UTILIZATION OF OPTICAL SATELLITE DATA FOR MEASURING CARBON DIOXIDE AT FELDA MAOKIL MUHAMMAD NOOR HAZWAN BIN JUSOH A project report submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the award of the degree of Master of Engineering (Civil - Environmental Management) Faculty of Civil Engineering Universiti Teknologi Malaysia NOVEMBER 2009 iii To my beloved mother and father JUSOH JAAFAR KAMARIAH CHE SOH & My loving brothers and sisters MUHAMMAD NOOR HISYAM MUHAMMAD NOR HANIF NUR MADIHAH NUR NADIAH SABIHAH MUHAMMAD NOOR BAIHAQI NUR HABIBAH SAFIAH MUHAMMAD NOOR SUFFIAN iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS “In the Mighty Name of Allah, The Most Beneficent, The Most Merciful” Firstly, I would like to express my sincere gratitude and love to my dear parents Jusoh Jaafar and Kamariah Che Soh and also my cherished brothers and sisters for the consistent support, guidance and encouragement during my study. Secondly, a lot of thanks to my supervisor Dr. Mohd Badruddin Mohd Yusof for his attention and advice in order to ensure this thesis are completed. Not to forget sincere appreciation to my co-supervisor, PM. Dr. Ab. Latif Ibrahim from whom I received the necessary guidance throughout my final project. Thank you so much to both of you. Lastly, I express very thankful to my friends who had shared ideas and knowledge that contributed on my writing. I also wish to thank all staffs of Environmental Engineering Laboratory, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia; Pak Usop, Mr. Azrin and Mr. Suhaimi because of their passionate and helpful I’m manage to make this Master’s project much easier. Thank you so much for all of you which I’m not mention here. Your contribution directly or indirectly I always keep in my heart. Thank you… v ABSTRACT Currently there are many developments especially in construction’s sectors where a lot of air pollutants have been produced and resulted in the degradation of the environment. The issue has grown in importance in light of recent global warming. This study is based on a short term observation of carbon dioxide (CO2) released due to a road construction at Felda Maokil in Segamat. The method that has currently been used to determine Net Primary Productivity (NPP) at global scale using satellite data known as Moderate Resolution Imaging Radiometer (MODIS). The purpose of this study is to measure the amount carbon dioxide (CO2) that may be absorbed by oil palm tree for an area of about 450 hectares in Oil Palm plantation with low resolution MODIS satellite data. Several objectives have been carried out such as to determine the amount of Net Primary Productivity (NPP) in Felda Maokil, to assess the accuracy of MODIS data by validation process with in-situ data and lastly, to assess the correlation of NPP value from 2001, 2005 and 2009. The data were obtained through two sources which are in-situ as primary source and satellite data as secondary source. Data from four year interval had been chosen to insure more variations during the study period. Therefore the study was verified by the NPP values for year 2001, 2005 and 2009. The resulted acquired presented the mean NPP values for the three years processed were 468.169 g Cm2/y (2001), 560.685 g Cm2/y (2005) and 541.781 g Cm2/y (2009). Meanwhile, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) analysis had gave the resulted as 0.696 (2001), 0.863 (2005) and 0.716 (2009). As a conclusion, the mean NPP values for three years of MODIS images processed have shown similarities and road development had gave some impacts on these results. vi ABSTRAK Pada masa kini terdapat banyak aktiviti pembangunan yang melibatkan sektor pembinaan telah menyebabkan pembebasan udara tercemar ke atmosfera. Fenomena pencemaran ini secara tidak langsung telah membawa kepada berlakunya pemanasan global. Oleh itu, kajian ini dijalankan di Felda Maokil, Segamat bagi menentukan kandungan karbon dioksida (CO2) yang disebabkan oleh pembinaan jalan. Kaedah yang digunapakai adalah data satelit yang turut dikenali sebagai Moderate Resolution Imaging Radiometer (MODIS). Selain itu, pengukuran CO2 dapat diketahui bilangannya berpandukan terma Net Primary Productivity (NPP). Tujuan kajian ini dijalankan adalah untuk mendapatkan kandungan CO2 yang mampu diserap oleh pokok kelapa sawit di dalam kawasan ladang kelapa sawit berkeluasan 450 hektar. Kajian ini mengandungi beberapa objektif iaitu menentukan jumlah kandungan NPP di Felda Maokil, menilai ketepatan data MODIS dengan melakukan proses pengesahan data dari tapak kajian dan menilai hubungan bagi data NPP untuk tahun 2001, 2005 dan 2009. Terdapat dua kaedah dalam mendapatkan data kajian iaitu persampelan data di tapak kajian (sumber utama) dan data satelit ( sumber kedua). Perbezaan 4 tahun bagi tahun kajian dipilih supaya banyak perubahan dapat dilihat bagi tempoh kajian dijalankan. Keputusan kajian akan disahkan berdasarkan nilai NPP bagi tahun 2001, 2005 dan 2009. NPP bagi tiga tahun data proses ialah 468.169 g C m2/y (2001), 560.685 g C m2/y (2005) dan 541.781 g Cm2/y (2009). Sementara itu, analisis untuk Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) memberikan keputusan 0.696 (2001), 0.863 (2005) dan 0.716 (2009). Sebagai kesimpulan, nilai purata NPP telah menunjukkan persamaan untuk tiga tahun data MODIS. Disamping itu, aktiviti pembinaan jalan turut memberi impak terhadap keputusan kajian. vii TABLE OF CONTENT CHAPTER TITLE TITLE PAGE DECLARATION DEDICATION ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ABSTRACT ABSTRAK TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES LIST OF FIGURES LIST OF SYMBOLS LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS LIST OF APPENDICES PAGE i ii iii iv v vi vii x xi xiv xv xiv CHAPTER 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 INTRODUCTION General Problem Statement Aim and Objectives Scope of the Study Expected Finding 1 1 3 4 4 5 CHAPTER 2 2.1 2.2 2.3 LITERATURE REVIEW Carbon Sequestration Carbon Cycle Sources of Carbon Dioxide Transportation Industrial Generating Electricity 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.3.3 viii 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.9.1 2.9.2 2.10 2.11 2.12 2.13 2.14 2.15 2.16 2.16.1 2.16.2 2.16.3 2.17 2.18 2.19 2.20 2.20.1 2.20.2 2.21 CHAPTER 3 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 Carbon in Atmosphere Atmospheric Increase of Carbon Dioxide Carbon Pollutants Pollutant Materials Pollutant Deposition Types of Gasses in The Atmosphere Carbon Monoxide Nitrogen Oxides Photosynthesis Functioning of Photosynthesis Process Classification of Ecosystem Types The Basis of Net Primary Productivity Potential Net Primary Productivity Annual Assessment of NPP Allocation Limiting Factors Shortage of Nutrients Some Climatic Factors Carbon Dioxide Malaysia’s Legislation Kyoto Protocol MODIS Satellite Data Carbon Dioxide Capture and Geologic Storage Techniques of Carbon Dioxide Capture Geological Storage of Carbon Dioxide Previous Research on Related Studies Using MODIS Satellite Data 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 17 18 20 21 21 22 23 23 26 26 27 30 METHODOLOGY Introduction Study Area Data Collection Carbon Dioxide Meter Algorithm Spectral Bands ERDAS Software 41 41 41 42 43 44 46 47 31 33 36 38 ix CHAPTER 4 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.5.1 4.5.2 4.5.3 4.5.4 4.6 CHAPTER 5 5.1 5.2 RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS Image for Propose Location from MODIS Data The Amount of Net Primary Productivity And Normalized Difference Vegetation Index Correlation between Net Primary and Normalized Difference Vegetation values (2001, 2005 and 2009) Relationship between of APAR and MODPRI at Study Area Relationship between Field Measurement and Meteorological Data Reliability Test Student’s t-test Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient Effects of Road Construction in Carbon Absorption CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS Conclusion Recommendations 49 49 53 62 64 69 69 71 71 72 74 80 80 81 REFFERENCES 84 APPENDICES 87 x LIST OF TABLES TABLE NO TITLE Table 2.1 U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Transportation Sector Energy Consumption Emissions which Produced by Industrial Processes Amount of Atmospheric Carbon Monoxide for Primary Sources Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Some Countries from the year 1992 to 2007 Change in Greenhouse Gas Emissions (1990 to 2004) The Amount of Annual Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Major Industrial Sources MODIS – Related Research Topics Net Primary Production Values at Felda Maokil in unit of g C m2/d Normalized Difference Vegetation Index Values at Felda Maokil in unitless APAR values at Felda Maokil MODPRI values at Felda Maokil Net Primary Production values at tolerable range Normalized Difference Vegetation Index values at tolerable range ANOVA for NPP ANOVA for NDVI Correlation between NPP and NDVI Table 2.2 Table 2.3 Table 2.4 Table 2.5 Table 2.6 Table 2.7 Table 4.1 Table 4.2 Table 4.3 Table 4.4 Table 4.5 Table 4.6 Table 4.7 Table 4.8 Table 4.9 PAGE 8 10 16 30 31 35 37 55 55 67 67 72 72 74 74 75 xi LIST OF FIGURES FIGURE NO TITLE Figure 2.1 The Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Industrial Activities and Land Use Change Schematic Map of the Major Biomass of the World Annual NPP and Annual Precipitation The Length of the growing season (P) in the months, The Average Temperature (T) during the growing season in °C, and The Day Length (D) in hours as a function of latitude The Relationship between Dry Matter Production (P) and Total Transpiration (W) of Oats Grown in Containers The Flow of Carbon Dioxide According to the Concept of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Geological Storage Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage The Processes that occur from Carbon Dioxide Capture Techniques The Geological Storage Options for Carbon Dioxide The Project Planning for the Road Constructions that shorten the trip between Chaah and Bukit Kepong Carbon Dioxide Meter Model 7515 The Lists of Spectral Bands to Produce MODIS Satellite Image Work Schedule MODIS Satellite Image for Year 2001 MODIS Satellite Image for Year 2005 MODIS Satellite Image for Year 2009 Figure 2.2 Figure 2.3 Figure 2.4 Figure 2.5 Figure 2.6 Figure 2.7 Figure 2.8 Figure 2.9 Figure 3.1 Figure 3.2 Figure 3.3 Figure 3.4 Figure 4.1 Figure 4.2 Figure 4.3 PAGE 11 20 21 26 27 34 37 37 39 44 46 49 50 52 53 54 xii Figure 4.4 Figure 4.5 Figure 4.6 Figure 4.7 Figure 4.8 Figure 4.9 Figure 4.10 Figure 4.11 Figure 4.12 Figure 4.13 Figure 4.14 Figure 4.15 Figure 4.16 Figure 4.17 Figure 4.18 Figure 4.19 Figure 4.20 Figure 4.21 Figure 4.22 Figure 4.23 Figure 4.24 Standard Deviation for NPP Value at Felda Maokil (2001, 2005 and 2009) Standard Deviation for NDVI Value at Felda Maokil (2001, 2005 and 2009) The Different Colour of Net Primary Production (2001) The Different Colour of Net Primary Production (2005) The Different Colour of Net Primary Production (2009) The Different Colour of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (2001) The Different Colour of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (2005) The Different Colour of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (2009) Scatter Plots of NPP and NDVI values in year 2001 at Felda Maokil Scatter Plots of NPP and NDVI values in year 2005 at Felda Maokil Scatter Plots of NPP and NDVI values in year 2009 at Felda Maokil A Graph of APAR values at different years A Graph of MODPRI values at different years Relationship between APAR and MODPRI at Felda Maokil (2001) Relationship between APAR and MODPRI at Felda Maokil (2005) Relationship between APAR and MODPRI at Felda Maokil (2009) The Range of Area Covered in A Normal Distribution Location of Road Construction at Study Area (2001) based on NPP Location of Road Construction at Study Area (2005) based on NPP Location of Road Construction at Study Area (2009) based on NPP Location of Road Construction at Study Area (2001) based on NDVI 56 56 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 65 67 68 69 69 70 72 78 79 80 81 xiii Figure 4.25 Figure 4.26 