 1949-1999 1 kWh = 7.8 bbls oil = 1,270 m3 gas 25 Coal 20 Quadrillion Btu Crude Oil Typical Metropolitan Power Usage Curve 15 10 Nuclear Electric Natural Gas 5 Wood and Waste Hydroelectric Geothermal Solar and Wind 0 1949 1954 1959 1964 1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 Texas Railroad Commission Texas Crude Oil Production 1,400,000 1,200,000 Mbbs 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 Year 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Texas Railroad Commission Predicted Future Texas Oil Production (Mbbl) 1,400,000 1,200,000 Mbbls 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 y = -31081x + 6E+07 400,000 R2 = 0.9834 200,000 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 Year 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 Texas Railroad Commission Avg Per Well Prod (bbl/day) 24.0 22.0 20.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 2001 1998 1995 1992 1989 1986 1983 1980 1977 1974 1971 1968 1965 1962 1959 1956 1953 1950 1947 1944 1941 1938 1935 0.0 Texas Railroad Commission Texas Total Gas Well Production 10,000,000,000 9,000,000,000 8,000,000,000 7,000,000,000 Mcf 6,000,000,000 5,000,000,000 4,000,000,000 3,000,000,000 2,000,000,000 1,000,000,000 0 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Year Texas Railroad Commission 700,000 70,000 600,000 60,000 500,000 50,000 400,000 40,000 300,000 30,000 200,000 20,000 100,000 10,000 0 0 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Year Wells Mcf Texas Gas Production Per Well (Mcf) & Number Of Wells Texas Railroad Commission Texas Railroad Commission 700,000 70,000 600,000 60,000 500,000 50,000 400,000 40,000 300,000 30,000 200,000 20,000 100,000 10,000 0 0 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Year Wells Mcf Texas Gas Production Per Well (Mcf) & Number Of Wells Texas Railroad Commission Texas Railroad Commission Why Does This Matter? First Wave: Agricultural Revolution Second Wave: The Industrial Revolution Third Wave: The Information Age (just now beginning) Richard Duncan ‘Olduvai Theory’ Alvin Toffler ‘Third Wave’ Alternative Energy Resources NON-RENEWABLE Conventional oil production RENEWABLE Wood/other biomass Oil sands/heavy oil Shale oil Natural gas Gas hydrates Hydropower 1 Solar Wind Tidal Nuclear fission, fussion 2 Geothermal (DPSGE) Ocean thermal energy Geothermal 3 (hot wet/dry rock) conversion (OTEC) 1 Renewable only to life of reservoir. 2 If ever accomplished, may be regarded as renewable, since fuel supply is huge. 3 So far, all electric quality reservoirs are in declining production. Adapted from Geotimes, July 1998. Geothermal Energy Types & Characteristics Type Hydrothermal Steam Liquid Hot Dry Rock Magma Geopressure Earth Energy Deep Permeable Strata (DPSGE) Heat Source Volcanic/Intrusive Status Operational Drawbacks Location Intrusive Volcanic Depositional/Geothermal Gradient Various Geothermal Gradient Experimental Permeability Highly Experimental Technology Experimental Liability/Fluid Disposal Operational Cultural Untested Unproven Conventional Geothermal Resource Regions Texas Geothermal Resource Regions Unconventional Geothermal Resource Areas Permian Basin Geothermal Potential Blue = 66o – 81o C Green = 82o 142o C Red = 143o C & up Delaware Basin Ellenburger Structure Map (>15,000 ft) - 1 50 00 - 15000 - 15 000 -1 0 - -1 50 00 0 00 0 - 15000 - 10 00 0 00 0 00 - 50 0 00 2 -5 -1 00 00 -1 - 1000 0 0 500 -15000 Delaware Basin Tectonic Map Temp. Grad. 1.46 1.40 1.34 1.28 1.22 1.16 1.10 1.04 0.98 0.92 0.86 0.80 0.74 0.68 0.62 0.56 0.5 No. of Wells 80 60 40 20 0 1.60 1.55 1.50 1.45 1.40 1.35 1.30 1.25 1.20 1.15 1.10 1.05 1.00 0.95 0.90 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.70 0.65 0.60 Wells Total Permian Basin 100 80 60 40 20 0 Degrees F/100 Ft New Mexico-SE 100 Permian Basin Geothermal Gradient Degrees C/Km 27.71 26.80 25.89 24.97 24.06 23.15 22.24 21.33 20.42 19.51 18.59 17.68 16.77 15.86 14.95 14.04 13.13 12.21 11.30 Wells Permian Basin Geothermal Gradient Total Permian Basin 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Delaware Basin Temperature Data Delaware Basin Temperature