The Independent Choice Logic for modeling multiple agents under uncertainty David Poole Http://www.cs.ubc.ca/spider/poole Presented by Mei Huang Mar. 18,2005 Outline Knowledge Representation ICL Overview ICL Semantics ICL Influence Discussion Outline Knowledge Representation ICL Overview ICL Semantics ICL Influence Discussion “a bridge between logical representation and belief networks” Q ? Discussion What do you think of the author’s claim that using disjunction to handle uncertainty is a stupid thing? From the view point of representation, disjunction is not that bad, at least, it provides compact representations than ICL. E.g, “ea1v …v an” in ICL needs n expressions. Outline Knowledge Representation ICL Overview ICL Semantics ICL Influence Discussion Note: each item in F, i.e, each rules has an associated probability. E.g, for the first rule, the probability is P(f | c1, b1). This probability is different from the probability of a possible world. Q ? Discussion How to cast the student-take-course domain problem into ICL? Choice Space C={{L1,L2,L3},{High,Normal,Easy}} Facts F={Grade=A IQ=L3 ^ Difficulty=Easy; Grade=B IQ=L2 ^ Difficulty=High; ……} Give P0(L1), P0(L2), P0(L3), P0(High), P0(Normal), P0(Easy) Outline Knowledge Representation ICL Overview ICL Semantics ICL Influence Discussion Q? Discussion Why it looks so straight forward to map a decision tree to the rules of ICL? The logical part of ICL focuses on attributes’ values, not attributes. ICL’s Fact set F interprets CPDs of BLP or LoPRM. Q? Discussion How to translate this BN into ICL? Burglary earthQuake Alarm It is better to redraw the graph as 8 belief networks as follows: B=true Q=true A=true …… Because ICL’s rules are defined on the value level. are mutually exclusive Outline Knowledge Representation ICL Overview ICL Semantics ICL Influence Discussion Discussion In the diagram in slide15, why the arrows are uni-directional? Can they be made bidirectional? What can ICL buy us? I.e, is this explicit bridge between logic and decision theory necessary or is the gap between the two enlarged imaginarily by the author? (when we deal with decision projects, logic is usually embodied implicitly in the program)