ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2008 Factorial Experiments Example: Study of the effects of five cowpea varieties and method of cultivation on yield. Yield, in lb. per plot of 1 100 morgen1, Cowpea varieties: A, B, C, D; Method of cultivation: 1, 2, 3. Methods of Cultivation correspond to the factor “spacing in the rows” (S) with three levels: 4” (Method 1), 8” (Method 3), and 12” (Method 2). 1. Analysis of Variance: Factorial Experiment RCBD, 5 Variety × 3 Row Spacing × 4 Blk Fixed effects model, Model, RCBD: yijk k i j ij ijk k 0, k i 0, j 0, j i ij 0 , ijk ~ N 0, 2 i, j ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------original scale yield in lb/plot 1 The GLM Procedure Class Level Information Class Levels Values blk 4 1 2 3 4 Variety 5 A B C D E spacing 3 4 8 12 Number of Observations Read Number of Observations Used 60 60 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------original scale yield in lb/plot 2 The GLM Procedure Dependent Variable: yield Source DF Sum of Squares Mean Square F Value Pr > F Model 17 2711.900000 159.523529 12.59 <.0001 Error 42 532.100000 12.669048 Corrected Total 59 3244.000000 Source blk Variety spacing Variety*spacing 1 R-Square Coeff Var Root MSE yield Mean 0.835974 6.244492 3.559361 57.00000 DF Type I SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F 3 4 2 8 638.400000 1089.166667 109.200000 875.133333 212.800000 272.291667 54.600000 109.391667 16.80 21.49 4.31 8.63 <.0001 <.0001 0.0198 <.0001 South African unit of measure equal to about 2 acres. Tuesday October 21, 2008 Orthogonal Polynomial contrasts 1 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2008 Factorial Experiments Source blk Variety spacing Variety*spacing DF Type III SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F 3 4 2 8 638.400000 1089.166667 109.200000 875.133333 212.800000 272.291667 54.600000 109.391667 16.80 21.49 4.31 8.63 <.0001 <.0001 0.0198 <.0001 2. Hypothesis for main effect of Variety H o : A B C D E 0 H1 : i 0, for some i =A, B, H o : 4" 8" 12" 0 3. Hypothesis for main effect of Row Spacing ,E H1 : j 0, for some j=1, 2, 3 4. Hypothesis for interaction effects Variety* Row Spacing H o : A1 A2 E 2 E 3 0 H1 : ij 0, for some i =A, ,E; j =1,2,3 5. Since all P values (Pr > F) are lower than the significance level α = 0.05, we can reject each null hypothesis and conclude that the effects of variety on yield is dependent on the row spacing selected (Variety*Spacing is significant, P < 0.0001). 6. Main effect of Variety is significant, (P < 0.0001 ). There are significant differences on the response (yield) to the distinct Varieties on average of Row Spacing. 7. Main effect of Row Spacing is significant, (P = 0.0198 < 0.05 = There are significant differences on the response (yield) to the distinct Row Spacing on average of Varieties. 8. Main effects of Variety and Row Spacing are less important since their interaction is significant. Means Obs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 original scale yield in lb/plot var_ Variety spacing mn_yield yield A B C D E A A A B B B C C C D D D E E E . 4 8 12 . . . . . 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 57.0000 55.3000 57.1000 58.6000 51.3333 56.1667 55.4167 57.6667 64.4167 47.5000 50.7500 55.7500 57.5000 56.7500 54.2500 53.2500 55.2500 57.7500 62.2500 58.5000 52.2500 56.0000 64.2500 73.0000 54.9831 44.1158 39.5684 81.3053 48.9697 10.3333 40.0833 23.3333 73.1742 33.6667 42.2500 57.5833 7.0000 10.2500 12.9167 46.9167 50.2500 36.2500 4.9167 3.6667 8.9167 28.6667 14.9167 32.0000 4 stderr_ yield 0.95728 1.48519 1.40656 2.01625 2.02010 0.92796 1.82764 1.39443 2.46938 2.90115 3.25000 3.79418 1.32288 1.60078 1.79699 3.42479 3.54436 3.01040 1.10868 0.95743 1.49304 2.67706 1.93111 2.82843 Analysis of Variety Main Effect Tuesday October 21, 2008 Orthogonal Polynomial contrasts 2 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2008 Factorial Experiments Analysis of Row Spacing Main