1 1. 2 For as long as societies have depended upon natural resources for food, livelihood, and cultural 3 expression and identification, there have been conflicts arising from their use (e.g. Caldwell 4 1970, Gadgil and Berkes 1991, Foster 1992, Perry and Vanderklein 1996, Alston et al. 2000). 5 Who has access and rights to the resource? How are these rights claimed? How are those without 6 rights prevented from accessing or benefiting from the resource? How do those prevented from 7 accessing the resource respond, either finding novel ways to benefit or removing themselves 8 from the conflict? And, perhaps most critically from a modern management point of view (e.g. 9 Grumbine 1994, Ostrom 2010) do responses to these conflicts improve resource sustainability Introduction 10 and economic stability at multiple levels, or are systems stresses and continued degradation 11 unabated despite management efforts (e.g. Acheson 2006, Ostrom et al. 2007)? 12 Answering these questions of access, and who benefits, both today and tomorrow, from preferred 13 access rights over others who might wish to use a natural resource for their own ends, forms the 14 basis of how resources are managed both today and for tomorrow. In some instances, the conflict 15 over resources is severe, leading to fractured social and economic systems (Le Billon 2001, Ross 16 2004). But for most, conflict plays out as a perpetual driving force within a society’s political 17 fabric, influencing day-to-day activities as well as long-term well-being (Frank et al. 2000, 18 Schnaiberg and Gould 2000, Collier and Hoeffler 2005, Jorgensen 2009). How a resource is used 19 and managed ultimately depends upon political will and societal demands, governance structures 20 and responses to those demands, economic factors that establish market and non-market 21 mechanisms for the resource to be captured, and the complex ecological underpinnings 22 surrounding conservation, renewability, and sustainability of the resource. 23 In the modern age of natural resource management, sustainable use and environmental 24 conservation have taken on a prominent role in policy decisions. Natural resources produce 25 ecological, social, and economic goods and services that, to be maintained sustainably and 26 equitably, require careful management and policies that are sensitive to the resource’s ecological 27 base and that society’s social-economic needs. Global fisheries (e.g. Pauly et al. 2005, Costello 28 et al. 2012, Sumaila et al. 2012, Ye et al. 2013), energy production (e.g. Clark 2012, Bilgen 29 2014), land use (e.g. Foley et al. 2011, Lambin and Meyfroidt 2011), and non-extractive 30 economies like tourism (Hunter 1997, Hall and Page 2014) have each recognized the importance 1 31 of limiting or reversing environmental degradation in their activities. In turn, there is a growing 32 recognition within policy discussions that holistic management approaches which consider 33 together environmental, economic, and social factors, collectively termed social-ecological 34 systems (Berkes et al. 2003, Anderies et al. 2004, Folke et al. 2005, Ostrom 2009), are better 35 suited for meeting sustainable use and conservation goals than those that are singularly focused. 36 Management styles that incorporate social-ecological systems (SES) approaches are considered 37 preferable because they work at negotiating each of the above drivers in tandem rather than 38 isolation. Efforts to simplify, reduce, or simply ignore certain aspects, such as management tools 39 that only consider economic drivers, threaten management success because they do not anticipate 40 where change might come from. Instead, SES literature encourages a holistic view that embraces 41 change and complexity. Berkes et al. (2003) identify four principal SES spheres, each linked to 42 one another at multiple temporal and spatial scales: ecosystems (i.e. ecological drivers), local 43 knowledge (i.e. social drivers), people and technology (i.e. social and economic drivers), and 44 property rights institutions (i.e. political drivers). Considered as a unit, these SES drivers reveal a 45 dynamic, ever-changing resource (Walker et al. 2004). 46 Of course, in practicality, managing four systems as one is a daunting, if not impossible task. 47 This is a major reason why management tends to focus on maximizing economic outcomes, or 48 land conservation and environmental preservation, or social justice and accessibility. The 49 realities of day-to-day natural resource management require difficult trade-offs. The question 50 then becomes clear: which driver(s) should management focus on as immediate issues while not 51 losing sight of long-term goals that are best met through a fully cohesive, adaptive SES 52 framework? 53 54 1.1 Identifying Social Perspectives and Demands to Guide Management 55 Achieving sustainable SESs requires a comprehensive understanding of the dynamic 56 relationships between resource units, resource users, and policy-makers. Scientists interested in 57 promoting the sustainability of resource units have provided a great deal of scientific knowledge, 58 yet a dearth of resource management success stories continues to plague ecosystems around the 59 world. Despite a greater understanding of the resources themselves, an incomplete understanding 2 60 of the social aspect has led to the passage of “simple blueprint policies” which fail to take into 61 account the complexity of the relationships between the multiple levels of policymaking (Ostrom 62 2009). Arguably, the greatest obstacle facing successful management is human behaviors and 63 responses under any management regime (Fulton et al. 2011). This uncertainty in human 64 behavior can lead to obstacles which hinder the effectiveness of management policies; therefore, 65 developing an improved understanding of the various perspectives of an environmental issue 66 could have a significant effect on promoting successful and ultimately more effective 67 management policy (Carr and Heyman 2012). 68 One approach which researchers have used to gain further insight into the human side of 69 environmental issues is the Q-method. First developed by William Stephenson, Q-methodology 70 is a research method originally used in the social-sciences to assess human subjectivity. The 71 purpose of this survey-based approach is to determine social perspectives through the use of an 72 interview setting where researchers directly interact with their subjects (Brannstrom 2011). Q- 73 methodology allows researchers to explore how members of a population feel about a selected 74 issue (known as the Q-Discourse) through face-to-face interviews in which subjects select from a 75 range of pre-developed opinions which best suit their own. Statistical analysis is then conducted 76 upon their responses in order to interpret whether a few common discourses can be identified 77 from the population (Webler et al. 2009). Thus, Q-method converts subjective opinions into 78 analyzable quantitative data which can contribute to an enhanced understanding of stakeholder 79 perception (Pike et al. 2014). 