Obesity and Mental Health in Adolescents Jordan Levy Honors thesis completed in partial fulfillment of the requirements of the Honors Program in the Psychological Sciences Under the direction of David Schlundt, Ph.D. Vanderbilt University April 2012 Abstract The study examined the relationship between obesity and depression, conduct disorder, and substance abuse in adolescents using data from the 2008 National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health. Depression at baseline was associated with higher overall z-BMI over time, and display of antisocial behavior at baseline was associated with higher overall z-BMI at baseline but lower overall z-BMI at wave 4. There was no significant association between substance abuse and obesity. Risk factors for adult obesity include being male, having little social support, being sedentary, being Latino, being black, being American-Indian, and perceiving oneself as either overweight or very overweight at baseline. Protective factors against adult obesity include being Asian, perceiving oneself as being at the right weight at baseline, trying to gain or maintain weight, eating two or more servings of vegetables daily, and having a positive outlook on life. The results of the study suggest that mental health interventions as well as nutritional and physical activity interventions may be needed in the primary prevention of obesity. 2 Introduction Obesity has become a growing concern among adolescents in the United States in recent years. Between 1976 and 1980, 5% of adolescents ages 12-19 were obese. By 2008, obesity in the same age group had risen to 18.1% (Ogden & Carroll, 2010). Obesity in adolescents elevates the risk for future development of health problems and disease (Ogden & Carroll, 2010), so the increased rates of obesity in U.S. adolescents are a grave cause of concern. One reason that childhood obesity is so foreboding is that overweight children are very likely to become obese adults, and adolescents who become overweight early in life are generally more obese as adults than those who become obese as adults (Freedman et al., 2001). Overweight children are more at risk for adult morbidity and mortality (Freedman et al., 2001), demonstrating the severity of the problem. Obese adolescents face an increased risk of both physical and psychosocial health complications. Obese adolescents typically mature earlier than non-overweight children, increasing their risk for development of eating disorders later in life (Dietz, 1998). Obesity is also linked with increased blood lipids, glucose intolerance and diabetes, high concentrations of liver enzymes, hypertension, sleep apnea, and polycystic ovary syndrome (Dietz, 1998). Obese adolescents are often victims of verbal harassment about body weight, which can lead to low body satisfaction, low self-esteem, high depressive symptoms, and thoughts of suicide (Eisenberg, 2003). They also typically develop a negative self-image that persists into adulthood (Dietz, 1998). Aside from being a time of risk for the development of obesity, adolescence is a period marked by many developmental changes. These changes are often accompanied 3 by feelings of distress and unhappiness, which can be manifested as depression. The reported percentage of adolescents who have been diagnosed with depression varies widely, from near 0% in a large nonclinical study of children 10-11 years old to 57% in a clinical sample of children ages 8-13 (Peterson et al., 1993). Many of the pressures of adolescent life can greatly contribute to the development of depression. For example, poor body image and low self-esteem, poor relationships with parents, stressful life events, difficulty in school, and low popularity among peers are issues faced by many adolescents that can contribute to the development of depression. Another mental health disorder that adolescents face is conduct disorder, which is marked by the display of chronic, severe antisocial behavior that typically begins in early childhood and can extend into adulthood (Robins & Ratcliff, 1979). As described in the DSM-IV, conduct disorder is typically manifested in any of four categories: aggression to people or animals, destruction of property, deceitfulness or theft, and serious violation of rules (Searight et al., 2001). The prevalence of conduct disorder is estimated at 2-9% for girls and 6-16% for boys (Searight et al., 2001). Conduct disorder presents a serious problem to society because it has been shown to increase the risk of many public health concerns, including violence, use of weapons, teenage pregnancy, substance abuse, and dropping out of school (Searight et al., 2001). Conduct disorder in adolescence can develop into antisocial personality disorder in adulthood (Holmes et al., 2001), furthering the risk that the disorder places on society. Finally, early adolescence is the most common time for individuals to experiment with drugs, with peak drug use typically occurring between the ages of 18-22 (Kandel and Logan, 1984). According to the 2006 National Survey on Drug Use and Health, it is 4 estimated that 8% of adolescents meet the criteria set by the American Psychological Association for substance abuse or dependence, 5% meet the criteria for alcohol abuse or dependence, and at least 11% show signs of “problematic use” of alcohol or drugs. Substance abuse among adolescents is especially problematic because it has been linked to a plethora of other issues. Studies have demonstrated a significant association between substance abuse and suicidal behavior (Crumley, 1990), affective disorders, conduct and antisocial personality disorder, attention-deficit hyperactivity disorders, and anxiety disorders (Bukstein et al., 1989). Consequently, it is evident that although substance abuse is a problem in itself, it can also have a profound impact on the development of many other psychiatric disorders. Existing research tends to demonstrate that there is a relationship between obesity and depression, conduct disorders and substance abuse in adolescents. However, research has yielded conflicting results, and as a result, the direction of causation is unknown for each of these variables. Some studies suggest that depressed adolescents are at increased risk for the development of obesity (Goodman and Whitaker, 2002; Erermis et al., 2004), while others found no relationship between adolescent depression and obesity later in life (Bardone et al., 1998; Brewis, 2003; Eisenberg et al., 2003). Still others found that obesity was associated with fewer feelings of depression (Isnard et al., 2003), so the true relationship between obesity and depression in adolescents is very unclear. Research on the relationship between obesity and conduct disorder in adolescents tends to show that antisocial behavior is associated with greater overall BMI, but very few studies have been done on the subject. Studies