Chapter 8 A da p t i n g S h i p O p e r at i o n s to E n e rg y C h a l l e n g e s 239 Mr. John Benedict I am going to provide a brief overview by focusing on each of the six framing topics identified here (see also Figure 1): • What are we trying to accomplish? • How do we measure success? Mr. John Benedict is currently a Fellow in the National Security Studies Office within the National Security Analysis Department (NSAD) at JHU/APL. Mr. Benedict has been focusing most recently on total ownership cost issues for surface combatants, U.S. Navy missions, and roles related to irregular warfare (IW), an Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD)-sponsored IW study to inform the Quadrennial Defense Review, and an OSD-sponsored study to evaluate missions and roles for the reserve component of the military. He has also recently investigated the national security implications of various future trends including climate change and global energy shortages. Previous to becoming a Fellow, Mr. Benedict served as the Head of the Joint Warfare Analysis Branch in NSAD. Mr. Benedict has extensive experience in Naval operations analysis, primarily in the area of undersea warfare (USW) with special emphases on antisubmarine warfare (ASW) and mine countermeasures. He has led numerous USW analyses including a 2006 Way Ahead in ASW study done for the Chief of Naval Operations (N8). He was a principal investigator in the mine warfare (MIW) assessment that was conducted by the Naval Studies Board in 2001. Throughout his career he has served as Study Director/ Lead Analyst for various analysis of alternatives efforts related to USW. Mr. Benedict gives regular tutorials at the Naval Postgraduate School on ASW, MIW, and other topics. He has had articles published in the Naval War College Review, the U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, The Submarine Review, the U.S. Navy Journal of Underwater Acoustics, the ASW Log, the Johns Hopkins APL Technical Digest, and other journals. He has an M.S. in numerical science from The Johns Hopkins University and a B.S. in mathematics from the University of Maryland. 240 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 • What technology enablers are we relying on? • Can we transition these technology enablers into key acquisition programs? • What operational and strategic impacts are we ultimately going to have? • What can go wrong with our plans? Figure 1. Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges— Overview (See Appendix for Details) In the paragraphs that follow, I’ll briefly address the key elements of each of these important topics. Additional supporting details are provided in the Appendix to this presentation. What are we trying to accomplish? Stated strategic objectives include strengthening energy security at Navy, joint, and national levels and achieving secure, sufficient, reliable, sustainable energy that reflects future mission requirements, force structure, and operating tempos. Other broad objectives are to conserve energy and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Stated operational objectives include enhancing combat capability and achieving a reduced logistics tail through the required operational and technological innovations that result in hopefully saving time, money, and lives. Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 241 Another broad objective is to diversify energy sources for enhanced resilience. Stated technical objectives include energy efficient acquisition, rapid adoption of technology as an early adopter, and improved tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs) and associated testing and adaptation of viable alternative energy sources. How do we measure success? Now let us turn to potential metrics for judging progress and success in this area. At a recent Military Operations Research Society special meeting on power and energy (P&E), it was agreed that a consistent methodology and framework was lacking but was definitely needed if the analysis community is to address P&E to the same extent that we address other important system performance measures. Modeling and simulation tools need to be updated accordingly. The fully burdened cost of fuel (FBCF) or energy (FBCE) needs to be understood better; it needs to be decomposed, defined, and standardized so that we can talk on a common playing field across the services and other DoD and government entities. Our analytic methods will need to include energy efficient Key Performance Parameters (KPPs) as well as the FBCF. Bottom line: we need to provide a more balanced view of total ownership cost, risk, and capabilities for P&E to help support decision makers in this area. What technology enablers are we relying on? Now let us look at the enabling technologies that the Navy is currently focusing on. This is just a short list of some of the things that are being addressed: improved prime mover efficiencies, hybrid electric drive (HED), alternative fuels, high-capacity energy storage, improved hull forms, advanced propellers, efficient energy and power conversion, improved power generation, high-energy and pulsed-power load development, all-electric ship power control and distribution, and, in some cases, possibly nuclear power and propulsion. You are going to hear a lot more about these topics from our panelists. 242 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 Can we transition these technology enablers into key acquisition programs? So what are some of the corresponding acquisition initiatives? I think you may have heard about some of these. LHD-8 Makin Island has been fitted with an electric auxiliary propulsion system. HED will be going on the USS Truxtun (DDG-103) as a proof of concept very soon. You have heard about increased use of biofuels, and time-phased goals have been stated. A variety of other fleet energy efficiency and conservation initiatives have been started. These include the energy dashboard, Smart Voyage Planning, synthetic training, incentivized energy conservation, and a variety of other measures to reduce power propulsion demands. One of the areas of keen interest is the integrated power system (IPS). We have seen commercial IPSs being put on logistic ships, and a military IPS is being incorporated onto the DDG-1000. A number of research and development initiatives are underway, and a roadmap has been developed for the next-generation IPS. The goal is to provide substantial benefit to warfighting, including providing power to enable future missions with high power demand. We will hear more about some of these from the panelists. What operational and strategic impacts are we ultimately going to have? The expected operational and strategic impacts of these various energy, power, and propulsion initiatives will be important, so I will examine them briefly here. We are taking the 80,000-foothigh strategic impact view, realizing that the Navy is just a part of an overall national and hopefully international effort. Obviously, the number one desired impact is to have more reliable supplies of energy. But when you think about recent foreign policy areas that have caused us grief, becoming more energy diverse will reduce the demand for petroleum and thereby engender fewer questionable alliances, fewer oil supply entanglements, less energy supply blackmail, and fewer perturbations to our national economy caused by oil price volatility. Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 243 As for the operational impacts on the Navy, we would like to see increased ship range, endurance, and tactical reach; a less vulnerable and burdensome logistics tail for ships; a reduction in the FBCF, which is part of our total ownership cost reduction program; and increased power and growth flexibility for next-generation weapons systems. Like Rear Admiral Philip Cullom, I will also cite the observation from the 2009 Global War Game summary that sea logistics lanes and bases are potentially an “Achilles’ heel” for the Navy. What can go wrong with our plans? What are the principal concerns or risks associated with successfully implementing the various energy-related initiatives that I have described? First of all, it occurs to me that without credible tools for computing metrics like the FBCF or total ownership costs, which admittedly have to be calculated out many years, decision makers will be very reluctant to make acquisition decisions in favor of ship energy, power, and propulsion initiatives whose payoff, whose return on investment (ROI), is many years away. So we need to improve our tools so that we can properly support decision makers in this area. Second, there is obviously a very significant need to monitor the technology readiness levels of many of the energy efficiency technologies and to carefully manage risk in this whole area. Third, I believe that the Navy, and the DoD as a whole for that matter, would benefit significantly from diversity in its fuel and energy sources. If one thing does not pan out as planned, something else will be available to take its place. It is obviously hard to predict the future, but you can bet that some of the alternative fuel sources will have their own set of vulnerabilities and dependencies. Appendix I. Energy, power, and propulsion objectives • Strategic objectives –– Partner with other services, government, industry, and academia