A Presentation by Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks RATINGS OF PENSION FUNDS Entity Ratin Role of Credit Rating Agencies in the new Voluntary Pension System – Rating and investment performance measurement ank Finance Ratings August 11, 2005 Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks The main and proper role of credit ratings is to enhance transparency by reducing the information asymmetry between investors and investees. As financial market complexity and borrower diversity increased over time, investors and regulators have placed greater reliance on the opinions of credit rating agencies. Entity Ratin ank Finance Ratings The strength of the rating agencies’ global franchise and the core of their expertise in assigning ratings, provides them a forte to stand on. Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks • Internationally, fluctuations in the capital markets upended fund managers’ forecasts regarding returns and the cost of providing benefits (to corporate pension plans) Entity Ratin • At the end of 2002, 90% of all defined benefit pension plans in the United States were under-funded • In October 2003, the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) estimated that the total funding gap was roughly $350 billion ank Finance Ratings Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks Internationally, mutual funds are being assessed both on the basis of performance and stability of NAV. Some of the ratings methodologies in use include: Entity Ratin • Performance Rankings • Principal Stability Fund Ratings • Fund Credit quality ratings • Fund Volatility Ratings ank Finance Ratings The ability of fund manager is of paramount importance in any fund rating. This is assessed through Management Quality Rating Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks JCR-VIS introduced its methodology on mutual funds in 2000, followed by product updates in line with international practices. • October 2003: JCR-VIS Mutual Funds Rating Methodology Entity Ratin (Management Quality Ratings, Fund Stability) • July 2004: Mutual Fund Performance Rankings (Star Rankings) ank Finance Ratings Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks Mutual Fund Performance Rankings Management Quality Ratings Entity Ratin Fund Stability Ratings ank Finance Ratings A significant weight of performance rankings is taken into the management quality ratings, which in turn is built into the fund stability ratings Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks Based on quantitative factors Risk adjusted return of individual funds compared to the best in the peer group, which includes funds investing in largely the same asset class Entity Ratin Haircuts applied for liquidity and concentration (sectoral and individual scrip) risks ank Finance Ratings Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks JCR-VIS - Mutual Fund Performance Ranking Scale MFR-5(s) (Five Star) MFR-4(s) (Four Star) MFR-3(s) (Three Star) MFR-2(s) (Two Star) performance MFR-1(s) (One Star) (top 10%) (next 22.5%) (next 35%) (next 22.5%) Very good performance Good performance Average performance Below average (last 10%) Weak performance Entity Ratin •These rankings are reviewed on a half-yearly basis •Rankings issued only after 2 years of track record ank Finance Ratings Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks An opinion on the overall quality of the asset management company (AMC) incorporating governance related issues. Includes analysis of: Entity Ratin • Organizational structure • Quality of human resources • Investment and risk management policies • Internal control and information systems scale depicts a range of highest to weak standard ankThe Finance Ratings of management quality Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks Measures: • Relative sensitivity of a fund’s NAV and total return to changing market conditions with an emphasis on downside risk Entity Ratin • Ability of a fund to maintain value and limit exposure to losses ank Finance Ratings Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks Categories of investment funds Mortgage Funds Money Market Funds Bond Funds Entity Ratin Real Estate Funds Balanced Funds Preferred Dividend Funds Equity Funds Junk Bond Funds ank Finance Ratings Low AAA(f) Business Risk AA(f) A(f) BBB(f) High BB(f) B(f) C(f) Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks AAA(f) B(f) Entity Ratin Highest degree of stability in NAV. Risk is negligible with very low sensitivity to changing economic conditions. ank Finance Ratings Very low degree of stability in NAV. Risk factors are capable of fluctuating widely if changes occur in the economy. Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks Performance Rankings – for all three types of sub-funds Management Quality Ratings – for all fund management companies Entity Ratin Stability Ratings – for debt and money market sub-funds ank Finance Ratings Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks Management Quality Ratings FMQ-2 Fund Stability Ratings Equity Money Debt submarket subfund subfund fund AA-(f) A-(f) Rankings 5-Star 3-Star 4-Star Entity Ratin ank Finance Ratings Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks Ratings criteria not laid out for: •Asset Management Companies (AMCs) Entity Ratin •Life Insurance companies •Central Depository Company •Banks in which deposits can be placed by subfunds ank Finance Ratings Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks AMCs fee should be linked to the fund’s performance Some form of guarantee may also be considered after annuity commences or a law could be enacted whereby the accountholder would have a specific charge on the bank account Entity Ratin ank Finance Ratings Credit Rati JCR-VISCommercial Banks Thank You Entity Ratin JCR-VIS Credit Rating Company Limited ank Finance Ratings