have shown that conduct disorder is 5 related to having a higher BMI (Pine et al., 1997), with one study showing that females with conduct disorders likely to have BMIs 0.23-0.33 units higher than females without conduct disorders, and males with conduct disorder likely to have BMI .20 units higher than males without conduct disorder (Anderson et al., 2006). However, since there are very few studies in existence on the relationship between obesity and conduct disorder in adolescents, more research is necessary to corroborate these findings. Finally, existing research on the relationship between obesity and substance abuse in adolescents tends to be very conflicted. Volkow and Wise (2005) suggest that both drugs and food can activate the same reward pathway in the brain, meaning that individuals who suffer from problems with substance abuse may also be more likely to have problems with food. However, studies that actually examine this relationship have demonstrated that obese adults are actually less likely to suffer from issues of substance abuse than normal-weight adults (Simon et al., 2006). Among adolescents, the relationship is even less clear, as the few studies that exist have also yielded contradictory results: though it has been shown that obesity is associated with an approximately 25% lower odds of substance use disorders in adults (Simon et al., 2006), in adolescents, different studies have shown both no relationship between obesity and substance abuse as well as a positive relationship between obesity and substance abuse in females. As a result, significantly more research is necessary in order to provide more conclusive data about the relationship between obesity and substance abuse in adolescents. Of additional interest are the gender differences that appear with obesity and each of the mental health issues. Obesity was significantly associated with increased symptoms of depression (Erickson et al., 2000) in females, but these effects were less 6 significant or nonexistent in males. These gender differences in symptomatology seem to be indicative of gender differences in self-perception as overweight and body dissatisfaction. In females, increased BMI was significantly associated with increased weight concerns (Erickson et al., 2000), which were associated with increased depressive symptoms. As a result, it seems plausible that obese females are more susceptible to depression than obese males because of body pressures created by American society and the body dissatisfaction that these expectations can provoke. Males seem to be somewhat shielded from these body pressures, and as a result, obese males experience less depression associated with poor body image. For the most part, the abovementioned studies demonstrate that although a relationship likely exists between each of the mental health issues and obesity in adolescents, it remains unclear what the direction of the relationship is. Additionally, existing studies have not demonstrated whether obesity predisposes adolescents to these conditions or if adolescents who have these mental health disorders are more likely to become obese. Consequently, there is a great need for further research on the direction of causality between obesity and depression, conduct disorders and substance abuse in adolescents. As a result, my research project focuses on these areas of research. In my study, I performed statistical analysis on the 2008 National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health (Add Health) data set in order to investigate the relationship between obesity, depression, conduct disorder, and substance abuse in adolescents. I expected to not only demonstrate a positive relationship between these variables, but that these psychological disorders can be predictive factors for the development of obesity in adolescents. 7 Research Hypotheses 1. There will be a positive relationship between obesity and depression, conduct disorder, and substance abuse in adolescents. 2. Depression, conduct disorder, and substance abuse precede the development of obesity in adolescents. Method Participants Participants in the study consisted of subjects of the 2008 Add Health study, which initially enrolled children in grades 7-12 in 1994 and followed them longitudinally for 14 years. There are four waves of data collection available, and data on depression, substance abuse, conduct disorders, height and weight were measured at each wave by self-report data, questionnaires, and personal interviews. A sample of 80 high schools and 52 middle schools from the U.S. was selected with unequal probability of selection, ensuring that the sample was representative of US schools with respect to region of the country, urbanicity, school size, school type, and ethnicity (Harris et. al, 2009). The core sample consisted of the nationally representative sample of 12,105 adolescents. A wide range of additional subsamples was drawn to provide meaningful samples of children who were disabled, blacks from well-educated families, Chinese, Cuban, Puerto Rican, adolescents residing together, siblings of various levels of relationship (twins, full siblings, half-siblings, nonrelated adolescents residing together, siblings of twins). These subsamples added up to a survey of more than 20,000 youth in Add Health Wave I (Harris et. al, 2009). During Wave II, the sample was 31.0% 8 white non-Hispanic, 21.8% black non-Hispanic, 0.8% American Indian non-Hispanic, 15.7% Hispanic, 8.8% Mexican, 2.5% Cuban, 3.0% Puerto Rican, 1.5% Central/South American, 1.3% Other Hispanic, 6.8% Asian, 2.8% Filipino non-Hispanic, 1.8% Chinese non-Hispanic, and 2.2% Asian non-Hispanic (Popkin and Udry, 1998). Students in the study filled out a brief questionnaire at school, followed by extensive at-home interviews with students and their parents conducted by researchers. These interviews were repeated one year later, again at ages 18-26, and finally at ages 2432. School administrators provided information regarding participants’ schools, and existing data were compiled to describe neighborhoods and communities. Information from high school transcripts is also available to the study if participants allowed. Pregnant women were excluded from the study, as were disabled children who used a walking-aid device. Procedure I first downloaded the appropriate data files corresponding to each wave of the study using SPSS (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences) and identified the variables I needed to answer my research questions. I then created a data set and merged the four waves of data, linking the files using participant identification codes. I transformed height and weights into age and gender standardized body mass index, or z-BMI. Z-BMI adjusts measured body mass index against the World Health Organization norms for gender and age since BMI naturally changes as children get older. A z-BMI of