Location of Road Construction at Study Area (2005) based on NDVI Location of Road Construction at Study Area (2009) based on NDVI 82 83 xiv LIST OF SYMBOLS CO2 - Carbon Dioxide CFC - Chlorofluorocarbons CH4 - Methane K - Potassium N2O - Nitrus Oxide N - Nitrogen P - Phosphorus xv LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS CCS - Carbon Dioxide Capture and Geologic Storage DOE - Department of Environmental EOS - Earth Observing System EOR - Enhanced Oil Recovery ECBMR - Enhanced Coal Bed Methane Recovery GHG - Greenhouse Gas GPP - Gross Photosynthetic Products Produced IEA - International Energy Agency LUC - Light Use Efficiency MODIS - Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer MRSO - Malaysian Rectified Skew Orthomorpic NPP - Net Primary Production SBRS - Santa Barbara Remote Sensing UNFCCC - UN Framework Convention on Climate Change WEC - World Energy Council xvi LIST OF APPENDICES APPENDIX A B C TITLE Manual Calculation for Reliability Test Manual Calculation for Student’s t-test Manual Calculation for Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) PAGE 90 92 94 CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 General Recently, human activities have contributed more critical problems to the environment. There are a lot of environmental issues that arise since last decade such as water quality, solid waste, air pollution, noise pollution, etc. Besides that, the climate change that occurred has some side effects from this matter. As example, acid rain where emissions of sulphur oxides, nitrogen oxides and hydrocarbons are transformed in the atmosphere into sulphate and nitrate particles. Combination of sunlight and water vapour will produce a complex chemical reaction in mild sulphuric or nitric acid. This acid rain will occurs when pH levels falls below 5.6. Another effect that arise is global warming where solar radiation that come to earth is not fully release from atmosphere and the results it increase the earth temperature since more radiation is absorbed by the earth’s surface; melting the ice at Antarctic and Antarctica which lead to increase water level. The situation happen where more greenhouse gas; carbon dioxide (CO2), chloroflorocarbons (CFC), methane (CH4), nitrus oxide (N2O) and tropospheric ozone in atmosphere 2 In order to maintain the quality of environment and prevent before it become worst, some affords has been taken out in order to cater this environment issues. Solid waste can be control by several measures such as open dumping, landfill, incinerator, transfer stations and shrinking waste stream. However, this prevention cannot be successful as there are some factors affecting waste generation such as location, seasons, eating habits/lifestyle, etc. Meanwhile, for noise pollution can be control by management during construction phase, planning on construction sites activities, prevention from design stage of machine and additional control after machine is built. Lastly is air pollution which comes from natural sources, stationary and vehicles. Usually, air pollutants can be dividing into several types which are particulate (PM10), nitrogen oxide (NOx), sulphur oxide (SOx), carbon (COx) and hydrocarbon (HC). Since stationary produces more pollution to atmosphere, it can be cater by using cyclone separator, baghouse filter, electrostatic precipitator and wet scrubber. In the past few years, the global MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Radiometer) NPP (Net Primary Productivity) has been measured using small scale on-ground flux tower measurements using the eddy covariance method. So far this method is limited to implement due to a number of flux tower worldwide. Until now only about 450 sites flux tower distributed worldwide. Based on previous research by Cohen et al., (2003) and Turner et al., (2005) several issues have arise regarding the appropriateness of the variety of product scale such as to match the low spatial resolution of MODIS satellite data with plot scale flux tower measurements on the ground. 3 Vargas et al., (2007) and Falgae et al., (2001) have mentioned that although there a lot of flux tower such as AsiaFlux in Asia, KoFlux in Korea, OzFlux in Australia and others seems insufficient for the validation of the global MODIS NPP, thus cannot produced an accurate measurement of global NPP. Besides that, MODIS NPP comes in various models such as initiated by MOD17 (Running et al., 1999), “continuous field model” (Rahman et al., 2004) and “Carnegie-Ames-Stanfor Approach model” (CASA) (Jinguo et al., 2006). 1.2 Problem Statement Over the past century there has been a dramatic increase in the amount of gases that releases from several sources have contributes air pollution to the environment. So far, however, there has been little discussion about greenhouse effect that increases the earth temperature. In Malaysia basically, awareness among publics about air pollution are still lacking since not too much campaign and activities that related to this environmental issues. Besides that, poor of monitoring from government agencies have make the quality of gases that releasing are higher than allowable in air quality standard. At construction site especially, most of air quality at this locations are not taken seriously. Enforcement will take place only when there are complains make by local people or it become serious issues. 4 As mention earlier, the global warming is the process whereby the earth’s temperature is getting increases. The most primary factor that cause of global warming is carbon dioxide emissions. This significantly occurs due too many sources which producing this gas such as natural activity, power plants, cars, trucks, aircrafts and others sources which not mention here. According to the report, 8 billion tons of CO2 have been release into atmosphere in year 2008. In records, 40% of all CO2 emissions are cause by power plants, 33% of all the CO2 sent forth is the product of cars and trucks and 3.5% are released from aircraft. Therefore, based on this facts it show that CO2 gases playing major role in increasing temperature which known as global warming. Therefore, plants play in either sequestering atmospheric carbon or releasing carbon into the atmosphere. This study is conducted to measure carbon in the atmosphere that will absorb by plants. Since Malaysia is located at rain forest region, the amount of CO2 should be low. 1.3 Aim and Objectives This study is conducted in order to assess the efficiency of MODIS data using ERDAS software. Therefore, to achieve the aim several objectives are needed as a guideline; i. To determine the amount of Net Primary Productivity (NPP) at road construction in Felda Maokil, Segamat. ii. To assess the accuracy of MODIS data by validation process with in-situ data. iii. To assess the correlation of NPP value for years; 2001, 2005 and 2009. 5 1.4 Scope of the Study Main focus in this study is involve the use MODIS satellite data at propose location. The implementation for this data is decided because it easy to obtain by downloads from website at http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov. Besides that, MODIS data also is free to get and since the MODIS views the entire surface of the earth every one to two days, the current data is available. The MODIS satellite will be analyze using ERDAS IMAGE V9.1 from Leica Geosystems Geospatial Imaging. The use of this software because of it is practical to apply and well known product. Besides that, the propose location for this study is situated at Felda Maokil in Segamat, Johor Darul Takzim. Several points will be allocated in order to measure CO2 concentration. This parameter is observed by using special equipments like Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Meter for gaseous concentration. Then, CO2 concentration data will be assessing using ERDAS IMAGE V9.1 from Leica Geosystems Geospatial Imaging. An Addition, these values between MODIS satellite data and insitu data will be compare in order to measure the quality of both data. 6 1.5 Expected Finding The study would be expected to find that the NPP values are low since the surrounding area was palm oil trees. Besides that, the propose location is less developed which lack gasses released into the atmosphere. Although there are must be some error between MODIS satellite data and insitu data, the differences between both data are in small amounts. The NPP value for MODIS satellite data is more accurate than in-situ data. This is because of the influence by surrounding areas such as wind faster, respiration rates by human and animals, activities by local people and others. CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 Carbon Sequestration Based on previous research by Sakaki (2009), forests can play a role in either sequestering atmospheric carbon or releasing carbon into the atmosphere. In another word, carbon sequestration can be define as a process where atmospheric carbon dioxide is absorbed by trees through photosynthesis and store as carbon in biomass (trunks, branches, foliage and roots) and soils. Moreover, the ability of forest to sequester additional carbon can be increase by sustain the forestry practice and this action also helps in enhancing ecosystem services; improves soil and water quality. However, human activities such as harvesting and regenerating forests will give a result in net carbon sequestration in wood products and new forest growth. In order to increase forest carbon, this problem can be preventing by restoring forested ecosystems, planting trees and improving forest health. 7 2.2 Carbon Cycle Previous research has reported by Bolin (1986) that he has presented estimates of the major carbon pools and flux rates. This is because pool sizes, transfer patterns and flux rates of the carbon cycle are not fully or very accurately appreciated. In our atmosphere consist of several matters which are 720 x 109 tons of carbon, the biota 830 x 109 tons and below ground pools include 60 x 109, 500 x 109, 1400 x 109 and 5000 x 109 tons in surface detritus, peat, soil and fossil fuels respectively. This situation, however, the natural net input of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere from vegetative systems is close to zero where the system in undisturbed states. Besides that, the disturbance by forest fires, organic matter decomposition and plant respiration will be balanced by carbon dioxide uptake for photosynthesis process in existing and newly established vegetation. This statement however, being argued by Lugo and Brown (1986) where frequent and minor disturbances to forests are common and that forests slowly sequester atmospheric carbon. 2.3 Sources of Carbon Dioxide The arising amounts of carbon dioxide because of human activity mainly and some of them are coming natural activity. These sources are giving significant effects to the atmosphere such as greenhouse effects, smog, respiration problems and others. Therefore, identification of carbon sources can help in minimizes the amount of CO2 gases that produces. 8 2.3.1 Transportation Currently, the increasing numbers of vehicles commonly generate a lot of CO2 that releases to the atmosphere. There are many strategies that promoted by government as the way to control CO2 emissions such as car pooling, wider use of public transport and regular inspection and maintenance of vehicles, yet it’s still not fully effective in overcome the issues. Petroleum combustion is the largest source of carbon dioxide emissions in the transportation sector, as opposed to electricity-related emissions in the other end-use sectors. In a large country especially, the numbers of transportation have give more impacts to the environment through the releasing of CO2 by human activity. Table 2.1: U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Transportation Sector Energy Consumption (Source: Emissions of Greenhouse Gases in the United States 2006, 2007). 