SAN F ERNANDO VAL LEY S TATE COLLEG E P ROJ ECT TRAN SFER I• FROM RES EARCH TO DEV E LOPMENT A TH ESIS S U BMI TTED TO TH E FAC ULTY OF TH E SCHOOL OF BUS I N E SS AND ECONOM ICS IN CAN D I DACY F O R TH E DEG REE OF MAS TER OF SC I E N C E P RO D UCTION AN D PERSON N E L by Aa ron Rose --· NORTH R I DG E , CALIFORN IA June 1 967 APPROVED by t�esis committee ACKN OWLEDG EMEN TS F i rst, I wa n t to acknow l edge the patient forebearance of m y w ife, B e tty, who has become fi rm l y convi nced that I am never go ing to quit going to s choo l . Second , I wan t to acknow l edge w i th thanks the h e lp g i ve n me by thos e peop le i n the i ndustries s o l i c i ted for their time and effort in answeri ng my ques tions . Much effort was put forth by som e who I wo u ld l ike to ac know ledge i nd i vidua l l y but in deferen ce to those who wished to rema in anon ymous , I am no t ca l li ng out any for spec i a l thanks . iii TA B LE OF CONTE NTS � I 1 I I AC K NOWLEDG EM EN TS • iii TA B LE OF CON TEN TS iv LIST OF TA B LES vi LI ST OF I LLU STRAT I O N S vii AB STRAC T I I I CHAP TER I 1 2 I N TRO DUCTI O N • Sta tement o f th e P roblem P ro b lem Eva l ua tion P la n Defini tions Res earch Today P rocedure II. RESEARCH P ROG RAM EVA LUATI O N Genera l Fac tors Departme nt of Defense Research Conc l us ions Ill. RE SEARCH P ROJ ECT EVA LUAT ION Sta bi l i ty Fac tors Growth Fac tors Ma rketabi l i ty Factors Posi tion Fac tors Research & Deve lopment Fac tors Engi neering Fac tors P roduc tion Fa c tors Summary iv 2 3 4 6 9 11 11 16 21 22 29 34 40 46 50 53 56 57 TAB LE OF CO NTENTS - con tin ued Page IV. RE SEARCH A N D DEVE LOPMENT I N THE AEROSPAC E I N DUST RY . . 58 Chara c teristics and P robl ems Th e Requiremen ts Merry-Go-Round Survey Res u I ts Summary 58 60 61 92 RESEARCH AND DEV E LOPME N T I N T H E C H EM I CA L I N DUSTRY . . . . 94 • v. • . . . . Charac teris tics Res u l ts of th e Survey Summary V I. SUMMARY AN D CONC LUS IONS APP EN D IX' A. Bo c. Q uestion Lis t Lis t of Compan i es Sol ici ted So l i c i tation Letter B l B LI OGRAPH Y v • . 94 96 1 13 1 14 1 16 1 19 1 23 1 24 LIST OF TA BLES Ta ble 39 Steps Toward P rofi ta b le New Products VI Page 26 LIST O F I LLU STRA T I O N S Page Figure 1. 2. 3. N ew P roduct Life Cycle . . . . . . . . A Typica l P roduct Deve lopmen t P rogram F low Chart For New-Product Development VII 28 43 47 AB STRAC T P ROJECT TRANS F ER FROM RE SEARC H TO DEV E LOPMEN T by Aaron Rose : . Mas ter of Scie nce in Bus i ness Adm i n istra tion June 1967 A l though cons iderable has been wri tten concern ing the s e l ection of i res earch prog rams or projects , the problem of transfer of a project from res earch to deve lopment management has rece ived comparative ly l i ttle attention . One finds genera l statements to th e effe ct that proj ect eva luation shou l d be carried out th ro ughout the l ife of th e project . Cri teria us ed for prog ram and project eval uation were carefu l l y revi ewed . A q uestionna ire was prepared a nd c i rc ulated to both aerospace and chem ica l corporations . Rep I ies from seven aerospa ce compa nies and four chem ica l companies were re ceived and s ummarized . Criteria for pro j ec t se lec tion and transfer are ess entia l l y the same as thos e found in the l i terature . Th e major em phas is is on econom ic fac tors . l be attributed 1 tion than any other facto r . I Differences between th e aerospace and chem i ca l indus try co u l d on l y to the fact tha t one - aerospace - i s o monopson y a n d th e other ! is more near l y pure competi tion . Pro j ect transfer is more a function of orga ni za' 1. C HAPTER I I NT RO D UC T I O N Statement o f the Problem I n sc i ence and engi neering, the transfe r of proj ects from resea rch to devel o pment managemen t has become inc reasi ng l y i m po rtant. Rec en t l y, A i r Fo rce Reg ulation 375 has requi red the se pa ration of resea rch a n d development. i However, the re is re lati vely l i ttle information conce rning transfe r c rite ria i n ! contrast to a ve ry co nsidera b l e bod y of l i te rature conce rning proj ect se l ection . I I I At the beg inni ng of th is stud y, it was assumed that such a project transfe r takes place i n one fo rm or anoth e r and that th e c ri teria for the tra nsfer in the ! ch em i ca l and Aeros pace industries a re diffe rent . Th is postu late has been exam ined by a review of practi ces in the two i ndustries and the resu l ts presen ted . The n ext cha pter discusses the probl em of establ ish ing a resea rch prog ram as contrasted to individua l pro ject eva l uation which is conside red in Cha pter 3 . I Sel ection c riteria inc l ude such factors a s ra te -of -return, re l evan c y to present products or techno logy, market penetration , etc . These c ri te ria can be ex pected 1to have rel evance to the transfe r process . I I 2. 3� One fi nds genera l statements in th e l iteratu re to th e effect tha t project eva l ua tion shou l d be carried out th rough out th e I ife of the projec t . Th e tra nsfer . step, i tse l f, is often considered to be se lf e v ident, is ig nored, or is assumed to occ ur na tura l l y I ike ra in or th e weath er . Transfer prac tices in th e Aerospace I and Chem ical industries a re examined in Ch ap ters 4 and 5. I Prob lem Eva l uation Plan The fi rs t step in th e eva l ua tion of the prob l em wi l l be a definition of . . . . l th e de fanataons . The importance of research toda y terms wat h some comment on is discussed briefl y . Resea rc h and deve l opment (R&D) as a descri pti ve term can now be considered a singu lar word due to usage . Th is is founded on th e fac t th at th e entire process i s a con tinuing one with th e transitions becom ing m ore and more b l urred . I n order to bette r understand the transfer from research to deve l opment, a carefu l study of th e basis and reasons for going into resea rch with th e concom i ta nt comm i tment to deve lopment is nec essary . Th is study is Cha pter 2 . A detai led discuss i on of research project (as contrasted to program) se l ection I ma kes up Ch apter 3 . I I transfer process . These sel ection criteria a re the means of unde rstandi ng the I • I: 4. Def i n i ti ons These defini tions wi l l be used in th is paper . Research A critica l and exhaustive study of na tura l (physica l) phenomena to a rrive I at conc l usions concern ing the behavior of nature or to revise accepted con­ c l usions based on new l y-discovered fa cts . Deve l opment Deta i l ed study and app l i cation of research conc l usions towa rd a spec ific end use . Chem ica l I ndustry That segm en t of Amer ican industry concerned with the conversi on of natura l or sem i -fin ish ed materia l s i nto sem i-fi n ish ed or consumer usable products through chem ica l or ph ysi co-chem ica l changes . Aerospace I ndustry That segmen t of Amer ican i n dustry concerned with su pporting the Department of Defense or Nationa l Aeronautics and Space Agenc y th rough design, deve l opment and p roducti on of products for such requi rements . Th is i n c l udes subcontractors and presumes that the bu l k of such effort is government supported . Comment The defin i ti ons g iven a bove are th e a u th or•s and represen t the summa tion 5. 1 2 3 of defin itions ' ' of which three are specifical ly cited . The federal govern- m ent th rough the National Science Foundation po l l s annua l l y research organizations concerning their ac tivities and pub lishes the resu lts . 4 As an introduction to the questions and to obtain consistent answers, the fo l lowing definitions are 5 . g1ven: a. � i I Research is systematic , intensive study direc ted toward fuller scientific knowledge of th e sub j ec t studied . Such study covers bo th basic and app l ied researc h . Basic research is research that is directed toward inc rease of know ledge in scienc e . I t is research in which the primary aim of the investigator is a fu l ler know l edge or understanding of the subject under study, rather than a practical app lication, as is the case with app l ied research. Th e differen tiation of these two categories is diffic u l t . One in teresting way to reso l ve th e difficu l ty is to refer to basic researc h as that work which is 1 F . Russe l l Bichowsky, I ndustrial Research , Brook l yn , N . Y . , Chemical Publishing Co . , I nc . , 1 942 , p. 24. 2 Co Co F urnas, (ed.) Research in I ndustry, New York: D. Van Nostrand, I nc . , 1 948 , p . 2 . 3 Leonard S . Si l k , The Research Revo l ution, New York: McGraw- Hil l Book Co . , I nc . , 1 960, p . 1 4, 49 . S . Nationa l Science Foundation , Federal Funds for Research , Devel opment and Other Scientific Activities, Fiscal Years 1963, 1964 and 1965, XI I I , Survey of Sciences Resources Series NSF 65- 1 3, Fe b . 1 965 4u. 5 t b i d o 1 Po 9 4 � 6 presented at a sc ientific society meeti ng in contrast to app l ied research which is presented at an engineering soci ety meeting . Furnas 1 compares basic research to th e conc eption and birth of an infant and app l ied research to ch i ldhood. In c h i l dhood, defin itive characteri sties begin to appear . These characteristics can be eva lua ted with a fa ir degree of certainty . Studying the characteristics of a group of chem i ca l compounds is basic research; synthesizing a specific com- : pound for a parti c u lar end use is app l ied research . "b. Devel opment is th e systematic use of scientific knowledge directed toward the production of useful materials, devices, systems, or methods, inc l uding design an d deve lopment of prototypes and processes . I t exc l udes qua l ity contro l , routine produc t testing, and production . 11 A num ber of the companies con tacted as part of th is study indicated tha t these last definitions are now bei ng adopted for their own use. Th is is partic ularly true in th e aerospace ind ustry which dea ls primari ly with th e government . I n addition, the use of these defini tions has led to standardization and mutua l understanding . Research Today An obvious question is: " Wh y worry abou t the probl em of project manage- ment transfer? 11 A brief review of research today provides an obvious answer . 2 Weiss points out that over the last 45 years, an nua l expend itures for research I I I 1: 1__ 1 2 Furnas, loc . c it. , p . 7 Herbert K. Weiss, " Research and the Nationa l Econom y, 11 I ndustria l Researc h , J u l y 1 965, pp . 50-56 . --- 7. and deve lopment in the Un ited States have i ncreased from 0. 1 % of gross na- tiona l produc tion (G N P) i n 1 920 to over 3% in 1 964 . A l eve l i ng off at 3 . 75% 1 to 4% in 1 970 is estimated . The federal spending has increased from $ 1 . 0 bi l l ion in 1 956 to over $ 5 b i l l ion i n 1 964 (estimated). In the ph ysical sc i ences alone the growth has been from. $900 mi l l ion to $ 1 , 300 mi l l ion for basic research from 1 963 to 1 965 . The major federal con tri butors to these expenditures are the National Aeronauti cs and Space Admin istration, Department of Hea lth, Educa- tion and We lfare, Atom i c Energy Commission , Departm ent of Defense and th e N ational Sc ience Foundation. The cost of a sing l e proj ect with i n this to ta l wi l l vary from a few do l l ars (h undreds) to a sum wh ich represents a significant percentage of the total. For th e larger projec ts th e prob lems and cost of transfer to deve lopmen t i l l ustrate how important the subject of project transfer has becomeo If transfer is expen- sive, it becomes extreme l y im portant to m ake the transfer in an effic ient manner; here, effi ciency refers : to perform ance, cost and managemen t . 2 Dr . Richard R. N e l son g ives other reasons for the importance of projects transfer wh en h e points out that sc ience enri c hes our n ation i n a number of ways inc lud ing: ( 1 ) improvem ent in human l ife, (2) improved abi l i ty of the 1 2 U. S. N ational Science Foundation, lot. cit., p . 9 . Richard R. N e l son , "The Effect of R&D on the Economy, '' 1 7th Annua l Conference on the Adm in istration of Research Proceedi ngs, " 1 964, p . 1 0 . 8. eco nom y to meet needs, {3) tech nological ch anges, and {4) employme nt • . Q u anti tati ve e vi dence co nce rni ng th ese e ffects is scarce but qu ali tati ve I ! e vidence l jI is o bvious to any o bserver. Duri ng th e last two ye ars, more and more attentio n h as bee n paid to the re l ati ve ro l es of the Federal Go ve rnme nt and the pri vate sector i n basic 1 th e total, applied rese arch 24 % and basic research 10%. The Federal Go vern1m e nt fi nanced about 65 % o f the total . Co ncern o ver these statistics i s evide nced 1 2 3 4 !everywh e re. ' ' ' Consideratio n of these factors co nstitutes a se parate su bject and is i ncluded h e re o nly to em ph asi ze the importance of rese arch and ! deve lo pment considerations. Th e su bject h as bee n o f sufficient i nterest to 1 5 w arrant a s peci al bi bl iograph y. 1 11Pro ject Hi nd sigh t to Iso l ate Gai ns of DO D's Fund ame ntal Rese arch , 11 Avi atio n Week, Oct. 18, 1 965, p. 47. 2 " H ouse Grou p W ants NSF to Coordi nate N atio n's Scie nce Resources, 11 Chemical and E ng i ne eri ng N ews, Janu ary 17, 1 966, p. 4 1 3 11Se nate Studies Im pact of F edera l R&D F u nds, 11 Chemical and E ng i neeri ng i N ews, June -1 4, 1965, pp. 22 -2 3. � I j 4 11Re pu bl icans Q uestion Rese arch P roportion, 11 A vi atio n Week, M arch 2 9, 965, p. 78 . 5 11Sel ected Bi bliograph y of R& D and I ts I m pact on th e Eco nomy, 11 O ffice o f S peci al Studies, N atio nal Scie nce Fou nd ation, N S F 58-18, Wash i ngto n, D.C ., ! M ay 1958 . I I 1 9, Procedu re An i n i tia l attempt was made to con tact a few com pan ies of whom the a u thor had some spec ia l know l edge wi th the idea of extended i nte rview i ng of ke y personne l . Th is was unsuc cessful for a num ber of reason s large l y connected w i th time, trave l and personne l avai l a bi l i t y . Next a l i st o f ques tions was prepared (Appendix A) wh ich was mai l ed to a sma l l g roup (seven) of com pan ies . I n i tia l repl i es were either 11 no 11 or were very sketch y . Next, th i rty- two com pan ies (Appendix B) from the one h undred-fifty 1 largest l isted in Fortune magaz ine were chosen . A letter (Appendix C) w i th th e question l i st previous l y prepared was ma iled to th ese compa nies . Th e response was gratifying (59%) . Of th e answers recei ved, seven acknow ledged my request but did not answer th e questions; of these seven, one answe r was ' nasty and the rema ining six were divided between not answeri ng beca use of the p roprieta ry nature of the information tha t wo u l d be i n th eir answer and not ' answe ring beca use too much time wou l d be requ i red fo r a good answer . Four chem ical compa nies and seven aerospace co mpan ies rep I ied . Th e re p l ies i i nc l uded one in terview , one di cta ted tape, repri n ts of artie les on re lated subject� , a suggestion to refer to th e H a rvard Business Review, and severa l l ength y l etters w i th deta i l ed answers . There were some requests tha t th e data so urces 1 11 The 500 Largest U . S . I ndustr i a l Corpo rations, .. Fo rtune, J u l y 1 965, pp . 149- 168 . 1 0. not be identified . For th is reason no specific so urce wi I I be i n di cated but a l l rep l i es are i n c l uded . I n the next cha pter, resea rch program ana l ysis is discussed. Research pro j ect eva l ua tion wi l l be disc ussed in Chapter 3 as a prel ude to considering the transfer from research to deve lopmen t . Th e criterion for p roj ect se lection are often the same as those for transfe r . Fo l lowing th is in Chapter 4 and 5, the two industry groups wi I I be considered separate l y and th en compared . C HAPTER I I RESEARCH PROG RAM E VALUAT I O N Corporations, and particu larly directors of research , have long been interested in the problems of choosing research projects . Their tria l s and tribu- la tions have been we l l chronic led and serve as an exc e l l ent basis fo r understand- ing subsequen t steps in the l ife cyc le of a project - from idea to de l ivered product. Two aspects of this problem must be considered . First and most importa n t is defin ition o f the entire research program; second, is th e choice of the individua l . projects . The entire research program wi I I be considered in this chapter . ! Genera l Fac tors The c riteria for tota l research program eva l uation. has been best desc ribed I by Hi l l and G ranger 1 who list eighteen fundamenta l princip les which can be I l used for such an eva l uation: I 1. 2. Is th ere a comprehensive long-range research p lan which is a ligned with co rporate goa l s? Is th e long-range research p lan bac ked up with tangib le, specific, and periodica l ly upda ted programs to meet the research objectives? 1 ! wil liam E. Hi l l and Charles H . G ranger, 11Managemen t Obj ectives and Bases for Eva l uation , 11 Chapter 2, Handbook of I ndustria l Research Managem ent, Carl Heye l (ed.) , Reinho l d Publishing Corp . , New York, 1 959, pp . 58-60. I 1 1. 12, 3) Wha t percentage of corporate earn ings is derived from new products deve loped by resea rch w i th i n the last fi ve (or ten) years? 4) To what extent were the corporate products , and subsequent improvements, fi rst in troduced by th is company rather than by competi tors? 5) Wha t does ma rket research show as to th e qua l i ty standa rds of our products for the app l i cations at wh ich they are directed? 6) To wh at extent are th e sources of new products based upo n interna l research {versus l icenses , purchase of patients, etc . ) ? 7) Wha t has been happen ing to th is company's share of the ma rket? 8) How does our ratio of pa ten t grants co mpare with competition ? 9) 1 0) 1 1) To wha t extent has research been instrum enta l in cost-reduction programs? I n increases of productivi ty? How do our research expen di tures , in propo rtion to our size, compare with those of indiv i dua l com peti tors ? How do indiv idual competito rs score on criteria 3) th rough 1 0) ? 1 2) Wha t i s th e qua l ity and extent of th e advan ce produc t p l an n ing progra m ? 1 3) Are th e externa l g roups with wh ich resea rch dea l s effec tive l y served? 1 4) I s th ere a stamp of innova tion and creativity w i th i n the organiza­ tion ? 1 5) Are th e key peop l e wi th in the organ ization possessed of strong motivations, such as deg ree and sustenance of dri ve? 1 6) Are effective tech niques in use to get the most va l ue from th e who l e research organization ? 1 7) I s there a depth of personne l beh i nd the key positions and an organized personne l deve lopment progra m ? 1 8) Does manageme nt have persona l confidence in th e individua l who is heading the research activities? 1 Il 13. Wh en Mr. Roger Wi l l i ams recei ved th e Perk i n Med al of the Society o f Ch em .1c aI I n d ustry, h e rnade a pertment pomt concern mg rese arc h . l H e s tate d · · · th at there are sti l l on l y two essenti al operat i ng functions: m anufacturi ng and distri bution . E veryth i ng e lse, rese arch not excepted , exi sts to support those functions . The app l i c abi l i ty o f th is a dec ade l ater w i l l be considered h ere . 2 I Wi l l i am Swager of Batte l l e descri bes the re l ati ve ro les o f m an agement and rese arch; rese arch m an agemen t visual izes and i nterprets tech n i c al deve l opments; th is is forw arded to top m an agement who uti I ize techn ical i n form ation to crystal l ize busi ness go als . I n turn , th ese c l ear business go als aid rese arch m an agement i n c l ari fyi ng rese arch obj ecti ves w h i ch are con ti n u al l y i n terpreted for th e rese arch st aff. Those who e val uate research prog rams must recognize rese arch personnel as 11 th ings" oriented rath er th an 1 1people 11 oriented . C. P . Snow 3 h as i l l ustrated th is question at length i n a series o f books such as 11Sc ience and Go vernment'� 1 Roger Wi l l i ams, "Rese arch From A M an agemen t Viewpoint, 11 Ch em i c al Process ing, Aug ust 1955, pp . 45-46. 2 Wi l l i am L . Sw ager, " Underst and i ng M an agement's Ro l e i n Research ," Batte l l e Tech n i c al Re view, J anuary 1960, p� 7 • . 3c. P . S now, " Science and Governmen t, 11 H arvard Un i versity Press , C am bridge, M ass ., 1961, p . 27 . 14. 1 Dr . James B . Q u i nn of Da rtmouth Col l ege has ou t l i n ed corporate responsibi l i ties for integ ration of research i n to long ra nge p l an s : 1) Determ ine what managem ent wants to do and wha t resedrch it mu st carry out to accom p l ish th ese goa l s . 2) 3) Forecast how various eco nom ic, techno log i ca l , and so ciolog i ca l fac tors wi I I affect management goa Is . Deve lop a genera l strateg ic p l an th at wi l l m i n i m i ze major tec hno logica l th rea ts to th e compa ny and wi l l increase to the ful lest i ts techno log ica l opportun ities . 4) Determ i ne how large the tota l research p rogram sho u l d be and how the individua l research projects sh ou l d be ranked on the ba sis of 5) the i r contri bution to th e company' s goa l s . Ba l ance the support g i ven to each important segment of research on d deve lopme nt . A l l of th ese authors emphasize the requi rement of esta b l i sh i ng long ra nge goa l s . Th is i s an area (i . e . resean�h p l a nn i ng) wh ere many managem en ts do not recogn ize th eir ob l igations; the goa l s may be so narrow in defini tion th at va l ua b l e work is ignored or so broad and genera l as to bear no re l ation to corporate goa l . 1 James B . Quinn, 11The Cha l l enge of Effect i ve P l a nn i ng for Research , " and Eng i neering N ews, January 9, 1 96 1 , pp . 78-84 . I Chemica l -- 15, 1 Dr . E . D . Reeves who was with ESSO for many years discussed a compa ny who cou l d h ave spen t on l y $50, 000 instead of $3 m i l l ion on a research prog ram . The $3 m i l l ion was spen t over a two yea r period to determ i ne technica l feasi bi l i ty . Th is compa ny then spent an addi tiona l $50, 000 o n l y to dec i de no t to embark into th e new busi ness area represented by th is program . Th e sma l l er expendi ture at th e ve ry beg inn ing wo u ld have been suff i cient . Four reasons for th e dec ision were advanced : ( 1 ) the marketing orga nization was not qual ified , (2) th e new produc t wo uld make the company a di rec t competitor wi th i ts I 1 c ustomers , ( 3) i ts present products were suc cessfu l and g rowth seemed continuous, (4) cost of marketing the new prod ucts wou l d make profi ts marg ina l at best . I n th is case, there had been no rev iew of resea rch and corporate goa l s as an entity; th e dec ision was made as a resu l t of a number of conversa tions between I I research , marketing and ma nufa cturing w i thout tota l coo rd i nat ion . Errors in overa l l research programs ma y be: 2 1. Bui l d up a research organization far larger than needed . 2. Restri ct th e research organiza tion to th e poi n t where i t can not poss ible generate the amo unt of te chno l ogy i ts opera tion req ui res . 3. F i nd th at, beca use of poor commun ica tions with resea rc h , importan t probl ems are no t rece i vi ng proper em ph asis . 4. D i scover that it does not have the technica l competen ce to successfu l l y market new products deve loped by research . \dward Duer. Reeves, " I ndustria l Researc h , 11 Chem i ca l and Eng ineering News , October 25, 1 965, pp . 92-97 . 2 1 bid . , p . 92� 16. as: 1 Dr. Reeves has ca l led resea rc h a business and l isted its responsibi l i ties 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Know j ust what techno logy its com pany needs, Create th e needed techno logy, Do everyth i ng possible to help th e company use tech nol ogy effec tive ly, Carry on its interna l operations effic ient ly, and Be an effective member of the management team . 