zero would reflect the expected mean value given the child’s age and gender. The value above and below the mean is in standard deviation units that also control for natural changes over time. 9 I then created scales in SPSS to correspond with each psychological disorder for each wave of the study, paying careful attention to how each of the above psychological disorders were assessed, and including measures of diagnosis as well as symptom severity. Once the data set was prepared, I learned about using mixed linear models to analyze nested data sets. In this case, longitudinal observations were nested within participants. I developed z-BMI trajectory models, and saw how individual psychopathology scores related to the slopes and intercepts of these models. I then prepared and described the data using SPSS and created mixed linear models using the HLM (hierarchical linear models) program. Individual difference models controlled for demographic and socioeconomic differences. I created a linear model of BMI change, then examined how individual difference variables modified the intercept or slope of this model. After controlling for individual differences in demographics and socioeconomic status, I used the mental health variables one at a time to test hypotheses about their relationship to the slopes and intercept of the z-BMI equation. Results Sample Demographics The sample size at baseline was 6,291 individuals (see Table 1, Table 2, and Table 3) 49.1% of subjects were male and 50.9% were female. The sample was 66.6% white, 24.5% black, 11.3% Hispanic, 3.6% American Indian, 4.2% Asian and 6.5% other ethnicity, and ranged from 11-19 years of age at wave 1. The mean z-BMI of the sample 10 was 0.33 (S.D. = 1.022), meaning that they were slightly overweight. The participants came from predominantly educated families, with the majority of parents having completed high school or earned a GED (at least 88.9% of mothers and at least 89.1% of fathers). The mean annual household income was $47,700 (S.D. = 56.355), with 22.1% of participants’ families earning $0-24,999 annually, 25.1% between $25,000-49,999, 17.3% earning between $50,000-74,999, 6.3% earning between $74,000-99,999, and 14.3% earning $100,000 or more annually. Male z-BMI increased all four waves across all races (Table 4, Figure 1). American Indian males had the highest overall z-BMI scores (0.585, 0.652, 1.030 and 1.255 at waves 1 through 4, respectively), followed by males of other ethnicities (0.416, 0.444, 0.900, 1.38), Hispanic males (0.451, 0.448, 0.857, 1.349), black males (0.437, 0.431, 0.803, 1.044), white males (0.343, 0.366, 0.759, 1.057) and Asian males (0.198, 0.288, 0.711, 0.879). American Indian males had the highest z-BMI scores at waves 1 through 3, but at wave 4 were surpassed by males of other ethnicities and Hispanic males. Asian males had the lowest z-BMI scores at all four waves. Female z-BMI also increased across all races (Table 5, Figure 2). American Indian females had the highest overall z-BMI scores (0.563, 0.507, 0.894 and 1.368 at waves 1 through 4, respectively), followed by black females (0.530, 0.539, 0.776, 1.289), females of other ethnicities (0.344, 0.435, 0.638, 1.082), Hispanic females (0.385, 0.379, 0.607, 1.053), white females (0.227, 0.230, 0.502, 0.924) and Asian females (-0.094, 0.082, 0.202, 0.632). American-Indian females had the highest z-BMI at wave 1, were slightly surpassed by black females at wave 2, then returned to the highest z-BMI scores for waves 3 and 4. Asians had the lowest z-BMI scores at all four waves. 11 Mixed Models Analysis Using the Hierarchical Linear Models (HLM) program, a model was developed to represent change in z-BMI among the participants. The level-1 model was a simple linear equation that expressed change in z-BMI over time. The equation is: Z_BMIti = π0i + π1i*(WAVEti) + eti Where π0i is the intercept, π1i is the slope, and eti is the error. The level-2 intercept as outcomes model was: π0i = β00 + β01*(SEXi) + β02*(SOCIALSUi) + β03*(SEDENTARi) + β04*(LATINOi) + β05*(ISBLACKi) + β06*(ISINDIANi) + β07*(ISASIANi) + β08*(ISOTHERi) + r0i, The level-2 slopes as outcomes model was: π1i = β10 + β11*(DEPRESSIi) + β12*(ANTISOCIi) + β13*(RIGHTWEIi) + β14*(OVERWEIGi) + β15*(VERYOVERi) + β16*(LOSEWEIGi) + β17*(EATVEGGIi) + β18*(POSITIVEi) + r1i. This means that the variables found to affect the coefficient π0i are sex (p<0.001), level of social support (p=0.017), sedentary level (p=0.001), being Latino (p=0.025), being black (p<0.001), being Indian (p<0.001), and being Asian (p=0.002). Being of another ethnicity was found to not be statistically significant (p=0.080). The linear slope π1i is affected by the variables depression (p=0.035), antisocial tendencies (p=0.002), perceiving oneself as the “right weight” at baseline (p<0.001), perceiving oneself as “overweight” at baseline (p<0.001), “perceiving oneself as “very overweight” at baseline (p<0.001), attempting to change one’s weight at baseline (p<0.001), how many servings of vegetables participants ate each day (p=0.002), and 12 having a positive outlook on life (p=0.034). Consequently, the mixed model was: Z_BMIti = β00 + β01*SEXi + β02*SOCIALSUi + β03*SEDENTARi + β04*LATINOi + β05*ISBLACKi + β06*ISINDIANi +β07*ISASIANi + β08*ISOTHERi + β10*WAVEti + β11*DEPRESSIi*WAVEti + β12*ANTISOCIi*WAVEti + β13*RIGHTWEIi*WAVEti + β14*OVERWEIGi*WAVEti + β15*VERYOVERi*WAVEti + β16*LOSEWEIGi*WAVEti + β17*EATVEGGIi*WAVEti + β18*POSITIVEi*WAVEti + r0i + r1i*WAVEti + eti. Intercepts The sex coefficient is -0.249, meaning that men have overall higher z-BMI scores than women (Table 6). The male overall z-BMI was 0.5877 (S.D.=0.989) and the female overall z-BMI was 0.5075 (S.D.=0.911) (Table 7, Figure 3). The social support coefficient is -0.005, meaning that individuals with greater levels of social support had lower z-BMI scores. The lower 25th percentile of social support had the highest z-BMI at 0.597 (S.D.=0.967), the 25-50th percentile had a z-BMI of 0.552 (S.D.=0.941), the 50-75th percentile had a z-BMI of 0.517 (S.D.=0.947) and the upper quartile had a z-BMI of 0.521 (S.D.=0.947) (Table 8, Figure 4). The sedentary coefficient is 0.001, meaning that individuals who were more sedentary had higher z-BMIs than those who were less sedentary. The lower quartile of sedentary activity had an overall z-BMI of 0.463 (S.D.=0.938), the 25-50th percentile had a z-BMI of 0.511 (S.D.=0.935), the 50-75th percentile had a z-BMI of 0.554 (S.D.=0.938), and the upper quartile had a z-BMI of 0.664 (S.D.=0.982) (Table 9, Figure 5). 13 The Latino coefficient is 0.093, meaning that Latinos have higher z-BMI scores than non-Latinos. The overall Latino z-BMI score is 0.635 (S.D.=0.923) and the overall non-Latino z-BMI is 0.536 (S.D.=0.954) (Table 10, Figure 6). The black coefficient is 0.211, meaning that black individuals had higher z-BMI scores than non-blacks. The overall z-BMI for blacks was 0.678 (S.D.