Movement of Labour and Deep Integration L Alan Winters Migration Data Sussex Database • Most Comprehensive Database to date – Globally comparable migration stock data – Bilateral migration data from 226 countries and territories – Based on latest round of Census data 2000/1 – First collection of South-South migration data – Different versions based on different definitions of “migrant” – e.g. country of birth, citizenship Migration Data Sussex Database Main findings • South-North migration 37%, South-South 24% and North-North 16% • Intraregional migration is about 55% of total • Over 50% of international migration takes place between countries with a common language • There is a negative relationship between distance and number of migrants • Migrants move up the GNI per capita ladder Migration Trends Who goes where? Bilateral Migration Stocks (% of world total) 37 24 16 15 1 4 0 Destination ut h 1 So or th 2 N FS U 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 South North FSU Origin Migration Trends Migration Trends • There is a negative relationship between migration and distance South Asia East Asia and Pacific Sub-Saharan Africa Middle East & N. Africa Europe & Central Asia Latin Am. & Caribbean European Country Groups EC-6 Belgium, Germany France Italy Luxembourg Monaco Netherlands 1970s UK, Ireland, Denmark 1980s Greece, Spain, Portugal 1990s Austria, Finland, Sweden other W Europe Switzerland, Iceland, Norway, Leichenstein 2000s Bulgaria Cyprus Czech Republic Estonia Hungary Lithuania Latvia Malta Poland Romania Slovakia Slovenia non-members Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Republic of Moldova, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Serbia and Montenegro Share of Population Foreign-Born Share of Population Foreign-Born 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.10 Rest 0.08 Europe 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 EC-6 1970s 1980s 1990s other WE 2000s nonmembers Shares of EC-6 Immigrants, 2000 Shares of EC-6 Immigrants, 2000 S Asia Sub-Saharan Africa EC-6 Mid East/N Africa EU-1970s Other EU-1980s EU-1990s other W Europe Former Sov Un Asia/Pacific EU-2000s Americas Eur FSE Shares of EU-70 Immigrants, 2000 Shares of EU-1970s' Immigrants, 2000 Sub-Saharan Africa EC-6 S Asia Other EU-1970s EU-1980s Mid East/N Africa EU-1990s Former Sov Un other W Europe Asia/Pacific Americas EU-2000s Eur FSE Shares of birth citizens emigrating by destination Shares of birth citizens emigrating by destination 0.20 0.18 non-m 0.16 2000s 0.14 other WE 0.12 1990s 0.10 1980s 0.08 1970s 0.06 EC-6 0.04 non-Eur 0.02 0.00 EC-6 1970s 1980s 1990s other W Europe 2000s nonmembers Origins Migration Intensity (Xij/X.j)/(Xj./X..) EC-6 EC-6 2.24 1970s 0.93 1980s 3.84 1990s 2.27 other W Europe 2.74 2000s 1.47 non-members2.41 Destinations 1970s 1980s 1990s other WE 2000s non-m 1.79 2.64 1.88 5.06 1.06 0.94 4.78 1.17 1.04 1.24 0.28 0.61 1.03 1.23 0.51 3.81 0.26 1.03 2.20 1.12 15.92 8.95 1.24 1.37 2.73 5.16 8.02 2.18 0.26 1.30 1.28 1.54 4.26 1.05 7.22 1.70 0.51 3.55 7.15 5.28 1.61 12.86 Skills Mix of Immigrants from Developing Countries Migrants from Developing Countries in 2000(Mil.) 25 20 15 10 5 0 Australia+Canada Europe Others Tertiary USA