2 As is often th e case, Vic e Adm . Rickover has commented suc c inctly: In my op inion too m uch money is spen t on research and deve lopment . I persona l l y fee l we could get more and go further in a l l fie lcls of government research and developm ent by cutting out some of th e proj ec ts and concentrating people on a sma l l er number. It takes time to spend money . But spending money does not by itse lf guarantee prog ress . Furth ermore, you soon get to the po int where you h ave c reated vested interests in research and development . You soon have a large number of groups who keep on work ing in research and deve lop­ ment because i t has become their l ive l ihood . Department of Defense Research Since the Depa rtment of Defense ( DO D) looms so large in researc h and 1 deve lopment (R& D}, a look at their program prob l ems is a nec essary part of !th is stud y . A l tho ugh much h a s been· wri tten , th e best summary i s by 1 E . Duer Reeves, "Research is a Business, " Nationa l Industria l Research Conference, Ch icago , I l l . , Apri l 24, 1 957 2 ! Hyman G . Ric kover, "Commen t" House of Representatives, June 25, 1 959 as reported in Chemical and Engi neering N ews, August 3, 1 959, p . 3 . 17. T . K. G l en n on , J r . 1 who defi nes the obj ective o f m i l i tary R&D as prov i d i ng the Un i ted States with a c ap abi l i ty to procure we apons wh ich are needed or m ay be needed to support the needs o f n ation al securi ty. More spec i fi c al l y, the o bj ecti ves o f m i l i t ary R&D c an be viewed as: 1. To c arry o n the deve lopmen t of we apons s ystems required to meet the current m i l i t ar y needs of our armed fo rces, 2. To expand the tech no log i c al al tern ati ves av ai l abl e to meet future needs of n ation al securi ty, 3. To provide (along w i th non -m i l i tar y research) a basis fo r understandi ng the i mp l i c ations of tech no logi cal acti vi ties of our enemi es, 4. To prov ide tech no logi c al inputs to th e p l an n i ng process of the mi l i tary servi ces . The DOD program to meet these o bjecti ves is d i vi ded into six c atego ries : I ! 1. Rese arch 2. Exp lorator y Deve lopment 3. Adv anc ed Deve lopment 4. Engi neer ing Deve lopment 5. Man agement an d Support 6. Operation al S ystem Deve lopme n t . The si ze of e ach project grows as i t moves from c ategory to c ategory. The ! movemen t of projects through these categories is wh at th is paper is al l about . 1 1 I Thom as K. G l enn on, Jr . , " Po l i c i es for Mi l i tar y Rese arch and Deve l opment, " P -3253, Th e Rand Corporation, Novem ber 1 965 . 1 8. Th e fo l low ing desc ription of ea ch of these ca tego ries serves as a revi ew of the en ti re process from R& D to produc tion . A l though DO D pra c ti c es are desc ri bed , the categories are pertinent to i ndustrial resea rch and, in fa ct, a re used by DO D contra c tors . Here R&D is fi tted in to th e broad spe ctrum of industria I practi ce . Mr . G l ennon po ints out th at the advanced development activi ties represent a bridg ing of th e gap between the techno log y efforts of th e exp loratory deve lopm ent an d the systems orien ted efforts of Ca teg ories 4 and 5; tha t is, eng inee r i ng deve lopment and managemen t and support . It is th e first p lace in the evo l u tion of a sys tem from i ts tech no log ica l orig in to its fin a l form where the needs of th e m i l itary are forma l l y and rea l istica l l y brough t togeth er wi th ava i lable and po tentia l tech no log i ca l capa b i l i ties . Th is procedure sounds q u i te nea t and appropriate . Tech no log i ca l possi bi l i ties that were uncovered during I th e research ph ase are expl o red furth er in explora tory deve l opmen t . The exp loratory resea rch resu l ts and fu ture m i l i ta ry needs are th e bas is for exploita­ tion of spec ific tec hno logies in advan ced deve lopmen t . At ea ch step t h e costs of th e project increase but presuma b l y th e qua l i ty of th e information on which th e project dec isions a re made improves and th e risk of techn i ca l error dec reases . Unfo rtunate l y the orderly process tha t one visua l izes from th is description frequent l y fa i ls to appear .· F irst, an unantic ipated m i l i tary th rea t may a rise and a system may be rushed into deve lopme nt w i thout a l l of its technolog i es 1 having been proven . The present Vie tnam s i tua tion has ca used m uch of th is sort of th i ng to happen . Further, Mr . G l ennon po in ted out th at the prog ram 1 9. referred to as the X- 1 5 with obj ectives appropriate to research or exp loratory I development may cost so much that it is placed in advanced deve lopment wh ere I con tro l from high er h eadquarters can more easi l y be exercised. I I I I A program may enter into system deve lopment but unan ticipated techno logica l prob lems force additiona l basic experimen ta l work to be carried out in order to arrive at a so l ution . In ony case, he does fee l that the system is sound ond serves as a broad outl ine with i n wh i ch th e prob l em of transfer can be hand led re l atively easi ly. Three subcategories wi th i n advanced deve lopm ent have been evo l ved . These ore ( 1 ) programs which represent the exp loitation of promising techno logy, (2) experimenta l systems, (3) subsystem or component technica l deve lopment. Mr. G lennao says that there are those who fee l that an orderl y progression . 1 i ! I of tech no logy through exp loratory and advanced deve lopment stages to incorpora- : ! tion in systems is inappropriate and i neffective . I It i s arg ued that th e efforts to deve lop techno logy require focus equa l to !hot impased by th e need to produce )I a system. In the orderly prog ression to a system, only those areas are focused on i n I I wh ich a consensus exists that sign ificant breakth roughs are possible and requiTed . Thus no effort is wasted on tech nology for its own sake. Those who are opposed to th is idea of techno logy for its own sake would e l im i nate some forma l advanced !deve lopmen t projects and some expl oratory deve lopment work i n favor of ea rl y I ! system deve lopment . I was the B-70 . Th e last major program in wh ich th is system was fo l lowed 20 . I n m i l i tary R& D1 there has been estab l ished a contra c t defi n i tion ph ase wh ich takes p lace before a major eng ineering or operationa l system deve lopment project can be ini tiated . Th e prereq uisi tes for the contrac t defin i tion phase a re: . 1 2. primari l y eng ineering rather th an experimenta l effort is req u ired1 and the tech no logy needed is sufficiently in hand; the mission and performan ce en ve lopes a re def ined; 3. th e be'S t te ch n i ca l approaches have been se l ected; 4. a thorough trade-off ana l ysis has bee n made; 5. the cost effectiven ess of th e proposed i tem has been determ i ned to be favorab l e i n re lationsh i p to the cost effectiveness of competing items on a DO D wide basis; 6. cost and schedu l e estima tes are cred i b l e and acceptable . Th is s im p l e statement of these prereq uisi tes leads one to be l ieve th at th e DOD system is clear and we l l defined . However, th ere are many prob lems 1 invo l ved in the app l i c a tion of th e system . The dom inan t characte ristic of th e m i l i tary R&D environmen t i s uncertainty . There i s uncerta i n ty as to th e future detai l objectives of our m i l i ta ry forc es, and there is uncerta i nty as to the fu ture effectiveness of these forces1 and th ere is uncerta i nty as to the a l ternative means ava i lable for ach ieving these objectives . Al l of these uncerta i n ties are exte rna l; in addition th ere are obvious l y interna l un certa i n ties . 1GJenncin, loc. cit. · 2. 1 ' Mr . G l ennon a l so disc usses th e a l l oca tion of resources among types of R& D efforts . Th is has been covered to some extent in the statis tica l information presented ea r l i er . H e a lso d iscusses the impact of DO D organ ization on R& D effort and g ives some gu ide l ines for structuring m i l i tary research organ iza tions . A l l of th is is pertinent to understand i ng aerospace R & D . Con c l us ion Th e overvi ew of tota l research programs presented in th i s chapter shows tha t research must be integrated wi th other company activi ties . I n parti cu l ar, th e program eva l uation cri teria must be re l ated to corpora te goa l s . A summary of Departme n t of Defense research and deve lopment ca tegories was g i ven as a basis for understanding aerospace R& D . The criteria for transfer from one DO D ca tegory to another is the same as those used by industry . I n the fo l l ow i ng chapter, ind ividua l research project eva l uation is descri bed . CHA PTER I l l RESEARCH PROJECT EVAL UATI O N I i Pertinent to th e transfer p rob lem is deta i l ed eva luation of individual 1 pro j ects . John S . Ha rris of the Monsanto Company says th at the basic pro b l em in research pro j ect sel ection is to arrive at the sm a I I est n umber of cri teria that wi l l inc l ude a l l aspects of importance to comm erc i a l iza tion of a new product . I n th is chapter, a detai led review and summary of a l l poss i b le cri teria is presented ., I The criteria for selection which can a l so be used for tra nsfer are very n umerous; j th is subject represents one of the largest sing le subjects discussed i n the I I ' l i tera tu re . One particu lar breakdow n of se l ection criteria was chosen as a basis for I I I I 2 the presentation and a l l others a re discussed with i n that context . Research programs are be ing more ca refu l l y scruti nized every day . The I problem of such scruti ny has been descri bed in an arti c l e i n th e Wa l l Street I iJourna l about th ree years ago . 1 i 3 Th e a rtiC l e indi cated th at the n um ber of ---.--�----...--,..-- 1 John S . Harris, " New Product Profi l e Cha rt, " Chem ica l and Eng ineering I ! News , Apri 1 7, 1 96 1 , p . 1 1 0- 1 1 9 . I 2 r . T. Mi l ler, "Th i rty- N ine Steps Toward Profita b le New P roducts, '' Chemica l Processing, October 1 957, p . 32-36, 262-264 . I 3 Norman C . Mi l ler, J r . , " Labora tory Pressu re , " The Wa l l Street Journa l , ! Apri l 5, 1 963, p . 1 . 22 . ! 23. marketable new products com i ng out of the laboratory have not been proportiona l to ri ses i n research costs . Th e Joh ns-Manvi l ie Corporation spends a bout $11, 000, 000 a year for research . I n 1962 they appo i nted a fi nanc i a l con troller for the Centra I Researc h La boratory at Manvi l l e, New Jersey. Th is off i c i a l and i h i s twe lve man staff was g i ven the responsi bi l i ty of estimating proba b le prof its I I of each proj ect before large sums of money were comm i tted and then to keep a c l ose check as the pro jects prog ressed . They feel that th e pol icy has resu l ted i n the eli m i nation of severa l projects with marg i na l profi t potentia l . Prior to the I appo i n tment of thi s financia l control l er, on l y spot checks were made by th e I h eadquarters con tro l l ers staff . I I ! Oth er companies w i th the same type of control are Owens- I ll i nois G l ass Company of To l edo and the Be ll and Howe l l Company. The estimated cost of mai n ta i n i ng .a research man in both e qui pment and 'salary was g i ven as $34, 000. a year. ! : I I That n um ber has i n creased sharpl y since 1963. Th e proced ure used by Beckman was descri bed. Both marketing and deve lopm ent offi cia Is have to agree on the need for a new product and th en approval is gran ted on l y for a low cost 11exp loratory proj ect . 11 If the idea i survives that sc ruti n y, a comp l ex 11fi nan c ia l appra isa11 1 is made wh i ch covers I expected deve lopment and manufacturing costs and sa les vo l ume , se l ling price, 1 competition and a variety of oth er da ta . Then th e compan y ca l c u l a tes wh eth er the product is likely to yield i ts goal of an annua l 40% pretaxed profit on 24. At varying po i n ts a l ong th e devel opment path add i tiona l appra isa ls a re made . , As can be expected , th e research scientist have been unhappy with the c l ose cost contro l . Specific techn i q ues for judg i ng new prod uc t possi bi l i ties fo r th e start of . i new pro jects varies from the two laws and th ree pr i n c i p l es of Rog er L . Mart i l l i 1 2 th rough the 39 steps of Mr . T . T . Mi l ler of W . R . G race and Co . to the eighty-nine factors used by a l a rge ae rospace company and descri bed in the next chapter . Mr . Merri l l 's two laws a re: ( 1 ) uncertainties in new pro jects decrease i nvesting in first phase studies of new produ ct idea s . These studies cost re lative l y l ittle, th e' time to be cri tica l i s later when costs start to moun t . (2) Eva l ua te new product projects forma l l y at freq uent i n terva l s , be as q uanti ta tive as possible , insist on better answers on future costs and product po ten ti a l as projects !prog ress . (3) Term i nate new product projec ts tha t don ' t offer reasonab l e I econom ic po tentia l . Past expendi tures are of no importance . I t is future cost and poten tia l return that are cri ti ca l . 1 Roger L . Merri l l , " Proven Guides Boost Odds fo r New Product R&D ·Success, " I ron Age , January 20, 1 966, p . 35 . I 2 T . T . Mi l l er , "Th i rty- N ine S teps Towa rd Prof i table New Products, 11 !Chem i ca l Processing , October 1 957, pgs . 32 - 36, 262 - 264 . I 25 . Mr. Mi l ler1s th i rty-nine steps are g iven in Tab l e 1. These steps are div ided i n to seven areas wh ich wi l l serve as a bas is for the fo l low ing discussion I I I I on project eva l uation . The first g roup of stab i l ity factors dea l prima ri l y w i th marke ting type problems . Market research and deve lopmen t personne l have be en most pro l ific in wri ting arti c l es to desc ri be the problems in th is area . Understand ing th e ma rketi ng problems can best be done by reference to the new product I ife cyc l e shown i n F ig ure 1 . 1 Th is p l ot was prepared by Booz , A l len and Ham i l ton and serves to emphasize their poi n t that new product stra tegy sh ou l d be p lanned a round the 1 I profi t c u rve not the sa l es curve . I n other words, new prod ucts must be deve l oped I at th e time when profi ts are a t a max imum in o rder to keep the sa l es cu rve from bend i ng over sh arp l y a t som e l a ter time . I t is interesting to note th e pro b l ems uncovered in th e Booz , A l l en and Hami l ton su rve y discussed in th is reference . i Nea r l y 85% of th e companies surveyed have pro b l ems re lating to the organizat ion ! I I I I of the new prod ucts effort . Of th is tota l , 37% of the compan i es pinpointed the problem as one of orga nization structure . Defini tion of responsibi l i ti es wa s th e pro b l em in 20% wh ereas size of the orga n ization was of top concern i n on l y 3% I of the I companies . Pro bl ems other than organ izationa l were personne l qual ifica... tions and l ack of new ideas and creati vity . Other prob lems i n vo l ve i nadeq uate 1 11 New Products Can Be Ma naged, 11 Chem ica l and Eng i n eerin g News, Decem ber 5, 1 960, p . 42 - 45 . I. I I 26 . I II I TA BLE 1 39 STEPS TOWA RD PROF I TA BLE NEW PRO DUCTS Stabi l i ty Factors 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Durabi I ity of market . Breadth of market . Possibi l i ty of ca pti ve market . Diffic u l ty of copying . Stabi l i ty in depress ions . Stabi l i ty in wartime . I Growth Factors 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. Un ique character of product or process . Demand-supp l y ra tio . Rate of tech no l og i ca l change . Export possi b i l it ies . Uti I ization of managemen t personn el . I Ma rketabi l ity Factors I 1 2 . Re lationsh ip to ex isting markets . I I 1 3. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. Company's reputa tion in a I I i ed fie I ds . Re lation to probable competi tion . Abi l i ty to meet serv ice requiremen ts . Re l ati onsh ip to custom er 's products . Large vo l ume w i th i ndi vidua l c ustomers . Few variations or styles requ i red . Freedom from seasona I fl uctuations . I I Posi tion Factors .20 . 21 . 22 . 23 . 24 . Time requi red to become establ i sh ed . Va l ue added by in- company processi ng . Exc l usive or favored purchasing pos ition . Improved purchasi ng posi tion . I n tern a l avai labi l i ty of raw ma ter ia ls . 27 . TA BL E 1 - Con t in ued Research and Deve lopment Factors 25. 26 . 27 . 28 . Uti l ization of ex isting know ledg e . Re la tionsh ip to future activi ties . Uti l ization of existi ng lab or p i l ot ac tivities . Avai labi l i ty of resea rch personnel . Eng i neer ing Factors 29 . 30 . 31 . Re l iabi l i ty of proc ess know-how . Uti I ization of standard ized equ i pmen t . Ava i l abi l i ty of eng ineering personn e l . Production Factors 32 . 33 . 34 . 35 . 36 . 37 . 38 . 39 . Uti I ization of id le equ ipment . Uti l ization of surp l us uti l i ty capac ities . Uti I iza tion and upgrad ing of by-products . Uti I ization of fam i I iar processes . Ava i l abi l i ty of produc tion personne l . F reedom from haza rdous con d itions . F reedom from diffi c u l t ma intenance � eeds . F reedom from waste d isposa l probl ems . 28. NEW PRODUCT UFE CYCLE SALES VOLUME ADDITIONAL NEW .., INTRODUCTION GROWTH MAJORITY -- PRODUCT NEEDED --- SATURATION ...... ....... DECLINE Figure 1 Reference: ../ , ...... Chemical and Engineering News, Dec . 5, 1960, p. 42 2 9. business analysis of new product ideas . Onl y a few compan ies reported problems 1 concerned wi th product deve lopment in th e laboratory . A s l igh tly l arger number ,I reported probl ems concerned with market testing and about the sam e number with I i I1 I I I 1 I I prob lems of commerc ial ization . I t is quic k l y apparent that appropriate atten tion g i ven to th e th irty-nine steps of Tabl e I wou l d h e l p to al leviate th ese problems . The very sizeab l e l ist of refe rences on project eva l uation was separated i n to the six head i ngs inc luded under th e th irty-nine steps . Many authors who purported to cover th e enti re subject actua l l y covered on ly a few of th e re l evant factors . The fo l lowing discussion covers each of th e six factors i n more deta i I . A l though. th e l ist is length y, al l pertinent fac tors are incl uded in order to provide a firm foundation for judging transfer c riteria . It also serves to emphasize th e " superfic ial treatment often gi ven to projec t eval uation . 1 Stabi l i ty Factors • 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Durabi l ity of market. Breadth of market. Possibi l ity of captive market . Difficulty of copyi ng . Stabi I i ty in depressions . Stab i l ity in wartime . 30 . These factors re l ate to th e broad ro l e of research and deve lopment and i ts 1 re lationship to th e tota l market. M r . Wi l l iam L . Swager states th at the ro l e o f research and deve lopment i n the Uni ted States is two-fo l d : 1. Enhance the possibi l i ti es of ma inta in ing the profitabi l ity of p resent p roduct l ine, and 2. Provide an opportunity for new sources of prof i t . Th e most far-reach ing a n d p rofo und research resu l ts are steri l e in lab­ ora tory notebooks a nd reports . Unti l a company's marketing men can see ways to exp loit th e resul ts, un ti l th e production departm ent can devise means for i ncorporating them, unti l the financ ial commi ttee can muster funds and j ustify the investment invo lved, th ey remain s teri le . It is on l y after industrial management has transl ated th e res u l ts into usefu l and marketable p roducts and processes that a company rea l izes a profit from research . I n the l ast ana lysis th e benefits to society from a particular sc ientific effort are not rea l i zed in the resea rch lab . They are rea l i zed when th e company undertaking tha t research makes a profit . Th is is another way of emphasizing th e importance of the sta bi l ity fac tors in determi ning th e rel a tionship of research and deve lopment to the market and th e effect on the company in depressions and in war ti me . I n the category of stabi l i ty fac tors, th e importance of long - ra nge goa l s 2 i s emphasi zed . Dr . Rasswe i l er has stated th at sel ecting a nd defining obj ec tives is one of the best ways of contro l l ing research without destroying i ndi vidua l initia tive. A good research organization is made of aggressive imagi native 1 wi l laim L . Swager, " P lanned Research and Deve lopment, " Systems and Procedures, May 1 959 . 2 C i ifford F . Rasswei ler, "Se l ecting Research Obj ectives, 11 I ndustria l I Laboratori es, J une 1 957, pp . 44-48 , 31. people w i th a grea t dea l of individua l i n i tiative and a strong resentment to d i ctation . A d i rector must not i nh i b i t i nd i v idua l th i nki ng and individua l i n i tiative . He goes on to po int out that setti ng wo rthwh i le objectives and exp lain ing why they are worthwh i l e is one of the grea test a ids to laboratory mora le and h e l ps to increase productivity of th e R&D organ i zation . Dr . Rasswei l er desc r i bes a one-pag e ma rket and sa les ana l ysis wh i c h requ ires approval up through th e management c yc le before go i ng ahead with the proje c t . Th e fo l lowing h eadings appear on th is si n g l e sh eet� ( 1) object i ve, ( 2) fields I 1 I I of sa le i nvo l ved, ( 3) compet i ti ve products affecting the company 's busi ness or progress, (4) compet i t i ve se l ling prices, (5) advan tageous properties of compe ti tive products, ( 6) m i n i m um product object ive, (7) desi red qua l i ty for I I max imum sal es value, (8) advantages of the company's prod uct to be reta i ned , I I I I I I J I ( 9) an tic ipated soles vol ume , ( 10) spec ialized sol es effort . Al l of th ese h ove perti nence to the six stabi l i ty facto rs l isted . One of the most releva nt articles and one of the most complete publish ed 1 I i n recent years is that by David N . Ki efet wh i ch has pertinence to al l of the 1 factors be i ng discussed . He discusses th e changes that h ove been tak ing p l ace and ore con ti nui ng to toke p l ace in in dustria l research . There is a w idespread change i n th e ph i losophy of management of research . We ore now h earing ques tions such as: 11How much sho u l d we spend for R& D? 11 1 1 0n what shou ld 1 David N . Kiefer, ''Wi nds of Change i n I n dustria l Research , " Chem i cal and Engineeri ng News, Ma rch 23, 1964, p . 88 109. - 32 . we spend i t?" toDo we know if we are getting our money1s worth?11 Th ere is some ind ica tion tha t there is a taperi ng off in the rate of in crease in ou t l a ys for industr ial research . A number of the compa nies referred to by Mr . K iefer have indica ted th at they have changed the i r ways of han d l i ng resea rch expend i tures ­ large l y in th e direction of tigh ter con tro l . He quotes Dr . Donald F . Mastick of Stauffer Chem ica l Compa ny who says: 11 Th e o l d days of organic synthesis ­ when a l a bora tory cou ld be satisfied with ju st turning out large numbers of new compounds - deve loped some i n teresting chemistry . Those days are gon e , you can1 t spend you r time ex pl oring new rea ctions just because th ey are interesting or just because they are re lat ing to th e chem istry you are using now. 11 As do many of th e a� thors on th is subjec t, Mr. Kiefe r presents a check l ist for R&D pro j ec ts . The head ings are: ( 1 ) F inanc i a l - w i th eleven i tems inc lud ing su ch th ings as return on sa l es, return on fixed ca pita l , f ixed cap i ta l ' investment pa y-out time, etc . (2) Research and Deve lopment - with nine fac tors inc lud ing chance of tech n i c a l success, manpower needed, compet i ti ve technica l ac tivi ty, etc . (3) Product ion - i n c luding fac tors such as processed fam i l iarity, equ i pmen t avai labi l i ty, waste d i sposa l as a poten tia l , etc, up to a to to I of el even . (4) Marketing - th i s has twenty factors or more th an an y oth er heading and inc ludes the su bject a lready broug h t up of market pe rmanence, market sta bi l i ty, promotiona l requ i remen ts, export poten tia l , etc . I t is readi l y apparent th a t mark eting is extreme l y importan t in ma k ing any choice on R& D pro jects . (5) Corpo ra te Posi tion - wi th six fac tors su ch as requ ired corporate 33. .Aga in size , affect on purchasing other materia Is, affect on presen t custom ers . these are market re lated fac tors as we l l as corporate fac tors . He summarizes seven form u las used for d i recting � &D proj ects . These .a re: ( 1 ) F red O l sen ' s I ndex of Return , (2) Ca r l Pacifico 's Project Num ber, (3) Sol oman Disman 's Form u l a , (4) Gordon K . Tea l 's I ndex of Research Effecti veness , (5) Sidney Sobe lman 's I nvestmen t Worth Mode l , (6) The Hosko l d Transformation , (7) Presen t Va l ue of A Pro j ect . 