26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Click on PDF or Excel link above for additional tables containing more detail and breakdowns by filing status and demographic groups. Table T09-0048 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch 1 Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile, 2009 Summary Table Percent of Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile 2,3 With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All With Tax Increase Percent Change in After-Tax Income5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change ($) Average Federal Tax Rate6 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 29.7 77.2 95.3 98.7 97.7 74.9 0.7 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.2 1.0 0.4 1.8 3.0 3.4 2.2 2.5 0.8 6.8 17.7 27.8 46.8 100.0 -45 -455 -1,295 -2,432 -4,627 -1,465 -0.4 -1.6 -2.5 -2.8 -1.7 -2.0 4.2 9.0 14.2 16.5 23.6 19.1 98.9 97.6 94.6 99.2 100.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.4 2.6 1.7 1.5 1.7 18.3 9.4 8.7 10.6 5.3 -3,568 -3,793 -4,278 -20,559 -101,233 -2.6 -2.0 -1.3 -1.1 -1.1 18.7 20.7 23.7 28.4 30.2 Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.4 Proposal: 8.9 NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2010. The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing of certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The breaks are (in 2008 dollars): 20% $18,981, 40% $37,595, 60% $66,354, 80% $111,645, 90% $160,972, 95% $226,918, 99% $603,402, 99.9% $2,871,682. (4) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T09-0048 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile, 2009 1 Detail Table 4 Percent of Tax Units 2,3 Cash Income Percentile With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All With Tax Increase Percent Change in After-Tax 5 Income Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate Change (% Points) 6 Under the Proposal 29.7 77.2 95.3 98.7 97.7 74.9 0.7 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.2 1.0 0.4 1.8 3.0 3.4 2.2 2.5 0.8 6.8 17.7 27.8 46.8 100.0 -45 -455 -1,295 -2,432 -4,627 -1,465 -9.1 -15.3 -15.0 -14.4 -6.6 -9.3 0.0 -0.3 -0.7 -1.0 2.0 0.0 0.8 3.9 10.3 16.9 68.1 100.0 -0.4 -1.6 -2.5 -2.8 -1.7 -2.0 4.2 9.0 14.2 16.5 23.6 19.1 98.9 97.6 94.6 99.2 100.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.4 2.6 1.7 1.5 1.7 18.3 9.4 8.7 10.6 5.3 -3,568 -3,793 -4,278 -20,559 -101,233 -12.4 -8.7 -5.0 -3.7 -3.6 -0.5 0.1 0.7 1.6 0.8 13.2 10.0 16.7 28.1 14.3 -2.6 -2.0 -1.3 -1.1 -1.1 18.7 20.7 23.7 28.4 30.2 Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Percentile, 2009 1 4 Tax Units Cash Income Percentile2,3 Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Number (thousands) Percent of Total Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average After5 Tax Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax 6 Rate Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 39,102 32,942 30,075 25,152 22,287 150,241 26.0 21.9 20.0 16.7 14.8 100.0 10,744 28,057 51,924 87,992 279,244 75,289 501 2,980 8,665 16,912 70,590 15,841 10,243 25,077 43,259 71,080 208,654 59,448 4.7 10.6 16.7 19.2 25.3 21.0 3.7 8.2 13.8 19.6 55.0 100.0 4.5 9.3 14.6 20.0 52.1 100.0 0.8 4.1 11.0 17.9 66.1 100.0 11,264 5,439 4,454 1,131 114 7.5 3.6 3.0 0.8 0.1 135,143 192,266 340,985 1,889,937 8,929,410 28,893 43,645 85,220 557,948 2,798,291 106,250 148,621 255,765 1,331,989 6,131,119 21.4 22.7 25.0 29.5 31.3 13.5 9.3 13.4 18.9 9.0 13.4 9.1 12.8 16.9 7.8 13.7 10.0 16.0 26.5 13.4 Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.4 Proposal: 8.9 NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2010. The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing of certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The breaks are (in 2008 dollars): 20% $18,981, 40% $37,595, 60% $66,354, 80% $111,645, 90% $160,972, 95% $226,918, 99% $603,402, 99.9% $2,871,682. (4) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T09-0048 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2009 1 Detail Table 4 Percent of Tax Units 2,3 Cash Income Percentile With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All With Tax Increase Percent Change in After-Tax 5 Income Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate Change (% Points) 6 Under the Proposal 20.9 71.5 93.5 98.9 98.1 74.9 0.2 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.1 1.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 3.6 2.3 2.5 0.3 4.1 14.1 28.8 52.7 100.0 -18 -289 -1,067 -2,222 -4,074 -1,465 -15.6 -13.4 -14.9 -15.5 -6.9 -9.3 0.0 -0.1 -0.6 -1.2 1.9 0.0 0.1 2.7 8.2 16.0 72.8 100.0 -0.2 -1.2 -2.3 -2.9 -1.7 -2.0 0.9 7.4 13.2 15.8 23.5 19.1 98.9 97.8 96.0 99.0 99.9 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.4 2.7 1.9 1.6 1.7 19.9 11.1 10.5 11.3 5.5 -3,062 -3,395 -4,102 -18,178 -89,828 -12.3 -9.1 -5.7 -3.8 -3.7 -0.5 0.0 0.7 1.7 0.9 14.5 11.3 17.7 29.3 14.8 -2.7 -2.1 -1.4 -1.1 -1.1 19.0 20.8 23.3 28.3 30.2 Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2009 1 4 Tax Units Cash Income Percentile2,3 Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Number (thousands) Percent of Total Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average After5 Tax Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax 6 Rate Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 32,429 30,972 29,186 28,494 28,475 150,241 21.6 20.6 19.4 19.0 19.0 100.0 10,059 25,261 46,073 76,773 235,357 75,289 112 2,156 7,144 14,372 59,299 15,841 9,946 23,105 38,929 62,401 176,058 59,448 1.1 8.5 15.5 18.7 25.2 21.0 2.9 6.9 11.9 19.3 59.3 100.0 3.6 8.0 12.7 19.9 56.1 100.0 0.2 2.8 8.8 17.2 71.0 100.0 14,316 7,191 5,606 1,362 135 9.5 4.8 3.7 0.9 0.1 115,555 163,422 292,160 1,640,591 7,862,950 24,969 37,374 72,293 482,401 2,460,625 90,585 126,048 219,867 1,158,190 5,402,325 21.6 22.9 24.7 29.4 31.3 14.6 10.4 14.5 19.8 9.4 14.5 10.2 13.8 17.7 8.2 15.0 11.3 17.0 27.6 14.0 Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.4 Proposal: 8.9 NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2010. The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing of certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2008 dollars): 20% $12,921, 40% $24,393, 60% $41,924, 80% $67,748, 90% $96,780, 95% $137,143, 99% $359,711, 99.9% $1,730,730. (4) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T09-0048 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 20091 Detail Table - Single Tax Units Percent of Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All With Tax Increase Percent Change in After-Tax Income5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate6 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 23.6 69.9 94.2 99.2 98.6 70.2 0.3 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.2 1.5 3.3 3.8 2.5 2.7 0.5 6.6 19.8 30.4 42.6 100.0 -16 -259 -910 -1,662 -2,819 -889 -3.1 -12.5 -15.3 -14.6 -7.1 -9.9 0.1 -0.2 -0.8 -1.1 1.9 0.0 1.7 5.1 12.1 19.6 61.3 100.0 -0.2 -1.4 -2.7 -3.0 -1.9 -2.1 6.5 9.5 15.0 17.7 24.3 19.2 99.1 98.6 97.3 98.8 99.