Data Generalized BHT Boundaries 8000 z = 3384.8Ln(T) - 10323 R = 0.9961 & R2 = 0.9922 7000 6000 Depth (m) Logarithmic Curves Defining Upper & Lower BHT Boundaries 5000 z = 3974.4Ln(T) - 14389 R = 0.9957 & R2 = 0.9914 4000 3000 Upper Boundary Lower Boundary Log. (Upper Boundary) Log. (Lower Boundary) 2000 1000 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Temperature (C) 140 160 180 200 220 Bottom Hole Temperatures Power Tube Range 9000 Deep 1512 Readings z = 34.678T + 827.62 2 R = 0.8839 & R = 0.7812 8000 Depth (m) 7000 6000 Shallow 2111 Readings z = 65.002T - 1235.7 5000 R = 0.8730 & R = 0.7621 Binary Plant Range Delaware Basin Temperature Data 2 4000 3000 Pecos Reeves Combined 3623 Readings z = 3372.5Ln(T) - 11083 2000 1000 Terrell Loving 2 R = 0.9560 & R = 0.9139 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 Temperature (C) Normal-Normal Distribution Bottom Hole Temperatures 10,000 Depth (m) 1,000 Log-Normal Distribution Pecos Combined 3623 Readings z = 3372.5Ln(T) - 11083 R = 0.9560 & R2 = 0.9139 Reeves Terrell Loving 100 Power Tube Range Binary Plant Range 10 0 20 40 60 80 100 Temperature (C) 120 140 160 180 200 220 Bottom Hole Temperatures 9000 Deep 1512 Readings z = 34.678T + 827.62 R = 0.8839 & R2 = 0.7812 8000 Depth (m) 7000 6000 Delaware Basin Temperature Data Shallow 2111 Readings z = 65.002T - 1235.7 R = 0.873 & R2 = 0.7621 5000 4000 Pecos Reeves 3000 Terrell 2000 Combined 3623 Readings z = 3372.5Ln(T) - 11083 R2 = 0.9139 1000 Loving 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 Temperature (C) Linear Regression Analysis And The Geothermal Gradient In The Delaware And Val Verde Basins BHT Measurements Correlation Coef Determination Coef R R2 Thermal Gradient (1 - R2) dT/dz (oC/m) 0.0154 0.0288 Combined Basin Shallow 0.8730 0.7621 0.2379 Combined Basin Deep 0.8839 0.7812 0.2188 Reeves Shallow 0.8754 0.7664 0.2336 Reeves Deep 0.8221 0.6758 0.3242 Loving Shallow 0.8213 0.6745 0.3255 Loving Deep 0.7419 0.5504 0.4496 Pecos Shallow 0.8383 0.7028 0.2972 Pecos Deep 0.9220 0.8510 0.1490 Terrell Shallow 0.7867 0.6198 0.3802 Terrell Deep 0.9201 0.8465 0.1535 0.0154 0.0333 0.0146 0.0581 0.0153 0.0281 0.0117 0.0261 Shallow Multiple Run Wells With 610 Measurments 0.873 0.7621 0.2379 0.0145 Deep Multiple Run Wells With 6-10 Measurments 0.8839 0.7812 0.2188 0.0300 Deep/S hallow Thermal Grad Ratio 1.8701 2.1623 3.9795 1.8366 2.2308 2.0690 Bottom Hole Temperatures For Wells With Multiple BHT Measurements 9,000 Wells With 6 To 10 BHT Measurements 8,000 Depth (m) 7,000 6,000 Total 298 Readings z = 3721.1Ln(T) - 12549 5,000 R = 0.9662 & R2 = 0.9336 4,000 Deep 124 Readings z = 33.32T + 1122 3,000 R = 0.8966 & R = 0.8039 2 2,000 Shallow 174 Readings z = 68.745T - 1511.1 1,000 R = 0.9372 & R = 0.8784 2 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Temperature (C) J a ke L. Ha m o n # 1 Kim be r Ga s Unit (R e e ve s 10) Te xa c o # 3 R e e ve s TXL S ta te (R e e ve s 6) Hum ble # 1 C ha rle s J Wa lke r (P e c o s 8) S o c o ny M o bil # 1-B S ible y (P e c o s 8) Exxo n # 1 M M c C o m b Ga s Unit (P e c o s 7) P hillips # B -1 P uc ke tt A (P e c o s 6) C itie s # 1 S a m s S ta te A (P e c o s 6) P a n Am e ric a n # 1 Unive rs ity C S (P e c o s 6) R a lph Lo we Es t # 1 Unive rs ity 17 (P e c o s 6) P a n Am e ric a n # 1 Ke ith M itc he ll (Te rre ll 6) S e rie s 31 M a gno lia # 2 J M R a pe (R e e ve s 6) F o re s t # 1 C ha rle s J Wa lke r (P e c o s 10) P hillips # 1 P uc ke tt F (P e c o s 8) Arc o # 1 R o xie Ne a l Es ta te (P e c o s 6) Hum ble # 1 WM Edwa rds (P e c o s 6) P hillips # 1 Unive rs ity EE (P e c o s 7) Exxo n # 1 Edith C liffo rd (P e c o s 6) P hillips # 2 Gle nna (P e c o s 6) S o c o ny M o bil # 1 Ka thle e n J M o o re (P e c o s 6) Na tura l Ga s & Oil # 1 Wilde r (Lo ving 6) S e rie s 32 S un # 1 Te rrill-S ta te Unit (R e e ve s 6) Exxo n # 1 C C M itc he ll (P e c o s 7) S he ll # 1 He rs he ns o n 5 (P e c o s 7) Atla ntic # 1 J C Ke lly (P e c o s 7) P e rry R B a s s # 1 R o xie Ne a l (P e c o s 6) S he ll Hum ble # 1 B la c ks to ne S la ughte r (P e c o s 6) Na pe c o # 1 C e nturio n (P e c o s 6) R