29-Jan-09
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Click on PDF or Excel link above for additional tables containing more detail and breakdowns by filing status and demographic groups.
Table T09-0071
Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $3,000
Baseline: $6,000 Threshold
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009
Summary Table
Cash Income Level
(thousands of 2008
dollars) 2
Less than 10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-75
75-100
100-200
200-500
500-1,000
More than 1,000
All
Percent of Tax Units 3
With Tax Cut
9.8
12.0
5.1
1.3
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.9
With Tax
Increase
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Percent
Change in
After-Tax
Income 4
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
27.1
50.6
16.8
3.0
1.1
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0
1
Average
Federal Tax
Change ($)
-34
-45
-19
-5
-2
-1
0
0
0
0
0
-14
Average Federal Tax Rate 5
Change (%
Points)
-0.6
-0.3
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Under the
Proposal
4.5
3.6
9.0
13.2
15.9
17.9
19.7
22.8
26.0
26.8
30.3
21.6
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7).
Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 30.338
Proposal: 30.338
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law with threshold reduced to $6,000, proposal is to reduce the earnings refundability threshold for the CTC to $3,000.
(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.
(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and
estate tax.
(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average
cash income.
29-Jan-09
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Table T09-0071
Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $3,000
Baseline: $6,000 Threshold
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009
Detail Table
Cash Income Level
(thousands of 2008
2
dollars)
Less than 10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-75
75-100
100-200
200-500
500-1,000
More than 1,000
All
Percent of Tax Units 3
With Tax Cut
With Tax
Increase
9.8
12.0
5.1
1.3
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Percent
Change in
After-Tax
4
Income
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
27.1
50.6
16.8
3.0
1.1
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0
Average Federal Tax Change
Dollars
-34
-45
-19
-5
-2
-1
0
0
0
0
0
-14
Percent
-11.8
-7.6
-0.8
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
1
Share of Federal Taxes
Change (%
Points)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Under the
Proposal
0.2
0.5
1.8
2.8
3.5
10.0
10.1
25.4
17.5
7.5
20.6
100.0
5
Average Federal Tax Rate
Change (%
Points)
-0.6
-0.3
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes
1
by Cash Income Level, 2009
Cash Income Level
(thousands of 2008
2
dollars)
Less than 10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-75
75-100
100-200
200-500
500-1,000
More than 1,000
All
Tax Units 3
Number
(thousands)
17,204
24,101
19,493
14,384
11,749
21,662
14,107
19,712
5,636
989
519
150,241
Percent of
Total
11.5
16.0
13.0
9.6
7.8
14.4
9.4
13.1
3.8
0.7
0.4
100.0
Average
Income
(Dollars)
5,704
15,181
25,314
35,555
45,838
63,039
88,790
138,154
291,886
695,069
3,199,967
75,289
Average
Federal Tax
Burden
(Dollars)
289
598
2,285
4,706
7,284
11,303
17,494
31,465
75,924
186,351
970,745
16,295
Average After4
Tax Income
(Dollars)
5,416
14,583
23,029
30,849
38,554
51,736
71,296
106,688
215,962
508,718
2,229,222
58,994
Average
Federal Tax
5
Rate
5.1
3.9
9.0
13.2
15.9
17.9
19.7
22.8
26.0
26.8
30.3
21.6
Share of PreTax Income
Percent of
Total
Share of PostTax Income
Percent of
Total
Share of
Federal Taxes
Percent of
Total
0.9
3.2
4.4
4.5
4.8
12.1
11.1
24.1
14.5
6.1
14.7
100.0
1.1
4.0
5.1
5.0
5.1
12.6
11.4
23.7
13.7
5.7
13.1
100.0
0.2
0.6
1.8
2.8
3.5
10.0
10.1
25.3
17.5
7.5
20.6
100.0
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7).
Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 30.338
Proposal: 30.338
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law with threshold reduced to $6,000, proposal is to reduce the earnings refundability threshold for the CTC to $3,000.
(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.
(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.
(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.