9 2.3.2 Industrial Industrial sector is the major elements that releasing abundant of CO2 gases to the atmosphere. Through their manufacture processes, without any monitoring by Department of Environmental (DOE) the emissions will create the serious problems to human being at surrounding area. Normally, the amount of CO2 that produces are depending on the raw materials itself and how it been processing. According to the report which conducted in year 2004, industrial processes generated emissions of 320.7 teragrams of CO2 equivalent, or 5% of total U.S. greenhouse gas emissions. Besides that, also in year 2004 the record shows that the CO2 emissions from all industrial processes were 152.6 Tg CO2 Eq which mean it was 3% of national CO2 emissions. The figure below shows the amounts of gasses that produces in industrial sector differ by manufacture process. 10 Table 2.2: Emissions which Produced by Industrial Processes. (Sources: Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks 1990-2004) 2.3.3 Generating Electricity Based on previous research by Chris et al. (2002), he found that there are three major complications which associating CO2 emissions with electricity consumption. According to the practice, electricity usually can be generated from different primary sources and most of them will create CO2 emissions (e.g., coal combustion) while minor result in virtually no CO2 emissions (e.g., hydro). 11 At the second place, the mix of generation resources used to meet loads may vary at different times of day or in different seasons. Lastly, the generation sources related to electricity usage can be difficult to trace due to transportation of electrical energy over long distances by complex transmission and distribution systems. Besides that, the emissions may occur far from jurisdiction in which hat energy is consumed. Therefore, it can conclude that the emissions resulting from electricity consumption vary considerably on when and where it is used since this affects the generation sources providing the power. (Source: Climate Change information kit, UNEPIUC, 1997) Figure 2.1: The CO2 Emissions from Industrial Activities and Land Use Change. 12 2.4 Carbon in Atmosphere CO2 is the gas that produces by photosynthesis processes. Richard and Steven, (1998) mentioned that half the gross photosynthetic products produced (GPP) are expended by plants in autotrophic respiration (Ra) for the synthesis and maintenance of living cells, releasing CO2 back into atmosphere. The remaining carbon products (GPPRa) go into net primary production (NPP); foliage, branches, stems, roots and plant productive organs. Other than that, atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations and the availability of soil nitrogen (N) must also need to be considered when modelling photosynthesis, carbon allocation and respiration. 2.5 Atmospheric Increase of Carbon Dioxide In the middle of nineteenth century, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the global concentration has been estimated to have 270 + 10 ppm (4.8 x 105 μ g/m3). However, this amount increased with the carbon concentration of approximately 350 ppm (6.3 x 105 μ g/m3). Additionally, the rate of increasing carbon dioxide concentration is in the amount of 1.5 ppm (2.7 x 105 μ g/m3) annually. Trabalka et al., (1986) points out that if this condition continuously happen, the carbon dioxide amount in the global atmosphere may be nearly two times of present value. 13 2.6 Carbon Pollutants There are two major sources that contribute to atmospheric contaminants, namely, carbon monoxides and carbon dioxides. Both pollutants are very important atmospheric contaminants where carbon monoxides consist of potent mammalian toxicity while carbon dioxide has ability to regulate global temperature. Based on U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (1976), carbon monoxide has not been shown to produce acute effects on plants at concentrations below 100 ppm (11.5 x 104 μg m3) for exposures from 1 to 3 weeks. Besides that, the hypothesis shows that the increasing concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere will result in elevated global temperatures. 2.7 Pollutant Materials According to William (1939), air pollutants can be defined as materials that occur in the troposphere in quantities in excess of normal amounts. Usually the air pollutants that founded are in solid, liquid and gaseous conditions and these characters are depending on both natural and human anthropogenic processes. Air pollution that occurs based on natural sources are volcanic and other geothermal eruptions, forests fires, gases released from vegetation, wind-blown soil and other debris, pollen, spores and sea spray particles. Other than that, air pollution that causes by human anthropogenic processes includes a variety of combustion and industrial activities. Air pollutants can be divided into two terms which is primary pollutants and secondary pollutants. 14 Pollutants that can be categorizes as primary pollutants where particulate or gaseous materials released directly into the troposphere in large amounts by natural or anthropogenic processes. Meanwhile for secondary pollutants, particulate or gaseous materials formed in the atmosphere from precursors released in large amounts to the troposphere by natural or anthropogenic processes. 2.8 Pollutant Deposition The air pollutant can be transferred by a variety of deposition mechanisms and these mechanisms usually can be divided into wet and dry deposition. The application of wet deposition is related with the movement of dissolved gasses and large particles; diameter greater than 20 μm, via incident precipitation. This process will lead to occur of acid precipitation which is known as rain or snow that having pH less than 5.6. Normally, the water that contain of pH values below will becomes acid then above 7 will becomes alkaline. Previous studies have reported by Lindberg et al., (1982) have shown that pollutant concentrations in rain generally decrease as rainfall amount, intensity and duration decrease but amount of rain recorded, however, exerts the most significant influence on pollutant transfer. 15 2.9 Types of Gasses in the Atmosphere The amounts of gasses towards air pollution are increasing in the atmosphere. This situation occurs based on the current condition of human activities. Besides that, there are also several sources that are well known to contribute to the air pollution such as vehicles, burning, industrial area and others. 2.9.1 Carbon Monoxide The concentration of carbon monoxide is different with carbon dioxide where this gas appears to be stable or only slightly increasing in clean atmospheres remote from excessive local input of carbon oxide. The existing of carbon monoxide in the atmosphere is in very approximately equal amounts from anthropogenic sources and from the biota on a global basis as shown in Table 2.3. Although, the concentration of carbon monoxide is not increasing dramatically, despite increasing combustion of fossil fuels, yet assuming the process of carbon monoxide is occurring. 16 Table 2.3: The Amount of Atmospheric Carbon Monoxide Source Methane oxidation Anthropogenic Biota Ocean Terrestrial plants Chlorophyll degradation Min 400 600 100 20 300 CO (106 tons yr -1) Total Northern Hemisphere Max Min Max 4000 200 2000 1000 540 900 220 40 90 200 14 140 700 200 500 (Source: Nozhevnikova and Yurganov, 1978) 2.9.2 Nitrogen Oxides The releasing of nitric oxide and nitrogen dioxide to the atmosphere are coming from the high temperature combustion of fossil fuels for transportation, energy generation and the manufacture of petroleum products. In their previous studies, Soderlund and Svensson (1976) have made estimated that 19 x 1012 g of nitrogen as the annual anthropogenic input via nitrogen oxide release to the atmosphere. This amount however, might be increase in the future where the utilizing of higher combustion temperature will increase the atmospheric input of nitrogen oxides from fossil fuel burning. Besides that, there are also some natural mechanisms that helping on releasing nitrogen oxides to the atmosphere such as fixation by lighting (Junge, 1958; Ferguson and Libby, 1971), inflow from stratosphere (Soderlund and Svensson, 1976), chemical conversion from ammonia in the troposphere (Crutzen, 1974; McConnell, 1973) and loss of gaseous nitric oxide from soils (Robinson and Robbins, 1975). 17 2.10 Photosynthesis Photosynthesis can be defined as the process that plants convert atmospheric CO2 to carbon products. This process takes place within cells containing chloroplasts. Chloroplasts contain chlorophyll and other pigments that absorb sunlight. The chemical reactions below shows the energy from the sun causes electrons to become excited and water molecules where it is split into hydrogen and oxygen. ʹ ื ................................................................ (2.1) ʹ ʹ ʹ Photosynthesis is restricted by both physical and biochemical processes and involves some reactions that require light and others that can take place in the dark. At the leaf surface, stomata limit the diffusion of carbon dioxide into intercellular spaces. While inside leaves, CO2 must dissolve in water and pass through cell walls to reach the sites where chemical reactions take place within chloroplast. In the day light reactions, radiation absorbed by chlorophyll causes excitation of electrons which are transferred down to the chain of specialized pigment molecules to reaction centres where highenergy compounds are formed, water is split and O2 released as shown in chemical reactions above. Meanwhile, in the dark reactions, plants use the enzyme ribulosebisphosphate carboxylase-oxygenase (Rubisco) for the primary fixation of CO2. When the light comes, photorespiration also occurs in the process of generating the substrate ribulose bisphosphate (RuBP), normally when the ratio of O2 and CO2 increases in the chloroplast (B. Berg and C. McClaugherty, 2008). 18 2.11 Functioning of Photosynthesis Process There are many types of components that influence of living organic matter such as C, H and O and then followed by N and P, accounting for 95% of plants matter and a number of other elements in minor proportions that are important to various physiological functions of the plants. Based on Redfield et al. (1963), he found that the ratio which called as Redfield ratio where it’s come from the production of organic matter by freshwater and marine planktonic organisms takes carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus in the atomic ratio C:N:P = 106:16:1. In addition, this ratio also applied for the phytoplankton and the photosynthetic reaction between CO2 and aqueous nitrate and phosphate ions, the chemical reaction as shown below; ͳͲ ̴ ʹെ ͳ͵ ͳͺ ͳʹʹ ֎ Ͷ ʹ ʹ ቀ ቁ ቀ ቁ ቀ ቁ ͳ͵ͺ .................................................... (2.2) ͳͲ ͵ ͳ ͵ ʹ Ͷ ʹ Referring to the reaction above, respiration or oxidation of organic matter, produces CO2, nitrate, phosphate and water where thus the reaction proceed from right to the left. Meanwhile an under anaerobic conditions, the reaction that occur will lead to the formation of CO2, methane and ammonia by heterotrophic bacteria; ቀ ቁ ቀ ቁ ቀ ቁ ͳͶ ͵ ͳ ͵ ʹ ͳͲ Ͷ ʹ ̴ ʹെ ՜ ͷ͵ ͷ͵ ͳ ͳͶ ......................................... (2.3) Ͷ Ͷ ʹ Ͷ 19 Several researches have showed that, land plants have an average C:N:P atomic ratios that vary from 510:4:1 (Delwiche and Likens, 1977) to 822:9:1 (Deevey, 1973) and 2057:17:1 (Likens et al., 1981). Compared between land plant and aquatic phytomass, photosynthesis process by land plant produces organic matter with a relatively much higher concentration of carbon and this can be prove by reaction below as example; ̴ ʹ െ ʹͲͷ ͳ͵ ͳͻ ʹͲͶ ൌ ʹ Ͷ ʹ ቀ ቁ ቀ ቁ ቀ ቁ ʹͲͻͳ ................................................ (2.4) ͵ ͳ ͵ ʹ ʹͲͷ Ͷ ʹ In order for photosynthesis to occur in terrestrial and aquatic plants, this process involves net primary of carbon from surrounding medium into the plant cell. In term of conditions for terrestrial plants, the medium is the atmosphere with its gaseous CO2, while for aquatic plants the medium is the water with its dissolved inorganic carbon. 