1 LUCTOR: introduction and exercises H. Hengsdijk 1. Introduction This document is a brief introduction to LUCTOR 4.0 (Land Use Crop Technical coefficient generatOR). LUCTOR generates technical coefficients for cropping systems in the northern Atlantic Zone of Costa Rica (Hengsdijk et al., 1998). A cropping system can be characterized by its so-called ‘definition criteria’ that explicitly defines the environment and management options. Technical Coefficients are inputs and outputs of cropping systems expressed per hectare (Hengsdijk et al., 1996). Examples of technical coefficients are costs of production, yields in different quality classes, sustainability and environmental indicators such as soil nutrient balance and biocide use, and labor use. Technical coefficients are used in linear optimization modeling to select combinations of land use activities that maximize a certain goal under specified boundary conditions (restrictions). Often, the goal (objective function) is value added (‘profit’), while restrictions can be related to the amount of resources available (land, labor), marketable volumes of products or some environmental limitations (such as allowable biocide use). Linear programming models of such type are often used in exploratory land use studies (Rabbinge & Latesteijn, 1992; WRR, 1992; Veeneklaas et al., 1994; Bakker et al., 1998). In Costa Rica, land use analysis methodologies using Linear Programming techniques have been developed at settlement and district level for the Atlantic Zone (Schipper et al., 1995; Stoorvogel, 1995; Schipper, 1996; Jansen et al., 1997a; Bouman et al., 1999d). Here, the approach to linear programming and its use in exploratory land use studies is not further explained. Merely suffice to say that LUCTOR is a tool that generates technical coefficients for a large number of cropping systems. Equivalent tools exist for the generation of technical coefficients of animal, pasture and animal feed acquisition systems (Bouman et al., 1998a). A linear model can select the optimum combination of cropping, animal, pasture and feed acquisition systems by maximizing explicitly defined objectives. LUCTOR is developed for cropping systems in the northern Atlantic Zone of Costa Rica. However, the model is set up in a generic manner so that by adapting the input files, users can make LUCTOR relatively easy suitable to other environments. Technical coefficients for beans, cassava, rice, maize-grain, maize-fresh cobs, pineapple-local market, pineapple-export market, banana, plantain, palmheart, melina, teak and natural forest can be generated. 06/27/16 612943095 2 In the following three sections, a brief explanation is given on some important concepts used, the structure of LUCTOR and the definition criteria used to characterize cropping systems. In section 5 some exercises are described to familiarize users with concepts and results of LUCTOR. 2. Concepts LUCTOR generates technical coefficients for actual as well alternative cropping systems. The former represent current production systems in the region while the latter are technically feasible cropping systems that are possibly not yet widely practiced in the region. In general, actual cropping systems have negative nutrient balances (indicating soil nutrient depletion) resulting in a lower production potential in future years. In contrast to alternative systems that are aimed at maintaining soil nutrient stocks (i.e. nutrient balance is zero) using the so-called ‘target-oriented approach’ that has been developed during a number of explorative land use studies by AB-DLO and TPE-WAU in Wageningen, The Netherlands (Van Ittersum & Rabbinge, 1997). The ‘target oriented’ approach implies that an optimal combination of inputs is identified to realize a particular target yield defined by the user. In case of nutrients LUCTOR calculates the amount of fertilizers required to replenish withdrawn and lost nutrients. Inputs are calculated on the basis of systems-analytical knowledge on input-output relations for the cropping system under consideration. Target production levels may vary from potential production levels to very low levels. In the first case, high external input levels (e.g. fertilizers, biocides) will be required, and in the second case, low external input levels will be simulated. Next to desired production levels, the manner of production (technology) can be specified. For instance, certain operations may be performed with machinery or may alternatively be done manually (or using a combination method). By specifying a number of target production levels, the environment and a number of different technologies that may be used (the definition criteria of a cropping system), LUCTOR ‘generates’ various technical coefficients that characterize cropping systems. ‘Classical’ input coefficients are the use of resources such as fertilizers, biocides, machines, labor, and - of course - the total costs of production. ‘Classical’ output coefficients are yields and the economic value of the yield. Next to these ‘classical’ coefficients, Technical Coefficient Generators also calculate a number of other parameters that are associated with the modeled cropping systems. These technical coefficients are called ‘sustainability indicators’ or ‘environmental indicators’, and quantify effects to the environment. Examples are losses of nutrients and emissions of biocides to the environment that are associated with each cropping system. These technical coefficients can be used in linear programming models 06/27/16 612943095 3 to set restrictions on the selection of cropping systems based on environmental or sustainability issues. 