1 MiniBooNE Oscillation Update Mike Shaevitz Columbia University XII International Conference on “Neutrino Telescopes” March 7, 2007 2 Outline • Introduction: LSND, sterile neutrinos • MiniBooNE Experiment: Setup, reconstruction, calibration, particle ID, NuMI offaxis beam • Systematic Uncertainties for oscillation analysis • Main backgrounds and Constraints • Oscillation analysis and sensitivity 3 The LSND Experiment LSND observed a (~3.8s) excess ofe events: 87.9 ± 22.4 ± 6.0 events Oscillation Probability: P( e ) (0.264 0.067 0.045)% 4 Why Sterile Neutrinos? Remember: mij2 mi2 m2j Three distinct neutrino oscillation signals 2 2 2 with msolar matm mLSND For three neutrinos, expect 2 2 2 m21 m32 m31 m23 m12 m13 3+2 models m5 • One of the experimental measurements is wrong Need better measurement in LSND region MiniBooNE • Additional “sterile” neutrinos involved in oscillations (M.Sorel, J.Conrad, M.Shaevitz, PRD 70(2004)073004 (hep-ph/0305255) G. Karagiorgi et al., PRD75(2007)013011 (hep-ph/0609177) hep- ph/ 0305255 5 The MiniBooNE Experiment LMC 8GeV Booster • • • • • • • K+ p+ magnetic horn and target + decay pipe 25 or 50 m ? e 450 m dirt detector Proposed in summer 1997,operating since 2002 Goal to confirm or exclude the LSND result Similar L/E as LSND – Baseline: L = 451 meters, ~ x15 LSND – Neutrino Beam Energy: E ~ x(10-20) LSND Different systematics: event signatures and backgrounds different from LSND High statistics: ~ x5 LSND 5.579E20 POT for neutrino mode since 2002. Switch horn polarity to run anti-neutrino mode since January 2006. 6 The MiniBooNE Collaboration Y.Liu, D.Perevalov, I.Stancu University of Alabama S.Koutsoliotas Bucknell University R.A.Johnson, J.L.Raaf University of Cincinnati T.Hart, R.H.Nelson, M.Tzanov M.Wilking, E.D.Zimmerman University of Colorado A.A.Aguilar-Arevalo, L.Bugel L.Coney, J.M.Conrad, Z. Djurcic, K.B.M.Mahn, J.Monroe, D.Schmitz M.H.Shaevitz, M.Sorel, G.P.Zeller Columbia University D.Smith Embry Riddle Aeronautical University L.Bartoszek, C.Bhat, S.J.Brice B.C.Brown, D. A. Finley, R.Ford, F.G.Garcia, P.Kasper, T.Kobilarcik, I.Kourbanis, A.Malensek, W.Marsh, P.Martin, F.Mills, C.Moore, E.Prebys, A.D.Russell , P.Spentzouris, R.J.Stefanski, T.Williams Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory D.C.Cox, T.Katori, H.Meyer, C.C.Polly R.Tayloe Indiana University G.T.Garvey, A.Green, C.Green, W.C.Louis, G.McGregor, S.McKenney G.B.Mills, H.Ray, V.Sandberg, B.Sapp, R.Schirato, R.Van de Water N.L.Walbridge, D.H.White Los Alamos National Laboratory R.Imlay, W.Metcalf, S.Ouedraogo, M.O.Wascko Louisiana State University J.Cao, Y.Liu, B.P.Roe, H.J.Yang University of Michigan A.O.Bazarko, P.D.Meyers, R.B.Patterson, F.C.Shoemaker, H.A.Tanaka Princeton University P.Nienaber Saint Mary's University of Minnesota J. M. Link Virginia Polytechnic Institute E.Hawker Western Illinois University A.Curioni, B.T.Fleming Yale University e Oscillation Search • Beam e / 0.5% • Detector • • • • 12m diameter tank Filled with 900 tons of pure mineral oil Optically isolated inner region with 1280 PMTs Outer veto region with 240 PMTs. • Detector Requirements: – Detect and Measure Events: Vertex, E … – Separate events from e events 7 Oscillation Signal An Excess of “e” Events over Expectation • Understanding the expected events is therefore the key – Need to know the neutrino fluxes • Electron neutrinos from , K+, and K0 decay • Muon neutrinos can make background or give the signal – Need to know the /e neutrino cross section vs. energy • Events = flux × cross section – Need to know the e reconstruction efficiency vs energy • Observed events = efficiency × events – Need to know the probability for events to be mis-identified as e events Events with single EM showers look like e events • Neutral current (NC) p0 events are the main mis-id background • NC production followed by radiative decay, N • Photons entering from outside detector (“Dirt” background) 8 9 Event Reconstruction • Use energy deposition and timing of hits in the phototubes – Prompt Cherenkov light • Highly directional with respect to particle direction • Used to give particle track direction and length – Delayed scintillation light • Amount depends on particle type Delayed Scintillation Spectrum of Michel electrons from stopping muons(MeV) Michel electron energy Preliminary Calibrations 15% E resolution at 53 MeV PRELIMINARY Energy vs. Range for events stopping in scintillator cubes p0 Mass Distribution Preliminary 10 • • Muon id from delayed decay electron signature (92% non-capture probability) 11 Particle ID Algorithms Identify events using – hit topology • PID Vars – Reconstructed physical observables • Track length, particle production angle relative to beam direction e candidate – Auxiliary quantities • Timing, charge related : early/prompt/late hit fractions, charge likelihood – Geometric quantities • • Distance to wall candidate Two PID algorithms 1. Likelihood based analysis: e/ and e/p0 2. A “boosted decision tree” algorithm to separate e, , p0 (See B. Roe et al. NIM A543 (2005)) p0 candidate NuMI Offaxis MiniBooNE’s Calibration Beam 12 Need to verify our PID with e in the signal energy range,but can’t due to blind analysis. Solution: use someone else’s beam! MiniBooNE Sitting off axis, we see a beam which is enhanced in e flux and is in a useful energy range. Results for Offaxis NuMI Beam in MiniBooNE • • MiniBooNE sees events from the offaxis NuMI beam – They show up as events during the 8 s NuMI beam window These events have a significant e component that can be used to test our PID system Likelihood Algorithm Boosted Decision Tree Algorithm Preliminary PRELIMINARY 13 14 MiniBooNE Oscillation Search Method • Do a combined oscillation fit to the observed and e energy distribution for data vs prediction • Systematic (and statistical) uncertainties in (Mij)-1 matrix – Uncertainties come from analyses of external and internal data – Covariance matrix includes correlations between e and events • Predictions for the various backgrounds are directly constrained by actual MiniBooNE measurements – Constraints significantly reduce systematic uncertainties – Combined fit also reduces e uncertainties using high stat events 15 Expected Event Numbers Events with Selection Requirements No Cuts Events = 193,730 (mainly CCQE) (Final data sample for 5.58 × 1020 pot) Simple Cuts: E > 60 MeV Veto Hits > 6 Events with e Selection Requirements Events Time (ns) Events Time (ns) Total Expected Background = 915 events Example Osc Signal = 315 events (m2 = 0.4 eV2 , sin22q = 0.017) 16 Systematic Uncertainties • Sources of uncertainty for the e candidate events – Uncertainties come from modeling the beam, neutrino interactions, and the detector (These uncertainties will be reduced by using MiniBooNE data) • Uncertainties from external and non-osc internal constraints – – – – – – – – – Neutrino flux from p+ decay Neutrino flux from K+ decay Neutrino flux from K0 decay Neutrino flux from + decay Xsec uncertainties External interactions (“Dirt”) NC p0 Mid-ID Radiative N Optical Model Next: Few examples of these systematic uncertainty estimates. Pion and Kaon Production • pBe Pion production – pBe production s measured by the HARP collaboration at pproton = 8.9 GeV – MiniBooNE uses a parameterization with uncertainties set to cover measurements. 17 • pBe K+ and K0 production – Use external pBe cross section measurements for beam momenta from 9.5 – 24 GeV – MiniBooNE uses a parameterization with uncertainties set to cover measurements. 18 Cross Section Uncertainties • Differential cross section for quasielastic scattering determined from MiniBooNE data • Shape fits are performed to observed data Q2 distribution using a relativistic-Fermi-gas model • Two parameters (and their uncertainties) are determined: – Axial mass parameter, MA – A Pauli blocking parameter • Fit also agrees well with neutrino energy distributions • Other cross sections (i.e. CC1p) are determined from MiniBooNE data combined with previous external measurements Quasi-Elastic Scattering: n p 19 Optical Model Uncertainties Uncertainties on the parameters associated with optical model are used to determine the uncertainties for the oscillation