Update on Curriculum Enrollment, Student Characteristics & Student Success LEADERSHIP COUNCIL SEPTEMBER 10, 2013 Enrollment as of the Census Point Headcount Fall 2013 Assigned Seats Fall 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 2012 Potential FTE* Fall 2013 Fall 2012 Central Campus 10,612 9,869 26,987 22,727 2,840.4 Merancas Campus 1,664 1,516 3,991 3,011 425.7 383.2 Cato Campus 2,211 1,968 4,456 3,577 416.3 376.2 Levine Campus 4,315 4,101 11,105 10,051 1,040.4 1,002.3 Harper Campus 1,200 1,118 2,478 2,140 325.9 311.8 Harris Campus 850 765 1,295 1,144 141.5 142.1 City View Center Off Campus 29 58 2,731.4 25.4 334 321 362 352 Virtual Campus 10,269 10,461 18,469 18,848 1,919.1 1,952.3 All College (unduplicated) 20,454 19,373 69,201 61,850 7,267.4 7,029.8 Increase 5.6% 12.0% 132.7 3.3% 130.5 Ten Year Fall Curriculum Headcount Highest Ever Fall Curriculum FTE – Ten Years 2013 is estimated FTE, 37% increase in FTE since Fall 2006 Percent of All Seats in Curriculum Courses that are Filled - Ten Years Changes in Gender Changes in Curriculum Numbers by Age 50% increase Changes in Curriculum Headcount by Race Assigned Seats Growth by Campus Virtual Campus – Most Growth in 10 Years Course Grades in Seated Versus Online Courses (same courses) Fall 2010 Level Grade Seated N % Online N % Fall 2011 Seated N % Online N % Fall 2012 Seated N % Online N % A-C Develop- or Pass 5,814 67% 406 65% 5,665 68% 358 58% 5,854 73% 407 60% mental Total 8662 623 8339 621 8059 677 A-C 100 Level Grades 23971 71% 5795 64% 23945 73% 6390 66% 24258 74% 6614 67% Courses Total 33600 9108 32700 9733 32829 9888 A-C 200 Level Grades 6902 77% 1830 69% 6776 Courses Total 9008 2648 8776 77% 2058 71% 6605 81% 2109 72% 2901 8169 2923 Seated Classes have 2-13% more A-C grades – Greatest Difference in Developmental Courses Average Class Size by Campus Measures of Student Behavior Measures of Student Behavior Undecided Students A-C Grades in All Curriculum Courses Change in Withdrawal Policy – Fall 2008 Change in Withdrawal Rates Change in Withdrawal Policy – Fall 2008 Six Year Persistence Rates – 1st Time Degreeseeking Fall Students - Goal is 60% by 2020 North Carolina Colleges with 1,000 or Larger in their Cohort Transferred – No Credential Graduated Still Enrolled with 36+ hours Total Persistence Year 2006 2005 2004 2003 2006 2005 2004 2003 2006 2005 2004 2003 2006 2005 2004 2003 CPCC 16 15 12 18 19 19 17 3 2 2 2 Wake 16 18 18 20 20 16 19 19 3 2 3 2 39 38 40 41 Guilford 24 21 20 18 16 12 16 17 3 2 2 3 42 35 38 37 Fayetteville 18 19 17 19 19 14 18 17 2 3 2 2 38 37 37 38 Cape Fear 30 24 27 26 17 14 11 3 2 2 2 49 40 43 40 15 14 37 36 35 31 Fall to Spring Retention (69% for all students) Fall to Fall Retention (43% for all students) Tracking the Fall 2010 Cohort (N=4254) Persistence by Group Returned Returned Returned Completed Returned Returned Spring Spring Spring Transferred in Three Fall 2011 Fall 2012 2011 2012 2013 Years Total (N=4254) 67.4% 43.4% 36.8% 24.6% 20.6% 5.9% Less than 20 years old (N=1685) 74.1% 