2.12 Classification of Ecosystem Types Based on study by Lieth and Whittaker, (1975) the earth surface consists of different kinds of vegetation associated with different environmental features. All of these differences can be expressed in net primary productivity variations which are of vital importance for the self maintenance or management of the respective ecosystems. The prime importance for the optimal use of individual types of ecosystem is the knowledge and understanding of variation that consists in NPP and their causes. 20 There are some difficulties on classification of ecosystem types because of incompleteness of the available information, mistakes in classifying local ecosystem terminologies. Ovington, (1965) identifies that ‘woodland’ may be applied to a vegetation which lacks a continuous tree canopy but the total vegetation coverage is continuous where it is also can be applied as a general term for forest. However, the terms ‘forest’ is used for real closed forests as well as for more open woodlands. According to Rubel, (1930); Ellenberg and Muller-Dombois, (1967); Schmithusen, (1968); Schmidt, (1969); Walter, (1973) and UNESCO, (1973) stated that the design of various classification systems are depending on different criteria and remain to some degree subjective. The terms that have been used such as ‘vegetation unit’ or ‘ecosystem type’ are applied to any grouping of plants and are not limited. Therefore, they are the perfectly safe terms to use to designate a band of tropical forest or march vegetation. (Source: After Odum, 1971) Figure 2.2: Schematic Map of the Major Biomass of the World 21 2.13 The Basis of Net Primary Productivity The formation of glucose that come out of water and carbon dioxide within under the action of light is the elements that exists in the production of organic plant materials. According to previous research Goudriaan and Ajtay (1979), water vapour inevitably escapes when the plant takes up carbon dioxide from the air and this situation usually occurs in terrestrial plants. Therefore, when the plant loses too much water and is threatened by drought, it particularly reacting by closing the stomatal openings where both water loss and CO2 assimilation are reduced. Because of that, water may be a limiting factor for net primary productivity. (Source: Whittaker, 1970) Figure 2.3: Annual NPP and Annual Precipitation 22 2.14 Potential Net Primary Productivity By assuming variables to be optimal can help in measuring the potential net primary productivity (NPP). There is standard procedure to take the climatic conditions for given external parameters and only to assume an optimal water and nutrient supply. However, the changing of climatic conditions is very limited for man’s ability. Besides that, at the certain conditions such as incoming radiation, suboptimal temperatures and the length of the vegetation period are still limiting the crop production. The experiment by Loomis and Gerakis (1975) for the potential yields shows that by providing water and nutrients optimally available and in disease-free cultures. Referring to natural vegetations, since one or more factors are suboptimal the circumstances are not favourable. Therefore, the most fruitful way to analyze deviations from the potential productivity is to consider one factor as limiting. 2.15 Annual Assessment of NPP Allocation Annual primary production represents all carbon sequestered into dry matter during a year and is equivalent to total carbon uptake through photosynthesis minus the loss through autotrophic respiration. According to the available practice, net primary productivity (NPP) is estimated by assuming the growth of all tissue produced during a year, whether or not the tissue was consumed by herbivores or entered the detrital pool. The statement above can be shown below. NPP = B + DB + CB.................................................................................................... (2.5) 23 From that equation, B is the change in biomass over a period of a year, DB is detritus produced during a year and CB represents consumption of biomass by herbivores during the year. Eis et al., (1965) and Pregitzer and Burton (1991) claim that in particular climatic zone, the annual pattern of carbon allocation to foliage and stem wood shows a general consistency, except when large crops of seeds are produced or unusual weather conditions prevail. According to destructive analysis of trees, information can be obtained on how growth is distributed. Meanwhile Whittaker and Woodwell, (1968); Kira and Ogawa, (1971); Gholz et al., (1979); Dean, (1981); Pastor et al., (1984) mention that proportional increments in biomass of stem wood, leaves, branches and large diameter roots are related exponentially to increases in stem diameter. Production is determined by periodic measurement of stem diameter or by extracting wood cores and measuring annual increments. A previous study by Sukwong et al., (1971) found that variable-plot surveys are generally more efficient because only a few trees require measurement at each sampling point. Therefore biomass increment is calculated by measuring all trees within a known area or by using variable-plot surveys based on the diameter of trees intercepted by a selected angle. 24 2.16 Limiting Factors Limiting factors are the elements that influence the effectiveness of plants to sequester the CO2. The factors which identifies are shortage of nutrients, some climatic factors and carbon dioxide. 2.16.1 Shortage of Nutrients Part of the nutrients will available be to the plants during microbial decomposition and this situation happen when harvesting is not implementing where organic materials that produced will return to the soil as fallen leaves, seeds, etc. Sometimes mature ecosystems for the net primary productivity may approach the potential NPP. This is because of influencing the additional of the quantities released by weathering of soil materials and to those supplied by rain and microbial nitrogen fixation. Without fertilizer application, the annual yield will reach a rather low equilibrium level, determined by the natural sources of nutrients. The practice applied in primitive agriculture activities like shifting cultivation, the stock of nutrients is made available to a crop by forest burning. Reasonably the crop is well supplied with nutrients in the first few years, but the level soon declines through uptake and leaching (Bolin et al., 1979) 25 Hambridge, (1949) and Natr, (1975) point out that deficiency of an elements not only shows up in a characteristic symptoms, but it invariably reduces the net primary production. For the plant nutrients, the most important are nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P) and potassium (K) but other elements also required in smaller amounts such as Ca, Mg, Fe, Cu and Mn. Although each nutrients has their own role in specific processes but the elements which needs to take consideration is nitrogen where this nutrient often limiting and the most suitable for calculation. 2.16.2 Some Climatic Factors Due to a decrease in length of the growing season, this condition will affecting the decline in NPP with decreasing mean annual temperature. Etherington (1975) found that mean annual temperature and mean annual precipitation can be considered as factors that determine the type of natural vegetation. The species composition changes to such an extent that net primary productivity is not limited by mean temperature, since the value is higher than 10C and it is occurring within changing climatic conditions. Hence, the influence on net primary production cannot be taken as a whole representative for the influence of temperature on the performance of a single species. 26 (Source: Larcher, 1973) Figure 2.4: The Length of the growing season (P) in the months, The Average Temperature (T) during the growing season in C, and The Day Length (D) in hours as a function of latitude Besides that, the actual growing period of the vegetation may be shorter than the period permitted by temperature because of water shortage. If this situation builds up gradually, it will contribute more difficult for the plant to withdraw water from the soil. In order to mitigate the problems, some plants react by closing their stomata. The difference between two types of plants shows that the plants that close their stomata are savers while the others are spenders that use fast water. In another major study, Lof (1976) found that the ratio of transpired water and dry matter formed between these types of plants are decline with fertilization because of nitrogen increases dry matter production but not the transpiration rate. 27 (Source: De Wit, 1958) Figure 2.5: The Relationship between Dry Matter Production (P) and Total Transpiration (W) of Oats Grown in Containers 2.16.3 Carbon Dioxide Several studies conducted by Goudriaan and Van Laar (1978); Gifford and Musgrave (1970) show that even under light saturation, saturation with CO2 still occurs at 300ppm. Meanwhile in many cases, a CO2 enrichment of the ambient external air increases the net assimilation rate at light saturation. 28 The difference of saturation effect caused by CO2 induced stomatal closure. The CO2 concentration in the substomatal cavity is approximately constant for a numbers of plant species but when the CO2 assimilation rate rises with increasing radiation intensity, the stomata open up further to compensate the CO2 depletion in the cavity below them. Previous study has reported that CO2 regulation of stomatal resistance may be induced by water stress. As additional, in glasshouses CO2 enrichment may not be extrapolated to field conditions because of CO2 fertilization are not provided which lead to the decrease of the CO2 concentration in the air until 100ppm. Usually in the field where there is much better turbulent exchange with the atmosphere, the CO2 concentration is not reduced to less than 250ppm. 2.17 Malaysia’s Legislation Mostly, the successes in completing projects depend on proper machineries that required at construction site. This situation however, tends to contribute emission to the environment since the majority of machineries are using diesel engines which pollute more than petrol engines. Besides that, at certain site locations, they are involved with heavy machineries and these situations usually generate more air pollution. The machineries condition also needs to be taken into account whereby at construction site, the maintenance matter is not properly considered. Therefore, this situation will make the fuel being burnt completely which may result in an increase amount of gasses being released. Based on these problems, all the contractors and developers in Malaysia are enforced to follow the guideline as stated in the Environmental Quality (Control Emission from Diesel Engines) Regulations 1996. 29 2.18 Kyoto Protocol The name of Kyoto Protocol was given by the location of city where it was agreed to by negotiators in December 1997, is a treaty intended to implement the objectives and principles agreed in the 1992 UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). This protocol is constructing and establishes in order to binding commitment for the reduction of four gasses which are carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, sulphur hexafluoride (Michael, 2008). An additional, there are also another two groups of gasses which produced by “Annex I” (industrialized) nations (e.g., hydrofluorocarbons and perfluorocarbons). However, the successful of this protocol required general commitments for all member countries. Kyoto Protocol contains five principle concepts which include; i. Commitments. The heart of the Protocol lies in establishing commitments for the reduction of greenhouse gases that are legally binding for Annex I countries, as well as general commitments for all member countries. ii. Implementation. In order to meet the objectives of the Protocol, Annex I countries are required to prepare policies and measures for the reduction of greenhouse gases in their respective countries. In addition, they are required to increase the absorption of these gases and utilize all mechanisms available, such as joint implementation, the clean development mechanism and emissions trading, in order to be rewarded with credits that would allow more greenhouse gas emissions at home. iii. Minimizing Impacts on Developing Countries by establishing an adaptation fund for climate change. iv. Accounting, Reporting and Review in order to ensure the integrity of the Protocol. v. Compliance. Establishing a Compliance Committee to enforce compliance with the commitments under the Protocol. 