3. Structure of LUCTOR LUCTOR version 1.0 was developed in EXCEL 5.0 but the newer version 4.0 operates under Microsoft Office 97. To operate it only basic knowledge of the spreadsheet program is required. The user only needs to fill in the definition criteria, which characterize the cropping system using custom-made dialog boxes. The definition criteria are the driving variables for the calculation of technical coefficients for each cropping system. They determine for which environment, production level and management options technical coefficients are calculated and hence which data, parameters and calculation rules are applied. The structure of LUCTOR is modular; i.e. data and calculations are in separate files. Each parameter or calculation rule is described in the files so that they are self-explanatory and transparent. To generate technical coefficients a set of files for each type of cropping system is required. They can be divided into files (i) with data and basic parameters, (ii) with calculation rules and (iii) files with generated results. One file contains Visual Basic programs that are required for the dialogue boxes and to automate procedures that return frequently. The user of LUCTOR will not face these programs, since they are hidden. In Annex I an overview is given of all LUCTOR files, their content and what files are used for which cropping systems. 4. Definition criteria of cropping systems In Table 4.1 the definition criteria and their options for each criterion are shown for annual, pineapple and perennial cropping systems. For timber cropping systems only three definition criteria apply (type of activity, soil type and crop type). These will not be further discussed in these exercises. Combining an option of each definition criteria results in unique cropping system. Theoretically all options can be combined in any combination. However, not all combinations are feasible due to ‘technical’ constraints, e.g. soils can be unsuitable to grow certain crops, the low biocide option is considered infeasible for bananas due to high infestation pressure of Sigatoka, etc. These factors are accounted for in LUCTOR. In case only unfeasible options are selected LUCTOR will respond with a message indicating so. Alternative cropping systems (see section 2) are defined in such a way that the annually withdrawn nutrients from the system due to removal of marketable products and inevitable losses (leaching, denitrification and volatilization) are replenished by nutrients in the annual 06/27/16 612943095 4 supply from natural resources (deposition and nutrient fixing micro-organisms) and in fertilizers. For actual activities LUCTOR calculates balances of nutrient in the soil (depletion/surplus) based on (possible) fertilizers applications and realized production levels. The ten target yield levels only refer to alternative cropping systems. The maximum attainable target yield is based on expert knowledge and is stepwise reduced resulting in ten yield levels of which the minimum level is 10% of the maximum. The production level of actual cropping systems is based on regional averages. Soil characteristics determine which soils are suitable to grow a crop, maximum attainable yield level and nutrient recoveries. Some crop/soil combinations are only feasible after construction of a drainage which costs are taken into account. Table 4.1 Definition criteria and the distinguished options per criterion for cropping systems. Definition criterion Options 1. type of activity 2 (actual and alternative) 2. target yield level 11 (10 target yield levels for alternative activities, 1 yield level for actual activities) 3. crop type 13 (bean, cassava, rice, maize-grain, maize-fresh cobs, pineapple-local, pineappleexport, banana, palmheart, plantain, teak, melina and natural forest) 4. soil type 3 (fertile poorly drained, fertile well drained, infertile well drained) 5. mechanization level 2 (low and high mechanization level) 6 crop residue strategy 2 (harvesting and left in the field) 7. herbicide level 2 (low and high herbicide level) 8. biocide level 2 (low and high biocide level) 9. cycle length 2 (one or two years, only applicable for pineapple) Two types of pineapple crops are available, one for the export market and one for the local market. Both differ e.g. in the used variety, planting density and length of the crop cycle but more important is their difference in post harvesting handling. Pineapple for export is preprocessed at the farm of which the inputs (capital and labor) are taken into account in the technical coefficients. For maize also two types have been defined, one for grain production and one for production of fresh cobs. Both have a different economic value and since fresh cobs are harvested in an earlier stage than grain maize both differ in nutrient dynamics. Next to the type of activity, yield level, soil type and crop type the user has to specify the type of management, i.e. level