Matakuliah Tahun : <<EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN>> : <<2009>> Historic Growth and Contemporary Development Pertemuan 3 The growth position of the less developed countries today is significantly different in many aspects from that of the presently developed countries on the eve of their entry into modern economic growth. -Simon Kuznets, Nobel Laureate Economics, 1971 Bina Nusantara University 3 Material Outline • Factors or components of economic growth • Kuznets’s Characteristics of Modern Economic Growth • Differing initial conditions-differences that require a much amended analysis of the growth prospects and requirements of modern economic developed Bina Nusantara University 4 Three factors or components of economic growth 1. Capital accumulation, including all new investments inland, physical equipment, and human resources 2. Growth in population and hence eventual growth in the labor force 3. Technological progress Bina Nusantara University 5 Population and Labor Force Growth Bina Nusantara University 6 Effect of Growth of Capital Stock and Land on the Production Possibility Frontier Bina Nusantara University 7 Technological Progress • Neutral technological progress • Laborsaving technological progress • Capital-saving technological progress Bina Nusantara University 8 Effect of Technological Change on the Production Possibility Frontier Bina Nusantara University 9 Kuznets's Six Characteristics of Modern Economic Growth 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. High rates of growth of per capita output and population High rates of increase in total factor productivity High rates of structural transformation of the economy High rates of social and ideological transformation The propensity of economically developed countries to reach out to the rest of the world of markets and raw materials 6. The limited spread of this economic growth to only a third of the world’s population. Bina Nusantara University 10 Significant differences in initial conditions-differences that require a much amended analysis of the growth prospects and requirements of modern economic development: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Physical and human resource endowments Per capita incomes and levels of GNP im relation to the rest of the world Climate Population size, distribution and growth Historical role of international migration International trade benefits Basic scientific and technological research and development capabilities Stability and flexibility of political and social institutions Bina Nusantara University 11