30 Referring to Kyoto Protocol, the members who come from industrialized countries are needed to reduce their collective GHG emissions by 5.2% compared to the year 1990. National limitations range from 8% reductions for the European Union and some others to 7% for the United States, 6% for Japan, and 0% for Russia. The treaty permitted GHG emission increases of 8% for Australia and 10% for Iceland. Besides that, Kyoto Protocol also includes Emissions Trading, the Clean Development Mechanism and Joint Implementation which can define as flexible mechanisms. The applications of these mechanisms whereby to allow Annex I economies to meet their greenhouse gas (GHG) emission limitations by purchasing GHG emission reductions credits such as through financial exchanges, projects that reduce emissions in nonAnnex I economies, from other Annex I countries or from Annex I countries with excess allowances. Based on practice that available this means that Non-Annex I economies have no GHG emission restrictions, but however, it have financial incentives to develop GHG emission reduction projects to receive carbon credits that can then be sold to Annex I buyers as encouraging sustainable development. The differences between Annex I and non-Annex I where Annex I entities typically will want to acquire carbon credits as cheaply as possible, while Non-Annex I entities want to maximize the value of carbon credits generated from their domestic Greenhouse Gas Projects (http:///www.wikipedia.com). Table 2.4: Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Some Countries from the year 1992 to 2007 Country India China United States Russian Federation Japan Worldwide Total Change in greenhouse gas Emissions (1992-2007) +103% +150% +20% -20% +11% +38% (Source: Kyoto Protocol, http://wikipedia.com) 31 According to the prediction that was made by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), an average global rise in temperature of 1.4°C (2.5°F) to 5.8°C (10.4°F) between 1990 and 2100. Since that matter, the Kyoto Protocol has come with the objective for stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Table 2.5: Change in Greenhouse Gas Emissions (1990 to 2004). (Source: Kyoto Protocol, http:///www.wikipedia.com) 32 2.19 MODIS Satellite Data Several studies have been made involving MODIS satellite data. According to Chin (2005), Terra lie, the first EOS (Earth Observing System) was launched on December 18, 1999 which consists of five remote sensing sensors. Among of them, the most comprehensive EOS sensor is Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer which also known as MODIS. This technology was provided by NASA where it managed by NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Centre (GSFC) which is located at Greenbelt, Maryland. In addition, MODIS was developed by Hughes Corporation’s Santa Barbara Remote Sensing (SBRS) in Santa Barbara, California. Syaiful (2008) points out that MODIS consists of 36 bands from 0.405 – 14.385 μm that will collect data at 250 m, 500 m and 1 km spatial resolutions. Besides that according to Jensen (1996), MODIS contains of unique combination of features where it’s able to detect a wide spectral range of electromagnetic energy, it takes measurements at three spatial resolutions, it takes measurements every day and it also has a wide field of view. Therefore, MODIS enables to collect the data for the entire earth surface at every 1 to 2 days where observation will be made in 36 co-registered spectral bands at moderate resolution (0.25 – 1 km) of land and ocean-surface temperature, primary productivity, land-surface cover, clouds, aerosols, water vapour, temperature profiles and fires. 33 2.20 Carbon Dioxide Capture and Geologic Storage Due to the current scenarios of emissions, the International Energy Agency (IEA), the World Energy Council (WEC), the European Commission or the United States Department of Energy (DOE) have put the same suggestion that the amount of energy consumption will rise in between 16 and 18 GtOE by 2030. This result however is depending on fossil fuels which continuously dominate the energy mix. Therefore, in order to overcome this issue, Holloway (2007) has stated that the capture and geological storage (CGS) is technology that can help in reduce the amount of CO2 in atmosphere from large industrial installations such as fossil fuel-fired power stations by 80-90%. In CCS processes there are several steps that need to take into accounts which are capture, transport and storage. 34 (Source: Holloway, 2007) Figure 2.6: The Flow of Carbon Dioxide According to the Concept of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Geological Storage According to the IPCC report for year 2005, fossil-fuelled power generation has released over 42% of overall anthropogenic CO2 emissions where about 80% of CO2 emissions from the industrial sector. The installation of CO2 capture for conventional power plants (particularly coal-fired units) and certain other industrial facilities such as cement mils, refineries, fertilizer factories, steel mills and petrochemical plants seems to appear to be the most applicable. 35 Table 2.6: The Amount of Annual Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Major Industrial Sources In Mt CO2 /yr Power 10, 539 Iron & Steelmaking 646 Cement Manufacture 932 Oil Refining 798 Petrochemicals 379 Oil & Natural Gas Processing 50 Other Sources (including biomass) 124 Aggregate worldwide large stationary sources of CO2 emissions 13, 468 (Source: IPCC, 2005) 2.20.1 Techniques of Carbon Dioxide Capture Since the CO2 comes in many different sources, there are three techniques which will be utilized according to the type of installation. Rubin et al., (2005) has mentioned that the fossil fuel-fired power plants are the dominants industrial point sources of CO2 in most countries. CO2 may be captured from several techniques by the following; i. Post-combustion decarbonisation This technique is the most mature but among three techniques it was very costly and is appropriate for existing installation. Besides that, the post-combustion decarbonisation involves separating the CO2 contained in combustion gases. 36 ii. Pre-combustion decarbonisation By using this technique, the process for this technique consist of treating the fuel either with steam and air (steam reforming) or with oxygen (partial oxidation) to produce a synthesis gas that contains mainly carbon monoxide (CO) and hydrogen, potential energy carrier that generates no CO2 emissions. Then, the CO will be converting to the presence of water (H2O) and after that separates the resulting CO2 for capture and storage. iii. Oxyfuel combustion decarbonisation This technique is still in the pilot phase, but it requires a combustion of gas while is highly concentrated in CO2 where the volume between 80% and 90%. An addition the volume of CO2 could constitute a suitable retrofit technology for existing installation. Besides that, the process for oxyfuel combustion decarbonisation uses high-purity oxygen instead of air for combustion but the difficulty appears in extracting the oxygen from the air. The research is still in progress for separation step where the oxygen supply is derived from a reaction involving a metal oxide. So that, the metal particles from metal oxide such as iron fillings could be medium in carrying oxygen from air to fuel. 37 (Source: IPCC, 2005) Figure 2.7: Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage (Source: IPCC, 2005). Figure 2.8: The Processes that occur from Carbon Dioxide Capture Techniques 38 2.20.2 Geological Storage of Carbon Dioxide For the purpose of the storage of the CO2 gasses; there are many natural underground CO2 fields around the world (Studlick et al., 1990; Pearce et al., 1996; Stevens 2005). Based on practice, at this stage the gas could reach the supercritical state and thus occupy the smallest possible volume. There are several types of storage that can be used for geological storage of CO2 such as storage in depleted oil and natural gas reservoirs, storage in unminable coal beds and storage in saline aquifers (Price et al., 2008). i. Storage in depleted oil and natural gas reservoirs. The application of this type can help in reducing CO2 emissions since the natural reservoirs have proven their capacity to contain hydrocarbons for several million years. Besides that, although this type is not widespread it has been practice among oil and gas industry where CO2 will be injected into oilfields to reduce crude oil viscosity, improve mobility and thereby boost the recovery rate and the technique being applied was known as Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR). In minimizing the costs, the infrastructure that uses for exploration and production of crude oil (pipes and wells) can be reused for CO2 storage operations. ii. Storage in unminable coal beds. For the second type of storage, the coal bed is not applied as a reservoir. In this option, the process for storing the CO2 will be implementing by absorption of the gas. This technique can be used not only on storage of CO2 but also methane recovery (ECBMR-Enhanced Coal Bed Methane Recovery), by providing the coal bed is adequately covered over by impermeable cap rock. 39 iii. Storage in saline aquifers The aquifers that are formed of porous, permeable rock often saturated with brackish water or brine that is unfit to drink are potential storage sites for considerable quantities of CO2. Besides that, the uses of this type require a sufficient depth which is more than 800 meters and have overlying impermeable layers. (Source: Injection and Storage, http://www.co2crc.com.au). Figure 2.9: The Geological Storage Options for Carbon Dioxide 40 2.21 Previous Research on Related Studies using MODIS Satellite Data In recent years, the application of MODIS satellite data has been applied in many difference purposes. A numbers of researchers have used MODIS satellite data in the study. Table 2.7: MODIS – Related Research Topics NO. AUTHORS 1. Wahid et al. (2004) 2. 3. 4. Helen et al. (2006) Martin et al. (2008) Latif et al. (2007) TITLE Mapping Net Primary in Tropical Rain Forest Using MODIS Satellite Data Regional evaporation estimates from flux tower and MODIS satellite data Remote estimation of carbon dioxide uptake by a Mediterranean forest Evaluation of the MODIS NPP Product for a Japanese Test Site Previous study by Wahid et al., (2004) has reported that the estimated values for distribution of NPP for the whole Peninsular Malaysia and local scale Pasoh Forest Reserve were 804.37 g Cm2/y and 633.85 g Cm2/ y. Furthermore, the use of Monteith’s equation as well as micrometeorological approach is being applied in this study to map local scale NPP in tropical rain forest. Therefore, researchers identifies three types of MODIS satellite data bands which are utilized to the micrometeorological model which included visible band, near infra-red band and ocean bands (band 11 and band 12). On the other hand, MODIS satellite data is obtained from level 1B of morning Terra MODIS satellite data for Peninsular Malaysia and this requirement have been acquired from free website at http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov. 41 According to a study by Helen et al., (2006), the aerodynamic resistance-surface energy balance model and the Penman-Monteith (P-M) equation are two models that utilized in estimating land surface evaporation at 16-day intervals using MODIS remote sensing data and surface meteorology as inputs. For this reason, this study investigated 3 years of evaporation and meteorological measurements from evergreen Eucalyptus forest (a cool temperate) and tropical savanna (a wet/dry) where both these locations are from two contrasting Australia ecosystems. Consequently, the result showed that the aerodynamic resistance-surface energy balance approach failed because small error in the radiative surface temperature translate into large errors in sensible heat, and hence into estimates of evaporation. In the meantime, the P-M model is sufficiently estimated the magnitude and seasonal variation in evaporation in both ecosystems (RMSE = 27 Wm - 2, R2 = 0.74), demonstrating the validity of the proposed surface conductance algorithm. These results however, are not included degradation in the performance of the P-M when gridded meteorological data at coarser spatial (0.05°) and temporal (daily) resolution were substituted for locally measured inputs. In another major study, Martin et al., (2008) claim that the current remote sensing method for estimating gross primary productivity are not satisfactory. In fact, it happened because they rely too heavily on three factors which are the availability of climatic data, the definition of land-use cover and the assumptions of the effects of these two factors on the radiation-use efficiency of vegetation (RUE). Thus, he suggest that a new methodology is required in assess RUE and overcome the problems associated with the capture of fluctuations in carbon absorption in space and over time. In some cases, the reflectance vegetation indices (e.g. NDVI, EVI) is being used as it allows green plant biomass and plant photosynthetic capacity to be assessed. Though, the problem rose since certain vegetation types, for instance the Mediterranean forests, consist of very low seasonality of these vegetation indices and a high seasonality of carbon uptake whereby these criteria are important to determine. 