=0.962) and the overall z-BMI for non-blacks was 0.504 (S.D.=0.94361) (Table 11, Figure 7). The American Indian coefficient is 0.241, meaning that American Indian individuals had higher z-BMI scores than non-American-Indians. The overall z-BMI for American-Indians was 0.785 (S.D.=1.021) and the overall z-BMI for non-AmericanIndians was 0.538 (S.D.=0.947) (Table 12, Figure 8). The Asian coefficient is -0.165, meaning that Asian individuals had lower z-BMI scores than non-Asian individuals. The overall z-BMI for Asians was 0.261 (S.D.=0.983) and the overall z-BMI for non-Asians was 0.559 (S.D.=0.948) (Table 13, Figure 9). Wave Slope The depression coefficient was found to be -0.001, meaning that being depressed at baseline resulted in a higher overall z-BMI at wave 4. At wave 1, the upper quartile of depression had the highest z-BMI at 0.375 (S.D.=1.040), followed by the 50-75% percentile at 0.348 (S.D.=1.017), the 25-50th percentile at 0.314 (S.D.=1.018) and the lower quartile at 0.294 (S.D.=1.011) (Table 14, Figure 10). By wave 4, the 50-75th percentile had the highest z-BMI at 1.075 (S.D. 1.048), followed by the upper quartile at 1.061 (S.D.=1.057), the 25-50th percentile at 0.992 (S.D.=1.036), and the lower quartile at 0.972 (S.D.=1.036). The upper quartile and 50-75th percentile had the highest overall zBMI scores at all four waves, and the 25-50th percentile and the lower quartile had the 14 lowest overall z-BMI scores at all four waves. There was no easily discernible difference in slope between any of the four quartiles, though the negative coefficient implies a slight tendency for effect of depression to diminish over time. The antisocial coefficient, which measures diagnostic criteria for conduct disorder, is -0.001, meaning that displaying more antisocial tendencies at baseline tended to result in a lower overall z-BMI at wave 4. At wave 1, the upper quartile of antisocial behavior had the highest z-BMI at 0.384 (S.D.=1.001), followed by the 50-75th percentile at 0.351 (S.D.=1.015), the lower quartile at 0.301 (S.D.=1.035) and the 25-50th percentile at 0.296 (S.D.=1.035) (Table 15, Figure 11). By wave 4, the lower quartile had the highest z-BMI at 1.064 (S.D.=1.036), followed closely by the 50-75th percentile at 1.063 (S.D.=1.014), the upper quartile at 0.989 (S.D.=1.071) and the 25-50th percentile at 0.974 (S.D.=1.057). While the upper quartile had the highest overall z-BMI at wave 1, they had the second lowest z-BMI by wave 4. In contrast, the lower quartile had close to the lowest overall z-BMI at wave 1, but by wave 4 they had the highest overall z-BMI scores. The coefficient for perceives self as at the “right weight” at baseline is 0.091. Perceiving oneself as being at the “right weight” at baseline is predictive of having a lower z-BMI at wave 4. Participants who felt that they were at the right weight at baseline had an overall z-BMI of 0.151 (S.D.=0.787) and participants who felt that they were not at the right weight had an overall z-BMI of 0.536 (S.D.=1.201) (Table 16, Figure 12). At wave 4, those who perceived themselves as the right weight had a z-BMI of 0.957 (S.D.=0.957) and those perceived themselves as not being the right weight had a z-BMI of 1.194 (S.D.=1.108). Those who felt that they were not at the right weight had the highest z-BMI scores at all four waves, and there was no discernable difference 15 between their slope and the slope of those who perceived themselves as the right weight, though the positive coefficient implies that the protective effect decreases slightly with time. The coefficient for perceives self as “overweight” at baseline is 0.215, which demonstrates that perceiving oneself as being “overweight” at baseline is predictive of having a significantly higher z-BMI at wave 4. Participants who felt that they were overweight at baseline had an overall z-BMI of 1.078 (S.D.=0.739) and those who felt that they were not overweight at baseline had a z-BMI of 0.052 (S.D.=0.972) (Table 17, Figure 13). By wave 4, those who perceived themselves as overweight had a z-BMI of 1.615 (S.D.=0.772) and those who did not perceive themselves as overweight had a zBMI of 0.793 (S.D.=1.047). Both those who perceived themselves as overweight and those who did not followed similar trajectory patterns, but those who perceived themselves as overweight at baseline had significantly higher z-BMI scores at all four waves. The coefficient for perceives self as “very overweight” at baseline is 0.301, which demonstrates that perceiving oneself as being “very overweight” at baseline is predictive of having a significantly greater z-BMI at wave 4. Participants who felt that they were very overweight at baseline had an overall z-BMI of 1.755 (S.D.=0.679) and those who did not feel that they were very overweight had an overall z-BMI of 0.284 (S.D.=0.996) (Table 18, Figure 14). By wave 4, those who perceived themselves as very overweight had a z-BMI of 1.999 (S.D.=0.655) and those who did not perceive themselves as very overweight had a z-BMI of 0.990 (S.D.=1.040). Those who perceived themselves as very overweight at baseline had significantly higher z-BMI scores than those who did not at all 16 four waves. Both those who perceived themselves and those who did not had similar slopes between waves 1 and 2, but between waves 3 and 4 those who did not perceive themselves as very overweight increased in z-BMI much more than those who did, who showed a more gradual increase. The coefficient for attempts to change weight is 0.043, meaning that those who were trying to lose weight at baseline had a higher z-BMI by wave 4, those who were trying to maintain their weight had a lower z-BMI and those who were trying to gain weight at baseline had an ever lower z-BMI by wave 4. Participants who were trying to gain weight at baseline had an overall z-BMI of -0.121 (S.D.=0.996) at baseline, those who were trying to maintain their weight had a z-BMI of 0.157 (S.D.=0.917), and those who were trying to lose weight had an overall z-BMI of 0.943 (S.D.=0.841) (Table 19, Figure 15). By wave 4, those who were trying to gain weight had a mean z-BMI of 0.623 (S.D.=1.080), those who were trying to maintain their weight had an overall z-BMI of 0.904 (S.D.=1.009) and those who were trying to lose weight had a mean z-BMI of 1.509 (S.D.=0.841). Those who were trying to lose weight had the highest overall z-BMIs at all four waves and those who were trying to gain weight had the lowest z-BMI scores at all four waves. All three groups showed similar slopes. The coefficient for servings of vegetables eaten daily is -0.012, meaning eating more servings of vegetables daily at baseline is predictive of having a lower overall zBMI at wave 4. Participants who ate zero servings of vegetables daily had an overall zBMI of 0.380 (S.D.=1.030) at baseline, those who ate one serving of vegetables daily had an overall z-BMI of 0.311 (S.D.