Effect and Row Spacing*Variety Interaction Effect Graphical representation of the mean response (yield) Row Spacing y ij . Variety 4” 8” 12” A B C D E y. j. 47.5000 50.7500 55.7500 51.333 57.5000 56.7500 54.2500 56.167 53.2500 55.2500 57.7500 55.417 62.2500 58.5000 52.2500 57.667 56.0000 64.2500 73.0000 64.417 55.300 57.100 58.600 Tuesday October 21, 2008 Orthogonal Polynomial contrasts yi.. y... = 57.000 3 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2008 Factorial Experiments Orthogonal Contrasts – Orthogonal Polynomial Coefficients Equally spaced quantitative treatments or levels of a quantitative factor. Their use allows for the analysis of the independent computation of the contribution of a given power of the independent variable (factor), X, X2, X3, . . . For a quadratic curve, orthogonal polynomial curve, Y Y b11 b22 , can be analyzed using the coefficients in table, where 1 , 2 are the orthogonal transformation of X, X2. Main effect is partitioned in a set of mutually orthogonal effects, each with one degree of freedom, and associated test for the null hypothesis that the polynomial term equal 0, H o : b1 0 H o : b2 0 Sequentially, each sum of squares is the additional contribution due to fitting a curve one degree higher. Similar decomposition may be used to study significant interactions between factors. Table of coefficients – orthogonal polynomial contrasts – 1 degree of freedom Nº of levels Factor Divisor Order 1 2 3 4 5 c 2 i i -1 +1 1 -1 0 +1 2 2 +1 -2 +1 6 1 -3 -1 +1 +3 20 2 +1 -1 -1 +1 4 3 -1 +3 -3 +1 20 1 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 10 2 +2 -1 -2 -1 +2 14 3 -1 +2 0 -2 +1 10 4 +1 -4 +6 -4 +1 70 2 3 4 5 2 Analysis of Spacing Main Effects - Orthogonal polynomial Tuesday October 21, 2008 Orthogonal Polynomial contrasts 4 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2008 Factorial Experiments In example, factor “Spacing in the rows” (S) is a quantitative factor with three levels: 4”, 8” and 12”. Slinear is used to analyzed whether response (yield) to increasing levels of spacing presents a linear trend. Sdev. linear allows us to test whether response (yield) to increasing levels of spacing is not simply linear, but may require a higher degree polynomial. Table of Means and Totals for each Method (Spacing) with associated coefficients for orthogonal polynomial contrasts c1 c2 r cij2 c3 div i. j yc i i div i Means 55.3000 57.10 58.60 Totals 1106 1142 1172 Slinear -1 0 1 40 -2 +1 120 Sdev. linear +1 2 1.650 4 -0.075 Concave curve Number of repetitions for each mean is 4*5 = 20 Sum of squared coefficients = 2 (linear) = 6 (dev.from linear) Estimated value of the linear combination of means related to Slinear C linear and Sdev. linear C dev.linear C linear -1 55.30 0 57.10 1 58.60 3.30 1.65 2 C dev.linear 2 1 55.30 2 57.10 1 58.60 0.3 0.075 4 4 Decomposition of the Sum of Squares for Spacing in SS(Slinear) and SS(Sdev. linear) SS(Spacing) = SS(due to linear effect of Spacing) + SS(deviation from linear effect of Spacing) SS(deviation from linear effect of Spacing) is what is remaining after fitting the linear effect of Spacing if this term is significant, then the effect of Spacing on the response (yield) is not just linear, it may be necessary to run a new experiment with more levels of spacing to get a better idea of the trend of the response to increasing levels of spacing. Working with Totals for each spacing level: Tuesday October 21, 2008 Orthogonal Polynomial contrasts 5 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2008 Factorial Experiments Cˆ -1 1106 0 1142 1 1172 2 SS Slinear 2 linear r cij2 4 5 -1 0 1 2 i, j SS Sdev linear Cˆ dev linear r cij2 2 2 662 108.9 40 108.9 + 0.3 = 109.2 = SS (Spacing) 2 62 0.3 120 i, j Contrast DF Contrast SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F 1 1 108.9000000 0.3000000 108.9000000 0.3000000 8.60 0.02 0.0054 0.8784 Row Spacing linear Row Spacing dev linear Estimate Dependent Variable: yield