Health chief out to cool tempers in urn-space row Joyce Ma 4B (20) Jocelyn Ching 4C (8) Scarlett Chiang The government is considering a voluntary registration system to deter columbarium operators from breaching land- use terms. Secretary for Food and Health York Chow Yat-ngok yesterday told a Legislative Council hearing that a voluntary registration system will make information more transparent and protect those seeking spaces for urns from illegal columbarium operators. Chow was responding to Democrat Kam Nai-wai who said an estimated 10,000 customers were affected when the Lands Department demanded some columbariums halt their operations for breaching the terms of their land leases. Asked whether the government should set up a licensing system for private columbariums, Chow said they have not imposed any specific regulations since human ashes pose neither health nor environmental hygiene concerns. However, Civic Party lawmaker Tanya Chan Shuk-chong said a clear-cut set of policies is needed because demand for urn spaces has been huge. A wild scramble broke out in September when spaces were put up for sale at Ching Chung Koon in Tuen Mun. The temple offered 1,000 new spaces for HK$50,000 to HK$200,000 each and about 100 people who had queued for 30 hours refused to give up their places when operators opted for a raffle system instead of allocating on a first-come, first-served basis. Chow, however, said it is difficult to assess the demand for public and private columbarium niches because it depends on public acceptance of scattering ashes in gardens or in other places. He also said some foreign practices are not applicable to Hong Kong, citing as example countries like Japan where cremation is compulsory. "As for the culture in Hong Kong, it is difficult to force cremation on all the people." Chow said government estimates put the total annual number of deaths and cremations in the next 10 years at about 47,700 and 43,900, respectively, based on past data. There are about 167,900 public columbarium niches in Hong Kong , all of which have been allotted. Date: Thursday, December 10, 2009 Source: The Standard 1 F.4 Economics: News Analysis The demand for urn spaces has been huge but the public urn spaces available are not sufficient. People have to queue for them. Price D The market prices of public urn spaces are much lower than the equilibrium price. S Pe The quantity demanded is greater than the quantity supplied. Pm 0 Qs Qd There is excess demand for public urn spaces. Quantity Excess demand Public Urn Spaces Fig. 1 As public urn spaces and private urn spaces are substitutes, those people who are unable to get a public urn space would want to get a private urn space. The demand for private urn spaces increases. Price D1 D2 Assume the market of private urn spaces is in equilibrium. S As the demand for private urn spaces increases, the demand curve shifts right. P2 P1 The equilibrium price increases (P1=>P2) and the equilibrium quantity also increases (Q1=>Q2). 0 Fig. 2 Q1 Q2 Private Urn Spaces Quantity People have to pay a higher price (P2) for private urn spaces. 2 Now that the government is considering a voluntary registration system to deter columbarium operators from breaching land- use terms and to make information more transparent and protect those seeking spaces for urns from illegal columbarium operators. Therefore among the private urn spaces available in the market, there will be much less illegal urn spaces. The supply of urn spaces decreases. Price D1 D2 S2 S1 As the supply of private urn spaces decreases, the supply curve shifts left. P3 P2 The equilibrium price increases (P2=>P3) and the equilibrium quantity decreases (Q2=>Q3). P1 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Private Urn Spaces People have to pay even a higher price (P3) for private urn spaces. Quantity Fig. 3 Ching Chung Koon offered 1,000 new spaces for the public. The supply of private urn spaces increases. Price D2 D1 S2 S3 S1 P3 P4 P2 P1 0 Q2 Q1 Q3 Private Urn Spaces Fig. 4 Quantity Q4 3 Refer to Fig. 4, as the supply of private urn spaces increases, the supply curve shifts right. The equilibrium price decreases (P3=>P4) and the equilibrium quantity increases (Q2=>Q4). People can pay a lower price (P3) for private urn spaces. However, they price they have to pay is still higher than P1 and P2. The government estimated the total annual number of deaths and cremations in the next 10 years will be about 47,700. However, all 167,900 public columbarium niches have been allotted. The demand for urn spaces will increase in the future. For public urn spaces, D1 D2 S Pe Pm 0 Qd1 Qs Qd2 Quantity Old Excess demand Fig. 5 There is already an excess demand for public urn spaces in the market. However, the demand for urn spaces will continue to grow in the future. The demand will increase. This will make the problem of excess demand for public urn spaces even more serious. New Excess demand Public Urn Spaces For private urn spaces, Price D2 D3 The price (P4) of private urn spaces is already very high. However, the demand for urn spaces will continue to grow in the future. The demand will increase. This will make the price (P5) of private urn spaces even higher than before. S3 P5 P4 0 Q4 Q5 Quantity Private Urn Spaces Fig. 6 4