Science & pseudoscience – Part of chapter 3 Including guest appearance by religion & popular (but incorrect) culture Goals & Outcomes • Appreciating science in general, and astronomy in specific. • Distinguishing scientific from non-scientific work, and therefore understanding what science is. • Developing a working knowledge of the scientific method and how to apply it to real world situations. • Judge whether a particular study is a science or a “pseudo-science” using the scientific method. Scientific Method Cyclical process – can (re-)start anywhere in the cycle. 1. 6. Make observations Ask a question If hypothesis fails: Revise or reject the hypothesis If hypothesis didn’t fail: Look for new predictionsReal world Real biases 5. Share results/ ideas with others (not in book) Science is useless if nobody learns! 2. Form hypothesis 3. Make a prediction about something new Personalities (Objectivity p. 83) 4. TEST IT - Careful observations taken to determine if observations disprove the hypothesis. Try to isolate the cause/effect -- Control groups, examine only one thing at a time, remove psychological effects. Which step is most difficult for astronomers compared to other scientists? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 0 0 0 0 0 0 Asking question Forming hypothesis Making prediction Test hypothesis Share ideas/results with others Revising/rejecting hypothesis 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 Calif. Elementary School Science Standards for scientific inquiry • From California Science Standards, taken from throughout the K-12 standards – What is science? • Scientific progress is made by asking meaningful questions and conducting careful investigations. – Distinguish between hypothesis and theory as scientific terms. – Recognize the usefulness and limitations of models and theories as scientific representations of reality. – Ask question • Develop a testable question. Calif. Elementary School Science Standards for scientific inquiry • From California Science Standards, taken from throughout the K-12 standards – Predictions: • • • Make predictions based on observed patterns and not random guessing. Predict the outcome of a simple investigation and compare the result with the prediction. Formulate and justify predictions based on cause-and-effect relationships Calif. Elementary School Science Standards for scientific inquiry • From California Science Standards, taken from throughout the K-12 standards – Testing hypotheses: • • • • • • Collect data in an investigation and analyze those data to develop a logical conclusion. Repeat observations to improve accuracy and know that the results of similar scientific investigations seldom turn out exactly the same because of differences in the things being investigated, methods being used, or uncertainty in the observation. Conduct multiple trials to test a prediction and draw conclusions about the relationships between predictions and results. Differentiate evidence from opinion and know that scientists do not rely on claims or conclusions unless they are backed by observations that can be confirmed. Evaluate the accuracy and reproducibility of data. Identify and communicate sources of unavoidable experimental error. Calif. Elementary School Science Standards for scientific inquiry • From California Science Standards, taken from throughout the K-12 standards – Communication: • • • • • Communicate observations orally and through drawings. Draw pictures that portray some features of the thing being described. Record observations and data with pictures, numbers, or written statements. Record observations on a bar graph. Communicate the steps and results from an investigation in written reports and oral presentations. Identify and communicate sources of unavoidable experimental error. Calif. Elementary School Science Standards for scientific inquiry • From California Science Standards, taken from throughout the K-12 standards – Revising scientific models: • • • • • Formulate explanations by using logic and evidence. Recognize whether evidence is consistent with a proposed explanation. Make new observations when discrepancies exist between two descriptions of the same object or phenomenon. Identify possible reasons for inconsistent results, such as sources of error or uncontrolled conditions. Know that when an observation does not agree with an accepted scientific theory, the observation is sometimes mistaken or fraudulent (e.g., the Piltdown Man fossil or unidentified flying objects) and that the theory is sometimes wrong (e.g., the Ptolemaic model of the movement of the Sun, Moon, and planets). Calif. Elementary School Science Standards for scientific inquiry • From California Science Standards, taken from throughout the K-12 standards – Human influences: • • • Differentiate observation from inference (interpretation) and know scientists’ explanations come partly from what they observe and partly from how they interpret their observations. Know that when an observation does not agree with an accepted scientific theory, the observation is sometimes mistaken or fraudulent (e.g., the Piltdown Man fossil or unidentified flying objects) and that the theory is sometimes wrong (e.g., the Ptolemaic model of the movement of the Sun, Moon, and planets). Differentiate evidence from opinion and know that scientists do not rely on claims or conclusions unless they are backed by observations that can be confirmed. Hallmarks of Science – figure 3.26 p 79 (Good scientific theories / good science) There are 3 big ideas about “science” vs. other kinds of thinking. 1. Have TESTABLE predictions (green circle) TESTABLE means you must be able to prove the idea WRONG 2. Seek NATURAL explanations of observations (blue circle) Why natural? Those can be disproved! (blue circle) These first two usually split science and religion. 3. Pick the simplest model that explains observations. (Occam’s razor) Make sure experiment is repeatable (pages 79 & 82). Good science doesn’t need to be CORRECT. Very few good scientific ideas ARE right. Examples: • quantum physics, theory of relativity, “law of gravity.” What’s in a name? Theories… pages 83-84 Everyday English uses “guess,” “theory,” and “hypothesis” as synonyms. Scientists do not. Guess – any old random idea to explain observations Hypothesis – an idea that can be tested Theory – a hypothesis that has been tested a LOT and has passed them all. It can be wrong, but according to current research, that isn’t likely. A scientific Theory, like evolution, is NOT just a guess. Evolution is the only good model that is backed by tests, data, and evidence. It is the only scientific model of life. California Elementary School Science Standards for evolution • From California Science Standards, grade 7 – Biological evolution accounts for the diversity of species developed through gradual processes over many generations. Religion vs. Science No scientist claims a theory is definitely correct. Theories can always be disproven later. (Gravity.) All scientific matters can be tested. Not all religious ideas can be tested. Science does NOT contradict religion Science: • how processes appear to be related. • rules that nature follows • NOT why these rules work. Science is testable It’s religion if you can’t do an experiment to prove it wrong. Faith Religion isn’t always testable. That doesn’t mean it’s wrong! (Pseudo) Anti-Science p. 83 pseudo = false Common and popular examples: •Creationism ---------------- Religion with science words (Intelligent design) •Astrology (NOT science; don’t teach it in science class) ---------------- Predicting future by birth date Fortune 20 million people = same birthday; 4 births per sec. Tellers / 10,000 babies born in US every day. (1 per 8 seconds) Psychics •Palm reading, Tarot cards - Semi-legit! Acting mixed with spoken & body language interpretations! Personality reading! Astrology, Palm Reading, etc. tend to make very general predictions which YOU then match to observations of your life. Or they ask leading questions, and they follow your lead. I’m on a soapbox for this slide… Anti-Science in popular American culture • No scientific study has linked vaccines to having autism. – – – – Many scientific studies link lack-of-vaccines to getting sick. In first half of 2008, measles more than tripled in the USA. Most cases were kids who didn’t get a vaccine, fearing autism. Measles can kill you. It is contagious. –VACCINES SAVE LIVES! – See http://www.sciencebasedmedicine.org/?p=384 • Almost all (90+%) science indicates global warming is human-caused and will cause environmental and financial damage over the next 100 years. – My generation can’t / won’t fix the problem. – Your generation will have to. By definition, a scientific theory can also be a fact 1. True 2. False 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 Summary Science Testable No conflict with religion How can we test that? How can we know?