1 Fred O lsen 's I ndex of Re turn dates ba ck to 1 948 . Th is index sets a rbi trary va l ues on savings and sa l es from research . The va l ue of process ' sav ings for one yea r or 3% of th e sa l es va l ue of new products each year for five years or 2% of th e sa les va l ue of im proved products ea ch yea r for two years is used as a basis for co l c u l a ting an index of return . Th is was th e fi rst of such th i ngs to be sta ted and many, man y others h ave been postu lated si nce that tim e . As indicated ear l ier, th e usua l eva luation i s not com p l ete i n th e sense of tak ing into accoun t a l l of th e factors . A cri tica l exam p l e is that of th e AMOCO ! Chem i ca l s Corpo ra tion in Ch i cago � Th i s compa n y looks at such i tem s as market, product, process, econom ic factors , and ge nera l f i t . Heavy emphas is i s put on econom ic eva l uations . 1 F red O l sen , "An I ndex of Return on Research , " Chem i ca l Eng ineering , February 1 949, p . 296 - 297 . 2 H . C . Thorne , J r . , W . W . Twadd l e , and E . R . Grah l , " How to Eva l uate Chem i ca l Projects, "Petro l eum Refiner, March 1 96 1 , p . 1 7 1 - 1 77 . • 34. I n summary it can be stated that th e stabi l i ty fa ctors are usua l l y ignored . in th e eva l uation of research pro j ects . Th ey may be i n th e back of th e resea rch I I. director1 s mi nd but se ldom do they find a p lace i n th e form a l .eva luation proc edure ) or in th e check sh eets used by management in eva l uating research projects . . I I I Growth Facto rs 7. Unique character of product or process . 8. Demand- supp ly ratio 9. Rate of tech no logica l change . o 10. Export possibi l i ties . 11. Uti l ization of managem en t personnel . Some aspects of th is he ading of growth factors have been covered elsewhere in the paper; for examp l e, the prob l em of how much to spend on resea rch . I I i Research managers do not agree on the guide l i nes for the budget nor do th ey a I ways agree w iih management on ih is subjec t . Foe tors iha t have been used as a basis lor research budgets are sa les, profi ts, proj ects in !he sense of their li t I into th e tota l corporate picture, manpower, competi tion, etc . One of th e aerospace companies described in the fo l lowing chapter uses a com bination of 1 top-down , bottom-up p l anning where th e fina l resea rch p rogram carri ed out is ! a b l ending of ideas suggested by the resea rch peop l e themse l ves an d pro jects dicta ted by management for any one of a number of reasons . Th e sa les yardsti ck is of particu lar in terest in looking at growth factors . H ere an arbitrary 35 . 1 pe rcentage of sa les is put into research a nd deve l opmen t . As K i efer states, it's an easy way to gear R&D spendi ng to ava i l a b l e funds or to impose a ce i l ing on outlays for research and deve lopment . The chem i ca l industry, for examp l e , has spent about 3 . 5% of i ts sa les revenues on resea rch and deve lopment in rec ent years . If a company is g row ing rapid l y , i t wi l l be p utting an obviousl y g reate r amount every year i n to research and deve lopment, and i t is probab l y questionable tha t th ese rapid ly grow ing budgets can be spent wise l y or fruitfu l l y . Ma ny managers say th at th i s is a poor criterion to use for decid ing the research and deve lopment budget, but i t obvious l y becomes a useful tool for smooth ing out f l uctuations and for comparison purposes . A research appraisa l procedure wh i ch is tied i n to growth has been deve l oped by D r . Pa ul W . Bachman o f Coppers, and descri bed i n Chemica l and Eng i neering N ews . 2 The princ ip l e upon wh i ch the app ra isa l system is based ' is that th e effe ctiveness of research can be apprai sed in five years . Prof its ' a re ba la nced aga i nst th e l ia b i l i ties i n the form of the cost of research . I t is obvious th at th e profi ts can continue afte r five years, but th e con cep t of th e me thod is th a t th e costs of th e research shou l d be paid back or ba l anced over a 1 2 David N . K i efer, lot . c i t . , p . 9 1 . " Charts Te l l Research Story, 11 Chem ica l and Eng i neeri ng News, Decem ber 1 4, 1 959, p . 40-4 1 . 36 . five-year period . I The ru les for establ i sh ing i ncome are: I n come for the first five yea rs of comm erc ia l l ife of researc h-deve loped products should comprise the asset side of th e ba lance sheet . After five years, no cred its can be c l a imed by research . The first yea r of commerc ial l ife may be taken as tha t year in whi ch commerc ia I ope rat i ons started in the f i rst ha lf of th e yea r . Si nce research charges are a n item of expense, cred i ts a re taken before ded uction of i n come tax . Disc uss ion support ing the credits c l ai med is to be g iven in the first yea r for which such cred its are p l a nned . Th e amounts of cred its c l a imed is to be establ ished by the accoun ting section . After the cred it ta b les have been drawn up, the research d i rec tor re lates the credi ts of each group to the cost of each g roup's research spend ing . The percen tage obtained by di vid ing cred i ts-moving by cost- moving is ca l l ed the 1 percent re turn on research expenditures and is graphed over a five-year period . An ascend ing ratio of percent return on research expend i tures means that the research program is obviousl y paying i ts way . 1 Howard F . Rase of the Uni vers ity of Texas ta l ks a bo ut the so cio-economic prob lem of sel ecting new products . H e recogn izes th at i n th is area th ere a re prob l ems of va l ue j udg ment; however, he desc r i bes a procedure of g i ving arbitra ry num ber ra tings to four headi ngs or factors in order to arrive at 1 a va l ue Howard F . Rase, 11 Redict Prod uc t Poten tia l Th is Wa y, " H ydroca rbon Process ing and Petro l eum Refiner, Ma y 1 962 , i!_ , No . 5, p . 206-209 . 37 . ana l ysis . These fac tors are: ( 1) biologi ca l , ( 2) econom ic, ( 3) aesthetic, (4) non- repe t i t i ve . W i th a max i m um va l ue of 25 assigned in each category, a product ca n receive as man y as 100 po ints . I n s ome h ypotheti ca l cases wh ich h e desc ri bed , va l ues varied from 0 to 60 po i nts . The product rec e i v i ng a zero was a weedk i l ler whi ch , i n the bio logica l area , was g i ven a negative va l ue, since i ts h igh l y toxi c nature cou ld endanger l i ves . I ts econom i c va l ue was zero, s i n ce the cost of pu l l i ng weeds by hand was on l y very s l igh t l y more than the cost of th e weed k i l l e r . appare l that rated 60. Th is was i n contras t to pol yes te r f i ber wea r i ng I t was g i ven a maxi m um va l ue of 25 in the economic area si nce such a materia l mea nt freedom from natura l sources and a mo re consisten t price structure, as we l l as cheaper mai n tenance . These four factors are extreme l y i mportant in j udg i ng the growth of a potenti a l prod uct as re l a ted to an R&D program . One of the best descr i ptions of profi tabi l i ty meas ures has been gi ven by 1 James B. Weaver of Atlas Industries . Prof i ta bi l i ty and growth go h a nd in hand . He descri bes the eva l uation of cap i ta l investment as passing th rough three stages : 1. One m ust deci de what fac tors or future i nfl uen ces wi I I essen tia l l y determi ne each capi ta l i r\vestment1s profitabi l i ty . Th e n um ber of i mportant fac tors is greater than usual l y be l ieved . 2. One m ust obtain forecasts of these fac tors over th e expected l ife of the produc t or equ i pment . I n many cases, forecasts m ust be 1 James B . Weaver, 1 1 Prof i ta bi l i ty Measures, News, September 25, 1961, p. 94- 104. 11 Chemical and E ng i n eering 38 . made of the si tuation, not on l y where th e compa ny undertakes the investme n t, but a l so if th e investment is not made . Th e new i n vestment should on l y be credited with the di ffe rence in prof it . 3. A method must be a t hand fo r combining these forecasts into a sing le understandab l e measure of profitabi l i ty . I n h is artic l e , h e d isc ussed th is th i rd phase i n very considerable deta i l . Spec ifica l l y, he describes return on orig ina l i nvestment, return on average i nvestm ent, payout time, pa yout time inc l udi ng i n terest, present worth , and i n terest rate of return . I recommend th is descri ption to th e se rious student or person charged with th e responsi bi l ity of eva l uati n g resea rch i n vestments . 1 Another review arti c l e i s th at by Arth ur J . We inberger of American Cyanamid Company who d isc usses the probl em of eva lua ting research and deve lopment pro jects in a series of six artic l es . H e recomme nds a review a t five po i n ts: ( 1 ) sc reen ing sugges tions for new produ cts, (2) pro j ect selection , (3) se lecting a l terna tives, (4) revi ew of projec ts, (5) before transfer to man ufacturing . H is comments regard ing th is l ast review point are interesting and are ex treme l y perti nent to the subject of th i s paper . Though th is stage is la te for review to eva l uate th e project as research and deve l op ment, it may be the po int at wh ich purch ased know-how wi l l become ava i l a b l e , and serves as a last chance for research and deve lopment management to exa mine the pro je ct i nterna l l y before i t i s turned over to others . Resu l ts o f a n economic ana l ysis made a t th is time can be compa red with ear l i er ones and he l p to sharpen fu ture pre l i m i nary eva l uation s . 1 A. J . Wei nberge r, " Economic Eva l uation of R&D Projects, " Chemica l Engi neeri ng, October 28 , 1 963 th rough Apri l 27, 1 964 . 39 . 1 Arth ur We inberger sta tes that one must look a t th e eve n tua l se l l ing price of th e prod uct be ing considered . He draws an exc l usion ch art, giving pric ing informa tion, in order to understand the p- ice problem wh ere production q uanti ties are p lotted against price . An obvious po int that is often over looked is that few materia l s wi l l se l l above a pa rti c u l a r vo l ume un l ess th eir price i s be low a certa i n va l ue; one ca nnot expect to se l l huge q uantities of an expensive product . Another good rev iew a rti c le was presented in Chemical We ek, 2 where a ch eck l ist of some 57 fa ctors is g i ven . I t is poi n ted out th at th e to ta l market and industry must be l ooked at in mak ing any dec isions on a new product . If the growth in th e market has slowed cons idera b l y, it is obvious ly questiona ble as to wh ether or not a new prod uct in tha t particu lar market wou l d ever pay off . ; There are many sources of market info rma tio n and a l l of these sho u l d be consui ted . 3 T . T . M i l l er has descri bed his 39 steps i n another a rtic le . H e here descri bes th e growth factors as fo l lows: 1 A . J . Wei nberge r, loc . c i t . , January 20, 1 964, p . 1 42 . 2 11Can You Rate Your Research ? " Chemica l Week , 84 No . 22 , May 1 959, p . 37-47 . 3 r . T . M i l ler, 11 Projecting the Profi tabi l i ty of N ew Prod uc ts, 11 Chem i ca l Eng inee ring Prog ress , June 1 958 , p . 57-59 . 40 . 1. Un ique character of prod uct or process . A product th at can fi I I an important unsa tisfied need or tha t can rapid l y ­ and without in te rfe rence - rep l ace a h ig her pri ced materia l shou l d rate very good for th is factor . 2. Demand-supp l y ra tio . A l though th e prod uct may no t be unique, if th ere is room for a new supp l ier because th e demand i s expec ted to o utgrow th e supp ly, i t sh ould rate very good so far as th i s fa ctor is con cerned . 3. Rate of tech no log i ca l change . If there is a wa ve of cha nge loom ing upon which th is new prod uct can ride, it draws a ra ting of very good . On the other hand, a product wh ich is me re l y expected to grow commensurate l y w i th th e growth of popul a t ion and the standards of l i ving wou l d get a ra ting of average in th i s factor . A product th at is fast losing ground tech no log i ca l l y wo u l d rate very poor . 4. 5. Export possibi I ities . If the sa l es g rowth of the new product can be marked l y acce l erated by adding export sa l es to domestic sa l es, i t deserves a rating of very good . Uti I ization of management personn e l . A new prod uct wo u l d rate very good on th i s fa ctor i f i t offered a n oppo rtunity to promote potentia l managem e nt ta lent into en larged respon­ s i bi l i t ies , yet did not undu l y deprive ex isting prod ucts of the i r essentia l management and did not und u l y tax top ma nage­ men t's ti me and effort . " Ma rketab i l i ty Factors 12. Re lationsh ip to existing markets . 13. Com pany's reputation i n a l l i ed fie l ds . 14. Re lation to probab l e competi tion . 15. Abi l ity to meet service requ i rements . 41. 1 6. Re la tionsh ip to c ustomer 1s products . 17. Large vol ume w i th i nd i vi dua l c ustomers . 18. Few variations or styles req u i red. 1 9. F reedom from seasona I fl uctua tions . Marke ting factors are those most often ignored by techn ica l peop l e . The assumption i s that a bette r mo use trap w i I I automa tica l l y find those peop l e wan ting to ca tch m i ce. In recen t years , these factors have been g i ven more a ttentio n . I! 1 One of the best descri ptions has been presen ted by John S . Harris of : the Monsanto Company . Various factors are rated from m i nus 2 to p l us 2. The I h eadi ngs are compara b l e to those of Mi l l er wh ere such th ings are considered as I I I finan c ia l aspects, production and engi neering aspects, research and deve l opment aspects, ma rketing, and produ ct aspects. Th e appropri ate b l ocks are shaded for the parti cu lar rat ing for any one i tem; for example, if one g i ves a rating to I : estimated annual sa l es of p l us 1 , a sing l e b lock to the rig h t of th e zero wou l d be shaded . I f i t has a rati ng of p l us 2, both blocks to the right of the zero' i would be shaded . On the other hand, if a rating i s g i ven of minus 2, th e I ' a ppropri a te n umber of b l ocks to the l eft wou l d be shaded . Th us , by l ook i ng I I I at the resu l ts of th is eva l uation, on e can q u i c k l y gather the feasibi l i ty of the new product by determ i nation of the n umber of blocks to the rig h t of th e z e ro 1 John S . Harris, 11 New Produc t Profi l e Chart, 11 Chem ica l and Eng ineer- · i ng N ews, Apri l 1 7 , 1 961 , p. 1 1 0- 1 1 9; corrections May 1, 1 961 , p . 8 2-83. -- 42 . that are shaded . A finer gradation cou l d be used if an addi tiona l ra ting, that is, I p l us 3 or m inus 3 and the l i ke , were to be used . However, the s i m p l e four fa ctor or four- le vel rati ng is good enough fo r an in itia l eva l uation . M r . Harris put h i s fi nger on a key poi n t that is brough t out by th is pa pe r . Many check- l i s ts and artic l es have been publ ished o n i m portan t aspects of a new product over th e last 20 years, and we have drawn free l y on these . The basi c problem is to arrive at the sma l l est n um ber of criteria tha t w i l l i nc l ude a l l aspects of i mportan ce to successfu l comm erc ia l ization of a new product . These criteria should be mutua l l y ex c l usive -- that is, no more tha n one sho u l d descri be the same basi c considerati on . I t sh ould be obvious from a l l the quotations in th is paper tha t choos i ng such criteria is wel l n i gh i m poss i b l e . Understanding thi s pro b l em, however, is 1 ! important in eva l ua ting new proj ects . The R & D cyc l e as re l ated to marketa b i l i ty factors has been descri bed in a staff arti c l e i n Chem ica l Week � Th e cyc l e is show n as Fig ure 2 . The important ro le p layed by ma rketabi l i t y fac tors i s h i gh- II l ig h ted by th is chart . 2 Dr . Quinn of Dartmouth 1 s Sch oo l of Busi ness Adm i n i stra tion has descri bed a fi ve-step proc edure to i n tegra te sc ientific research i nto th e overa l l p l ans of a compan y . Marketabi l i ty i s i mportant i n these fi ve steps . Of part i c u l ar 1 2 11Push for New Prod uc ts, 1 1 Chem ica l Week, Fe bruary 3, 1 962 , p . 29-34 . 11 Keep Research Programs In Ba lance, 1 1 Ch emica l and Eng i nee ring N ews, September 26, 1 960, p . 36-37 . 1 I 43. A TYP I CA L PROD UCT DEV ELO PMENT PROGRA M P R O D U CT EVA LUAT I O N: R EF I N EM ENT COST EST I MATES DRAW I N G S F I E L D EVA LUAT I O N D EV E LO P M E N T R E. LA T I V E COSTS MO D I F I CA T I O N S P R O TO T Y P E D E S I G N A N O CON STRU CT I O N A C C E L E R A T E D T E S T I NG A C C E L E RA T E D T E S T I N G A N D F I E L D EVA LUAT I O N P R E - P R O DU CT I O N PROTOTY P E S D E V E LO P M E NT 24 1 2 T I M E - MONTHS F ig ure 2 44 . in terest is th e th i rd step where the company has to lay out i ts strateg y i n order to get the most out of tech no logica l opportuni ties wh i le keepi ng th e risk as low as possi ble . Si nce the co mpany's resources are l i m i ted, it ca nnot counter a l l r isks , nor can it take advantage of a l l opportun i ti es . The probl em therefore is to dete rm ine wh ere the company wi l l foc us most of its work where i t can do no more than j ust stay aware of scientific progress and wha t fie l ds i t w i l l ignore . These questions can best be answered by looking at the marketabi I i ty factors . The pro b l em of mesh i ng R & D and marketi ng has been disc ussed in a series of artic les in Ch em ica l E ng i neering Prog ress . 1 ' 2 ' 3 ' 4 ' 5' 6 Mr . Sch enk po ints out th at once commerc ia l feasi b i l ity is determ ined , marketi ng has to play a very strong ro l e . I f marketing becomes invo l ved much ear l ier in the tota l cyc l e , it is possi b l e to save time, money, and frustration . H e fee ls that 1 Bruce M . Ba re, 1 1 Direc tion of R&D Via Ma rketing , '"Chern i c a l Er�gineer­ ing Progress , October 1 965, page 26- 30 . 2 James W . Brad ley, " Mesh ing R&D and Marketing , 11 Chem i ca l Engi neer­ ing Progress, October 1 965, p : 1 5 . 3 J . K . Craver, "Can We Do Without The I n novator? 11 Che mica l Eng ineering Progress, October 1 965, p . 24-26 . 4 Wi I I i am E . Kenne l , ''R&D Needs , 1 1 Chem ical E ng i neeri ng Progress , October 1 965, p . 20-24 . 5 George Sc henk , "Marketi ng Ca l l s Th e Shots, 11 Chem ica l Eng ineering Progress, October 1 965, p . 1 6-20 . 6 R . W . Sch u l er, " Are Yo u I n A F ur- L ined Foxho l e ? 11 Chem i c a l Eng i neer­ mg , O ctober 1 965 , p . 30-33 . -- 45 . ma rketing shou ld have authority in product p lanning, prod uct deve lopment, prod uction schedu l ing , and i nventory cen tro I as wel l as in the usua l areas of sa 1es distri bution and servic ing of the product . H e quotes a recent Nationa l I ndustria l Conference Board Study wh i ch stated that three out of ten ma jor new prod ucts marketed in the past five years, fa i l ed in some important aspect, and one of th e th ree was consi dered so disappointing that it was withdrawn from the market . Reaso ns g i ven for those fai l ures were , in decreas ing order of importance, i nadequa te market ana lysis, product defe cts, h igher costs than anti c i pated , poor timi ng , compe t i tion , and in suffi cient ma rke ting effort . I t i s obvious tha t a number of these factors do i nvo l ve th e ma rketing function . M r . Kenne l a lso emphasizes the importa nce of marketing to resea rch and dev­ e lopment . H e fee ls tha t companies sho u l d have opera tiona l g u ides which show th e re l ationsh ip between marketing and R & D so th at the marl< eting i nput can be put into th e research and deve lopment function . With th e usua I d istribution of effort in the research departments be ing spread between new ideas on deve lop­ ing ideas to commerc ia l rea l i ty and i mprovement and ex pansion of existing products, 85 to 90% of the resea rch money is being devo ted to prod ucts wh ich cannot be com p l eted successfu l l y without marketing inputs . Mr . Bare of Arth ur D . Litt l e di sc usses th e need for a marketing p l an to g uide research . The e l eme nts of th e marketi ng plan are covered by the factors a lready d isc ussed . 46 . M i l l er's fa ctors of Tab l e 1 a re stra igh tforwa rd and easi l y understanda b l e . An important one that sho u l d be emphasized is N o . 1 6 , " re l a ti onsh i p to the c ustom er's prod ucts . " Company managemen t shou l d be carefu l in mak i ng a dec ision to go i n to a product which th eir customers make , or if i t were a different type of product that tended to take a busi ness awa y from th em or detract from the ir busi ness profi tabi l i t y . Attempts at ve rtica l integ ra tion have had serious econom ic effect on a number of i nd ustria l con cerns . Posi t ion Factors 20 . Time required to become establ ished . 21 . Va lue added by in-company processing . 22 . Exc l usive or favored purchasing position . 23 . I mproved purchasi ng pos i t ion . 24 . I nterna l ava i l a bi l i ty of raw ma teria l s . The first posi tion fa ctor has to do with th e time requi red to be come 1 esta b l ished . A l bert Rockwood of Batte l l e M emoria l I n stitute shows a p l ot wh i ch g i ves an idea of the time requi red fo r a typica l product deve l opment progra m . Th is is shown as F igure 3 wh ere time is p lotted against rel a ti ve costs . Var ious aerospace programs h ave been desc r i bed wh i ch requ ire from 1 8 mo nths for certa i n l i m i ted war programs up to as long as ten years before a system becomes fu l l y opera tiona l . 1 A l bert M . Rockwood , 11 P iann ing a P rod uct Deve lopment Prog ram, " Batte l l e Techn ica l Review , Sep tember 1 957 , 4 pp . · I D£A: FLOW C H A R T FOR NEW - P R O D UCT D £ V H O P M £ N T TECHNICAL CONSI DERAT IONS M.'RK£TING CONSI DERATIONS D DECIS ION 0 POINTS ACTION AREAS .... ...._.,;.,.. ...., '-' it is in business . Over-oil goalt of Geooenol - br ..faidl tt. fi.... .ill ..,. "' ...,...._ a. pra­ ""' CIDIJIDn* obiecti,... .... it pi- .., med. Translation of ,.levant portions of the busineu obiec­ tives into technical g�tal., pl01ning ond hudglting technical -· Cr�tolliz.ation of new-product icllo.s, Preliminary screen­ ing of new•product idtm, followed by selec.tion of ideos dlep of source t-­ rega� for further study; (e.g., A!I•arch prugrarns, maricet neec:h, outaidl idlos) Porollel initial � =�i:,��i;::�h planning and budget­ ing. '"''die• of production, of propo.-d new producrs. r Twin technical � :!� ::�,t:t,;· � planting, attractive and cOt'l- siste nt witt, butiNn objectivee. F igure 3 t re I nte medi ate c en ing of new-product ideas; se le c tion of mGrltet developm&nt activitie'; pilot test morketing. of the new product's � progreu, incl�o�ding (o.,t inu;ng checks tJeci\ions to proceed or ltop. 48 . There a re two aspe cts to pos i tion factors . F i rst is the pos it ion of resea rch and deve lopment in th e co rporate organization and p l ans, and second l y, the effect of research and deve lopment on the corporation 's posi tion in ind ustry and with regard to i ts produc ts . Wi l l i am E . 1 1 Butch " H anford of O l i n Math ieson at a Na tiona l I ndustria l Research Conference in Ch i cago 1 is quoted as stating that a management deci sion to proceed with deve lopment work and fina l cap i ta l i zation of the research effort req ui res a g reat dea l of foresight and fo rti tude . I n most i nstances, the eas iest th ing fo r a managemen t to do is to simp l y keep thei r operations runn ing a l ong at an even kee l ; however,, and obvious l y, such a program wo u ld be an unprofita b l e one for any industria l firm to fo l l ow . He fee ls strong l y that th e research i ndivi dual has a prof i t motive and understands tha t a company i s in the resea rch and deve lopmen t bus iness i n order to make a profi t . Some aerospace com pan i es use resea rch as a means of mak ing a profit d i rec tly, wh i l e others use research to enhance th e i r genera l profi tabi l ity . The l a ter position i s th at usua l l y fo und i n th e chemi ca l i ndustry . 