PRODELTA SLOPE STABILITY AND ASSOCIATED COASTAL HAZARDS IN TECTONICALLY ACTIVE MARGINS: GULF OF CORINTH (NE MEDITERRANEAN) V. LYKOUSIS, D. SAKELLARIOU, G. ROUSSAKIS National Centre for Marine Research, Ag. Kosmas, 166.04 Hellinikon, Athens, Greece Abstract Submarine prodelta instabilities appear as a sequence of rotational block slumps, restricted to the Upper Holocene silty clay deposits (unit A). The individual slump blocks are about 80-150m long and 5-15m in thickness. Slip zones are associated with the deeper Lower Holocene and/or methane gas-charged sediments (unit B). Mud flows appear towards the steeper prodelta slopes. Calculation of slope stability with the Normalised-Soil-Parameter (NSP) method of the normally consolidated prodelta sediments (Lower Holocene unit B), indicates that instabilities could be induced by earthquake ground accelerations from 0.13-0.14 g. Somewhat higher accelerations (0.27-0.30 g) are able to initiate mass failures in overconsolidated prodelta sediments (Upper Holocene unit A). These estimations are in accordance with the observed sediment mass wasting processes. Since the regional expected peak ground acceleration range between 0.10-0.15 g. the prodelta slopes in W. Greece are highly unstable. Keywords: Submarine slide, slope stability, coastal collapse, tsunamis, W. Greece 1. Introduction The marine prodelta sequences are the predominant modern unconsolidated sediments, deposited on continental shelves. The marine prodelta deposits consist mainly of silty clays to clayey silts, developed in a prismatic-lobate external configuration. Due to their unconsolidated state, the prodelta sedimentary sequences are prone to sediment failures and various types of instabilities (Prior and Coleman, 1982). Low strengths associated with prodelta sediments are the direct result of the rate of deltaic sedimentation, especially towards the upper delta slope near the distributaries (Terzaghi, 1956). Since the 1960s, the offshore oil and gas industry has experienced directly the effects of sediment mass movement of prodelta sediments. Movement of permanent platforms, jack - up rigs, together with repeated pipeline and cable breaks, have been reported often for the area offshore of the Mississippi delta; these were associated with cyclic wave loading during the passage of various Hurricanes (Bea and Audibert, 1980). Nevertheless, it is accepted generally that the cyclic loading from seismic ground accelerations (seismic activity) is the world-wide predominant factor affecting offshore slope instabilities (Lee and Edwards, 1986). The western part of Greece (mainland, coastal areas and islands) is, seismically, the most active area in Europe, due to its proximity to the Hellenic Trench. The Hellenic Arc and Trench system constitutes an island arc, related to the subduction of the African 433 434 Lykousis et al. Figure 1. Map of the gulfs of patras and Corinth with the drainage pattern of the surrounding land areas. The main rivers are marked in bold. Dotted lines mark the location of the profiles shown in Fig 2 and 3. plate beneath the European plate. The regional tectonics involves complex slip patterns across the boundaries of several microplates (McKenzie, 1972; Mascle and Martin, 1990) implying high seismicity. Intense shallow earthquake motions, particularly pronounced in W. Greece, are expected to generate peak ground accelerations of 1530%g (Makropoulos and Burton, 1985). Within this region, sediment mass failures during the late century are responsible for numerous cable breaks (Heezen et al., 1966). The purpose of this paper is the study of the types of instabilities in prodelta sediments subjected to cyclic loading, the identification of their geotechnical character and the investigation of the possible failure mechanisms. The Gulfs of Patras and Corinth (Fig. 1) were selected as case studies. 2. Methodology High resolution seismic reflection profiles (3.5kHz, O.R.E. LTD) were used to identify the prodelta sediment sequences and the associated instabilities. Short sediment cores (2 - 3m) were recovered using a BENTHOS INSTR. gravity corer. The entire field work was carried out from R/V AEGAEO. Grain-size analysis was performed using the Sedigraph laser technique (Micrometrics 5100), whilst selected samples were analysed for organic carbon and total carbonate content with a Fisons EA 1108 CHN Analyser. Geotechnical classification tests were performed downcore, according to British Standards 1377 (1975). Consolidation tests were performed in undisturbed samples, utilising back-pressured, fixed-ring odometers (Silva et al., 