Cranfield University – Embed Project Transcript of Audio Interview Sean Rickard on Farming Post Reform SM Hello this is a Cranfield University Podcast. I am Steve Macaulay and I am interviewing Sean Rickard about his article Farming Post Reform: The Key Marketing Challenges, that he co-wrote with Deborah Roberts. Now, as soon as you mention agriculture Sean, and the EU, you are bound to get sound and fury, so it is very fortunate that you are here today to help put some light on the situation. Everybody has heard of the Common Agricultural Policy, but my understanding is that since 2005 things have changed a lot and one of the things that has been particularly noticeable is the intended shift towards a marketing focus that came in with the Fischler Reforms. My understanding was that there are three areas that the new arrangements of support were intended to do – one of them was to enhance competitiveness of the EU agriculture, the second was to promote a market orientated sustainable agriculture and the last was to strengthen rural development. Now the focus we are going to look at is this marketing area. Perhaps you could give me some background first about what the intention is and where we have actually got to and then we will have a look at some aspects of your article, which focus in on a critique of some of these things. SR Well essentially the Common Agricultural Policy has fallen victim to its own success. In the Post-War period it boosted food production in Europe to such a level that we had huge surpluses of basic foodstuffs in Europe and the system could only keep itself going by building a large protective barrier around Europe and secondly, governments being prepared to put a great deal of money into disposing of these surpluses. Once the World Trade Organisation came along in 1995, Europe was forced to start dismantling its external barriers, therefore farmers and food industries across Europe began to face heightened levels of competition and that meant that the government here had to find a new way of supporting agriculture, otherwise it was going to end up subsidising even larger surpluses because as farmers and food companies in Europe and Britain lost competitiveness, they wouldn’t be able to sell their produce onto the market and the government in theory stood ready to buy it off the market. So essentially, since 1992 there have been three attempts to reform the Common Agriculture Policy and all of them have been designed to really force farmers to stand on their own two feet vis a vie the market. The authorities still hand over large sums of money to farmers, but they are now handed over as payments for being farmers, they are not given them in terms of what they produce, or in terms of higher prices for what they produce. They have to live by the market now in terms of what they produce, and of course that means operating at much lower prices and it means adopting the sort of marketing practices – and indeed other business practices – that other businesses have long been familiar with. SM Now there were a number of recommendations that came out of the Curry Report that were designed to try and move in this direction more clearly – what are they? SR Essentially Don Curry and his report came out of the Foot and Mouth back in 2001 because that was seen as a real crisis for British agriculture and farmers were able to say, look you are putting all this reform on us and we are having to put up with these huge issues such as disease – how on earth can we cope? And essentially Don Curry said two things – he said you have got to be much more market orientated for the future and people are going to value your outputs in terms of the natural environment, in terms of sustainability. So really the Curry Report was trying to do two things at once, and some people would say that was a weakness. The first half of the report, very good indeed, points out that subsidies had more or less prevented farmers from thinking in terms of the market, had really caused them not to have to bother with their customers. The government was their customer, that is who they turned to when they were in difficulties and there was a lot of recommendations in the Curry Report saying what they would have to do in order to adopt a market orientation. The second half of the Report is really leaning almost back to the old days and saying that of course, you do something other than produce food and we the government will stand behind you and help you on that. It was a mixed message really, on the one hand you are trying to say you are going to have to stand on your own two feet, get more efficient, on the other hand we will continue to support you. Then there is a third element behind all of this, the Report was of course, political and lots of things are said in reports which aren’t necessarily carried out, particularly when the bills start to arrive. And we have reached a position where we are under reform, there have been big changes, but it is very questionable as to whether the mindset of the industry – if I can put it like that – the basic attitude of individual farmers, has actually changed in the way intended by the authorities, by Don Curry and his Report, and indeed by most industry observers. SM Now you put quite a lot of store by farmer controlled businesses. Can you say a bit more about that? SR Yes – let’s just take a step back. One of the biggest problems for agriculture, for farming business, is that it is an atomistic industry. Even the largest farms are very small in terms of today’s business and more to the point, the companies, the businesses they are selling to are much bigger than themselves. Therefore, they are always, always at a disadvantage in terms of bargaining power, in terms of capturing the value that they create. And of course farmers also generally produce commodities, so if there is an oversupplied market, which is the legacy of the Common Agricultural Policy, if it is an atomistic industry where farmers have relatively little power dealing with large companies with great bargaining power, it is not surprising that their prices get forced down to rock bottom levels. Now, how do we get out of this? In the old days of course they didn’t need to, the government came along and the government said this is the price you will be paid, they forced companies to pay the higher price. That has gone of course with the reform. It is a fact that over the last twenty years the value of output from UK agriculture has remained more or less constant at sixteen billion pounds a year, at the same time the value of food purchased by households has gone from sixty billion to a hundred and twenty billion – beyond the farm gate enormous value has been added and farmers have not shared in that creation of value. What is the solution? One solution is that farmers should group together, by groping together they create a certain amount of muscle, a certain amount of market power, they create the ability to raise capital to invest and they also therefore become capable of reaching down that food chain beyond the farm gate and they themselves – or indeed this grouping – beginning to process the raw materials that they produce and where the added value is created. Now unfortunately the terminology that is used is Farmer Controlled Businesses – that is completely wrong really, it’s a misnomer. We should say farmer owned businesses because the essential difference between these new vehicles – if I can call them that – is that they are owned by farmers, but not run by farmers. Farmers become the shareholders, they sell their produce to these companies that they own, but they are managed by professional managers in much the same way as food processing companies that are normally plcs are managed. SM Now, Curry seemed to be suggesting that consumers were likely to pay more for food if there are higher environmental standards. It said we believe that the numbers are steadily growing – now you question that. SR I sure do, and I think the evidence is with me. We had