The California Current System from a Lagrangian Perspective Carter Ohlmann Institute for Computational Earth System Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 Collaborators: Luca Centurioni and Peter Niiler 0 0.5 probability 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 2 1 1 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 3 how a physical oceanographer might address the problem crux: obtaining a large number of accurate trajectories 1 Outline: • tools to describe the ocean pathways - surface drifters for various scales - satellite altimetry - numerical models • summary of CCS drifter observations • CCS shown with combined data sets • comparison between data and OGCM results • how would ballast water move? Goals: • present tools for observing the CCS circulation • indicate the CCS general circulation • demonstrate the importance of eddies • show the “inshore” region has different physics Message: • need to know pathways prior to designating ballast water dumping sites • tools and knowledge exist so this can be done with unprecedented accuracy SVP drifter Ø38 cm • spherical plastic float, 38 cm diameter • holey sock drogue (length ~ 5m) SST • SST (thermistor +- 0.1° C) • drogue on/off sensor (strain gauge, submergence) • ARGOS position (150 – 1000 m; 3 – 4 hrs) • drag area ratio ~ 40; slip = 1 - 2 cm s-1 • mean half life >400 days • Kriging of fixes (6 hour intervals) • Correction for wind slip • Recovery of “drogue off” data 15 m drifter tracks in the California Current Microstar drifter • tri-star drogue (length ~1m) • GPS position accurate to 10 m • position updates every 10 minutes • data transmitted via Mobitex™ digital, data-only, cellular network • near real-time data and thus recoverable • drag-area-ratio = 41.3 • slip 1 – 2 cm s-1 • 1 – 2 day deployment time 2 x 2 km grid cell Satellite altimetry for measuring sea level sea level and drifter tracks HYCOM NLOM POP ROMS spatial domain global global global ~1000 x 2000 km (USWC) vertical coordinates hybrid layers levels sigma (ETOPO5) horizontal resolution 1/12° (~7 km) 1/32° (~3.5 km) 1/10° (~10 km) ~5 km 26 6 + ML 40 20 6 hour 6 hour 6 hour 15 minute mixed layer KPP Kraus-Turner KPP KPP wind forcing ECMWF NOGAPS/HR NOGAPS COADS (seasonal) heat forcing ECMWF NOGAPS ECMWF COADS (seasonal) buoyancy forcing COADS (restored to Levitus) Levitus (restoring) Levitus (restoring) COADS (seasonal); parameterization for Columbia River outflow integration time 1990-2001 1991-2000 1990-2000 9 years none SST, SSH none none vertical layers/levels time step assimilation other Low computational cost open boundaries All approaches to determining trajectories have strengths and weaknesses • drifters - most accurate trajectories sampling bias • altimetry – excellent time and space coverage aliasing issues • models – models are models • HF radar – excellent time and space coverage range limitations An understanding of ballast water transport will come from a combination of approaches number of 6-hr drifter observations in a 0.5º x 0.5º bin mean velocity field at 15 m depth from drifter observations cm s-1 mean EKE0.5 at 15 m depth from drifter observations vector correlation and scatter plots of “geostrophic” velocity residuals from drifters and AVISO unbiased geostrophic velocity at 15 m from drifters and altimetry mean geostrophic EKE0.5 from corrected altimetry cm s-1 mean sea level (cm) from various ocean models HYCOM NLOM POP ROMS EKE0.5 from various ocean models (0-20 cm s-1) HYCOM POP NLOM ROMS EKE0.5 comparison with data (0-20 cm s1) ROMS unbiased drifter data Question: How would dumped ballast water be transported through the CCS? Answer: Don’t know exactly, yet; but know how to figure it out. • large quantities of trajectories are needed • connectivity matrices can be computed • many observational capabilities exist • combination of data sets is powerful Key point summary: • a variety of observational techniques can be combined for leveraging (including models) • eddy energy is many times larger than the mean beyond the shelf break (altimetry + drifters) • shelf flow is neither in geostrophic nor Ekman balance; Lagrangian observations are lacking; need work here • new drifter technology and HF radar are available for observing shelf circulation • accurate pathways are not presently available, but the data and methods for determining them are