of mechanization, level of herbicide and level of other 06/27/16 612943095 5 biocides. For each of these definition criteria two extreme levels are defined, a low and a high level. Mechanization is due to high rainfall intensities combined with compaction characteristics of soils in the northern Atlantic Zone and crop characteristics (narrow passage in perennials) limited to mainly soil preparation operations. It is assumed that the high mechanization level (with mechanized soil preparation) results in a yield increase due to improved soil conditions compared to a manual soil preparation. Crop protection agents are divided into herbicides and biocides. The latter include insecticides, fungicides and nematicides. In the low herbicide option herbicides are substituted by manual weeding which requires more labor but reduces the use of active ingredients. Manual and chemical weeding are supposed to be completely substitutable, thus not affecting the yield level. In the low biocide variant chemical insecticides and fungicides are reduced with 50% compared to the high biocide variant. It is assumed that with better crop hygienic measures, - requiring extra labor -, the use of fungicides and insecticides can be reduced. However, it is assumed that some yield losses are inevitable compared to the high biocide variant in the disease and plague susceptible (humid) environment of the northern Atlantic Zone. The technical coefficients of cropping systems include: Production (of different quality classes, if applicable) Labor requirements Costs of production Environmental and sustainability indicators Fertilizer use specifications (N, P and K) Equipment requirements See Annex II for a specified list of all technical coefficients, their codes and units. 06/27/16 612943095 6 5. Exercises Exercises in this section are a brief introduction to the functioning of the Technical Coefficient Generator LUCTOR with the aim to familiarize users with concepts and the type of results. Four exercises with LUCTOR will be made: one to generate technical coefficients of actual and alternative cropping systems, one to generate technical coefficients of a crop with different management options, one to generate technical coefficients of different crops, and one in which the effect of different parameter values are analyzed. Moreover, the user will be acquainted with dialogue boxes that are used to define the criteria options of land use systems and other automation procedures that facilitate the generation of technical coefficients. 5.1 Starting LUCTOR Install LUCTOR according to the description given in Annex IV. After having installed LUCTOR the exercises can be started. To start EXCEL click on the Excel program icon in your Microsoft Toolbar or Initial start up. Go to the directory with the LUCTOR files. Note all files that are presented in Annex I. Open the file LIST.XLS. Subsequently, press [Ctrl+t] to activate a dialogue box with user options. Seven options are available: (i) Generate TCs for annual cropping systems, (ii) Generate TCs for pineapple cropping systems, (iii) Generate TCs for perennial cropping systems, (iv) Generate TCs for timber cropping systems (v) Return to active worksheet, (vi) Combine XLS-output files, and (vii) Close all files. Choose the first option (i) ‘Annual cropping systems’ by clicking the option with your mouse. When the option is highlighted click with your mouse the button [Just do it!] in the right corner. All files required to generate technical coefficients for annual crops (beans, cassava, rice, maize-grain, and maize-fresh cobs) will now be opened. Wait till all files are open. The active file will be the output file ANN_IO.XLS. View the other files by pressing [Alt+W] or clicking Window in the menu bar. Compare the opened files with the file list shown in 06/27/16 612943095 7 Annex I for annual crops. Notice that some files contain more than one worksheet with data or calculations. Study briefly the content of each opened file. At the top of each worksheet is a short description of its content. The user can switch to another file by pressing [Alt+W] and clicking a filename in the file list. After having performed these instructions the user can start with the first exercise. 5.2 Exercise 1: Differences between actual and alternative cropping systems. This exercise will show the user differences between actual and alternative cropping systems. In actual systems soil nutrient balances are calculated as function of current attained yields, current fertilizer gifts (if applicable), soil properties, and natural inputs of natural resources. This may result in depletion or accumulation of nutrients in the soil. In contrast to alternative systems which are aimed at equilibrium nutrient balances. The soil nutrient balance is an important indicator of sustainability since a depletion of nutrients will result in a future reduction in production potential. The ‘price’ to pay for sustainable cropping systems (alternative cropping systems) is a high input (costs) of fertilizers. The land use systems that will be generated help to analyze the sustainability of cropping systems. In this first exercise the user is acquainted with the use of dialogue boxes with definition criteria that will be used throughout the course to define