2 Dr . Ch arles H . Moore discusses one of the posi tion factor problems of basic versus app l i ed research . H e states: 1 " Business Warms Up To Research , '' Chem ica l and Eng i nee ring News, 34 No . 2 1 , Ma y 1 956, p . 25l6-25 1 8 . 2 Dr . Char les H . Moo re, "The Bas 1 c Approa ch To Product Deve lopment, 1 1 I ndustria l Research I l l , No . 2 , Apr i l -May 1 964 , p . 2 1 -26 . I 49 . Current deve lopment effo rts of man y com pan ies are th warted beca use the ir managements do not understand th e bas ic resea rch approa ch and therefore are afra i d of i t . Such fea r is groun d less; i t comes from confusing th e bas ic research approa ch w i th basic research investigations . The la tter can be i mpractica l i f no t directed towa rd some prod uct goa l ; th e former a lways is practica l . The basi c research approach mere l y is th e app l ic ation of modern sc ien ti fic know l edge to systematize out looks and efforts . Here aga i n we see the ne cess ity for a def i n ition and a lso for a statem ent of goa l s . Dr . Moore fee ls that th e fo l lowi ng are the most importa nt fa ctors in a research prog ra m and effe ct strong l y the posi tion of the co rpora tion co ncerned . ( 1 ) l a bo ratory con tro ls, (2) deve lopmen t cut-off point, (3) compreh ensi ve attack, (4) market resea rch , (5) creativi ty . Al l these a re factors pointed out by other authors quoted in th is pape r . Factor 22 i n Ta ble 1 , the excl usive o r favori te pu rch asing posi tion, can be defined as th e abso rption of the enti re output of a scarce a nd partic u l a r l y advan tageous raw or intermed iate materia l that is produced by h igh l y re l ia b l e contra c t source . If such absorption can be cb n e by th e corporation, i ts posi tion is more secure than if a competitor has access to some materia l . Th is point is often obscured in a check l ist by sim p l y having a head i ng ca l l ed 1 1 Raw Materia l s . 11 50 . Research and Deve lopme n t Fac tors 25 . Uti l iza tion of existing know l edge . 26 . Re l a tionsh i p to future activi ties . 27 . Uti l ization of ex i s t i ng lab or pi l ot activ i t ies . 28 . Ava i l a bi l i ty of research person n e l . These factors have to do w i th th e capa bi I i ty of the R&D organ ization and :i ts rol e i n the corporate organ ization . That dec i s ion w i l l affect the status of the R&D organ i za- on R&D was di scussed . ' I :tion a n d, Ea r l ier, the amo un t of mon ey to be spent I I i i n tu rn, is i mportant in look ing a t research and deve l opme n t fac tors . M r . We i n berger 1 has d isc ussed s e l e cting app l i ed research pro j ects . pf h i s po i n ts is that the program sho u l d avo i d econom i c vac u ums . One I n oth er words , the research di recto r shou l d be certa i n tha t th e product or process be i ng deve loped wi I I be usefu l to soc iety and to th e compan y . I I someti mes v i o l a ted as a ru l e . I Th i s may sound obvious but i t i s Research is too expens i ve to be do ne h aphazard l y . He fee ls tha t th ere are th ree bas i c questions to be answered i n consideri ng an app l ied research project: (1) Is the pro j e ct appropri ate to the compa ny? Wha t commerc i a l potent i a l wou l d the project have ? I ] chances of success ! i n the R&D effort? 11 (3) Wha t a re th e tec h n i ca l I t i s read i l y apparent tha t these question s are d i rec t l y re l a ted to i tems 25 th rough 28 of Tab l e 1 . 1 (2) An i mportan t po i n t is A . J . Wei n be rge r, " H ow To S e l ect App l i ed Research P roj ects , Petro l e um Refiner, Ap r i l 1 962 , p . 1 75- 1 78 . 11 I 1 I 51. brought out i n h i s discussion of h is first question. Corpora te objectives a re sometimes de l i berate l y kept vague i n orde r not to d iscourage efforts by research and deve lopment departments or others . If th is is th e case , then research and deve l opment management sho u ld set th ei r own detai l ed objectives in order to keep the prog ram with i n bo unds and usefu l to th e corporation. If th e research program is to be used as a means of d i versification, th e resea rch managem ent shou ld be certa i n that the corpora tion is in a pos i tion to cap ita l i ze on any new ideas th at are deve loped. Is th e sa les organization large enough , for examp l e , to take advantage of a new product? In repo rt ing on a confere nce he l d at Purd ue Un iversi ty, in Ch em i ca l and . . E ng meenng N ews 1, Dr. Edgar Pessemier is quoted as stated tha t deta i ls a re essen tia l for j udg i ng R&D proposa ls. H e fee l s that the de ta i l information cannot come from the sc ienti sts a l one , or even from eng i neers and sc ientists togethe r . Marketing peop l e must be brough t i n to the j udging process i n order to appropri- , ate l y shape po l i cy. H e fi nds that the pro b lems i nvo lved in j udg i ng an industria l research program are pa ra l l e l to the prob lems fa c i ng a sa l es manager. Th is j udgment has to do w i th how we l l the f i e l d i s understood, both tech n i ca l l y and 1 from an econom i c standpo i n t . As fa r a s a ! l ocat i ng resources t o a program is concerned , whether i t be sa les or research , management cannot tak e effecti ve action w i thout mak ing some esti mate of the resu l ts of that action . l; ,De ta i l s Essen ria l For J udg i ng R&D P roposa ls, " Chem i ca l and Eng i neeri ng N ews, Jan uary 17 , 1966, p. 3. 52 . 1 Mr . Luke of the Spencer Chemi ca l Company fee l s that a successf u l resea rch program h i nges o n five fac tors: ( 1 ) company po l i cy, (2) techn ica l success, (3) economic success, (4) manpower ava i l a b l e , (5) a ba lan ced research prog ram . Aga in we see th e re la tionsh i p of these fa ctors to th e research and deve lopment factors of Mr . M i l l e r . Am eri can Cyanamid gets add i tiona l perspec tive on the i r research program by using ou ts ide consu l tan ts . 2 They used a five-man team of outs ide scien tists who revi ewed th e tota l program . Other companies wh o have simi l a r p rograms are Westinghouse and Convai r . I n doi ng th is, one must be careful to choose co nsul tan ts w i th a broad range of expe rience who do not have a spec ific interest insofa r as the company program is concerned . 3 Ra l ph Boyer of Cooper- Bessemer Corpora tion recommends th e use of outsi de research insti tutions such as Ba tte l l e for research and deve lopment prog rams, as we l l as to obta i n some perspective on these p rograms . 1 0 . V . Luke, 1 1 Wh ich Project Gets Resea rch Money ? 11 Petroleum Refiner 27 No . 1 1 , Novem ber 1 958 , p . 20 1 -203 . . 2 11 Look ing Ou ts ide For Research Prospec tive, 11 Chem ica l Week , September 5, 1 959, p . 9 1 -94 . 3 Ra l ph L . Boyer, 1 1 Some ABC 's About R& D, 11 Batte l l e Memori a l I nsti tute, 6 pages . 53 . Engi nee ri ng Factors 29 . Re l iabi l i ty of p rocess know-how . 30 . Uti I ization of sta ndard ized equi pmen t . 31 . Ava i l a bi l i ty of eng ineering personnel . Th ese factors re late to th e capabi l i ty of doing the resea rch and deve lopment work , partic ularl y in regard to process know-how , equ i pment know- how, and the avai labi l i ty of personne l . One major oi I com pan y recommends separate appra isa l of research projects . 1 Th e advan tages of th is separation are fo urfo ld: Better appra i sa l shou l d be obta i ned beca use the work is concentrated in the hands of a few people, th e appra isers become fam i l ia r w i th a l l research pro jects . As a resu l t, appraisa l s are made by people with broader backgrounds . A broad ba ckg round is an importa nt advan tage, especia l l y when compe ting a l terna tives are being exp lored at the same ti me . The chances of com ing up w i th new ideas are enhanced . Se I dem are new ideas sudden inspirations; rath er, they resu l t from ru bbi ng o l d i deas together unti I a f lame i s genera ted . The broader th e backg round , the greater th e chance that a f lame w i l l be k i nd led . Removing the pressures of cu rrent work affords an opportuni ty for crysta l gazing with a view to ferreting out new so l utions to present problems, and fo r predicting what probl ems are l i ke l y to arise in the future . Such acti vities sho u l d l essen th e need fo r expensive crash programs . 1 R . J . H engstebeck and W . W . Sanders, 11 Appra ising Projects for Research , " Ch em i c a l and Eng i neeri ng N ews 36, No . 22, Aug ust 1 958, p . 84-88 . 54 . Spec ia l ists are readi l y avai labl e as consu l tants to the exploratory and p i l o t p l ant groups whenever questions invo l vi ng design or econom ics arise . Such an arrangement sh ould he l p to chann e l th e experi menta l work a long the most profitable paths . 1 Some time ago , Wa ldo H . K l iever of M i nneapo l is-H oneywe l l po inted out the problem of choosing the amount of con tro l to be exerc ised over research programs . Such co n tro l effec ts th e resources used or avai lab l e which , in turn , are rea l l y th e eng ineering factors being di sc ussed . He fee ls that i n th e long run, a tigh t l y co n trol led program tends to sk i m on l y th e cream of scien ti fic know l edge and resu l ts in research g row i ng stagnan t . However, for certa i n individua l pro jects a n d for l i m i ted ti mes, tig h t l y contro l l ed projects m a y be requi red . Th e contro l of resou rces to be used in a research project wo u l d be s i m i lar to that type of co ntro l used w i th desi g n pro jects or engineeri ng proj ec ts . The c loser a program moves toward a product, the mo re con tro l is necessary . H e fee l s that th e choi ce of projects can be answered th rough four factors: ( 1 ) importance of th e pro je c t to th e busi ness, (2) ava i l a bi l i ty of foci l i ti es and of peop l e capab l e of doing the wo rk, (3) risk invo l ved , and (4) probabi I i ty of success . The second of these two factors i s obvious l y the eng inee ring factors of Tab l e 1 . Oth er authors who emphasize th ese facets of 1 Wa ldo H . K l i eve r, 1 1 Design cf Research Pro jects and Prog ram s, I ndustri a l la bo ra tories, October 1 952 , p . 5- 1 4 . 11 55 . 1 2 making research and deve lopmen t dec isions a re O ' Meara an d D . B . H ertz wh o disc uss th e orga nizationa l prob l ems of resea rch as we l l . Two eng i neers 3 from the Du Pon t Company discuss th e h e l p g i ven by eng ineers to research . Th ey l ist four fac tors wh ich are a necess ity in an y research program . 1. Assist in prog ramm ing of research and deve lopment to obtain a l l th e informa tion needed for p lan t design as soon. as poss i b l e . 2. A i d in visua l iz ing p lant faci l ities . 3. Prepare cost estimates . 4. Ass ist in design ing and sca l i ng powerp lant or semi -works un i ts . To someone know l edgea b l e about research an d research managemen t, a l l of the eng ineeri ng factors wou ld seem to be axiomatic . I t wou ld be h ard to vi sua l ize a research program without cons idering these factors . I t is iust these types of th ings th at sometimes get over looked in eva luation of research projects . 1 F ran cis E . O ' Meara', ·: '' H ow To Eva l uate Eng ineering Research Proposa ls, 1 1 I ndustria l Researc h , October 1 959, p . 5-6 . 2 D . B . H ertz , 11 Eng ineeri ng Resea rch , " Chem ica l Eng ineeri ng , January 1 947, p . 1 1 8- 1 23 . 3 w . S . G i lfoi l and L . E . Rasm ussen, 11Engineering Assi stance to Research and Deve lopment," I ndustria l and Engi neering Chem istry 50, - No . 9, September 1 958, p . 62A-63A . 56 . Prod uction Factors 1� 32 . Uti I ization of id le eq uipmen t . 33 . Uti l iza tion of surp l us uti l i ty capac i ti es . 34 . Uti I iza tion and upg rading of by-products . 35 . Uti l ization of fam i l ia r processes . 36 . Ava i labi l i ty of prod uction personne l . 32' . Freedom from hazardous cond i tions . 38 . Freedom from d iffic u l t ma intenance needs . 39 . Freedom from waste d isposa l problems . These eight fac tors are i n somewha t th e same category as th e engi neering factors . I t is d ifficu l t to imagine over look ing a n y of th ese fa ctors i n a resea rch program . H owever, the l i tera ture concern ing these is somewhat scarcer than is true of most of th e others . Th ey are covered by inference in many tech nica I journals in discussions of products and processes . Se l dom are they inc l uded exc ept as check l ist i tems in artic les on research and deve lop­ men t . One importan t factor in th is regard is made by T . T . Mi l l er 1 in po i n ting out th at an error in estimati ng th e pri ce or the sa les vo l ume of a proposed new product can be much more cost l y than a wrong guess on the cost of the p lant . Even a we l l desig ned p l ant cannot make money if th e sa l es vo l ume fa i l s to materia l ize . A new product's fa i l ure cannot be bl amed on 1r. T . M i l l er, loc . ci t . , p . 60 . 57 . research a l one . Process engi neering, pi lot p l an t work , production estimat­ ing, and marketing research may a l l be a t fa u l t in causing a product to fa i l . Summary I n th is chapter, eva l uation of i ndividual resea rch projects h as been di scussed . Th e l i terature i n th is area i s very vo l um i nous . Th e l i terature concern ing the eva l uation of spec ifi c pro j ects tended to be more narrow . On l y a few authors covered th e tota l scope of pro j ect eva luation . Most of the authors wou l d discuss techn ica l poi n ts, econom ic poi n ts, or soc io­ econom ic poi n ts without regard to th eir in teract ion with other broa d eva l ua­ tion problems . I t was q u i te apparent that a con tinuing eva l uation of proj ects from the i r i nception th rough research to deve l opment must be carried out in order to arrive at a successfu I product or process . The resu I ts of such an eva l ua tio· n · can be used by managem ent to determ ine when to proceed w i th a research prog ram . I CH APTER I V RESEARCH A N D DEVE LOPME N T I N THE AEROSPACE I N DUSTRY Characteristics and Prob lems Cons iderab l e con cern has been expressed recent l y over th e research and 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 . deve lopment (R&D) efforts of the defense or aerospace mdustry . ' ' ' ' ' ' Th e House Space Comm i ttee exam i ned i n some deta i l th e geograph ica l distr ibution of federa I research money . Th ey co ncerned themse l ves w i th 1 Kathe rine Joh nsen , " DO D To Overha u l I n terna l R&D Po l ic ies, " Aviation Week , Sep tember 27, 1 965, p . 28 . 2 George C . Wi lson , " DO D Asked To Reassess Research Po l i c y, " Aviation Week, J une 28, 1 965, p . 75 . 3 1 1 Space Research : A F ree Ride For Ch emi ca l I ndustry ? " Chem i ca l Eng i nee ring , Ma y 1 3, 1 963, p . 1 00 . 4 11 Defense Spending Trend Breeds Discord , '' Chemical and Eng i neeri ng News, December S, 1 960, pp . 27-29 . s .. Federa l R&D May Yie l d Fewer Products, " Chemi ca l and Eng ineeri ng News, Aug ust 9, 1 965, pp . 32- 33 . 6 Jonathan Spi vak , " Resea rch Rev i ew, " Wa l l Street Journa l , May 5, 1 964 . 7 " Stop, " Newsweek , Oc tober 2 1 , 1 963, pp . 1 02- 1 03 . 58 . 5 9. changing th e di stri bution to encourage wi der developm ent of science a nd j " brain" �enters. Another problem is "housekeepi ng " costs ! Th ere has been a J running batt le between un iversities and federa l agencies over overh ead costs; to what exten t should such insti tutions be reimbursed for indirec t costs? The I question of choosing between areas of research to be supported with federa l funds was discussed with , obvious ly, no answer. NASA (Nationa l Aerona utics and Space Admi n istration) has been I invo l ved since its inception with "fa l lout"; i . e . , the use of federa l fi nanced I I I research resul ts for betteri ng l i ving standards. Dr. Richard Rosenbloom of 1 Harvard stated that usefu l comm erc ial app l i cations wi l l con tinue lo emerge i from techno logy deve loped in m i l itary and space research programs, but the radi c a l change i n such technolog y may make i t m uch harder to trans late these I resu l ts into industria l products . I Another probl em of concern is the di stri bution of funds between research and development . I n 1 961 , 0.4% of th e tota l DO D expendi ture was used for basic research; 5 % of the R&D funds were used for these purposes . Critics ( l arg e l y bas ic research practi tioners) fee l that th ere is too l i ttle emphasis on new and improved sc ientific a venues of work . The arg umen t is one that has been h eard for many years - the f low of new i deas is drying up ! 1 "Fede ra l R&D May Yi e l d Fewer Produc ts, " Chem ica l arid Eng ineeri ng N ews, August 9, 1 965, pp . 32-33 60. Th is brief i n troduction serves to poi n t up some of th e ch aracte ristics and probl ems of the aerospace industry . Before going ah ead to d iscuss the survey res u l ts, one other subject sho u l d be covered to round out one 1s understanding of some spec ia l characteristics of th i s i nd ustry . The Requ i rements Merry-Go- Round 1 Dr . Ramey of the AEC h as been th e most voca l con cern ing th is prob lem . I t has been the subject of severa l of his speeches . He s tates : The problem is the g row i ng tenden c y to ho l d bac k th e deve loper1s program unti l a spec ific m ission or req u i rement is forma l l y establ ished by a user (such as th e Defense Department or NASA) , despite the fact that the user very often is not in a pos i t ion to establ ish such a req u i rement un less th e program is perm i tted to move forward to the poi n t of demonstra ting i ts va l ue . O n th e one hand, w e are to l d w e must h ave a forma l req u i rement before we can proceed w i th the deve lopmen t of a device, and on the other hand, we have diffi c u l ty find i ng a req u i rement unti l we h ave demonstrated a deve loped devi ce . Dr . Ramey ind icates that the name 1 1 Requi remen ts Merry-Go- Round comes from Cong ressma n Price� Th i s system had i ts beg inn ing in produc tion , of off-th e-sh e l f hardware i tems under fixed price contracts . Th us th e m i l i tary h ad to esta b l i sh a requirement fo r a gun or a tank, wh ich was expressed i n 1 Jam es T . Ramey, "The Requi remen ts Merry- Go- Round i n Government Research and Deve lopment, 1 1 Address to N in th I nsti tute on Researc h Adm i n istra­ tion, American Universi ty, Wash i ngton, D . C . , Apri l 20, 1964 . 2 Congressman Me l vin Price, " Th e U . S . N uc l ea r Space Program - A Critique and A H ope, " Address to the Atom i c I ndustri a l Forum, Ch icago, I l l ino is, November 6, 1961, p. 5 . 61 . t terms of prod uction for many uni ts , and which i nvo l ved re lative l y l i tt l e deve lopmen t . Th is concept has been exten ded fa r beyond its re lative l y restric ted beg i nn ings and has extens ive l y affected R&D i n the aerospace i ndustry . The sc ien tist is brought i n to th e to ta l budgeting syste m , corporate funds are spen t o n l y on work rel ating to a requi rement, the deve lopment time span is seri ous l y foreshortened , etc . Understand i ng th is prob l em is important in eva l ua ting the answers g iven b y representatives of the aerospace industry . Surve y Resu l ts Some cons ideration was g i ven to th e arrangemen t of th e ques tions; how­ ever, severa l we re d iffic u l t to catego rize and were p laced at the end . I n genera l , th e con cept of proceed i ng from research to deve l opment was used . Th e answers and comments wi l l be g i ven for each question; the arrangem ent wi l l fo l low th a t in th e l ist except th at question 1 5 wi l l be answered f i rst . 15. How do yo u defi ne research and deve lopm ent? Th is was discussed by th e auth or in the i n troduction . Most of th e defin i tions are in genera l agreem en t us ing ei ther NSF or DOD def i n itions . Tw ice the po i n t was made tha t there is no sharp l i ne of dema rca tion . In one case , for manageria I and operating organiza tion pu rposes , a I I researc h effort is identified as tech nica l research unti l a competition is imm inent . At that po int, if the competi tio n is won or if th ere appears to be other evidence tha t sa les w i l l resu l t, c ustom er- or company-funded deve lopment (as opposed to 62 . resea rch) starts . One answer made a di sti nction between new scien tific k nowl edge and o ld knowl edge tha t has become engineering . Th is distinction is often a matter of deg ree . Ano ther definition of research was advancing th e state-of-the-art; for th is company, deve lopme nt is a spec ific app l i ca tion of techn ic a l resu l ts to a m i l i tary system , p iece of hardwa re , or produc t . An i n teresting po int was made tha t if cook book techniques or th e Edison ion {cut-and-try, fidd l e-and-fi le} techn iques were used , it cou l d on l y be deve l o pment and not research . I n comparing th e answers to th is question, th e re l ationsh ip of orga nizetion to the answers to a l l the q uestions become appa rent . One compa n y h ad no corporate resea rch orga n iza tion; a l l of th e R& D was done in div isions that 1 had prof it-and- loss responsibi l i ty . The two man corporate organ iza tion had a coord inating and staff respons ibi l i ty to the presiden t . Th e questions were a nswered by a corporate research organ ization in anoth er company wh ere some research is a l so done wi th in th e di visions; tha t company a l so has a resea rch organ iza tion whose work supports on l y m i l i tary-oriented di vis ions . Wh erever poss i b l e , the effe ct or organ iza tional d ifferences on the answers w i I I be noted . 1. H ow does your c ompany se l ec t research pro jects? If th ere is a defi n i te procedure , please ou tline that proced ure . a. A need res u l ting from a market surve y. b. I n terna l l y generated technica l or market i deas . 63 . c. To meet co mpe ti tion . d. Serend ipity (happenstance) . e. Other . H ere aga in, size and orga nizationa l structure had an a pparen t effe c t on th e answer . I n o ne case, wh ere projects are chosen annua l ly, the divis iona I research d irector is requi red to ide n tify th e needs and ideas in go ing prog rams together with new business id eas with th eir associated research . These are th en me lded with divis iona l market surveys and rev iewed by a group consisting of a l l divisiona l di rec tors of research as we l l as corporate representa­ tion . Th is revi ew serves to bring in a broad market picture, ensures agreement w i th corporate objectives, ch ecks to avoid unnecessary dupl ication and a I lows a crossfl ow of ideas . Whether th ere i s crossf low at lower l eve ls was not made c l ear . Anoth er compa ny of comparable s ize ( l arge) se l ects research pri mari l y on the basis of its establ ished product l i nes . Sub po in ts a , b, and c were ind icated as be ing re levan t . Eva luation and rev iew of research effort is conducted at both operating and corporate l eve l s . Reports wh ich may be either month l y or quarterl y are used in mak ing decisions con cern ing co ntinu ing a t the a l ready esta b l ish ed rate, acc e l eration, dece l eration, or cance l l ation . A th i rd company has a Corpora te Research Center and a lso each division has a research organ ization . To und ersta nd th is compan y , which sha l l be 64 . iden tifi ed as Company H , certa i n aspects of the organiza tion are described: th ere are groups with in th e corpora ti on who 1. Prov ide informa tion inputs to the Resea rc h Center . 2. Faci l i tate the transfer of new techno log ies, concepts, devic es, p roc esses, or produc ts from th e Researc h Cen ter to a d i v i sion . 3. Perform the deve lopmen t work necessary to produce a f i na l product . The ma jor cha rte r of the Research Center is to do resea rc h; therefore, devel op­ ment and design is a re lative l y sma l l pa rt o f the i r efforts . A co rpo rate New Products Depa rtment is charged with seek ing out poten t ia I new p roduc ts or markets and determin ing the methods fo r e n tering a new market or deve loping or ma rke ting a new product, part i c u l a r l y where the new prod uct fa l ls outside the esta b l i shed i n terests of th e opera ti ng di vi sions . Thus th e Research Center, the New Products Departm ent, and the opera ting d i visions of Compan y H work together to define techno l og i es and products of i nterest to th e corpo ra tion . I nputs from operat ing d ivisions , market surveys, scientific personne l and tec h n i ca l or market ideas are used by the Research Center i n fo rmu lating th eir research prog ram . There is a forma l p l ann i ng function set up to def i ne th e programs . 