The Economic Cost of Overweight and Obesity in Ireland Dr. Anne Dee 17/01/2014 Acknowledgements • UCC Professor Ivan Perry, Dr. Anne Dee, Karen Kearns • NUIG Professor Ciaran O’Neill, Dr. Edel Doherty, Dr. Aoife Callan • DCU Professor Anthony Staines, Dr. Treasa McVeigh, Dr. Mary Rose Sweeney • QUB - Professor Frank Kee • National Cancer Registry - Dr. Linda Sharp • Institute of Public Health - Professor Kevin Balanda • Safefood- Dr Cliodhna Foley Nolan Used with permission Used with permission Prevalence of Overweight and Obesity Percentage increased risk for overweight and obese females-cancers 250% 222% 200% 164% 150% 100% 85% 82% 66% 45% 50% 60% 53% 35% 8% 15% 13% 24% 20% 0% Breast Post menopausal Large Bowel Uterus Oesophagus Female Overweight Female obese Kidney Pancreas Gall bladder Source Guh et al 2009, WCRF 2007 Percentage increased risk for overweight and obese males-cancers 140% 129% 120% 95% 100% 82% 80% 60% 51% 40% 40% 20% 13% 28% 21% 25% 5% 0% Large Bowel Oesophagus Male Overweight Kidney Pancreas Male Obese Gall bladder Source Guh et al 2009, WCRF 2007 Percentage risk increase for chronic diseases- Males 320.00% 250.00% 181% 176% 87% t Go u As th m a ise Ga llb la dd e rD Obese male 43% 43% 20% 9% as e DV T ns ion er te Hy p St ro ke 84% 70% 72% 51% 29% 28% 23% Co ba ic ro n Ch Overweight male 144% ain Os te ro oa na rt h ry rit Ar is te ry Di se as e 59% ck p % increased risk 350% 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% Disease Source Guh et al 2009, Bhole et al 2010 Percentage increased risk of chronic diseases-Females 300% 252.00% % increased risk 250% 210.00% 181% 200% 144% 142% 150% 100% 59% 96% 80% Overweight female 132% Obese female 80% 50% 49% 15% 78% 70% 65% 44% 67% 25% rD t Go u la dd e As th m a ise as e DV T ns ion er te St ro ke Hy p Ga llb Ch ro n ic ba ck p ain Os te Co oa ro rt h na r it ry is Ar te ry Di se as e 0% Disease Source Guh et al 2009, Bhole et al 2010 Type II diabetes in overweight & obesity in males & females 1141% 1200% 1000% 800% 574% 600% 400% 200% 292% 140% 0% Male overweight Male obese Female overweight Female obese Source Guh et al 2009 Literature review Overweight and obesity account for somewhere between 1% and 9% of total healthcare costs Non-healthcare costs may be as much again or even more. Studies show them to comprise 51% to 84% of total costs Costs increase with increasing BMI Methods- Included costs • Healthcare costs include: ▫ ▫ ▫ ▫ In-Patient Out-patient General Practice Drugs and prescribing costs • Non-healthcare costs include lost productivity due to: ▫ Time off work due to overweight and obesity related illness ▫ Premature mortality Methods for the study • Mixed :Top down supplemented by Bottom up Methods: Top-down • Prevalence based approach • Large cost datasets • Calculate Population Attributable Fractions (PAF) using Relative Risks and Prevalence rates for overweight and obesity • Apply PAF to cost data • PAFs calculated by age and gender Methods: Bottom-up • Cross Sectional individual level • data • Probability of using service • Additional probability of using service if increased BMI • Controlled for confounders Methods: Healthcare costs – data sources • SLÁN, TILDA and NIHS 2010/11 to map healthcare usage by BMI • HIPE and HIS data • Drugs and prescribing using PCRS and BSO data Non-Healthcare costs – data sources • Illness Benefit Data-both jurisdictions ▫ Limited data available relating medical conditions to illness benefit payments ▫ Also some information available from SLAN • CSO data on premature mortality Direct costs Republic of Ireland Republic of Ireland GP (Cross-sectional analyses) Cost € € Range Range € € Cost 15,700,000 – 30,000,000 22,900,000 7,100,000 – 91,100,000 45,910,000 In-patient/day case (PAF method) 125,686,873216,025,571 172,849,916 Out-patient (Cross-sectional analyses) (significant at 90% level) 0- 14,855,791 6,890,000 Drugs (PAF method) 156,294,603312,589,205 234,441,904 Indirect costs Absenteeism (Cross-sectional analyses) Human capital approach 11,291,035547,385,875 282,667,747 Absenteeism (Cross-sectional analyses) Friction cost approach 5,497,328164,215,771 71,715,511 Absenteeism (PAF method) Human capital approach 104,106,280164,115,974 135,977,068 Absenteeism (PAF method) Friction cost approach 54,904,90787,400,050 72,133,090 420,200,000748,500,000 592,991,594 In-patient/day case (Cross-sectional analyses) Premature mortality (PAF method) Northern Ireland Direct costs GP (Cross-sectional analyses) Range PPP € Cost PPP 2009 € 2009 0-15,210,484 7,411,564 In-patient/Day-case (Cross-sectional analyses) 31,187,634133,410,785 82,299,148 In-patient/Day-case (PAF method) 28,613,87057,227,740 42,920,805 No significant difference detected Out-patient (Cross-sectional analyses) Drugs (PAF method) 51,382,848102,765,696 77,074,272 No significant difference detected Indirect costs Absenteeism (Cross-sectional analyses) Absenteeism (PAF method) Human capital approach 215,000,000256,000,000 235,500,000 Absenteeism (PAF method) Friction cost approach 74,400,00088,600,000 81,500,000 107,022,854186,486,711 147,417,113 Premature mortality (PAF method) Results Republic of Northern Ireland Ireland (PPP Irish 2009 €) Direct costs €437,081,820 €127,406,641 Indirect costs €728,968,662 €382,917,113 Total costs €1,166,050,482 €510,323,754 Results • In ROI the direct costs represent 38% of total costs and 2.9% of healthcare spending. • In NI the direct costs were 25% of total costs and 2.8% of healthcare spending. Main contributing conditions to Direct Healthcare Costs • • • • • Cardiovascular disease Type II Diabetes Colon Cancer Stroke Gallbladder Disease Absenteeism ROI Chronic back pain 57% Osteoarthritis 18% Coronary Artery Disease 9% Hypertension Diabetes 6% 4% Stroke 1% Premature Mortality • Main drivers of cost were ▫ Cardiovascular Disease (inc Stroke) ▫ Colorectal cancer ▫ Diabetes Type II Main Recommendations • • • • • • Urgent Public Health action required A Population Health wide prevention approach Targeted action for the very obese is required Workplace interventions is needed Extend regulation of the food industry Significant investment in research Full list of recommendations • Available at: • http://www.safefood.eu/SafeFood/media/SafeFo odLibrary/Documents/Publications/Research%2 0Reports/Final-Exec-Summary-The-EconomicCost-of-Obesity.pdf Questions/ Comments?