to strengthen energy security at Navy, joint, and national levels –– Protect access to energy sources for our nation and our allies (i.e., secure, sufficient, reliable, sustainable energy) 244 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 –– Maintain a long-term perspective regarding energy security, accounting for future mission requirements, force structure, and operational tempo –– Conserve energy, develop alternative energy options, secure energy distribution, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions • Operational objectives –– Employ energy efficiency as a force multiplier for both enhanced combat capability and a reduced logistics tail –– Reduce full logistics tether through operational and technological modifications –– Reduce operational risks for logistics while saving time, money, and lives, enhancing both operational flexibility and sustainability –– Rely on diversified energy sources for enhanced military operation efficiency/resilience • Tactical (and technical) objectives –– Incorporate energy requirements into all phases of system development and acquisition, i.e., energy efficient acquisition –– Rapid adoption of technology and improved TTPs for energy efficiency –– Spearhead early testing and adaptation of viable alternative energy sources, e.g., alternative fuels seamlessly interchanged with petroleum-based fuel II. Potential metrics—ROI From a Recent Military Operations Research Society (MORS) special meeting on P&E: • A consistent methodology/framework (e.g., data, metrics, terminology, logic) is needed to address P&E with regard to operational effectiveness across the spectrum of required models • Modeling and simulation tools should be updated accordingly to keep pace with developing P&E technologies • The elements of FBCF* or FBCE should be decomposed, defined, and standardized to provide a common understanding (e.g., for the force protection/attrition part of FBCF) * Definition according to the Office of the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense Acquisition and Technology is: “FBCF is the commodity price plus the total Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 245 • Analytic methods are required to derive energy efficiency KPPs** and FBCF and should be employed to set capability and cost metrics (objectives/thresholds) for acquisition programs • Bottom line: Analytic tools and metrics are needed to provide a balanced view of total ownership costs, risks, and capabilities for P&E in support of decision makers III. Illustrative enabling technologies for energy/power/ propulsion • Improved prime mover efficiencies, e.g., combined diesel and gas turbine plants and podded propulsion for new ship designs • HED for greater efficiency at low speeds and low electric loads • New/alternative fuels, e.g., sustainable non-petroleum-based fuel • Rechargeable high-capacity energy storage, e.g., advanced battery and capacitors to enable ultrahigh P&E densities • New/improved hull forms and designs for greater efficiencies at various speeds and increased range/endurance • Advanced propeller designs/improved propulsive efficiency • Efficient P&E conversion, e.g., high-power-density electrical power conversion and thermal management • Improved power generation, e.g., advanced gas turbine engines/generators, high-efficiency/reliable/high-power-density fuel cell systems • High-energy and pulsed-power load development for advanced combat systems • All-electric ship power control and distribution, i.e., integration of ship service electrical power and propulsive power for greater overall efficiency by using same distribution system (e.g., for pulsed-power switching and control system in support of advanced weapon systems) • Nuclear power/propulsion life cycle cost of all people and assets required to move and protect fuel from the point of sale to the end user.” Note: FBCF use in life cycle operations and support has been codified in DoD 5000.02. ** Energy efficiency KPPs are called out in CJCS 3170.01F to be “selectively implemented”—in other words, slowly applied to programs. 246 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 IV. Illustrative acquisition initiatives for energy/power/ propulsion • USS Makin Island (LHD 8) with an electric auxiliary propulsion system that enables efficient low-speed operations (up to 75% of time deployed) • Goal for HED on DDG-51 (USS Truxtun) by 2012 (as part of a proof of concept) with potential cost savings at low speeds • Increased use of biofuels in fleet with ambitious time-phased goals: –– 2012: Green Strike Group with all ships certified to run on 50/50 biofuel blend –– 2016: Green Strike Fleet with all ships containing full load of biofuel plus HED DDG –– 2020: 50% of Department of the Navy energy consumption will come from alternative energy sources • Other fleet energy efficiency and conservation initiatives, e.g., –– The energy dashboard to monitor power and fuel consumption –– Smart Voyage Planning software for all ships –– Expanded use of synthetic training for ships to reduce fuel consumption –– Combustion trim loop on L-ships –– Stern flaps, bulbous bows, hull and propeller coatings, propeller redesign, and other measures to reduce propulsion power demands –– Incentivized Energy Conservation (I-ENCON) program • IPS –– Commercial IPS on T-AKE 1 –– Military IPS incorporated into DDG-1000 –– Next-Generation IPS (NGIPS) Research, Development, Test & Evaluation, Navy funding to enable, for example, more efficient prime mover operations, opportunities for propulsion efficiency, integration of fuel cell technology for ship applications, and very-high-powered mission systems in the future Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges V. 247 Potential operational (and strategic) impact from energy/power/propulsion initiatives • Potential strategic impact (as part of an overall national effort) of lessening dependence on foreign oil/energy with very large implications for military/U.S. Navy deployments and utilizations in the future –– More reliable supplies of energy, i.e., more assured energy access in the future –– Less contesting for petroleum energy sources between nations –– Fewer questionable alliances with autocratic regimes to ensure access to their oil supplies –– Fewer oil supply entanglements influencing our foreign policy (e.g., today’s Middle East) –– Less energy supply blackmail by bad actors empowered by energy (e.g., oil, gas) wealth –– Less adverse perturbations to our national debt and economy caused by oil price volatility • Potential operational impact on Navy of successful energy efficiency efforts –– Increased ship range and endurance, i.e., expanding tactical reach through efficiency –– Less vulnerable/burdensome logistics tail for ships—frees up combat forces for key missions (less logistics protection needs), i.e., increased combat flexibility/effectiveness –– Reduction in FBCF by not over-relying on volatile oil market –– $10 increase in barrel of oil increases the Navy fuel bill by about $300 million –– Reduced fuel/energy costs could mean more funds available for procurement, training, and maintenance –– Increased power/growth flexibility for next-generation weapon systems (e.g., very-high-powered radars, electromagnetic rail guns, free-electron laser systems) • From a participant at a Naval War College wargame exercise: “Sea control of logistics lanes, as well as defense of related logistics bases, were as important or more important than sea control of the main objective area . . . [i.e., a potential Achilles’ Heel]” 248 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 VI. Concerns/issues/risks to manage related to energy/ power/propulsion initiatives • Analysis/acquisition decision support –– Need reliable tools to compute FBCF(E)—the current state of the art in this area appears suspect (i.e., insufficient rigor and discipline) –– Without credible tools for computing FBCF(E) and total ownership cost, decision makers will be reluctant to make acquisition decisions in favor of ship energy, power, and propulsion initiatives whose payoff (ROI) may be many years away –– It is also not clear whether energy efficiency-related KPPs will be as strongly enforced as other KPPs (related to ship and combat system capabilities), e.g., potentially resulting in the cancellation of a program • Many enabling technologies –– Technology readiness levels (TRLs) for key enabling ship energy, power, and propulsion technologies must be carefully monitored/managed –– For example, the NGIPS roadmap appears to be a good initial step in prioritizing and tracking related technology developments • Alternative (non-petroleum-based) fuels –– Putting the requisite infrastructure in place in the near- to midterm could be a significant challenge –– Technical hurdles and economic constraints could greatly limit how rapidly alternative fuel sources can replace (vice augment) fossil fuel-based energy on Navy ships –– Uncertain whether these alternative fuel sources will pose their own set of vulnerabilities/dependencies (albeit with a smaller carbon footprint) 249 Rear Admiral Joe Carnevale To begin, let me make a couple of observations, one at the microscopic level and one at the macroscopic level. I bought a new computer on Friday, and I have spent the whole weekend trying to get all the software up on it and transferring data from the old