42 Besides that, he also points out that there are positive relationships between photochemical reflectance index (PRI) and RUE which lead to the possibility in estimated RUE and GPP in real time and then actual carbon uptake of Mediterranean forests at ecosystem level using the PRI. Finally, it helps to avoid from relying on untrustworthy maximum RUE. In recent years, there has been increasing amounts of data from the Moderate Imaging Radiometer (MODIS) that are being utilized on generate the annual net primary productivity (NPP) at global scale. In general, the validation process can be achieved by following two types of procedures such as an accurate ground measurements and modelling methods. Practically, most of researchers used Eddy covariance flux tower measurements which utilized a climate model as the way to assess the MODIS NPP products (Latif et al., 2007). Hence, this study conducts a summation method which one of the direct on-ground NPP measurements that quoted from a test site in Japan. This method is then applied to evaluate the MODIS NPP product for the proposed location. Furthermore, the application of this method also involved on the summation of the tree growth increment, litter production and grazed amount. Besides that, there is some equation which is known as Monteith equation that was used for assessing three years MODIS satellite data (i.e., 2004, 2005 and 2006). By doing both operations (summation method and the Monteith equation), the comparison between results can be made. As a result, Latif et al. (2008) concluded that the trend of annual NPP based on two types of measurements is comparable with an RMSE of 0.8 t/ha yr. CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY 3.1 Introduction This study is conducted to collect CO2 concentration in atmosphere. The proposed methodology is applied at study area of Felda Maokil in Segamat, Johor. The data collection was obtained through two sources; primary and secondary sources. At the first stage (primary source) the data was obtained from website by download at http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov known as MODIS satellite data. Meanwhile for the second stage (secondary source) the data will be collected using in situ method. This study will compare between both data using several tests. 4 44 3 3.2 Stud dy Area The propose p locaation for studdy area is loocated at Feldda Maokil, Segamat. S Thhe d decision forr this study area is maade because there is a road constrruction where s surrounded b oil palm plantation annd forests. Therefore by T byy looking at this situatioon, t study iss conducted to measure the influencce of road coonstruction on the carboon this s sequestration n by oil palm plantationn. The areaa involves a 22 km roadd constructioon f from existinng one (from m Felda Maaokil in Segaamat to Bukkit Kepong in Muar) annd o only severall location pooints allocatted can be assessed. a Fiigure 3.1 below show thhe p project plannning for roaad constructtion in ordeer to shortenn the trip frrom Chaah to B Bukit Kepon ng by a distaance of 24 km m. Figure 3.1 1: The Projeect Planning for the Roadd Constructions that shorten the trip between C Chaah and Bu ukit Kepongg 45 3.3 Data Collection The assessment of data collection will be made through two sources as mention earlier. The MODIS satellite data can be obtained for free by downloading at the website; http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov. Though, the satellite data can help in producing CO2 concentration at study areas but in situ data also needed to ensure the quality of data collection. The special equipment such as Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Meter for gaseous concentration will be utilized in order to obtain in-situ data. Six points were allocated at study area in measuring CO2 concentration. 3.4 Carbon Dioxide Meter For in-situ data, this study will take into consideration the volumes of CO2 being released to the atmosphere. Therefore, the measurement data can be obtained by using a Carbon Dioxide (CO2) meter which automatically detects the CO2 gasses that release in atmosphere. This equipment also includes several features such as indoor air quality monitor with low-drift NDIR CO2 sensor, user friendly, accurate and reliable CO2 meter and consists of two-line display shows air quality parameters simultaneously. Indeed that the data measure are in good quality, the appropriate selection for the model CO2 meter is require. 46 For that reason, this study is carried out using TSI’s Model 7515 IAQ-CALC which is a cost-effective carbon dioxide (CO2) meter for investigating and monitoring building air quality and checking ventilation. There are lists of specifications that come in this model; i. CO2 sensor type : Dual-wavelength NDIR (non-dispersive infrared) ii. Range : 0 to 5000 ppm iii. Accuracy : ±3.0% of reading or ±50 ppm, whichever greater iv. Resolution : 1 ppm v. Response time : 20 seconds Figure 3.2: Carbon Dioxide Meter Model 7515. 47 3.5 Algorithm This study is conducted using level 1B of Terra MODIS satellite data in Peninsular Malaysia. This data can be obtained from http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov where three years of MODIS data will be use: 2001, 2005 and 2009. According to a previous research by Wahid (2008), each of the MODIS data has been geocoded to the Malaysian Rectified Skew Orthomorpic (MRSO) projection coordinate system. Based on micrometeorological approach, this model was developed by Rahman et al., (2004) in order to determine the local scale NPP from MODIS data. The researchers points out that their new model is capable to track the changing photosynthetic light use efficiency (LUE) and stress-induced reduction in NPP of terrestrial vegetation. Based on spectral data, the model is known as simple “continuous field model” where it only utilizes the visible and near infrared bands (band 1: 620-670 nm and band 2: 841-876) as well as the “ocean” bands (band 11: 526-536 nm and band 12: 546-556 nm) to explain the variable of flux tower based daily NPP. Besides that, the most noteworthy is a spectral index called the Photochemical Reflectance Index (PRI) that is determined and analyzed approximately using tower-based LUE values. PRI can be defined by equations below. PRI = ( 531 - ref) / ( 531+ ref)................................................................. (3.1) Where, refer to reflectance at the wavelength (nm) expressed by the numeral subscripts and ref represents a reference wavelength, typically 550 or 570 nm. Thus, the calculation of MODIS-derived PRI or MODPRI is given as; MODPRI = ( b11 – b12) / ( b11+ 12)...................................................... (3.2) 48 Where b11 and b12 refer to band 11 and band 12 of MODIS data respectively. Others than that, by using band 1 and band 2, calculation of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) can be made as shown in equation below; NDVI = ( b2 – b1) / ( b2 + b1).............................................................. (3.3) After that, the utilization of NDVI values can be apply to calculate the fraction of PAR (fPAR) absorbed by vegetation using equation is given as; fPAR = 1.24 x NDVI – 0.168.................................................................... (3.4) Therefore, by using the relationship of APAR = fPAR x PAR calculation for the absorbed PAR (APAR) can be determine for each pixel. The PAR values is restricted to portion of electromagnetic spectrum from 0.4 to 0.7 μm which is comparable to the range of light the human eye can see. Continuously, the explanation of 88% of the variability can be finding by using linear relationship between NPP and the (MODPRI x APAR) as shown in following equation; NPP (C m2/y) = 0.5139 (MODPRI x APAR) – 1.9818............................. (3.5) 3.6 Spectral Bands The application of MODIS satellite data collection is based on the choice of spectral bands. Spectral bands can be known when the number of atoms is large, one gets continuum of energy levels. Besides that, spectral bands also are part of optical spectra of polyatomic systems, including condensed materials, large molecules etc. Since this study only involved with terrestrial vegetation, the bands were utilized were band 1, 2, 11 and band 12 where the primary use for ocean colour, land, cloud boundaries, phytoplankton and biogeochemistry. 49 Based on previous research by Salomonson and Lawrence (1992), the high spatial resolution bands (659 nm and 865 nm, centre wavelength) will improve land boundary and feature detection and will provide enhance cloud versus land discrimination. However, in the past years these bands have been applied for many purposes such as in a spectral vegetative index, to study land surface properties with links to leaf area index, percent plant canopy cover, photosynthetic capacity and temporally integrated to net primary productivity (NPP), within pixel spectral mixture modelling and minimum plant canopy resistance to water vapour flux. Figure 3.3: The Lists of Spectral Bands to Produce MODIS Satellite Image. 50 3.7 ERDAS Software In this study, the data obtained from MODIS satellite will be analyzed using ERDAS software. ERDAS is the raster-centric software GIS professionals use to extract information from satellite and aerial images. Since the MODIS satellite data perform in imagery data, this software will help to produce the amount of carbon sequestration by palm oil plantation. Besides that, in order to determine the carbon value in the proposed location, several algorithms are needed as well as shown in equation 3.5. Although there are a lot of other software that can be utilized, this software is chosen because of it was designed specifically for image processing, practical to apply and comprehensive collection of tools that help to create accurate base imagery. The study processes is shown in Figure 3.4. Proposed Location Measure CO2 concentration using CO2 Meter Detector Compare NPP value for validation process between Insitu and MODIS satellite data i. ii. Data Collection In-situ MODIS Satellite Result and Analysis Obtain NPP value by using ERDAS Software MODIS Satellite Data Download data from the website; http://ladsweb.nascom.gov Figure 3.4: Work Schedule CHAPTER 4 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 4.1 Introduction According to the implementation method that mentioned in Chapter 3, the data that used is level 1B of MODIS satellite data whereby this data is obtained by downloading at http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov. This study however is conducted using three years of MODIS satellite data; 2001, 2005, and 2009, respectively with minimum cloud cover selected using quick-look menu provided in this website. Furthermore, the information for these data will be displayed in satellite image as shown in Figure 4.1, Figure 4.2 and Figure 4.3 below. 