=1.03) at baseline, and those who ate two or more servings of vegetables daily had a z-BMI of 0.310 (S.D.=1.001) at baseline (Table 20, 17 Figure 16). By wave 4, those who ate zero servings of vegetables daily had an overall zBMI of 1.098 (S.D.=1.051), those who ate one serving of vegetables daily had a mean zBMI of 1.029 (S.D.=1.023) and those who ate two or more servings of vegetables daily had an overall z-BMI of 0.939 (S.D.=1.061). Individuals who ate zero servings of vegetables daily had the highest overall z-BMI scores at all four waves, and individuals who ate two or more servings of vegetables daily had the lowest overall z-BMI scores at all four waves. The coefficient for positive outlook on life is 0.003, which means that having a positive outlook on life at baseline is associated with having a lower overall z-BMI at wave 4. At wave 1, the 50-75th percentile of positive outlook had the highest overall zBMI at 0.361 (S.D.=1.000), followed by the 25-50th percentile at 0.353 (S.D.=1.033), the lower quartile at 0.344 (S.D.=1.023) and the upper quartile at 0.268 (S.D.=1.039) (Table 21, Figure 17). By wave 4, the 50-75th percentile remained at the highest overall z-BMI at 1.041 (S.D.=1.022), followed by the 25-50th percentile at 1.036 (S.D.=1.044), the lower quartile 1.0347 (S.D.=1.071) and the upper quartile at 0.985 (S.D.=1.042). The lower three quartiles had very similar z-BMI scores at both wave 1 and wave 4, and only diverged slightly in between. The upper quartile had a lower z-BMI at wave 1 and wave 4, and was only surpassed once at wave 3 by the lower quartile. Discussion Hypotheses The results support the hypothesis that depression is associated with a greater overall z-BMI. Individuals who scored in the upper two quartiles for depression at wave 18 1 had higher z-BMI scores at all four waves than those who scored in the lower two quartiles for depression. Since all four quartiles of depression have nearly identical slopes, depression does not affect the rate of weight gain much at all. Instead, depressed and less depressed individuals tended to gain weight at the same rate, but depressed individuals were heavier for the duration of the study. Thus, the hypothesis that depression in adolescents precedes the onset of obesity is incorrect; depressed individuals were heavier from the start of the study and did not appear to gain more any more weight than less depressed individuals. The hypothesis that conduct disorder is associated with a greater overall z-BMI was not supported by the data. Individuals who scored in the upper two quartiles for antisocial behavior, the critical marker of conduct disorder, were heavier at baseline than the lower two quartiles of antisocial behavior. However, by wave 4, the upper quartile and the 25-50th percentile had dropped to the lowest z-BMI scores, while the lower quartile and the 50-75th percentile had the highest z-BMI scores. Thus, individuals who displayed the most antisocial behavior at baseline had nearly the lowest z-BMIs at wave 4, and those who displayed the least antisocial behavior at baseline had nearly the highest z-BMIs at wave 4. Consequently, the hypothesis is not correct because antisocial behavior at baseline tended to result in lower overall z-BMI at wave 4. Additionally, the hypothesis that conduct disorder precedes the onset of obesity is also incorrect, because while the most antisocial individuals were the heaviest initially, by wave 4 they were the least heavy. 19 Finally, the hypotheses that substance abuse is associated with a greater overall zBMI and that substance abuse precedes the onset of obesity are incorrect. Substance abuse was not found to be a significant factor in predicting z-BMI. However, through the development of the mixed model for z-BMI, many nonmental-health variables were found to be significant predictors in determining z-BMI. Being male, having little social support, being sedentary, being Latino, being black, being American-Indian, and perceiving oneself as either overweight or very overweight at baseline were all found to be risk factors for having a higher z-BMI at wave 4. Similarly, being Asian, perceiving oneself as being at the right weight, trying to gain or maintain weight, eating two or more servings of vegetables daily, and having a positive outlook on life were all found to be protective factors against having a higher z-BMI at wave 4. Many of these factors are consistent with current government recommendations to prevent adolescent obesity, which include getting at least 60 minutes of exercise weekly, reducing “screen” time in front of the television and computer to less than two hours daily, and consuming at least five servings of fruits and vegetables daily (NIH). Overall, z-BMI tended to be fairly stable between waves 1 and 2 before steadily increasing between waves 3 and 4. During waves 1 and 2, participants were between ages 11-20, were ages 18-26 at wave 3 and were between ages 24-32 at wave 4. Z-BMI stability between waves 1 and 2 is likely attributed to the single year separating data collection periods. Weight gain tended to begin around age 18-26 and continued on through ages 24-32, which is fairly consistent with existing models that show aging as a contributing factor to weight gain in early adulthood (Roberts and Williamson, 2002). During the transition period between adolescence and young adulthood, a significant 20 proportion of individuals becomes and remains obese during adulthood (Gordon-Larsen et al., 2004), and significant weight gain often begins in early 20s (Sheehan et al., 2003). Existing literature tends to have conflicting results on the relationship between obesity and many mental health variables, so it is difficult to compare these to the results of my study. Studies relating obesity and depression have notoriously inconsistent findings (Wardle et al., 2005). Though a study by Richardson et al. (2003) found that depression in late adolescence is associated with later obesity in females, another study by Pine et al. (1997) found that adolescent BMI was inversely related to adult depressive symptoms in males. The same study also found that BMI was positively related to adolescent symptoms of conduct disorder, and Mustillo et al. (2003) found that conduct disorder in adolescent males was associated with chronic obesity, which contradicts the results of my study. Consequently, the results of my study agree with some existing literature and contradict the findings of other studies, which is representative of the inconsistent nature of existing literature on the subject. An important aspect of the study to note is the small effect sizes of each of the variables related to z-BMI scores. The study did not find any single variable that is responsible for large changes in z-BMI score trajectory; rather, z-BMI is affected by many variables that have small effects in z-BMI level and change over