computer. I had it custom built at a local shop; I told them I wanted a fast central processing unit (CPU), Windows 7, a 64-bit Rear Admiral Joe Carnevale represents Shipbuilders Council of America before Congress, the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Coast Guard, and other federal agencies, applying over 30 years of experience to defense acquisition issues. He actively participates in a variety of ship maintenance and construction issues including the surface ship maintenance budget, the shipbuilding budget, multi-ship/multi-option contracting, the Naval Technical Committee, Naval Vessel Rules, ship-building issues specific to ship classes, and many other important issues affecting the ship building and repair industrial base. Prior to joining Shipbuilders Council of America in June 2005, Rear Admiral Carnevale led the professional services division of one of the fastest-growing Fortune 500 companies. He served as Director of Fleet Maintenance for the Commander, Fleet Forces Command where he addressed the complete range of fleet maintenance issues as well as the recovery operation for USS Cole (DDG 67). As Program Executive Officer (DD 21) for the Assistant Secretary of the Navy (Research, Development, and Acquisition), he led the development of the next-generation U.S. Navy surface combatant. He has directly participated in the construction of six different ship classes. After graduating from the University of Massachusetts with a B.S. in chemical engineering in 1971, Rear Admiral Carnevale joined the Navy, participating in combat operations in Vietnam. He attended the Massachusetts Institute of Technology where he earned two postgraduate degrees (an M.S. in naval architecture and marine engineering and an ocean engineer’s degree in 1980). He was promoted to the rank of Rear Admiral (lower half) in 1998. 250 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 operating system with 16 megabits of random-access memory, a 1-terabyte drive, a high-end video card with multiple CPUs, and a cabinet with a lot of fans. I ended up with seven fans: five in the cabinet, one on my video card, and a big fan on my CPU. Of course, you know what fans mean? Fans mean heat. You have to get rid of all the heat that your computer is generating, and of course, heat is proportional to the power that you are using. So, I had to have a high-end power supply. Five years ago, my computer had a 500-watt power supply; the one I bought on Friday has a 700-watt power supply, a 40% increase. So, at the microscopic level, it is all about energy. It adds up—every little bit of it. Now, let us take a more macroscopic view. Several years ago, I read an article in Technology Review that observed that when India’s standard of living reaches the current level of Belgium, world demand for energy will have doubled. So add up all those little CPUs and fans all over the United States and all over the world— because people are constantly upgrading and getting more and more and more power—and it is all about energy. I am the one and only industry speaker you are going to hear on this panel. The bad news is I am not a fuels guy; I am a shipyard guy, so bear with me. The good news is that my briefing slides are not going to test your reading skills. The Shipbuilder’s Council of America represents about 43 companies with over 100 shipyards around the United States—East Coast, West Coast, Gulf Coast, Hawaii, Alaska, and inland waterways. Those yards deal in commercial work as well as in government work for the Navy, the Coast Guard, the Army, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and in some other activities. We also deal in new construction and in repair, maintenance, and modernization. We have companies that deal in all of these areas. We have other companies that deal in only one. So what does industry want out of all of this? To be blunt, industry wants profitable contracts, and I must be the industry guy because I just mentioned the P word. Industry also wants the opportunity to perform. That is critical because that establishes industry’s relationship and credibility with its customer; industry lives on having a good customer base. In order to perform, industry Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 251 would like stability; they would like to get on a learning curve. In acquisition, the best way to get cost down is pretty simple. The best way to control costs is to fix your requirements before you start the design, complete your design before you start production, and then start construction and get into series production so you can get on the learning curve and get down the learning curve. I am going to talk about two parts of the industry—the shipyards, which is the part I deal with most, and then the whole host of vendors and research and development (R&D) organizations— the brainy people who have all kinds of good ideas. While I am going to put everything in the context of shipyards and shipbuilding, what I present should be applicable to aviation, ground vehicles, and even major software procurements. The absolute first thing we need to do is to set the requirement. If you do not do that, your program is in big trouble if not dead on arrival. The encouraging thing with regard to the requirements associated with the Navy’s use of energy is that we have Rear Admiral Philip Cullom, the Director of Energy and Environmental Readiness Division, and an organization that is focused and dedicated to addressing the appropriate issues. So that is good news. Fortunately, too, industry is making a lot of contributions. Industry is coming up with ideas on how to improve hull forms and appendages on the hull, how to improve both main and auxiliary propulsion, and the use of green fuels. Industry is also looking at ship operating procedures. While industry has a lot of ideas, some big and some small, the problem is there are lots of barriers (Figure 1). I am sure most of you know about at least some of these barriers. In the case of timing, for example, you think you have got a great idea and a great platform, but the timing is just off. You cannot get your idea into the program, you are too late, you missed the window, there is not enough money, or there is no allocation for that. There are all kinds of organizational wickets you have to go through. When I used to teach acquisition to young engineering duty officers, I would tell them that it has taken 40 years to make acquisition this hard and it could not have been done in a day less. 252 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 Figure 1. Lots of Barriers Joe Carnevale’s third law of bureaucracies is that every time you move the boxes around, you get more boxes. That is what we have been doing for 40 years, so you have all these activities that are there trying to do a good job and trying to make sure that they weigh into the process. As a result, you get a lot of people weighing in, and you need facilitators to move through this obstacle course to take those great ideas and actually get them aboard steel hulls. Fortunately, what you are going to hear about today are people who are facilitating the process and are being successful at moving their ideas through the process. From my perspective, if you want to lock this process in concrete, you really have to take a systematic approach. You need Key Performance Parameters (KPPs) that pertain to fuel cost, to manning, and to maintainability. While fuel cost is an enormously important part of this, you cannot focus on it exclusively. Manning and maintainability are also key focus areas for the Navy right now. Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 253 My thought is that from the very beginning of a program, you need to allocate dollars, both for development and for acquisition, and you have to allocate displacement, center of gravity, and volume. If you want to get improved energy efficiencies, you are going to need to make adjustments within the allowable margins for all of these factors. If you want to improve maintainability, you are also going to need all these things. If you to want to address manning issues or improve the quality of life for our sailors, you are going to need all these things. If your requirements say that you have to have a 5-inch gun, then you have to fit it in within allowable margins. During the development process, someone will have to make the necessary allocations: I have to have this much development, this much acquisition, this much volume, displacement, lay down—it will all have to be spelled out, and it will all have to be allocated. But if you want to improve the energy efficiency of your ship, no one will allocate any of those things right now. And if you do not allocate any of these things, then how is the program manager going to approach taking those great ideas and implementing them onboard his ships? So you start by establishing clear performance parameters, and you have to measure those performance parameters throughout the life of the program. Then, most importantly, you have to grade the Navy and industry program managers in terms of their success in attaining desired performance levels. You have to determine how well they are applying the allocations that they have been given to improving the fuel efficiencies of their platforms, whether that platform is a ship, an aircraft, or an armored