React Labs: Educate Summary Results for 2012 Presidential Debates October 3, 2012 3767 people reacted at least once 56% were Democrats 27% were Republicans 60% plan to vote for Obama 24% plan to vote for Romney 11% undecided 52% believed Romney won the debate Response highlights • Strong "agree" responses for both candidates; but much stronger "disagree" responses for Romney than for Obama • Participants appreciated moderator's attempts to keep the candidates in line; when he pointed out they were over time, "agree" clicks for the moderator increased • Participants demonstrated ability to differentiate concepts of "spin" and "dodge," but were much more likely to click "spin" than "dodge" Response highlights • Obama received the most positive participant response to comments on corporate tax break eliminations, and the most negative response to his claim that he "kept that promise" to fight for the middle class made in his first campaign • Romney garnered the most participant support on his plans to promote energy independence and foreign trade to improve the economy, while participants responded most negatively to his energy policy positions (e.g., support for coal and Canadian oil) Debate response by groups • Gender – Men more frequently gave responses than women – Greatest Difference between men and women is in Romney Agreement • Race – Obama Agreement is most common click amongst all races – Caucasians have the strongest preference for Romney compared to other ethnic groups Debate response by groups • Partisanship – Co-Partisans strongly agree with their own candidate – Independents have a slight preference for Obama • Vote Intention – Those with a pre-debate vote preference tended to agree with their preferred candidate – Romney wins amongst undecided voters By Gender 30000 25000 20000 Female Male 15000 10000 5000 0 Obama Agree Obama Disagree Obama Spin Obama Dodge Romney Agree Romney Disagree Romney Spin Romney Dodge By Race 60 50 Obama Agree 40 Obama Disagree Obama Spin Obama Dodge 30 Romney Agree Romney Disagree Romney Spin 20 Romney Dodge 10 0 African American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian By Partisanship 60 Obama Agree 50 Obama Disagree 40 Obama Spin Obama Dodge 30 Romney Agree Romney Disagree 20 Romney Spin 10 Romney Dodge 0 Closest to Democratic Party Lean Democrat Independent Lean Republican Closest to Republican Party By Pre-Debate Vote Intention 60 Obama Agree 50 Obama Disagree Obama Spin 40 Obama Dodge 30 Romney Agree Romney Disagree 20 Romney Spin 10 Romney Dodge 0 Obama Romney Not Sure Other Perceived debate winner (by state) More blue (red) = stronger preference for Obama (Romney); Grey = no responses Relative agreement (by state) More blue (red) = stronger preference for Obama (Romney); Grey = no responses Obama/Romney Comparisons • Most participants who responded agreed with Obama, while Romney had the same number of people agreeing with him as disagreeing with him. • Yet, Romney was slightly favored as the winning debater. • Thus, despite strong participant agreement with Obama, most participants felt that Romney won the debate.