52 Figure 4.1: MODIS Satellite Image for Year 2001 53 Figure 4.2: MODIS Satellite Image for Year 2005 54 Figure 4.3: MODIS Satellite Image for Year 2009 55 4.2 The Amount of Net Primary Production and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index In order to assess NPP and NDVI, several stages of processing procedures are implemented using ERDAS Imagine (version 9.1), ENVI (version 4.2) and ArcGIS (version 9.3). The assessment will be concentrated on a few parameters such as minimum value, maximum value, mean value and standard deviation value. Therefore, these parameters hopefully can show the range of changes of carbon values at Felda Maokil at certain period of years. Based on current condition, since there a road construction at proposed location, the values for both NPP and NDVI should be lower than the years before. Table and pie chart below show the values of NPP and NDVI according to the parameters that required. Table 4.1: Net Primary Production Values at Felda Maokil in unit of g C m2 /d YEAR MIN MAX MEAN STD DEVIATION 2001 2005 2009 222.89 503.55 262.77 569.26 606.05 642.07 468.169 560.685 541.781 88.038 16.770 91.508 Table 4.2: Normalized Difference Vegetation Index Values at Felda Maokil in unitless YEAR MIN MAX MEAN STD DEVIATION 2001 2005 2009 0.385 0.738 0.389 0.853 0.892 0.866 0.696 0.863 0.716 0.121 0.029 0.121 56 Stan ndardDeviation nforNPP PValue 2001 2005 2009 45% 47% 8% Figure 4.4: Standard Deviation D forr NPP Valuee at Felda Maaokil (2001, 2005 and 20009) Stan ndardDe eviationforNDV VIValue 2001 2005 45% 2009 4 44% 11% D for NDVI valuee at Felda Maokil M (2001, 2005 and 2009) 2 Figure 4.5: Standard Deviation As shown in Taable 4.1, the NPP value for year 20001 is much lower than 2005 a 2009. From and F the daata in that tabble, the meaan NPP valuue for year 2001 2 gives loowest m mean value which is 4668.169 follow wed by 560.685 (2005) and 541.7881 (2009). These T d data look in nteresting beecause the mean m values in both NP PP and NDV VI producedd high v values. Bassed on data in i Table 4.2, we can seee that the higgh mean vallue of NDVI was 57 0.863 which occurred in year 2005 while both year 2001 and 2009 gave the results of 0.696 and 0.716. Further analysis showed that different expectation on standard deviation. According to Figure 4.4, the percentage of standard deviation for NPP value in year 2005 (8%) was much lower than 2009 (47%) and 2001 (45%). Meanwhile in Figure 4.5, there were some changes whereby the percentage of standard deviation for NDVI value for year 2009 (45%) is higher than 2001 (44%) and 2005 (11%). The rate of carbon dioxide (CO2) which was absorbed relied on the numbers of vegetation. The NPP value showed that 2001 was lower than 2005 and this happened because of age factor. According to the data recorded, palm oil tree in year 2001 was 17 years old compared to 2005 which 21 years old. Therefore, the palm oil growth consumed the amount of carbon that was required for the photosynthesis process. Nevertheless, the NPP value in year 2005 dropped off in year 2009. It resulted from the numbers of palm oil trees perished at certain period and road construction that has reduced vegetation at plantation area. The difference between values of NPP and NDVI by years (2001, 2005 and 2009) can be observed clearly according to Figure 4.6, Figure 4.7, Figure 4.8, Figure 4.9, Figure 4.10 and Figure 4.11. From these figures, the colours appeared represent the lower (red) and the higher (blue) values for both NPP and NDVI. Therefore, these colours can detect the rate of carbon sink be it higher or lower at the study area. 58 Figure 4.6: The Different Colour of Net Primary Productivity (2001) 59 Figure 4.7: The Different Colour of Net Primary Productivity (2005) 60 Figure 4.8: The Different Colour of Net Primary Productivity (2009) 61 Figure 4.9: The Different Colour of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (2001) 62 Figure 4.10: The Different Colour of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (2005) 63 Figure 4.11: The Different Colour of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (2009) 64 4.3 Correlation between Net Primary Production and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index Values (2001, 2005 and 2009) In order to measure air quality at study area, the analysis progressions are required to correlate the values of NPP and NDVI. The intention of this analysis is to determine the impact of NDVI and NPP values. Therefore, the significant impacts of amount carbon that is absorbed by vegetation can be distinguished by ordering NPP and NDVI values in scattering following different year of 2001, 2005 and 2009. NDVI(unieless) NPPversusNDVI(2001) 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 100 200 300 400 R²=0.990 500 600 NPP(gCm2y1) Figure 4.12: Scatter Plots of NPP and NDVI values in year 2001 at Felda Maokil 65 NDVI NPPversusNDVI R²= 0.120 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 520 540 560 580 600 620 NPP Figure 4.13: Scatter Plots of NPP and NDVI values in year 2005 at Felda Maokil NDVI NPPversusNDVI R²=0.924 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 NPP Figure 4.14: Scatter Plots of NPP and NDVI values in year 2009 at Felda Maokil 66 The capability of carbon being absorbed from atmosphere depended on the numbers of vegetation at the study area. The correspondence between NPP and NDVI can be detected by observing whether the numbers of vegetation at proposed location is high or not. The quantity of carbon in the atmosphere will decrease as a consequence of photosynthesis process by vegetation. From the graph above, we can see that the relation between NDVI and NPP gave the strongest correlation in year 2001 by referring to value of R2 = 0.990 as showing in Figure 4.12. Meanwhile, Figure 4.13 shows the lowest correlation between NPP and NDVI which gives the value of R2 = - 0.120. The error of correlation value between NPP and NDVI occurred possibly during processing stage or satellite image itself. Besides that, there were other elements which influenced the correlation between NPP and NDVI. The negative correlation rose when there was unstable growth of palm oil tree. The use of unsuitable fertilizer gave them less nutrient which they require. For that reason, only a few of palm oil trees attempted to absorb more CO2 as well as the range of their age could perform. 4.4 Relationship between of APAR and MODPRI at Study Area The NPP value can be acquired by following the Equation 3.5 in Chapter 3. In order to evaluate the precision of NPP, the value of MODPRI and APAR were required to compare their relationship by using Figure 4.17, Figure 4.18 and Figure 4.19. In practical, if the R-squared value (R2) between MODPRI and APAR is high, so therefore the quality of NPP value produced was in good condition. Table 4.3 and Table 4.4 below display the results of APAR and MODPRI which attained during analysis stage. 67 T Table 4.3: APAR A values at Felda Maokil M YEAR Y MIN MAX X ME EAN STD D DEVIATION 2001 2 2005 2 2009 2 904.34 2236.5 1059 2602..6 2810..6 3044..3 20355.088 26999.932 24177.864 438.880 107.117 505.475 Table 4.4: MO ODPRI valuues at Felda Maokil M YEAR Y MIN MAX X ME EAN STD D DEVIATION 2001 2 2005 2 2009 2 0.3913 0.3500 0.3809 0.50000 0.48448 0.50000 0.4453 0.4406 0.4443 0.019 0.024 0.027 APA ARVALUEATDIFFFERENTTYEARS 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2810.6 2602.6 2035.0 088 3044.3 2699.932 2417.864 2236.5 1 1059 904.3 34 2001 2005 MIN MAX 2009 MEAN Figure 4.15: 4 A Grapph of APAR R values at diifferent yearrs 68 MODPRIVALUEATD DIFFEREN NTYEARSS 0.5 0.5 0.3913 3 0.5 0.484 48 0.453 0.35 0.4 0.406 0.38 809 0.443 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 2001 2005 MIN MAX 2009 MEAN Figure 4..16: A Graphh of MODPR RI values at different yeaars As illlustrated in Figure 4.155 above, therre was not much m variatioon between mean v values in year 2005 and 2009. On the t other hannd, the meann value proviided in year 2001 w the low was west value coompared to other years.. Furthermoore, Figure 4.16 4 showedd that t there was not as much difference for f mean vaalue in year 2001, 20055 and 2009. The v value that prresented in year y 2005 is lower than 2001 2 and 20009. 69 APARvsMODPRI 3000 R²=0.135 2500 APAR 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 FPAR Figure 4.17: Relationship between APAR and MODPRI at Felda Maokil (2001) APARvsMODPRI 3500 R²=0.878 3000 APAR 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 MODPRI Figure 4.18: Relationship between APAR and MODPRI at Felda Maokil (2005) 70 APARvsMODPRI 3500 R²=0.742 3000 APAR 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 MODPRI Figure 4.19: Relationship between APAR and MODPRI at Felda Maokil (2009) The graph linear above displays the relationship between APAR and MODPRI at Felda Maokil. Based on these graphs, the correlation between APAR and MODPRI can be explained by referring to R-squared value (R2). The highest R2 value was given in year 2005 (0.878) and the lowest R2 was given in year 2001 (0.135). Meanwhile for year 2009, R2 was given as 0.742. The lower value in 2001 was cause by the large amount of rainfall which is 301.2 mm. For the time being, 2005 and 2009 are not much difference in R2 value since rainfall amounts of both years being similar with 40.4 mm (2005) and 49.8 mm (2009). The used of spectral bands in analyze NPP value had been disturbed by rainfall. It means that, there is might be some noise that contained in MODIS data for year 2001. 71 4.5 Relationship between Field Measurement Data and Meteorological Data The assessment of amount of carbon sequester by palm oil trees can be estimated in several methods. The meteorological data as well as MODIS satellite data can be verified by compared with field measurement data. The methods which applied are Reliability test, Student’s t-test, Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) and Pearson correlation coefficient. 4.5.1 Reliability Test Stephen (2004) has mentioned that the reliability test refer to the accuracy and completeness of computer-processed data, given the intended purposes for use. However, reliability does not mean that computer-processed data is error-free. By conducting the reliability test, any errors found were within a tolerable range where the associated risk and found the errors are not significant enough to cause a reasonable person, aware of the error, to doubt a finding or recommendation based on the data. In this calculation process, the results for new tolerable ranges are obtained through normal distribution. Essentially, the total area under the normal curve is 1.00. Yet, further specific portions of a normal curve lie between plus and minus any given number of standard deviations from the mean. Therefore, the calculation is applied based on figure below whereby 99.7% of all values in a normally distributed population lie within ± 3 standard deviation from the mean. But only 0.15% of area under the curve in either side of the mean value lies outside this range. 72 Figure 4.20: The Range of Area Covered in A Normal Distribution. Table 4.5: Net Primary Production values at tolerable range YEAR MIN MAX MEAN STD DEVIATION 2001 2005 2009 204.055 510.375 267.257 732.283 610.995 816.305 468.169 560.685 541.781 88.038 16.770 91.508 Table 4.6: Normalized Difference Vegetation Index values at tolerable range YEAR MIN MAX MEAN STD DEVIATION 2001 2005 2009 0.333 0.776 0.353 1.059 0.950 1.079 0.696 0.863 0.716 0.121 0.029 0.121 73 4.5.2 Student’s t-test Student’s t-test is operating by comparing the actual difference between two means in relation to the variation in the data. Research hypothesis for Student’s t-test; Ho = There is no difference means between field measurement and meteorological data. Ha = There is a difference means between field measurement and meteorological data. The resulted was showed that the tobserved (0.7645) was less than tcritical (2.447) and it proves the null hypothesis was accepted. This would be concluded there was no difference between field measurement and meteorological data. 4.5.3 Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) ANOVA test is conducted in order to test for significance between means. Moreover, this test also would compare the variability that is being observed between the two conditions to the variability observed within each condition. 