Experimental Gerontology 38 (2003) 757–760 www.elsevier.com/locate/expgero Actuarial and reproductive senescence in a long-lived seabird: preliminary evidence D.J. Andersona,*, V. Apaniusb b a Department of Biology, Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, NC 27109 7325, USA Department of Biological Sciences, Florida International University, Miami, FL 33199, USA Abstract The evolutionary theory of aging predicts that pelagic seabirds, which have low extrinsic mortality, should show exceptional longevity. These taxa appear to show the lowest rates of actuarial senescence among birds yet display declining reproductive performance at advanced ages. We have studied survival and reproduction of Nazca boobies (Sula granti) in the remote Galápagos Islands since 1984. We found a slight but detectable increase in mortality rate in the oldest ($19 yrs) cohort, indicating minimal actuarial senescence. The probability of successful reproduction (eggs or fledglings) declined from mid-life to the age of the oldest cohort. We are currently investigating the causal relationship between physical (foraging) performance, components of reproductive success, and longevity at our pristine study site. q 2003 Elsevier Science Inc. All rights reserved. Keywords: Reproduction; Actuarial senescence; Seabird; Nazca booby; Sula granti 1. Introduction Birds and bats live longer for their body size than do non-flying mammals, probably because flight protects them from some sources of extrinsic mortality (Calder, 1983; Austad and Fischer, 1991; Holmes and Austad, 1995). Pelagic seabirds show a further enhancement in lifespan, with greatly delayed actuarial senescence compared to other birds (Ricklefs, 1998). Here we examine data on survival and reproduction of wild adult Nazca boobies (Sula granti), a pelagic seabird nesting in the Galápagos Islands, for evidence of either actuarial or reproductive senescence, using our long-term demographic data. This population has been monitored since 1984 and, unlike some other seabird populations (Nisbet, 2001), appears to show little anthropogenic effect on their biology. 2. Materials and methods 2.1. Actuarial senescence: longitudinal analysis We have studied Nazca boobies (a recently identified taxon; Friesen et al., 2002) at Punta Cevallos, Isla Española, Galápagos Islands, Ecuador since 1984, focusing on * Corresponding author. Tel.: þ 1-336-758-5319; fax: þ1-336-758-6008. E-mail address: da@wfu.edu (D.J. Anderson). behavioral ecology (e.g. Anderson, 1989; Anderson and Ricklefs, 1995; Clifford and Anderson, 2001). Breeding is seasonal, with laying from September – February, and most fledging completed by June (Anderson, 1993). Leg-banding of adults and young of the year began in 1985, and DJA has conducted a band-resight survey at the beginning of each breeding season (except the 1988 – 1989 season) each year since the 1985– 1986 season. Details of the survey are given by Huyvaert and Anderson (in press). Briefly, sweeps are made through the breeding colony at night when the number of birds present is highest and capture is easiest, and leg bands of all adults present are recorded. Each resighted bird receives a temporary mark to ensure sampling ‘without replacement’. Since not all birds are present on all nights, each area of the colony is visited on consecutive nights until the expected number of new birds from a regression model is less than 1. Until 1992, aluminum leg bands were used, with an annual band retention rate of 0.982 (Huyvaert and Anderson, in press). Beginning in the 1992 –1993 breeding season, steel bands were used instead, with an annual retention rate of 1.00 (Huyvaert and Anderson, in press). Between 1992 and 1995, all aluminum-banded birds also received a steel band, so we consider band loss since 1993 to be negligible. Resighting efficiency is 0.994 or greater (Huyvaert and Anderson, in press). Young of the year were not banded in the 1988 –1989 through 1991– 1992 breeding seasons. 0531-5565/03/$ - see front matter q 2003 Elsevier Science Inc. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/S0531-5565(03)00104-9 758 D.J. Anderson, V. Apanius / Experimental Gerontology 38 (2003) 757–760 Almost all birds enter the breeding population by age 7 (Huyvaert, 1999). We conducted a longitudinal analysis of survival of two known-age cohorts banded as nestlings in the 1984 –1985 and 1985 – 1986 breeding seasons, respectively, by calculating the proportion of each cohort alive in each band-resight survey relative to the number that was alive at age 7 yrs. life (13 – 16, $ 19) for evidence of senescent decline in reproductive performance. In this article, we only consider the analysis of the latter group but show the data for comparison of reproductive success across the lifespan. 