time. The results of the study have a profound impact on the future prevention of obesity in adolescents, and demonstrate that additional attention should be paid to certain mental health variables. Since depressed individuals tend to have higher z-BMI scores over time than non-depressed individuals, primary prevention of obesity should incorporate assessment and treatment of depression in adolescents. Similarly, since 21 having a positive outlook is associated with having a lower z-BMI over time, prevention of obesity should ensure that adolescents feel optimistic about the future. Feelings of hopelessness and pessimism should be recognized as risk factors and addressed during adolescence in order to reduce the risk of developing obesity later in life. In addition to these mental health variables, primary prevention of obesity should continue to include emphasis on proper nutrition and ample physical activity. Individuals who perceived themselves as being the right weight at baseline had lower z-BMI scores over time, while those who perceived themselves as overweight or very overweight had significantly higher z-BMI scores over time. Additionally, those who were attempting to lose weight at baseline had much higher z-BMI scores over time than individuals who were trying to maintain or gain weight. As a result, maintaining a healthy weight during adolescence can be a potential protective factor against the development of obesity in adulthood. In accordance with current government recommendations, consuming two or more servings of vegetables daily can also protect against the development of obesity in adulthood. Strengths and Limitations Unquestionably, the greatest strength of this study is that heights and weights were measured at each wave, as opposed to being self-reported. This eliminates all possibility for falsification of height and weight data and means that the dependent variable is very strong. The time range of the study is also advantageous, as it follows participants from early adolescence to adulthood, which is when weight gain tends to begin. Though there was some attrition within the Add Health study, only individuals with data on at least two waves were included in analysis, so the sample has relatively 22 complete data. Additionally, the sample is very diverse and includes a random sample from both public and private schools from all regions of the United States. However, there are several limitations of this study as well. The first limitation is that, although the dependent variable is very strong, the independent variables are somewhat less reliable. The Add Health study did not use a clinical assessment, so measures of depression, conduct disorder, and substance abuse are dependent on scores on a scale, as opposed to actual diagnoses made by a clinician. While the scales do assess depressive, antisocial, and substance abuse symptomatology, they are not true representations of depression, conduct disorder, and substance abuse as actual diagnosed disorders. Additionally, the Add Health study contains scales for a limited number of mental health variables. I had originally wanted to look at the relationship between obesity and depression, anxiety disorders, conduct disorder, suicidal thoughts, and substance abuse, but there were insufficient questions to develop a reliable scale for anxiety and suicide. Future Research Directions As a result of the limitations of this study, future research should focus on a clinical sample with individuals who have been diagnosed with depression, conduct disorder, or substance abuse. It would be worthwhile to investigate if the results of this study would differ if conducted with participants who meet the diagnostic criteria for these disorders. Additionally, since there were insufficient questions in the Add Health study to form reliable scales for anxiety and suicidal ideation, future research should incorporate these disorders into a clinical sample for assessment. Given the inconclusive nature of the current research on obesity and mental health disorders, it would be 23 advisable to replicate this study with a clinical sample in order to obtain more data on the relationship between these variables. 24 References Anderson, S. E., Cohen, P., Naumova, E.N. & Must, A. (2006). Association of depression and anxiety disorders with weight change in a prospective community-based study of children followed up into adulthood. Archives of Pediatrics & Adolescent Medicine, 160, 285-291. Bardone, A.M., Moffitt, T.E., Caspi, A. et al. (1998). 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International Journal of Obesity, 30, 634-643. 28 Tables Table 1 Demographic Characteristics of Add Health Wave 1 Sample (n = 6291) Freque ncy Perc ent 3087 3204 49.1 50.9 Cumulative Percent Gender Male Female 49.1 100 Ethnicity Non-Hispanic White Non-Hispanic Black Hispanic American Indian Asian Other Age 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 4 159 779 952 1072 1166 1115 904 140 0.1 2.5 12.4 15.1 17 18.5 17.7 14.4 2.2 0.1 2.6 15 30.1 47.1 65.7 83.4 97.8 100 zBMI -7.00 - -6.01 -6.00 - -5.01 -5.00 - -4.01 -4.00 - -3.01 -3.00 - -2.01 -2.00 - -1.01 -1.00 - 0 0.01 - 1.00 1.01-2.00 2.01-3.00 3.01-4.00 1 1 7 13 76 470 1689 2375 1313 291 4 0 0 0.1 0.2 1.2 7.5 27.1 38.1 21 4.7 0.1 0 0 0.1 0.4 1.6 9.1 36.2 74.2 95.3 99.9 100 4189 66.6 66.6 1543 24.5 91.1 708 11.3 102.4 227 3.6 106 264 4.2 110.2 407 6.5 116.7 (multiple selections possible) Mean = 0.3327 Standard Deviation = 1.02198 Education Level of Parents 29 Mother Father Household Income 8th grade or less >8th grade/didn't graduate high school High school graduate Completed a GED Business/trade/voc. school after high school College/didn't graduate Graduated from college/university Prof training beyond 4-year college/univ Went to school/but I don't know level She never went to school I don't know if she went to school 8th grade or less >8th grade/didn't graduate high school High school graduate Completed a GED Business/trade/voc. school after high school College/didn't graduate Graduated from college/university Prof training beyond 4-year college/univ Went to school/but I don't know level He never went to school I don't know if he went to school 0 - 24,999 25,000 - 49,999 50,000 - 74,999 75,000 - 99,999 100,000 or greater 95 1.5 2.3 316 1193 179 4.9 18.3 2.8 9.8 38.3 42.6 228 393 3.5 6 48.1 57.5 1073 16.5 83.1 397 6.1 92.6 265 9 4.1 0.1 98.9 99.2 35 92 0.5 1.4 100 2.7 265 895 98 4.1 13.8 1.5 10.5 36.7 39.6 202 273 3.1 4.2 45.5 53.5 812 12.5 77.3 427 6.6 89.8 297 6 4.6 0.1 98.5 98.7 45 0.7 100 1437 1635 1122 409 927 22.1 25.1 17.3 6.3 14.3 26 55.6 75.8 83.2 100 30 Table 2 Demographic Characteristics of Add Health Wave 1 Sample by Race and Gender, Male NH-White NH-Black Age 11 1 1 12 37 18 13 237 100 14 322 88 15 357 128 16 372 161 17 400 123 18 292 110 19 49 21 TOTAL 2067 750 z-BMI -7.00 - -6.01 1 0 -6.00 - -5.01 0 1 -5.00 - -4.01 