50.9% 43.7% 30.2% 25.3% 4.2% Females (N=2170) 67.7% 44.1% 37.7% 25.3% 21.6% 6.4% 20.0% Males (N=2084) 67.0% 42.7% 35.7% 23.8% 19.6% 5.4% 19.6% White, Non-Hispanic (N=2111) 66.3% 44.9% 37.7% 24.8% 20.7% 7.3% 22.4% Total Minority (N=2143) 68.5% 42.0% 35.8% 24.5% 20.5% 4.6% 17.3% Full Time (N=2032) 79.2% 51.9% 43.7% 28.7% 23.0% 8.5% 20.3% Part Time (N=2222) 56.6% 35.7% 30.5% 20.8% 18.5% 3.6% 19.4% Received Pell in First Term (N=1910) 78.1% 45.4% 38.6% 24.7% 21.1% 5.24% 16.1% Not Received Pell in First Term (N=2344) 58.7% 41.9% 35.3% 24.6% 20.2% 6.5% 22.9% 19.8% 25.2% Tracking the Fall 2010 Cohort by Program of Study Returned Returned Returned Completed Returned Returned Persistence by Program Category Spring Spring Spring in Three Transferred Fall 2011 Fall 2012 2011 2012 2013 Years College Transfer Programs (N=1773) 75.2% 50.1% 42.1% 28.1% 23.7% 6.43% 23.9% Technical Programs (N=490) 69.2% 44.5% 37.8% 25.3% 20.2% 10.00% 5.7% Business and Technology (N=425) 67.1% 37.9% 31.1% 20.2% 16.5% 7.76% 17.6% Engineering Sciences (N=120) 70.8% 39.2% 36.7% 27.5% 23.3% 4.17% 18.3% Medical/ Health Programs (N=44) 86.4% 63.6% 65.9% 15.9% 11.4% 63.64% 6.8% Protective Sciences (N=135) 55.6% 34.8% 28.9% 21.5% 20.7% 2.96% 17.0% Education/Human Services (N=204) 47.1% 31.4% 21.1% 14.7% 14.2% 2.94% 12.7% Health Holding Codes (N=589) 70.3% 46.3% 41.6% 28.4% 24.3% 0.51% 19.0% Undeclared (N=468) 42.3% 25.4% 21.2% 15.2% 11.5% 2.14% 27.8% Total 67.4% 43.5% 36.8% 24.6% 20.6% 5.93% 16.7% Tracking the Fall 2010 Cohort by Developmental Needs Persistence by Developmental Placement Returned Completed Returned Returned Returned Returned Spring in Three Transferred Spring 2011 Fall 2011 Spring 2012 Fall 2012 2013 Years 1 Dev Course (N=921) 74.5% 49.6% 43.5% 30.1% 25.0% 5.9% 18.8% 2 Dev Courses (N=691) 73.1% 46.9% 40.8% 27.2% 23.6% 2.6% 16.5% 3 Dev Courses (N=887) 72.3% 44.1% 37.4% 25.0% 22.5% 1.2% 15.9% All College Level (N=258) 80.6% 57.0% 46.9% 34.5% 29.1% 8.9% 22.5% No Scores (n=1497) 55.2% 35.1% 28.6% 18.1% 14.0% 9.8% 23.8% Numbers in Developmental Pipeline Huge Issue for CPCC Combined Placement Test Fall 2008 Fall Scores (all subjects) Number 2008 % Fall 2009 Number % of those Fall Fall with scores 2010 2009 % on file Number Fall 2010 No Scores on File 5557 28.8% 5096 25.7% 4719 23.2% 1+ Remedial Courses 11192 58.1% 12160 61.2% 12925 63.5% No Remedial Courses 2452 12.7% 2544 12.8% 2656 13.0% Unknown 75 0.4% 64 0.3% 59 0.3% Total 19276 19864 20359 Success in Developmental Modules All Enrollment for Three Terms (spring 2012, fall 2012 and spring 2013) Courses Totals A-C DFW Other N N % N % MAT060 753 61% 488 39% 1241 MAT070 1099 56% 850 44% 1949 MAT080 843 58% 617 42% 1460 Total 2695 58% 1955 42% 4650 Grades in Math Modules for Three Terms (spring 2012, fall 2012 and spring 2013) Grade Module Totals P R W N % N % N % DMA010 155 85% 25 14% 2 1% 182 DMA020 127 77% 34 20% 5 3% 166 DMA030 105 88% 12 10% 2 2% 119 DMA040 339 73% 115 25% 11 2% 465 DMA050 254 75% 78 23% 8 2% 340 DMA060 415 75% 123 22% 16 3% 554 DMA070 