vehicle. You have to ask: How much displacement, how much volume, how much acquisition cost did they invest in improving fuel efficiencies, and how much fuel efficiency did they get? They needed the allocations to take those ideas and get them through the program, and then they needed to be graded against that to see how well they did. And all of those things have to relate back to the KPPs. In my mind, that is the way to build lanes through the barriers so that everyone understands from the beginning that there are requirements to improve fuel efficiencies, to reduce total ownership 254 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 cost by improving fuel efficiency, to make manning more efficient, and to improve maintainability (Figure 2). You have the requirements, you have allocated the resources, and you will be measuring the programs against those improvements and reporting back. Doing those things should provide lanes through this very, very difficult process that we deal with in getting things into the fleet. Figure 2. Build a Path Through the Barriers 255 Mr. Howard Fireman As the Executive Secretary of the Resources and Requirements Review Board (R3B), I am part of the process police that Rear Admiral Joe Carnevale mentioned in this presentation. The good news, from my perspective, is that I get to see everything—ships, Mr. Howard Fireman assumed his current position as the Deputy Director of the Navy Programming Division on the Chief of Naval Operations (CNO) staff in 2009. He also serves as the Executive Secretary for the Resources and Requirements Review Board. Previously, Mr. Fireman was the senior civilian responsible for Surface Ship Design and Systems Engineering at the Naval Sea Systems Command, where he was also appointed as Chief Systems Engineer for Ships and as the Deputy Warranting Officer. During this time he served as the NATO Chairman for Ship Design and Mobility and was Technical Project Officer. In 2001, Mr. Fireman served as the Special Assistant for Science and Technology to the CNO Executive Panel until he became a member of Senior Executive Service for the Naval Sea System Command and worked as the Director for the In-Service Submarine Programs. He was selected as the Science and Technology Advisor for the Commander of Seventh Fleet and worked aboard USS Blue Ridge in Yokosuka, Japan, from 1999 until 2001. He was Seventh Fleet’s Chief Technology Officer. In 1994, Mr. Fireman was selected as the Acquisition Program Manager for the San Antonio (LPD17) Program. Mr. Fireman has B.S.E. and M.S.E. degrees in naval architecture and marine engineering from the University of Michigan. In 1993, he earned his M.S. degree in technical management from The Johns Hopkins University. Mr. Fireman’s awards include the University of Michigan Department of Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering Rosenblatt-Michigan Alumni Award (2010) and Bill Zimmie Award (2008), the American Society of Naval Engineers Gold Medal (2006), the Meritorious Presidential Rank Award, two Navy Superior Civilian Service Awards, the Navy Meritorious Civilian Service Award, and the Department of the Navy Competition and Procurement Excellence Award. 256 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 airplanes, unmanned systems, information technology. It is a good place to be. One of the things that the R3B does is serve as the gatekeeper. The R3B reviews Key Performance Parameters. We also review Key System Attributes, the guidance for analyses of alternatives (AoAs), and the Initial Capabilities Documents (ICDs). We just did exactly that in a series of 10 R3Bs looking across the whole set of Navy programs in support of the Navy Program Objective Memorandum (POM) being developed for FY2013. Figure 1. Alternative Design Objectives As Rear Admiral Carnevale mentioned, it is about getting the requirement right. So, we have to ask first, what is our objective (Figure 1)? Do we want to go fast? Do we want to survive? What is it that we want? What is important to the Navy? Based on what we want, we see different things that are potential options. Each of these will result in different shipboard architectures and subsystem designs and components. Then if you want to have effectiveness, Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 257 you have to address onboard training, use of simulations, time on station, and ultimately the size of your fuel tank. If life cycle is the objective, then there is another set of parameters we need to look at. As one of my old bosses used to say, a problem well defined is a problem half answered. A lot of things that used to fall out the tail end are what we do up front. So, we insist on putting the analytical piece up front and making sure that we have the appropriate tools to do that. I am okay with putting money in the development of the analytical tools we need. To reiterate, we need to start by identifying our objective. Once we have that, we get into the process of specifications and having the design done before we start building it. We have to figure things out early so that we can determine precisely what the requirements mean. We have to have good analysis done up front using the right tools so that the decision makers can make the right call. If we have done all that correctly, the process should get easier, and then 20 years from now, no one will be disappointed with what comes out the other end. Figure 2. SECNAVINST 5000.2D [1] 258 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 The formal process we use in the Navy is laid out in Secretary of the Navy Instruction (SECNAVINST) 5000.2D (Figure 2), which was signed out by Dr. Donald Winter in 2008. [1] The process lays out six different gates that we go through, and they are very, very important. Where Office of the Chief of Naval Operations (OPNAV) gets to play pretty heavily in the process is in gates 1, 2, and 3. Those gates focus primarily on capabilities and requirements; thus, they address the Capability Development Document (CDD) and the system concept of operations (CONOPS). The R3B sessions for gates 1, 2, and 3 are typically chaired by my boss, Vice Admiral John Terence Blake, the N8. Following gate 3, we get into engineering and architecture development and what we call the System Design Specification (SDS), which you see next to gate 4. That is where the analysis falls out, and that is how architectures are developed. We have to make certain that the SDS has the right systems and components in it, because we are essentially locking in significant parts of the design for a very long time. It is important to get it right early in the preliminary design stage. The Honorable Sean Stackley, Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Research, Development and Acquisition, chairs gates 4, 5, and 6. One of the key elements prior to gate 1 is the capability based assessment (CBA); I will talk a little bit more about that shortly when I address some of the likely climate impacts on ship design. During the CBA, we try to open the aperture and see where we are headed. A CBA, for example, could tell us that we need to invest in science and technology (S&T) before we start thinking about building some key subsystem or component. We have to know that early before we even get to what gap we have or whatever system we want to fuel because the Office of Naval Research may need a 5-year head start. The linkage between what we want to do and the capabilities based assessment should be a stimulator of the S&T process as well as to the acquisition process. If a key system or component is not at the technology readiness level (TRL)—if it is not mature enough— forget everything after gate 3 because it is never going to get on the program. It is too late for whatever it is to ride that bus. So getting Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 259 things in line among S&T, acquisition, engineering, requirements, and capabilities is very, very important. Now let us get into energy (Figure 3). It is all about questions like what is the ship supposed to do, what is its mission, what is the CONOPS, what is the operating tempo, how much time is spent steaming, how much time is spent in the threat environment, and what radar resources do you need? So you have to worry about mission profile and operating tempo. While the design process is obviously complex, if you get it figured up front, what comes out the other end should not be a surprise and will probably meet expectations. Figure 3. Energy Requirements As I indicated, the overall ship architecture will be driven by the specific problem we are trying to solve. That will lead to the requirements and then to the specifications and components. We will also need the appropriate linkages to S&T investment to ensure that we can meet all those requirements. We will invariably want to have the most efficient system, use the least volume, and have the least displacement. And, we will need to remember that as the ship gets heavier, we have to push it through the water, and the 260 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 faster we want to go, the more energy we need. As you can see, we have a very complex system of systems problem. Now let me turn briefly to the impact of climate on ship operations. As you may know, we have developed an Arctic Roadmap to help us get our pieces up front (Figure 4). [2] One of the key elements of that roadmap is a capabilities based assessment, which I think you will hear more about in Rear Admiral David Titley’s presentation. The CBA will describe what we are trying to do, which will then lead into our gap analysis—our assessment of whether our current systems meet requirements or whether we need new widgets. Eventually the roadmap will get us down to the solutions that we require. But, everyone has to be on board, and I guess there are a lot of boxes, and yes, there is a lot of complexity. But again, if we are going to invest billions of dollars, we really do need to get the right type of analysis up front and early. Figure 4. Arctic Roadmap We also need to focus on identifying the knee in the curve of cost versus capability. And to do that, we have to have the right tools. I bet if I were to ask each of you to give me a definition of total ownership cost, I would get 15 or 20 different definitions, Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 261 maybe even more. So, we have to make sure we have defined things properly and that we are accounting for all of the appropriate costs. REFERENCES 1. The Secretary of the Navy, SECNAV Instruction 5000.2D, 2008, http://doni.daps.dla.mil/directives/05000 general management security and safety services/05-00 general admin and management support/5000.2d.pdf. 2. Department of the Navy, Navy Arctic Roadmap, 10 Nov 2009, http://www.navy.mil/navydata/documents/USN_artic_ roadmap.pdf. 262 Dr. John Pazik I am really encouraged to be on this panel today because as Rear Admiral Philip Cullom said, if we want to make changes in Navy culture, acquisition, and operations, all the participants have Dr. John Pazik is the Director of the Ship Systems and Engineering Science and Technology Division at the Office of Naval Research (ONR) and leads a group of scientists and engineers involved in the development of technologies for advanced naval power systems, platform survivability, advanced platform concepts, and sea base enablers. Dr. Pazik is responsible for a portfolio of basic, applied, and advanced technology development programs that range from topics in nanotechnology to aircraft carrier technologies. Dr. Pazik is currently engaged in development of science and technology strategy for incorporation into the Navy’s Next Generation Integrated Power Systems (NGIPS) master plan. As the Navy’s Science and Technology Advanced Naval Power and Energy lead, he has worked extensively with the Office of the Secretary of Defense and the services to coordinate and plan power and energy programs. Dr. Pazik was promoted to Senior Executive Service in December 2002. Previously, Dr. Pazik was Director of the Physical Sciences Division at ONR. As Director of Physical Sciences, Dr. Pazik focused resources on power and energy transfer and environmental quality to address future Naval needs in these areas. Prior to his selection to the Senior Executive Service, Dr. Pazik was a program officer at ONR where he developed and managed programs in nanotechnology, solid state chemistry, electronic materials, and thermoelectric materials and devices. As a program officer at ONR, he developed and managed joint programs with DARPA. From 1989 to 1992, Dr. Pazik was a member of the technical staff at the Naval Research Laboratory. Dr. Pazik received a bachelor’s degree in chemistry from the State University College of New York (SUNY) at Fredonia in May 1982. He received his doctorate degree from the SUNY Buffalo in the area of inorganic chemistry in May 1987. He was an American Society for Engineering Education postdoctoral fellow at the Naval Research Laboratory in June 1987. Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 263 to come to the table. I think this panel brings the right participants together. We have the warfighting customer, we have the acquisition procurement officer, and we have industry—the ultimate source for the products we need to buy. And I represent the science and technology (S&T) enabler who puts forward the underlying concepts that we are going to want to rely on in the future. Let me begin by briefly reviewing the history of electric power aboard U.S. Navy ships and the approach for managing how we use that power. Electric power is clearly one of our critical enablers. Starting at the bottom then, the USS New Mexico was actually the first capital ship that really had an integrated power system associated with it (Figure 1). We started our processes prior to that with the USS Jupiter, a bulk cargo carrier. We tend to get our feet wet by using our logistics platforms as experimentation laboratories for many of the new technologies that we look at. The USS Trenton was the first ship that had electric lights installed on board—238 light sockets. It was also one of the first hybrid ships. It obviously had sails, and in the middle of the deck, you can see the exhaust for the steam engine. That exhaust stack actually could be raised or lowered depending on whether or not the steam engine was being used for power. Figure 1. History of U.S. Navy Electric Ships 264 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 I wanted to stop at the Trenton because it also brings together climate change and energy in a different way, but probably not one of the more positive ways: the USS Trenton was lost in a hurricane off Samoa. I say that in a way that is a little bit tongue in cheek, but part of what we are doing outside of the energy areas in terms of climate change is looking at what the conditions are in the areas where we are going to be operating. As we have heard, within a few decades we will no longer have year-round ice in the Arctic. How is that going to affect weather conditions and sea states? How is that going to affect ice coverage and other issues associated with our platforms? The operational conditions that we expect to encounter affect how we design a platform, not just from the electrical perspective, but also from the perspective of structures and mechanical systems. Moving on to today (Figure 2), LHD-8 is a great example of a hybrid electric drive that is achieving $2 million in fuel savings relative to a modern steam plant. We first got our feet wet in these areas with T-AKE 1 and now are moving on to the DDG-1000, which is going to be an integrated power system with 78 megawatts of power. Figure 2. Today’s U.S. Navy Electric Ships Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 265 Let me just quickly remind you what the Office of Naval Research (ONR) does. When it comes to energy, the Navy, and the DoD’s use for energy, we have an app for that. So for anything that you want to put energy on, we have a way to do that. What we are trying to do at ONR, and within the S&T community across the department, is to look at programs that solve those applications, either by providing a variety of energy sources for us to use or by increasing the efficiency of our platforms and thereby reducing our demand for the fuels that we have (Figure 3). Figure 3. Naval S&T Strategic Plan [1] So we go from supporting development of quick enabling technologies, like solid-state lighting, through fundamental work that looks, for example, at new materials for exhaust heat recovery. We look at fuels and other energy sources and at how we take that fuel and generate electricity in some form or another (Figure 4). We also look at the types of energy storage media that are available. And, we look at the different types of radars and weapons that we are going to have aboard ship. We know that we are going to have some baseline load and that we are going to have to handle peak loads as well. So the storage piece is going to be a critical component. Then we have to have the distribution and control network because, as I will show you in a few moments, it is not just about 266 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 installing a generator and hooking it up to our propulsor. It is about integrating it into the platform and getting the right power at the right time at the right place, and electrical distribution is key to that. Figure 4. Power and Energy Technologies Ultimately, the S&T community has to address the loads piece. What can we do to enable our designers to create more energy efficient ships? Whether it is a new hull form, whether it is stern flaps, or whether it is a new coating that reduces bio-fouling, which causes a significant amount of drag, all these things add up. Said another way, we look at both the near term and the far term (Figure 5). We are planning ahead for a Navy that is going to have more electric weapons and that is going to have highpower radars. But, we cannot just continue to add energy sources to our ships. The rules that we have in front of us now are different. We need to have an increasing amount of capability; we will have greater loads due to our use of advanced radars and advanced electric weapon systems, but we have to reduce the amount of fuel we use. That is the challenge that has been put in front of the S&T community, the research and development community, and the United States as a whole: how do we use less and still increase our capability? Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 267 Figure 5. S&T Energy Investments One of the things that we are talking about is the Next Generation Integrated Power System (Figure 6). We are looking at this because we do not want the radar system to bring its own generator set with it, and we do not want the rail gun to bring its own generator set with it. We do not have room. So we have to be able to figure out the layout of the platform that meets those needs while satisfying design constraints on ship volume and center of gravity. Figure 6. Advanced Electric Warship Next Generation Integrated Power System (NGIPS) 268 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 The Next Generation Integrated Power System is a way of ensuring that we use a given amount of installed energy most efficiently. Regardless of whatever level of installed power we have— say it is 78 megawatts like on a DDG-1000—that power is not going to be directed in only one direction. We need to be able to direct it in multiple directions. We need to be able to add different timescales, and that means we are going to have to have energy storage capabilities on the platform. That storage will not just be in the fuel; it might be batteries, capacitors, and flywheels. We are going to have to direct the energy from our generators into our propulsion system at one point, a millisecond later we are going to have to be able to fire an electric weapon, and at the same time we are going to have to have broadband radar coverage with our advanced radar systems. We are going to have to be able to move that energy around, and the power electronics and distribution and control systems necessary to do that are some of the S&T thrusts that we are now working on. What can we do to make sure we achieve our goals in these areas? Our approach is to apply the design paradigm that Mr. Howard Fireman described earlier. Let us take a quick look at designing the electrical architecture for a ship, admittedly a very difficult task. We know we are going to need power for weapons and for radar systems. We know we would like to avoid bringing separate power sources for those capabilities, and we want to have an integrated activity. How do we do that within the design constraints and spaces that we have for a platform given its requirements for speed, range, and payload? Right now we effectively create a rough specification for the ship and then we think in detail about the machinery, the intakes, the uptakes, and the mission spaces and how we set those out to actually have an effective platform. Currently, we do not have a great tool that allows us to determine whether, if we use this architecture with these components aboard, it is going to fit in this platform, it is going to be able to make this speed, and it is going to be able to have this mission set aboard (Figure 7). We need to have an iterative process so that we can iterate the design as many times as needed and thereby Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 269 optimize the solution space that we have between what the warfighter needs and what our acquisition community can afford. That design tool is going to be a crucial piece, and it is one of the things that we are looking at from the S&T perspective. So, our job is not just about developing the hardware and the components, it is also about bringing the right design tools to the table so that we can take those components and put them into a platform and then take those platforms and put them into an overall scenario that includes energy and power and how we operate as a Navy and as a DoD. Figure 7. Today, We Have No Reliable Method or Tool The Ship Smart-System Design (S3D) is one of our tools that we are working on, primarily with the university community and with an industrial partnership associated with that community. We ultimately want to bring that design capability to the electrical architecture and its interfaces with combat systems. We also want to address manning requirements and the platform’s operational capabilities as well as construction, testing, training, and finally ship delivery and service life to include maintenance and future upgrades (Figure 8). One of the things that we have embarked upon is an electric ship research and development consortium that includes a number of universities partnered with an advisory board from industry 270 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 (Figure 9). That latter element is critical for ensuring that the academic community understands what industry wants to be able to do but also for providing the connections so that industry knows what is coming out of the design community. Figure 8. Future Vision of Shipboard Electrical Design Development Process Figure 9. Electric Ship Research and Development Consortium Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 271 One of the things the consortium is doing is creating a center for incorporating hardware-in-the-loop capabilities into our design models and simulations. This is particularly important given the cost associated with the actual testing all of the individual components that we have to do before we can assure that they are safe for use aboard ship. If we can create models and verify that those models truly represent what those systems do, then we can reduce the cost of our testing activities. In addition to the things that I have already discussed, ONR is also looking at some far-out things (Figure 10), including the variable acquisition motor system for unmanned aircraft mentioned by Rear Admiral Cullom. We are also looking at the whole spectrum of unmanned vehicles. We want to have unmanned capability undersea. We want to extend the range and the lifetime of our unmanned vehicles. The power system and the control system are key to making that happen. Figure 10. Other Power and Energy Considerations There are also a number of secondary things that we need to look at that impact efficiency and affordability. These range from 272 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 hull husbandry to the type of cabling that we install aboard the ship. All these things factor into the energy needs, the cost, and the efficiency of the platform. It is getting down that user demand. So in summary, I think from an S&T perspective, we are at a good place with this power and energy portfolio right now, and I think it is a good paradigm for where we need to go in the future. We need to partner across our various constituencies, understand what the needs are, and also inform them about the capabilities that we are developing. As Rear Admiral Cullom stated, we need strong partnerships. At the ARPA-E Energy Innovation Summit a couple of weeks ago, the Secretary of the Navy announced that the Navy was establishing a partnership activity with ARPA-E in hybrid energy storage. It is important that we continue to establish these types of collaborations, because none of us can do it alone. It has to be a U.S. government effort, and we have to look at what all our partner agencies are doing. We have to take a holistic approach to efficiency 1% at a time. At the same time, we have to understand that the key aspects are at that front end. Sixty percent is the greatest efficiency you are going to get from a gas turbine generator on a good day. Then, when you look at where that energy goes, you discover that 99% is lost in drag and other activities at the end of the cycle. So we have to attack the back end of the process as well. The Navy’s S&T community is working well with the acquisition community to develop hybrid electric drive, to deploy the Green Fleet, and to conduct the Green Strike Group demo. In short, we have those essential close partnerships with our colleagues at Naval Sea Systems Command and the Office of the Chief of Naval Operations. REFERENCE 1. Office of Naval Research, Naval Science & Technology Strategic Plan, http://www.onr.navy.mil/en/About-ONR/sciencetechnology-strategic-plan.aspx. 273 Mr. Glen Sturtevant I am going to try to convince Rear Admiral Joe Carnevale that this program executive office is not a barrier to getting new ideas to the fleet. I will begin by spending a few minutes describing some of Mr. Glen Sturtevant is the Director for Science and Technology assigned to the United States Navy Department’s Program Executive Office for Ships. He graduated from College du Leman in Geneva, Switzerland, earned a B.S. degree in civil engineering from the University of Delaware, and earned an M.S. degree in public management from Indiana University. He has completed Program Management and Engineering programs of study at National Defense University, Webb Institute of Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering, and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Mr. Sturtevant began his career with the Department of the Navy in 1978 as a Project Engineer at Philadelphia Naval Shipyard. In 1983 he was assigned to the Surface Ships Directorate at Naval Sea Systems Command Headquarters in Arlington, Virginia, where he was a Project Manager. In 1987 he was assigned to the Aegis Shipbuilding Program (PMS 400) where he held several managerial positions, and from 1998 to 2004, he was Program Manager for the Navy’s Smartship Program. His current duties include Senior Advisor for Energy to the Program Executive Office (PEO) and Naval Sea Systems Command Deputy Commander for Surface Warfare, Project Manager for the DDG 51 Hybrid Electric Drive Proof of Concept Project, and the PEO’s Small Business Innovative Research Program. He is a member of the American Society of Naval Engineers, the World Scientific Engineering Academy and Society, the Surface Navy Association, the American Management Association, and the Navy League of the United States and has served on the Association of Scientists and Engineers Professional Development Committee and as Chairman of the Science and Education Committee. Mr. Sturtevant has received the Association of Scientists and Engineers Professional Achievement Award, the Office of the Secretary of Defense’s Aegis Cruiser Reduced Total Ownership Cost Award, and the individual Aegis Excellence Award. 