1
a
b a HRB/NCI Fellow in Health Economics, NUI Galway b Cairnes School of Business and Economics, NUI Galway
The Obesity Problem, NUI Galway 17 th January 2014
Obesity in Ireland
2
Approximately 18% of adults obese in Ireland
44% of the diabetes burden, 23% of the ischemic heart disease burden and between 7% and 41% of the burden of certain cancers can be attributed to overweight and obesity
Obesity accounts for 21% of health spending in the US
Childhood Obesity
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Whelton et al. (2007) found 6% of children in the Republic of Ireland and
Northern Ireland were obese
Layte et al. (2011) found that 19% of 9 year old children in Ireland were overweight , while 7% were obese
Joint Oireachtas Committee has highlighted the problem of obesity in children
(April 2012)
Obesity related problems amongst children cost the health service in the US as much as $14.1 billion annually
Childhood Obesity
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While studies have shown a reduction or levelling off of obesity rates amongst children, these reductions mainly occurred in the highest SES groups
Thus the importance of socioeconomic inequalities may be actually increasing in this context
Childhood Obesity
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While studies have shown a reduction or levelling off of obesity rates amongst children, these reductions mainly occurred in the highest SES groups
Thus the importance of socioeconomic inequalities may be actually increasing in this context
Probability of adult obesity (BMI>30):
If a Recommended Weight child – 15 %
Childhood Obesity
6
While studies have shown a reduction or levelling off of obesity rates amongst children, these reductions mainly occurred in the highest SES groups.
Thus the importance of socioeconomic inequalities may be actually increasing in this context
Probability of adult obesity (BMI>30):
If a Recommended Weight child – 15%
If an Overweight/Obese child– 65 %
Childhood Obesity
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While studies have shown a reduction or levelling off of obesity rates amongst children, these reductions mainly occurred in the highest SES groups.
Thus the importance of socioeconomic inequalities may be actually increasing in this context
Probability of adult obesity (BMI>30):
If a Recommended Weight child – 15%
If an Overweight/Obese child– 65%
If an Obese child– 82%
Question!
8
Is there a Socioeconomic Gradient in
Childhood Obesity?
Question!
9
Is there a Socioeconomic Gradient in
Childhood Obesity?
Yes!
Layte et al., (2011) in Ireland
Knai et al., (2012) in Europe
Stamakis et al., (2010) in England
Singh et al., (2008) in the United States
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Overall Mother
Recommended
Overall 5.34% 2.14%
Mother
Overweight
6.65%
Mother Obese
11.74%
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Overall
Overall 5.34%
Income1
7.43%
(Lowest)
Income 2 5.34%
Income 3 6.08 %
Income 4 4.92 %
Income5
(Highest)
2.92 %
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Mother Obese Overall Mother
Recommended
Overall 5.34% 2.14%
Income1
7.43%
(Lowest)
Income 2 5.34%
2.99%
2.23%
Income 3 6.08 % 2.66%
Income 4 4.92 % 2.29%
Income5
(Highest)
2.92 %
0.93
%
Mother
Overweight
6.65%
8.88%
6.89%
5.87%
6.40%
5.67%
11.74%
14.04
%
9.96%
14.95%
9.87%
7.05%
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Mother Obese
Overall
SEG 5
(Lowest)
SEG 4
Overall Mother
Recommended
5.34% 2.14%
9.16% 2.88%
SEG 3
7.35%
6.22%
2.32%
2.97%
SEG 2 4.31% 2.23%
SEG 1
(Highest)
2.29% 0.34%
Mother
Overweight
6.65%
10.69%
9.67%
5.41%
6.12%
3.70%
11.74%
17.78%
13.30%
14.09%
7.57%
7.69%
Methods
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Growing Up in Ireland (GUI): Survey of 8,568 (14%) of 9-year-olds in Ireland with information concerning children, their care givers, teachers and school principals
Obesity classified on basis of International Obesity Taskforce (IOTF) 95 th percentile for children aged 9 years and 6 months, while the overweight cut-off used is the IOTF 85 th percentile
The IOTF may allow for a greater distinction between weight caused by body fat and muscle
GUI measures height and weight of children and parents/caregivers.
Concentration Indices
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Measures the Concentration of obesity across the income distribution.
Is Childhood obesity concentrated in the poorer households or richer households
Equivalised Household Income used as the Ranking Variable
Takes the number of people living in the household into account
Use a Wagstaff normalisation for the binary (obese or not) nature of the dependent variable
Concentration Indices
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Measures the Concentration of obesity across the income distribution.
