The Power of Policy Ideas: Are California’s Community Colleges Really Affordable? If Not What Can a Strapped State Do?* William Zumeta Daniel J. Evans School of Public Affairs & College of Education University of Washington Presented at the Steinhardt Institute for Higher Education Policy New York University March 12, 2008 * Based on a study by Zumeta and Deborah Frankle, Strengthening California’s Community Colleges and Affordable Access to Them, published by the National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education, Report #071, March 2007. Financial support from the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation is gratefully acknowledged. 1 Tuition/Fees in 50 States $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $- 2 Expenditures per FTES – Selected WICHE States $14,000 $12,000 $10,000 $8,000 $6,000 $4,000 $2,000 go n O re o ic ex M ew N W as hi ng to n da ev a N ra do ol o Ar iz on a C C al ifo r ni a $- 3 Many of California Community Colleges’ students are lower income than in other states. Community College Student Income Distribution by State, 2004 10th Percentile 25th Percentile 50th Percentile 75th Percentile 90th Percentile Dependent Students US excl. CA California Illinois Texas New York $ 15,554 9,084 19,065 15,432 13,535 $ 30,362 23,896 35,444 26,561 27,326 $ 53,120 49,805 57,167 51,902 46,551 $ 82,968 81,403 80,076 80,082 76,736 $ 121,400 123,589 103,203 116,064 126,796 Independent Students US excl. CA California Illinois Texas New York 4,358 2,990 5,163 3,632 3,419 12,576 11,516 14,582 11,538 10,877 27,291 29,013 31,914 25,603 24,294 50,927 57,048 56,697 47,871 46,272 78,135 87,968 86,740 75,378 68,780 Source: NPSAS:04 4 Hours Worked by CCC Students, by Student Category A key consequence of too little financial aid is that students work too many hours, hindering their academic progress. 2004 Dependent, Full-time Dependent, Part-time Independent, Full-time Independent, Part-time, <30 Independent, Part-time, 30+ All Categories Average Weekly Work Hours* # 23 30 29 33 36 32 2000 Dependent, Full-time Dependent, Part-time Independent, Full-time Independent, Part-time, <30 Independent, Part-time, 30+ All Categories 27 32 31 39 39 35 * Includes work-study. Does not include students who do not work. Source: NPSAS:04 5 CCC affordability is NOT mainly about fees. Fee Percentage of Total Cost of Full-Time Attendance, 2006-07 CSAC Budgets 9% 8% 7.6% Almost 29% of CCC credit enrollment receives BOG Fee Waivers… 28.7% 7% 6% 4.8% 5% 4% 3% …and over half of all full-time CCC students receive BOG Fee Waivers. 2% 1% 0% Living with Parents Living Off Campus Sources: CSAC Nine-Month Student Expense Budgets, Chancellor’s Office, August 2006 BFAP Report 51.6% 6 Non-fee costs of attendance are rising fast for CCC students. Five-Year Increases in Selected Price Indices Indexed to 2000-01 = 100 140 CPI, Educational Books and Supplies 130 CSAC, Off Campus Budget 120 CCPI 110 US CPI 100 90 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, California Department of Finance, CSAC Nine-Month Student Expense Budgets 7 Financial Aid Administrative Dollars per Undergraduate Student, 2004-05 $180 $160 California underinvests in financial aid capacity in the community colleges. $152 $140 $120 $100 $79 $80 $60 $41 $40 $20 $0 UC CSU This capacity is key to fully accessing federal aid and Cal Grants. CCC Source: Chancellor’s Office, August 2006 BFAP Report 8 Student Costs and Rates of Aid Application and Receipt (NPSAS:04) Dependent, Full-time US excl. CA California Tuition/ Fees $ $2,200 $584 Total Cost of Attendance $ $9,884 $9,224 Applied for Received Received Federal Aid Grants Loans % % % 59.2% 48.4% 24.9% 50.6% 31.2% 9.8% Dependent, Part-time US excl. CA California $1,013 $284 $4,879 $4,398 45.7% 41.8% 33.6% 23.8% 13.7% 3.2% Independent, Full-time US excl. CA $2,070 California $588 $11,198 $11,469 76.1% 69.1% 66.6% 53.9% 35.0% 22.4% Independent, Part-time <30 US excl. CA $847 California $244 $5,176 $5,036 52.3% 41.8% 47.2% 32.6% 15.7% 6.6% Independent, Part-time 30+ US excl. CA $849 California $220 $5,095 $5,269 38.9% 23.9% 45.2% 25.1% 11.8% 4.8% 9 Unmet Need After Financial Aid (NPSAS:04) Need After Grants % with Average Need Need Need After All Aid % with Average Need Need Dependent, Full-time US excl. CA 62.6% California 60.3% $4,717 $5,345 54.8% 57.8% $4,389 $5,097 Dependent, Part-time US excl. CA 37.9% California 41.7% $2,881 $2,920 32.3% 38.2% $2,740 $2,942 Independent, Full-time US excl. CA 90.9% California 94.5% $6,986 $7,493 76.5% 86.2% $5,854 $6,739 Independent, Part-time <30 US excl. CA 64.6% California 63.5% $3,426 $3,693 54.5% 60.4% $3,122 $3,553 Independent, Part-time 30+ US excl. CA 54.7% California 51.2% $3,337 $3,822 46.9% 48.5% $3,035 $3,673 10 Receipt of Pell and State Grants (NPSAS:04) Received Average Received Average Pell Grant Pell Grant State Grant State Grant Dependent, Full-time % $ % $ US excl. CA 25.7% $2,914 19.4% $1,269 California 19.9% $3,113 5.3% low n Dependent, Part-time US excl. CA California 18.7% 15.8% $1,830 $2,357 11.1% 4.0% $966 $1,135 Independent, Full-time US excl. CA California 53.6% 38.4% $3,274 $3,484 22.8% 7.9% $1,274 low n Independent, Part-time <30 US excl. CA 30.0% California 20.1% $1,749 $2,152 12.9% 1.4% $798 low n Independent, Part-time 30+ US excl. CA 21.9% California 11.8% $1,706 $2,185 11.4% 1.1% $750 low n 11 There are signs of improvement since the state's infusion of BFAP-SFAA funds for capacity building and aid outreach. Change in Percentage of CCC Students Receiving Major Types of Aid, 2000 and 2004 Applied for Federal Aid Received Pell Grant Received State Grant Received Loans 2004 All Students 35.9% 15.5% 2.7% 5.8% 2000 All Students 21.1% 10.6% 1.7% 3.4% Source: NPSAS:04 12 Pell Grant and BOG Fee Waivers and their share of credit enrollment are increasing. Credit Headcount BOG Fee Waivers % Receiving Fee Waiver Pell Grants % Receiving Pell Grants 2004-05 2,439,443 700,618 28.7% 259,268 10.6% 2000-01 2,605,949 485,311 18.6% 193,628 7.4% Source: Chancellor's Office Data Mart, accessed 8/14/06. Credit headcount comes from a special CO tabulation. 13 Recommendation: Expand Board Financial Assistance Program Outreach and Capacity-Building Why? CCC student population is needier but receives fewer financial aid resources than other segments Signs of improvement in aid application and receipt rates since major infusion of state BFAP funds in 2003-04 CCC students work too much, reducing persistence, completion, and transfer How? Research and disseminate best practices Increase incentives for FAFSA completion Tie increased resources to performance improvements 14 Recommendation: Enhance Cal Grant Programs Why? Increases to Cal Grant B Access Grants have not kept pace with inflation, much less costs of attendance 82% of eligible CCC applicants remained unserved by Competitive Grants in 2005-06 How? Increase value of Cal Grant B Access Grants and link the value to inflation or target a percentage of the originally legislated value. Provide more Competitive Grants to serve a target percentage of eligible applicants (e.g., 25% compared to current 18%). Changes to Cal Grant programs effective in 2001-02 have helped more CCC students. 15 Trend in Cal Grant B Access Grant Compared to Inflation Indexed to 1969-70 = 100 Access Grant CCPI 650 $5,190 550 450 Had the Cal Grant B Access Grant’s value kept pace with inflation, it would be worth $5,190 for 2006-07. 350 250 150 $900 $1,551 50 1969-70 Instead, the 2006-07 maximum Access Award is $1,551. 2006-07 Notes: CCPI for 2006-07 is a Department of Finance estimate. Sources: California Department of Finance, California Postsecondary Education Commission 16 Recommendation: Establish Rational Fee Policy (1 of 2) Why? CCC affordability is not mainly about fees! Low-income students needn’t pay fees due to BOG Fee Waivers Impending fee rollbacks will cost the California treasury $80 million and the neediest students $20 million in aid (LAO estimates) Low fees contribute to low rates of aid application The system needs more revenues to improve financial aid capacity and student persistence, completion, and transfer rates 17 Recommendation: Establish Rational Fee Policy (2 of 2) How? Create consistency and predictability for CCCs and students by tying annual fee increases to an affordability indicator such as state per capita personal income (average annual growth was 4.36% over 19962005) This implies annual fee increases ranging from $0.87 to $1.23 per credit between 2007-08 and 2015-16. Use additional fee revenues to invest in student services designed to improve financial aid capacity and student persistence, completion, and transfer To reduce disincentives for fee increases, the state should match revenue from increases to fund a Community College Grants Program targeted at particular student needs 18