Evidence of CSUN’s Educational
Effectiveness: Selected Data Sources
Bettina J. Huber
Director of Institutional Research
Preparing for the Second WASC Site Visit
9 September 2011
Overview
• Gains in Undergraduate Persistence
• Transfer Students
• First Time Freshmen
• Talking to the WASC Visitors
A Comparative View of Persistence
at CSUN
• Data Sources
• Multi-year campus-specific CRSDE persistence data
• Multi-year CSU data on FTF proficiency at entry
• Persistence Measures Examined
•
•
•
•
One-year continuation rates
Proficiency at entry (FTF only)
Graduation rates (6 years for FTF; 3 years for FTT)
Likely graduates: students who have graduated or are still
enrolled at a fixed point after entry (e.g., 3 years or 6 years)
A Comparative View of Persistence
at CSUN
• CSU Campus Groupings Examined
• The system as a whole
• Large campuses (n=6)
• Los Angeles Basin campuses (n=5)
• Subgroups Examined
• Two gender groups
• Four racial and ethnic groups
Racial and Ethnic Subgroups Considered
• Traditionally Underserved Students
•
•
•
•
American Indian
Pacific Islander
African American
Latina/o
• Better Served Students
• Asian
• White
• Other and Unknown
Figure 1. One-Year Continuation Rate of Upper Division Transfer Entrants by
Racial and Ethnic Background and Fall EntryTerm
90.0
86
85.0
83
80
One-Year Continuation Rate
80.0
75.0
84
84
85
81
81
84
82
78
78
84
79
82
84
82
81
79
82
79
77
70.0
65.0
60.0
55.0
Traditionally Underserved Students
Better Served Students
50.0
Figure 2. Three-Year and Likely Graduation Rates of Upper Division Transfer
Entrants by Racial and Ethnic Background and Fall EntryTerm
90.0
77
80.0
73
Likely Graduation Rate
71
70
70
72
73
71
62
70
69
66
60.0
74
71
67
70.0
56
73
75
72
69
68
64
63
78
61
69
60
57
56
57
54
52
50.0
45
52
51
56
52
50
47
49
49
39
43
40.0
30.0
41
34
Traditionally Underserved - Likely
Better Served - Likely
Traditionally Underserved - Three Year
Better Served - Three Year
51
49
48
100.0
Figure 3. Three-Year Graduation Rates of New CCC Transfer Students at CSUN and
Selected CSU Groupings by Fall Entry Term
Percentage Graduating within Six Years
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
CSU
CSUN
Large Campuses
Background Characteristic
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Basin Campuses
Figure 4. Six-Year Graduation Rates of First Time Freshman Entrants by Racial
and Ethnic Background and Fall EntryTerm
65.0
Traditionally Underserved Students
Better Served Students
All Freshmen
60.0
53
55.0
48
Six-Year Graduation Rate
50.0
44
45.0
41
40.0
37
43
38
40
33
33
30.0
32
30
20.0
15.0
10.0
36
34
29
28
26
25
22
25
21
16
17
40
40
40
38
36
25.0
47
40
36
35.0
46
43
30
35
33
Figure 5. Average Time to a Baccalaureate Degree of First Time Freshman Entrants
by Racial and Ethnic Background and Degree Year
7.5
Traditionally Underserved Students
Better Served Students
All Degree Recipients
7.0
6.7
Mean Time to Degree
6.5
6.4
6.5
6.4
6.4
6.3
6.4
6.2
6.2
6.0
6.1
6.1
6.2
6.0
6.1
6.0
5.8
5.8
5.7
5.7
5.8
5.7
4.5
5.8
5.8
5.7
5.7
5.6
5.6
5.5
5.0
6.1
5.9
6.0
5.5
6.1
5.5
Figure 4. Six-Year Graduation Rates of First Time Freshman Entrants by Racial
and Ethnic Background and Fall EntryTerm
65.0
Traditionally Underserved Students
Better Served Students
All Freshmen
60.0
53
55.0
48
Six-Year Graduation Rate
50.0
44
45.0
41
40.0
37
43
38
40
33
33
30.0
32
30
20.0
15.0
10.0
36
34
29
28
26
25
22
25
21
16
17
40
40
40
38
36
25.0
47
40
36
35.0
46
43
30
35
33
Figure 6. Six-Year Graduation Rates of First Time First-Time Freshmen at CSUN