2 1 -4.00 - -3.01 4 2 -3.00 - -2.01 31 6 -2.00 - -1.01 164 43 -1.00 - 0 533 188 0.01 - 1.00 767 296 1.01-2.00 442 160 2.01-3.00 103 49 3.01-4.00 3 0 TOTAL 2050 746 Mother Education Level 8th grade or less 21 2 >8th grade/didn't graduate high school 82 11 High school graduate 410 106 Completed a GED 56 12 Business/trade/voc. school after high school 81 24 College/didn't graduate 123 36 Graduated from college/university 298 194 Prof training beyond 4-year college/univ 125 73 Went to school/but I don't know level 87 17 She never went to school 3 1 I don't know if she went to school 17 2 TOTAL 1303 478 Father Education Level 8th grade or less 26 3 >8th grade/didn't graduate high school 98 16 High school graduate 319 57 Completed a GED 33 8 Business/trade/voc. school after high school 71 22 College/didn't graduate 101 28 Graduated from college/university 282 100 Prof training beyond 4-year college/univ 147 46 31 His Income Went to school/but I don't know level He never went to school I don't know if he went to school TOTAL 0 - 24,999 25,000 - 49,999 50,000 - 74,999 75,000 - 99,999 100,000 or greater TOTAL 81 2 9 1169 390 584 439 152 290 1855 32 18 0 8 306 238 166 90 39 101 634 Table 3 Demographic Characteristics of Add Health Wave 1 Sample by Race and Gender, Female NH-White NH-Black Hispanic Americ Age 11 57 0 0 12 284 32 11 13 343 91 43 14 367 127 62 15 371 146 59 16 350 141 78 17 329 134 45 18 20 100 57 19 19 22 7 TOTAL 2140 793 362 z-BMI -7.00 - -6.01 0 0 0 -6.00 - -5.01 0 0 0 -5.00 - -4.01 2 0 1 -4.00 - -3.01 2 1 0 -3.00 - -2.01 17 7 4 -2.00 - -1.01 163 52 24 -1.00 - 0 675 146 85 0.01 - 1.00 813 323 146 1.01-2.00 374 204 88 2.01-3.00 61 52 9 3.01-4.00 0 0 0 TOTAL 2107 785 357 Mother ed 8th grade or less 30 6 26 >8th grade/didn't graduate high school 127 54 44 High school graduate 478 139 54 Completed a GED 77 25 10 Business/trade/voc. school after high school 83 31 2 College/didn't graduate 158 60 17 Graduated from college/university 313 202 24 Prof training beyond 4-year college/univ 115 69 2 Went to school/but I don't know level 82 23 28 She never went to school 0 0 1 I don't know if she went to school 8 4 0 TOTAL 1471 613 208 Father Ed 8th grade or less 32 4 17 >8th grade/didn't graduate high school 91 27 30 High school graduate 383 92 34 Completed a GED 35 16 5 Business/trade/voc. school after high school 78 16 9 College/didn't graduate 102 28 9 Graduated from college/university 262 120 13 Prof training beyond 4-year college/univ 155 50 4 33 Income Went to school/but I don't know level He never went to school I don't know if he went to school TOTAL 0 - 24,999 25,000 - 49,999 50,000 - 74,999 75,000 - 99,999 100,000 or greater TOTAL 108 0 14 1260 404 573 436 167 330 1910 34 0 3 390 247 181 108 35 112 683 25 3 7 156 130 89 35 11 41 306 34 Table 4 Mean Male z-BMI Over Time by Race NH-White NH-Black Hispanic Wave 1 0.3425 0.4374 0.4506 Wave 2 0.3656 0.4313 0.4477 Wave 3 0.7589 0.8028 0.8569 Wave 4 1.0566 1.0444 1.3493 American Indian 0.5848 0.6515 1.0303 1.2548 Asian 0.1977 0.2884 0.711 0.8785 Other 0.4163 0.4441 0.9002 1.38 35 Table 5 Mean Female z-BMI Over Time by Race NH-White NH-Black Hispanic Wave 1 0.2269 0.5301 0.3846 Wave 2 0.2301 0.5392 0.3791 Wave 3 0.5016 0.7762 0.6074 Wave 4 0.9236 1.2887 1.0525 American Indian 0.5634 0.507 0.8939 1.3684 Asian -0.0941 -0.0815 0.2023 0.6323 Other 0.3439 0.4351 0.6379 1.0818 36 Table 6 Final Estimation of Fixed Effects (With Robust Standard Errors) Fixed Effect For INTRCPT1, π0 INTRCPT2, β00 SEX, β01 SOCIALSU, β02 SEDENTAR, β03 LATINO, β04 ISBLACK, β05 ISINDIAN, β06 ISASIAN, β07 ISOTHER, β08 For WAVE slope, π1 INTRCPT2, β10 DEPRESSI, β11 ANTISOCI, β12 RIGHTWEI, β13 OVERWEIG, β14 VERYOVER, β15 LOSEWEIG, β16 EATVEGGI, β17 POSITIVE, β18 Coefficien t Standard error 0.343324 0.038238 -0.248689 -0.004965 t-ratio Approx. d.f. pvalue 5784 <0.001 0.021698 0.002088 8.979 11.461 -2.378 5784 5784 <0.001 0.017 0.001078 0.093141 0.210927 0.241019 -0.165064 0.092885 0.000345 0.041912 0.025501 0.059732 0.050522 0.051946 3.124 2.222 8.271 4.035 -3.267 1.788 5784 5784 5784 5784 5784 5784 0.002 0.026 <0.001 <0.001 0.001 0.074 0.0642 -0.000892 -0.001155 0.009636 0.000447 0.000415 6.663 -1.995 -2.782 5784 5784 5784 <0.001 0.046 0.005 0.090923 0.009923 9.163 5784 <0.001 0.215255 0.011547 18.642 5784 <0.001 0.301322 0.016265 18.526 5784 <0.001 0.043212 -0.011947 0.002654 0.004635 0.003865 0.001307 9.323 -3.091 2.031 5784 5784 5784 <0.001 0.002 0.042 37 Table 7 Overall z-BMI by Gender Overall z-BMI Male Female Total N 0.5877 0.5075 0.5469 3087 3204 6291 Std. Deviation 0.98932 0.91082 0.95092 38 Table 8 Overall z-BMI by Social Support Quartiles Social Support Quartile Overall z-BMI lower 25%ile 0.5965 25-50%ile 0.5522 50-75%ile 0.5173 Upper 25%ile 0.5214 Total 0.5469 N 1572 1574 1573 1572 6291 Std. Deviation 0.96674 0.94095 0.94751 0.9471 0.95092 39 Table 9 Overall z-BMI by Sedentary Quartile Sedentary Quartile Overall z-BMI lower 25%ile 0.4627 25-50%ile 0.5114 50-75%ile 0.5538 Upper 25%ile 0.6635 Total 0.5469 N 1602 1552 1604 1533 6291 Std. Deviation 0.93853 0.93482 0.93835 0.98169 0.95092 40 Table 10 Overall z-BMI by Latino Race Overall z-BMI Non-Latino 0.5357 Latino 0.6348 Total 0.5469 N 5583 708 6291 Std. Deviation 0.95388 0.92323 0.95092 41 Table 11 Overall z-BMI by Black Race Overall z-BMI Non-Black 0.5043 Black 0.6778 Total 0.5469 N 4748 1543 6291 Std. Deviation 0.94361 0.96165 0.95092 42 Table 12 Overall z-BMI by American Indian Race Non American Indian American Indian Total Mean 0.5379 0.7853 0.5469 N 6064 227 6291 Std. Deviation 0.94714 1.02059 0.95092 43 Table 13 Overall z-BMI by Asian Overall z-BMI Non Asian 0.5594 Asian 0.261 Total 0.5469 N 6027 264 6291 Std. Deviation 0.94758 0.98343 0.95092 44 Table 14 z-BMI Over Time by Depression Depression Quartile lower 25%ile Mean N Std. Deviation 25-50%ile Mean N Std. Deviation 50-75%ile Mean N Std. Deviation Upper 25%ile Mean N Std. Deviation Total Mean N Std. Deviation Quartile Wave 1 0.2935 1565 1.01147 0.3143 1581 1.01849 0.3484 1572 1.01718 0.3748 1573 1.03957 0.3327 6291 1.02198 Wave 2 0.2955 1154 0.99808 0.2998 1160 1.01053 0.3546 1132 1.04184 0.3789 1119 1.04752 0.3317 4565 1.02471 Wave 3 0.6284 914 1.00616 0.6034 928 1.0143 0.6888 879 1.03112 0.6958 868 1.04377 0.653 3589 1.02391 Wave 4 0.972 1203 1.03642 0.9919 1246 1.03591 1.0748 1225 1.04822 1.0613 1217 1.05724 1.025 4891 1.04506 45 Table 15 z-BMI Over Time by Antisocial Antisocial Percentile lower 25%ile Mean N Std. Deviation 25-50%ile Mean N Std. Deviation 50-75%ile Mean N Std. Deviation Upper 25%ile Mean N Std. Deviation Total Mean N Std. Deviation Wave 1 0.3011 1798 1.03459 0.2956 1387 1.03474 0.3507 1535 1.01541 0.3843 1571 1.00064 0.3327 6291 1.02198 Wave 2 0.3235 1268 1.03893 0.3125 989 1.02554 0.3253 1118 0.988 0.3624 1190 1.04307 0.3317 4565 1.02471 Wave 3 0.6765 1008 1.02898 0.6319 799 1.01906 0.6343 886 1.01843 0.6639 896 1.02888 0.653 3589 1.02391 Wave 4 1.0638 1391 1.03629 