65 . A very large aerospace corpora tion has indica ted that the y do not have a genera l proced ure but do have a genera l po l icy or genera l mode of a ttack in se lec ting research projects . Th is corporat ion uses two genera l in puts, first the var ious doc umen ts which come from th e Department of Defense or NASA serve as a market survey . Secon d l y , th e research peo p l e and the eng i neers who actua l l y do th e work recognize techno log ies or incipient needs as bei ng beyon d the scope of present con tract work . A combination of top-down and bottom- up p l ann ing is used . Top-down p lann ing is based on a set of bus i ness objecti ves wh ich each operati ng division sets fo rth i tse l f for a five to ten year period and then these objec ti ves a re translated into tec hno l og i ca I needs . Corporate headquarters revi ews th is for co mp l eteness and for "fit" i n to th e tota l corporate effort, they a ttempt to e l i m inate overlap and also to assign projects wh ere th ere a re holes between th e opera ting di vi sions . Th e bottom­ up process works conc urrently and is as descri bed above where the researcher or th e eng ineer ou t l i nes wh at he fee ls he shou l d be doing over the next two or th ree yea rs . Th is is genera l l y an extension of research now underway but sometimes a s ide path or someth i ng he has read about or seen tha t someone e l se is work ing on may be the subject wh i ch he fee l s wou ld be of i n teres t to h is particu lar d i vision . The tota l p l an n i ng process is a ma tc h i ng of th e top- . down and the bottom-up procedures in order to arrive a t an agreed-on prog ram . Th i s company, of course, hopes th at th e two outli nes wi l l mesh 66 . together wh en th ey are first put togeth er, but usua l l y there is a l so a lot of conversa tion and rei teration in the tota l p l an n ing cyc l e . The end prod uct of th is step is a set of objecti ves and a l i st of spec ific proj ects which match the objecti ves . Ano ther l a rge company that is invo l ved not onl y in aerospace but a lso in co nsumer1s prod ucts indi cates th at a se l ection of R& D programs varies considera b l y between th e various l a rge gro ups such as e l ectron ics, m i l i tary equi pment, comme rc ia l equipment, etc . Th e di vision managers wh o a re two levels be low the corporate and represen t the prof i t and loss ce nters have the respons i bi l ity for th e se l ec tion and rev iew and eva l uation of R& D p rog rams . Research projects are carried out under h is j urisdiction . Th e c ri teria used for th e se l ection of a pro j ect wou l d co me under th e fo l low i ng head ings: A. Market and Competi tion B. Tech no l ogy C. Organization F it D. F inan c ia l E. Prod uc tion F. Lega l Under each of th ese headi ngs there are a n umber of suggested q uestions wh ich have been furn ish ed by a very sma l l corporate research staff to th e division managers . Th e manager m ust assure h i mse l f that these q uestions ca n be II 67. answered be fore g i v i ng a fi nal approv al to a particu l ar pro ject. Some of the questio ns are o bvious, others are not so much so . These wi I I be discussed i n 1 I somewh at more detai l i n the next secti o n o f th is paper. I 1 Th e Ch airm an o f the Bo ard of Li tto n I ndustries states that th e way to I i ; recre ate th e " d ark ages11 wou l d be to sto p all research activity of any ki nd; th at is, to stop re ach i ng for new k nowledge or better w ays o f doi ng th i ngs. I H e also stated th at rese arch is o nl y profi tabl e in bus i ness whe n it h as an I identity to or is rel ated to the corporate m ai n e ffort or whe n it can show th at [ I I i th e corporate m ai n effort can be di verted profitabl y i nto a new fie ld. There­ fore aI I their rese arch is chose n with this i n m i nd . Anoth er com pany wh i ch states th at the bu lk of the i r com pany's spo nsored acti vity is appl ied rese arch with less th an 10% goi ng i nto develo pm e nt, h as . a very co ncise statement to descri be how rese arch proj ects are selected: I " Rese arch pro j ecIs are mostl y i ntem aI I y g e nerated tech nicaI ideas wh ich are i i n tum frequently stimul ated ! I 1 I by a need ide nti fied by m arketi ng i nte l ligence or customer cont act • 1 1 I t is furth er i ndi cated th at the proj ects are ex pected to yie l d new ideas and approach es i n certai n fi e l ds . The y m ay be system . anal yses to determ i ne fe asi bi lity of a new ide a wh ich cou l d deve lo p i nto a new e ngi neeri ng co ncept or rese arch to determi ne th e most e ffecti ve methods of so l v i ng problems . 1 Ch arles B. Thornto n, 11 Busi ness and Rese arch , 11 Address to Th e H arvard Busi ness Schoo l A l um ni Associ atio n, M arch 25, 1964, Los A ng e l es, C ali forni a. 67 . answered before g i v i ng a fina l approve I to a particu lar projec t . Some o f th e questions are obv ious, others a re not so much so . These w i I I be discussed in somewha t more deta i l in th e nex t sec tion of th is paper . 1 Th e Cha i rman of th e Boa rd of li tton I ndustr ies states tha t th e way to recreate the da rk ages wou ld be to stop a l l research acti v i ty of any k ind; that is, to stop reach ing fo r new know l edge or bette r ways of do ing th i ng s . � e a l so sta ted that research is on l y profita b l e in busin ess wh en i t has an identi ty to or is re l a ted to the corporate main effort or when it can show tha t th e corpora te m a i n effort can be di verted profita b l y into a new fie l d . Therefore a l l th e i r research is chosen with th is in m ind . Ano th er compa ny who states that th e bu lk of the i r com pan y's sponsored activity is app l ied research w i th l ess than 1 0% going into deve lopment, has a very con c ise statement to descri be how research projects a re se lected: " Research pro jects a re most ly i n terna l l y ge nerated technical ideas wh ich are in tu rn freq uen t l y sti m u l a ted by a need identif ied by marketing inte l l igence or customer contact . 11 It is fu rth er ind i ca ted th at the pro jects a re expec ted to yield new ideas and approaches in, certa in fi e l ds . Th e y may be system anal yses to determ ine feasi bi l i ty of a new i dea which cou l d deve lop i n to a new eng ineering concept or research to determ ine th e most effecti ve methods of so l ving prob lems . 1 Charles B . Thornton, 11 Bus iness and Resea rch , 11 Address to Th e Ha rva rd Busi ness Schoo l A l um n i Assoc iation, March 25, 1 964, Lo s Ange l es, Ca l iforn ia . 68. I n th e last of the reporti ng companies a fa i r l y forma l procedure is used . Th e di visions review poss i b le projec ts and screen th em and present the resu l ts for corporate review by the Office of Eng ineeri ng and Research . Tentative p l ans and recommenda tions fo r a total research budget is forwa rded to the Exec utive Office and as a resul t of tha t revi ew, funds are a pportioned among the d i v isions . The ma jor c ri teria are B and C - th e i n terna l l y genera ted tech ni ca l or market ideas and to me et com pet i tion . 2. To what exten t are research proj ects forma l l y eva l uated? What are the procedures used ? a. Before starting . b. Duri ng the work period . . Th is q uestion has been partial l y answered i n d iscuss i ng th e previous question , parti c u l a r l y w i th regard to the proced ures used before sta rting the program . Company H referred to previo us l y has a fo rma l procedure for eva l uating th e pro ject . The ti me between th e proj ect re views i s not fixed but varies w i th th e nature of the project . Th e l ong -range research programs are not eva l uated as frequent l y as the short- term deve l opme n t prog rams . I n another large compa ny, th e eva l uation of the resea rch effort i s cond ucted at both the manageria I I eve ls . of th e company's operating organ iza­ t ion and at corporate h eadquarters leve l s . Norma l l y, eva luation and approva l -- 69 . cons iderations are for a specified ca l enda r period, usua l l y a ca lendar yea r . Th e a pp rova l b y th e corporate headq uarters of th e work to b e undertaken carries with it th e approva l of th e a l location and th e expe ndi tu re of a l l app l icable resources . During ea ch ca l endar yea r period, reports are provided to management on a month l y or quarte r l y bas is for review of progress, end a n y desi red action regard ing conti nuation o f the a l read y establ ished ra te, ac cel er­ ation, dec e leration , or cance l la tion . Al l of th e leve l s of management having to do with th e dec ision-mak ing process in setting up the research program ere i n vo l ved in th e continuing reviews and dec isions . Th is brief desc ri ption of a review proced ure app l i es to a number of the oth er com pan ies that answered the q uestionna ire . Each research project, as i t i s set u p , w i l l have certa i n spec ifi c m i l e­ stones in th e schedu le that is set forth . One of the companies uses key m i leston es as managemen t re view poi n ts . These are tech nica l m i l estones and may s l i p at th e m utue l di scretion of th e project manager and th e top manageme n t of the corporate division conc erned if the m i l es tone has not been met . Th e poi nt be ing made here is that th e re view wi I I ta ke p lace a t some po int where a technica l l y s ign ifi cant event h a s happened o r i t seems to be proba b l e that it w i l l happen so th at th e project must be l ooked a t in th e l ight of whether or no t i t shou l d con tin ue . Th is same com pany a lso uses a 70 . spec ific ca lendar date for reviews . Th e ca l e nda r date rev iews tend to be forma l i zed w i th an agenda , a specific l ist of invited peop l e, etc . M i nutes are not publ ish ed , but th ere is a consensus of opi nion wh ich is wri tten dow n by the proj ect ma nager in mem ora ndum form and reviewed and approved by h igher managemen t . I n th e d iscuss ion of the previous q uestion, I indicated tha t one l arge compa ny has the primary respons i bi l i ty for th eir research program two l eve l s be low co rporate in th e profi t and loss cen ters, w i th a very sma l l corporate staff wh ich over looks th ese programs . I sh a l l refer to that company in th i s and future q uestions a s Company T . Th ey have fo rm a l rev iews sched u l ed and a brief check- l i st is g i ven to :the project managers for compl etion prior to th e forma l revi ew . Actua l l y, th is i s more th an a ch eck- l i st i n that i t ends up be ing a 3- pag e report on a pa rticular program . Th e form requi res that th e techn ica l objectives be l isted very brief l y , th e tech nica l progress be desc ri bed versus th e schedu l ed progress , th e pred icted m i l estones fo r the future, the c l assifi catio·n of th e program such as appl i ed research or deve lopment w i th e i ther techno log y or product ori entatio n , or perhaps basic resea rch . I nd i cations must be g i ven of opportun i ti es for mutua l support - e i ther interna l from another corporate division or extema I from a government agenc y . A statement m ust be made concern i ng the propri etary pos i tion and a brief statemen t co ncern; ing fa I I out; th at is, wi I I any other useful informa tion come out of th e program . I I i 71 . Th is p l us title consti tutes th e first page of th e re view . Th e second page is g i ven over to market considera tions . The product l i ne or l i nes supported are indicated , a statement or i nforma ti on concern ing th e competi tion, advan tages and d isadvantages to th e compan y concerned , a revised market esti mate, coord i na ted efforts req u i red, and th e contri bution of th e program to sa l es and prof i t . The last page is devoted to program e l ements and costs . H ere management l earns how m uch is com i ng from prof its, from independent 1 resea rch and deve lopmen t, from con tra c t sou rces, or from oth er sources . Duri ng the reviews th e corporate staff is respons i b l e for detecti ng arid ca l l i ng attention of over l aps to th e peop l e invo l ved and to th ei r superiors . They have no l i ne responsibi l i ty for stopp ing work if an overlap is detec ted . They a l so se rve , on a corporate l eve l , to ca l l to the attention of th e di visions l eve ls of com p l emen tary or supp l ementa ry work being carri ed out in other divisions and can recommend that answers be obtai ned from another d i v isio n . One company states, as pa rt of the i r pol i cy, that the su bject to be covered during quarter l y revi ews is "th e best means of comm un icating researc h resu l ts w i th i n th e compa ny and to th e sc i entific and engineering comm un ity . 11 I t is i n teresting th at th is is a sta ted po l icy . 1 Th is name is gi ven to research and deve lopment work done by aerospa ce . corpo ra tions and partia l l y government sponsored through overhead a l lowa bi l i ty . ! 72 . 3. How are resea rch projects stopped ? Wh a t are th e conditions? Wha t i s th e customer ro l e ? Th e problem of stopp ing resea rch pro jects is one that is se ldom discussed i n th e l i terature . As has been noted , th e l i tera ture on choosi ng and starti ng resea rch projec ts is very vo l um inous , but on l y a few authors have rea l l y looked at th e problem of actua l l y stopp ing a project . I n a conference sponsored by the I ndustria l Resea rch I nsti tute i n 1 954 , three papers were presented on sta rting, s l owing up, and stoppi ng pro j ects . Mr . George Roberts, J r . 1 discusses the reasons for stoppi ng resea rch projects . 1. Th e objecti ve has been reached . Wh i l e successful comp l e tion is obviously desira b l e , often projec ts do h i t obstac l es or prob l ems that becom e increas i ng l y more d i ffi c u l t . If th e costs become too h ig h , or if ta lents are req u ired that are not a vai lable, then th e research has to be stopped . 2. Anoth er reason i s the problem of i ncreasing hazards; fo r examp l e , compan i es wou l d hes i ta te to start proj ects wh ich wo u l d i nvo l ve exp l osive materia Is or rad ioac tive materi a l s . 3. Anoth er reason fo r stopp ing th e project is finding a n a l ternate so l u tion . Th is is re lated to th e prob l em of obso l esce nce . Someti mes a comp lete l y diffe rent way of so l v i ng a problem is found, and then work shou l d be stopped or she l ved, even if l i censing a prod uct or process from another company appears to be th e way to go . 4. Anoth er reason for stopping p rojects is the sh ifting of compan y i n terest . The most drama tic exam p l e of th is is a po l i cy 1 George Roberts, Jr . , 11 Stopp i ng Research Pro jects, 11 Chem i ca l and Eng i neering N ews 33, No . 20, May 1 6 , 1 955, p . 2 1 36 . 73 . decision change . Th e corpora tion may decide to d rop its efforts in a pa rti c u l a r business area or to se l l a di vision to anoth er compa ny, etc . 5. Th e last gen era l reason i s a sh ift in the economic or bus in ess c l i mate . Perhaps the market has disappeared . I n l i ne w i th these genera l po ints, Company H gave five reasons for term ination of a pro ject: 1. O rig ina l intent of the proj ect is satisfi ed . 2. Progress is too s low to warrant conti nuation . 3. Condi tions have changed so th at the resu l ts of th is research are now l ess i mpo rtant to Company H . 4. Th e re is more importa nt research wh i ch needs atten tion . 5. Com bina tions of the above reason s, as we l l as others not mentioned h ere . Dr . Con rad Berenson of th e C i ty Un iversity of New York has a form u l a 1 designed to indi cate when a chem ica l product shou ld be abandoned . H i s formu la is based on a survey cove ring seve ra l hun dred companies in th e chem i ca l i ndustry . I t i n c l udes five major categories, each of which has severa l fac tors . The categories are as fo l lows: 1. Current profi tabi I i ty of the item . 2. I ts projected profi ta bi I i ty . 1 "Wh en to Sa y When , " Chem ica l Week, September 22, 1 962 , p . 89-9Q . , 74 . 3. Marketing strateg y (e . g . th e i terns sha re of th e market, i ts i mportance in preserv ing th e com pany's image, patent and trademark posi tions} . 4. Soc ia l respons i bi l i ty (e . g . economic effect on a comm unity if a p la n t m ust be c losed} . 5. O rgani zed i n tervention (e . g . how l a bo r un ions m ig h t rea ct to d iscontinuing a prod uct} . Anoth er compa ny states th a t th e dec ision to stop is part of th eir reg u l a r ' review . Natura l l y tha t po int is made by most of the compan i es whose informa­ tion is inc l uded in th is paper . Two of the peopl e who responded to th e questions poin ted out th at, as one m ig h t suspec t, stopp ing a pro ject i s one of th e most di ffic u l t th ings to do . Peop l e in vo l ved can th ink of ma ny exc uses to keep a pro j ect going , and there is a l ways a major breakth ro ugh expected j ust around the corner . One of the wa ys in wh ich a pro ject is most often stopped is by being substi tuted . By th at is meant tha t some oth er project wh ich requ i res th e same peop l e is sta rted, and the peop l e move over to that second project . The first project is rea l l y not stopped , but simp l y d i es . Th i s is not as simp l e a p rocess as desc ribed here so brief l y beca use th ere is th e pro b l em of keeping up the en th usiasm of the peop l e concerned and the matter of priorities wi th regard to how people are ass igned, etc . As an aside, the author had an unhappy 75 . experience in c l eaning up a n umber of projects that had bee n started but never compl eted . This i nvol ved fi nd ing th e peop le who had worked on the pro ject in order to get expl anations of month l y reports so tha t a final summary report cou l d be written. I nvo l ved was trying to soft-peda l the fac t th at som e pro jec ts had been started tha't had no foreseeab l e cone I us ion and that h ad a l i ttle l i brary research work been done, there wou ld have been no reason for starting the pro ject . Certa i n l y no proj ect sho u l d be stopped w i tho ut arrang ing for a reasonab l y c l ean comp letion , i n c l udi ng a fina l report. One of the compan ies stated that projects are neve r rea l l y stopped they simp l y di e . ' Al l of th e peop le concerned were genera l l y agreed that wh ere a customer I is invol ved , the research is stopped by the customer and not by the company itsel f . 4. Do you separa te research and deve lopmen t? How? Company H makes the dec i s ion to transfer from research to deve lopment and differentiates between th e two after a successfu I demonstration of th e feasi bi l i ty of a new devi ce or process or materia l . I f the operati ng d i v is ion that is interested in th i s work has the interest and the eng i neering research capa bi I ity and the necessary equ i pment, th en the transfer wi I I take pl ace I ! I d i rec t l y from research to d i vi s iona l deve lopment . I n man y cases, th ese cond itions are not met, and i t is ne cessary or desirabl e for an experimenta l 76 . or prod uction group in th e research organizat ion to do the next step . Th i s is part i c u l a rl y necessa ry where considera b l e information is req u i red from th e peop l e who did th e orig ina l research . I f a deci sion is made to transfer d i rect l y to a division, then some o f th e eng ineering personn e l from that d iv ision wi l l participate in th e transfer process at th e research orga ni zation . I t wo uld appear , that the separa tion is not c lean- cut as wo u l d be expec ted . Some projects are sti l l in the research organization , a nd oth ers move to th e deve lopmen t organizetions . Another large aerospace company has separate research and deve lopment orga n izations except fo r a coup le of sma l l div isions wh ere peop l e are not sepa rate l y organ ized and, in fact, may work on both research and deve lopment projects s i m u l taneous l y or consecuti ve l y . Another company sepa ra tes the bas ic 1 research from th e app l i ed resea rch and deve lopmen t . Here a different iation was made between direc ted and undi rected research wh ere di rected research is where th ere is a spec ific goa l , w i th regard to ach ievement, and time and cost . I t i s further assumed that such research wi I I head toward deve l opment a n d become deve lopment in due course . The und irected research is refined as th e type of th ing th at does not have a specific and object ive . I t is fundamenta l in the sense that there is not an engi neer look ing over th e shoulder of the sc i entist wa iting for an answer, bu t is done by th e sc ientist to increase know l edg e i n h i s particu lar ! f i e ld . I t norma l l y does not have sch ed u le l i m i ta tions and, w i th i n reason , does -- 77 . no t have cost l im i tations . Tha t type of research is geograph i ca l l y separa ted . I ts management is differen t and i t reports, i n th is pa rt i c u l a r company, at the top leve l , wh i ch means into the executive offices i ndependent of the other d i v isions of th e company . Th e d i rected research is norma l l y done with i n the opera ting di visions . Compan y T separa tes research and deve l opment on the hasis of wheth er or not i t is custom er-oriented , wh ich is done primaril y for th e fee, and that which is oriented toward corporate objectives . As i nd ica ted above , research and deve lopment is essen tia l l y a product l i ne of th is company a nd is done for i ts own sake . With i n th ese two broad categor ies a distinction is made between basic resea rch , app l i ed resea rch , and deve lopment, w i th the product versus tech nology orien ta t ion as indi ca ted ear l ier, bei ng used by some of the companies . I t wou l d appea r tha t the d i vision is based primari l y on th e objectives . Another company separates the two s im p l y by defin i tion a nd by fund ing from separate poo l s . The last company makes no distinction between the two categories of work . i ! i 5. At wh at po int wi l l a project be transferred from research to deve lopment ? Agai n , th i s question is diffi cu l t to disc uss w i thou t question 4. Severa l of I the compa n i es indicate that th ere is no t a defi n i te time but rath er a period of I I time over wh i ch I ! th e transfer wou ld take, p lace . I t was ind ica ted that c ustomer needs and req uiremen ts are often considered in mak i ng the decision for the transfer . Peop le i nvol ved in Compa ny H in mak ing the deci sion fo r transfer are 78 . market managers, product managers, and eng i neeri ng managers , as we l l as I i ne superv ision . One company inc l udes a forma I review of th e project in terms of th e compan y's sho rt- and long-range business obj ecti ves as pa rt of the deci sion-mak ing process re l ating to the transfer of a proj ect . Ano th er company sta tes: "We transfer a prog ram from research to 1 deve l opment when we re cogn ize that i t has progressed to such an extent that i t can have sig nificant impact upon a new program about to be pursued by th e orga n ization . 1 1 I n genera l , the transfer does not seem to be an orderly process and does take place over a period of time as indicated . Cri teria used by ano ther compa ny is that th e pro ject has reached a po int of very spec ific app l i cation , hardware or prod uct deve l opment . 6. I s th ere a fo rma l rev iew and dec ision poin t for th is? Most compan ies seem to have a fo rm a l review at spec ifi c ca l endar i n terva ls or achjevem ent po in ts, an d a dec ision to transfer wou ld be made a t th is time . There is no separate meeting to consider th e probl em of transfe r from research to deve lopmen t . I t usua l l y turns o ut tha t two o r th ree regu lar reviews are requi red before an decis ion is fina l l y made for th e transfer . I n th at sense, there is no spec ific po int . I I1 79 . 