STA 4210 – Exam 2 – Fall 2012 – PRINT Name _________________________ For all significance tests, use = 0.05 significance level. S.1. A multiple linear regression model is fit, relating household weekly food expenditures (Y, in $100s) to weekly income (X1, in $100s) and the number of people living in the household (X2). Assuming the model has an intercept, and is based on a sample of n=40 households. Give the appropriate degrees of freedom. dfTotal = ________________ dfRegression = ___________________________ dfError = ____________________________ S.2. In a multiple linear regression model with 2 predictors (X1 and X2), if X1 and X2 are uncorrelated, SSR(X1) = SSR(X1|X2). TRUE or FALSE S.3. In simple linear regression, the hat-matrix is 2x2. TRUE or FALSE S.4. In a multiple linear regression model with 2 predictors (X1 and X2), SSR(X1) + SSR(X2|X1) = SSR(X2) + SSR(X1|X2). TRUE or FALSE S.5. In a multiple linear regression model with 3 predictors (X1, X2, and X3 (where each has 3 levels)), a researcher wishes to include all 2-variable interactions, and all squared terms. Give the appropriate degrees of freedom, assuming there is 1 observation at all combinations of the levels of each predictor, and 3 extra points when each factor is at its mid-level. dfTotal = ___________________ dfRegression = ___________________________ dfError = ____________________________ S.6. A researcher reports that for a linear regression model, the regression sum of squares is twice as large as the error sum of squares. Compute R2 for this model R2 = ____________________________________________________ S.7. A simple linear regression model is fit, based on a sample of n=10 observations. You obtain the following estimates: b0 = 12.0 s{b0} = 3.0 b1 = 5.0 s{b1} = 2.0. Use Bonferroni’s method to obtain simultaneous 90% Confidence Intervals for 0 and 0: ______________________________________________ 1: ___________________________________________ Q.1. A simple linear regression model is to be fit: Yi = 0 + 1Xi + I . The data are as follows: Complete the following parts in matrix form (Note: SSTO=70): X 0 0 2 2 4 4 Y 0 2 4 6 10 8 p.1.a. X= Y= p.1.b. X’X = X’Y = p.1.c. (X’X)-1 = b= ^ p.1.d. Y e p.1.e. MSE = s2{b} = p.1.f. Complete the following tables: ANOVA df Regression Residual Total SS MS F CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat Intercept X Q.2. A regression model is fit, relating a response (Y) to 3 predictors (X1, X2, X3) based on n=30 individuals. Two models are fit: Model1: E(Y) = 0 + 1X1 + 2X2 +3X3 SSE1 = 1800 Model2: E(Y)=0 + 1X1 + 2X2 + 3X3 + 11X12 + 22X22 +33X32 + 12X1X2 + 13X1X3 +3X2X3 SSE2=1400 Test whether none of the quadratic terms or interaction terms contributes above and beyond the effects of X1, X2, and X3. p.2.a. H0: _________________________________________ p.2.b. Test Statistic: p.2.c. Reject H0 if the test statistic falls above / below ______________________________________ p.2.d. Compute RY2, X 2 , X 2 , X 2 , X X 1 2 3 1 2 , X1 X 3 , X 2 X 3 | X1 , X 2 , X 3 Q.3. Regression models are fit, relating total revenues (Y, in millions of dollars) for n=155 films released in the 1930s