0.9736 1086 1.05739 1.0633 1190 1.01395 0.9893 1224 1.07149 1.025 4891 1.04506 46 Table 16 z-BMI Over Time by Perceives Self as "Right Weight" at Baseline Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Not Right Weight Mean 0.5362 0.5406 0.8331 1.1937 N 2972 2140 1706 2359 Std. Deviation 1.20055 1.18403 1.13028 1.10802 Right Weight Mean 0.1506 0.1474 0.4898 0.8679 N 3319 2425 1883 2532 Std. Deviation 0.78683 0.81695 0.88617 0.9566 Total Mean 0.3327 0.3317 0.653 1.025 N 6291 4565 3589 4891 Std. Deviation 1.02198 1.02471 1.02391 1.04506 47 Table 17 z-BMI Over Time by Perceives Self as "Overweight" at Baseline Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Not Overweight Mean 0.0522 0.0613 0.4264 N 4571 3324 2603 Std. Deviation 0.97159 0.97116 1.0017 Overweight Mean 1.0784 1.0559 1.2513 N 1720 1241 986 Std. Deviation 0.7392 0.78507 0.82106 Total Mean 0.3327 0.3317 0.653 N 6291 4565 3589 Std. Deviation 1.02198 1.02471 1.02391 Wave 4 0.7929 3510 1.04709 1.6151 1381 0.77239 1.025 4891 1.04506 48 Table 18 Z-BMI Over Time by Perceives Self as "Very Overweight" at Baseline Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Not Very Overweight Mean 0.2839 0.2843 0.611 N 6082 4416 3470 Std. Deviation 0.99635 0.99811 1.00659 Very Overweight Mean 1.7545 1.737 1.8787 N 209 149 119 Std. Deviation 0.67877 0.77877 0.72377 Total Mean 0.3327 0.3317 0.653 N 6291 4565 3589 Std. Deviation 1.02198 1.02471 1.02391 Wave 4 0.9897 4720 1.03954 1.9993 171 0.65489 1.025 4891 1.04506 49 Table 19 z-BMI Over Time by Trying to Gain, Lose or Maintain Weight Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Trying to Gain Mean -0.1205 -0.0883 0.2648 N 1996 1432 1121 Std. Deviation 0.99594 0.9791 0.99663 Trying to Maintain Mean 0.1567 0.1478 0.5195 N 2182 1612 1263 Std. Deviation 0.9167 0.94288 0.97636 Trying to Lose Mean 0.9427 0.9219 1.1541 N 2113 1521 1205 Std. Deviation 0.84111 0.8703 0.88921 Total Mean 0.3327 0.3317 0.653 N 6291 4565 3589 Std. Deviation 1.02198 1.02471 1.02391 Wave 4 0.6227 1515 1.07974 0.9035 1692 1.00897 1.5091 1684 0.84058 1.025 4891 1.04506 50 Table 20 z-BMI Over Time by Daily Servings of Vegetables Wave 1 Wave 2 0 Mean 0.3798 0.3709 N 2028 1448 Std. Deviation 1.02992 1.03105 1 Mean 0.3107 0.3199 N 2462 1788 Std. Deviation 1.03 1.02199 2 or more Mean 0.3099 0.3049 N 1801 1329 Std. Deviation 1.00052 1.02093 Total Mean 0.3327 0.3317 N 6291 4565 Std. Deviation 1.02198 1.02471 Wave 3 0.7019 1112 1.01517 0.6471 1420 1.00253 0.6095 1057 1.05965 0.653 3589 1.02391 Wave 4 1.0982 1574 1.05152 1.0292 1890 1.02274 0.9387 1427 1.06137 1.025 4891 1.04506 51 Table 21 z-BMI Over Time by Positive Outlook Quartile Positive Outlook Quartile Wave 1 Wave 2 lower 25%ile Mean 0.3435 0.3174 N 1685 1220 Std. Deviation 1.02583 1.04628 25-50%ile Mean 0.3532 0.3439 N 1543 1106 Std. Deviation 1.03271 1.03195 50-75%ile Mean 0.3607 0.3712 N 1603 1180 Std. Deviation 0.99973 1.00136 Upper 25%ile Mean 0.268 0.2913 N 1460 1059 Std. Deviation 1.02856 1.0173 Total Mean 0.3327 0.3317 N 6291 4565 Std. Deviation 1.02198 1.02471 Wave 3 0.6183 926 1.04562 0.6951 883 1.04216 0.6783 938 1.00294 0.6189 842 1.00272 0.653 3589 1.02391 Wave 4 1.0347 1294 1.07077 1.0361 1183 1.04434 1.0413 1266 1.02157 0.9848 1148 1.04242 1.025 4891 1.04506 52 Figures Figure 1: Mean Male z-BMI Over Time Figure 2: Mean Female z-BMI Over Time Figure 3: Overall z-BMI by Gender Figure 4: Overall z-BMI by Social Support Quartiles Figure 5: Overall z-BMI by Sedentary Quartile Figure 6: Overall z-BMI by Latino Figure 7: Overall z-BMI by Black Figure 8: Overall z-BMI by American-Indian Figure 9: Overall z-BMI by Asian Figure 10: z-BMI Over Time by Depression Quartile Figure 11: Overall z-BMI by Antisocial Quartile Figure 12: z-BMI Over Time by Perceives Self as “Right Weight” at Baseline Figure 13: z-BMI Over Time by Perceives Self as “Overweight” at Baseline Figure 14: z-BMI Over Time by Perceives Self as “Very Overweight” at Baseline Figure 15: z-BMI Over Time by Attempt to Gain, Lose or Maintain Weight at Baseline Figure 16: z-BMI Over Time by Daily Servings of Vegetables Figure 17: z-BMI Over Time by Positive Outlook Quartile 53 Figure 1 Mean Male z-BMI Over Time 1.6 1.4 1.2 Mean zBMI 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Male NH-White Male NH-Black Male Hispanic Male American Indian Male Asian Male Other 54 Figure 2 Mean Female z-BMI Over Time 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 -0.2 NH-White NH-Black Hispanic American Indian Asian Other 55 Figure 3 Overall z-BMI by Gender 0.6 0.5877 0.58 0.56 0.54 0.52 0.5075 0.5 0.48 0.46 Male Female 56 Figure 4 Overall z-BMI by Social Support Quartiles 0.62 0.6 0.5965 0.58 0.56 0.5522 0.54 0.5173 0.52 0.5214 0.5 0.48 0.46 lower 25%ile 25-50%ile 50-75%ile Upper 25%ile 57 Figure 5 Overall z-BMI by Sedentary Quartile 0.7 0.6635 0.6 0.5538 0.5114 0.5 0.4627 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 lower 25%ile 25-50%ile 50-75%ile Upper 25%ile 58 Figure 6 Overall z-BMI by Latino 0.66 0.6348 0.64 0.62 0.6 0.58 0.56 0.54 0.5357 0.52 0.5 0.48 Non Latino Latino 59 Figure 7 Overall z-BMI by Black 0.8 0.6778 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5043 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Non Black Black 60 Figure 8 Overall z-BMI by American-Indian 0.9 0.7853 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5379 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Non American Indian American Indian 61 Figure 9 Overall z-BMI by Asian 0.6 0.5594 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.261 0.2 0.1 0 Non Asian Asian 62 Figure 10 1.2 z-BMI Over Time by Depression Quartile 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1 2 3 4 Wave lower 25%ile 25-50%ile 50-75%ile Upper 25%ile 63 Figure 11 Overall z-BMI by Antisocial Quartile 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1 2 3 4 Wave lower 25%ile 25-50%ile 50-75%ile Upper 25%ile 64 Figure 12 z-BMI Over Time by Perceives Self as "Right Weight" at Baseline 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1 2 3 4 Wave Not Right Weight Right Weight 65 Figure 13 z-BMI Over Time by Perceives Self as "Overweight" at Baseline 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1 2 3 4 Wave Not Overweight Overweight 66 Figure 14 z-BMI Over Time by Perceives Self as "Very Overweight" at Baseline 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 1 2 3 4 Wave Not Very Overweight Very Overweight 67 Figure 15 z-BMI Over Time by Attempt to Gain, Lose or Maintain Weight at Baseline 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1 2 3 4 -0.2 -0.4 Wave Trying to Gain Trying to Maintain Trying to Lose 68 Figure 16 z-BMI Over Time by Daily Servings of Vegetables 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1 2 3 4 Wave 0 1 2 or more 69 Figure 17 z-BMI Over Time by Positive Outlook Quartile 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1 2 3 4 Wave lower 25%ile 25-50%ile 50-75%ile Upper 25%ile 70