7. I I Wha t criteria a re used? a. Market surve y . b. Econom ic ana l ysis . c. Techn i ca l ana l ysis . d. O ther . Th is question was not answered very c l ear l y or spec ifi ca l l y except in a sense tha t most of the compan ies indi ca ted tha t essen tia l l y the same types of criteria were used as were used for se lection of the orig ina I research projec t . As wou l d a lso be expec ted , some of th e com pan ies indi cated th a t cons iderations stipu l ated by govern ment agencies, directi ves and reg u lations were a l so used i n making th is dec ision . Techn ica l success p lays an importa n t ro le in mak ing th e dec ision . One compan y fee ls that technica l success i s th e most importan t poin t . The market and economics factors enter into th e transfer de cision in on l y a l i m i ted way . In genera l , th e c r i te ria t·are primari l y tech nica l with . ' econom ics p la ying a secondary part and in governm ent marketing , consideration is g i ven to the probabi l i ty tha t the m i l i tary p rog ram wi l l be carried forward . I t was the author's opi n ion th at th is quest ion wou ld serve to bring out d iffe ren ces between the ch em i ca l and aerospace industr y . The responses rece ived did not accompl ish that purpose . I nd i cations were from the a nswers g i ven that the cri teria used a re the same in both industries . 80 . 8. I n defense projec ts or contracts, wha t infl uence does the pro ject budge t category: te. , research , exp loratory deve lopment, eng ineering deve lopmen t have in placing th e pro ject . I s th is overriding or is a sepa rate in-house deter­ m i nation made? One co mpany answered th is by stating that the cha rg i ng to an account on beha lf of work done is genera l l y con trol l ed by th e phase of th e con tract under wh ich it is be ing co nducted , a ctua l accoun ting procedures depend primari l y on th e overa l l nature of th e con tract . As an example of th is, accounti ng covering a contract end ing up w i th experi menta l demonstration of an a rtic le or system wo u l d di ffer from that leading to th e u l timate prod uction of an apprec iable quan tity of arti c l es or systems . Th is answer evades th e question and does not ind icate whethe r a dec ision to p l ace the work done in any partic u l ar organization is affected by the c ustomer1 s budget catego ry . However, in answering other ques tions, th e same com pa n y indi cated th at considerations stipu lated by government agenci es , directives and reg ulations wo u l d affe c t the p l acement of resea rch projects . Another co mpany· uses th e standa rd DO D defi ni tions and fo l lows those defini tions in assign ing the research w i th i n i ts ow n organ ization . The th i rd compa ny indica tes tha t th e budget ca tegories have abso l ute l y no affect wh atsceve r on the p l acement of the resea rch proj ect . I n Compa n y T , th ere is an in-house determ ination as to th e character of the wo rk to be done . For examp l e , they a re do ing some work for NASA wh ich ,I 81 . is funded in a research category; however, th e work has bee n going on for some time and the necessary computer routin es, etc . have been deve loped to th e point wh ere i t is considered by Compan y T as essen tia l l y a prod uction type effort and is hand led tha t way wi th i n th e compa n y . Th e in-house determ ina tion is th e overri d i ng factor . Th e same answer was g i ven by one of the other companies and th e last company commented that pro jects a re conducted wh ere the techn ica l ta lent ex ists . 9. Do pe rsonn e l transfer w i th the pro ject? Wha t cri teria are used? A t Company H the peop l e usua l l y do not transfer wi th the pro ject on a permanent basis . Project transfer w i l l i nvo l ve having eng ineers from th e divi ­ sion wh ere the proj ect w i l l be in res idence w i th the resea rch peop l e to p i ck up the technology or a sci entist from the research di vi sion wi I I spend som e time on a temporary basis at th e division to assist in th e techno logy transfer . Th e second company has no set or un iform practices regard i ng th e tra nsfer of person ne l . On some occasions th ey fee l i t appropriate to reta i n certa i n manag.­ eri a l and tech n i ca l personnel wi th th e pro ject from i nception in to produc tion . I n other in stan ces entire l y new teams are formed . A very large aerospace company indi cates that the transfer is determi ned enti re l y by th e persona l inc l i na tions of th e research worker . I n anoth er compa n y the work is usua l l y done by a gro up of people wh ich wi l l i nc l ude production, deve lopment and research oriented personne l so tha t th e problem does not rea l l y exi st . Some 82 . portion of the in itia l group wi l l stay with th e project for its enti re l ife . Those resea rch personne l who wish to stay in research work may l eave a project and go on to another one after the i n itia l period . I n Company T there is no tran sfe r invo l ved . The personne l stay w i th the program th roughou t . A l so the organ ization is suc h that th e prod uction pe rsonne l tend to be housed w i th the deve lopment people so tha t th ere is continuing con ta c t . Ano th er company indicates tha t th e research and deve lopment ph ases a re in th e sam e orga nization so that th ere is no change in pe rsonne l wh i l e th e l ast compa ny indicates th at there is se ldom a transfer of personnel . I t wou ld appea r that the transfer is dependen t upon the way the compa ny i s organ ized a s much a s on a n y other factor . 10. Is size of proj ect used in reach ing a dec is ion ? Wha t criteria are used ? I n Compan y H size is used to d ictate the proper cho ice of peop l e to ma ke th e transfer decis ion . In th e second company size is not a pri me cons ideration but on l y a m i nor po int used a long w i th other factors in a rriv ing at deci sion . Another aerospace company says that size is immateria l . An interesti ng poi n t was brought out in tha t si ze ma y be a prob lem i n findi ng a location to a bsorb a n extra work load dictated by a new pro j ec t . A l so size may d i c tate whethe r o r not a new department is set up for a new prog ram . I f i t is l arge enough a new departmen t wi I I be formed . Anoth er company states th at size is eva luated o n l y to assu re th a t th e project is a I' I I I 83 . 11 c ri tica l mass 11 and in R& D to compare the program cost to poten tia l pa yoffs in contracts . I n gen era l i t wou l d appea r that size is not an important criteria . 11. Wha t ro le do customer preferences p l a y? I feel tha t th is is partic u l ar l y importa nt i n th e aerospace in dustry - a m I righ t? In Company H wh ere th e corpo rate research group does work for th e opera tiona I di vi sions, the y fee l that th e customer is th e operatio na l d i vis ion and the work is oriented toward cri teria provi ded by those divisions . On e of th e larg e aerosp ace compan ies po inted out th at an assessment of a c ustomer's probab l e future requi rements is a major el ement in the commencement of a projec t . Th is company occasiona l l y fi nd i t necessa ry to make dete rmi nations wh ich do not ref lect th e c ustome r's curren t preferences but ra th er th e i r own assessment of h is probable future ac tions; in other words they try to th ink ah ead of th e c ustome r . Th ey also attempt to smooth out th e ups-and-downs wh ich any new pro ject experi ences w i th any custom er o rgan ization in order to m i n im ize budgetary and p l an n i ng probl ems; and attempt to m i n i m ize short term po l i tica l changes . The same company points out that the di ffere nc e between aerospace industry and other industri es is not a matter of econom ic factors vs tech ni ca l and po l i ti ca l fac tors; th e differen ces in R& D trea tment are c l ear , but th ey are d i cta ted primari l y b y t h e consumer market vs th e government customer . I n a consumer market, i t is necessa ry to make a ba lance sh eet of 84 . expendi tures i n R&D in individua l deta i l agai nst the p rofi tab i l i ty of th e resul ting consumer product . I n a defense industry and in most government techn ica l bus inesses ma ny indivi dua l research or deve l opm en t contribu tions can come together to be the winn ing factor in a sing le ma jor new program . I n other words, th is parti c u la r compa ny fee l s they cannot readi l y identify a sing l e research proj ect w i th a sing l e pi ece of new bus i ness and that that is a major d iffe rence wh i ch character izes th e aerospace industry . Compan y N fee ls th ey a re not inf luenced a t a l l by the gove rnment c ustome r . Th is comes about because th ey have so thorough l y entwined th eir di rec ted resea rch and deve l opment tha t th e q uestion doesn ' t rea l l y arise . Company T tends to spend the ir research funds in such a way as to be respon­ s i ve to c ustomer req uirements . O ther compan ies si m p l y agreed w i th m y state­ ment tha t company preferences a re very importa n t . Th e l ast company fee ls th at the entire techn ica l effort is determ i ned pr imari l y by the c ustomer . 12. How are deve lopment proje cts stopped ? What are th e condi tions? Wha t is the customer ro le? Compan y H fee ls the reasons for stopping a project in the deve l opmen t stage are essentia l l y th e same as those in research . Th ese reasons have been l i sted under q uestion 3 . Th e second company fee ls tha t p ro j ects are stopped norma l l y on th e basis of evidence of a defi n i te l ack of interest in the intended end prod uct by c ustomers or an i n terna l compa ny dec is ion to a l locate the 85 . app l icable resources to more promising or more prof i table products . There is a l ways the possibi l i ty of unpred i c ted tech n ica l d ifficu l t ies be ing acco unted wh ich causes the project to stop . Th is same th eme and th e sa me types of answers are given by a I most a I I of th e compan ies . One i m portant factor was poi nte d out . By th e time th e program has become a deve lopment pro ject, th e costs a re h igher both on a tota l bas is and ori a unit ti me basis 7 more peop l e a re invo l ved and therefore th e dec ision is more diffic u l t to make . I n summary th e criteria fo r stopp ing deve lopment pro jects are essentia l l y th e same a s fo r research p rojects . 13. Who participates in th e dec isions di scussed he re ? ( By titl e and organization) . Th e l i st of people who parti cipate in decisions h as been partia l l y covered in answering the ea rl ier questions . I n Compa ny H , th e pa rti cipa n ts are the market managers, the prod uct managers, and th e eng i neering ma nag ers . cit th e d i visiona l le ve l wh ere a prod uct w i I I be tra nsferred to . I n the re sea rch center, where the work is in itia l l y carried out, a number of manag ement and superviso ry personnel wi l l partic i pa te . Th e size, i mportance a nd nature of th e project dictates the choice of peop l e who pa rti c i pate in a decision . I n the second compa ny, management a t a l l l eve l s i s i nvo l ved i n th e decision . Th is inc l udes appropriate represen ta tion from the appropriate headqua rters as we l l as operating divisions . I n th e thi rd com pan y, the ma in dec ision maker 86 . i s th e Ch ief Eng inee r of each division ass isted by h i s staff . I n these d i visions th e D i rector of Research reports to th e Ch ief Engi neer and th e Di rector of Research is one of th e c h ief advisors to the Ch ief Eng ineer in making dec isions . I n the next company we again have the same k i nd of dec ision th at depends on how much money is to be spen t or how big th e pro ject is . A proj ect th at is perhaps in tens of thousands of dol lars wou l d be un l i ke l y to go h i gher than di vision leve l; a much larger proj ect wo u l d be consi dered by th e Board of Di rectors, th e Pres ident's Office and inc l ude a staff rev iew a t headqua rters . I n Company T, th e Ma rk eting Manager and the Eng ineeri ng Manager parti c ipate in ma king the dec isions . I n the nex t compa ny, major program dec i s ions wh ich in c l ude rev iew of proposa l s for corporate sponsorsh ip are reviewed by a commi ttee composed of a V ice President, P l ans and Programs; Supe rvisor of New Techno l og y; a System Vice Presi den t,and o thers as reques ted by th e comm i ttee itself . The Di rector of Corporate Re search reviews and i m proves th e p l ans . I n th e last compan y as in some of the others, participation is l i m i ted to di vision ma nag ement, and in some cases, corporate managemen t . 14. Are pro j ec ts ever moved back to research from deve l opment .? Under what c i rc umstances? I n Company H , a project or sometimes a pa rt of a project, wi l l be return ed to research because technical probl ems arise which cannot be so l ved 87 . except by th e personnel and/or foci I ities a va i labe i n th e research organi zation . Th e second company indicated th at the sh ift of th e deve lopm ent effort ba ck to resea rch status is a re l a tive l y rare event . Th e few occas ions when th is has occu rred have been at customer request and s temmed from unforeseen cha nges in : requi rem en ts or opera tiona l need . I n th e next company i t was stated unequivoca l ly th at there was no instan ce where an en tire pro jec t has moved ba ck from deve lopme nt to researc h . However, there are ma n y examp l es of deve lopment projects wh ich required furth er work by th e research laboratory on some aspec t of th e program . I n Com pa n y N the deve lopment peop l e often ask th e research g roup fo r h e l p , but it is u n l i k e l y th at an entire project wo u l d be moved back . When a deve lopment g roup has prime responsibi l i ty, the y wi l l keep that responsibi l i ty and subcon tra ct the work necessary from a resea rch organ ization . Com pan y T does not transfer projects back to research but are l i ke l y to put th e resu l ts of a partic u l ar project awa y and review th em period­ ica l l y w i th the idea of using th em in a new prog ram . The last two companies . simp l y stated th ey se ldom moved a project ba ck to research from deve lopmen t . 16. Does th e i n terest exh ibited by th e deve lopmen t organ iza tion i n th e pro ject have an y affect on th e transfer? Very few of the companies answered th is question d i rectl y . Sta tem en ts were made wh ich indicated that the transfer i s depend en t on such i tem s as prod uct competition and sa l es rather th an atti tudes of the organ izations 88 . i n vo l ved . I n two cases th e answe r to a quest ion was a simple " yes " an d th e reasons for th is response had to be deduced from answers to o ther questions . As Company N poin ted out, you ca n 1t force work on so meone who isn 1 t rea l I y wanting or able to put h is heart and so u l i n to th e work . There is a l wa ys th e N - 1 - H (no t inven ted here} a tti tude and th e transfer problem a lways invo l ves th is; en thusi asm must be aroused i n the pe rson ne l to whom the project is bei ng transferred or i t wi l l sure l y fa lter . I n add i tion, the deve lopmen t organ ization w i l l norma l l y put a far l arger sum of money into th e program than wou l d be true of the research organ ization and w i l l a l ways cons ider ca refu l l y before accepting a prog ram . One company po in ted out that the atti tude of th e deve lopmen t organization was parti c u l a r l y important i f a commerc ia I component was be ing consi dered . 17. What effect does location , type, lack, etc . of testi ng fa c i l ities have on the transfe r? Th is question rece ived a d i rect answer from most of the compa ni es invo l ved . Th e use cos t or i nvestmen t cost in new fa ci l i ties is a pa rt of the decision making process . I f fac i l ities are ava i l a b l e , th is parti c u l a r question w i l l have l i tt l e effe c t on the transfer program . I f fa ci l ities a re not avai l a b l e , i t w i l l be o n e of the numerous i tems inc lu ded i n the eva l uation procedure . Company N poi nts out tha t the loca t ion and type of th e fa c i l i ty may affect 89 . the transfer from research to deve lopment in that if a faci I ity p l a ys an extreme l y important pa rt in the project, managemen t of the projec t ma y be transferred to th e fac i l i ty manager. Th is dec i sion is a l so affected by the uniq ueness of the fac i I i ty . Company T brough t up the probl em of transferring capa b i l i ties be tween essen tia l l y autonomous corporate divisions . Peop le a t th e corporate l eve l can look at operating d ivisions and see that th e problem cou l d better be so l ved in one division than i t ca n be so lved in th e division in wh ich it is presently being adm inistered . However, transfer to th e a ppropriate divis ion i s often diff icu l t even though t h e fac i l i ty in th e d ivision wh ich can do th e work is better sui ted to the problem . Th is is, of course, re l a ted to the N - 1 - H factor men tioned above . Two companies stated tha t fac i l i ties type , location, e tc . have no effec t o n a dec isi on; th is is somewhat d iffi c u l t to visua l i ze . 18. I s the transfer affected by l i m i ts set on the size of the resea rch organiza- tion ? The genera l consensus was tha t th e answer was 1 1no'' . 19. Hbw is research and deve lopmen t funded, i . e . , interne I fun ds, contrac t, bo th or some other way ? What i s the ratio of funding from various sources? I s there any a rbi trary amount of money set aside for R&D such as percent of sa l es? Who makes such a recomm endation and dec i sion ? How is the dec ision 7U , I I regard i ng leve l of fund ing made ? What are th e d ifferences, if any, as th e 1 I project moves from research to deve lopment? 1 Dr . Quinn of Dartmouth Co l lege indicates that th e two l i m its of i ' J resea rc h budgeting are : I on the low end, th e requirement to insure that the ! compan y's competi tive posi tion w i th i n -i ts i ndustry does not deteri orate, and ' I l on the upper end, by the ra te at wh ich th e company can assim i l ate th e resu l ts of th e i r resea rch program e i ther orga n iza tiona l l y or financi a l l y . Wi th i n these l i m i ts the fol lowing criteria are used for the research prog ram size . 1. Percent of sa l es . 2. Ma tch ing or exceeding compet i tor's out lays . 3. Growth rate standards , and 4. Pro jected rate of return . Answers g i ve n by th e aerospace companies were not genera l l y spec ific . w i th regard to these criteria . Company H d i d not answer th e question . Th e second company po inted out th eir work is funded both interna l l y and under 1 con tract w ith no prec ise or average ra tio between these two fund i ng sou rces . However, th e i n terna l l y funded effort is tradi tiona l l y larger than the effort ' i carried out from the contrac t . They use no arbi trary cri teria such as basis of ! � ------ 1 B . Q ui n n , " Budgeting For Research , 11 Handbook of I ndustria l !j Resea rch1 James Ma nagement, Carl H eye l , Editor, New York: Rh ei nho l d P u b l ish i ng Co . , : , I 1 959 . fi 91 . percent of sa l es . The fund ing l eve l more happi l y stem from market resea rch and ana l ysis trends and co mpeti tion and new and advanced company orig inated conc epts and i nnova tions . Another ve ry l a rge compan y funds th e projects fo r th e first one or two years from th eir own financia I resourc es . As soon as possible, they in trod uce the ideas to perspec t i ve c ustomers so th at they can supp l ement the funds bei ng spent after thi s in itia l period . Th ey norma l l y have about a 50- 50 sp l i t between i n terna l l y funded programs and c ustomer funded R& D pro jects . Aga i n th ey have no sp ecific cri teria such as percent of sa l es . Th e d i visions make th e i r own dec is ions based on th e i r sa les objecti ves and those dec isions are revi ewed at th e corporate l eve l . One company mentioned " independent research and deve lopmen t" wh ich is partia l l y funded by th e governmen t in th at expendi tures on these programs become a portion of a l l owa ble overh ead costs . A l though these programs are often referred to as co m pany funded, in rea l i ty, a l a rge portion may ac tua l I y be governmen t funded i n that the costs a re recoverable . For th is same company, th e statement was made that for every one h und red dol l a rs in contract R & D, th ere is about $3 in reim bursed R & D and a bout $2 spent on R& D th at comes from company profi ts . Co ntract R&D here is def ined as th e ea r l y stages of any large program wh ich inc l udes de l ivery of prototype hard­ ware . H ere aga i n , deci sion on the amo unt of mo ney to spend on research predi ca ted more o n the mad< et ana l ysis than on any arbi trary cri teria . I n IS 92 . another compa ny, the amount to be spent is a ma tter for negoti ation between the d i vision h ead and th e corpora te offi c ia ls. It wi l l depend on the prog ress made by tha t d i v ision during the yea r under discussion . One company i n d i cated that from 1 to 1 1 /2% of sa l es is spent for R& D . Th e l ast company indi cated th at in the government di visi ons, development is funded from a pool wh i ch qua l ifi es for recovery on governmen t contract. In commerc ia l d i visions, deve lopment is funded from profi ts. No spec ific percentages or q uanti ties were g i ven. 20. P l ease append any da ta you can d i vu lge concern i ng the amount of money spen t for R&D in your company. What is the average size of your projects i n R&D? Th is q uestion was pa rtia l l y answered under 1 9 above. One company i ndi cated that th e a verage size of p rojects is abo ut $1 00, 000. Ano ther one i nd i cated from $40, 000 to $1 00, 000 wh ich i n c l udes overh ead a l so. A th i rd company, gave $5 0, 000 as th e average size with a range from $20, 000 up to $200, 000. One company w i th a commerci a l d i vision had proj ects as sma l l as $5 00. Th is was an exception. Summary Th ere was noth ing in th e responses from th e companies so l i c i ted wh ich wou l d i nd icate that th ere are any dis ti nctive criteria for transferri ng a pro jec t from research to deve lopment in the aerospace i ndustry. There was a steady 1 93 . recogni tion th roughout th e answers g iven tha t th e s i tuation can best be descri bed as a monopsony and th a t th e government is th e c ustom er. Th e information furnished tends to bea r out the concept . Th e criteria fo r proj ec t transfer are fa i r l y consi sten w i th on l y m inor diffe ren ces between th e various compan ies . These differen ces are a ttri b utable to the type of organ iza tion or whether or not the parti c u l a r company does comm erc ia l work as we l l as go vernmen t work or is essentia l l y dependen t upon government work . Those compan ies wh ich do govern ment work tend to di fferentiate somewh at i n how they hand l e proj ects in the two a reas . I n genera l there is a rationa l , coord inated , we l l laid out program for eva l ua ti ng a resea rch pro ject and fo r transfer from research to deve lopmen t . Transfer cri teri a are the sa me as se lection criteria; i nformation generated is a lways more deta i led beca use of th e larger sums of money invo l ved . } CHAPTER V RESEARCH A N D D EVE LOPME N T I N TH E C H EMICA L I N DUSTRY Characteri stics I n con trast to th e aerospace industry, wh ich can best be desc ribed as a , monopsony, the chemica l ind ustry is best descri bed as o l igopo l y tending toward pure competi tion . I ' A n umber of su bdivisions in th i s gen era l ca tegory have been identified but the i ndustry. i s made up of a re la tive l y sma l l num ber of suppl iers of very competi tive prod ucts . Th e best description of research in th e chem i ca l ! i ndustry which has appeared recen t l y is tha t of Da vi d M . Ke ife r . 1 i I n th is ! a rti c l e 27 compa nies were q uoted , these are in order of the i r a ppearance: I 1. 1 5 . A i r Reduction American Potash Koppers 1 6 . O l in Ma th ieson 2. 3. Monsan to 1 7 . Abbott Labora tories 4. American Cyanam i d 1 8 . H erc u l es 19. 5. S tauffer DuPont 6. 