Injuries and violence: the global magnitude Etienne Krug

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Injuries and violence:
the global magnitude
Etienne Krug
Director, Violence and Injury Prevention and Disability
World Health Organization
Global mortality by causes
Deaths (millions)
6
5
4
3
Malaria
TB
2
1
HIV
0
Global public
health priorities
Violence and
injuries
Global mortality by causes
Deaths (millions)
6
5
Violence
4
Malaria
3
TB
2
1
Unint.
Injuries
HIV
0
Global public
health priorities
Violence and
injuries
Leading causes of injury deaths
Road traffic
Other
crashes
21%
23%
War
3%
Poisonings
6%
Violence
11%
Falls
8%
Fires
Self-inflicted injuries
6%
15%
Drownings
7%
Leading causes of death 2004
Total 2004
Total 2030
%
%
1
Ischaemic heart disease
12.2
1
Ischaemic heart disease
14.2
2
Cerebrovascular disease
9.7
2
Cerebrovascular disease
12.1
7.0
3
Chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease
5.1
4
Low er respiratory infections
3.8
Road traffic accidents
3.6
3
Low er respiratory infections
4
Chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease
5
Diarrhoeal diseases
3.6
5
6
HIV/AIDS
3.5
6
Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers
3.4
7
Tuberculosis
2.5
7
Diabetes mellitus
3.3
8
Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers
2.3
8
Hypertensive heart disease
2.1
9
Road traffic accidents
2.2
9
Stomach cancer
1.9
10 Prematurity and low birth w eight
2.0
10
HIV/AIDS
1.8
11 Neonatal infections and other
1.9
11
Nephritis and nephrosis
1.6
1.9
12
Self-inflicted injuries
1.5
13 Malaria
1.7
13
Liver cancer
1.4
14 Hypertensive heart disease
1.7
14
Colon and rectum cancer
1.4
15 Birth asphyxia and birth trauma
1.5
15
Oesuphagus cancer
1.3
16 Self-inflicted injuries
1.4
16
Violence
1.2
17 Stomach cancer
1.4
17
Alzheimer and other dementias
1.2
18 Cirrhosis of the liver
1.3
18
Cirrhosis of the liver
1.2
19 Nephritis and nephrosis
1.3
19
Breast cancer
1.1
20 Colon and rectum cancers
1.1
20
Tuberculosis
1.0
22 Violence
1.0
12 Diabetes mellitus
8.6
Leading causes of deaths 2004 vs. 2030
Total 2004
Total 2030
%
%
1
Ischaemic heart disease
12.2
1
Ischaemic heart disease
14.2
2
Cerebrovascular disease
9.7
2
Cerebrovascular disease
12.1
7.0
3
Chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease
5.1
4
Low er respiratory infections
3.8
Road traffic accidents
3.6
3
Low er respiratory infections
4
Chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease
5
Diarrhoeal diseases
3.6
5
6
HIV/AIDS
3.5
6
Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers
3.4
7
Tuberculosis
2.5
7
Diabetes mellitus
3.3
8
Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers
2.3
8
Hypertensive heart disease
2.1
9
Road traffic accidents
2.2
9
Stomach cancer
1.9
10 Prematurity and low birth w eight
2.0
10
HIV/AIDS
1.8
11 Neonatal infections and other
1.9
11
Nephritis and nephrosis
1.6
1.9
12
Self-inflicted injuries
1.5
13 Malaria
1.7
13
Liver cancer
1.4
14 Hypertensive heart disease
1.7
14
Colon and rectum cancer
1.4
15 Birth asphyxia and birth trauma
1.5
15
Oesuphagus cancer
1.3
16 Self-inflicted injuries
1.4
16
Violence
1.2
17 Stomach cancer
1.4
17
Alzheimer and other dementias
1.2
18 Cirrhosis of the liver
1.3
18
Cirrhosis of the liver
1.2
19 Nephritis and nephrosis
1.3
19
Breast cancer
1.1
20 Colon and rectum cancers
1.1
20
Tuberculosis
1.0
22 Violence
1.0
12 Diabetes mellitus
8.6
90000
9
80000
8
70000
7
60000
6
50000
5
40000
4
30000
3
