Chapter 2 Slides (PPT)

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Chapter 2
Collecting Data with Surveys and
Scientific Studies
Surveys
• Instruments used to obtain demographic
characteristics and attitudes or behavioral
tendencies from subjects
• Passive in nature, obtaining “naturally occuring”
information
• Many fields conduct surveys regularly:
–
–
–
–
Public Opinions: Gallup, CNN, WSJ, TV Networks
Government Bureaus: Census, Labor Statistics
Business: Customer satisfaction, Quality, Practices
Recreation: State parks and wildlife area usage
Sampling Methods
• Simple Random Sampling: Frame listing all N
elements of population exists. Random numbers used to
obtain a sample of n elements such that all samples of
size n had equal chance of selection
• Stratified Random Sampling: Population split into
homogeneous groups (strata) based on auxiliary
variable(s) such as gender, income, race. Simple random
samples taken from each stratum.
• Cluster Sampling: Population broken into set of clusters
(often based on location), and sample of clusters are
selected, with all elements in sampled cluster measured
• Systematic Sampling: Element selected at random near
top of list, then every kth element subsequently measured
Survey Problems
• Nonresponse: If people who do not respond tend to
differ systematically from responders, results will be
biased
• Measurement Problems
– Recall: Tendency to forget occurences of certain things or be
unable to give accurate counts of frequency of occurrence
– Leading Questions: Wording of questions can lead to certain
responses that can bias survey results
– Unclear Wording: Different people can interpret the same
question in different ways, making results inaccurate when
responses depend on interpretations
Survey Techniques
• Personal Interviews: In person, face-to-face meetings
between interviewer and interviewee. Biases can occur
due to the interaction.
• Telephone Interviews: Interview over the phone. Less
costly than personal interviews. Bias can occur due to
unlisted numbers and different schedules for different
people.
• Self-administered Questionnaire: Inexpensive, but
notoriously low response rates. Can be done by mail or
on internet.
• Direct Observation: Measurements made directly using
monitoring equipment or public records
Scientific Studies
• Designed Experiment: Investigation to obtain/ compare
measurements from subjects under various conditions
• Elements of Experiments:
– Factors: Variables to be controlled by experimenter
– Measurements/Observations: Responses that are recorded (but
not controlled) by the experimenter. Outcome of interest
– Treatments: Conditions constructed from factor(s) to be
assigned to units. Control is “benchmark” condition.
– Experimental Unit: Physical entity receiving treatment
– Replication: Treatments are assigned to more than one unit so
that experimental error/variation can be measured
– Measurement Unit: Unit on which observation is made. Could
be experimental unit, or a “smaller part” (e.g. student in class)
Treatment Designs
• 1-Factor: Completely Randomized Design
• Multi-Factor: Factorial Treatment Design
– Full factorial: All combinations of factor levels are observed
in experiment.
– Fractional factorial: Subset of all possible factor level
combinations observed (when too many exist)
• Randomized Block Design: Experimental units broken
into multiple measurement units (blocks), and treatments
assigned at random to measurement units within blocks
• Latin Square Design: Similar to Randomized Block
Design, except positions within blocks have effects to be
controlled (e.g. tire positions on an automobile)
Factorial Treatment Design in CRD
• 2 Factors: A and B (A has a levels, B has b levels)
• 1-at-a-Time Approach: Vary levels of Factor A,
while holding factor B constant and vice versa. Can
obtain main effects for each factor, but not
interaction.
• Interaction: When effects of levels of one factor
depend on the level of the other factor, and vice versa
• Factorial Treatment Structures: Generate all ab
combinations of levels of Factors A and B. Randomly
assign experimental units to these treatments as in
Completely Randomized Design with one factor.
Statistical Interaction Absent
No Interaction
80
70
60
Mean Rresponse
50
B=1
40
B=2
30
20
10
0
1
2
Factor A
3
Statistical Interaction Present
Interaction Present
90
80
70
Mean Response
60
50
B=1
B=2
40
30
20
10
0
1
2
Factor A
3
Observational Studies
• Sometimes cannot assign experimental units to
treatments due to nature or ethics
– Gender, race, religion cannot be assigned to subjects
– Items cannot be assigned at random to manufacturer (they
are built by firm)
• Would like to compare factor levels anyway
• More difficult to assess causal relationships since
external factors may be related to identified factors in
study which cause observed differences
• Often will attempt to “control” for other factors in
analysis
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