Under the
Proposal
4.5
3.6
9.0
13.2
15.9
17.9
19.7
22.8
26.0
26.8
30.3
21.6
29-Jan-09
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Table T09-0071
Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $3,000
Baseline: $6,000 Threshold
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009 1
Detail Table - Single Tax Units
Cash Income Level
(thousands of 2008
dollars) 2
Less than 10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-75
75-100
100-200
200-500
500-1,000
More than 1,000
All
Percent of Tax Units 3
With Tax Cut
With Tax
Increase
2.9
2.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Percent Change
in After-Tax
Income 4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
42.5
50.1
6.3
0.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0
Average Federal Tax Change
Dollars
-10
-10
-2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-4
Percent
-2.2
-0.8
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
Share of Federal Taxes
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0
3.1
6.1
7.2
8.3
18.9
11.7
16.7
9.8
4.4
12.7
100.0
Average Federal Tax Rate 5
Change (%
Points)
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes
by Cash Income Level, 2009 1
Cash Income Level
(thousands of 2008
dollars) 2
Less than 10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-75
75-100
100-200
200-500
500-1,000
More than 1,000
All
Tax Units 3
Number
(thousands)
Percent of
Total
12,556
14,909
9,879
6,530
5,421
8,162
3,264
2,958
730
130
69
64,958
19.3
23.0
15.2
10.1
8.4
12.6
5.0
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.1
100.0
Average
Income
(Dollars)
5,704
15,017
25,243
35,566
45,797
62,150
87,974
134,418
295,280
694,203
3,156,727
42,053
Average
Federal Tax
Burden
(Dollars)
449
1,231
3,622
6,454
8,953
13,504
20,826
32,997
78,268
197,542
1,074,887
8,985
Average AfterTax Income 4
(Dollars)
5,256
13,786
21,621
29,112
36,843
48,646
67,147
101,421
217,012
496,661
2,081,839
33,067
Average
Federal Tax
Rate 5
7.9
8.2
14.4
18.2
19.6
21.7
23.7
24.6
26.5
28.5
34.1
21.4
Share of PreTax Income
Percent of
Total
Share of PostTax Income
Percent of
Total
Share of
Federal Taxes
Percent of
Total
2.6
8.2
9.1
8.5
9.1
18.6
10.5
14.6
7.9
3.3
7.9
100.0
3.1
9.6
9.9
8.9
9.3
18.5
10.2
14.0
7.4
3.0
6.7
100.0
1.0
3.1
6.1
7.2
8.3
18.9
11.7
16.7
9.8
4.4
12.7
100.0
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7).
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law with threshold reduced to $6,000, proposal is to reduce the earnings refundability threshold for the CTC to $3,000.
(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.
(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.
(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.
Under the
Proposal
7.7
8.1
14.3
18.2
19.6
21.7
23.7
24.6
26.5
28.5
34.1
21.4
29-Jan-09
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Table T09-0071
Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $3,000
Baseline: $6,000 Threshold
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009 1
Detail Table - Married Tax Units Filing Jointly
Cash Income Level
(thousands of 2008
dollars) 2
Less than 10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-75
75-100
100-200
200-500
500-1,000
More than 1,000
All
Percent of Tax Units 3
With Tax Cut
With Tax
Increase
8.4
13.6
8.1
2.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Percent Change
in After-Tax
Income 4
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
12.0
43.1
28.9
8.5
2.4
2.5
0.6
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0
Average Federal Tax Change
Dollars
-28
-53
-30
-10
-3
-1
0
0
0
0
0
-8
Percent
-11.3
-16.4
-2.6
-0.4
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Share of Federal Taxes
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.7
1.1
5.4
8.9
29.2
21.2
9.1
23.9
100.0
Average Federal Tax Rate 5
Change (%
Points)
-0.6
-0.3
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes
by Cash Income Level, 2009 1
Cash Income Level
(thousands of 2008
dollars) 2
Less than 10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-75
75-100
100-200
200-500
500-1,000
More than 1,000
All
Tax Units 3
Number
(thousands)
Percent of
Total
2,093
3,937
4,757
3,946
3,659
9,688
9,341
15,817
4,725
827
430
59,479
3.5
6.6
8.0
6.6
6.2
16.3
15.7
26.6
7.9
1.4
0.7
100.0
Average
Income
(Dollars)
4,904
15,709
25,357
35,641
45,966
64,204
89,292
139,272
291,151
695,396
3,148,057
125,155
Average
Federal Tax
Burden
(Dollars)
246
326
1,139
2,820
5,163
9,418
16,089
31,134
75,559
184,513
936,412
28,330
Average AfterTax Income 4
(Dollars)
4,658
15,383
24,218
32,821
40,803
54,786
73,203
108,138
215,593
510,883
2,211,645
96,825
Average
Federal Tax
Rate 5
5.0
2.1
4.5
7.9
11.2
14.7
18.0
22.4
26.0
26.5
29.8
22.6
Share of PreTax Income
Percent of
Total
Share of PostTax Income
Percent of
Total
Share of
Federal Taxes
Percent of
Total
0.1
0.8
1.6
1.9
2.3
8.4
11.2
29.6
18.5
7.7
18.2
100.0
0.2
1.1
2.0
2.3
2.6
9.2
11.9
29.7
17.7
7.3
16.5
100.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.7
1.1
5.4
8.9
29.2
21.2
9.1
23.9
100.0
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7).