302 80% 64 17% 11 3% 377 DMA080 233 78% 55 18% 11 4% 299 Total 1930 77% 506 20% 66 3% 2502 Student Progression Through Traditional Developmental Math (N=3,940) Dev MAT Total Repeated Stopped N N % % Went into Went into next MAT0 DMA Went into Coll Lev MAT N % N % N % MAT060 1264 178 14% 466 37% 581 46% 8 1% 31 2% MAT070 2128 475 22% 737 35% 561 26% 7 0% 348 16% MAT080 1595 337 21% 579 36% NA NA 6 0% 673 42% 20% 1782 36% 1142 23% 21 0% 1052 27% Total 4987 990 Persistence in Developmental Modules Student Progression Through the Math Modules (N=804 students) Module Total Repeated Stopped Went into next DMA Went into MAT0 Went into Coll Lev MAT N % N % N % N % N % DMA010 183 13 7% 17 9% 151 83% 1 1% 1 1% DMA020 174 24 14% 25 14% 125 72% 0 0% 0 0% DMA030 139 17 12% 17 12% 96 69% 2 1% 7 5% DMA040 514 91 18% 55 11% 356 69% 4 1% 8 2% DMA050 412 76 18% 48 12% 263 64% 5 1% 20 5% DMA060 665 119 18% 72 11% 438 66% 5 1% 31 5% DMA070 527 112 21% 33 6% 378 72% 2 0% 2 0% DMA080 379 121 32% 79 21% NA 1 0% 178 47% 2993 573 19% 20 1% 247 31% Total NA 346 12% 1807 60% Translation Of 19,864 students in one fall term, 5,916 took no/unknown placement tests in math (30%). 3358 tested into higher level college math (Math 155, 161, 171) (17%). 2997 tested to lower level college math (Math 115, 121, 140) but may still need highest developmental level (15%). 7593 tested into remedial math (38%). If 27% of traditional developmental math students currently make it to college level math, that is 2,959 seats in college level math. If 31% of students in the modules make it to college level math, that is 3,283 seats (324 more) per year. We also know that students who complete college math take an average of 46 credits before they exit the college whereas those who never complete college level math take 25-30 credits before they exit. Results will improve with time and experience with the modules. Final Note The College is using data to make decisions and inform practice. A-C grades are going up, withdrawals are going down. Still a difference in grades between seated and online classes but the gap is closing (except in developmental). Enrollment is heading back up – highest headcount number in a fall term this fall. We are retaining full-time students and students under 20 at higher rates than any other group. Developmental students are leaving us at the 2nd year point. College-ready students graduate and transfer at much higher rates than students who need remediation. Final Note Class fill rates, average class size, student load and percent attending full-time increased during the recession and are all headed back down. More minority students than majority students attend CPCC. Average age is going down with a huge growth in students under 30. The virtual campus have grown 343% in nine years (fastest growing and 2nd largest campus) Contact Presentation by: Terri Manning, AVP, Institutional Research Bobbie Frye, Director, Institutional Research Catherine Kurilla, Senior Research Analyst, Institutional Research