search • Light Creation – Cerenkov – well known – Scintillation • yield • spectrum • decay times • Light Propagation ● – Fluoresence • rate • spectrum • decay times – Scattering • Rayleigh • Particulate (Mie) – Absorption In Situ – ● Cosmics muons, Michel electrons, Laser External – Scintillation from p beam (IUCF) – Scintillation from cosmic (Cincinnati) – Fluorescence Spectroscopy (FNAL) – Time resolved spectroscopy (Princeton, JHU) – Attenuation (Cincinnati) Backgrounds Constraints from MiniBooNE Data • All of the major backgrounds for the oscillation search can be constrained directly from measurements using MiniBooNE data • NC p0 production – Largest Mis-ID background is from NC p0 production where one of the decay photons is missed. This background is constrained from the large fraction of NC p0 events that are observed and measured in MiniBooNE • External events – Backgrounds from the events in material outside of the MiniBooNE detector are constrained by the isolation and measurement of such events. • Intrinsic kaon decay e’s – Intrinsic e background from kaon decay can be constrained by observed e events at high energy where there are no oscillation events • Intrinsic muon decay e’s – Largest intrinsic e background is from muon decay and is highly constrained by the observed events. The constraint is applied by using the combined e/ oscillation fit. 20 NC p0 Background Constraint • Using PID variables isolate a very pure sample p0 events from N N + p0 (mainly from N + p0 ) • Purity ~90% or greater • Measure p0 production rate as a function of p0 momentum and compare to MC prediction to calculate a correction factor. • Correct NC p0 mis-ID rate using this measured correction factor (Also can be used to correct the N + radiative background) 21 M Mass Distribution for Various pp0 Momentum Bins Constraining External Event (“Dirt”) Background • Neutrino beam interacts with material outside of MiniBooNE detector creating photons (100 ~ 300 MeV) that come into the tank and produce electron-like events. • Dirt events contribute ~10% of background for oscillation nue search. • N_dirt_measured / N_dirt_expected = 0.99 ± 0.15 Enhanced Background Cuts Event Type of Dirt after PID cuts 22 Kaon Intrinsic e Background Constrained by High Energy Data • At high energy, candidate e events are mainly from kaon decay – Small contributions from -decay and p0 mis-id • Normalization of the kaon intrinsic background can be partially constrained within uncertainties by the level of this high energy data Preliminary 23 24 Constraining the Intrinsic e Background from Muon Decay • Muon decay is the largest source of e background but is highly constrained by the observed events. – MiniBooNE subtends a very small forward solid angle for neutrinos from pion decay observed E 0.6 Ep – So, the measured energy spectrum gives both the number and energy spectrum of the decaying pions – These decaying pions are the source of the e mu-decay background • The combined / e oscillation fit: – Automatically takes this correlation into account – Effectively constrains the e background with an error that depends primarily on the event statistics. Summary MiniBooNE Oscillation Analysis Strategy • Develop a very detailed simulation of the neutrino beam and detector using both internal and external information 90%CL • Constrain the uncertainties associated with the simulation using actual MiniBooNE data and measurements • Accomplish the oscillation search by doing a combined e/ fit to the observed event distribution vs. energy. Monte Carlo Sensitivity Estimate 25 26 Summary • From the beginning, MiniBooNE decided to do a “blind analysis” – Candidate e events in the oscillation energy region were sequester (~5000 events) (“Closed Box”) – The other several 100,000 events were open for examination (“Open Box”) • Collaboration is in the final stages: – Checking the “Open Box” data including new “Side Band” regions – Assessing final cuts for enhancing the oscillations sensitivity • Opening the “Closed Box” is close – After opening, the result will be presented after about two weeks.