80 Examples of Q-method being used in assisting environmental policymaking have already been 81 found in a wide range of settings around the globe (Barry and Proops 1999, Robbins and Krueger 82 2000, Carr and Heyman 2012). An improved comprehension of the range of discourses found 83 throughout a population can help government officials decide which forms of policy are more 84 likely to garner social support at the local level, ultimately resulting in a widely accepted policy 85 which aligns with the interests of all participants affected (Barry and Proops 1999). Furthermore, 86 Q-method promotes a more balanced relationship between the researcher and the researched, 87 with the latter group receiving an elevated platform to provide their respective input. This survey 88 method simultaneously provides researchers with opinions that reflect the cultural and social 89 contexts of a region, while also empowering those at the grassroots level to have an increased 3 90 role in the policy-making process (Robbins and Kruger 2000). This was extensively studied by 91 Carr and Heyman in their 2012 study, in which Q-methodology was used to study the potential 92 for greater commercial fisher participation at the local level in the U.S. Virgin Islands. Human 93 subjectivity amongst local fishers was analyzed, and groups which could be most important for 94 assisting in policy implementation and acceptance were successfully identified using Q-method 95 surveying. Their study concluded that realizing the ecological, economic, and social 96 interpretations of grassroots stakeholders could better promote a system of co-management by 97 incorporating these fishers’ knowledge (Carr and Heyman 2012). This further illustrates that 98 garnering a greater understanding of the human side can lead to more widespread policy 99 acceptance, eventually resulting in increased probability of policy success. 100 For our particular study, decisions regarding the future development of the TCI tourism industry 101 could avoid detrimental social and ecological repercussions by resolving conflicts in their 102 prenatal stage. In order to accomplish this, however, policymakers must first be able to identify 103 those conflicts. By seeking out, then analyzing, the views and perspectives of stakeholder 104 groups, policymakers may be able to flag the critical issues that, if ignored, might prevent the 105 development and implementation of policies that are ecologically sustainable and 106 socioeconomically beneficial. In the case of the TCI tourism industry, particularly its present and 107 future development in Providenciales, addressing these conflicts is essential. Tourism in the 108 greater Caribbean region is notoriously finicky (Carr and Heyman 2009; Laframboise et al. 109 2014), and the past performance of the industry in Providenciales is not a guarantee for its future 110 success. With a tight connection between TCI tourism and its marketed image as a pristine 111 tropical marine destination, SES-constructed, stakeholder-informed policies that guide future 112 growth are necessary. 113 In our study, Q-methodology serves as the primary tool for identifying the perspectives held by 114 TCI residents and tourists on the state and direction of Providenciales’ tourism industry, and the 115 environmental and socioeconomic policies that guide its development. As tourists continue to 116 flock to the region, previously unforeseen issues are likely to arise as a conflict of interest 117 develops between these various groups. As Hunter (1997) has shown, global tourism industries 118 are beginning to recognize the importance of limiting the degradation and misuse of natural 119 ecosystems. Government policies which focus solely on maximizing the economic benefits of 4 120 tourism will almost certainly overlook, if not seek to ignore, the associated ecological and social 121 costs that come with such policies (e.g. Carr and Heyman 2009). By using a Q-methodology 122 approach, set in an SES framework, we can begin to understand the underlying issues that may 123 threaten Providenciales’ future economic success before they physically manifest themselves. 124 The social consequences of future policy must be acknowledged as significant determinants in 125 the policy’s eventual fate. How much, if at all, do local citizens reap the direct economic benefits 126 of a mass tourism industry, both in the short-term as well as the long run? Does an influx of 127 foreigners and an increased focus on commercial success marginalize the significance of local 128 TCI culture and the region’s natural ecology? Achieving an SES approach towards problem- 129 solving becomes essential, as policymakers aim to satisfy the economic, ecological, and social 130 impacts of a balanced tourism policy in the TCI. 131 132 2. Site Description 133 The study was conducted in Providenciales, Turks and Caicos Islands (TCI), British West Indies 134 (21° 50' N, 72° 16’ W, Figure 1). Known locally as “Provo”, the low-lying island is located on 135 the northwestern edge of the Caicos Bank. With an area of 122 km2 (47 mi2) and a population of 136 approximately 33,000 people, Providenciales is the largest island in the TCI in terms of 137 population, and third largest by area. Importantly from the perspective of this study, 138 Providenciales’ economy is dominated by island-based tourism, with approximately 78% of the 139 British territory’s $632-million GDP generated by the service sector (CIA 2013). In 2014, the 140 territory received 435,475 stop-over visitors (TCI Tourism Board 2015), the vast majority 141 arriving through Providenciales International Airport and staying at one of the many resorts and 142 hotels dotting the northern shore of Providenciales from Turtle Cove and down the entire 19-km 143 (8-mi) length of Grace Bay. Grace Bay in particular has undergone an extensive development 144 boom in the past couple of decades, with the area having played a significant role in helping 145 Providenciales earn its spot as the number one island destination in the world (Tripadvisor 2015). 146 It now boasts at least 34 major resort hotels, residential condominiums, an 18-hole golf course, 147 and numerous shopping and restaurant options within easy walking distance from the beachfront. 148 5 149 150 Figure 1. Providenciales, Turks and Caicos Islands, British West Indies. 151 152 Retreating inland and to the west along Airport Road, the tourism scene begins to fade into local 153 residential neighborhoods and small, locally-owned businesses. The local community is broken 154 down into two general categories: “Belonger” and “Non-Belonger”. Being a Belonger is a legal 155 classification for the British Overseas Territories, conferring certain rights including the right to 156 vote, own property, reside without immigration restrictions, and seek employment without a 157 work permit. In the TCI, Belongers have at least one parent also with Belonger status, regardless 158 of whether they were born in the territory or not. As a result, Belongers are able to trace their 159 family ancestry back several generations in the TCI. Non-Belongers immigrate to the TCI, with 160 most arriving from Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and The Bahamas. Non-Belongers, some of 161 whom are undocumented (Ferguson 2003), outnumber Belongers in the TCI, comprising 57% of 162 the adult population (TCI Census 2012). Regardless of identity or legal status, most residents are 6 163 employed within the tourism industry sector, filling both skilled and unskilled labor positions. 164 Non-Belongers have come to take many jobs throughout the tourism industry, which has taken 165 advantage of a surplus work force to offer lower wages. In response, skilled workers, particularly 166 those from the Belonger community, are increasingly searching for higher-paying work outside 167 both the tourism sector and the territory itself (TCI Government 2015). 