options. The user only has to turn on check boxes by clicking with the mouse. Maize-grain is taken as a first example. To facilitate comparison, actual and alternative cropping systems will be generated with similar management options. Press [Ctrl+s] to activate dialogue boxes with the definition criteria and their options. The first dialogue box asks the user to define the type of activity. Two options, each with a check box are available: actual and alternative. The user must select those criteria options for which technical coefficients must be generated. This is done by turning on/off the check boxes. Click with the mouse on the option or check box in front (both will work) to turn it on. When the option is clicked once again the check box will be turned off. In this exercise we will examine differences between actual and alternative cropping systems. Therefore, both check boxes should be turned on by clicking on the check boxes. Subsequently, click [Next]. It is noted here that this selection procedure can be stopped any time with clicking the [Exit] button or can be reversed by clicking the [Back] button. This may happen, e.g. when an incorrect check box is turned on or off while already having pressed the [Next] key. 06/27/16 612943095 8 The dialogue box of the following definition criteria appears automatically, the target yield level of activities. Only turn on the check box for 100% target yield and click [Next]. The dialogue box of the crop type appears. Since in this exercise maize-grain systems will be compared turn on the check box for maize-grain and click [Next]. The dialogue box of the soil types appears. Turn on the check box for Soil Fertile Well drained and click [Next] The dialogue box for the mechanization level appears. Turn on the check box for low mechanized level and click [Next]. The dialogue box for the crop residue strategy appears. Turn on the check box for crop residues left in the field and click [Next]. The dialogue box for the herbicide level appears. Turn on the check box for the high herbicide level and click [Next]. The dialogue box for the biocide level appears. Turn on the check box for the high biocide level and click [Next]. LUCTOR will now automatically start to calculate the technical coefficients for the selected options. When finished the file ANN_IO.XLS will be the active worksheet containing the technical coefficients. The first 9 columns contain codes of the generated activities. In column 10 the codes are shown of the generated cropping systems. The first three letters of the code indicate the soil type, the following two the crop type and the last part contains the type of activity plus target yield level (letter plus number), biocide level (second letter), herbicide level (third letter) and mechanization level (fourth letter). The ‘H’ stands for a high level and ‘L’ for a low level. The code ends with the length of cropping cycle in years. See for a complete overview of the codes Annex III. In columns 11 and 12 additional codes are given that are of no relevance for the exercises (see also Hengsdijk et al., 1998). The generated technical coefficients can be found to the right of these codes. The headers explain the content of these columns. See Annex II for a complete overview of heading-codes, description and units. Fill in Table 5.1 the relevant technical coefficients for both maize systems. After having filled in the technical coefficients for maize in Table 5.1 we will repeat the exercise for cassava. Press [Ctrl +s] to pop up the same dialogue boxes as before. LUCTOR will automatically delete the technical coefficients of both maize systems. Proceed as described above. Change only the dialogue box for the crop option: turn the 06/27/16 612943095 9 check box for maize-grain off and turn the check box for cassava on. When entered the last dialogue box (biocide level) LUCTOR calculates the new technical coefficients for cassava and write them to the output file ANN_IO.XLS. Fill in Table 5.1. Table 5.1. Yield export quality product (EXP in kg/ha/yr), labor required (CLABA in d/ha/mth), costs (CCOST in colon/ha/yr), Nitrogen balance (NBAL in kg N/ha/yr), and N-gifts (FIN in kg N/ha/yr) of simulated actual and alternative cropping systems. Cropping system code: EXP CLABA CCOST NBAL FIN Maize: SFW.ZM.F0HHHL.01 SFW.ZM.F9HHHL.01 Cassava: SFW.ME.F0HHHL.01 SFW.ME.F9HHHL.01 Study the results obtained from actual and alternative cropping systems of maize and cassava. Note the equilibrium N-balance of both alternative systems and corresponding high N-requirements. 5.3 Exercise 2: different management options In this exercise the effect of different management options on technical coefficients is examined, i.e. different herbicide, biocide and mechanization options. Substitution of some production factors is possible without affecting yield levels, such as chemical herbicides that can be replaced by manual weeding. Other production factors are less substitutable without a reduction in yield, e.g. biocides. Integrated pest management (IPM) methods may reduce the use of biocides if a yield reduction is acceptable. In practice this implies that lower emissions of biocides to the environment attained with IPM are accompanied with lower yields. From a viewpoint of optimal resource allocation such trade offs have to be taken into account in linear programming models. Disregarding such possibilities would block prospects for agricultural development in more ‘environmentally friendly’ directions. As an example we will generate different management options for alternative maize-grain systems. Start from where you finished exercise 1. 