Some New Accomplishments
 New
Nodes in Helsinki, Paris, Sao Paulo, and
soon Caracas, Silicon Valley, Canada, and
maybe Stockholm
 New Sponsor: Applied Materials
 World Federation of UN Associations
 UNEP Global Scenarios
 Jose’s Club of Rome Presentation
 Futures Matrix "nearly always used before
staring a subject or project” -- Z_punkt
Uses in China as reference for
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Policy makers in long term thinking and global
perspectives especially in their planning of model
provinces and cities for sustainable development.
Researchers especially the methods of scenarios,
questionnaires and interviews and future studies.
University teachers' lecture and training courses.
Graduate students in preparing their theses especially
the methodological reviews.
NGO newsletter and capacity building activities (the
Ecological Society of China, Chinese Association for
sustainable Development and SCOPE/China).
State of the Future acknowledged
 Future
Survey’s best books for 2001
 900 sales to Applied Materials
 Translations: China (3 years), Iran (3 years),
Czech (in process). Italy (15 challenges for
primary and secondary schools, and
explorations for French and Arabic
 Spanish version of the Methods C-ROM
near completion
Other accomplishments
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UN policy update on Millennium Deceleration
(transnational crime, others)
Technology Benefiting Humanity Awards in
second year
UNDP-UNV tele-volunteers and cyber
volunteers
SD Summit prep briefings
Senate Foreign Relations Committee (briefing
given follows)
Post-Bipolar World:
Two Themes for Diplomacy
 What
is the next organizing principle for
world affairs ? Human Security
 How
should diplomatic readiness be
judged ? Ability to address the
threats to human security
Human Security
is the combination of ...
 Military
security
 Financial
and Economic Security
 Environmental
 Freedom
Security
with responsibility
Human Security is for ...

the individual

groups

nations

humanity as-a-whole.
Human security has to be
provided by ...

Nation-States

Corporations

International Organizations

NGOs
The Challenges to Human
Security are ...
1. Sustainable Development
2. Water
3. Population and Resources
4. Democratization
5. Global, Long-Term Policymaking
6. Globalization of Information Technology
7. Rich-Poor Gap
Global Challenges (cont.)
8.
Changing disease threats
9.
Decision-Making Capacities
10. Peace & Conflict
11. Improving Women’s Status
12. Transnational Crime
13. Energy Demands
14. Science & Technology Development
15. Global Ethics
Diplomatic Readiness

Basic knowledge of the situation in each challenge

Understanding of the range of potential solutions

Sensitivity to regional human security perspectives

On-going awareness of progress on the challenges

Ability to connect the resources of governments,
corporations, international organizations, and NGOs
to human security strategy in area of assignment
How to Measure Progress
on Human Security ?

Just as GDP is used to measure economic
growth, a State of the Future Index (SOFI) has
been created to measure progress on the 15
Global Challenges

Indicators for each of the Global Challenges have
been aggregated into a single index

A global assessment was used to identify and
weight the indicators

Policy could be judged on its ability to improve
the index
State of the Future Index
Index
1.2
1.1
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
UN
Universities
Organizations
Millennium
Project Governments
Corporations
NGOs
…. May become a “TransInstitution”