MATH 210 - Introduction to Statistics - Spring 2008 MWF 1:00–1:50 in SCIC 122 Thursday Computer Labs in SCIC 142: Lab A = 12:30–1:45; Lab B = 2:00–3:15 Jim Brumbaugh-Smith Campus Mail: Box 111 Phone: 982-5011 E-mail: jpbrumbaugh-smith@manchester.edu Web: users.manchester.edu/facstaff/jpbrumbaugh-smith/index.htm Office Hours in Science 120: See instructor’s weekly schedule. Description: This course introduces the fundamental principles of statistical analysis. This includes collection of data, graphic representation of numerical data, the concepts of randomness and variability in sampling, estimating a population’s numerical characteristics, testing conjectures about a population based on a manageable-size sample, and developing linear prediction models using two-variable data. Related Curriculum: It is strongly recommended that students have basic algebra skills comparable to MATH 112: College Algebra and computer skills comparable to CPTR 101: Introduction to Computers. This course is required or recommended for majors in business, accounting, social sciences, natural sciences, and exercise science, and satisfies the general education mathematics requirement. Resources: REQUIRED: Introduction to the Practice of Statistics (IPS), 5th ed. by Moore and McCabe (ISBN 0-7167-6400-8). REQUIRED: Handbook for Introduction to Statistics, Spring 2008 by Brumbaugh-Smith (available at the Campus Store) REQUIRED (but may be shared with a lab partner): SPSS Manual for Moore and McCabe’s IPS, 5th ed. by Sorensen (ISBN 0-7167-6363-X) OPTIONAL: Study Guide for Moore and McCabe’s IPS, 5th ed. by Fligner (ISBN 0-7167-6358-3) Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) Version 15.0, available in the following campus labs: Science 142, Funderburg, Clark 102, all residence halls. You should have a basic calculator (with at least square roots and memory keys, for example a TI-30) and a stapler (for submitting your homework). Graph paper may also come in handy. Overview: This course relies heavily on the use of computer software to motivate and demonstrate statistical concepts. On Thursdays we will usually meet in the computer lab, Science 142 These labs demonstrate various statistical concepts and familiarize you with the statistical software for use in assignments. Homework will be assigned each week and generally collected on Monday or Tuesday. There will also be three computer assignments involving data analysis using the SPSS software. Evaluation: 3 One-hour Tests (100 pts. each) 10 Homeworks (10 pts. each) 3 Computer Assignments (25 pts. each) Cumulative Final Exam Course Total 300 100 75 200 675 (44%) (15%) (11%) (30%) (100%) 95=A 90=A 87=B+ 83=B 80=B 77=C+ 73=C 70=C 67=D+ 63=D 60=D (**) ** In addition to having an overall average of 60%, to pass the course you must achieve at least an average of 55% on the tests and final exam. Attendance: To maximize your learning and your grade it is important to participate in each class session. Note that computer labs are an integral part of the course and are not to be considered optional. Please let me know in advance if you are unable to attend class. Messages can be left twenty-four hours a day at 982-5011 or by e-mail. Students are responsible for material covered and assignments made when absent. Tests will be made up by advance arrangement only. Approximate Schedule: Jan Feb Mar ` Apr May 30 31 1 W R F LAB #1 1.1 Introduction - “Data: What Good Is It?” Introduction to SPSS / Course Web Page Picturing Data - Stem Plots, Histograms 4 6 7 8 M W R F 1.1 1.2 LAB #2 1.2 Measures of Center and Position Descriptive Statistics Measures of Variation, Boxplots HW #1 11 13 14 15 M W R F 1.3 1.3 LAB #3 3.1, 3.3 Density Curves, Normal Distributions Normal Calculations Assessing Normality/Linear Transformations Sampling Methods HW #2 18 20 21 22 M W R F 3.3 Simple Random Samples 3.2 Studying Causation TEST #1 Chapters 1 & 3 3.2 25 27 28 29 M W R F 3.4 4.1, 4.2 4.2 4.2 Sampling Distributions Intro to Probability Probability Problem Solving 3 5 6 7 M W R F 4.3 4.4 LAB #4 5.1 Random Variables (RVs) Means and Variances of RVs Uniform Distributions / Generating Random Numbers Binomial Experiments HW #4 10 12 13 14 M W R F 5.1 5.2 TEST #2 5.2 Normal Approximation to Binomial Probabilities Distribution of Sample Means Chapters 4 & 5 Central Limit Theorem HW #5 17−21 M−F Spring Break 24 26 27 28 M W R F 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.2 Estimating a Population Mean HW #6 Significance Tests Meet in classroom. 31 2 3 4 M W R F 6.3, 6.4 7.1 7.1 7.2 Further Issues in Significance Testing Inference Using the t-statistic Matched Pairs Comparing Two Population Means HW #7 7 9 10 11 M W R F 7.2 14 16 17 18 M W R F 8.1 TEST #3 Chapters 6,7 & 8 8.2 Comparing Two Population Proportions 21 23 24 25 M W R F 8.2 2.1 LAB #6 2.3 Relationships in Two-Variable Data Relationships in Two-Variable Data Linear Regression Cptr Assignemnt #2 Due 28 30 1 2 M W R F 2.3, 2.2 2.4 LAB #7 10.1 Linear Regression, Correlation Issues for Correlation and Regression Inference for Regression Inference for Regression HW #10 5 7 8 9 M W R F 9.4 9.4 LAB #5 8.1 SCIC 142 (Lab A) 12:30–1:45; (B) 2:00–3:15 HW #3 12:30-1:45 & 2:00-3:15 in SCIC 122 Cptr Assignemnt #1 Due Meet in classroom. 12:30-1:45 & 2:00-3:15 in SCIC 122 HW #8 T-Tests for Means Inference for a Population Proportion HW #9 12:30-1:45 & 2:00-3:15 in SCIC 122 Regression Overview Multinomial Experiments Cptr Assignemnt #3 Due Exam Review HW #11 Week of May 12 – Cumulative Final Exam