The 12th meeting of the International Roundtable on Business Survey Frames Helsinki 28.9. - 2.10.1998 Session No. 1 Paper No. 16 Country: USA-BOC Progress Report Ed Walker United States Bureau of the Census Technology: Electronic Reporting 1. The 1997 Economic Censuses (see the separate heading below for information on other business register activities related to the censuses) greatly expanded the Census Bureau’s use of electronic methods for collecting business statistics. Computer self-administered questionnaires (CSAQs) on 3½-inch diskette accounted for most of the growth, and new electronic respondents were concentrated among mid-sized multi-establishment enterprises operating in retail trade. Overall, electronic collection methods provided economic census data for more than 260,000 establishments operated by some 550 multiunit enterprises—nearly 20 percent of all multiunit establishments. 2. The Census Bureau updated and redeveloped CSAQ instruments for the 1997 Economic Censuses. The new instruments have a graphical user interface designed for the Microsoft Windows™ operating environment (earlier CSAQs had character-based user interfaces designed for the MS-DOS environment). Since the content of economic census questionnaires varies to fit particular industries or industry groups, there are many industry-specific versions of the CSAQ instruments, and the diskette(s) for a particular company may include one or more of those versions. To facilitate preparation of the diskettes, we used an automated process that obtained data definitions, question and instruction text, graphical features, screen layout parameters, field edits, and similar attributes from a repository of collection instrument metadata. We plan to extend this updated CSAQ design and instrument production technology to the 1998 Company Organization Survey (a register proving survey), the 1998 Annual Survey of Manufactures, and other collections. Globalization 3. Nothing to report. Business Demography 4. Nothing to report. 2 Business Register Standards: Industrial Classification 5. The Census Bureau’s economic programs are adopting the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) as their standard business taxonomy. The transition started during 1997, when we sent classification inquiries to 215,000 establishments in Standard Industrial Classifications (SICs) that span NAICS sectors. This was an important step in preparing for the 1997 Economic Censuses, as it ensured that these establishments would receive a census collection instrument with content appropriate for their NAICS sector. 6. The 1997 Economic Censuses will complete collection of information needed to convert the business register to NAICS and will publish NAICS-based industry statistics. Starting with the 1998 Annual Survey of Manufactures and continuing for a 2-3 year transition, we also will convert our annual, quarterly, and monthly survey samples, collections, and statistical products to NAICS classifications. 1997 Economic Censuses 7. Since the meetings of the 11th Roundtable in Tokyo, the Census Bureau’s business register has been extremely busy with support operations for the 1997 Economic Censuses. The register not only serves as the enumeration list for the censuses but also provides centralized control of collection and processing. Because they are the economic programs’ most comprehensive collections, the censuses are a rich source of register updates. 8. The economic censuses are an enumeration of establishments operated by employer and nonemployer enterprises. Coverage of employers includes all industries except agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting (NAICS 11, SIC Division A); rail transportation (NAICS 482, SIC 40)1; certificated passenger air transportation (NAICS 481111 part, SIC 4512 part); postal service (NAICS 491, SIC 43); elementary and secondary schools (NAICS 6111, SIC 821); junior colleges (NAICS 6112, SIC 8222); colleges, universities, and professional schools (NAICS 6113, SIC 8221); religious organizations (NAICS 8131, SIC 866); labor unions and similar labor organizations (NAICS 81393, SIC 863); political organizations (NAICS 81394, SIC 865); private households (NAICS 814, SIC 88) and public administration (NAICS 92; SIC Division J).2 Coverage of nonemployers has the exceptions noted above and further excludes retail direct selling establishments (NAICS 4543, SIC 5963) and tax-exempt (non-profit) institutions. 1 2 The Department of Agriculture’s National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting a separate 1997 Census of Agriculture for units classified in agriculture crop and animal production (NAICS 111,112; SIC 01,02) with the Census Bureau acting as collection agent. The frame for this census is a separate mailing list of farms and ranches constructed from the final universe of the previous agriculture census, administrative records, and other sources. The Census Bureau is conducting a separate 1997 Census of Governments. The frame for this collection is a separate Governments Integrated Directory. 3 9. The economic census enumeration uses a combination of direct collection and administrative records, the latter serving as the exclusive source of data for most single-establishment enterprises with 1-5 employees and for all enterprises with no employees. Direct collections are done by means of paper questionnaire and electronic instrument (further description of the censuses’ electronic collection methods is given above under the “Technology” heading), both distributed and returned by mail. The resulting data will represent an in-scope population of more than 20 million establishments. The following table shows major components of this population, associated enumeration methods, and response rates for direct collections: In-Scope Population (Millions) Enterprises Establishments All Employers, total Multi-establishment Single-establishment Nonemployers 19.3 5.3 .2 5.1 14.0 20.6 6.6 1.5 5.1 14.0 Enumeration Method Direct Collection Administrative Records (Millions) Establishments Response Rate (Millions) (Percent) 5.0 — 15.6 5.0 86 1.6 1.5 88 — 3.5 85 1.6 — — 14.0 10. The Census Bureau prepared collection materials for the censuses beginning in October 1997 and did the initial mailing during December 1997. We also did a supplemental mailing during March for business births occurring after the first quarter of 1997 (recorded by the business register after selection of the initial mailing). Follow-up, data entry, and other initial processing require nearly 9 months, as larger multi-establishment enterprises need that much time to complete a report for each of their establishments. We closed out these operations on August 17, as scheduled, and are preparing the data for preliminary tabulations, which we expect to produce shortly. 11. Publications of census results will begin during the first quarter of 1999 with release of an Advance Report series that features basic statistics for the Nation summarized by NAICS industry group. Final Industry, Geographic Area, and Subject Series reports will follow with more extensive and detailed statistical content summarized for NAICS industries. Additionally, Comparative Statistics reports will summarize 1997 census data for SIC industries with side-by-side comparisons to 1992 census data, and Bridge Statistics reports will provide information to aid users with the SIC-to-NAICS transition. Business Register Redesign 12. With completion of data collection and processing for the economic censuses, we have a window of opportunity to redesign and modernize our business register and other central elements of our economic programs infrastructure. We are preparing a preliminary project plan for this work and expect to begin requirements analysis during the next few weeks. The scope of this undertaking 4 includes a fundamental re-examination of business register concepts, methods, and, database design. Our goals include better integration among the register, the economic censuses, and more frequent surveys; better management of response burden; more complete and up-to-date register information on the composition and organization of complex enterprises; development and use of a statistical metadata repository; and deployment of other technological advances in data collection/capture, processing, analysis, and dissemination. Business Register Comparison and Evaluation 13. The office of the Census Bureau’s Chief Economist will soon begin a comparative evaluation of business registers maintained separately by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Bureau of the Census. Since these registers are intended to represent parallel populations of United States business establishments but do so based on independent administrative sources (the State/Federal unemployment insurance system for the former and the Federal tax system for the latter), collections, and procedures, the comparison should be very informative about coverage, quality, timeliness, and other concerns. We expect to learn a lot about the relative strengths of both registers and to identify important opportunities for improvement based on the findings of this study.