06/27/16 612943095 10 Press [Ctrl+s] to activate the dialogue boxes with the definition criteria and their options. The first dialogue box asks the user to define the type of activity. Only turn on the check box for alternative activities and turn off the check box for actual activities. Click [Next]. Turn on the check box for 100% of the target yield and click [Next]. Turn off the check box for cassava and turn on the check box for maize-grain. Click [Next] Turn on the check box for Soil Fertile Well drained. Click [Next] Turn on the both check boxes for the low and high mechanization level. Click [Next] Turn on the check box for ‘Crop residues left on the field’. Click [Next] Turn on the both check boxes for the low and high herbicide level. Click [Next] Turn on the both check boxes for the low and high biocide level. Click [Next] LUCTOR will now automatically start to calculate the technical coefficients for the selected options. When finished the file ANN_IO.XLS will be the active worksheet containing the technical coefficients. The technical coefficients are similarly structured as in exercise 1 (see Annex III for a complete overview for codes of cropping systems). Fill in Table 5.2 the technical coefficients for the different alternative maize systems. Compared to Table 5.1 a column is added that indicates the use of crop protection agents (herbicides and biocides) and is expressed in terms of active ingredients per ha. The higher this value is, the worse it is supposed to be for the environment. 06/27/16 612943095 11 Table 5.2. Yield export quality product (EXP in kg/ha/yr), labor required (CLABA in d/ha/mth costs (CCOST in colon/ha/yr), Nitrogen balance (NBAL in kg N/ha/yr), and use of crop protection agents (BIOA in kg a.i./ha/yr) of simulated alternative systems. cropping system code: EXP CLABA CCOST NBAL BIOA SFW.ZM.F9HHH.01 SFW.ZM.F9LHH.01 SFW.ZM.F9HLH.01 SFW.ZM.F9LLH.01 SFW.ZM.F9HHL.01 SFW.ZM.F9LHL.01 SFW.ZM.F9HLL.01 SFW.ZM.F9LLL.01 Study the results obtained from the various management options with LUCTOR in Table 5.2. Note the yield reductions of the low biocide and mechanization options compared to a high input level of these production factors. Note also the reduction in chemical crop protection agents (BIOA) for land use systems with a low biocide and herbicide option. The first four land use systems show the high costs of mechanization compared to the last four that require less machinery. In this respect it is obvious that labor requirements are higher in the last four land use systems. 5.4 Exercise 3: Comparing crops This exercise will show the user differences among crops. Also technical coefficients of perennial crops will be generated to show their high costs, labor requirements and use of crop protection agents compared to annual crops. This exercise will also acquaint the user with another automation part of LUCTOR. Since for the generation of technical coefficients of annuals, pineapple, perennials and timber different files are required a custom made shell is made that allows to switch quickly and automatically between different types of crops. It closes files that are not required and opens other files required for other crops. This shell was briefly introduced in section 5.1 to start LUCTOR. To allow comparison among crops, land use systems with similar criteria options are generated: alternative-cropping systems at soil fertile well drained soils, crop residues left in the field, with a high use of biocides, herbicides and mechanization. 06/27/16 612943095 12 Start from where you finished exercise 2. First, we are going to generate technical coefficients for annual crops. Press [Ctrl+s] to activate the dialogue boxes with the definition criteria and their options. The first dialogue box asks the user to define the type of activity. Turn on the check box for alternative activities and turn off the check box for actual activities. Click [Next]. Turn on the check box for 100% of the target yield and click [Next]. Turn on the check box for all crops. Click [Next] Turn on the check box for Soil Fertile Well drained. Click [Next] Turn on the check box only for the high mechanization level. Click [Next] Turn on the check box only for crop residues left in the field. Click [Next] Turn on the check boxes only for the high herbicide level. Click [Next] Turn on the check boxes only for the high biocide level. Click [Next] LUCTOR will now automatically start to calculate the technical coefficients for the selected options. When finished the file ANN_IO.XLS will be the active worksheet containing the technical coefficients of five different crops, similar as in exercise 1 and 2. Fill in Table 5.3 the technical coefficients for the different alternative annual systems. SFW.ZC.F9HHH.01 (fresh maize cobs) produces not for the export market and the cell under EXP-column in ANN_IO.XLS is therefore zero. Use in Table 5.3, therefore, the production for the domestic market (column with DOM as