168 169 3. Methodology 170 Following the general objectives set by Carr and Heyman (2012), this research employs Q- 171 methodology to quantify subject bias on the subject of marine resources, their management, and 172 environmental condition as a major contributor to Providenciales’ tourism industry. Thirty-nine 173 surveyors from the School for Field Studies in South Caicos, TCI, constructed a 15-statement Q- 174 methodology survey emphasizing the four spheres of an SES framework (Ostrom 2009): social, 175 economic, and political settings and drivers, and their interactions and outcomes as they impact 176 their associated ecosystem. These spheres represent the “Q discourses” (Barry and Proops 1999), 177 from which over 100 statements (the “Q concourse”) were formulated. The Q concourse 178 represented the full breadth of issues as related to the SES spheres. From the Q concourse, 179 surveyors selected, by vote, 15 Q-statements which best reflected perspectives most closely 180 aligned with research objectives. The final survey was edited for clarity and internal consistency, 181 and translated into Spanish. 182 The development of discourses and concourses in Q-methodology are generally constructed 183 through the results of extended, open-ended interviews with targeted stakeholder groups (Barry 184 and Proops 1999, Brannstrom 2011, Carr and Heyman 2012). For this study, conducting 185 extended preliminary interviews in Providenciales was logistically impossible. This limitation, 186 rather than hindering the research aims and goals, allowed surveyors to develop a novel test on 187 researcher bias, allowed for the reflective introduction and application of SES principles in a 188 research setting, and expanded practitioner definitions of stakeholder groups in a social science 189 survey. This was done by having surveyors take their own survey. While there is some literature 190 on normative roles of surveyors (Aldridge 2001), there is no explicit prohibition on whether 191 surveyors cannot contribute to the work by taking a Q-methodology survey and analyzing their 7 192 own results alongside others. While perhaps not a true “control group”, including surveyor 193 responses helps measure how SES considerations are held by other community members who are 194 unlikely to be familiar with SES or Q-methodology. Surveyor perspectives help identify which 195 issues researchers might emphasize because of their own backgrounds, training, and biases, but 196 may not be particularly important to community members. 197 198 Table 1. Q-Method distribution and frequency of responses (from Carr and Heyman 2012). Strength of Disagreement Neutral Strength of Agreement Value -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 Frequency 1 2 2 5 2 2 1 199 200 201 On March 17, 2015, researchers conducted surveys at six predetermined sites around 202 Providenciales (Figure 1). These sites represent locations around Providenciales frequented by 203 tourists and local community members, although not necessarily in balanced numbers. After 204 being guaranteed anonymity and providing verbal consent to complete the survey, participants 205 were asked to sort each of the 15 Q-statements within a defined quasi-normal curve following 206 the design of Carr and Heyman (2012). Each slot on the curve could only receive one statement, 207 and all 15 slots were required to be filled without changing the shape and distribution of the 208 curve (Table 1). The score of -3 represents the single statement that respondents most strongly 209 disagreed with, while the score of +3 represents the statement they most strongly agreed with. 210 Surveyors did not provide additional information for any statement, and only answered questions 211 that improved clarity of the instructions. Once all 15 Q-statements were sorted (the “Q-sort”), 212 respondents gave a brief explanation on why they selected the two statements they most 213 disagreed and agreed with. Surveyors then completed the survey by collecting basic 214 demographic information. Surveys took five to ten minutes to complete. 8 215 After all surveys were completed, researchers removed incomplete or double-response surveys. 216 Incomplete surveys either did not have the quasi-normal curve fully filled with Q-statements, or 217 were missing demographic information. Double-responses were flagged by surveyors at the time 218 of administering surveys. In these instances, two (or more) individuals sorted responses 219 identically to one another. Where there were such duplicates, researchers selected one survey at 220 random without knowing demographic information, and discarded others. This final pool of 221 surveys underwent Q-Methodology analyses (Addams 2000). 222 Respondents were sorted by demographic information into three groups: surveyors, tourists, and 223 locals. Locals were then further categorized as either Belonger residents or Non-Belonger 224 residents. Four Q-methodology analyses, comparing respondent Q-Sorts, were completed: 225 1) Surveyor respondents (n = 39) 226 2) Tourist respondents (n = 165) 227 3) Local respondents (n = 89) 228 4) All respondents (n = 293) 229 230 For each iteration, PQ-Method (v2.11) was used to complete principal component factor (PCF) 231 analyses as well as correlation analyses between respondent Q-sorts. Underlying factors within 232 each round of analysis were identified via eigenvalues and z-scores (Addams 2000) using PQ- 233 Method’s Varimax rotation process. Factors were kept when eigenvalues were greater than one 234 and plotted values also passed a visual scree test, following the methodology of Cattell (1966). 235 Factors were then isolated and connected to survey respondents and demographic information, 236 forming sub-populations of like-minded individuals. These factors, once described, were used to 237 highlight the particular perspectives and biases of these sub-populations, with the purpose of 238 teasing out subtle differences within the larger survey population. 239 240 9 241 4. Results 242 4.1 Analysis of Q-Sort scores and correlation between all respondents 243 Table 2 provides a full comparison, including z-scores, of all four analyses, labeled Surveyor (S), 244 Tourist (T), Local (L), and All (A). In each scenario, group responses underwent PCF, and eight 245 eigenvalues were calculated. Eigenvalue and follow-on scree analyses supported the inclusion of 246 four factors in each analysis, labeled in Table 2 as groups 1, 2, 3, and 4. In each analysis, some 247 respondents were not identified to belong to any particular group. Respondents in the “None” 248 group share characteristics across two or more factors, but owing to PQ-Method software 249 limitations, were dropped from further statistical examination. 250 While there may be similar z-scores between analyses and groups, any such similarity is not 251 presumed to reflect cross-group associations. That is to say, for example, z-scores on Statement 1 252 for Surveyor Factor 3 (S3, z1 = 1.71) does not necessarily reflect the same perspectives and 253 biases that form Tourist Factor 3 (T3, z1 = 1.51, significant at p ≤ 0.05). The color codes seen in 254 Table 2 follow the quasi-normal curve frequencies presented in Table 1, with the strongest 255 disagreement within each sub-group coded red, and strongest agreement coded dark blue. Z- 256 scores are reported for each sub-group along the range -3 < z < +3. 