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.3 2.7 2.2 1.9 1.9 16.4 9.1 9.1 8.1 3.6 -2,052 -2,391 -3,298 -13,827 -69,883 -10.7 -8.5 -6.6 -4.0 -3.6 -0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 0.7 15.1 10.8 14.2 21.3 10.6 -2.5 -2.1 -1.6 -1.3 -1.3 20.9 22.2 23.2 30.3 33.5 Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2009 1 Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average AfterTax Income5 (Dollars) Number (thousands) Percent of Total 17,979 14,788 12,570 10,552 8,719 64,958 27.7 22.8 19.4 16.2 13.4 100.0 7,650 19,082 33,514 54,870 151,432 42,053 516 2,070 5,944 11,394 39,641 8,947 7,135 17,012 27,570 43,476 111,791 33,106 4,605 2,193 1,584 338 30 7.1 3.4 2.4 0.5 0.1 82,197 116,199 201,882 1,087,643 5,550,592 19,258 28,145 50,099 343,174 1,927,459 62,938 88,054 151,783 744,469 3,623,133 Share of PreTax Income Share of PostTax Income Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total Percent of Total Percent of Total 6.7 10.9 17.7 20.8 26.2 21.3 5.0 10.3 15.4 21.2 48.3 100.0 6.0 11.7 16.1 21.3 45.3 100.0 1.6 5.3 12.9 20.7 59.5 100.0 23.4 24.2 24.8 31.6 34.7 13.9 9.3 11.7 13.5 6.1 13.5 9.0 11.2 11.7 5.0 15.3 10.6 13.7 19.9 9.9 Average Federal Tax Rate6 Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2010. The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2008 dollars): 20% $12,921, 40% $24,393, 60% $41,924, 80% $67,748, 90% $96,780, 95% $137,143, 99% $359,711, 99.9% $1,730,730. (4) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T09-0048 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 20091 Detail Table - Married Tax Units Filing Jointly Percent of Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All With Tax Increase Percent Change in After-Tax Income5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate6 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 24.7 72.5 92.1 99.0 98.2 85.2 0.1 4.0 1.8 0.3 0.1 1.0 0.2 1.0 2.4 3.5 2.3 2.5 0.1 1.8 9.5 28.1 60.5 100.0 -27 -293 -1,225 -2,705 -4,765 -2,404 -23.8 -11.3 -14.7 -16.4 -6.9 -8.8 0.0 0.0 -0.4 -1.3 1.7 0.0 0.0 1.3 5.3 13.9 79.3 100.0 -0.2 -0.9 -2.1 -2.9 -1.7 -1.9 0.7 7.1 12.0 14.8 23.2 19.9 99.2 97.8 96.1 99.3 100.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 2.7 1.8 1.5 1.6 22.6 13.0 11.9 13.1 6.4 -3,702 -3,938 -4,491 -19,461 -94,797 -13.1 -9.4 -5.5 -3.7 -3.7 -0.7 -0.1 0.7 1.8 0.9 14.4 12.1 19.9 33.0 16.4 -2.8 -2.1 -1.4 -1.1 -1.1 18.2 20.3 23.4 27.9 29.5 Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2009 1 Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average AfterTax Income5 (Dollars) Number (thousands) Percent of Total 6,621 8,578 11,027 14,829 18,163 59,479 11.1 14.4 18.5 24.9 30.5 100.0 13,343 32,397 59,438 93,284 278,505 125,155 114 2,598 8,348 16,516 69,373 27,271 13,229 29,799 51,090 76,768 209,132 97,884 8,717 4,700 3,780 965 97 14.7 7.9 6.4 1.6 0.2 134,567 186,829 332,302 1,813,978 8,464,842 28,163 41,926 82,189 524,949 2,593,652 106,404 144,903 250,113 1,289,030 5,871,189 Share of PreTax Income Share of PostTax Income Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total Percent of Total Percent of Total 0.9 8.0 14.1 17.7 24.9 21.8 1.2 3.7 8.8 18.6 68.0 100.0 1.5 4.4 9.7 19.6 65.2 100.0 0.1 1.4 5.7 15.1 77.7 100.0 20.9 22.4 24.7 28.9 30.6 15.8 11.8 16.9 23.5 11.1 15.9 11.7 16.2 21.4 9.8 15.1 12.2 19.2 31.2 15.5 Average Federal Tax Rate6 Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2010. The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2008 dollars): 20% $12,921, 40% $24,393, 60% $41,924, 80% $67,748, 90% $96,780, 95% $137,143, 99% $359,711, 99.9% $1,730,730. (4) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T09-0048 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 20091 Detail Table - Head of Household Tax Units Percent of Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All With Tax Increase Percent Change in After-Tax Income5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate6 