David M. Bressoud Macalester College, St. Paul, MN Project NExT-WI, October 5–7, 2006 This PowerPoint is available at www.macalester.edu/~bressoud/talks 1. Where we are 2. How we got here 3. A closer examination of where we are 4. Where we are going AP Calculus 300,000 250,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 19 55 19 59 19 63 19 67 19 71 19 75 19 79 19 83 19 87 19 91 19 95 19 99 20 03 number 200,000 year AB Calc BC Calc total Calc AP Stat Mainstream Calculus I Enrollments (fall only for 2- & 4-yr colleges & universities) 250 AP Calculus 2006: ~255,000 Currently growing at >15,000/year students (thousands) 200 150 4-yr colleges & universities 2-yr colleges 100 AP Calculus (AB & BC) 50 0 1 0– 98 81 1 5– 98 86 1 0– 99 91 1 5– 99 academic year 96 2 0– 00 01 Mainstream Calculus I Enrollments (fall only for 2- & 4-yr colleges & universities) 250 AP Calculus 2006: ~255,000 Currently growing at >15,000/year students (thousands) 200 150 4-yr colleges & universities 2-yr colleges 100 AP Calculus (AB & BC) Estimated # of students taking Calculus in high school: ~ 500,000 50 0 1 0– 98 81 1 5– 98 86 1 0– 99 91 1 5– 99 academic year 96 2 0– 00 01 Estimated # of students taking Calculus I in college: ~ 500,000 (includes Business Calc) Bachelors degrees each year* 400,000 SMET + social & behavioral sciences of which 210,000 Science, Math, Engineering of which 100,000 physical, biological, & ag sciences 60,000 engineering 50,000 math, stat, comp sci of which 11,000 mathematics *NSF: among 24-year olds in 2000 ~170,000 arrive with credit for 400,000 SMET + social & behavioral sciences calculus ~330,000 retake of which calculus taken in 210,000 Science, Math, Engineering HS Bachelors degrees each year* of which ~170,000 will 100,000 physical, biological, & take calculus for first time ag sciences 60,000 engineering 50,000 math, stat, comp sci of which 11,000 mathematics *NSF: among 24-year olds in 2000 students (thousands) Mainstream Calculus II Enrollments (fall only for 2- & 4- year colleges and universities) 120 BC exams for 2006: ~59,000 100 Still growing exponentially at over 9%/year (8 year doubling time) 80 4- yr c olleges & universities 2- yr c olleges 60 AP Calc ulus BC only 40 20 0 1980–81 1985–86 1990–91 1995–96 ac ademic year 2000–01 students (thousands) Mainstream Calculus II Enrollments (fall only for 2- & 4- year colleges and universities) 120 BC exams for 2006: ~58,000 100 Still growing exponentially at over 9%/year (8 year doubling time) 80 4- yr c olleges & universities 2- yr c olleges 60 AP Calc ulus BC only 40 20 0 1980–81 1985–86 1990–91 1995–96 ac ademic year 2000–01 Last year, 12,500 students took the BC exam before their senior year. This year it was 13,800. Calculus Before Grade 12 40000 35000 30000 number 25000 AB Calc < grade 12 BC Calc, < grade 12 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 2002 2003 2004 year 2005 2006 Implications: 1. Students who 20 years ago would have arrived at college ready to take calculus now take it in high school. 2. Students who take Calculus I in college either are retaking a course taken in high school or have had to overcome mathematical deficiencies. Calculus I is increasingly taken as a terminal course. 3. Especially at elite institutions but increasingly elsewhere, the traditional Calculus II which presupposes Calculus I at that institution does not serve the needs of the students who take it. AP Calculus 16,000 14,000 12,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 year AB Calc BC Calc total Calc 19 73 19 71 19 69 19 67 19 65 19 63 19 61 19 59 19 57 0 19 55 number 10,000 AP Calculus 90,000 80,000 70,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 AB Calc year BC Calc total Calc 19 89 19 87 19 85 19 83 19 81 19 79 19 77 19 75 0 19 73 number 60,000 1983–84 scientific calculators allowed 1983–84 scientific calculators allowed 1986 Tulane Conference, birth of Calculus Reform movement, “lean & lively calculus” 1983–84 scientific calculators allowed 1986 Tulane Conference, birth of Calculus Reform movement, “lean & lively calculus” 1989 decision to revisit entire AP Calculus curriculum and approach, bring in graphing calculators; revisions led by Tom Tucker (Colgate), John Kenelly (Clemson), Anita Solow (Grinnell), Dan Kennedy (Baylor School) 1983–84 scientific calculators allowed 1986 Tulane Conference, birth of Calculus Reform movement, “lean & lively calculus” 1989 decision to revisit entire AP Calculus curriculum and approach, bring in graphing calculators; revisions led by Tom Tucker (Colgate), John Kenelly (Clemson), Anita Solow (Grinnell), Dan Kennedy (Baylor School) 1993–94 scientific calculators required 1995 graphing calculators required, proposed changes to AP syllabus agreed upon AP Calculus 1995, Graphing calculators 300,000 250,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 year AB Calc BC Calc total Calc 20 04 20 02 20 00 19 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 0 19 90 number 200,000 AP Calculus 1997, New syllabus 300,000 250,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 year AB Calc BC Calc total Calc 20 04 20 02 20 00 19 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 0 19 90 number 200,000 AP