257 While Table 2 shows a large range of perspectives across analyses and between group factors, 258 there are some commonalities to be seen. With the exception of group L4, all respondents 259 strongly support education as part of marine resource management and planning in the TCI 260 (Statement 8, mean z = 1.25). There is also strong agreement on the potential positive 261 contributions of marine protected areas (Statement 11, mean z = 1.10). There is cross-group 262 neutral perspectives on whether economic policies are damaging to the TCI environment 263 (Statement 4, mean z = -0.21), and shared disagreement to the idea that the TCI government 264 represents all stakeholders equally (Statement 5, mean z = -1.00). 265 266 267 10 268 Table 2. Statements and Q-Scores for Surveyors (S), Tourists (T), Locals (L), and All (A) 269 respondents. Color coding follows Table 1. Significant at: * (p ≤ 0.05); ** (p ≤ 0.01). S1 (n=7) T1 (n=53) S2 (n=9) T2 (n=19) S3 (n=3) T3 (n=30) S4 (n=4) T4 (n=18) L1 (n=28) A1 (n=58) L2 (n=10) A2 (n=28) L3 (n=11) A3 (n=38) L4 (n=5) A4 (n=45) 0.04 1.26 1.46 -1.15** 1.73 1.51* 0.01 1.07 0.20 1.32* 0.31 1.10 0.76 -0.59** 0.75 1.38 -0.17 0.13 1.08** 0.31 -0.86* 0.34 -0.13 0.83** -0.69** 0.58 0.43 0.64 1.23** 0.03* 0.27 -0.19* -1.12 -0.54** -1.42 0.19 0.00** -1.91** -0.96 0.42 0.43 -1.61** 1.19** 0.55 -0.01 0.57 -0.02 -0.81** -0.16 0.38** 0.44 -0.17 -0.54 -0.01 -0.13 -0.24 -0.13 0.03 -0.67* -0.58** -1,79** -0.01 -0.14 0.34** -1.69** -1.51* -0.17 -1.03 -0.76 0.01** -0.13 -1.21 -1.81 -0.16** -1.75 -1.51 -0.55 -1.63 -0.48 -1.59 -0.65 -1.34** -0.35 -0.54 -1.30 -0.16* 0.07 -0.53 -1.27** -0.28 0.02 -0.30 -0.18 -1.05** -0.51 -1.37** 0.54 0.31** 0.12 1.57** 0.65 0.92** 0.18 -0.68** 1.00 0.91 -1.75** -0.78** 0.93 1.12* 0.77 0.21** 1.41 1.49* 1.73 1.07 1.08 0.97 1.61 1.76* 1.55** 1.54 0.90** 2.02** 2.11** 1.47 -1.86** 1.21* -0.30 -0.66 -0.64 -0.90 -1.95 -1.21* -1.31 0.13** 0.21 -1.27** 0.12 0.02** -1.19 -0.32** -0.99 -0.68** -1.40 -1.35** -1.17 -0.32 -0.11 -0.47 0.00 0.13** -0.75* -0.90* 0.73** 0.57** -0.32* -0.49** -1.57** -1.15* 1.32 1.44 0.58 1.14 1.41 1.46 0.96 1.27 0.86 1.05 1.41* 1.21 0.35 0.80* 0.81 1.56** 1.11 -0.11** 0.21 1.21** 0.54 0.38** 1.35 -1.29** 0.24 0.50 -1.32** -1.40** -0.04 0.56 1.36** -0.17** -0.06 -0.69 -1.77 -1.64** 0.00 -0.96 -1.96 -0.72 -0.95 -1.42 0.74 -0.33* -0.91 -1.45 1.20 -0.04* 1.43 0.78 0.10 0.89 -0.11 0.23* 1.22 0.61 1.57** 0.15** -0.16 -0.34** -0.70 1.56** -0.61 1.01** -0.31 0.41** -0.18 -0.64** 0.22 -1.11** -0.13 -1.55** -0.48 -0.42 -0.19 -0.87* 0.31* -0.56 1.01 0.29** 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Statement Tourism in the TCI is dependent on the health of the marine environment. Turks and Caicos islanders have strong cultural ties to their marine environment. Tourists come to experience the culture of the TCI. Economic policies are damaging to the TCI environment. TCI government represents all stakeholder groups equally. Environmental policies in the Turks and Caicos Islands address the concerns of all local stakeholders. The TCI need to prepare for negative impacts of climate change. Education is the key for ensuring a stable future for the TCI’s marine resources. Tourists leave the TCI with a better understanding of the local natural environment. Providenciales’ tourism industry is environmentally friendly. Marine protected areas are important for ensuring the health of marine resources in the TCI for the future. Climate change is the major threat to the TCI and its economy. Tourists forgo certain amenities in order to protect coral reefs and marine biodiversity in the TCI. There are limited job opportunities in industries outside tourism in the TCI. Resorts with eco-labels appeal to tourists in the TCI. 11 270 4.2 Analysis of Q-Sort scores and correlation amongst tourists 271 Q-methodology and PCF identified four factors for defining the range of tourist perspectives (n = 272 165). Forty-five tourists (27%) did not associate strongly with any one factor group, and were 273 dropped from subsequent analyses. Group T1 (n = 53) strongly supports education (z8 = 1.49, 274 significant at p ≤ 0.05), and holds a heightened recognition on the connection between the health 275 of the marine environment and Providenciales’ tourism industry (z1 = 1.26), including the need 276 for active management approaches like MPAs (z11 = 1.44). Like almost all other groups, T1 277 members do not believe that the government represents all stakeholders equally (z5 = -1.51, 278 significant at p ≤ 0.05), with a strong sense that tourism-friendly policies exist in the TCI, at the 279 expense of the environment (z10 = -1.35, significant at p ≤ 0.01), and people (z6 = -1.34, 280 significant at p ≤ 0.01). And while not scoring as strongly as other statements, T1 members are 281 the only tourist group who see the positive role that tourists themselves can play with protecting 282 the environment (z15 = 0.41, significant at p ≤ 0.01). 283 Group T2 (n = 19) carry a much more pragmatic viewpoint that verges on acute pessimism of 284 how tourism impacts Providenciales, a viewpoint seen within segments of the tourism industry in 285 other parts of the region (Carr and Heyman 2009). Group T2 members disagree with the 286 statement that tourism relies upon a healthy marine environment (z1 = -1.15, significant at p ≤ 287 0.01). They also acknowledge that tourists negatively impact the island (z9 = -0.90) and its 288 marine environment (z13 = -1.64, significant at p ≤ 0.01; z15 = -0.64, significant at p ≤ 0.01). As 289 an extension of this, T2 members believe that the issue might be larger than is manageable in the 290 TCI, with relative low-ranking support of education (z8 = 1.07), and making the statements 291 concerning climate change their most strongly agreed upon view (z7 = 1.57, significant at p ≤ 292 0.01; z12 = 1.22, significant at p ≤ 0.01). Tying this pragmatic view to a weak agreement on the 293 role and value of local culture in the TCI as it relates to tourism and Providenciales’ economy (z2 294 = 0.31; z3 = 0.19), and the T2 perspective becomes clear. Tourism is not going anywhere in 295 Providenciales, it is likely harming both the environment and the imposing hardships on the local 296 community, and there isn’t much that can be done if the TCI is going to continue to encourage 297 tourism. Or, in their own words, “we come for the beaches, not the people”. 298 Group T3 (n = 30) shares some attributes with T2 in terms of how the issues surrounding tourism 299 and marine resource health play out as issues larger than TCI governmental policy is able to 12 300 account for (z7 = 0.92, significant at p ≤ 0.01; z10 = -0.47; z12 = 0.38, significant at p ≤ 0.01). 301 Unlike T2, however, group T3 members believe that tourism in Providenciales requires a healthy 302 marine environment (z1 = 1.51, significant at p ≤ 0.05), suggesting that tourists who choose to 303 visit the TCI do so, at least in part, because other potential destinations in the region cannot 304 compare in terms of aesthetics, environmental condition, and locally-focused policies (z4 = -0.01; 305 z5 = 0.01, significant at p ≤ 0.01; z11 = 1.46). Such attention to the economic connections of 306 tourism to the environment does not extend to the local community. Group T3 have strong 307 disagreement that TCI culture and community play any real role in the success of tourism in 308 Providenciales (z2 = 0.34; z3 = -1.91, significant at p ≤ 0.01; z9 = -1.21, significant at p ≤ 0.05), 309 stating that TCI islanders “don’t have a culture”. They also do not feel strong environmental 310 obligations (z13 = -0.96; z15 = -1.11, significant at p ≤ 0.01). 