heading). Subsequently, technical coefficients for pineapple are generated. Press [Ctrl+t] to activate the dialogue box with options that allows to switch among crop types. Select the option ‘Pineapple cropping systems’ by highlighting the option with the mouse. When highlighted click the [Just do it!] button. LUCTOR will close files that are no longer required for the generation of technical coefficients of pineapple crops. While closing files EXCEL returns with a message box asking the user to save the file. Since we made no structural changes to the files click always on the ‘No’ button. Subsequently, LUCTOR opens all files required for the generation of technical coefficients for pineapple cropping systems. When LUCTOR has opened all required files the user can view all files that are open by pressing [Alt+w] or clicking Window in the menu bar. Compare the opened files with the files shown in Annex II for pineapple crops. The user can study briefly the content of the newly opened files. Switch to another file using [Alt+w] and click the required filename in the file list. 06/27/16 612943095 13 After having performed these instructions the user can start to generate technical coefficients for pineapple systems by activating the dialogue boxes with the definition criteria. Press [Ctrl+s]. The first dialogue box asks the user to define the type of pineapple activity. Turn on the check box for the alternative pineapple activity and click [Next]. Turn on the check box for 100% of the target yield and click [Next]. Turn on the check box for both types of pineapple. Click [Next] Turn on the check box for Soil Fertile Well drained. Click [Next] Turn on the check box for the high mechanization level. Click [Next] Turn on the check box for crop residues left at the field. Click [Next] Turn on the check boxes for the high herbicide level. Click [Next] Turn on the check boxes for the high biocide level. Click [Next] Turn on the check boxes for the two-year crop. Click [Next] LUCTOR will now automatically start to calculate the technical coefficients for the selected options. When finished the file PIN_IO.XLS will be the active worksheet containing the technical coefficients, similar as for annual crops. Fill in Table 5.3 the technical coefficients for the two alternative pineapple systems. The land use system with the code SFW.AM.F9HHH (pineapple-local market) produces not for the export market and the cell under the column EXP in PIN_IO.XLS is therefore zero. Use in Table 5.3, therefore, the production for the domestic market (column with DOM as heading). Subsequently, technical coefficients for three perennial crops are generated. Press [Ctrl+t] to activate the dialogue box with options that allows to switch between land use activities. Select the option ‘Perennial cropping systems’ by highlighting the option with the mouse. When highlighted click [Just do it!]. LUCTOR will close files that are no longer required for the generation of technical coefficients of pineapple cropping systems. While closing files EXCEL returns with a message box asking the user to save the file. Click always on the ‘No’ button. Subsequently, LUCTOR opens all files required for the generation of technical coefficients for perennials. When LUCTOR has opened all required files the user can view all files that are open by pressing [Alt+w] or clicking Window in the menu bar. Compare the opened files with the files shown in Annex II for perennial crops. 06/27/16 612943095 14 The user can study briefly the content of the newly opened files. Switch to another file using [Alt+w] and click the required filename in the file list. After having performed these instructions the user can start to generate technical coefficients for perennial systems by activating the dialogue boxes with the definition criteria. Press [Ctrl+s]. The dialogue boxes with the definition criteria come in the same order as for annual and pineapple systems. Select all perennial crops and the same options as for annuals and pineapple. Proceed as described for annual and pineapple systems. After the last definition criteria (Biocide level) LUCTOR will automatically start to calculate the technical coefficients for the selected options. When finished the file PER_IO.XLS will be the active worksheet containing the technical coefficients of the perennial systems. Fill in Table 5.3 the technical coefficients for the three alternative perennial systems. Table 5.3. Yield export quality product (EXP in kg/ha/yr), labor required (CLABA in d/ha/mth), costs (CCOST in colon/ha/yr), use of crop protection agents (BIOA in kg a.i./ha/yr) and Nrequirements (FIN in kg N/ha/yr) of simulated alternative systems. cropping system code: EXP CLABA CCOST BIOA FIN SFW.ME.F9HHH.01 SFW.OS.F9HHH.01 SFW.PV.F9HHH.01 SFW.ZC.F9HHH.01 *) SFW.ZM.F9HHH.01 SFW.AC.F9HHH.02 SFW.AM.F9HHH.02 *) SFW.BG.F9HHH.15 SFW.MA.F9HHH.15 SFW.MB.F9HHH.15 *) Use the value under the column with DOM in respectively ANN_IO.XLS and PIN_IO.XLS Study the results for the different crops in Table 5.3. Note the large differences in most technical coefficients among on the one hand pineapple for export purposes (AC), banana (MA) and plantain (MB) and on the other hand the other crops. 