2.2. Actuarial senescence: cross-sectional analysis 3.1. Actuarial senescence To conduct a cross-sectional analysis of annual survival, we calculated the annual survival probability from the beginning of the 2001 – 2002 breeding season to the beginning of the 2002 – 2003 season. We used the knownage adults and two other groups banded as adults in 1984– 1985 and 1985– 1986 (assumed to be $ 4 yrs old at banding (Huyvaert, 1999)) and so aged a minimum of 20 and 21 yrs, respectively, in 2001 –2002. For these two groups (the ‘oldest adults’) we pooled sightings to increase the sample size and the calculated transition probability is for birds $ 20 yrs of age. Survival probability showed little variation with age in both longitudinal and cross-sectional analyses (Fig. 1). The Weibel shape parameter was 0.137 ða ¼ 1:22 £ 1021 ^ 2:80 £ 1021 ; b ¼ 25:99 £ 1022 ^ 9:29 £ 1021 Þ for the 1984– 1985 cohort, 0.076 ða ¼ 4:90 £ 1024 ^ 1:26 £ 1023 ; b ¼ 1:97 ^ 9:78 £ 1021 Þ for the 1985 –1986 cohort, and 0.065 ða ¼ 2:71 £ 1023 ^ 8:99 £ 1023 ; b ¼ 1:17 ^ 1:22Þ in the cross-sectional analysis. The median of these three values (0.076) is plotted against the median m0 for the three groups in Fig. 2, with the nine species that showed model convergence in Ricklefs (1998). Over 20% of the birds alive at age 7 were still alive at age 18. 3. Results 2.3. Actuarial senescence: parameter estimation 3.2. Reproductive senescence Following Ricklefs (1998), we calculated the Weibull parameter ðv ¼ a=ðb 2 1Þ; units of 1/time) based on the equation mx ¼ m0 þ axb that relates age ðxÞ to age-specific mortality ðmx Þ and the minimum mortality ðm0 Þ rate. The latter can be interpreted as the mortality rate of young adults before senescence, which largely reflects mortality from extrinsic factors (Ricklefs, 1998). It was not possible to estimate m0 directly from the data because the non-linear estimation procedure did not converge or calculated a negative value. Therefore, we used the minimum mortality rate observed in each analysis, 0.0218, 0.0316, and 0.0667 for the 1984 –1985, 1985– 1986 and cross-sectional groups, respectively. The non-linear estimation procedure (PROC NLIN) of SAS (SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC; v. 8.2) was used for fitting a and b parameters. Reproductive performance improved with age for both sexes at the beginning of the reproductive lifespan (Fig. 1). After age 12, the probability of breeding was higher for females (x2 ¼ 10:61 df ¼ 1; P ¼ 0:0011) than for males. After controlling for differences between sexes, breeding probability decreased with age ( x2 ¼ 10:69 df ¼ 4; 2.4. Reproductive senescence Breeding of these same groups of birds was monitored daily during the entire 2000– 2001 breeding season, and each bird was scored for attempted reproduction (reached the egg stage, yes/no) and successful fledging (produced an offspring in juvenile plumage; yes/no). Breeding performance of birds known to be alive in that year was related to age using logistic regression (PROC LOGISTIC of SAS) to compare the fit of sequential models containing the intercept only, sex, age, and the sex £ age interaction. We conservatively considered age as a categorical factor, especially because the oldest adult group was not known-age. We divided the analysis into early life (4 – 8 yrs) when reproductive success was expected to improve and late Fig. 1. Age-specific survival and reproduction of Nazca boobies. Longitudinal survival histories of two cohorts (solid grey lines) and cross-sectional transition probabilities between age classes (dotted grey line) are associated with the left Y-axis. Reproductive performance of males (dotted lines, 95% confidence intervals) and females (solid lines, 95% confidence intervals) in the 2000–2001 breeding season is shown as the proportion of living birds that attempted to reproduce (open circles) and the proportion of breeding birds that fledged an offspring (closed circles). Reproductive data are associated with the right axis. Reproductive data for 9 – 12 yr-olds are missing because young were not banded in the corresponding years in the past. Males showed lower per capita reproductive success than females did at most ages because the adult sex ratio is strongly male-biased (unpub. data). D.J. Anderson, V. Apanius / Experimental Gerontology 38 (2003) 757–760 759 age-related decline, but hatching success and especially rearing of hatched offspring fell with increasing age (unpub. data). For males, clutch size, hatching success, and rearing success all showed age-related declines (unpub. data). Thus, several components of reproductive performance may be declining with age in Nazca boobies. 4.3. Reproductive senescence in long-lived seabirds Fig. 2. Estimates of coefficients of Weibull functions fitted to the relationship between mortality rate and age for Nazca boobies and for the nine species in Ricklefs (1998) with fitted model convergence. P ¼ 0:030). The interaction between sex and age was not significant (x2 ¼ 5:06; df ¼ 4; P ¼ 0:28). After the initial increase in probability of fledging (one offspring by birds that attempted to breed) early in life, females that bred were marginally more successful in fledging offspring than males ( x2 ¼ 3:28, df ¼ 1; P ¼ 0:07). After controlling for the difference between sexes, fledging probability decreased with age (x2 ¼ 11:11; df ¼ 4; P ¼ 0:025). Again, the interaction between sex and age was not significant (x2 ¼ 3:42; df ¼ 4; P ¼ 0:49). 