Calculus 2000, 3 non-calculator free response 300,000 250,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 year AB Calc BC Calc total Calc 20 04 20 02 20 00 19 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 0 19 90 number 200,000 AP Calculus 2001, AB subscore for BC exam 300,000 250,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 year AB Calc BC Calc total Calc 20 04 20 02 20 00 19 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 0 19 90 number 200,000 Ratio of AB to BC exams 6 5 rati 4 3 AB/BC 2 1 0 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 year AB subscore New syllabus 1997–98 exams based on new syllabus •Graphical, numerical, analytical, and verbal descriptions of functions 1997–98 exams based on new syllabus •Graphical, numerical, analytical, and verbal descriptions of functions 1997–98 exams based on new syllabus •Graphical, numerical, analytical, and verbal descriptions of functions 1997–98 exams based on new syllabus •Integral as limit of Riemann sums and as net accumulation of rate of change 1997–98 exams based on new syllabus •Understand both parts of FTC Evaluation: If you know an anti-derivative for f, you can use it evaluate the definite integral, F' f f x dx F b F a. b a Anti-derivative: The definite integral with variable upper limit is an anti-derivative, d x f t dt f x . a dx 1997–98 exams based on new syllabus •Understand both parts of FTC 1997–98 exams based on new syllabus •Understand both parts of FTC 2004 AB3(d) A particle moves along the y-axis so that its velocity v at time t ≥ 0 is given by v(t) = 1 – tan–1(et). At time t = 0, the particle is at y = –1. Find the position of the particle at time t = 2. y '(t) = v(t) = 1 – tan–1(et) y(t) = ? 1997–98 exams based on new syllabus •Understand both parts of FTC 2004 AB3(d) A particle moves along the y-axis so that its velocity v at time t ≥ 0 is given by v(t) = 1 – tan–1(et). At time t = 0, the particle is at y = –1. Find the position of the particle at time t = 2. v t dt y 2 y 0; y t 1 v x dx 2 t 0 0 1997–98 exams based on new syllabus •Understand both parts of FTC 2004 AB3(d) A particle moves along the y-axis so that its velocity v at time t ≥ 0 is given by v(t) = 1 – tan–1(et). At time t = 0, the particle is at y = –1. Find the position of the particle at time t = 2. v t dt y 2 y 0; y t 1 v x dx 2 t 0 0 y 2 1 1 tan1 et dt 1.36069 2 0 1997–98 exams based on new syllabus •Be able to communicate mathematics: justify local or absolute extremum, explain the meaning of an answer 2005 AB5/BC5 Into the Future •Use of CAS is coming - currently about 35% of BC students, 20% of AB have TI-89 or comparable, probably 5–10 years away. •Exams administered via computer, probably 10–15 years away. Into the Future •Pressure to get college-bound students into an AP Calculus class is going to intensify. Into the Future •Pressure to get college-bound students into an AP Calculus class is going to intensify. •The growth in AP Calculus is not about to end. President’s American Competitiveness Initiative, training 70,000 new AP math and science teachers, Dept of Ed requesting $122,000,000 for FY 2007 to support AP programs. Into the Future •Pressure to get college-bound students into an AP Calculus class is going to intensify. •The growth in AP Calculus is not about to end. •% increase of BC Calculus will continue to exceed that of AB Into the Future •Pressure to get college-bound students into an AP Calculus class is going to intensify. •The growth in AP Calculus is not about to end. •% increase of BC Calculus will continue to exceed that of AB •% increase in # of students taking BC Calculus before senior year will continue to exceed that of BC generally Into the Future •Pressure to get college-bound students into an AP Calculus class is going to intensify. •The growth in AP Calculus is not about to end. •% increase of BC Calculus will continue to exceed that of AB •% increase in # of students taking BC Calculus before senior year will continue to exceed that of BC generally •More universities will see calculus as a high school course. Needed Response •NCTM, MAA, AMS need to coordinate a strong signal that calculus in HS is only appropriate when students have a solid foundation in pre-calculus, need to articulate what this foundation must be. Needed Response •NCTM, MAA, AMS need to coordinate a strong signal that calculus in HS is only appropriate when students have a solid foundation in pre-calculus, need to articulate what this foundation must be. •Need much greater collaboration between high school and college teachers. Needed Response •NCTM, MAA, AMS need to coordinate a strong signal that calculus in HS is only appropriate when students have a solid foundation in pre-calculus, need to articulate what this foundation must be. •Need much greater collaboration between high school and college teachers. •Need to seriously address the question of what to do with students who take (and pass) BC Calculus before their senior year. APCentral at apcentral.collegeboard.com SIGMAA TAHSM (Special Interest Group of the MAA, Teaching Advanced High School Mathematics) at www.maa.org/SIGMAA/tahsm/ This PowerPoint presentation at www.macalester.edu/~bressoud/talks