74 i. NPP Table 4.7: ANOVA for NPP Source of df Sum of Square, Mean Squares, F Fcritical Among Group, C 2 5996.46 2998.23 0.337 3.554 Within Group, e 18 160011 8889.51 Total 20 166008 Note: Ho = There is no change in mean value of NPP Ha = There is a change in mean value of NPP Based on the table above, observed F value is lower than Fcritical which is 0.337< 3.554. Hence, null hypothesis is accepted which brings the strong evidence to prove and support that the mean value for each year are the same. ii. NDVI Table 4.8: ANOVA for NDVI Source of df Sum of Square, Mean Squares, F Fcritical Among Group, C 2 0.0876 0.0438 5.867 3.554 Within Group, e 18 0.1344 0.00747 Total 20 0.2220 Note: Ho = There is no change in mean value of NPP Ha = There is a change in mean value of NPP Based on the table above, observed F value is higher than Fcritical which is 5.867 > 3.554. Hence, null hypothesis is rejected which brings conclusion that the mean value for each year is not the same. 75 4.5.4 Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient is also known as Karl Pearson’s Correlation. This method was used in measured the correlation between two variables X and Y whereby the range value is between +1 and -1 inclusively. A value of +1 indicated that there was a linear relationship between X and Y perfectly with all data points lied on a line. Meanwhile, a value of -1 indicated that all data points lied on a line for which Y decrease as X increases. However, a value of 0 indicates that there is no linear relationship between variables. Table 4.9: Correlation between NPP and NDVI Year 2001 2005 2009 Pearson Correlation 0.581 -0.532 0.962 Probable Error 0.019 0.021 0.002 Based on Table 4.9, only 2005 were shown negative correlation in its data. This test proved that the Figure 4.13 had negative correlation between NPP and NDVI. However, 2001 and 2009 consists of data which had positive correlation. The different data obtained between 2001, 2005 and 2009 are cause by three factors such as the amount of rainfall, age of oil palm trees and types of fertilizers. The age of oil palm trees was 17 in 2001 and this give moderate grow of oil palm trees with the rainfall fall amounts was 301.2 mm and the used of fertilizers are suitable with the conditions of trees. When come to 2005, the age of oil palms was 21 but the utilization of available fertilizers was not accepted. 76 Therefore, there are unwell grow among them with decreased of rainfall amounts 40.4 mm. However, only a few of oil palm trees that give a good performance in sequester carbon dioxide which makes the result negative correlation. In 2009, the used of fertilizers had changed since 2008. The age of oil palm trees was 25 which required some changing in characteristic of their fertilizers. Because of that reason and enough water with 49.8 mm of rainfall amounts, most of oil palm trees are enables to sequester carbon dioxide. This situation has leaded to the highest correlation between NPP and NDVI. 4.6 Effects of Road Construction in Carbon Absorption The analysis of MODIS data were presented some changed to the amount of Net Primary Productivity (NPP) affected from road construction. Based on the figures below, the quantities of carbon sequester decreased and these can be detected by following the transformation of colours at proposed area. The images displayed were the group of Felda Maokil which included Felda Maokil 1, Felda Maokil 2, Felda Maokil 3 and Felda Maokil 4. However, the studied area was located at Felda Maokil 1 and Felda Maokil 2 related to the road development. Therefore, the studied area can be recognized by the line on images which indicated as proposed road. The colours on images represented the quantity of carbon dioxide (CO2) at oil palm trees and vegetation index at oil palm plantation. The blue colour corresponds to highest NPP value whereas the red colour responds to lowest NPP value. Therefore, the colours obtained were red in colour indicating that both values of NPP and NDVI were low in year 2009. 77 By comparing both images, it had proved that there were relationships between NPP and NDVI. This is because, the colours turned red only at position where there was a road which under construction. The understanding of implication from road development where the oil palm trees which acted as carbon sequester had been cut down. As a result, NPP which is known as carbon absorbed by plants were low as a result of numbers of oil palm tree being reduced. 78 Figure 4.21: Location of Road Construction at Study Area (2001) based on NPP 79 Figure 4.22: Location of Road Construction at Study Area (2005) based on NPP 80 Figure 4.23: Location of Road Construction at Study Area (2009) based on NPP 81 Figure 4.24: Location of Road Construction at Study Area (2001) based on NDVI 82 Figure 4.25: Location of Road Construction at Study Area (2005) based on NDVI 83 Figure 4.26: Location of Road Construction at Study Area (2009) based on NDVI CHAPTER 5 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION 5.1 Conclusion This study was conducted to estimate the Net Primary Productivity (NPP) at Felda Maokil for three years using MODIS images. Four years interval had been selected in order to figure more variation between each year starting with 2001, 2005 and 2009. The analysis were carried out using model that developed by Rahman et al. (2004). The model applied is capable to track the changing photosynthetic light use efficiency (LUC) and stress-induced reduction in NPP of terrestrial vegetation. 85 There are two sources that have been implemented for gather the NPP value which are Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Meter and MODIS satellite image. However, the NPP value is unable to get for on-side measurement for year 2001 and 2005 since there are no recorded data made. Therefore, only current year was achieved to acquire by positioned seven sampling points. The used of Student’s t-test was showed that the NPP value from both methods were classified as the same. On the other hand, three years of MODIS satellite images were running on ANOVA test. The test was perform in purpose for verify the mean NPP value was the same. Thus, we can see the pattern appeared based on the value of NPP. The result had stated that three years MODIS satellite images were produced the same NPP value. Because of that reason, we can conclude the amount of NPP does not depend on the numbers of vegetation. If the vegetation grows well, therefore the NPP value is high. A few factors have been identified which lead to the unexpected result such as rainfall amount, age of tree and the types of fertilizer used. As a conclusion, the study results meet the set objectives. 86 5.2 Recommendation This study however can be improved to set better results in the future. These are some recommendations suggested in order to make this field of study more successful. 1) The area of study should be larger in order to make sure the data from MODIS satellite image will be specific or by using satellite with higher spatial resolution that will help for smaller study areas. Besides that, some comparison is required between vegetation area and industrial area. By doing that, the effect from carbon sequestration can be seen clearly. 2) The analysis for MODIS image is done for each year since 2001 to 2009. 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Technol. 90 APPENDIX A Manual Calculation for Reliability Test NPP 2001 ܵ݀ݐǤ ݒ݁ܦൌ ͺͺǤͲ͵ͺ ͺͺǤͲ͵ͺ ൈ ͵ ൌ ʹͶǤͳͳͶ ൌ ݉݁ܽ݊ െ ʹͶǤͳͳͶ ൌ ͶͺǤͳͻ െ ʹͶǤͳͳͶ ൌ ʹͲͶǤͲͷͷ ൌ ݉݁ܽ݊ ʹͶǤͳͳͶ ൌ ͶͺǤͳͻ ʹͶǤͳͳͶ ൌ ͵ʹǤʹͺ͵ 2005 ܵ݀ݐǤ ݒ݁ܦൌ ͳǤͲ ͳǤͲ ൈ ͵ ൌ ͷͲǤ͵ͳͲ ൌ ݉݁ܽ݊ െ ͷͲǤ͵ͳͲ ൌ ͷͲǤͺͷ െ ͷͲǤ͵ͳͲ ൌ ͷͳͲǤ͵ͷ ൌ ݉݁ܽ݊ ͷͲǤ͵ͳͲ ൌ ͷͲǤͺͷ ͷͲǤ͵ͳͲ ൌ ͳͲǤͻͻͷ 2009 ܵ݀ݐǤ ݒ݁ܦൌ ͻͳǤͷͲͺ ͻͳǤͷͲͺ ൈ ͵ ൌ ʹͶǤͷʹͶ ൌ ݉݁ܽ݊ െ ʹͶǤͷʹͶ ൌ ͷͶͳǤͺͳ െ ʹͶǤͷʹͶ ൌ ʹǤʹͷ ൌ ݉݁ܽ݊ ʹͶǤͷʹͶ ൌ ͷͶͳǤͺͳ ʹͶǤͷʹͶ ൌ ͺͳǤ͵Ͳͷ 91 NDVI 2001 ܵ݀ݐǤ ݒ݁ܦൌ ͲǤͳʹͳ ͲǤͳʹͳ ൈ ͵ ൌ ͲǤ͵͵ ൌ ݉݁ܽ݊ െ ͲǤ͵͵ ൌ ͲǤͻ െ ͲǤ͵͵ ൌ ͲǤ͵͵͵ ൌ ݉݁ܽ݊ ͲǤ͵͵ ൌ ͲǤͻ ͲǤ͵͵ ൌ ͳǤͲͷͻ 2005 ܵ݀ݐǤ ݒ݁ܦൌ ͲǤͲʹͻ ͲǤͲʹͻ ൈ ͵ ൌ ͲǤͲͺ ൌ ݉݁ܽ݊ െ ͲǤͲͺ ൌ ͲǤͺ͵ െ ͲǤͲͺ ൌ ͲǤ ൌ ݉݁ܽ݊ ͲǤͲͺ ൌ ͲǤͺ͵ ͲǤͲͺ ൌ ͲǤͻͷͲ 2009 ܵ݀ݐǤ ݒ݁ܦൌ ͲǤͳʹͳ ͲǤͳʹͳ ൈ ͵ ൌ ͲǤ͵͵ ൌ ݉݁ܽ݊ െ ͲǤ͵͵ ൌ ͲǤͳ െ ͲǤ͵͵ ൌ ͲǤ͵ͷ͵ ൌ ݉݁ܽ݊ ͲǤ͵͵ ൌ ͲǤͳ ͲǤ͵͵ ൌ ͳǤͲͻ Summary of NPP YEAR 2001 2005 2009 MIN 204.055 510.375 267.257 MAX 732.283 610.995 816.305 STD.DEVIATION (3) 264.144 50.310 274.524 Summary of NDVI YEAR 2001 2005 2009 MIN 0.333 0.776 0.353 MAX 1.059 0.950 1.079 STD.DEVIATION (3) 0.363 0.087 0.363 92 APPENDIX B Manual Calculation for Student’s t-test Field Measurement 460 468 401 404 395 472 401 Meteorological Data 517.457 401.944 533.906 384.765 364.641 262.770 315.855 Different (࢞) -57.457 66.056 -132.906 19.235 30.359 209.23 85.145 ܶ ݔ݈ܽݐൌ ʹͳͻǤʹ ܶ ݔ݈ܽݐଶ ൌ ͶǤʹʹͷ σݔ ݊ ʹͳͻǤʹ ൌ ൌ ͵ͳǤ͵ͺͲ ݔҧ ൌ σሺ ݔെ ݔଶ ሻଶ ͶǤʹʹͷ ൌඨ ൌ ͳͳ͵Ǥͷͻ ݊െͳ ܵ݊݅ݐܽ݅ݒ݁ܦ݀ݎܽ݀݊ܽݐǡ ݏଶ ൌ ඨ ࢞ 3301.307 4363.395 17664 369.9852 921.6689 43777.19 7249.671 93 ͶǤʹʹͷ ൌඨ ൌ ͳͳ͵Ǥͷͻ In order to estimate standard error between two mean, the equation as showing below; ܵመ ൌ ൌ ටσ ൬ ݔҧ ଶ ݔଶ ൰െ݊൬ ൰ ݊െͳ ݊െͳ ξ݊ ሾඥሺͶǤʹʹͷȀሻ െ ሺ͵ͳǤ͵ͺͲଶ Ȁሻሿ ξ Observed ݐൌ ሺݔҧ െ ܪݔሻȀݏƸ ൌ ͵ͳǤ͵ͺͲȀͶͳǤͲͶͶ ൌ ͲǤͶͷ ൌ ͶͳǤͲͶͶ 94 APPENDIX C Manual Calculation for Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) i. NPP In this case we wish to test the null hypothesis that the population means from these three sets are equal. H0 = µ1 = µ2 = µ3 Ha = Not all µ are equal Location / Year Point 1 Point 2 Point 3 Point 4 Point 5 Point 6 Point 7 Total Years 2001 2005 2009 2001 645.7678 639.622 823.6254 407.2125 448.9191 538.124 672.1799 4175.451 2005 530.1532 556.5192 576.1801 552.3281 554.4752 553.7714 581.3975 3904.825 Numbers of observations, 7 7 7 2009 454.2015 451.3459 595.21 618.9161 620.2216 618.8461 591.7644 3950.506 ഥ Mean, ࢞ 596.493 557.832 564.357 95 N=21 ݔҧ ൌ σ ݔҧ ൌ ͷʹǤͺͻͶ ݊ Where; c = the number of group ݔೕ = the ith observation in the jth group ݊ =the number of observation in group j N = total number of observations in all group combined ݔҧ = overall mean ݔҧ =group mean ݔ = individual value ഥሻ ഥ െ ࢞ SSC = σࡶୀ ሺ࢞ ൌ ሾሺͷͻǤͶͻ͵ െ ͷʹǤͺͻͶሻଶ ሺͷͷǤͺ͵ʹ െ ͷʹǤͺͻͶሻଶ ሺͷͶǤ͵ͷ െ ͷʹǤͺͻͶሻଶ ሿ ൌ ሾͷͷǤͺͻͷ ʹʹǤͺͳ ʹǤͺሿ ൌ ͷͻͻǤͶ σࡶୀ ሺ࢞ െ ࢞ ഥ ሻ SSE = σୀ ൌ ʹͶʹͺǤͲͳଶ ͳͺͲǤͳͳଶ ͷͳͷͺͻǤʹଶ ͵ͷͺʹǤͳଶ ʹͳͺଶ ͵ͶͲǤͻ͵ଶ ൌ ͳͲͲͳͳ ͷʹͺǤͷͳଶ Ǥͳʹʹଶ ͳǤʹͶଶ ͵͵ǤͶଶ ͵ͲǤʹͻͶଶ ͳͳǤʹͻଶ ͳǤͶͻͲଶ ͷͷͷǤ͵ʹͻଶ ͳʹͳ͵ͶǤͶଶ ͳʹͳǤଶ ͻͷͳǤͺͷଶ ʹͻǤଶ ͵ͳʹͲǤͷଶ ʹͻͺǤͻଶ ͷͳǤͳͳͶଶ SST = SSC + SSE = 166008 Degree of Freedom Degree of Freedom , df dfc c-1 2 dfe n-c 18 dft n-1 20 96 Mean Squares of Among Group = Among Groups Sum of Squares SSC = Among Group degree of freedom dfC Mean Squares of Within Group = Within Group of Squares SSE = Within Group degree of freedom dfe Source of Among Group, C Within Group, e Total ii. df 2 18 20 Sum of Square, 5996.46 160011 166008 Mean Squares, 2998.23 8889.51 F 0.337 Fcritical 3.554 NDVI In this case we wish to test the null hypothesis that the population means from these three sets are equal. H0 = µ1 = µ2 = µ3 Ha = Not all µ are equal Location / Year Point 1 Point 2 Point 3 Point 4 Point 5 Point 6 Point 7 Total 2001 0.84 0.8064 0.7984 0.5741 0.6282 0.7226 0.7741 5.1441 2005 0.892 0.888 0.824 0.882 0.885 0.884 0.848 6.104 2009 0.589 0.584 0.746 0.831 0.758 0.860 0.775 5.147 97 Numbers of observations, 7 7 7 Years 2001 2005 2009 ݔҧ ൌ N=21 ഥ Mean, ࢞ 0.734 0.872 0.735 σ ݔҧ ൌ ͲǤͺͳ ݊ ഥሻ ഥ െ ࢞ SSC = σࡶୀ ሺ࢞ ൌ ሾሺͲǤ͵ͷ െ ͲǤͺͳሻଶ ሺͲǤͺʹ െ ͲǤͺͳሻଶ ሺͲǤ͵ͷ െ ͲǤͺͳሻଶ ሿ ൌ ሾͲǤͲͲʹͳͳ ͲǤͲͲͺ͵Ͷ ͲǤͲͲʹͲሿ ൌ ͲǤͲͺ σࡶୀ ሺ࢞ െ ࢞ ഥ ሻ SSE = σୀ ൌ ͲǤͲͳͳͲͷଶ ͲǤͲͲͷͳʹଶ ͲǤͲͲͶͲͶଶ ͲǤͲʹͷͺʹଶ ͲǤͲͳͳ͵ͺଶ ͲǤͲͲͲͷͷଶ ͲǤͲͲͳͷͷଶ ͲǤͲͲͲͶͳଶ ͲǤͲͲͲʹͷଶ ͲǤͲͲʹ͵ʹଶ ͲǤͲͲͲͳଶ ͲǤͲͲͲͳଶ ͲǤͲͲͲͳͷଶ ͲǤͲͲͲͷͷଶ ͲǤͲʹͳ͵ͳଶ ͲǤͲʹʹͶଶ ͲǤͲͲͲͳͳଶ ͲǤͲͲͲͻ͵ʹଶ ͲǤͲͲͲͷͶଶ ͲǤͲͳͷͷଶ ͲǤͲͲͳͶଶ ൌ ͲǤͳ͵ͶͶ SST = SSC + SSE = 0.2220 Source of Among Group, C Within Group, e Total df 2 18 20 Sum of Square, 0.0876 0.1344 0.2220 Mean Squares, 0.0438 0.00747 F 5.867 Fcritical 3.554