4. Discussion 4.1. Divergent rates of senescence Nazca boobies appear to show the low rate of actuarial senescence expected for pelagic seabirds, at least over the age range available to us in this study and the heterogeneity in the data which hampered estimation of the Weibel parameter. Extrapolation of the survival curve suggests that approximately 5% of birds alive as 7 yr olds will still be alive at age 30 (Fig. 1). Evidence of declining reproductive performance before age 20 was thus a surprising finding. Our results are preliminary in the sense that reproductive performance has been documented for only approximately 2/3 of potential lifespan, yet provides compelling evidence that reproductive performance increases early in life and then wanes in this long-lived seabird species. 4.2. Causes of reproductive senescence The reasons for curtailed fledging success with age among breeders in 2000– 2001 will be a focus of future research, but some markers of reproductive senescence can be analyzed with data in hand. The reproductive organs of females showed little evidence of declining function with age (Fig. 1), since they continued to lay eggs to age 19 þ . Preliminary analysis of clutch size for females showed no Studies of other long-lived seabirds show diverse patterns of reproductive performance at advanced age. In the short-tailed shearwater (Puffinus tenuirostris), the probability of reproduction (incubating an egg) declined monotonically with age for males but not females (reanalysis of Table 1 in Wooller et al., 1990), while fledgling production from those eggs showed a step function decrease with older age in males but not females (Wooller et al., 1990). Fledgling production from eggs decreased in the oldest cohort of wandering albatrosses (Diomedea exulans; Weimerskirch, 1992), but not in kittiwake gulls (Rissa tridactyla; Thomas and Coulson, 1988). However, hatching rate appeared to decline in the oldest kittiwakes (Thomas and Coulson, 1988). In the fulmar (Fulmarus glacialis), reproductive performance was assessed in old birds prior to their disappearance (i.e. presumed dead) compared to those that continued returning to the colony and breeding. Birds that did not return had decreased probability of laying eggs and fledging offspring prior to their disappearance (Ollason and Dunnet, 1988), suggesting that reproductive senescence portends mortality. In contrast to these studies, egg and fledgling production by very old common terns (Sterna hirundo) did not decline with age, even in the oldest cohort (Nisbet et al., 2002). The simplest interpretation of these diverse outcomes is that the selective factors acting on reproductive function are independent from those acting on longevity (Ricklefs et al., 2003). This contrasts with the prevailing paradigm (Partridge, 1987) that reproductive effort accelerates senescence and mortality in a concerted fashion as suggested in the fulmar study (Ollason and Dunnet, 1988). The alternative perspective, supported by other avian taxa (Ricklefs, et al., 2003), is that reproductive senescence and longevity are effectively decoupled. A possible exception is that the sustained physical performance required of foraging parents may be a causal link between reproductive success and longevity, as suggested in the fulmar study (Ollason and Dunnet, 1988). Unlike previous studies, we have little reason to believe that anthropogenic factors (e.g. environmental contaminants, exploitation of marine resources, direct mortality from long-line fishing (Sagar et al., 2000)), have influenced the demography of our population. Therefore, some of the problems that limit inferences about age-dependent reproduction and survival (Nisbet, 2001) are minimized in our system, underscoring the importance of field studies of longlived seabirds in protected environments in order to 760 D.J. Anderson, V. Apanius / Experimental Gerontology 38 (2003) 757–760 understand the evolutionary ecology of organisms with slow aging. 5. Conclusions Nazca boobies show the expected shallow decline in survival with age, indicating a potential lifespan over 30 yrs. The probability of successful reproduction declines with age more rapidly, suggesting the existence of a postreproductive lifespan in this species. Further study of the oldest age classes will evaluate this possibility more definitively. Nazca boobies offer an exceptional opportunity for studying the nexus of physiological performance, lifetime reproductive success, and aging because the reproductive histories and age-structures are known from our long-term studies. Acknowledgements Supported by National Geographic and NSF grants (DEB 9304579, DEB 9629539, DEB 9726444) to D.J.A. We thank the Galápagos National Park Service for permission to work in the Park, the Charles Darwin Research Station, TAME airlines, Galápagos Network, and Ecoventura for logistical support, our many students, technicians, and spouses for their contributions to the fieldwork, and R.E. 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