06/27/16 612943095 15 5.5 Exercise 4: Changes in data base In this exercise changes will be made in the database to show the effect of data and underlying assumptions on technical coefficients. LUCTOR combines measured field data (e.g. soil data and prices), calculation rules (e.g. nutrient withdrawal of crops) and export knowledge. These latter are by definition arbitrary assumptions about for instance the attainable yield level, but in case of LUCTOR explicitized and verifiable. Often these estimates are based on a kind of average yield and neither take into account risks of crop failures due to unfavorable weather conditions in certain years nor the opposite, i.e. higher than average yields. LUCTOR formalizes export knowledge in quantitative characteristics and allows to use other assumptions about for instance the attainable yield of a crop. Other data used in LUCTOR such as input and output prices can vary due to e.g. changing market conditions or subsidies. By changing prices in the data files of LUCTOR cost-benefit analysis can be done using different prices. In this exercise is examined how certain yield parameters of maize-grain and changes in input prices affect technical coefficients. Start from where you finished exercise 3. Press [Ctrl+t] to activate the dialogue box that allows to switch among crop types. Select the option ‘annual cropping systems’ by highlighting the option with the mouse. When highlighted click [Just do it!]. LUCTOR closes the files that are no longer required and will open files required for generation of annual crops. Press [Ctrl+s] to activate the dialogue boxes with the definition criteria and their options. The first dialogue box asks the user to define the type of activity. Only turn on the check box for alternative activities and turn off the check box for actual activities. Click [Next]. Turn on the check box for 100% of the target yield and click [Next]. Turn on only the check box for maize-grain. Click [Next] Turn on only the check box for Soil Fertile Well drained. Click [Next] Turn on only the check boxes for the high mechanization level. Click [Next] Turn on only the check boxes for crop residues left on the field. Click [Next] Turn on only the check boxes for the high herbicide level. Click [Next] Turn on only the check boxes for the high biocide level. Click [Next] LUCTOR will now automatically start to calculate the technical coefficients for the selected option. When finished the file ANN_IO.XLS will be the active worksheet containing the technical coefficients. 06/27/16 612943095 16 Fill in the first row of Table 5.4 (‘standard’) the relevant technical coefficients. This system will be used as a standard to compare with. Go to the file ANN_CROP.XLS by pressing [Alt+w] and clicking the filename in the file list. Go to the worksheet ‘crop’ by clicking the tab at the bottom of your screen. Go to cell F9, which contains the maximum attainable target yield for alternative maize activities. In the standard setting it is 6.8 ton/ha. Change this yield in 9 ton/ha. Enter 9 Subsequently, press [Ctrl+s] to activate the dialogue boxes with the definition criteria and their options. Turn on the check box for alternative activities and turn off the check box for actual activities. Turn on the same check boxes as in the “standard” (see above). After the last dialogue box LUCTOR will automatically start to calculate technical coefficients for the selected option. Fill in the second row of Table 5.4 (‘higher target yield’) the relevant technical coefficients. Go to the file ANN_CROP.XLS by pressing [Alt+w] and clicking the filename in the file list. Set cell F9 back to its original value of 6.8 ton ha-1. Go to cell F117, which contains the labor requirements for harvesting maize. In the standard setting it is 75 kg dm h-1. Reduce the amount harvested with 50%. Enter 37.5. Subsequently, press [Ctrl+s] to activate the dialogue boxes with the definition criteria and their options. Proceed as described above. After the last dialogue box (definition criteria for biocide level) LUCTOR calculates the same land use system with the new labor requirements for harvesting. Fill in the third row of Table 5.4 (‘higher labor requirements’) the relevant technical coefficients. Go to the file ANN_CROP.XLS by pressing [Alt+w] and clicking the filename in the file list. Set cell F117 back to its original value of 75 kg h-1. Go to file PRICE.XLS by pressing [Alt+w] and clicking the filename in the file list. Go to cell E19which contains the price for Nitrogen fertilizer. Double the price for Nitrogen and change it into 360 col/kg. Do the same for cells E20and E21 which contain prices for Phosphor and Potassium fertilizer. Change the price of Phosphor into 780 col/ha and of Potassium into 256 col/ha. 06/27/16 612943095 17 Subsequently, press [Ctrl+s] to activate the dialogue boxes with the definition criteria and their options. Proceed as described above. After the last dialogue box (definition criteria for biocide level) LUCTOR calculates the same system with the new fertilizer prices. Fill in the fourth row of Table 5.4 (‘higher fertilizer prices’) the relevant technical coefficients. Table 5.4. Yield export quality product (EXP in kg/ha/yr), labor required (CLABA in d/ha/mth), costs (CCOST in colon/ha/yr) and N-requirements (FIN in kg N/ha/yr) of simulated alternative systems. cropping system name: EXP CLABA CCOST FIN Standard Higher target yield Higher labor requirements Higher fertilizer prices Study the results in Table 5.4 and note how changes in different parameters affect technical coefficients differently. It is obvious that different technical coefficients used in linear programming models in distinct optimization values result. A sensitivity analysis of the LP-model with different technical coefficients is therefore a necessity for a sound interpretation of LP-results. When finished with the exercises, close LUCTOR by pressing [Ctrl+t], select ‘close all files’ and subsequently click the [Just do it!] button. All files will be closed. Do not save any changes to the files. 