Parameterization of Basin Response Based on 3D Simulations by PEER/SCEC 3D Ground Motion Project Team PI: Steven M. Day San Diego State University March 25, 2004 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 1 Simulations Completed – 85 different earthquake simulations • 10 faults from SCEC Community Fault Model • 6 rupture scenarios for each (hypocenter and slip model variations) • 10 cross-check simulations (1 per fault) • 15 1D reference simulations 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 2 Faults Modeled • • • • • • • • • • 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 1. Sierra Madre (7.0) 2. Santa Monica SW (6.3) 3. Hollywood (6.4) 4. Raymond (6.6) 5. Puente Hills I (6.8) 6. Puente Hills II (6.7) 7. Puente Hills (all) (7.1) 8. Compton (6.9) 9. Newport-Inglewood (6.9) 10. Whittier (6.7) 3 Six Rupture Scenarios Per Fault • 2 hypocenters – 1/4 fault-length from each end – 7/10 fault-width down dip • 3 slip models – Constructed following Somerville (1999) – Constant rupture velocity (2.8 km/s) – Rise time scaled to empirical formula: Log(Tr)=0.5(Mw+10.7) + log(2.9x10-9) 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 4 Coordination Scheme UCB -LLNL UCSB CMU URS (RG) S. Madre F,R,S C S. Mon. F,R C HollyW F,R C Raym F,R C URS (AP) P.Hills6.8 F,R C P.Hills6.7 F,R C P.Hills7.1 F,R,R,S C Comp F,R,S C N-I N. R,S F C Whit N. R F C F = 6 3D scenarios C = single cross-check 03/25/04 NGA Workshop R = 1D rock reference simulation S = 1D basin-profile simulation 5 Output • Full time histories • 3 velocity components • 1600 surface points per simulation • Basin and rock sites sampled • ~300,000 synthetic time histories and associated metadata in digital library 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 6 Cross-check (cont’d) • Sierra Madre Scenario • Compares FD and FE codes at 16 sites (N-S component): – FD (UCB/LLNL) red – FE (CMU) green 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 7 Response Spectra Data Set • synthetic Sa ordinates (2-10 second period range) • source distances • local basin depth measures (depths to 1.0, 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5 km/s isosurfaces) • Sa files available on web 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 8 ln(Sa Ratio) 3D÷1D_rock Sa Ratios Frequency (Hz) Frequency (Hz) 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 9 ln(Sa Ratio) Vertically Incident SH Response Frequency (Hz) Frequency (Hz) 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 10 Basin Depth Effect Curves 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 11 Curve Fits to Basin Depth Effect (Separately Optimized at Each Period) 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 12 Curve Fits to Basin Depth Effect (6-parameter model for Depth and Period Dependence) 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 13 Basin Effect Relative to 1-D Soil (2000 m Depth to Isosurface) 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 14 Underprediction Factor 1D Rock Simulations vs A-S Regression Model Period (sec) 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 15 Transfer Function from “Very Hard Rock” to Boore/Joyner “Generic Rock” 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 16 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 17 1.5 Km/s Isosurface Map 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 18 8 Sec Sa Mean Residual Map 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 19 5 Sec Sa Mean Residual Map 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 20 3 Sec Sa Mean Residual Map 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 21 RMS Residuals 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 22 8 sec Sa RMS Residual Map 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 23 5 sec Sa RMS Residual Map 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 24 3 sec Sa RMS Residual Map 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 25 Summary • Source-averaged 3D effect is largely captured by basin depth term (depth to 1.5 km/s isosurface) • Mean and variance are period-dependent • Results almost certainly double-count effects partially represented in “rock” regression equations • With ~500 m depth sites (instead of 0 depth) taken as “rock” reference: – absolute amplitudes at long period (5 sec) come into agreement with AS rock regression (i.e., under-prediction eliminated) – Addition under-prediction at shorter periods probably partly a source effect (which would be removed by our analysis of ratios) – Maximum basin effect reduced to ~2 (@ 2 sec) to ~3 (@ 10 sec) 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 26 Summary (cont’d) • Little or no systematic basin-edge effect in sourceaveraged residuals • Likewise, no clear basin-edge effect in sourceaveraged standard deviations 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 27 Directions for Additional Work • Analysis of current synthetic data set for – Basin-specific (e.g., L.A., San Fernando, San Gabriel) variations – Event-specific basin effects • Simulations for additional regions (e.g., Santa Clara Valley? Imperial Valley? others) to examine transportability of results • Push simulations to ~1 Hz 03/25/04 NGA Workshop 28