a lph Lo we # 1-49 J O Ne a (P e c o s 6) S upe rio r # 1 Ido l (P e c o s 6) S e rie s 30 220 Target Geothermal Formations Devonian Porosity Range Avg. Porosity Fracture Permeability Range Avg. Permeability 2 to 25% 6 to 8% 1 to 2,840 md 10.5 md Fusselman Porosity Avg. Porosity Fracture Permeability Range Avg. Permeability 3 to 11% 4 to 5% 2 to 26 md 8.5 md Ellenburger Porosity Avg. Porosity Fracture Permeability Range Avg. Permeability 2 to 14% 4% .1 to 2,250 md 75 md Delaware Basin Industrial Potential From Hot Water Energy Equivalents 413 Mwatts Generating Capacity 96,000 mcf Gas/Day 16,000 bbls Oil/Day 5,840,000 bbls Oil/Year Birsic, 1974 Geothermal Energy Production Methodologies For Permian Basin 1) Binary Plant – hot water passes through heat exchanger on earth’s surface, heating the working fluid that then drives a turbine; water is then injected back into strata through a secondary well. 1) Power Tube – working fluid circulated through subsurface borehole, vaporizing the fluid and driving high speed turbine in the hole near the earth’s surface. Works well in moderate to high T range (110o – 180o C). Dixie Valley Binary Cycle Plant Delaware Basin Temperature Data Typical Binary Plant Waters Water at well head: 154o (310o F) – 160o C (320o F). Reinjected waters: Summer = 99o C (210o F) Winter = 77o C (170o F) Temperature decrease in 10-year period: 10o – 15o F. Temperature decrease at wellhead annulus: 15-20% (depends upon geothermal system). Power Tube Delaware Basin Temperature Data Binary Plant vs. Power Tube Footprint Prometheus For Producing On-Site Electricity From Hot Oil Working Fluids Comparison Binary Power Plant Water (1 cal/gm H20/1o C) Heat vaporization = 100o C 539 cal/gm to raise 1o C above heat vaporization Power Tube Facility Isobutane Heat vaporization = -12o C 88 cal/gm to raise 1o C above heat vaporization Isopentane Heat vaporization = 28o C For 1 MW Electrical Energy Binary Power Plant 417 ft/sec to drive turbine 1,500,000 lbs/hr vapor Power Tube Facility 40 ft/sec to drive turbine 144,000 lbs/hr vapor Power Tube Oil Volumes Power Tube Oil Use With Depth 9000 8000 7000 Meters 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 Bbls Wind Energy – Power Tube Comparison Texas Wind Energy Development (1/21/2003) 1095.74 Mwatts Online 1188 Wind Turbines Avg. 0.92 Mwatts/Turbine Power Tube Facilities (1000 Mwatts) 1 Mwatt unit = 1000 units 5 Mwatt unit = 200 units 10 Mwatt unit = 100 units 50 Mwatt unit = 20 units Project Goals 1) Phase I – Data Base Development (temperature, permeability & porosity, fluid salinity, hole size). 2) Phase II – Evaluation (graphs – temperature quality control, data source comparison, well profiles, fluid salinity; maps – temperature, geologic framework, surface use analysis; thermal modeling). 3) Phase III – Target Reservoirs (subsurface strata, size of target features, status of features). 4) Phase IV – Economic Analysis (operations cost, sustainability). 5) Phase V – Technology Transfer (written – technical journals, internet data access, CD Rom access, newspaper, targeted communication; oral – technical presentations, general presentations, TV & radio). Project Initiation Projected 3-Year Project Cost Proposed Project To Cover 20,000 Sq. Miles Within Delaware & Val Verde Basins PREFERRED PROPOSED 3 YEAR BUDGET Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Total I. Direct Costs - Personnel (1.5 FTE, 5 PTE [students]) $149,970.00 $154,494.00 $159,244.20 $463,708.20 II. Other Direc Costs (est. materials, computer, travel, copy) $16,700.00 $4,200.00 $7,700.00 $28,600.00 III. Indirect Cost (22% salary covers elec., water, etc.) $28,875.00 $29,733.00 $30,633.90 $89,241.90 IV. Total Estimated Cost $195,545.00 $188,427.00 $197,578.10 $581,550.10 Conclusion: Two Choices For The Future 1) Passive Let things continue as they are. Then we can sit around tables drinking coffee reminiscing about past oil and gas success stories. 2) Proactive Help initiate a new, undeveloped energy resource. Then we can sit around tables drinking coffee amazed at the number of old wells reactivated for geothermal energy production.