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 10.6 72.5 94.4 97.6 93.2 60.6 0.1 4.9 0.8 0.2 0.8 1.8 0.1 1.2 2.7 3.1 2.1 1.9 0.6 15.5 34.3 29.7 19.9 100.0 -12 -338 -1,106 -1,885 -2,772 -675 1.3 -19.5 -14.8 -12.8 -6.3 -12.2 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -0.2 2.6 0.0 -6.0 8.9 27.6 28.2 41.2 100.0 -0.1 -1.1 -2.2 -2.5 -1.5 -1.7 -6.9 4.7 13.0 16.9 23.0 12.0 94.5 91.8 88.1 97.2 99.9 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.6 10.4 3.0 3.3 3.2 1.5 -2,243 -2,264 -3,289 -15,906 -83,314 -9.1 -6.5 -4.9 -3.6 -3.5 0.5 0.4 0.7 1.1 0.5 14.5 6.0 8.9 11.8 5.7 -2.0 -1.5 -1.2 -1.1 -1.1 20.4 21.8 23.0 28.1 30.0 Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2009 1 Tax Units4 Cash Income Percentile2,3 Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average AfterTax Income5 (Dollars) Number (thousands) Percent of Total 7,558 7,198 4,877 2,482 1,128 23,292 32.5 30.9 20.9 10.7 4.8 100.0 12,952 29,592 49,284 75,584 179,427 40,351 -882 1,733 7,489 14,690 43,973 5,518 13,834 27,859 41,794 60,895 135,454 34,834 730 209 158 31 3 3.1 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 109,967 149,881 276,495 1,510,258 7,770,538 24,664 34,888 66,789 440,843 2,410,859 85,303 114,993 209,705 1,069,416 5,359,679 Share of PreTax Income Share of PostTax Income Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total Percent of Total Percent of Total -6.8 5.9 15.2 19.4 24.5 13.7 10.4 22.7 25.6 20.0 21.5 100.0 12.9 24.7 25.1 18.6 18.8 100.0 -5.2 9.7 28.4 28.4 38.6 100.0 22.4 23.3 24.2 29.2 31.0 8.6 3.3 4.7 5.0 2.3 7.7 3.0 4.1 4.1 1.8 14.0 5.7 8.2 10.7 5.2 Average Federal Tax Rate6 Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2010. The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2008 dollars): 20% $12,921, 40% $24,393, 60% $41,924, 80% $67,748, 90% $96,780, 95% $137,143, 99% $359,711, 99.9% $1,730,730. (4) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T09-0048 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2009 1 Detail Table - Tax Units with Children 4 Percent of Tax Units Cash Income Percentile2,3 With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All With Tax Increase Percent Change in After-Tax 5 Income Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate Change (% Points) 6 Under the Proposal 12.0 76.0 95.5 98.7 96.2 75.3 0.1 4.8 1.2 0.3 0.2 1.4 0.1 1.3 2.7 3.4 1.9 2.2 0.2 5.0 17.9 32.7 44.1 100.0 -19 -397 -1,382 -2,765 -4,338 -1,676 1.6 -19.6 -14.9 -14.5 -5.5 -8.6 -0.1 -0.3 -0.7 -1.3 2.4 0.0 -1.4 1.9 9.6 18.3 71.5 100.0 -0.1 -1.2 -2.3 -2.7 -1.4 -1.8 -8.8 4.8 12.9 16.2 24.3 18.7 98.0 94.3 93.0 99.1 100.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.9 1.9 1.4 1.4 1.5 18.7 7.9 7.8 9.8 5.0 -3,511 -3,243 -3,976 -20,852 -109,477 -10.5 -6.4 -3.9 -3.2 -3.4 -0.3 0.3 0.9 1.5 0.7 15.1 10.8 18.0 27.6 13.4 -2.3 -1.5 -1.0 -1.0 -1.1 19.6 21.7 24.9 29.1 30.0 Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2009 1 4 Tax Units 2,3 Cash Income Percentile Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average After5 Tax Income (Dollars) Number (thousands) Percent of Total 9,648 10,138 10,440 9,539 8,194 48,094 20.1 21.1 21.7 19.8 17.0 100.0 14,150 33,628 61,157 101,199 306,666 95,281 -1,220 2,021 9,280 19,123 78,910 19,454 15,370 31,607 51,877 82,075 227,756 75,826 4,292 1,951 1,572 379 37 8.9 4.1 3.3 0.8 0.1 153,064 218,471 392,713 2,144,629 10,295,847 33,503 50,678 101,812 643,884 3,201,837 119,561 167,794 290,901 1,500,746 7,094,010 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total -8.6 6.0 15.2 18.9 25.7 20.4 3.0 7.4 13.9 21.1 54.8 100.0 4.1 8.8 14.9 21.5 51.2 100.0 -1.3 2.2 10.4 19.5 69.1 100.0 21.9 23.2 