2 0 . U . S . Borax A l coa Che m ic a l 7. 2 L Eastman Kodak A l l i ed Chemica l 22 . H ooker Chem i c a l W . R . G race & Co . 8. 9. . Dow Chemica l 23 . Commerc ia l So l vents 10. Sm i th , K l i ne & F rench 24 . Pi ttsburgh P late G lass 11. Minnesota Mining & Mfg . 25 . Parke- Davis 12 . Un ion Carbide 26 . Pfizer 2 7 . E l i Li l l y 13. N a tiona l Disti l lers 14. Standard O i l (N . J . ) 1 David N . Keifer, loc , c i t . , Chem ica l Engineering News, 1 964 . 94 . I I I I 95 . The companies th at responded to the quest iona i re , wh ich is the basis fo r 1 I th is th esis, are inc l uded in that l i st . The Nationa l Sci ence Foundation statistics J are quoted by K i efe r and they indicate that the chem i ca l in dustry ra nks th ird ! i among a l l th e industries in spending for research and deve lopmen t . These are 'I I I 1 i 1 962 figures and i t is un l ike l y tha t th ere has been any major change since tha t tim e . Howeve r, the chemi ca l i ndustry is f i rst i n spending i ts own money fo r R&D . Th e a i rc raft and m iss i l e industry is fi rst i n spending but a cons iderab l e 1 portion of th e i r funds come from the federa l government as opposed to th e chem i ca l industry where company funds are used fo r R&D spending . Th e ! chemi ca l industry i s a l so first in spend ing for basic research in con trast w i th I I a ircraft I I and mi ssi l es , wh ich is th i rd i n th is category . I n regard to spend ing i ts own money, ai rcraft and missi l es ranks th ird . The spend ing fo r bas ic resea rch accou nts for abo ut 1 1 % of th e tota l R&D budget i n th is ind ustry . The compara b l e figures in th � ae rospace industry i s about 1 6% . G reat tech no log y strides have ' been made i� th is ind ustry in the period since Wo rld Wa r I ,. large l y due to th e resea rch effo:rt and th e trans lation of resea rc h into useable products . Changes 1 that are tak i ng p lace in the industry have to do w i th reduc tion in rate of g rowth I land a more caref u l contro l of research and deve lopment expend itures . I II i I I i I. i I 96 . Resul ts of th e Survey 1. I i As wou ld be expected from the h istorica l l y sec reti ve character of the industry, th e answers recei ved were less deta i led than notes from th e aerospace industry . However, suffic i ent i nformation was g i ven to make a com parison with the resu lts of those rece i ved from the aerospace industry . The Kiefer reference c i ted above from Chemica l and Eng ineeri ng News wi l l be used in fi l l i ng in deta i l s for those questions dea l ing with th e research programs . I Question 1 5 - How do you define research and development? Th e chem i ca l compan i es tended to have a more individua l i zed defin ition j of resea rch and deve lopment than wh at is true of th e aerospace industry . I For example, one com pany separated th eir technica l effort into 11 pioneering11 and 11supporting11 resea rch ra ther than resea rch and deve lopment as is usua l l y done . 1 The pioneering effort incl udes fundamen ta l researcb and research d i rected toward development of new products . Th is i s comparable to the research defini- 1 tion given earl ier, but it a l so inc l udes some deve lopment. ! 1 ! j In the supporting category, there is a great dea l of what oth er companies ca l l research . Support­ i ng research is connected with ex isting c lasses of products rather th an new products . Th is answer came from a corpora te development department in a very I . ! ! large chem i ca l company and it was poi n ted out that th e divisions have a consider- ! I I I I I I able amount of autonomy with the resul t that there may be some difference in I 97 . the defin i tion wh i c h wou ld be g i ven by di vision rather th an th is corporate orga nization . Another compa ny gave a defi n i tion of research and devel opment as technica l effort prior to manufacturing . A th i rd company simp l y referred to the reference g i ven above . Mr . K iefe � spends more time in that arti c l e d iscussing what research is not in th e sect ion devoted to defi n i tion ra ther than to g iving a very exact defin ition . He g i ves th e fol lowing examp l e: 1 I i I The wa y that individua l companies look at R& D costs a lso undergoes changes . I n i ts 1 960 annua l report, for examp l e , DuPont l isted i ts R & D outlays as $96, 000, 000; for 1 96 1 i t reported o n l y $59, 000, 000 spent fo r "p ionee ring research . 11 The d ifference reflects a change i n accounting methods rath er than a change i n th e vo l ume of tech n ica I work . Th e company's tota l R & D spending, in fa ct, has inc reased since 1 960 . H e summarizes by osing th e Na tional Sc ience Foundation defi n itions wh ich were g i ven in an ea rl ier chapter of th is paper . Th e last compa ny had an inte resting statement concern ing researc h;. i Research is th reaten ing , upsetting , and undependab l e . Like a baby i t seems to be lovable j ust wh en it is most ob ject ionab l e . Se l fish, no isy and seem ing l y uncertain yet commanding some k i nd of irrationa I and enrapt adm i ration . '' I I The sa me company d i vides th eir research and deve lopment into fi ve categories . I I The fi rst ca tegory is idea sea rch ing . Th e second catego ry is defin i t i ve research I wh ich i nc l udes appl ica tions, resea rch , process resea rch , eva l uation of properties 1 David N . Keifer, loc . c i t . , p . 90 . 98 . and an outl ine of th e process and the produc t . Th e th ird step is laboratory deve l opment wh ich inc l udes app l i cations deve lopm ent, process deve l opment, l arge sa mple preparation . Tha t step l eads into design deve lopme nt which has to do with process design and veri fication, fie l d tria l s , com puter en g ineering and a m i n i -plan or pi lot p l an . The fina l step is comm erc ia l deve l opment wh i ch i n c l udes,of course , in troductory sa les and i n terim or fina l operationa l p lan . Referen ce is a l so made to th e two ma jor dichotom ies of industria l research and deve l opmen t: first i s the d i chotomy of ind i vi d ua l creati vity versus team effort . The second dichotom y i s th e a ppa rent incompati bi l i ty of scientific research defi ned as free rov i ng and ana l ytica l inquiry into the doma in of unpred ictable ph enomena ve rsus commerc ia l deve lopment wh i ch is the u l timate business outcome of succ essfu l industr ial research i nc l ud i ng th e prob l ems of econom ics and company objectives . Understan ding these prob l ems l eads to a better understanding of the defi ni tion . The defini tion in th is i ndustry depends somewh at on size and organ ization of th e co mpany . As indicated above , where th ere were a num ber of autonomous d ivi sions th e defin i tion was not th e same in a corporate organiza tion as i t was in those divisions . Q uestion 1 - How does your compa ny se lect research pro je c ts? Is there a defi n i te proced ure , p l ease out l i ne th at proced u re . a. N eed resu l ting from a market survey . b. I n terna l l y generated technica l or market ideas . 99. c. To meet competi tion . d. Seri ndipi ty (happenstan ce) . e. O ther . Th e fi rst compa ny indicated that the pioneering research pro j ec ts are sel ected through an i nterp lay of a I I of these fac tors I i sted, but th ey l ean most ' h eavi l y on i n terna l l y generated ideas . They try to seek areas that are ahead of competi tion but some of the ir work is a reac tion to competi tion where ver i t appears . Th e second company fee ls th e i r se lec tion i s based o n needs resul t ing from a market survey and i n terna l l y generated ideas w i th no addi tiona l comments oth er than that . The th i rd company fee ls the i r programs are a i med a t crea ting prod ucts tha t th ey know are needed and tha t h a ve a profi ta b le ma rket ahead . 1 Dr . Cairns fee l s that p l ann i ng for bas i c resea rch invo l ves the problem of 1 carefu l se l ection and adequate support of basic sc ien tists . I n add i tion, i n i ndustria l resea rch there is a l so th e problem of sti mu lation of the sc ien tist . Th is i n c I udes keepi ng the exploratory resea rchers aware of oth er fac ets of company tech n i ca l acti vi ties i n encourag ing c lose re l ationsh i ps wi th other technica l people in di verse pursui ts . Se lection of th e project i s l eft up to the I I researchers but i t is company respons i b i l i ty to keep the research sc ientist aware I of com pany purposes, l ong range object ives , and s trateg i c capa b i l it ies i n order I I to poi n t the way for the research scientist . � --------� 1 Robert W . Ca i rns, " Pl an n ing For Research , 11 Ta l k for Research and Deve lopment Com m i ttee, Pharmaceutica l Man ufacturers Assoc . , Nov . 5, 1 963. 1 00 . Research d i rectors, as poi n ted out by Keifer, have to sel ect those pro j ec ts wh ich look mos t prom ising . At th e same time they h a ve to mai nta in a ba lance in th e en tire research program . The ba lance i n vo l ves th e work be ing done fo r the various di vis ions and prod uct l i nes , yet a lso i n vo l ves a balance between basic research , app l i ed resea rch , advanced deve lopment, and etc . As indicated above , they must a l so consi der defen sive wo rk in meeting thei r competi tion for o l d products and work di rec ted toward en ti re l y new products . As has been descri bed in Chapter 3, th ere a re ma ny ways of picking projects and i t wo u l d appea r th at the che mical industry covers th e enti re spectrum . Q u estion 2 - To wh at exten t are research projects forma l l y eva luated ? What are th e p rocedures used? a. Before starting . b. Doing the work . The fi rst compa ny uses a l l the norma l deg rees of form a l eva l ua tion of pioneering resea rch proj ects depending on how much money is in vo l ved and how the project conforms to the objec tives and goa ls as budgeted . The executive comm i ttee of th e compa n y approves the tota l research budget but , w i th i n that budget a se lection of proj ects is l eft to th e man agemen t of th e i department . Priori ties a re esta b l i shed based on sal es problems and g oa l s . The oth er compa nies use formal eva lua tion programs, but th ey were not descri bed . I' I I I II { I 101 . Ke ifer indicates that severa l compan ies have worked up standardized I forms such as desc ri bed in Chapter 3. On the other hand, as wo u l d be expec ted , j compan ies are getting away from the forma l proced ures and re l yi ng more on th e I i I I j udgm ent of peopl e who are most know ledgeabl e . Minnesota Mi ning has sta rted to use an informa l project aud i t system . A comm i ttee of th ree of i ts techn ica l d i rec tors inc luding th e Director of th e laboratory whose work is being eva l ua ted revi ews the more importa nt projec ts, either sem iannua l l y or annua l l y . i As a res u l t,..of th ese revi ews, recommendations are made to management . Most of th e math ematica l form u l as used to eva l uate research projects ' attem pt to compare th e return expected from an outl a y with th e cost of th e I .I ! effort requ ired . Th ese form u l as have been descri bed ear l ier i n th is paper . Man y ma nag ers fee l that such th ings as i n tu i tion and j udgment are more important, however , tha n any form u l a . Th e next step in soph istication is bu i l di ng up a mode l of th e product and th e wa y that i t is manufactured, th e probable market, etc . Computers have to be used for such mode ls . These mode l s get more deta i l ed and are much more comp lete as the project moves a long in i ts l i fe cyc l e . I Q uestion 3 - How are research pro j ects stopped ? What are the co ndi tions? i What is th e c ustom er ro le? Th e f i rst company stops th e i r pioneering research project when other j projects seem more worthwh i l e and th ere is no partic u l ar c ustomer ro le . I The 1 02 . seco nd compa ny stops th em simp ly by cutting off funds with a g reat num ber of cond itions wh ich w i l l cause th em to stop th e project . Aga in th ere is no def i n i te customer ro le . Keifer quotes Crawford H . G reenwa l t of DuPon t, who said: Th e d ifference between a good d i rector of research and one whose performance is indifferent is that th e good one knows wh en to stop . The on l y time th at i t is easy to stop a program is when th e peop le do ing the work adm i t th emse l ves th at they have run out of ideas or wh en th ey run out of enth usiasm . Th is is unusual w i th thei r research workers . Most resea rch d irectors fee l tha t by proper app l i cation of market and process cri teria a good dec ision can be made regard ing stopp ing a research projec t . I n genera l , th e 1 cri teria a re primari l y technica l with econom ics p l a ying a seco nda ry part . Q uestion 4 - Do you sepa ra te resea rch and deve lopment ? How ? The fi rst company partia l l y answered th i s question i n th e disc ussion of p ioneering and supporting research (Question 1 5) . That company usua l l y doesn 1 t make any fo rma l sepa ration of research and deve lopme nt but tri es to ( 1 ) determ ine whether a new product is prom ising by runn ing a marketing and I ! econom ic study ea r l y in research stage , and (2) speed up commerc ia l ization i of a prom ising new product by gi ving ea r l y 11 new ven ture11 status to it and i I assign ing responsibi l i ty for resea rch or deve lopment, ma nufacturing and I I I I r 103. market deve lopment, forecasting and p l anning to a s i n g l e manager . Th i s company does not rea l l y separate research and deve lopmen t . The second company i nd i ca ted th ey separate research and deve lopment i nfreq uen t l y and i t is done by transfer to a di fferent location or a different sponsorsh i p . Th e th ird company has a system for eva l uating th e need for a pi lot p l ant . I n years past, deve l opment co u ld be descri bed as operati ng a pi lot p la nt, ·w i th the advent of more soph isti cated laboratory a nd computer techn iques, th i s straigh tforward def i n i t ion no l onger app l ies . However, the cri teria for th e pi lot p l ant step wou ld be compara b l e to those for th e transfer from research to deve l opment and wou l d i nd i cate th e separat ion of these two activi ties . Th e c r i teria used are ( 1) econom i cs, ( 2) i nvesti gation p lan for th e pi lot p l ant, ( 3) market goa l s and (4) a pa tent report . Th i s co mpan y a l so uses so-cal l ed stage system def i ned as fo l lows: Stag e 1 - Exp lora tion - ea rly stage pro j ects on l y vague ly foc used . Stage 2 - Examination - i n tensive l a boratory deve lopment; susta ined effort on a project a i med at a def i n i te comm erc ia l goa l . Stage 3 - Confirmation - fina l stage of eva l uation; obtai n i ng adequa te process and product da ta so that a dec is ion to produce can be made . Stage 4 - Comm i tment - Th e company has made a comm itment i n the form o f authorization of commerci a l production fac i l i t ies, or comm i tment to de l iver to a custom er, such that respons i bi l i ty for the pro ject has i n part or comp l ete l y passed from research to prod uction and sa les groups, wi th research planning playing a supporting ro l e . 1 04 . These stages as defined tend to be essen ti a f ly a I I deve lopmen t work , but th ey do serve to show how sepa ration can be carried ou t . I n the last company, th e separation has a l ready been exp l a i ned i n the answer to th is question above . Q uestion 5 - At what po i n t wi I I a pro i ect be transferred from research to devel opment? Th is question was not answe red d i rectl y, but on l y indirec t l y by a l l of the compan ies concerned . The various economic and market problems as we l l as th e techn ica l feas i b i l ity w i l l be stud ied and i f there is a considerab l e dec ision to commerc i a l ize the proiect, i t w i l l have the equ iva l ent of a transfer from research to deve lopmen t . Th is may or may not in c l ude a transfer to a new managemen t group w i th i n the company . I t may on l y be add i tional emphasis or add i tiona l budget on the work bei ng done . Q uestion 6 - I s th ere a forma l rev iew and dec is ion po int for th is? Aga i n th is answer was on l y h i nted a t . Th ere are forma l revi ew po i n ts for every proiect varying from quarte r l y to sem i-annua l to ann ua l in a l l of the compan ies th at responded . These review po i n ts may or may not serve as the dec ision po int for transfer of the pro i ect . I n another sense ea ch of these review po ints cou l d be the po int at w hich th ere is suffi c i ent information gath ered to make a dec i s ion regarding th e transfer . II I I 1 05 . Q uestio n 7 - What c ri teria are used ? a. Ma rket Survey b. Economic Ana l ysis c. Tech ni ca l Ana l ysis d. Oth er I t wou l d appear that a l l of th ese types of ana lyses are used in arriving a t a decision . The responden ts indicated that th e more i nformation avai l a b l e the better wou l d b e th e dec ision and th ey preferred to use as m uch information as I I they possib l y cou l d . One company indicated that the fo l lowing lengthy l ist ! of items was considered in making a dec ision to go from one stage to th e n ex t . I i ! i II Synth esis - preferred m ethod Synth esis - a l ternate m ethods Raw materia I s App l i cations - oth er uses Sam p l ing (exten t of samp l e d istribution) Product Qua l i ty Engi neering Da ta Patents, Product N am e and Trademark license and Know-How P urchase Toxico logy Safety Problems Byprod uc t Studies Ma teri a l s of Construc tion Process Contro l and Ana l ysis Methods Specifica tions Econom ics Waste Disposa l Handl ing and Shipping Estimated Time to Reach Next Stage A l l of these spec ific items fit in the broad ca tegori es l isted . 1 06 . One company po inted out tha t th is is the time a t wh ich market deve l opm ent becomes an important fa cet in ma king decisions to continue w i th a particular project or program . A re l a ted subj ect is the payoff from research wh ich is d iscussed in Mr. Keifer's artie l e . H e indicates that research exe cuti ves fee l they can ; budget for research and select pro j ec ts m uch more effec tive l y if th ey cou l d find some wa y to rate produ cti v i ty of the i r l abo ra tories . No one measu re can be expected to assess objective I y the outpu t of th e research laboratory . Man y ru l es of th um b for mak i ng such ra tings have been suggested such as th e n um ber of papers publ ish ed , th e n um ber of pa tents and th e number of new products . One Vice President of Resea rch fe l t th at the best ya rdstick was simp l y the number of sa l a b l e new prod ucts . Another com pan y used a number of projects com p l eted as a rough gage of productivity . Some of these cri teria cou ld be somewhat m i s l eading since for examp l e one company very stron g l y encourages paten ts and ano ther one may not . More soph isticated tec hniques such as return on i n vestm ent as di scussed ear l ier may a l so be used . 1 Q uestion 8 - I n defen se contra c ts or proj ects, wha t infl uenc e does the project budget ca tegory i . e . , exp lora tory deve lopment, eng ineering deve l opment h ave in p la c i ng th e pro ject . I s th is overrid ing or i s a separate in-house determi nation made? The chemica l compa nies that a re inc l uded in th is su rvey did very l i ttle t go vernment busi ness and fe l t the quest n was not app l icab l e . I I 107 . Question 9 - Do personn e l transfer with the pro ject? Wha t cri teria are used ? The first company indicated that sometimes the research perso nn e l wi l l fol l ow al ong w i th a pro j ect a l l the wa y th rough to comm erc i a l i zation bu t usua l l y they do not . The other compa n i es i ndicated that occasional l y such a transfer does take pla ce but not as a genera l ru l e . I f a pro j ec t goes to a pi l o t p lant stage, differen t ski l ls are req uired a nd th e research personne l w i l l act as consu l tants to the eng i neeri ng personne l op erat ing th e pi lot p l ans . , Question 10 - Is th e s i ze of a project used i n reach i ng a dec ision ? Wh a t cri teria are used ? This question was answered in the discussion of Questi on 7 . The cri teria have to do w i th market and econom i cs as we l l as techn ica l prog ress as ind ica ted above and the s i ze wi l l have re lat i ve l y l ittle to do w i th the I i dec ision . Th is is parti c u larl y true if one con trasts a company making i ndustri a l chem i cals wh i ch are so l d on a tonnage bas is wi th a pharmec utica l company wh i ch wi l l make re lative l y sma l l quan tities of ma teria ls . A dol l ar va lue comparison wou l d be more va l i d than simp l y size . Q uest ion 11 - What ro l e do custom er preferences play? I fee l th is is part i c u l ar l y i mpo rtan t in th e aerospace ind ustry . Am I right? Th e f i rst company states tha t the customer preferences play on l y a I 1 genera l ro le, " We want to d e l iver . th i ngs customers w i l l buy . " The second 1 08 . company fee ls th at the market is a sing l e fac to r wh ich u l timate l y j ustif ies ! expe nd iture of research and deve lopment funds . A th i rd compa ny sa ys that I I the customer ro l e or c ustomer p references i I quotes a i I i is re l ative l y m i nor . Mr . K iefer D i rector of Research who fee ls that market needs, both present and future , must be the dedd ing factor i n resea rch dec i sions . I n sum mary i t wo u l d appea r tha t if by customer prefere nce i s mea nt ma rke t needs , these wou l d p l a y a n extreme l y importan t ro le in making a dec ision on R&D proj ect . Q uestion 1 2 : How are deve l opment projects stopped ? What are the conditions? Wh a t is th e custome r ro l e ? Serious consideration o f products for commerc ia l iza t ion is either stopped : or more research is recommended when th e products don • t work out - is the I 1 fee l ing of th e f i rst company . If th e market req ui rements are not enough to I j ustify work , the pro j ect wi I I be stopped . The second compan y states that the projec ts a re stopped by cutting off of the funds an d that customer preferences p la y no ro l e at a l l . A l l of th e companies were ag reed th at th is was a d i ffi c u l t problem a s was true in the aerospa ce industry . Some resea rch managers fee l i ! that th is i s th e most perp l ex ing probl em they h ave to dea l with . Most of th e i cri teria disc ussed under question 2 are pertinent when refe rring to deve lopment ! i p rojec ts as we l l as to research projects . Aga i n it must be remembered that th e l eve l and rate of fund ing is much g rea ter in deve l opment than it was in research . . I j I I' 1 09 . Question 1 3 - Who parti c ipates in dec isions d iscussed here ? { By tit l e and j organ iza tion) . I n th e fi rst com pany the answer was th a t th e people invo l ved in th e program make a decis ion . Th i s wo u l d appea r to be l a rge l y research person nel . I I I I n the second company dec isions are made by com mi ttees which represent research and de ve l opment manufacturing and sa les . I n th e th ird company, a i rath er l ength y I ist of departmen ts a re represented as fo l lows : I 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. Prod uct Departmen t Eng i nee ring Department P l an t Supe rintenden t Sa I es Deve I opmen t Economic Eva l uation Production Con tro l Patents Safety Biochem i ca l La bora tory Waste Di sposa l Accoun ting Com puta tions Laboratory I ! I n the last compan y the review group i n c l udes the opera ting depa rtment manager, deve l opment d i rector, compa ny vice president, l a boratory d i rector, resea rch divi sion manager and director of research . Ea ch of these six men has a persona l . responsibi l i ty in a particu lar project. 