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law with threshold reduced to $6,000, proposal is to reduce the earnings refundability threshold for the CTC to $3,000.
(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.
(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.
(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.
Under the
Proposal
4.5
1.7
4.4
7.9
11.2
14.7
18.0
22.4
26.0
26.5
29.8
22.6
29-Jan-09
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Table T09-0071
Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $3,000
Baseline: $6,000 Threshold
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009 1
Detail Table - Head of Household Tax Units
Cash Income Level
(thousands of 2008
dollars) 2
Less than 10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-75
75-100
100-200
200-500
500-1,000
More than 1,000
All
Percent of Tax Units 3
With Tax Cut
With Tax
Increase
47.3
39.4
12.5
2.1
1.0
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
16.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Percent Change
in After-Tax
Income 4
2.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
29.2
53.3
14.8
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0
Average Federal Tax Change
Dollars
-168
-148
-45
-6
-4
-1
0
0
0
0
0
-59
Percent
31.8
12.6
-11.2
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-1.1
Share of Federal Taxes
Change (%
Points)
Under the
Proposal
-0.3
-0.6
-0.1
0.1
0.1
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
-1.3
-5.1
1.3
9.3
11.6
28.1
18.1
19.3
7.7
2.9
8.0
100.0
Average Federal Tax Rate 5
Change (%
Points)
-2.6
-1.0
-0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.2
Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes
by Cash Income Level, 2009 1
Cash Income Level
(thousands of 2008
dollars) 2
Less than 10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-75
75-100
100-200
200-500
500-1,000
More than 1,000
All
Tax Units 3
Number
(thousands)
Percent of
Total
2,406
4,961
4,512
3,554
2,315
3,290
1,254
786
132
21
11
23,292
10.3
21.3
19.4
15.3
9.9
14.1
5.4
3.4
0.6
0.1
0.1
100.0
Average
Income
(Dollars)
6,412
15,257
25,403
35,401
45,811
61,934
87,576
130,519
298,070
683,864
3,070,023
40,351
Average
Federal Tax
Burden
(Dollars)
-528
-1,182
405
3,381
6,450
10,982
18,548
31,458
74,443
182,444
932,848
5,572
Average AfterTax Income 4
(Dollars)
6,939
16,440
24,999
32,020
39,361
50,951
69,028
99,061
223,627
501,421
2,137,175
34,779
Average
Federal Tax
Rate 5
-8.2
-7.8
1.6
9.6
14.1
17.7
21.2
24.1
25.0
26.7
30.4
13.8
Share of PreTax Income
Percent of
Total
Share of PostTax Income
Percent of
Total
Share of
Federal Taxes
Percent of
Total
1.6
8.1
12.2
13.4
11.3
21.7
11.7
10.9
4.2
1.5
3.6
100.0
2.1
10.1
13.9
14.1
11.3
20.7
10.7
9.6
3.7
1.3
2.9
100.0
-1.0
-4.5
1.4
9.3
11.5
27.8
17.9
19.1
7.6
2.9
7.9
100.0
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7).
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law with threshold reduced to $6,000, proposal is to reduce the earnings refundability threshold for the CTC to $3,000.
(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.
(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.
(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.
Under the
Proposal
-10.9
-8.7
1.4
9.5
14.1
17.7
21.2
24.1
25.0
26.7
30.4
13.7
29-Jan-09
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Table T09-0071
Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $3,000
Baseline: $6,000 Threshold
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009
Detail Table - Tax Units with Children
Cash Income Level
(thousands of 2008
2
dollars)
Less than 10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-75
75-100
100-200
200-500
500-1,000
More than 1,000
All
Percent of Tax Units 3
With Tax Cut
With Tax
Increase
50.6
46.9
17.1
4.0
1.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
10.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Percent
Change in
After-Tax
4
Income
2.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
24.8
51.1
18.1
3.3
1.1
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0
Average Federal Tax Change
Dollars
-177
-179
-62
-14
-6
-2
-1
0
0
0
0
-40
Percent
23.4
9.8
18.2
-0.5
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.2
1
Share of Federal Taxes
Change (%
Points)
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Under the
Proposal
-0.3
-1.1
-0.2
1.3
2.2
7.6
10.0
29.6
21.1
8.6
21.0
100.0
5
Average Federal Tax Rate
Change (%
Points)
-3.0
-1.2
-0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes
1
by Cash Income Level, 2009
Cash Income Level
(thousands of 2008
2
dollars)
Less than 10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-75
75-100
100-200
200-500
500-1,000
More than 1,000
All
Tax Units 3
Number
(thousands)
Percent of
Total
2,701
5,494
5,603
4,726
3,756
7,394
5,839
9,103
2,690
442
212
48,094
5.6
11.4
11.7
9.8
7.8
15.4
12.1
18.9
5.6
0.9
0.4
100.0
Average
Income
(Dollars)
5,981
15,478
25,399
35,550
45,850
63,220
89,123
139,015
288,713
693,043
3,179,388
95,281
Average
Federal Tax
Burden
(Dollars)
-758
-1,839
-343
2,741
5,770
10,085
16,798
31,765
76,663
189,988
969,934
20,361
Average After4
Tax Income
(Dollars)
6,740
17,317
25,742
32,809
40,080
53,135
72,324
107,250
212,050
503,055
2,209,454
74,920
Average
Federal Tax
5
Rate
Share of PreTax Income
Percent of
Total
Share of PostTax Income
Percent of
Total
Share of
Federal Taxes
Percent of
Total
-12.7
-11.9
-1.4
7.7
12.6
16.0
18.9
22.9
26.6
27.4
30.5
21.4
0.4
1.9
3.1
3.7
3.8
10.2
11.4
27.6
17.0
6.7
14.7
100.0
0.5
2.6
4.0
4.3
4.2
10.9
11.7
27.1
15.8
6.2
13.0
100.0
-0.2
-1.0
-0.2
1.3
2.2
7.6
10.0
29.5
21.1
8.6
21.0
100.0
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7).