25.9 30.0 31.1 14.3 9.3 13.5 17.7 8.3 14.1 9.0 12.5 15.6 7.2 15.4 10.6 17.1 26.1 12.6 Average Federal Tax 6 Rate Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). Note: Tax units with children are those claiming an exemption for children at home or away from home. NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2010. The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing of certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2008 dollars): 20% $12,921, 40% $24,393, 60% $41,924, 80% $67,748, 90% $96,780, 95% $137,143, 99% $359,711, 99.9% $1,730,730. (4) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T09-0048 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2009 1 Detail Table - Elderly Tax Units 4 Percent of Tax Units Cash Income Percentile2,3 With Tax Cut Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All With Tax Increase Percent Change in After-Tax 5 Income Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal Average Federal Tax Rate Change (% Points) 6 Under the Proposal 27.2 56.0 85.4 98.8 99.6 71.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 3.2 2.7 2.4 0.2 2.0 5.2 24.7 67.9 100.0 -15 -114 -512 -1,990 -5,119 -1,499 -6.8 -13.2 -18.5 -23.6 -8.7 -10.8 0.0 0.0 -0.3 -1.6 1.9 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.8 9.7 85.6 100.0 -0.2 -0.5 -1.2 -2.9 -2.1 -2.0 2.1 3.5 5.5 9.2 21.7 16.4 99.6 99.5 99.6 99.8 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8 3.3 2.5 2.0 2.0 19.3 13.7 16.2 18.7 8.6 -3,312 -3,985 -5,248 -20,516 -93,007 -19.1 -14.3 -8.8 -4.7 -4.3 -1.0 -0.4 0.4 2.9 1.6 9.9 9.9 20.4 45.4 23.3 -3.1 -2.7 -2.0 -1.4 -1.4 13.4 16.2 20.5 28.5 30.9 Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Percentile Adjusted for Family Size, 2009 1 4 Tax Units 2,3 Cash Income Percentile Lowest Quintile Second Quintile Middle Quintile Fourth Quintile Top Quintile All Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) Average After5 Tax Income (Dollars) Number (thousands) Percent of Total 5,675 7,562 4,371 5,321 5,689 28,639 19.8 26.4 15.3 18.6 19.9 100.0 9,958 21,260 41,175 69,880 246,281 75,721 227 867 2,767 8,443 58,572 13,910 9,731 20,393 38,407 61,437 187,708 61,811 2,500 1,471 1,329 391 40 8.7 5.1 4.6 1.4 0.1 105,353 147,862 266,234 1,451,124 6,768,885 17,386 27,953 59,703 433,670 2,184,145 87,967 119,909 206,532 1,017,454 4,584,740 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 2.3 4.1 6.7 12.1 23.8 18.4 2.6 7.4 8.3 17.2 64.6 100.0 3.1 8.7 9.5 18.5 60.3 100.0 0.3 1.7 3.0 11.3 83.7 100.0 16.5 18.9 22.4 29.9 32.3 12.1 10.0 16.3 26.1 12.4 12.4 10.0 15.5 22.5 10.3 10.9 10.3 19.9 42.5 21.7 Average Federal Tax 6 Rate Addendum 80-90 90-95 95-99 Top 1 Percent Top 0.1 Percent Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). Note: Elderly tax units are those with either head or spouse (if filing jointly) age 65 or older. NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2010. The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing of certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) The cash income percentile classes used in this table are based on the income distribution for the entire population and contain an equal number of people, not tax units. The incomes used are adjusted for family size by dividing by the square root of the number of people in the tax unit. The resulting percentile breaks are (in 2008 dollars): 20% $12,921, 40% $24,393, 60% $41,924, 80% $67,748, 90% $96,780, 95% $137,143, 99% $359,711, 99.9% $1,730,730. (4) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (5) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (6) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.