Perspectives on Minnesota’s Health Industry Workforce Minnesota Rural Health Conference July 19, 2005 Duluth, MN Jay Fonkert Office of Rural Health and Primary Care MN Department of Health Opinions expressed in this presentation are the sole responsibility of the author and do not represent opinions or positions of the Minnesota Department of Health or the State of Minnesota. Workforce Analysis Program Office of Rural Health and Primary Care Annual surveys of licensed health professionals to better understand workforce demographics and disparities in health care access Health care industry accounts for 11 percent of all private sector employee compensation in Minnesota. 11% Health Services 89% Other private nonfarm industries Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, regional accounts, 2003 Ambulatory Care employees receive more than half of all health care compensation in Minnesota. 16% Nursing and residential care facilities 54% 30% Hospitals Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, regional accounts, 2003 Ambulatory Care Some counties with high dependence of health care employment Olmsted (Rochester) 37% Wilkin (Breckenridge) 25% Chisago 22% Grant 21% Mille Lacs 20% St. Louis (Duluth) 20% Health care and social services employment as % of wage and salary employment Statewide: 13% Source: U. S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional accounts, 2002 Minnesota’s Healthcare Workforce Estimated active at MN sites, 2004 LPNs RNs Physician Assistants Physicians 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 Minnesota’s Healthcare Workforce Estimated active at MN sites, 2004 Dental assistants Dental hygienists Dentists 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 Largest Minnesota health occupations Registered nurses 50,420 $20.09 Nursing assistants, orderlies and attendants 30,110 $9.36 Home health workers 18,250 $9.00 Licensed practical and vocational nurses 16,710 $13.91 Pharmacy technicians 6,130 $12.40 Medical assistants 5,200 $12.99 Dental assistants 4,370 $15.00 Dental hygienists 4,250 $28.00 Source: Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development, 2nd Quarter 2004. Half of Minnesota health care workers work outside hospitals or physician offices. All other sites 34% Hospitals 36% 15% Nursing care facilities 15% Physician and dentist offices Source: U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns, 2002. Male – Female Composition of Workforce Physicians 72% Physician assistants 28% 40% RNs 6% LPNs 3% 60% 94% 97% RCPs 37% Physical therapists 63% 24% 76% 81% Dentists 0% Dental assistants Dental hygienists 0% 19% 100% 1% 99% 20% 40% Male 60% Female Source: MDH, Office of Rural Health and Primary Care, 2004 survey data. 80% 100% Dentists, physicians and RNs are older than other practitioners. Median age of MN practitioners 47 Physicians Physician assistants 39 47 RNs Respiratory care practitioners Physical therapists 44 39 Dentists Dental assistants Dental hygienists Source: MDH, Office of Rural Health and Primary Care, 2004 survey data. 49 37 41 Age composition of workforce… Physician assistants are significantly younger than physicians or RNs. < 45 yr. > 55 yr. Physicians 41% 25% Physician assistants 63% 11% RNs 43% 19% Respiratory care practitioners 52% 10% Physical therapists 65% 11% Dentists 34% 31% Dental assistants 74% 5% Dental hygienists 61% 7% Source: MDH, Office of Rural Health and Primary Care, 2004 survey data. The retirement crunch may be more serious for dentists than for physicians. 40% 35% 30% 25% Dentists 20% Physicians 15% 10% 5% 0% under 35 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Dentists enter workforce at slightly younger age than physicians, but may stay in parttime practice a bit longer. age Source: MDH, Office of Rural Health and Primary Care, 2004 survey data. Retirement is more imminent for dentists in the most rural areas. DENTISTS BY AGE < 45 yrs. 55+ yrs. Metropolitan statistical area (MSA) counties (21) 36% 29% Micropolitan area counties (20) 34% 34% Rural counties (46) 19% 40% Rural practitioners tend to be a year or two older than urban practitioners. URBAN RURAL Physicians 47 40 Physician assistants 38 43 RNs 46 48 Respiratory care practitioners 44 45 Physical therapists 41 38 Dentists 48 51 Dental assistants 36 39 Dental hygienists 42 40 Median age comparisons Source: MDH, Office of Rural Health and Primary Care, 2004 survey data. Dentists are more geographically dispersed than physicians. Dentists Dentists Physicians Physicians Rural 20% Urban 80% Rural 34% Urban 66% Population: 41% rural RNs 26% Physical therapists 29% LPNs 52% Dental assistants 34% RCPs 19% Dental hygienists 33% Physician assistants 31% Source: MDH, Office of Rural Health and Primary Care, 2004 survey data. Specialist physicians are more concentrated in urban areas than primary care physicians. Rural 13% Rural 27% Urban 73% Primary care