06/27/16 612943095 18 ANNEX I Files used by LUCTOR and their content Type of file: Filename and content: Data files BASIC.XLS = parameters concerning climate and environment SOIL.XLS = soil and crop suitability parameters, and timber production parameters PER_CROP.XLS = perennial crop parameters ANN_CROP.XLS = annual crop parameter PROTECT.XLS = lists of biocides, their characteristics and price PRICE.XLS = prices of outputs and inputs (except for biocides) LIST.XLS = definition criteria and lists with files required for each type of crop activity, plus (hidden) visual basic modules Calculation files ANNUAL.XLS = calculations for annual cropping systems PINA.XLS = calculations for pineapple cropping systems PERENIAL.XLS = calculations for perennial cropping systems FOREST.XLS = calculations for timber cropping systems files with results ANN_IO.XLS = technical coefficients of annual cropping systems PIN_IO.XLS = technical coefficients of pineapple cropping systems PER_IO.XLS = technical coefficients of perennial cropping systems FOR_IO.XLS = technical coefficients of timber cropping systems Files used for each type of cropping system Name of file: annuals: beans, Pineapple rice, maize, cassava perennials: banana, timber: melina, plantain, palmheart teak, natural forest BASIC.XLS X X X X SOIL.XLS X X X X X X X PER_CROP.XLS ANN_CROP.XLS X PROTECT.XLS X X X X PRICE.XLS X X X X LIST.XLS X X X X ANNUAL.XLS X PINA.XLS PERENIAL.XLS X X 06/27/16 612943095 19 FOREST.XLS ANN_IO.XLS PIN_IO.XLS PER_IO.XLS FOR_IO.XLS X X X X X 06/27/16 612943095 20 Annex II Technical Coefficients of cropping systems Description of technical coefficient Unit Code Export quality product kg/ha/yr EXP Domestic quality product kg/ha/yr DOM Refuse product kg/ha/yr REF Labor requirements – discounted annuity mnd/ha/mth CLABA Labor requirements – mean mnd/ha/mth CLABM Costs (do not include costs for labor) col/ha/yr CCOST N-balance kg N/ha/yr NBAL P-balance kg P/ha/yr PBAL K-balance kg K/ha/yr KBAL Volatilization kg N/ha/yr NVOL Denitrification kg N/ha/yr NDEN N-Leaching kg N/ha/yr NLEA Biocide index BIOI Biocide use kg ai/ha/yr BIOA Fertilizer N-input kg N/ha/yr FIN Fertilizer P-input kg P/ha/yr FIP Fertilizer K-input kg K/ha/yr FIK P-fixation kg P/ha/yr PFIX K-leaching kg K/ha/yr KLEA Tractor use trdays/ha/yr TRAC Sowing equipment use Seqdays/ha/yr SOWE Multicultivator equipment use Meqdays/ha/yr MULT Fertilizer spreader use feqdays/ha/yr FEQ Knapsack sprayer use Keqdays/ha/yr BOMB Seedlings/seed #/ha or kg/ha SEED 06/27/16 612943095 21 Annex III Identification codes of cropping systems Cropping systems have an identification code, for example: SFP.ZM.F9HHL.01 code 1: Soil type can be: SFW = Soil fertile well drained SIW = Soil infertile well drained SFP = Soil fertile poorly drained code 2: Crop type can be: AC = pineapple for export AM = pineapple for local market BG = palmheart GA = melina MA = banana MB = plantain ME = cassava OS = rice PV = beans SN = natural forest TG = teak ZM = maize grain ZC = maize fresh cobs code 3: Combination of type of land use system, target yield level, biocide level, herbicide level and mechanization level. First letter plus number: type of land use activity plus yield level. F0 stands for actual activity, F1...F9 stands for alternative activities in which F9 is the maximum level and F1 is 20% of this level. Second letter: biocide level (L = low, H = high) Third letter: herbicide level (L = low, H = high) Fourth letter: mechanization level (L = low, H = high) code 4: The length of a cropping cycle. For annual cropping systems 01 year, for pineapple 01 or 02 years, for perennials 15 years. 06/27/16 612943095 22 Annex IV Installing procedure for LUCTOR Create two directories on your hard disk with a file manager. One directory is for the LUCTOR files and one is for the files with technical coefficients that can be custom-made generated for the REALM-model (see Chapter 6 of book). Be aware that when using the latter feature of LUCTOR, each time it is run, files in this directory will be deleted (see also Chapter 3 in Hengsdijk et al. (1998))! Copy the LUCTOR files to the directory specified for LUCTOR. Open LIST.XLS. Automatically an input box is activated to enter the name of the directory for the LUCTOR files. Press [Return] or click the OK-button after having filled in the directory name. A new input box will appear asking you to fill in the directory name for the customized output files for the REALM-model. Fill in the name and press [Return] or click the OK-button. The installation procedure is finished after having saved LIST.XLS. 06/27/16 612943095