an atmospheric “mesoscale”: where convection meets waves (rotation optional) Brian Mapes University of Miami for oceanographers • In a moist convecting atmosphere, small scale vertical motions don’t just carry fluxes, they cause latent heating • OK, you can view it as a vertical flux of water substance upward past the condensation level. • Spectral space: energy injection across scales • Physical space: feedback small updrafts • UV catastrophe of conditional instability (Lilly 1961) • Smallest updrafts, broadest subsidence (Bjerknes 1938) mesoscale convection • “Mesoscale” convection events (meso = middle, in between L~H “convective” scale and N/f H “Rossby radius”) are less theoretically tidy than parcel or exp(ikx) UV catastrophe, but profound & real • convectively coupled internal waves Convectively coupled gravity waves in 2D CRM No preferred hor. scale 5 decades } 3 decades Stefan Tulich (Mapes et al. 2009 JMSJ) Scale Interactions cascade... ...pas? mesoscale convection • Are these things coherent aspects (the spectral tail) of the large-scale flow, or an emergent metaphenomenon bubbling up from convection? • Implication: is it better to spend computing DOFs to resolve the mesoscale? Or rather on little hi-res but periodic “sample” patches of convective-scale flow, coupled across an enforced scale separation? – (MMF or “super-parameterization”) 3D global simulations • GEOS-5 global AGCM at 5km mesh size » by Bill Putman, Max Suarez, others at NASA GSFC • 20-day run analyzed here • Cubed sphere grid, nonhydrostatic • GCM physics left on – mostly • subgridscale plumes hobbled by entrainment • disabled subgrid orographic gravity wave drag comparison to satellite imagery http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/I OTD/view.php?id=44246&src= eoa-iotd predicted cloud features for February 6, 2010 2 weeks into simulation 5km GCM: detailed examinations • 1. Tropical mesoscale rain events: case studies – One scale selected in to analysis: 250km events • Rebin rainrate to 2.5deg, find 10 largest maxima – in ~20 day simulation period (Jan-Feb 2010) – in 15N-15S, to minimize cyclone dominated cases • Extract space-time cubes around these events – (+/-18h, +/- 3 degrees) – 10 wettest cases, plus composite mean case • 2. Vertical flux [wq], partitioned by scale » through simple coarse-graining (rebinning) http://www.rsmas.miami.edu/personal/ssong/research/HR_250kmevents.htm animation Tropical cyclone: 1 case in top 10 (in 15N-15S belt, 250km scale) http://www.rsmas.miami.edu/personal/ssong/research/HR_250kmevents.htm Anim: composite of 10 cases • m 99% is from resolved condensation process: good composite basis HOURS RELATIVE TO MAX 250km RAIN Tropical radar observations (EPIC 2001) Time scale is hours even for small space scales Mesoscale is real (if broadband) 96km radius cell: <1h 8km radius MCS: 10h Mapes and Lin 2006 MWR • m HOURS RELATIVE TO MAX 250km RAIN T’(t,p): 250km area mean p (hPa) leading nose HOURS RELATIVE TO MAX 250km RAIN 250km water vapor mixing ratio (t,p) W Low-level “valve” on convection RH(t,p) p (hPa) W W HOURS RELATIVE TO MAX 250km RAIN trimodal: shallow, medium, deep similar to obs (if a bit off in exact heights) Mapes et al. 2006 DAO GCRM detailed examinations • 1. Tropical mesoscale rain events: case studies – One scale built in to analysis: 250km – Rebin rainrate to 2.5deg, find 10 largest maxima • in ~20 day simulation period (Jan-Feb 2010) • in 15N-15S, to minimize cyclone dominated cases – Extract space-time cubes around these • (+/-18h, +/- 3 degrees) • 10 cases, and composite mean case • 2. Vertical enthalpy flux, partitioned by scale » through simple coarse-graining (rebinning) 2. Enthalpy flux • Enthalpy = sensible heat + latent heat – CpT + Lqv • Flux thru 500mb level balances ~23 Wm-2 radiative cooling above that level – sensible heat flux Cp [wT] ~ 7 Wm-2 – latent heat flux L [wq]: ~ 16 Wm-2 • destined to condense up there Latent flux across 500mb snapshot by scales resolved in 80km rebinning sub-80km = total flux minus the above Latent flux snapshot by scales resolved in 250km rebinning sub-250km = total explicit flux minus above Latent flux snapshot by scales resolved in 500 km rebinning sub-500km = total explicit flux minus above sub-80km and super-80km scales conspire to carry flux: convection occurs in mesoscale clusters Flux partitoned by scales • Vapor flux by convective (5-80km) scales is colocated with flux in >80km scale mesoscale updrafts. • Small scales mainly just add a bit (10 - 40%) to the flux by mesoscale mean updrafts • Might this be true at still-finer scales? • Borrowed slides (with permission, and email discussion last 2 days) from Chin-Hoh Moeng (NCAR) • Marat Khairoutdinov (Stony Brook) ran “Giga-LES” • Moeng et al. 2009, 2010 JAMES Split the LES flow into: “resolvable” grid-scale (GS) & “unresolved” scale (SGS) Giga-LES apply “smoothing” CRM resolvable SGS is the difference. Moeng et al. 2010 JAMES Apply “smoothing” with a width of 4 km SGS(w-var) GS: CRM-grid scales SGS: CRM-SGS GS SGS(q-var) GS GS large scales SGS (wq-cov) most of w-kinetic energy in SGS ~ half of moisture flux in SGS small scales Moeng et al. 2010 JAMES • SGS flux Moeng et al. 2010- JAMES • SGS flux is in clouds • condensed water path (vertical integral) Moeng et al. 2009 JAMES Flux partitoned by scales • Vapor flux by convective (5-80km) scales is colocated with flux in >80km scale mesoscale cloud system updrafts. • Small scales mainly just add a bit (up to 40%) to the flux by mesoscale mean updrafts • Vapor flux by sub-convective (0.1-4km) scales is colocated with >4km scale convective cloud updrafts. • Small scales mainly just add a bit (~40%) to the flux by convective mean updrafts Flux part summary • • • • Mesoscale updrafts are moist, fluxing q up Convective updrafts are inside, adding to it Sub-drafts inside the convective drafts: ditto Q: How might poorly-resolved convection be distorted by having to carry the flux of missing sub-scales? (and can param’z’n fix it?) • Q2: Is subgrid param’z’n a flux amplifier? Is that safe numerically? Summary • Deep convection – gravity wave interactions are common: a “mesoscale” • Broadband (meso synoptic, in tropics) – -5/3, but NOT a swirls-advecting-vorticity cascade – has a velocity scale, not a length scale – multicellular: hours, not minutes (not just H/w) • “Mesoscale convection”, convective cells, and sub-cellular drafts all conspire to carry geophysically (radiatively) demanded vertical energy flux – Do we need to resolve them all? Or might truncation + parameterization suffice?