physicians Urban 87% Other specialties Source: MDH, Office of Rural Health and Primary Care, 2004 survey data. Urban = Anoka, Carver, Dakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Scott and Washington counties, plus Rochester, St. Cloud and Duluth. Per 100,000 Population (2000) MN Physicians U.S. MN:US 194* 198* .98 14 14 1.00 RNs 943 793 1.19 LPNs 342 241 1.42 71 64 1.11 Physician assistants Dentists * Patient care physicians Source: HRSA , State Health workforce Profiles. Per 100,000 Population (2000) MN U.S. MN:US Dentists 71 64 1.11 Dental hygienists 69 50 1.38 Dental assistants 94 89 1.06 Respiratory care spec. 26 29 .90 Physical therapists 55 43 1.28 * Patient care physicians Source: HRSA , State Health workforce Profiles. Minnesota Workforce Mix Ratios MN U.S. RNs: LPNs 2.80 3.24 RNs: Physicians 4.92 3.95 Dentists: Hygienists 1.03 1.27 .76 .72 Dentists: Dental Assistants 2000 data, HRSA Health Workforce Profiles Minnesota is… AVERAGE in number of PHYSICIANS. • ABOVE AVERAGE in number of RNs and Dentists. • MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE in number of LPNs and Dental hygienists. Minnesota has… high ratio of RNs to physicians • high ratio of RNs to LPNs What are the implications? What changes can be expected? Primary Work Sites of MN LPNS Other 21% Hospitals 20% Nursing homes 34% Clinic-provider offices 25% MDH: ORHPC 2004 Licensing Survey What kind of problem is it? Workforce Supply? Grow Workforce Weak Market Demand? Strengthen Markets Weak Demand = Low Need Hospitals and clinics, doctors and dentists… Aren’t that much different from… Other professionals or firms. They set up business where there are enough paying customers to pay the bills. DISTANCE = TIME = $ The Rural Health Care Access Challenge: Get the person to where the health care is or get the health care to where the person is… and find a way to pay for the care. All occupations face shortages ISSUE: How will health care attract its needed share of a limited supply of workers? Challenges: Finding enough employees … with appropriate education and skills Critical importance of K-12 Education: we will need young people prepared to acquire the KNOWLEDGE, SKILLS and ETHICS necessary for health careers. As workers become scarce and expensive… Incentives to: 1. Use technology to reduce labor need. 2. Redesign way services are delivered to use labor more efficiently. 3. Use different mixes of occupations. Improve labor productivity For more information: Workforce Analysis Program Office of Rural Health and Primary Care Minnesota Department of Health Jay Fonkert 651-282-5642 Jay.fonkert@state.mn.us THE END Following slides are held in reserve. Vacancy rates in nursing occupations have been quite high, but generally declined. 14 12 percent 10 8 6 4 2 0 00 01 01 02 02 03 03 04 04 4Q 2Q 4Q 2Q 4Q 2Q 4Q 2Q 4Q RNs LPNs Nursing aides Vacancy rates in other health occupation vary widely, and sometimes are erratic. 12.0% 8.0% Pharmacists 6.0% Dental assistants Medical assistants 4.0% 2.0% 4Q04 2Q04 4Q03 2Q03 4Q02 2Q02 4Q01 2Q01 0.0% 4Q00 percent 10.0% Workforce stories “It’s physician specialists that help draw patients into your facility.” Hospital CEO, Marshall MN Pop: 12,788 Marshall Independent, March 1, 2005 COMMENT: Critical mass affects economic viability. Regional centers will be higher level health care centers. Workforce stories “Going to a small town and having an abundance of patients that you are going to lose money on when you have $180,000 of debt doesn’t make it.” Rural MN Dentist Northwest Dentistry January-February, 2005 COMMENT: Providers need paying customers – whether they be private sector or government. Workforce stories “When those ambulance people come up to your side… you want them to be the best.” Supporter of higher national EMT standards “These guys have jobs. They work at the Cenex store, they work at the butcher shop. They’re farmers trying to get their crops in.” Director of North Dakota EMS Association COMMENT: Higher professional standards, advanced training requirements and expensive technology tend to favor concentration of health care services in regional centers. Health Care in the Minnesota Economy Share of personal income 9.3% Share of wages and salaries 10.0% Percent of employment 10.4% The health care industry creates jobs and buying power in communities with hospitals, clinics and care facilities. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, regional accounts, 2003. All data reported by place of work. Minnesota Health Care Employment By type of business Offices of physicians and dentists 44,091 15% Outpatient care centers 32,513 11% Home health services 17,855 6% Other ambulatory care services 14,207 5% Hospitals 99,990 35% Nursing care facilities 42,940 15% Residential MR/MH/substance abuse fac. 22,495 8% Other residential facilities 15,371 5% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns, 2002.