110. Quest ion :14�- Are pro j ects ever moved back to research from deve lopment? i Under what c i rc umstan ces ? I ''1 I n th e f i rst company wh ich d i v ides thei r proj ects into pioneering and I supporting, this question does not app l y . I n the second company, projects are I ! : moved back if the manufactur i ng process is unsatisfactory, that is if th e process I cannot be transferred i n to a large sca le prog ram . The th ird company cannot answer th is q uestion i n a simple way . I f we refer back to th e response to I : question 7, wh ere a l engthy l i st of criteria are g i ven , i t can be seen that if I satisfactory answers a re not ava i lable to th e questions ra ised, the project cou l d ! be moved back to research . Question l& - Does th e i n terest exh i bi ted by the development organ i zation i n ! th e project have a n y effect i n the transfer? Th ere was genera l agreeme nt tha t o ther cri teria are m uch more important 'a nd i nterests a lone have very l i ttle effect on the dec ision made . Q uesti on 17 - What effect does location , type , lack, etc . of tes ting fac i l i ti es have on the transfer? In th e chem i ca l industry it wo u l d appear that th e answer is - none . \ I f a deci sion has been made because of market econom i c or techn ica l reasons ' I Ito go to a larger sca le pi l ot pl ant or sem i -work p l ant, the deci sion w i l l inc l ude II � etting aside suffic ient money for the work to be done from a fac i l ity standpo i n t I bs we l l as from an operation a l standpo i n t . 111. Q uestion 1 8 - Is th e transfer affec ted by any l i m i ts set on th e size of th e research organ ization ? Th e answers wo u l d indicate that th is has no appl ication in th e chem ica l i ndustry . The stage at which the transfer wi I I take p lace is more I ike l y to be effected by ski l l s and fac i l i t ies ava i l a b l e ra th er than an y arbi trary l i m i t on th e ' size of th e research organ ization . 1 Question 1 9 - How is research and deve lopment funded , i . e . i nterna l funds, con tra c t, bo th or some other way? What is th e ra tio of fundi ng from various sources ? I s th ere any arbi trary amount of money set as ide .for R&D such as percent of sa l es? Wh o makes such a recommendation and dec i sion ? How is the dec is ion regard ing I eve I of funding made? What are th e differences, if any, as the p ro j ect moves from research to deve lopment? The first compa ny funds th eir work complete l y th rough interna l funds . Th e second company indicates tha t fundi ng comes from both internal funds and contra c t sources . However, the i r numerous divisions are a u tonomous and th e differen ces are between d i vi sions ra ther than w i th in any on e d i vision . Keifer disc usses th is at some l ength and the poi n ts h e has made are I ! covered pa rtia l l y in the in troduction to th is chapter. Man y resea rch managers I [ adm it tha t contro l l i ng factors are lab fac i l i ties and manpower resources . I I I i I I H igh ca l i ber pe rsonnel are in short supp l y and a labora tory staff cannot be increased " I I 1 1 2. i n a short period of time . As a res u l t , research budgets are usua l l y bui l t on a h istori c fo undation . The amount of mon ey spent in a n y one year is d i rectl y re lated to what was spen t th e year pre vi ous l y i ncreased by the need for higher I ! sa laries and oth er cost increases . Surpri sing l y eno ugh , it was indica ted th at I : sa laries account for rough l y 2/3 of th e typic a l R&D budgets . An other factor wh ich affects the size of the research budget is how m uch competitors a re spending . A company has to be defensive to a certain extent i n its research ' spend ing . However, care must be exerc ised i n maki ng eva l uat ions between com pan ies beca use differe nt activi ties may be l umped under research . In one , compa ny for exa mp l e , tech n i ca l service is part of a research budget and in another the patent departme nt may be or ma y not be a part of the resea rch budget . I t appears th at compari sons are made i n th e ch emical industry usua l l y on a percen t of sa l es with 3 1 /2% of sa l es bei ng th e a verag e expendi ture for research in rec ent years . Th ere i s however, oppos ition to that cho i c e of g uide l i nes . At least one company uses operat ing resul ts as a cri teria . Th is drug �I I' company spends between 25 and 30% of earn ings before taxes . However, it m ust be recogn ized tha t drug companies in g enera l w i l l spe nd mo re fo r research than those companies norma l l y cons idered as part of the chem i c a l industry . I n I I I ! a few cases, such soph isticated id eas as estimating the size of th e research program based on profi ts , cosh I low and i nvested cap i Ia I have been used . One or two companies attempt to bu i ld the i r budget from the ground up , that is, I I 1 13. based on th e work to be don e , th ey decide how m uch money has to be spen t . i '" ! ! these cases , however, th e tota l cost usua l l y comes out to so meth ing l i ke what they have do ne in th e past . Q ues tion 20 - P l ease append any data yo u can d i vulg e on the amoun t of mo ney : spent for R&D in your company . What is th e average size of your pro je c ts i n i R&D? Th ere was no defi n i te answer to the first part of the question , but genera l 1 I agreement that th ere i s no meaningfu l average size . Summary The cri teria used for transfer from resea rch to deve lopment have to do ! wi th market surveys , I I econom ic ana l ysis and tech n i ca l p rogress . Carefu l atten tion has to be pa i d to th e competit ive si tuation and making deci sions on products . Com p l e te rep lacement of a product ra ther than s i mp l y i mproving i t is often the case . As was true in th e aerospace industry , the cri teria for th e project transfer i a re fa i r l y consisten t wi th on l y m i nor d iffe rences between th e va rious compan ies ! ! attributable to d ifferences in th e organization . I Aga in there is a rationa l ! coordinated prog ram for eva l ua ti ng research pro jects and their transfer from ! resea rch I to deve l opment work . The compan ies that responded and that a re ! ! disc ussed in th e l i terature do very l i tt l e government work and are not affec ted by governm ent funding . CHAPTER VI SUMMARY AN D C ON C LUSIONS Th is th esis dea ls w i th the crite ri a for transfer of a p roj ect from research to deve lopment ma nagem en t . I n order to better understand such cri teria cind , the i r app l ica tion , research program eva l uation cri teria were disc ussed in Chapter 2 . Th e most importa n t sing l e factor is th e a l ign men t of research program ! goal s with corpo ra te goa l . The spec ific criteria for pro ject transfe r are c l ose l y re lated to research i pro ject eva l uation cri teri a . These are desc ribed in Chapter 3 . Many ways of I i orga niz ing th ese c ri teria are descri bed in the l i te rature; one of the more com pl ete l i stings of criteria was used as .a guide for orga niz ing th e d iscussion . Most emphasis has been p laced on eco nomic eva l ua tion procedures; the i mportance of such fa ctors as eng inee ring , production, g rowth and marketabi l i ty shou l d no t be over looked . I n the fo l low ing two cha pters, th e resu l ts of the survey are expla ined . I I As indicated i n Chapte r 1 , it was postu lated that a transfer of a project I between research and deve lopment ta kes p l ace in both th e aerospa ce and I chem ical industries . I t was determ ined in th is study tha t in genera l th is is true , 1 14. 115 . however, there are numerous exceptions to the ru l e . For exampl e, a s i ng l e I management gro up may carry a program a l l the way th rough from the idea to th e fi na l product . Secondl y, a concept of pioneeri ng and supporting research was put forth by one of the chem ical compan ies . I n both th ese categor i es the work is carried a l l th e wa y through w i th i n th e same organ i zation . Pioneering research was defined as work on new products, supporti ng research was defi ned as work on o l d produc ts . Th e second postu late dea l t wi th the fact that the cri teria for transfer I : wou l d be di fferent in the two i ndustries . Th e informa tion ava i l a b l e wo u ld I i nd i cate that there is very l i tt l e difference i n the criteria . Di fferences cou l d i i on l y be attri buted to differences i n th e cha racter of the two i ndustry groups . 1 The aerospa ce i ndustry can best be descri bed as a monopson y and the chem i ca l ind ustry is mo re nea r l y a form of pure compe ti tion . Cri teria for transferri ng in the chem i ca l industry are heavi l y weighted towards market and econom i c fac tors and the same can be said to be true i n the aerospac e i ndustry . I mpl i c i t i n decisions made i n both i ndustries is tech n ica l feasi bi l i ty . I I I I n summary, i t can be sa id th at th ere is no fi rm g round for assum i ng J tha t there I is any difference i n cri teria fo r transfer of a project from research to J deve lopment managemen t in : 'th e chem i ca l and aerospace industries . i I· APPE N D IX A Q uest ion List 1 16 1 17 PROJ ECT TRANSFER F ROM RES EA RCH TO D EVELO PM E N T Q uestion list 1. 2. How does your company sel ec t research projects ? I f th ere is a defi n i te procedure, p l ease outl ine tha t procedure . a. A need resu l ting from a market survey . b. I n terna l l y genera ted techn ica l or market ideas . c. To m eet competi tion . d. Serendi p i ty (h appenstance) . e. Other To what ex ten t a re research projects forma l ly eva l ua ted ? Wha t are th e procedures used? a. Before starting . b. During th e work period . 3. How are research pro j ec ts stopped? Wha t are the condi tions? Wha t is th e customer ro l e ? 4. Do you separate research and deve lopmen t? How? 5. A t what po int wi I I a project be transferred from research to deve lopment? 6. I s there a forma l review and deci sion po int for th is? 7. What cri teria are used? a. b. c. d. Market S urvey Econom ic Ana l ysis Technica l Ana l ysis Other I I 1 18 8. I .I I I i I 9. 10. 11. 12 . 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 1 19. I I I I 1 ' _ I n defense con trac ts or p ro j ec ts, what inf l uence does th e p ro j ect budget ca tegory; i . e . , Research , Exp loratory Development, Eng ineeri ng Deve lopment have in p lac i ng the project . Is th is overriding or is a separate i n-house determ i nation made? I I I Do personn e l transfer with pro j ect? What cri teria are used? I s size of p roject used in reach ing a dec ision ? Wh a t criteria are used ? What ro l e do customer p references p lay? I fee l th is is pa rti cul arly important in the aerospace industry . Am I right? How are deve lopment p ro j ects stopped? What are th e condi tions ? What is th e c ustomer ro l e ? Who partic ipates in the dec isions d iscussed here? (By title and organ ize.;.. · tion) . Are pro j ects ever moved back to research from deve lopment? Under whcit c i rcumstances? H ow do you define research and deve lopment? Does th e interest exh ibited by th e development organization in the project have any effect on th e transfer? What effec t does location , type , lack, etc . , of testing faci l i ties have on th e transfer? Is th e transfer affected by a ny l i m i ts set on the size of the research organ izati on . 1-bv is research and deve lopment funded , i . e . , i nterna l funds, con tract, . both or some other way . Wha t is th e ratio of funding from va rious sources( Is th ere any a rbitra ry amount of money set aside for R&D such a s percent of sa l es? Who makes such a recomm endation and dec ision ? How is the dec ision regarding l eve l of fundi ng made? What are th e differences, if any, as the project moves from research to deve lopm ent? · 20 . ! 21 . P l ease append any data yo u can divulge concern ing th e amount of money spent fo r R& D in yo ur compan y . What is th e average size of your projects in R&D? P l ea se add any other information that you fee l is perti nen t. _I APPE N D I X B list of Compa n i es to Whom Q uestion Li st Was Sen t ' 1 19 1 20 A l l i ed Chemical Co rporation 61 Broadway N ew York , N . Y . 1 0006 American Cyanam id Co . Stamford Research Laboratori es l937 W . Mai n St. Stamford , Conn . Ameri can Mach i ne & Foundry Co . Morehead Patterson Research Center 689 Hope Street Springd a l e , Conn . 06879 AVCO Corp . Research & Advan ced Dev . Di v . 201 Lowe l l S t . W i lm ington , Mass . 0 1 887 The Bend ix Corporation F ish er Bldg . Detroit, Mich . 48202 The Boeing Co . P . 0 . Box 3707 Seatt l e , Wa S, . 98 1 24 Borg -Warner Corp . Roy C . Ingerso l l Research Center Wo lf and A lgonq uin Roads Des P l a i nes, I l l inois Doug las Aircraft Co . , Inc . 3000 Ocean Park B l vd . Santa Mon ica , Ca l if . 90406 The Dow Chem ica l Co . M i d land, Mich igan E . 1 . duPon t de N emours & Co . Deve lopment Department N ewport Laboratory Newport, De laware E . I duPont de N emours & Co . Cen tra I Research Dept . Experimenta I Station Wi lmi ngton, De l aware • Ethyl Corp . 1 00 Park Aven ue New York, 1 7, New York FMC Corp . 1 1 05 Co l eman Ave . P . 0 . Box 760 I' II I Gen era l Dynam i cs Corp . One Rockefe l l er P laza N ew York , N . Y . 1 0020 W . R . Grace & Co . Wash ington Research Cen ter Cl arksv i l le, Mary land 2 1 029 ' Grumman Ai rcraft Eng r . Corp . S . Oyster Bay Rd . Bethpage , Long Is land, N . Y . H e rcu l es Powder Co . 9 1 0 Market S t . Wi lmi ngton, De l aware 1 9899 Hon eywe l l , I nc . 2701 Fou rth S t . , S . Minneapo l is, M i nn . 55408 H ughes A i rc raft Co . Centinela Ave . and Tea l e S t . Cu lver C i ty, Ca l i f . Litton Industries 9370 Santa Moni ca Blvd . Beverly H i l ls, Ca l if . 902 1 3 Lockh eed Ai rcraft Corp . 2555 N . Ho l l ywood Way Burbank, Ca I if . 9 1 503 I I 121 3 "M" Co . 2501 Hudson Rd . St. Pau l , Minn . 551 1 9 O l in Ma th ieson Chem i ca l Corp . 460 Park Aven ue New York , N . Y . Mc Donne l l A i rcraft Corp . Lam bert- St . Louis Mun i c i pa l Ai rport P o O . Box 5 1 6 S t . Louis, Mo . 631 66 Thompson Ramo Woo ldridge, I nc . 2355 Euc lid Avenue C l eve land, Ohio 44 1 1 7 Martin Co . Friendsh ip Internationa l Airport Maryland 2 1 240 Monson to Co 800 N o Lindbergh B l vd . St . Lou is 66, Missouri • Nationa l Disti l lers and Chem i ca l Corp . National Di sti l l ers Bldg . New York , N . Y o North Am erican Aviation, Inc . 1 700 E . Imperia I H ighway E I Segundo , Ca I if . 90246 Rayth eon Co . 1 4 1 Spring St . Lexi ngton, Mass . 02 1 73 Union Carbide Research Insti tute P . 0 . Box 278 Tarrytown, N . Y . 1 0592 Uni ted Aircraft Corp . 400 Ma in Street East Ha rtford, Conn . 06 1 08 Wei nman Pump Co . 2303 Onan daga Drive Co l umbus, Ohio ' 1' � APPE N D IX C Transmi tta l Lette r .I I I I I 1 22 1 23 1 0804 Ch imi neas Avenue North ridge, Ca l ifornia November 30, 1 965 I ' 1 ,I ll As a graduate student in Business Admin istration at San Fernando Va l l ey State Col lege , I am wri ting a thesis on th e transfer of projects from research to deve lopm ent . Yo ur help in supp l ying info rmation a bout certa in practi ces and procedures would enable me to com pl ete th is study . I t is my proposi tion that the criteria used in the chemical industry is different from that used in the aerospace industry . I n the ch em ical industry, more em phasis is p laced on economic fac tors and in the aero­ space i ndustry, the emphasis is on tech nica l and po l i tical fac tors . Th ere is a cons idera b l e body of l iterature on choosing research projec ts, but I i ttl e on the transfer from research to deve lopment. Attached is a l i st of questions . I hope that th ese wi l l serve only as a guide, and tha t you wi II add any comments th at yo u fee l are pertinent . Such comm ents w i l l be very helpful . P l ease indicate if yo u prefer that the source of info rmation be kept confi dentia l . A copy of my thesis wh en comp leted wi I I be furn ish ed to you . Comments on my thesis topic would a l so be we lcomed . I w i l l furnish any addi tional infor­ mation you wish . Thank you for your hel p . AR:sl Enc l . Sincere ly, Aaron Rose I. BI BLI O G RAPHY I 1 24 I 1 25 Bl B LI O G RAPHY Adams, J . F . , Massey, W . L . , J r . , and Dmytryszyn , M . 11Computer Speeds Econom i c Eva l uations, 11 Ch em i ca l Eng ineering , J une 30, 1 958, 99- 1 04 . Bare, Bruce M . 11 Direction of R&D Via Marke ting , .. Prog ress 6 1 N o . 1 0, October 1 965, 26-30 . 11 Basic Resea rch : Chem i c a l Eng i neeri n g H e l p Wan ted , 11 Ch emica l and Eng i neering N ews, May 25, 1 959, 23-25 . 11 Better Long - Range P l ann ing Needed , 11 Chem ica l and Eng i n eering N ews, Apri l 9, 1 962, 22-2 3 . Bi chowsky, F . Russe l l . l 'ndustri a l Resea rch , Brook l yn , N . Y . : Chem i ca l Pub l i sh i ng Co . , I nc . , 1942 . Bri d d l e , Joh n W . 11How Carbide ' s Chem i ca l Division O perates, 11 Chem i ca l Engi neering Prog ress, Apri l 1 966, 25- 3 1 . ' B l i noff, Vova a nd Pacifi co, Car l . 11Choos i ng The Right Projec t, .. Chem ica l Process i n g , Novembe r 1 957, 34-36 . Boroff, C . S . 11 Research and th e Sh ift F rom A Se l l ers ' To A Buye rs' Market, 11 Chem i c a l Engi neeri ng, May 1 949, 2 1 3-2 1 4 . ' Boyer, Ra l ph L . , 11 Some ABC 's About R& D, . . Batte l l e Memori a l I nsti tute , 6 pp . Brad l e y, James W . 11Mesh ing R & D and Marketi ng , P rog ress, � ' N o . 1 0, October 1 965, 1 5 . 11 Ch em ica l Eng i n eering 11 R esearch and Deve l opme n t Costs i n th e Chem i ca l l n dustry, 11 Ch emica l and E ng i neering News, Octo ber 20, Bru i n , J . H . and M oran , J . M . 1 952 I pp 4365-4367 • 11 Bus i n ess Warms Up To Research , 11 Chem ica l and Eng i neeri ng N ews 34 No . 2 1 , May 1 956, pp 25 1 6-25 1 8 . Butz , J . S . 11 N ationa l G rowth and Aerospace TeC:h no l ogy, 11 Aerospace , W i n ter 1 965, 1 8-24. 1 26 Ca irns, Robert W . " P lann i ng For Researc h , " Ta lk For Research And Deve lopment Section , Pharmaceuti cal Manufacturers Assoc iation , November 5, 1 96 3 . "Can Yo u Rate Your Research ? " Chemical Week 84 , N o . 22 , May 1 959, 35-47 . , Cham bers, Car l C . " Stabi l i ty Of Resea rch Th rough Diversif ication, " (addre�s) J une 1 958, 7 p . "Charts Tel l Research Story, " Chemi cal and Engi nee ring News , December 14, 1 959 f pp 40-4 1 . " Ch em ica ls Lead I ndustry In R& D, 11 Chem ica l Eng ineering, November 1 2 , 1 962 , 94 . 11 Chem i ca l s P lace F ifth In R& D Costs, " Chemical and Eng ineering News, December 5, 1 960, 5 3 . 11Chem i ca l s P lay Bigger Ro le At 3M , 1 1 Chemica l and Engineering N ews , Apri I 6, 1 964, p . 32-34 . i i 1 (overly, C . A . " Eva luat ion of Industri a l Projects, 1 1 (address) Ma l l i nckrodt Chemical Works, 8 p . Cooper, Arno l d C . , R& D Is More Efficient I n Sma l l Companies, Harvard Business Review, May-June 1964. Cor ley, Hoyt M . 11Commercia l Chemical Deve l opment, 11 Chemical Eng ineering, March 1 949, pp 1 24- 1 2 7 . "Cost Squeeze O n Researc h , " Chemical and Engineering News 36 No . 1 2 , March 1 958, 35 . !I Craver, J . K . 11Can We Do Without Th e l nnovator? 11 Chem ical Eng ineeri ng I Progress 6 1 , No . 1 0 , O ctober 1 965 , 24-26 . . Crawford , R . W . 11 The Probabi l ity Budget . . . A Closer Look At Your Future, " Chem ical Processing, �, No . 5, May 1 957, p . 1 5- 1 8 . . j Curtis, Francis J . r " Research and Deve l opmen t I n Th e Chem i cal I ndustry, II Journa l of Chem i ca l Education 27, March 1 950, p . 1 2 1 - 1 26 . "Cut Risks I n R&D Spend ing , 11 Chemical and Engi neering News, June 2, 1 958, p . 34 . . ' . I i 1 27 11 Defense Spend ing Trend Breeds Discord , 1 1 Chemica l and E ngi neering N ews, December 5, 1960. 1 1 Deta i Is Essentia l For Judging R&D Propose Is, 1 1 Chemica l a nd Eng i neeri ng N ews, January 17, 1966, p. 3. Deutsch , M ichae l J . " The Changi ng Pattern Of Chemical R& D, Eng i neering Progress, J u l y 1965, p . 31- 36. 11 Chemica l Disman , So l oman . " S e l ecting R&D Proj ects For Profit, 11 Chemi ca l Engi neeri ng, December 24, 1962, pp 87- 90. Dybda l , E . C . " Engi neering And Economic Eval uation Of Pro jects, 11 C hemica l Eng ineering Progress �No . 2, February 195 0, p . 57- 66. " Everyone N eeds A Budget, 11 Chemica l Week, February 195 6, p . 1 02- 103 . Ewe l l , Raymond H . " Post And Future Growth of the Ch em i ca l Industry, 11 Chem ica l a nd Eng ineering N ews, Dec . 10, 195 1, p. 5 228-5231. Ewe l l , Raymond H . " Ro l e of Research In Economic Growth , 1 1 Ch emica l and Engi neering N ews 33, No . 29, J u l y 18, 1955, pp 2980-2986. " Federa l R& D May Yie ld Fewer Products, 11 Ch emical and Engi neering N ews, August 9, 1965 . "Federa l R& D Spending Escapes Budget Axe , 1 1 Ch emical and Engi neering N ews, Jan . 31 , 1966, p . 16- 1 8 . " The 5 00 Largest U . S . I ndustria l Corporations, 11 Fortune , Ju l y 1965 . F lax, Alexander H . , " Th e Research Exp l osion , " Perspective (Cornel l Aero­ nautica l Laboratory, I n c : ) Th ird Quater 1965, p . 3-8 . l F leming, Charles L . "A Research Manager Needs Two Eyes, 11 Chem ica l and I Engi neering News, Aug . 12, 195 1, pp 48-54 . " FMC Launches New Research Group , 11 Ch emical and Engi neeri ng N ews, Nov . 19, 1962, p . 38-40. " Funds for Research and Development 195- 5 9" , N SF 5 9- 65 Nationa l Sci ence Foundation, December 195 9. I" 1 28 Furnas, C . C . {ed . ) . Research In I ndustry, New York: D. Van Nostrand, I nc ., 1 948 . Gersh inow itz, Haro l d . 11The Van ish ing Boundary Between Science and Tech nology, .. Chem i ca l and Eng i neering N ews, Jan . 28, 1 963, p . 56 . G i bson , We ldon B . 11Tech no- Economi cs - A Revised Check and Ba lance for Manageme nt of In dustrial Research Programs, 11 Industria l Laboratories, August 1 954, p . 7- 1 2 . G i lfoi l , W . S . and Rasm ussen , L . E . 11 Eng ineeri ng Assistance to Research and Deve l opment, 11 I ndustria l and Eng ineering Ch emistry 50, No . 9, Sept . 1 958, p . 62A-63A . G lennan, Thomas K . , J r . '' Po l i c ies for M i l itary Research and Development, 11 P- 3253, The Rand Corporation , November 1 965 . Hader, Rodney N . 11 Steering th e Research Course, 11 Ch em ical and Engineering News, editori a l , August 1 0, 1 964, p . 9 . H a lverstadt, Robert D . and Ch ristensen , Ri chard R . 11 F rom Project to Profi t, 11 Chemica l Eng ineering Progress, Apri l 1 966, p . 34- 38 . Harris, John S . 11 New Product Profi le Ch art, 11 Chemical and Engineering News, Apri l 1 7, 1 96 1 , pp" 1 1 0- 1 1 9; corrections May 1 , 1 961 , pp . 82-83 . Hengstebeck, R . J . and Sanders, W . W . 11Appraising Pro je cts for Resea rch , .. Chemica l and Eng ineering News , 36, No . 22, August 1 958 , p . 84-88 . 11H ere1s How To Eva l uate R& D, 11 Ch emica l an d Eng ineering News 35, No . 40, October 1 957, p . 44-46 . - Hertz , D . B . " Eng ineeri ng Research , " Chemical Engineering , January 1 947, pp . 1 1 8- 1 23 . · Heye l , C . . 11 How To Make R&D Pay, 11 Motivation Inc . , Springda le, Conn . 1 962 . H i l l , Wi l l iam E . and G ranger, Charles H . 11Managemen t Objectives and Bases , for Eva luation , " Chapter 2 Handbook of Industria l Research Manag ement, Carl Heye l {ed) , Re inho ld Pub lish ing Corp . , New York , 1 959, pp . 58-60 . n I, I, II 1 29 H i tchcock , lauren B . " Contract Resea rch : Cure For A Com ing Crisi s, " Chemica l Week, Dec . 1 3, 1 958, p . 93- 1 05 . Hodge, Me lvi l l e H . Jr . , " Rate Your Company's Research Productivity, " Harvard Business Review, Nov- Dec . 1 963, p. 1 09- 1 23 . " H oneymoon In R&D I s Over, " quote Rep . Melvin Pri ce ( D- 1 66) Chemica l and Engi neering News, Nov . 1 1 , 1 963, p . 1 9 . Horn ig , Dona ld F . " N ationa l Science Foundation, " Chem ical and Engineer­ ing N ews, J u l y 5, 1 965, p . 62-66 . " H ouse Group Wants NSF to Coordi nate Nation 's Science Resources, " Chemica l and Eng ineering News, January 1 7, 1 966 . " How Managemen t Looks at Researc h , " Ch em i ca l and Engi neeri ng News, Apri l 4, 1 960, p . 84-90 . " H ow Much For Research ? " Chem ica l Eng ineering, Nov . 1 956, p . 286 . " How Much Research Is Enough ? " Chemical Week , J u l y 2 1 , 1 962 , p . 87-88 . I I " H ow Resea rch Escaped the Economy Axe, " Ch emi ca l Week , March 2 1 , 1 959, p . 24 . " How To Pick A Project, 11 Ch em ica l and Engi neering News 37, No . 23, June 1 959, p . 34-36 . " How To P i c k Best Projects, " Ch emica l Engineering, Jan . 1 956 , p . 1 32 . " I nd ustria l R& D Outlays H i t $ 1 0 Bi l l ion , " Chem ica l and Engi neering News, Jan . 23, 1 96 1 , p . 23 . 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