274 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 the operational testing we are doing to reduce the risk associated with the follow-on acquisition of some important technologies. In my view, there are three key things to think about. I believe that the energy imperative is now driving innovation, but I submit to you that the real innovation is in the application of that technology. Secondly, I think we all need to adapt faster. We should not be forcing the adaptation on the back of the operators in the fleet; the Office of the Chief of Naval Operations staff resources requirements, the Office of Naval Research, scientific research, technology development, the shipbuilders, the program executive offices, and the systems commands need to adapt faster if we are going to get ahead of the power curve with respect to energy. And lastly, if you think you understand all of the consequences of your decisions today, then I submit you are wrong. We adapted this idea from commercial shipping. We start easy. Basically, we are going to go out and survey our ships. It is all about collecting the data, making improvements, and then validating those improvements. It is basic stuff. We design ships—the best ships in the world. But I will tell you, we really do not know where the energy goes today. We know how we design our ships and where the electricity and fuel goes for those designs, but many of our existing ships are 10, 15, 20, or 25 years old, and we really do not know where the energy goes. So we are going to find out. We are going to measure it. We originally called it an audit, but the crews did not like the word “audit,” so we are calling it an energy survey. We are starting simple to make sure we are chasing the sweet spot and not some red herrings and to make sure we are not investing in the wrong areas for improvement. I am going to talk about four technologies. As you will see, we have adapted a lot of things from commercial shipping, from the airline industry, and from government and industry labs. I am going to talk about a handful of these and what we are doing today, how we trying to get operational feedback, and how we plan to reduce risks for the follow-on acquisition programs. So here is the list. As you can see (Figure 1), we have categorized these technologies according to their expected availability—be it 2012, 2016, or Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 275 farther in the future. By 2012 we will have the Green Strike Group, and by 2016, we will have the Great Green Fleet. I have highlighted four of these technologies; in what follows, I will describe how we are taking these to sea and how we think we are going to make a difference. Figure 1. Energy Efficiency Enabling Technologies Let us start with hybrid electric drive, which you have already heard something about. In Figure 2, we show the drive system for a DDG-51-class destroyer. We have three gas turbine generators over to the left. They generate electricity and make up half the system. The propulsion plant is on the right. We actually have four LM-2500 gas turbine engines on USS Truxton, the proof-of-concept ship. Next January, we will be taking a subscale system out to the ship. As shown in the center of Figure 2, it includes the basic electric motor on the main reduction gear, along with a converter and switchboard. Ultimately, we will be powering the electric motor through the gas turbine generators that have been moved to a more efficient location aboard ship, the way they were originally designed. When you do not need all the power that the gas turbines provide, you can turn them off and run the ship through the water at low rates of speed using electricity. 276 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 Figure 2. DDG-52 Hybrid Electric Drive That is the idea. Initially, it is all about fuel efficiency. But once you field the hybrid electric drive, you are likely to find that the operators will say “well, geez that kind of changes everything.” Now they will have a new quiet speed that can be used by DDG51s conducting antisubmarine warfare operations. Or, it could prove beneficial for destroyers conducting ballistic missile defense missions in the Mediterranean. Maybe it changes the transit speed when the ship crosses the Atlantic. Perhaps 16 knots is not the best speed for that evolution. So, once we make that innovative design change, we are likely to find that it is followed by innovative application changes. We stole the idea for the Smart Voyage Planning Decision Aid (Figure 3) from the commercial airline industry. When you fly from here to Los Angeles, it is all about altitude and heading. It turns out that Maersk, the largest American commercial shipping line, has adapted the idea to ship routing. They have come up with a pretty sophisticated tool that directs the ship where to go in order to save gas. By adapting that approach for the Navy, we are projecting that perhaps as much as 8% fuel savings could result from using the most fuel-economic route. Airplanes take advantage of the jet stream, why can’t we take advantage of the Gulf Stream? Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 277 Figure 3. Smart Voyage Planning Decision Aid For years we have done optimum track ship routing to avoid bad weather that bangs up the ship and injures the crew. If we can lay the toolset for the ship router, or something that has local weather conditions, into the Voyage Planning Decision Aid, then perhaps we can route our ships based on weather and get better gas mileage, recognizing of course that mission comes first. So, we are going to start doing that. We intend to roll out this system in time to support Pacific Fleet’s participation in Exercise Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC) 2012 next year. Figure 4 illustrates our test plan for surface ship alternate fuels. Starting with the upper-left-hand corner, you see the rigid hull inflatable boat (RHIB). We tested a 50/50 blend in a RHIB down in Little Creek back in July 2010. In October, we tested a Riverine Control Boat experimental craft (RCB-X). We are going to test alternate fuel on a yard patrol (YP) craft at the Naval Academy this spring and on an LCAC down in Panama City this summer. Next year, we are going to test use of alternate fuel on an FFG coming out of commission or on the Navy’s self-defense test ship (SDTS) in Port Hueneme, California. In June 2012, we will test alternate fuels with the Green Strike Group (GSG) during RIMPAC 2012. Our basic approach is to “build a little, test a little.” We are also doing component testing ashore. 278 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 Figure 4. Alternate Fuel Test Plan The important point is that using the alternate fuel will have no impact whatsoever on the operator. We are designing drop-in fuels. The operators will not know the difference. That is the model we are following now for a lot of our technologies. We are not putting the burden on the back of the warfighters. They already have enough to worry about. My final example is what Rear Admiral Philip Cullom called “the box on the bridge.” We have labeled it the “energy dashboard.” Commercial shipping uses this extensively. It is a way to try to influence the actions of the operators. If you know exactly where your fuel is going, where your electricity is going, then perhaps you can take actions to use that fuel or energy more efficiently. The large arrow in Figure 5 is my way of showing that you may want to send that data off the ship, which is what commercial shipping does. They have found that by pitting one ship against another, they can significantly change the energy consumption behavior of their ship masters. Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 279 Figure 5. Energy Dashboard One of the real powers of this energy tool is that you can overlay the material condition of the ship onto the display. You will know that the sea grass on the hull is increasing your drag. You will know that you have a bad generator that you did not know about before. You can also lay the maintenance of the material piece into the energy dashboard. We are going to field this in one of our destroyers—the USS Chafee—later this year. We will get it out to other ships as we move forward. 