20000
2
Fatalities
10000
1
Fatalities/100,000 persons
0
0
1961
1966
1971
1976
1981
Year
1986
1991
1996
2001
Fatalities/100,000 persons
Fatalities
Road traffic deaths in India 1961-2001
04 years
Rank
514 years
1529 years
3044 years
45-59 years
≥60 years
All Ages
1
Perinatal conditions
Lower respiratory infections
HIV/AIDS
HIV/AIDS
Ischaemic heart disease
Ischaemic heart disease
Ischaemic heart disease
2
Lower respiratory infections
Road traffic injuries
Road traffic injuries
Tuberculosis
Cerebrovascular disease
Cerebrovascular disease
Cerebrovascular disease
3
Diarrhoeal diseases
HIV/AIDS
Maternal conditions
Road traffic injuries
HIV/AIDS
Chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease
Lower respiratory infections
4
Childhood diseases
Drownings
Self-inflicted injuries
Maternal conditions
Tuberculosis
Lower respiratory infections
HIV/AIDS
5
Malaria
Childhood diseases
Tuberculosis
Ischaemic heart disease
Chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease
Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers
Chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease
6
Congenital anomalies
Fires
Violence
Self-inflicted injuries
Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers
Diabetes mellitus
Perinatal conditions
7
HIV/AIDS
Tuberculosis
Lower respiratory infections
Violence
Cirrhosis of the liver
Hypertensive heart disease
Diarrhoeal diseases
8
Protein-energy malnutrition
Protein-energy malnutrition
Drownings
Cerebrovascular disease
Road traffic injuries
Stomach cancer
Tuberculosis
9
Syphilis
Meningitis
Fires
Lower respiratory infections
Self-inflicted injuries
Tuberculosis
Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers
10
Meningitis
Leukaemia
War injuries
Cirrhosis of the liver
Stomach cancer
Colon and rectum cancers
Road traffic injuries
Congenital anomalies
Ischaemic heart disease
Poisonings
Liver cancer
Nephritis and nephrosis
Childhood diseases
11
Drownings
12
Road traffic injuries
Falls
Poisonings
Fires
Lower respiratory infections
Alzheimer and other dementias
Diabetes mellitus
13
Tuberculosis
Poisonings
Falls
War injuries
Diabetes mellitus
Cirrhosis of the liver
Malaria
14
Endocrine disorders
Violence
Leukaemia
Drownings
Breast cancer
Liver cancer
Hypertensive heart disease
15
Fires
Leishmaniasis
Rheumatic heart disease
Liver Cancer
Hypertensive heart disease
Oesophagus cancer
Self-inflicted injuries
Regional differences in injury death rates
AFRO
104.33
AMRO
67.08
EMRO
93.31
EURO
89.32
SEARO
116.58
WPRO
68.78
World
89.86
Regional differences:
The Eastern Mediterranean is the region with
 the highest road traffic and war injury death rates
 the 3rd highest death rates for burns and for drowning
Wide ranging health consequences
• Injuries
• Disability
• Mental consequences
• Depression
• Anxiety, insomnia, etc
• Suicide
• HIV and other STDs
• Unwanted pregnancies
•Behavioural changes
• smoking
• alcohol
• drugs
• Abortion + consequences
• Cancer
• Cardio-vascular diseases
• Other NCDs
Economic impact
 Road traffic crashes: 1 - 3% of GDP
– Examples: Bangladesh 1.6%, Uganda 2.3%, USA 2.3%, 11 HICs
(excluding USA) 1.4%, Malawi 5%.
– China, RTIs cost $12.5 billion: Four times the total public health
budget.
 In LMICs, economic cost of RTIs alone estimated at nearly
US$100 billion.
– Twice the sum of all development assistance.
 Violence: 1 - 2% of GDP
Thank you !
kruge@who.int
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