to production costs (X1, in millions of dollars) and distribution costs (X2, in millions of dollars). Model 1: E Y 0 1 X 1 Model 2: E Y 0 1 X 1 2 X 2 Model 3: E Y 0 1 X 1 2 X 2 3 X 1 X 2 ANOVA Regression Residual Total Intercept prodcostc ANOVA Regression Residual Total Intercept prodcostc distcostc Model 4: E Y 0 1 X 1 X 2 Model 1 df SS MS F 1 3344.973 3344.973 166.5618 153 3072.619 20.08247 154 6417.591 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat 1.807034 0.631288 2.862457 1.392948 0.107931 12.90588 Model 2 df SS MS F 2 6078.419 3039.209 1362.018 152 339.173 2.231401 154 6417.591 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat 0.164311 0.215601 0.762109 0.101986 0.051525 1.979341 2.482252 0.070922 34.99987 df Regression Residual Total Intercept prodcostc distcostc prodxdist ANOVA Regression Residual Total Intercept totcostc ANOVA Model 3 SS MS F 3 6078.609 2026.203 902.5746 151 338.9822 2.244915 154 6417.591 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat 0.105335 0.296108 0.355733 0.115236 0.068821 1.674438 2.500326 0.094358 26.4983 -0.00295 0.010111 -0.29156 Model 4 df SS MS F 1 5099.65 5099.65 592.0188 153 1317.942 8.613999 154 6417.591 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat -0.04937 0.423133 -0.11667 1.073282 0.044111 24.33144 Complete the following parts. p.3.a. Based on model 3, test whether there is an interaction between production (X1) and distribution (X2) costs. H0: _______________ HA: ________________ Test Statistic: ___________________ Rejection Region: _____________ p.3.b. Compute SSR X1 ____________ SSR X 2 | X1 ______________________ RY22|1 ________________________ p.3.c. Based on models 2 and 4, test whether the effects of increasing production and distribution costs by 1 unit are equal. H0: HA: ≠ Test Statistic: ____________________________________ Rejection Region: ______________________________ p.3.d. Based on model 2, give the predicted total revenues (in dollars) for a movie that had production costs of $500,000 and distribution costs of $250,000 p.3.e. Conduct the Brown-Forsyth test, to determine whether the variances for the low predicted values (group=1) and ~ the high predicted values (group 2) are equal. dij eij ei Group 1 2 Mean(D) 0.56 1.40 Var(D) 0.64 1.46 i 1, 2 j 1,..., ni ~ ei median ei1 ,..., eini n 77 78 p.3.e.i. Test Statistic: p.3.e.ii. Rejection Region _____________________________________________________ ^ Q.4. You obtain the following spreadsheet from a regression model. The fitted equation is Y 4.67 4.00 X Conduct the F-test for Lack-of-Fit. n = ______________ c = _______________ X 2 2 4 4 6 6 Source Lack-of-Fit Pure Error Y 3 5 8 12 18 22 Ybar Y-hat Pure Error Lack of Fit df SS MS F F(0.05) Critical Values for t, 2, and F Distributions F Distributions Indexed by Numerator Degrees of Freedom CDF - Lower tail probabilities df | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | t.95 6.314 2.920 2.353 2.132 2.015 1.943 1.895 1.860 1.833 1.812 1.796 1.782 1.771 1.761 1.753 1.746 1.740 1.734 1.729 1.725 1.721 1.717 1.714 1.711 1.708 1.706 1.703 1.701 1.699 1.697 1.684 1.676 1.671 1.667 1.664 1.662 1.660 