280 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 Q& A Session with The Panelists have heard a lot about powering, propulsion, and energy Q: Iproduction but not so much about efficiency, especially concerning the hotel loads on ships and submarines. Given the example of the computer with the multiple fans, it strikes me that combat systems, radar systems, and other electronic equipment are prime candidates for energy efficiency. So I am asking the panel what your thoughts are about energy efficiency so that we do not need the fuel in the first place? Rear Admiral Joe Carnevale: Before getting to your question, let me relate a recent report I received from a colleague. He told me that when his auxiliary ship pulled up into port, they discovered that there were electrical meters right on the pier. Based on the meter reading, they found out that their electrical usage went through the roof each night after the crew had gone home. As it turned out, the ship’s integrated HVAC system was creating a nightly battle between heating and air conditioning. The air conditioning would cool compartments down and then the heating system would heat them back up again. So, you are absolutely right. Paying attention to design details can be critically important. But who addresses that? Typically that is left up to the ship builder to design the HVAC and the other habitability systems. How is the ship builder incentivized? Well, right now it is to reduce costs. Make sure you meet the requirements, but keep the costs down. So wherever you can you buy commercial off the shelf or robust commercial off the shelf, or if it is on a complex surface combatant, you buy militarized products. But basically there is no incentive to make the HVAC system fuel efficient. My idea for addressing this problem would be to provide the two program managers, Navy and industry, with margins for electrical power, cost, volume, and those sorts of things. This would encourage them to invest in better HVAC controls; they may be larger and more expensive, but they would be much more fuel Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 281 efficient. Those are trade-offs you can make in the actual process of going through the detailed ship design. When you are out buying equipment, you often see that they all meet the requirements. But how do you encourage the more efficient choice? How do you get at that? Whose job is that? Dr. John Pazik: Another example at the other end of the spectrum is switching from fluorescent to solid-state lighting. This change yields only a small percentage increase in energy efficiency but imposes a capability cost. I have to take all those fluorescent bulbs, I have to have the sailors go out and replace those fluorescent bulbs, and then I have to store them as hazardous waste somewhere on the platform. So, are there unintended opportunities that can occur when you develop efficient systems? I think that is a real possibility. We could put a meter at the pier and understand the peak usage of when something bad happens. But trying to understand what the specific components are that are driving that peak usage requires a better understanding of how we use energy on the subcomponent level. Mr. Howard Fireman: In my view, a lot of energy efficiency improvements start with the concept of operations. What are the specific orders for the watch? How do we take advantage of the design and the architecture built into the ship? To further address the question of efficiency, it is about how you want to use the product; it all starts with the specific problem you are trying to solve. Mr. Glen Sturtevant: I think that air conditioning is a major load on the ship, although we do not really know. It might be toasters or hairdryers for all we know. If you monitor energy usage, you see it peak in the morning just like it does on the national grid. It peaks in the morning and then goes up again at night; it is pretty predictable. But is it the sonar, or is it the electronic warfare system, or is it the galley? We do not know. That is why we are doing surveys. We are going to put energy meters on our ships and at the shore power receptacles on the pier. We have never done this 282 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 before; it was never an issue. So we are going to collect data and actually determine where our energy investment is going. is a historical question. Could you compare the energy Q: This consumption, at, say, flank speed, of a DD of World War II vintage, a 2200 series, to a modern gas turbine, which gets better knots per gallon? Rear Admiral Joe Carnevale: The resounding answer is “no, I cannot do that.” But, let us look at the standard marine gas turbine as used by the Navy. We design our ships to operate at best speed. As a result, our gas turbine engines are not very efficient when the ship is tooling around at 5 or 12 knots. They burn a lot of gas. Is that the right way to design ships? I do not know. That is the way we have always done it. I cannot speak to World War II vintage ships. But I do think that there has to be a better way than the way we have done it for max or best speed. I think there might be a different approach, a different paradigm perhaps. a steam plant inherently less efficient or more efficient than Q: Isother propulsion options? Mr. Howard Fireman: I would say for the speed ranges that surface traditional steam could handle, and that includes the 1200pound steam plants, steam engines were probably more fuel efficient than gas turbine plants, but they could not get into the speed ranges that are required. For every 10-knot increase in speed on a surface ship, you typically have to double the installed power; steam plants could not achieve those power densities. But for the power densities that they operated in, I think they probably were more efficient. Steam is also very efficient for nuclear power plants, where increasing the size is fairly straightforward. Unfortunately, steam plants are also a lot deadlier and much more difficult to maintain in terms of the surface ships plants that we replaced. But power density wise, they are a lot more efficient. Chapter 8 Adapting Ship Operations to Energy Challenges 283 to me that most of the energy efficiency initiatives Q: Itthatseems I have heard about fall into the later research and devel- opment phases [those designated advanced development (6.3) or engineering development (6.4)]. Many of those things yield relatively small percentage improvements. Although they all add up, and that is important, I would like to know if you see any promise for getting dramatically improved fuel efficiency through use, perhaps, of different thermodynamic cycles? Dr. John Pazik: From the exploratory research (6.2) perspective, I think one of the things that I am very excited about is a hybridization of energy storage capability, because ultimately it is about using the installed energy most efficiently. We are going to have a given amount of energy available, but the way we use it and how we direct it aboard the ship are the critical elements. Having an energy storage component that can handle different pulse loads and different discharge rates could require a variety of different technologies such as batteries or capacitors. Bringing them together with the right control will be critical; it is all about the controls and the control network. Ultimately, we need to have a safe storage module that we can put in a platform along with controls that can release a set amount of stored energy at the right rate for the given application. Those things are now bubbling up. That is where I think the real opportunities are in early applied research. We need to be doing systems engineering and resilient engineering on those systems. We are pretty good at the individual components. We can optimize a lot of components to do the best things in the world. But when you bring those components together and ask them to operate as a system, that is where I see real opportunities arising. We are starting as a community to look at that systems approach. 284 Climate and Energy Proceedings 2011 “energy dashboard” has been mentioned several times. Q: The I am curious how comprehensive that dashboard is and whether it is trying to just induce behavioral changes or whether there is going to be some sort of control or optimization built into it? Mr. Howard Fireman: Referring to the energy dashboard, we have looked at those various systems out there, mostly in commercial shipping. We are taking the functionality, making it applicable to a warship, and then actually engaging some operators to build the appropriate graphical user interface (GUI). I was not aware that this is as mature as you have led me to believe it is. So there might be something else out there we have missed. But this is something we are developing for warships from commercial shipping lines. I do know that the GUIs are still a work in progress. are a number of new-generation technologies associQ: There ated with nuclear power that are being considered for commercial applications. Is there any consideration being given to using nuclear power to provide the energy for surface ships smaller than aircraft carriers? Mr. Howard Fireman: I would refer you to a 2006 report (Alternative Propulsion Study) to Congress by the Secretary of the Navy which assesses the potential use of nuclear power for surface combatants and amphibious warfare ships. The report shows that manning and training costs tend to drive overall costs. But, when fuel cost is high enough, it becomes a factor. Thus, the study shows what the cost of fuel would have to be (on a cost-per-barrel basis) in order for nuclear power to be preferred for various ship classes. Given the current cost of fuel, this is something that the government will have to consider in future acquisitions.