Is Childhood obesity concentrated in the poorer households or richer households
Equivalised Household Income used as the Ranking Variable
Takes the number of people living in the household into account
Use a Wagstaff normalisation for the binary (obese or not) nature of the dependent variable
Example : Medical Card (Medicaid in the US)
Medical Cards are more concentrated among poorer households
Concentration Indices
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The concentration index (CI) quantifies the inequality in a measure that ranges between -1 (pro-poor) and +1 (pro-rich) , with zero representing perfect equality. (Medical Card has a CI<0)
A CI of -0.10
means a redistribution of 10% of the health from the poorest half of the distribution to the richest half to allow perfect equality
A CI of -0.20 illustrates twice as much inequality as a CI of -0.10
Decomposition
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Decomposition allows for greater information regarding what is contributes to the inequality. Uses a range of variable which impact upon childhood obesity and/or income
Has 2 parts
1) Elasticity . Change in Obesity for a given change in the independent variable.
2) Concentration . Distribution of the independent variable across income
Decomposition
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Decomposition allows for greater information regarding what is contributes to the inequality. Uses a range of variable which impact upon childhood obesity and/or income
Has 2 parts
1) Elasticity . Change in Obesity for a given change in the independent variable.
2) Concentration . Distribution of the independent variable across income
Contribution= Elasticity*Concentration
Decomposition
20
Decomposition allows for greater information regarding what is contributes to the inequality. Uses a range of variable which impact upon childhood obesity and/or income
Has 2 parts
1) Elasticity . Change in Obesity for a given change in the independent variable.
2) Concentration . Distribution of the independent variable across income
Contribution= Elasticity*Concentration
Percentage Contribution estimates the percentage of the inequality determined by the contribution.
Decomposition
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Childhood obesity may be disproportionally distributed among poorer households due to Parental BMI .
Parental BMI may be
Correlated with Childhood Obesity ( Elasticity ) and,
Concentrated disproportionally among poorer households ( Concentration )
Decomposition thus allows for the contribution of Parental
BMI on inequality in childhood obesity to be estimated. Income itself may not be driving observed inequalities.
Overall
Obese
Overweight
Recommended
Weight
Underweight
Results
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100%
5.34%
18.81%
68.73%
7.12%
8,599
370
1,303
4,760
493
Descriptive Statistics
Obese
5.34% Overall
Household Income
1st quintile ( Poorest )
2 nd quintile
3 rd quintile
4 th quintile
5 th quintile ( Richest )
Socioeconomic Group
Socioeconomic Group 1
Socioeconomic Group 2
Socioeconomic Group 3
Socioeconomic Group 4
Socioeconomic Group 5
Mother’s Education
Degree or above
Upper secondary
Lower secondary Below
Mother’s BMI
BMI<=24.99
BMI 25-29.99
BMI 30 and above
7.43%
5.34%
6.08 %
4.92 %
2.92 %
1.99%
4.39 %
6.31 %
7.30 %
8.25 %
2.67%
5.60 %
8.60%
2.14%
6.65 %
11.74 %
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Descriptive Statistics
Obese
5.34% Overall
Household Income
1st quintile ( Poorest )
2 nd quintile
3 rd quintile
2.54 times larger
4 th quintile
5 th quintile ( Richest )
Socioeconomic Group
Socioeconomic Group 1
Socioeconomic Group 2
Socioeconomic Group 3
Socioeconomic Group 4
Socioeconomic Group 5
Mother’s Education
Degree or above
Upper secondary
Lower secondary Below
Mother’s BMI
BMI<=24.99
BMI 25-29.99
BMI 30 and above
7.43%
5.34%
6.08 %
4.92 %
2.92 %
1.99%
4.39 %
6.31 %
7.30 %
8.25 %
2.67%
5.60 %
8.60%
2.14%
6.65 %
11.74 %
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Descriptive Statistics
Obese
5.34% Overall
Household Income
1st quintile ( Poorest )
2 nd quintile
3 rd quintile
4 th quintile
5 th quintile ( Richest )
Socioeconomic Group
Socioeconomic Group 1
Socioeconomic Group 2
Socioeconomic Group 3
Socioeconomic Group 4
Socioeconomic Group 5
Mother’s Education
Degree or above
Upper secondary
Lower secondary Below
Mother’s BMI
BMI<=24.99
BMI 25-29.99
BMI 30 and above
7.43%
5.34%
6.08 %
4.92 %
2.92 %
1.99%
4.39 %
6.31 %
7.30 %
8.25 %
2.67%
5.60 %
8.60%
2.14%
6.65 %
11.74 %
25
Descriptive Statistics
Obese
5.34% Overall
Household Income
1st quintile ( Poorest )
2 nd quintile
3 rd quintile
4 th quintile
5 th quintile ( Richest )
Socioeconomic Group
Socioeconomic Group 1
Socioeconomic Group 2
Socioeconomic Group 3
Socioeconomic Group 4
Socioeconomic Group 5
Mother’s Education
Degree or above
Upper secondary
Lower secondary Below
Mother’s BMI
BMI<=24.99
BMI 25-29.99
BMI 30 and above
5.5 times larger
7.43%
5.34%
6.08 %
4.92 %
2.92 %
1.99%
4.39 %
6.31 %
7.30 %
8.25 %
2.67%
5.60 %
8.60%
2.14%
6.65 %
11.74 %
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Question!
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Is there a Socioeconomic Gradient in
Childhood Obesity?
Concentration Indices
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Concentration index
Standard error
T value
Obese
-0.1680***
0.0298
-5.6375
Wagstaff Normalised Concentration Indices
Standard Errors are corrected for autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity
Overweight/Obese
-0.0570***
0.0111
-5.1351
Decomposition
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Variables partitioned into 4 groups
Socioeconomic Variables, Parental Level Variables, Household Level Variables,
Childhood Level Variables
Decomposition
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Variables partitioned into 4 groups
Socioeconomic Variables, Parental Level Variables, Household Level Variables,
Childhood Level Variables
Socioeconomic : Social Class, Parental Education
Decomposition
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Variables partitioned into 4 groups
Socioeconomic Variables, Parental Level Variables, Household Level Variables,
Childhood Level Variables
Socioeconomic : Social Class, Parental Education
Parental Level Variables: Parents Age, BMI, Smoking Status, Alcohol
Consumption, Breastfeeding
Decomposition
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Variables partitioned into 4 groups
Socioeconomic Variables, Parental Level Variables, Household Level Variables,
Childhood Level Variables
Socioeconomic : Social Class, Parental Education
Parental Level Variables: Parents Age, BMI, Smoking Status, Alcohol
Consumption, Breastfeeding
Household Level Variables: Urban/Rural, Own Home, Access to
Grocery Stores and Recreational Activity
Decomposition
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Variables partitioned into 4 groups
Socioeconomic Variables, Parental Level Variables, Household Level Variables,
Childhood Level Variables
Socioeconomic : Social Class, Parental Education
Parental Level Variables: Parents Age, BMI, Smoking Status, Alcohol
Consumption, Breastfeeding
Household Level Variables: Urban/Rural, Own Home, Access to
Grocery Stores and Recreational Activity
Childhood Level Variables: Gender, Child Health, Doctor/Hospital
Visits, TV, Reading, Video Games, Pocket Money, Diet, Junk Food, Soda,
Physical Activity, Birth weight
Decomposition Results For Obesity
Contribution
0.016
Percentage Contribution
-9.49% Ln(Income)
Socioeconomic Variables
Socioeconomic Group 1
Socioeconomic Group 2
Socioeconomic Group 3
Socioeconomic Group 4
Socioeconomic Group 5
Mother’s Educ: Degree or above
Mother’s Educ: Upper secondary
Mother’s Educ: Lower
Socioeconomic Overall
Parental Level Variables
Mother’s BMI
Mother’s Smoking Status
Mother’s Alcohol Status
Breastfed
Overall
Household Level Variables
Overall
Child-Level Variables
Overall
Base
0.029
-0.010
-0.020
-0.044
Base
-0.004
-0.021
-0.070
-0.040
-0.013
-0.001
-0.004
-0.058
0.003
-0.028
-
-17.47%
6.09%
11.61%
26.14%
-
2.25%
12.24%
41.16%
23.78%
7.41%
0.49%
2.45%
34.13%
-1.48%
16.25%
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Decomposition Results For Obesity
Contribution
0.016
Percentage Contribution
-9.49% Ln(Income)
Socioeconomic Variables
Socioeconomic Group 1
Socioeconomic Group 2
Socioeconomic Group 3
Socioeconomic Group 4
Socioeconomic Group 5
Mother’s Educ: Degree or above
Mother’s Educ: Upper secondary
Mother’s Educ: Lower
Socioeconomic Overall
Parental Level Variables
Mother’s BMI
Mother’s Smoking Status
Mother’s Alcohol Status
Breastfed
Overall
Household Level Variables
Overall
Child-Level Variables
Overall
Base
0.029
-0.010
-0.020
-0.044
Base
-0.004
-0.021
-0.070
-0.040
-0.013
-0.001
-0.004
-0.058
0.003
-0.028
-
-17.47%
6.09%
11.61%
26.14%
-
2.25%
12.24%
41.16%
23.78%
7.41%
0.49%
2.45%
34.13%
-1.48%
16.25% 35
Conclusions
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This study presents, for the first time, concentration indices of obesity (CI=-
0.168) and overweight/obese (CI=-0.057) for Irish children
Inequalities in Childhood Obesity are larger than has been seen in adults (Madden,
2013)
Results highlight that a socioeconomic gradient exists, but this gradient is likely to have manifested in a complex, multilevel manner.
The determinants of childhood obesity is clearly a multifaceted problem which does not have a simple solution
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