this terrible disease BSE in the mid 1990s and of course that was very clearly associated with the application of science to farming. Whatever the cause of BSE, it did leave a lot of people back at that time to question whether modern farming techniques were necessarily good. And since that date there has been a great deal of interest, officially and rather reluctantly officially I have to say, and certainly by if you like all your celebrity cooks on television who tell you they always cook with organic food, but if you actually look at the statistics, of that 120 billion pounds that is spent by households on food, less than 1.5 billion goes on organic produce. In round figures about one percent what we consume is actually organic, and although that is increasing even a twenty per cent increase from a very small figure, still ends up with a very small figure. I think a fundamental error was made. I think Don Curry and others tended to go with the political mood at that time, but I think the confusion was that people muddled up an interest in organic food, in the much the same way as people who are becoming more affluent were experimenting with a much wider range of foodstuffs, a wider range of food experiences and organic was just seen as part of that. There appears to be very, very few people who are prepared to devote all the money they spend on food to organic produce. SM One of the things that you talk about is the way the nature of demand for food has changed in that we are getting lots of micro segments now and a rapidly fragmenting food market. Is this working in favour or against the industry? SR I think this works in favour of the industry and it certainly works in favour of anyone who is attempting to capture more value from the market and thereby I would say that it works in favour of these farmer controlled businesses. Whereas, if one goes back twenty or thirty years where people ate a much more basic diet – you know, meat and two veg – a meal every day, etc., now of course they eat a much greater variety of foods, they eat out a great deal. We spend almost as much on eating out as we now spend on eating in the home and because we are more affluent, because we no longer fear food shortages, we do seek, as I say, new food experiences and tastes and I think that what has been happening is that this has been recognised by traditional processes, producers in the food chain and they are going all out to try to create brands. So yes there is thing called cheddar cheese now, but the real success stories are the branded cheddar cheeses – the Cathedrals etc – who seem to be able to command a much higher price than the basic product. SM So, if we use this word market orientation, one of things that you say in your articles is that sixty years of being spoon fed on a supplier based approach, can you actually change that? SR Well, I really think this is the most difficult issue for the government, or indeed any authority that tries to change the agricultural industry. After two generations have been told that they were actually vital to the country and more or less whatever they did they would be paid for and after that period of time you didn’t really have to think about what you were doing, someone said produce that milk and I will pay you this for it and it was only in very recent years that anyone even checked the quality of it. So it was really a very different market for these people, but I think that if we are going to have a world class agricultural industry, and we do have a very efficient agricultural industry compared to the rest of the world – we have some of the best farmers in the world here – but if they are going to be able to compete with low cost producers around the rest of the world, they can’t do it just on the agricultural produce that they produce. They have got to be able to reach down that chain in the way I have said, basically through farmer controlled businesses, but those farmer controlled businesses cannot make money, cannot begin to capture additional values for farmer controlled businesses unless they themselves understand the market, understand where these micro sections are, which ones are developing, which ones they can profitably begin to exploit. So, I see this question of a market orientation, which is usually used rather loosely by the authorities – when they are using the word market orientation I think they are just saying that you have got to get in touch with the market – when I use the word market orientation I am talking much more in terms of a forensic approach. I am able to dissect the market, understand where the trends are, understand where the value is going to be captured and to what extent the produce that I am responsible for can move into that particular segment. SM So, if we project ahead say five to ten years, how do you see things developing if they are to go the way you think they should? SR Well let me answer that by pointing you towards Europe. In Europe which is way ahead of us in this development, the farmer controlled business – if I can call them that, they give them different names over there – account for 65 billion euros of value of output. By comparison in this country our farmer controlled businesses account for just 6. I would like to think that over the next ten, fifteen, twenty years there will be an explosion in terms of farmer controlled businesses. We have seen it, it is happening at the moment in the dairy sector in this country, I would like to see that spread into other sectors and I would like us to get to a position in ten or fifteen years time where we have a model here, a bit more like the continental model, where a very large amount of the value of what we consume in our households or eating out under our food expenditure is going to be provided for us by farmer controlled businesses. In other words they will have control over a much larger proportion of the food supply chain than they currently do. SM So what are the areas that you would like to explore further in future research? SR Well I think you raised it. I think the most important thing, or sequentially the most important thing, is really to start with changing that mindset of farmers. The government have spent some millions of pounds trying to investigate the advantages of greater integration in the food chain, of people getting together. I think it is beginning to dawn on the government and recent actions would support this, that a lot of money has been wasted because it did not bring with it the mindset, the commitment, the belief of the farmers and as we have already said, if you have had sixty odd years of not bothering, then you have really got to begin to think very differently if you are going to approach this thing in a new way – basically taking a new mindset. And there is another problem at the moment. It is no surprise that the dairy sector was the first one to really begin to embrace this new idea of farmer controlled businesses because over the last ten years the dairy sector has been under enormous economic pressure. Things have suddenly started to change for British farming in the last year, prices have begun to rise quite sharply. Cereal prices are up more than 100% - in part because of interest in bio fuels, droughts in Australia and rising demand from places like China and India. The biggest enemy of farmers changing their mindset, beginning to adopt these new techniques is increased profitability at farm level – they will begin to say I don’t need to change, I can carry on as I am, but of course history tells us that in a few years time those high prices will be coming down again and now what farmers should be doing is taking the extra profits they have at the moment and thinking very carefully how they might invest those in forming structures such as farmer controlled businesses which will, when times get tougher again, ensure that they capture a great deal more value. SM Well, let’s hope that that is so. Thank you very much indeed, Sean Rickard. SR Thank you. © Cranfield University 2008