and Selected CSU Groupings by Fall Entry Term
100.0
Percentage Graduating within Six Years
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
CSU
CSUN
Large Campuses
Background Characteristic
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Basin Campuses
Figure 7. One-Year Continuation Rate of First Time Freshman Entrants by Racial
and Ethnic Background and Fall EntryTerm
90.0
85.0
One-Year Continuation Rate
80.0
74
74
76
76
75
76
76
75
74
73
70
72
79
76
74
70.0
79
78
77
75
75.0
80
79
72
73
72
73
73
71
72
71
71
70
65.0
67
66
60.0
55.0
50.0
Traditionally Underserved Students
Better Served Students
All Freshmen
Figure 8. One-Year Continuation Rates of First Time First-Time Freshmen at CSUN
and Selected CSU Groupings by Fall Entry Term
100.0
Percentage Graduating within Six Years
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
CSU
CSUN
Large Campuses
Background Characteristic
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Basin Campuses
Figure 9. Entry-Level Proficiency in Mathematics of Regularly Admitted First Time
Freshmen at CSUN and Selected CSU Groupings by Fall Entry Term
100.0
Percentage Graduating within Six Years
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
CSU
CSUN
Large Campuses
Background Characteristic
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Basin Campuses
Figure 10. Campus-Specific One-Year Continuation Rates for All
Freshmen by Proficiency in Math at Entry (Fall 2005-07 Cohort Averages)
100.0
95.0
One-Year Continuation Rate
90.0
85.0
80.0
75.0
70.0
65.0
60.0
R² = 0.469
55.0
50.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
Percentage Proficient at Entry
70.0
80.0
90.0
80.0
Figure 11. Percentage of First Time Freshmen Stemming From Traditionally
Underserved Backgrounds and Needing Remediation in Both Mathematics and
English at Entry by Fall Term
70.0
59
60.0
53
Percentage
51
48
50.0
40.0
45
42
30.0
Traditionally Underserved Backgrounds
20.0
10.0
Fall 1999
Fall 2001
Fall 2003
Fall 2005
Fall 2007
Fall 2009
Figure 12. Percentage of First Time Freshmen Needing Remediation in Both
English and Mathematics at Entry by Racial and Ethnic Background and Fall Term
Percentage Proficient or Needing Remediation
80.0
70.0
66
60.0
62
60
60
56
58
50.0
40.0
30.0
33
35
32
27
29
26
20.0
Traditionally Underserved Students
10.0
Better Served Students
0.0
Fall 1999
Fall 2001
Fall 2003
Fall 2005
Fall 2007
Fall 2009
80.0
Figure 11. Percentage of First Time Freshmen Stemming From Traditionally
Underserved Backgrounds and Needing Remediation in Both Mathematics and
English at Entry by Fall Term
70.0
59
60.0
53
Percentage
49
50.0
40.0
51
48
46
45
46
44
46
42
42
30.0
Traditionally Underserved Backgrounds
Need Remediation at Entry
20.0
10.0
Fall 1999
Fall 2001
Fall 2003
Fall 2005
Fall 2007
Fall 2009
Questions or Comments ??
Key Data Points: Transfer Students
• Have among the highest three-year and
likely graduation rates in the CSU
• Have among the highest one-year
continuation rates in the CSU
• Traditionally underserved and better served
students perform equally well
Key Data Points: First Time Freshmen
• Strong gains in persistence to graduation during
•
•
•
•
the last decade
Traditionally underserved students have gained
disproportionately, but still lag better served
CSUN freshman graduation rates remain among
the lowest in the system
The one-year continuation rate has declined in
recent years
The continuation rate remains among the lowest
in the system
We must help our
poor freshmen!
We are
failing them!