311 While most tourists might not recognize, or value, the culture of the TCI, it still represents an 312 important draw for at least some tourists, as seen in the Q-methodology z-scores of Group T4 (n 313 = 18). Members of this group can be identified by their interest in the cultural connections 314 available for discovery in Providenciales (z2 = 0.83, significant at p ≤ 0.01; z3 = 0.42). They 315 carry a more diverse range of perspectives on environmental connections, leading to more 316 neutral z-scores on tourism impacts (z10 = 0.13, significant at p ≤ 0.01) and how the island 317 educates visitors (z8 = 1.76, significant at p ≤ 0.05; z9 = 0.13, significant at p ≤ 0.01). Group T4 318 members self-identify as “enlightened travelers” (Di Giovine 2009), who distance themselves 319 from other, less culturally and environmentally sophisticated tourists (i.e. Groups T1, T2, and 320 T3). Group T4 members recognize and value cultural attributes of Providenciales and disparage 321 other, less-enlightened tourists (z15 = -1.55, significant at p ≤ 0.01), with comments like “most 322 tourists come for a change in the weather, not the culture.” 323 324 4.3 Analysis of Q-Sort scores and correlation amongst Belongers and Non-Belongers 325 Q-methodology and PCF identified four factors for defining the range of local resident 326 perspectives (n = 89). Thirty-five residents (39%) did not strongly associate with any one factor 327 group, and were dropped from subsequent analyses. Separate analyses, including additional 328 factor rotations, were conducted within PQ-Method to test if Group L4 was correlated with 13 329 another group or members of the “None” group, but those tests led to weaker variation, an 330 increase in “L-None” numbers, and overall decrease in total variation being accounted for. As a 331 result of these quality-control tests, Group L4 was retained. 332 Group L1 (n = 28) and L-None (n = 35) are composed of similar numbers and percentages of 333 Belongers relative to total group size (Table 3). Group L1 includes 20 resident Belongers, 71% 334 of the group’s size. Similarly, L-None has 29 Belongers, 82% of that group. They are similarly 335 aged, with L1 members having a mean age of 36.9 ± 11.5 yrs, while L-None are 38.0 ± 11.1 yrs. 336 Group L1 also have tended to live on Providenciales longer (20.8 ± 12.7 yrs) than Group L-None 337 (15.9 ± 13.4 yrs), although this difference is not statistically significant. When comparing the 338 length of residency on Providenciales between Non-Belongers from Group L1 (16.6 ± 12.7 yrs) 339 and Non-Belongers from Group L-None (26.3 ± 6.4 yrs), a statistically significant difference 340 exists (p = 0.03, t-test with unequal variance). Group L1 is also significantly different than 341 Group L4 when comparing Belonger populations (p = 0.01) and overall group populations (p = 342 0.004). 343 Table 3. Demographic comparison of Belonger and Non-Belonger sub-group populations. Age Residency Length Belonger (n = 20) 37.0 ± 12.6 20.8 ± 12.7 Non-Belonger (n = 8) 36.8 ± 9.0 16.6 ± 12.7 Belonger (n = 7) 45.9 ± 19.2 23.1 ± 20.0 PCF Group Group L1 Group L2 Non-Belonger (n = 3) 37.7 ± 12.5 24.7 ± 17.2 Belonger (n = 4) 47.0 ± 23.7 22.0 ± 16.2 Non-Belonger (n = 7) 36.0 ± 14.3 17.4 ± 7.6 Belonger (n = 4) 30.8 ± 10.8 11.0 ± 4.8 Group L3 Group L4 Non-Belonger (n = 1) 22.0 5.0 Belonger (n = 29) 36.3 ± 10.2 15.9 ± 13.4 Non-Belonger (n = 6) 46.5 ± 12.4 26.3 ± 6.4 Group L-None 14 344 345 As seen in the z-scores from Table 2, Group L1 holds a very strong view that tourism remains 346 the only real employment option for residents (z14 = 1.57). They also hold significantly negative 347 perspectives on the ecological (z10 = -0.75) and socioeconomic (z6 = -1.27 impacts of tourism 348 more generally, and share a dim view with the other z-scored groups of how well the TCI 349 government represents themselves (z5 = -1.81). Indeed, if there were a unifying theme across all 350 the local groups, it would be with how poorly each resident group views the local government’s 351 appearance of being beholden to the tourism industry. Q-statements 4, 5, and 6 each reflect 352 government policies at one level or another, with a clear agreement that TCI government policies 353 are tourist-friendly, perhaps at the expense of the environment (z4 = -0.68, z6 = -0.49 across all 354 local groups), or resident opportunities (z5 = -1.15). These views are strengthened in follow-up 355 statements, where Group L1 members show a clear dissatisfaction for tourists, and governmental 356 agenda overly focused on tourism and the tourist experience, saying tourists “come to drink”, 357 and that tourists are “shocked” by the poor environmental and economic conditions away from 358 Grace Bay. 359 Group L2 (n = 10) is identifiable principally through its older (43.4 ± 17.2 yrs), longer-term 360 residents (23.6 ± 18.2 yrs), significantly different than Group L4. Group L2 is also heavily 361 weighted with males, being significantly different than their respective Belonger male 362 populations in Group L-None (p = 0.04), L1 (p = 0.04), and L4 (p = 0.04). Group L2 has, unlike 363 other residents, a broadly positive view of the tourism industry, balanced with a pragmatic 364 perspective on those government policies that support the industry and safeguard the 365 environment. Group L2 members believe that the tourism industry is environmentally friendly 366 (z10 = 0.73, significant at p ≤ 0.01), and discount the environmental risk of those economic 367 policies that support tourism (z4 = -0.67, significant at p ≤ 0.05). This positive perspective is 368 further enhanced by their belief that tourists themselves are respectful to their environmental 369 potential impacts on Providenciales (z13 = 0.74) and wish to absorb local culture while visiting 370 (z3 = 1.19, significant at p ≤ 0.05). 371 On the other hand, Group L2 has contrasting impressions on the functional value of a healthy 372 environment against the need to protect it. They strongly support marine protected areas as a 373 management tool (z11 = 1.41, significant at p ≤ 0.05), and, like Groups L1 and L3, the role of 15 374 education in building support for managing the marine resources in the TCI (z8 = 0.90, 375 significant at p ≤ 0.01). Yet, Group L2 fully discounts the immediacy of ecological (z7 = -1.75, 376 significant at p ≤ 0.01) and socioeconomic (z12 = -1.32, significant at p ≤ 0.01) threats of climate 377 change to the territory. Indeed, their strong disagreement to Q-statements 7 and 12 place them 378 alone within all resident groups. In follow-up questions, Group L2 respondents noted a range of 379 justifications for disagreeing with those statements: that climate change is a “global issue” that is 380 not just the responsibility of the TCI government to address; that the climate is changing but that 381 there are much more immediate concerns that must first be addressed in the TCI; or that climate 382 change is not happening or is “not real”. This range of rationales within Group L2, while 383 illustrating some level of topical disagreement, is one that unifies those members at the level of 384 decision-making and policies supporting the continued growth of tourism in Providenciales. If, in 385 the eyes of Group L2, tourism is a benefit to the TCI, with limited negative impacts on an 386 otherwise strongly resilient marine ecosystem, then policy decisions should favor continued 387 tourism growth and opportunities over other stakeholder group concerns (z5 = -1.75). 