1.
International Conference on Innovative Cities.
Curitiba, Brazil
May 18, 2011
The Millennium Project
Ted Gordon
Old Lyme, CT 06371
2.
http://www.library.cornell.edu/Reps/DOCS/henard.htm
23
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
Population density
Population growth rate
Employment
Health
Transport (travel time)
Education, primary and
secondary
Education, post
secondary
Age profile
Fiscal health
Taxation level
Green space
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
Immigration
Parking availability
Cultural access
Location setting
Recreation availability
Crime rate
Slum areas
Reliability of energy,
electricity
Suicide rate
Services (police, fire,
health)
Hospitals/morbidity
3.
Twenty five years ago there was no
 Internet, smart-phones, few PCs
 Globalization
 Genetically modified food, stem cells
 Google, Second Life, or Facebook
 Asymmetrical warfare
 Most believed the cold war would lead to WWIII
4.










Genetic code is being written by hobbyists
Stem cells as therapy
Experiments in invisibility
Surgical robots for operations
Deeper understanding of the brain
Super simulations in climate, nuclear tests
Photons slowed and accelerated
Quantum entanglement over long distances
Synthetic chromosomes from chemicals
Deeper understanding of gravity
6.
Crowding
Natural disasters
Aging infrastructure, aging people
Terrorism
Size, slums
CO2, pollution
Traffic
Sea water rise
Corruption
Fresh water
5.
World: Percent Urban
80
70
60
50% in 2009
50
40
30
20
1950
2000
2050
Source: World Bank
7.
% Above 75 Years Old
20
10
0
1980 2000 2020 2040 2060
Terrorist attacks
1,000,000
100,000
10,000
1,000
100
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Source: www.transfuture.net
Natural Disasters
8.
Millions
CO2 emissions
(global, kt)
World: Percent Urban
120
80
70
70
20
60
Traffic Delays
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
50
Slum Growth Rate
40
Sub Sahara Africa
Oceana
W. Asia
E. Asia
S. Asia
E Asia (no China)
SE Asia
Latin America
Ex Soviet Asia
30
20
1950
0
1
2
3
Percent per year
4
5
2000
2050
Source: World Bank
9.
Corruption
5.0
Rising Sea
4.0
3.0
2.0
1980
2000
2020
100 cm
% access to fresh water
100.0
50 cm
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
1980
2000
2020
2040
10.
Banjul, Gambia
Rising sea levels and erosion
Mexico City, Mexico
Lack of water and sinking
Naples, Italy, Volcanoes
Timbuktu, Mali, Desertification
San Francisco, US, Earthquake
Ivanovo, Russia, Population flight
http://www.forbes.com/2007/06/11/ghost-cities-future-bizcx_21cities_ee_0611ghostcities_slide_7.html?thisSpeed=undefined
11.
2050
•Computing power
2025equal to humans
•Collective intelligence
•Ubiquitous, embedded
•Mental prosthesis
•Games and artificial reality
http://secondlife.com/
Click here
12.
Dynamic adaptive buildings
Sensors: diagnosis and repair infrastructure
Smart traffic control
Anti terrorism
Rewards based on driving habits and location
Human therapy
Ultra small ubiquitous cameras
13.
Virus detection
Rapid growth trees
Green zones
Green rooftops
Pest control
New fuels
Urban farms
14,
fMRI and brain function
Understanding the brain
Extending intelligence
Better decisions
Less mental disease
15.
For dull and dangerous work
Intelligent seeming (e.g. Watson)
Self actualizing (e.g. responding to
medical emergencies)
Micro to macro scale
Entertainment (e.g. music)
Life likes
http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=eZlLNVmaPbM&vq=medium#t=11
Click here
16
Stronger, lighter, self repairing
Efficient, adaptive
Stand alone (e.g. solar)
Communicating
Emergency housing
Sterilizing
Sway damping
Invisibility cloaking
17.
730 Tons
18.
Electric vehicles
Robot vehicles
Zip cars and bicycles
Mass transit
Tele-presence (why go?)
New Systems
19
History
http://earth.google.com/rome/
Museums
http://www.googleartproject.com/museums/
moma
Holographic performances
Performances
http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=0
ZVwF6tyHBc&vq=medium#t=14
Politics
http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/meast/02/15/
muslim.world.unrest/index.html
Networking
20
 Everything connected: clothing – doctors - tickets
 Nano-sensors and RFIDs in “everything”
 Collective Intelligence, “Just-in-Time” knowledge
 Urban systems management more effective
 Counter-terrorism
 Efficiency, smart design
 Virtual reality overlays reality
 Tele-work, Tele-presence
 Reality becomes a continuum with cyber space
21








Self adapting, self warning, self repairing
Self organizing sub cities
Human adapting, eco adaptive
Symbiotic with cars, trucks, people
Robots, automation
Watchful for crime, terrorism, disease
Freedom gained in education, virtual travel,
connection with like-minded
Pleasant
http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=7EYAUazLI9k&vq=medium
Click here
22.
Obrigado muito.
O Brasil é um país de belas cidades