Note: Tax units with children are those claiming an exemption for children at home or away from home.
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law with threshold reduced to $6,000, proposal is to reduce the earnings refundability threshold for the CTC to $3,000.
(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.
(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.
(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.
Under the
Proposal
-15.6
-13.0
-1.6
7.7
12.6
16.0
18.9
22.9
26.6
27.4
30.5
21.3
29-Jan-09
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org
Table T09-0071
Reduce Child Tax Credit Refundability Threshold to $3,000
Baseline: $6,000 Threshold
Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009
Detail Table - Elderly Tax Units
Cash Income Level
(thousands of 2008
2
dollars)
Less than 10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-75
75-100
100-200
200-500
500-1,000
More than 1,000
All
Percent of Tax Units 3
With Tax Cut
With Tax
Increase
0.8
0.3
0.2
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Percent
Change in
After-Tax
4
Income
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Share of Total
Federal Tax
Change
34.9
24.5
13.9
15.3
4.4
4.5
0.3
2.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0
Average Federal Tax Change
Dollars
-3
-1
-1
-2
-1
0
0
0
0
0
0
-1
Percent
-1.6
-0.2
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
Share of Federal Taxes
Change (%
Points)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Under the
Proposal
0.1
0.7
1.3
1.1
1.5
7.3
8.1
20.4
19.1
10.2
30.3
100.0
5
Average Federal Tax Rate
Change (%
Points)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes
1
by Cash Income Level, 2009
Cash Income Level
(thousands of 2008
2
dollars)
Less than 10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-75
75-100
100-200
200-500
500-1,000
More than 1,000
All
Tax Units 3
Number
(thousands)
Percent of
Total
2,765
6,689
4,053
2,142
1,714
4,095
2,542
3,191
1,082
221
126
28,639
9.7
23.4
14.2
7.5
6.0
14.3
8.9
11.1
3.8
0.8
0.4
100.0
Average
Income
(Dollars)
6,577
15,129
24,891
35,242
46,021
63,445
88,251
137,801
298,445
696,175
3,134,426
75,721
Average
Federal Tax
Burden
(Dollars)
179
395
1,260
2,107
3,535
7,254
12,856
25,941
71,508
188,052
974,445
14,177
Average After4
Tax Income
(Dollars)
6,398
14,734
23,631
33,135
42,485
56,191
75,395
111,860
226,937
508,123
2,159,981
61,545
Average
Federal Tax
5
Rate
2.7
2.6
5.1
6.0
7.7
11.4
14.6
18.8
24.0
27.0
31.1
18.7
Share of PreTax Income
Percent of
Total
Share of PostTax Income
Percent of
Total
Share of
Federal Taxes
Percent of
Total
0.8
4.7
4.7
3.5
3.6
12.0
10.3
20.3
14.9
7.1
18.2
100.0
1.0
5.6
5.4
4.0
4.1
13.1
10.9
20.3
13.9
6.4
15.5
100.0
0.1
0.7
1.3
1.1
1.5
7.3
8.1
20.4
19.1
10.2
30.3
100.0
Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7).
Note: Elderly tax units are those with either head or spouse (if filing jointly) age 65 or older.
(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law with threshold reduced to $6,000, proposal is to reduce the earnings refundability threshold for the CTC to $3,000.
(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm
(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.
(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.
(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.
Under the
Proposal
2.7
2.6
5.1
6.0
7.7
11.4
14.6
18.8
24.0
27.0
31.1
18.7