388 Group L3 (n = 11) holds few significant differences compared to other resident groups identified 389 by Q-methodology. As a whole, L3 members are 40.0 ± 18.0 years old, having resided in 390 Providenciales for 19.1 ± 10.9 years, demographically very similar to the overall sample age 391 (38.0 ± 13.0 yrs) and residence (18.7 ± 13.1 yrs). Yet, once L3 individuals are sorted between 392 Belongers and Non-Belongers, some differences begin to reveal themselves. Group L3 is, unlike 393 all other groups, comprised principally of Non-Belongers, who are younger (36.0 ± 14.3 yrs) 394 than their fellow L3 Belongers (47.0 ± 23.7 yrs) (p = 0.05). 395 Group L3 members, regardless of identifying as Belonger or Non-Belonger, have perhaps the 396 most SES-grounded views on tourism and managing resources in the TCI of all resident groups. 397 They distinguish themselves by their strong belief in the cultural ties between islanders and their 398 home (z2 = 1.23, significant at p ≤ 0.01). Ecologically, they recognize the positive relationship 399 between a healthy marine environment and a healthy tourism industry (z1 = 0.76), and that there 400 are negative impacts that the tourism industry incurs upon Providenciales’ environment (z10 = - 401 0.32, significant at p ≤ 0.05). They also have a nuanced appreciation for a range of management 402 tools in promoting this health at both local (z11 = 0.35) and global (z7 = 0.93) scales. Group L3 16 403 members also believe that the government is doing generally well balancing economic and 404 environmental interests (z4 = -1.79, significant at p ≤ 0.01). 405 Finally, while Group L3 members do hold negative views on tourist interests and motivations (z9 406 = -1.19, z13 = -0.91), these perspectives are not defining characteristics for the group. Indeed, 407 although there is a range of views held by locals on tourists and their contribution to life in the 408 TCI, whether strongly negative (L1 and L3), weakly positive (L4), or strongly positive (L2), 409 none of these views are defining characteristics through Q-methodology. This suggests, at least 410 within the resident population surveyed, that tourists are more an incidental aspect of the tourism 411 industry. Instead, government and industry policies are more responsible for strengthening 412 environmental sustainability and economic stability both on Providenciales, and more broadly 413 across the territory. Such a perspective is personified by Group L3 comments, including that “no 414 one would come if the beaches were shot” and “without a healthy marine [environment], there is 415 no tourism in Provo”. 416 Finally, Group L4 (n = 5) is unique from other resident groups identified by Q-methodology by 417 both their age (29.0 ± 10.1 yrs) and residency (9.8 ± 5.0 yrs), differences that make it statistically 418 different than other groups by age (Group L2, p = 0.03) or residence length (Group L1, p = 419 0.004; Group L2, p = 0.02; Group L3, p = 0.02; Group L-None, p = 0.01). In a number of ways, 420 Group L4 represents a small, contrarian minority voice, a characteristic that has been seen by 421 other young, less established groups in a previous study by Carr and Heyman (2012). Group L4 422 stands apart not only from other locals but also the entire survey population in their strongly 423 negative perception on the value of education in contributing towards resource use, management 424 and sustainability (z8 = -1.86, significant at p ≤ 0.01). They have views that are more negative 425 than other groups on the impacts of tourism on Providenciales’ environment (z10 = -1.57, 426 significant at p ≤ 0.01), and that the policies in place to protect the environment balance a range 427 of stakeholder concerns (z6 = -0.51). Group A4 separate themselves by identifying climate 428 change as the major threat to the TCI (z12 = 1.36, significant at p ≤ 0.01), and that tourists are 429 informed to some level on environmentally-friendly aspects of tourism (z13 = 1.20; z15 = 1.01, 430 significant at p ≤ 0.01). 431 17 432 4.4 Analysis of Q-Sort scores and correlation within all respondents 433 Table 2 shows the average z-scores for each identified factor within the analysis (A1, A2, A3, 434 and A4), based on the aggregated Q-sort responses by all members within that group. There was 435 broad positive consensus among all four groups on the value of education for ensuring a stable 436 future for marine resources in the TCI (Statement 8), with a mean z-score of 1.56. Similarly, 437 there was broad negative consensus regarding how equally the TCI government represents all 438 stakeholders (Statement 5), with a mean z-score of -1.53. Statement 5 was the lowest scored 439 statement for groups A2, A3, and A4. 440 Group A1 (n = 58) is dominated by individuals with a much more limited level of experience and 441 understanding of Providenciales and the TCI than locals, either Belonger or Non-Belonger. 442 Tourists (62.0% of A1) and surveyors (27.6% of A1) account for nearly 90% of Group A1. 443 Group A1 is noted for their overall negative impression on social and ecological contributions of 444 tourism to Providenciales and the TCI. A1 members have strongly negative views on tourists’ 445 interest in local culture (z3 = -1.61, significant at p ≤ 0.01) or their understanding of the 446 environment (z9 = -1.27, significant at p ≤ 0.01). 447 Group A2 (n = 28) was evenly balanced between tourists (53.6% of A2) and locals (46.4% of 448 A2), with no surveyors being members. Like Group A1, Group A2 holds positive views on the 449 importance of a healthy marine environment for Providenciales and the TCI (z1 = 1.10; z11 = 450 1.21), the importance of education for ensuring a stable future for marine resources in the TCI (z8 451 = 2.02, significant at p ≤ 0.01), and the cultural ties locals have with the marine environment (z2 452 = 0.64). They also disagree that governmental policies are damaging the environment in and 453 around Providenciales (z4 = -0.58, significant at p ≤ 0.01), although they share the belief with 454 Groups A3 and A4 that policies do favor tourism stakeholders (z5 = -1.03). Group A2 does hold 455 negative, distinguishing perspectives on the risk of climate change (z7 = -0.78, significant at p ≤ 456 0.01; z12 = -1.40, significant at p ≤ 0.01), and its potential impacts to the territory (TCI 457 Government 2011), particularly in relation to how they perceive the threat of climate change to 458 other, more keenly visible threats. 459 Group A3 (n = 38) has a strong tourist sub-population (57.9% of A3), but unlike Group A1, is 460 much more strongly represented by local individuals, with 26.3% of A3 being Belonger, and 18 461 10.5% being Non-Belonger (Table 2). Given this breadth of membership across multiple survey 462 populations, it should not be surprising that Group A3 stands apart in a number of ways. Group 463 A3 is identifiable principally through a few contrarian positions that put them at odds with other 464 groups’ members. They do not believe that tourism in the TCI is dependent on the health of the 465 marine environment (z1 = -0.59, significant at p ≤ 0.05). They also agree that there are few 466 economic avenues available outside of tourism in the TCI (z14 = 1.56, significant at p ≤ 0.01), 467 their most strongly-held perspective. Further, A3 members alone tend to have weakly negative 468 views on the positive contributions of tourism to the environment (z4 = -0.01; z9 = -0.32, 469 significant at p ≤ 0.01; z10 = -0.49, significant at p ≤ 0.01). 