1.659 1.658 1.657 1.656 1.655 1.654 1.654 1.653 1.653 1.653 1.645 t.975 .295 F.95,1 F.95,2 F.95,3 F.95,4 F.95,5 F.95,6 F.95,7 F.95,8 12.706 4.303 3.182 2.776 2.571 2.447 2.365 2.306 2.262 2.228 2.201 2.179 2.160 2.145 2.131 2.120 2.110 2.101 2.093 2.086 2.080 2.074 2.069 2.064 2.060 2.056 2.052 2.048 2.045 2.042 2.021 2.009 2.000 1.994 1.990 1.987 1.984 1.982 1.980 1.978 1.977 1.976 1.975 1.974 1.973 1.973 1.972 1.960 3.841 5.991 7.815 9.488 11.070 12.592 14.067 15.507 16.919 18.307 19.675 21.026 22.362 23.685 24.996 26.296 27.587 28.869 30.144 31.410 32.671 33.924 35.172 36.415 37.652 38.885 40.113 41.337 42.557 43.773 55.758 67.505 79.082 90.531 101.879 113.145 124.342 135.480 146.567 157.610 168.613 179.581 190.516 201.423 212.304 223.160 233.994 --- 161.448 18.513 10.128 7.709 6.608 5.987 5.591 5.318 5.117 4.965 4.844 4.747 4.667 4.600 4.543 4.494 4.451 4.414 4.381 4.351 4.325 4.301 4.279 4.260 4.242 4.225 4.210 4.196 4.183 4.171 4.085 4.034 4.001 3.978 3.960 3.947 3.936 3.927 3.920 3.914 3.909 3.904 3.900 3.897 3.894 3.891 3.888 3.841 199.500 19.000 9.552 6.944 5.786 5.143 4.737 4.459 4.256 4.103 3.982 3.885 3.806 3.739 3.682 3.634 3.592 3.555 3.522 3.493 3.467 3.443 3.422 3.403 3.385 3.369 3.354 3.340 3.328 3.316 3.232 3.183 3.150 3.128 3.111 3.098 3.087 3.079 3.072 3.066 3.061 3.056 3.053 3.049 3.046 3.043 3.041 2.995 215.707 19.164 9.277 6.591 5.409 4.757 4.347 4.066 3.863 3.708 3.587 3.490 3.411 3.344 3.287 3.239 3.197 3.160 3.127 3.098 3.072 3.049 3.028 3.009 2.991 2.975 2.960 2.947 2.934 2.922 2.839 2.790 2.758 2.736 2.719 2.706 2.696 2.687 2.680 2.674 2.669 2.665 2.661 2.658 2.655 2.652 2.650 2.605 224.583 19.247 9.117 6.388 5.192 4.534 4.120 3.838 3.633 3.478 3.357 3.259 3.179 3.112 3.056 3.007 2.965 2.928 2.895 2.866 2.840 2.817 2.796 2.776 2.759 2.743 2.728 2.714 2.701 2.690 2.606 2.557 2.525 2.503 2.486 2.473 2.463 2.454 2.447 2.441 2.436 2.432 2.428 2.425 2.422 2.419 2.417 2.372 230.162 19.296 9.013 6.256 5.050 4.387 3.972 3.687 3.482 3.326 3.204 3.106 3.025 2.958 2.901 2.852 2.810 2.773 2.740 2.711 2.685 2.661 2.640 2.621 2.603 2.587 2.572 2.558 2.545 2.534 2.449 2.400 2.368 2.346 2.329 2.316 2.305 2.297 2.290 2.284 2.279 2.274 2.271 2.267 2.264 2.262 2.259 2.214 233.986 19.330 8.941 6.163 4.950 4.284 3.866 3.581 3.374 3.217 3.095 2.996 2.915 2.848 2.790 2.741 2.699 2.661 2.628 2.599 2.573 2.549 2.528 2.508 2.490 2.474 2.459 2.445 2.432 2.421 2.336 2.286 2.254 2.231 2.214 2.201 2.191 2.182 2.175 2.169 2.164 2.160 2.156 2.152 2.149 2.147 2.144 2.099 236.768 19.353 8.887 6.094 4.876 4.207 3.787 3.500 3.293 3.135 3.012 2.913 2.832 2.764 2.707 2.657 2.614 2.577 2.544 2.514 2.488 2.464 2.442 2.423 2.405 2.388 2.373 2.359 2.346 2.334 2.249 2.199 2.167 2.143 2.126 2.113 2.103 2.094 2.087 2.081 2.076 2.071 2.067 2.064 2.061 2.058 2.056 2.010 238.883 19.371 8.845 6.041 4.818 4.147 3.726 3.438 3.230 3.072 2.948 2.849 2.767 2.699 2.641 2.591 2.548 2.510 2.477 2.447 2.420 2.397 2.375 2.355 2.337 2.321 2.305 2.291 2.278 2.266 2.180 2.130 2.097 2.074 2.056 2.043 2.032 2.024 2.016 2.010 2.005 2.001 1.997 1.993 1.990 1.987 1.985 1.938 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |