Further Development of Site Response in NGA Models PEER Lifelines Program NGA-West2 Project Topic #8 Working Group Meeting Kickoff Meeting April 20, 2010 Agenda • 10 am: Welcome/logistics (Stewart/Bozorgnia) • 10:10 am: NGA-West2 overview and project objectives (Bozorgnia) • 10:30 am: Background on NEHRP site factors (Borcherdt) • 11:00 am: Results from previous NGA Site Factor Working Group (Power) • 11:30 am: Comparison of NGA-West site terms to NEHRP (Stewart/Seyhan) • Noon: Lunch • 1 pm: Open discussion of project objectives, scope, deliverables, & schedule Project Management • Yousef Bozorgnia, PEER, NGA-West2 Project Manager • Jonathan P. Stewart, UC Los Angeles (Working Group Chair) • Emel Seyhan, UC Los Angeles (GSR) Working Group Committee (WGC) • Don Anderson, CH2MHill, Bellevue, WA (Geotechnical engineer, TS3 Member) • Roger Borcherdt, USGS, Menlo Park, CA (Engineering seismology, developer of NEHRP site factors) • C. B. Crouse, URS Corporation, Seattle, WA (Geotechnical engineer, TS3 Chair and PUC Member) • R.W. Graves, URS, Pasadena, CA (Seismologist, ground motion simulation and basin effects) • I.M. Idriss, UC Davis, Santa Fe, NM (Geotechnical engineer, GMPE developer) • Maury Power, AMEC Geomatrix, Oakland, CA (Geotechnical engineer, for TS3 Chair) • Walter Silva, PEA, El Cerrito, CA (Seismologist, NGA database manager, GMPE developer) • Thomas Shantz, Caltrans, Sacrament, CA (Geotechnical engineer) Working Group Committee (WGC) • Do we need others? Logistics • • • • • Database provided by NGA-West2 (PEA) Technical work by UCLA researchers Oversight of work direction/results by WGC Oversight of WGC by …? Deliverables: – Check of NGA-W models (trends with Vs30, nonlinearity, sigma) – Evaluate basin depth effects – Develop technical basis for, and consensus behind, revisions to NEHRP site factors Agenda • 10 am: Welcome/logistics (Stewart/Bozorgnia) • 10:10 am: NGA-West2 overview and project objectives (Bozorgnia) • 10:30 am: Background on NEHRP site factors (Borcherdt) • 11:00 am: Results from previous NGA Site Factor Working Group (Power) • 11:30 am: Comparison of NGA-West site terms to NEHRP (Stewart/Seyhan) • Noon: Lunch • 1 pm: Open discussion of project objectives, scope, deliverables, & schedule NGA-West2 Overview and Project Objectives Yousef Bozorgnia Background on NEHRP Site Factors Roger Borcherdt Results from Previous NGA Site Factor Working Group Maury Power Agenda • 10 am: Welcome/logistics (Stewart/Bozorgnia) • 10:10 am: NGA-West2 overview and project objectives (Bozorgnia) • 10:30 am: Background on NEHRP site factors (Borcherdt) • 11:00 am: Results from previous NGA Site Factor Working Group (Power) • 11:30 am: Comparison of NGA-West site terms to NEHRP (Stewart/Seyhan) • Noon: Lunch • 1 pm: Open discussion of project objectives, scope, deliverables, & schedule Outline • Evaluation of Site Factors – Available approaches – Approaches adopted in NEHRP and NGA GMPEs – Input parameters • Comparison of NGA & NEHRP site terms Evaluation of Site Factors • Simulation driven: – Computational model, 1D or 3D Output Vs G/GMax D g Rock Att. Input Evaluation of Site Factors • Simulation driven: – Computational model, 1D or 3D Day et al. 2008 Evaluation of Site Factors • Simulation driven: – Computational model, 1D or 3D – Randomized soil properties and input motions (1D only) Walling et al. 2008 Evaluation of Site Factors • Simulation driven: – Computational model, 1D or 3D – Randomized soil properties and input motions (1D only) Walling et al. 2008 Evaluation of Site Factors • Simulation driven: – Computational model, 1D or 3D – Randomized soil properties and input motions (1D only) – Site factors from simulation results Walling et al. 2008 Evaluation of Site Factors • Simulation driven: – Computational model, 1D or 3D – Randomized soil properties and input motions (1D only) – Site factors from simulation results Day et al. 2008 Evaluation of Site Factors • Simulation driven: – Computational model, 1D or 3D – Randomized soil properties and input motions (1D only) – Site factors from simulation results Day et al. 2008 Evaluation of Site Factors • Simulation driven: – Not used as “stand alone” factors for active regions – Used to constrain certain aspects of “hybrid” models Evaluation of Site Factors • Simulation driven • Empirical (reference site approach) – Single event – IMsoil/IMref: evaluate dependence on site condition and PGAref Borcherdt 2002 Evaluation of Site Factors • Simulation driven • Empirical (reference site approach) • Empirical (non-reference site approach) – Multiple events – Analysis of residuals – Evaluate dependence on site condition, PGArock, etc. Choi & Stewart 2005 Evaluation of Site Factors Simulation Empirical: Ref. Site Empirical: Non-Ref. Site Evaluation of Site Factors NEHRP Factors Nonlinearity Simulation Weak Motion Amplification Empirical: Ref. Site Empirical: Non-Ref. Site Evaluation of Site Factors NGA: AS, CB Amplification level; Vs30dependence Nonlinearity Simulation Empirical: Ref. Site Empirical: Non-Ref. Site Evaluation of Site Factors NGA: BA, CY Nonlinearity; Amplification level; Vs30dependence Simulation Empirical: Ref. Site Empirical: Non-Ref. Site Evaluation of Site Factors • Input parameters: – – – – – NEHRP: Vs30, Ss, S1 AS: VS30, Median PGA1100 BA: VS30, Median PGA760 CB: VS30, Median PGA1100 CY: VS30, Median + i (Sa)1130 NGA-NEHRP Comparisons • In natural log units, site term = Fx(Vs30, Ax) – Fx=amplification relative to Vs30=x site condition – Ax=ground motion amplitude for reference site condition of Vs30=x • Use Vs30=150, 270, 560, 760, and 1100 m/s • Evaluate F at T=0.3 and 1.0 sec. NGA-NEHRP Comparisons • Ax: – A=median PGA for AS, BA, CB – A=Sa at period of interest for CY (median + i); Take Sa(0.3)=2.5×PGA and Sa(1.0)=1.0×PGA • Adopt reference condition of 760 m/s – F760(Vs30, Ax)=Fx(Vs30, Ax)-Fx(760, Ax) S a Vs30 Sa Vs30 Sa x exp Fx Vs 30 , Ax Fx 760, Ax Sa 760 Sa x Sa 760 NEHRP E D C B B Suggestions on NEHRP-NGA comparisons • Average Sa across all NGA periods in the ranges for Fa and Fv. Use average of logs + limits. Exact middle of the range too (e.g. 0.3 sec for Fa, 1.2 sec for Fv) • Average across velocities in site class: use wt average based on histograms of Vs30. • Ask Brian how he plotted F vs PGA • Check coding using full models. • Check NGA errata for AS Residuals Analysis • WS: run NGA for 760 with NEHRP factors and look at residuals. – All sites and estimates Vs only • Use GMRotI50 • New data: – Use June 2010 version of NGA flat file – Alan Yong, USGS: he has funding to perform site investigations. His site list has been approved, previous efforts to provide input on sites to investigate have been resisted Residuals Analysis • New data: – Residuals analysis, including Baja earthquake data, focusing on low Vs30 range. Other recommendations • USGS maps for all Vs30s, with interpolation (next generation of mapping) • When we have the new factors, compare hybrid predictions with them & old factors with full psha for various sites in Nor Cal and So Cal. • Check sites without Vs using Virtual Geotechnical Data Center (TS will send url and password). • Google earth file with CA stations, see where E stations are (look at other categories too). NGA-NEHRP Comparisons Differences: • NEHRP Fv high – Esp for C to E • NEHRP nonlinearity stronger for C to D • NEHRP Fa and Fv high for rock (Class B) Working Group Objectives & Scope Objectives • Input to NGA-West2 developers • Develop technical basis for, and consensus behind, revisions to NEHRP site factors – Problems with medians – Different sigmas Task Order Scope • Database