470 Finally, Group A4 (n = 45) has a strong tourist sub-population (64.4% of A4), with nearly equal 471 percentages of Belongers (15.6% of A4) and surveyors (17.8% of A4), and only a single Non- 472 Belonger (2.2% of A4). Group A4 holds positions that reflect an expectation of government 473 response and action for promoting environmental sustainability and economic stability. Like 474 Groups A1 and A2, A4 members recognize the economic value of a healthy marine environment 475 (z1 = 1.38; z11 = 1.56, significant at p ≤ 0.01). But while they do value education (z8 = 1.21, 476 significant at p ≤ 0.05), more concern is focused on a lack of stakeholder representation (z5 = - 477 1.59), poor policy decisions (z4 = 0.34, significant at p ≤ 0.01; z6 = -1.37, significant at p ≤ 0.01), 478 and lack of oversight on tourism (z10 = -1.15, significant at p ≤ 0.05). 479 480 5. Discussion 481 5.1 Identifying Stakeholder Differences in Perspectives 482 Research examining SES approaches for resource management highlights the benefits of holistic 483 approaches for examining the interconnections between economic goals, social pressures, 484 environmental conditions, and conservation needs within a policy framework. Governance 485 structures, market demands, and the ecological foundation of a resource base must all be 486 accounted for. In the case of Providenciales, balancing these needs is necessary to best ensure 487 tourism’s long-term economic stability and sustainability of the island’s natural resources. The 488 industry is currently centered around the beauty and allure of the marine environment, making it 489 critical for the government to account for potential ecological repercussions associated with 19 490 development plans. The successful long-term implementation of policies centered around 491 conservative practices can only be accomplished if the territory’s socio-economic needs are also 492 taken into account; integrating the concerns and needs of the many stakeholders involved 493 severely diminishes the possibility of oversimplifying an issue, resulting in a policy that 494 embraces change and complexity. 495 The TCI tourism industry currently finds itself at a crossroads, at which seemingly standard 496 decisions can have tremendous influences on the longstanding development and trajectory of the 497 territory’s economy. Accounting for the four principal SES spheres proposed by Berkes et al. 498 (2003), and identifying the complex relationships between them can be difficult. And the reality 499 of policy development often centers around politically expedient responses to specific issues, 500 rather than a cohesive, organized, and multi-faceted approach (Fulton et al. 2011). This research 501 shows that it is possible, however, to identify issues of immediate concern within stakeholder 502 groups, while also highlighting pathways to long-term sustainability. Using Q-methodology to 503 account for the wide range of stakeholder perspectives, this research has revealed several distinct 504 viewpoints about both the current state and the future direction of tourism in the TCI. 505 As seen across nearly all groups and analyses, policies appear to strongly favor tourism and 506 marginalize local stakeholders, particularly those not employed within the tourism sector. While 507 favoring tourism, the dominant economic engine in the territory, may be necessary, perceived 508 disregard for affected local community members can ultimately fracture local support and derail 509 growth. Tourism throughout the region has shown a stark divide in socioeconomic benefits, 510 despite a generally agreed upon conclusion that tourism is an economic benefit at regional and 511 national scales (Freitag 1994; Pattullo 2005; Carr and Heyman 2009; Amaghionyeodiwe 2012). 512 Finding pathways to expand economic benefits beyond the tourism sector will help garner 513 stakeholder support and policy legitimacy going forward. In the case of Providenciales, this will 514 require pro-environment policies, given the keen sense of connection between tourism and the 515 marine environment. Tourist and local stakeholder groups both broadly recognize the value of a 516 healthy marine environment for tourism, and so the government should continue to pursue 517 “smart growth” policies (McLaren 2003) that safeguard the environment and natural beauty of 518 Providenciales. Demonstrating a commitment to environmental stewardship and community 20 519 regard will help make tangible their marketing slogan of “beautiful by nature” (TCI Tourism 520 Board 2015). 521 522 5.2 Integrating Local Stakeholder Views into Tourism Planning 523 As seen both in this study and supporting literature, tourism-dependent economies benefit most 524 when they actively integrate with their local communities. Yet, it can be difficult to account for 525 local concerns, much less address them, when the economic pressures from within the tourism 526 sector are pervasive. As has been seen elsewhere in the Caribbean region, governments are 527 largely beholden to the demands of the tourism industry. Government priorities are therefore 528 dedicated to gaining development interest, and then securing those interests over 529 Simultaneously, competition for tourists between destinations is fierce (Carr and Heyman 2009). 530 As a direct response to this competition, government policies take one of two basic paths: large- 531 scale, discount tourism, as seen in Jamaica and the Dominican Republic, and specialized, high- 532 end tourism that caters to a specific market group, as seen, for example, in island getaways in 533 Antigua and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Both provide valuable contributions to their respective 534 economies, although environmental and community effects can be severe. 535 Providenciales actually pursues both avenues, with family-oriented resorts like Club Med 536 Turkoise, and up-scale retreats like Amanyara Resort, which caters to a highly personalized 537 experience. Both styles reflect “enclave-style” tourism that removes guests from the surrounding 538 local community. Yet, they do so at their own peril, given the ease with which such tourism 539 destinations can replace one another. As seen with local stakeholder responses, there are few 540 tangible connections between the culture of the TCI and tourism. While not likely to be a major 541 draw compared to the natural beauty of Grace Bay in the immediate future, developing industry 542 outlets that highlight Providenciales and Turks and Caicos culture nonetheless can help generate 543 connections that retain market share through repeat visitors. As members of Group L1 and L2 544 reveal, the current relationship between the local community and tourists can be greatly 545 improved, benefitting both tourists and islanders. The TCI, while perhaps not a cultural 546 stronghold like other destinations in the Caribbean, has a rich history and connections to their 547 island resources. Building such connections can also benefit conservation efforts when tourists time. 21 548 link community welfare and pride to the environmental health of the island (Scheyvens 1999). In 549 doing so, such community-oriented policies become supported within a SES framework. 