Estimate Standard Error t Value Pr > |t| 1.65000000 -0.07500000 0.56278432 0.48738552 2.93 -0.15 0.0054 0.8784 Parameter Row Spacing linear Row Spacing dev linear (-2.93)2 = 8.60 Conclusion: Linear Main effect of Row Spacing is highly significant, while Dev. From Linear is not significant. A linear trend is adequate to represent the trend on yield response to increasing levels of Row Spacing. Analysis Interaction effects of Variety*Row Spacing Variety Spacing A 4” 8” 12” B 4” 8” 12” C 4” 8” 12” D 4” 8” 12” E 4” 8” 12” c11 c12 c13 c21 c22 c23 c31 c32 c33 c41 c42 c43 c51 c52 c53 means 47.50 50.75 55.75 57.50 56.75 54.25 53.25 55.25 57.75 62.25 58.50 52.25 56.00 64.25 73.00 Totals 190 -1 Slinear Sdev. linear -1 203 223 230 227 217 213 221 231 249 234 209 224 257 292 0 2 1 -1 -1 -1 0 2 1 -1 -1 -1 0 2 1 -1 -1 -1 0 2 1 -1 -1 -1 0 2 1 -1 Contrasts Sum of Squares within each cultivar SS Slinear , A C linear , A r cij2 2 -1 190 0 203 1 223 4 -1 0 1 2 i, j Contrast Row Spacing Row Spacing Row Spacing Row Spacing Row Spacing Row Spacing Row Spacing Row Spacing Row Spacing Row Spacing linear in A linear in B linear in C linear in D linear in E dev linear in dev linear in dev linear in dev linear in dev linear in A B C D E DF 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 Contrast SS 136.1250000 21.1250000 40.5000000 200.0000000 578.0000000 2.0416667 2.0416667 0.1666667 4.1666667 0.1666667 Tuesday October 21, 2008 Orthogonal Polynomial contrasts 332 136.125 8 Mean Square 136.1250000 21.1250000 40.5000000 200.0000000 578.0000000 2.0416667 2.0416667 0.1666667 4.1666667 0.1666667 F Value 10.74 1.67 3.20 15.79 45.62 0.16 0.16 0.01 0.33 0.01 Pr > F 0.0021 0.2037 0.0810 0.0003 <.0001 0.6901 0.6901 0.9092 0.5694 0.9092 * ns ns * * ns ns ns ns ns 6 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2008 Factorial Experiments Sum = 984.33 = (109.2+875.13) = [SS (S) + SS (V*S)] Estimated coefficients – orthogonal polynomial contrasts Dependent Variable: yield Parameter Row Row Row Row Row Spacing Spacing Spacing Spacing Spacing linear linear linear linear linear in in in in in A B C D E Estimate Standard Error t Value Pr > |t| 4.12500000 -1.62500000 2.25000000 -5.00000000 8.50000000 1.25842400 1.25842400 1.25842400 1.25842400 1.25842400 3.28 -1.29 1.79 -3.97 6.75 0.0021 0.2037 0.0810 0.0003 <.0001 Row Spacing linear in A = C linear , A -1 47.50 0 50.75 1 55.75 8.25 4.125 2 2 Row Spacing linear in B C linear , B -1 57.50 0 56.75 1 54.25 3.25 1.625 2 The GLM Procedure 2 Dependent Variable: yield Parameter Row Row Row Row Row Spacing Spacing Spacing Spacing Spacing linear linear linear linear linear dev dev dev dev dev in in in in in A B C D E Estimate Standard Error t Value Pr > |t| 0.43750000 -0.43750000 0.12500000 -0.62500000 0.12500000 1.08982715 1.08982715 1.08982715 1.08982715 1.08982715 0.40 -0.40 0.11 -0.57 0.11 0.6901 0.6901 0.9092 0.5694 0.9092 Row Spacing Dev. from linear in A = C dev.linear , A 1 47.50 2 50.75 1 55.75 1.75 0.4375 4 4 Row Spacing Dev. from linear in B = 1 57.50 2 56.75 1 54.25 1.75 0.4375 C dev.linear , B 4 4 Analysis of Simple effects Analyze Variety effect within eah spacing level The GLM Procedure Least Squares Means Variety*spacing Effect Sliced by spacing for yield Sum of Tuesday October 21, 2008 Orthogonal Polynomial contrasts 7 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2008 Factorial Experiments spacing 4 8 12 DF Squares Mean Square F Value Pr > F 4 4 4 474.700000 387.800000 1101.800000 118.675000 96.950000 275.450000 9.37 7.65 21.74 <.0001 0.0001 <.0001 Analyze Row Spacing Effect within each Variety The GLM Procedure Least Squares Means Variety*spacing Effect Sliced by Variety for yield Variety A B C D E DF Sum of Squares Mean Square F Value Pr > F 2 2 2 2 2 138.166667 23.166667 40.666667 204.166667 578.166667 69.083333 11.583333 20.333333 102.083333 289.083333 5.45 0.91 1.60 8.06 22.82 0.0078 0.4086 0.2130 0.0011 <.0001 Tuesday October 21, 2008 Orthogonal Polynomial contrasts 8