550 551 5.3 Expanding Concepts of Surveyor Roles in SES Research 552 Discussions on the practical application of SES principles in resource management continue to 553 mature in policy considerations (Holling 2001; Berkes et al. 2002; Folke et al. 2005; Ostrom 554 2009, 2010). Accepting system complexity and acknowledging the effects of uncertainty has not 555 slowed the potential of SES-structured policy recommendations for managing economically and 556 culturally important natural resources, especially in data-limited situations (Carr and Heyman 557 2014). This recognition, however, brings up an important point: do researcher goals match the 558 scale of issues facing stakeholders, or are opportunities to examine the potential of a cohesive, 559 complex SES framework to address resource management dissonant to community voices and 560 concerns? Or, more plainly, how likely are SES-styled “solutions” being brought forward in 561 search of a problem? 562 As seen in Table 2, SES researcher perspectives are generally in line with the more broadly held 563 views of interviewed stakeholders. This suggests that, at least in the case of Providenciales, SES 564 researchers have a functional understanding of the ecological, socioeconomic, and political 565 pressures within the tourism industry and its continued support from the TCI government. 566 Building on education efforts toward both tourist and local stakeholders should continue to be a 567 priority for the TCI, as a greater attitudinal awareness to the positive and negative aspects of 568 tourism can be parlayed into increased stakeholder participation. Tourists can support various 569 conservation efforts, such as eco-labeling, if they understand the rationale and ultimate goals of 570 such strategies, and how small changes in their behavior can have large positive impacts. 571 Similarly, the tourism sector can improve their standing with local stakeholders by expanding 572 outreach efforts demonstrating their commitment to a healthy community and environment. In 573 both cases, stakeholder views are brought in from the periphery of the policy table, an important 574 aspect of the SES approach. That these policy elements were first constructed by SES 575 researchers should not dilute their importance. Q-scores from tourist and local stakeholder 576 groups reveal that perspectives are sufficiently complex to move beyond single issue 22 577 management, which for the tourism industry tends to focus on short-term economic growth and 578 capturing market share, and toward a more nuanced, multi-faceted policy framework that 579 champions ecological and socioeconomic issues in equal measure. 580 This research also highlights the need to continue seeking and quantifying stakeholder 581 perspectives and input, a foundational component in Q-methodology that provides much of its 582 analytical strength. The purpose of the researcher-designed Q-sort is not to supersede or replace 583 stakeholder views with those of SES-trained researchers, but to assess stakeholder sophistication 584 and perspective complexity in a reflective process. There will always be a need for experts and 585 stakeholders to join in policy discussions. Employing a researcher-designed Q-methodology that 586 is sensitive to a range of stakeholder issues may shorten the distance required to bring those 587 perspectives to the policy table, while iteratively reducing system uncertainty that plagues the 588 decision-making process. Stakeholder perspectives are still identified by factors and z-scores, 589 and follow-up questioning provides the vital insights that can help inform discussions and guide 590 more inclusive, broadly supported policies. Follow-on work and continued stakeholder 591 participation, either directly at the policy table or through studies such as these, can encourage 592 adaptive management opportunities, another hallmark of the SES approach. 593 Finally, this research shows that SES training is tangibly strengthening Q-methodology as a 594 policy-oriented tool. The Q-sort developed by researchers was done through an exhaustive, 595 multi-step process that sought to capture the issues most relevant to the stakeholders being 596 interviewed. Z-score patterns for surveyor factor groups can be seen also with both tourist and 597 local stakeholder groups. From an academic angle, such results support the idea that one can 598 successfully introduce SES theory prior to stakeholder interviews without impacting any 599 subsequent management and policy review. While researchers should continue to be wary of 600 introducing their own biases into their work, this study shows that there may be occasions or 601 valid reasons for not fully removing themselves from the course and tenor of their work. In this 602 regard, the Q-methodology approach presented here has similarities to other survey tools already 603 well-established in the social sciences. Semi-structured interviews, closed-ended questioning, 604 and discrete choice surveys all reflect a level of predetermination guided by the informed 605 surveyor and their chosen research focus. In more “traditional” Q-methodology studies, 606 researchers may not know the range of perspectives held by respondents, and so preliminary 23 607 interviews are necessary (Carr and Heyman 2012). In the case of resource management, 608 however, SES theory suggests that the range of issues being confronted fall within well-defined 609 ecological, socioeconomic, and political spheres of influence that can be identified in a number 610 of manners, from direct observation to stakeholder inquiry to comparison studies of similar 611 systems and circumstances. The successful adaptation of Q-methodology from one that is purely 612 stakeholder-derived to one that can find its formation in theoretical constructs such as SES 613 increases its functionality for practitioners, and, by extension, stakeholders and policy-makers. 614 615 6. Conclusions 616 Tourism accounts for 77% of the GDP of TCI, and that percentage rises to nearly 98% when 617 including the construction sector. Further, the TCI is the number one destination in the world in 618 terms of per capita visitor arrivals per resident, with nearly 13 tourists for every resident (TCI 619 Tourism Board 2015). It is clear that the tourism industry in the TCI has a disproportionately 620 large influence over the territory’s future. Continued reliance on tourism in the TCI will produce 621 unique SES stresses, and so tourism-focused policies would be wise to proactively address them 622 so as to not jeopardize the territory’s future economic well-being and environmental health. 623 Improving policies requires a sensitivity to stakeholder perspectives as they relate to the breadth 624 of issues that may require management responses. Q-methodology is a uniquely valuable policy 625 tool because it successfully identifies and quantifies a range of stakeholder perspectives. Policy- 626 makers can use Q-methodology analyses to inform the decision-making process by highlighting 627 stakeholder perspectives as they relate to the environment and economy. 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