1981). Graphical procedures were used to determine the coefficient of consolidation (logarithm of time) and the preconsolidation stress (maximum past effective stress, exerted on the sediments) (Casagrande, 1936). Slope stability was estimated under undrained conditions utilising the NSP approach (Lee and Edwards, 1986). This is a sophisticated approach, incorporating more geotechnical parameters (including cyclic shear strength tests, consolidation tests etc) into the evaluation of slope stability, compensating partly for the effects of disturbance Prodelta slope stability 435 during sediment coring. Static and cyclic triaxial compression and extension tests were run under undrained conditions, using computer controlled GDS triaxial instrumentation; this was in sediment samples taken from about 1 m sub-bottom depth Figure 2. 3.5kHz profile off the Evinos river, in the Gulf of Patras. Typical small-scale rotational instabilities and mudflows within the Upper Holocene unit B are recognised. The Lower Holocene unit B (failure zone?), the Late Pleistocene transgressive unit C and gassy sediments are shown, as well. of an Upper Holocene muddy section. These tests determine the susceptibility of the sediment to strength loss, during repeated external (wave and/or earthquake) loading. The samples were consolidated to stress levels identical to those imposed on the static triaxial samples. In this way the shear strength of sediment under cyclic loading conditions can be evaluated, relative to the predetermined static undrained shear strength. Axial loads were applied sinusoidally with a frequency of 0.01-0.03 Hz until, either an extentional or compressional strain of 15% was reached. Lee and Edwards (1986) describe details of these procedures. 3. Results and discussion 3.1 PRODELTA SLOPE INSTABILITIES Evidence of sediment instability is common in the majority of almost all low-angle (0.5 - 2o) modern prodelta slopes of the seismically active continental slopes of W. Greece (Kyparisiakos and Messiniakos Gulfs, Gulf of Patras, Gulf of Corinth). In these areas of normally consolidated prodelta deposits (sedimentation rates from 3 - 5m/ka), slope failures manifest themselves as shallow seated arcuate or listric gravity faults, with small vertical displacement (Fig. 2). These faults are slip planes associated with a sequence or peripheral (rotational) block slumps restricted to the Upper Holocene (upper stratified layers - A). The individual slump blocks are about 80-150m long and have slip planes extending to a mean depth of 10m. The deeper, transparent (reflectionfree) Lower Holocene muddy layers (B), together with the parallel Upper Pleistocene transgressive sequences (C), are mostly unaffected. These observations imply a basal 436 Lykousis et al. shear plane of Lower Holocene muddy and/or methane-gas-charged sediments, these are expected to have lower shear strength from the overlying muddy-silty stratified layers. The basal muddy layer could be compared with the “weak” sediment zone (with values of undrained shear strength as low as 4.8kPa), measured 15m below the seabed within Figure 3. Air gun 10in3 profile off the Meganitis river in the Gulf of Corinth. Small scale gravity faults landward the shelf edge indicates retrogressive failure processes. Slide scarp and slump debris in the middle and lower slope are also shown. Mississippi prodelta deposits (Whelan et al., 1976). Toward the upper and steeper (2-3o) part of the prodelta slopes, the presence of near-bottom chaotic reflectors, in water depths of 15 - 40m, is indicative of an active sub-surface mudflow, of up to 5m in thickness (Fig. 2). This set of deformational features resembles contemporaneous faults and slumps, observed on the Adriatic shelf (Correggiari et al., 2001), the shelf off the South Pass of the Mississippi Delta (Coleman and Prior, 1981), near Eureka, California (Lee et al., 1981) and in the Gulf of Alaska (Carlson et al., 1980). Similar failure processes (rotational block slumps) have been observed also within Upper Pleistocene prodelta sequences on the shelf-edge of the Northwest Aegean margin (Thermaikos Gulf, Lykousis and Chronis, 1989). 3.2 ASSOCIATED COASTAL HAZARDS The scarps of the observed prodelta failures are located very close to the coast (50300m) and in fairly shallow water depths (15-50m). They appear usually in the steep slopes of the Gulf of Corinth, where significant upslope (landward) retrogressional sliding is often (Fig. 3). These retrogressional processes are responcible for the Prodelta slope stability 437 generation of coastal collapses, observed often during strong seismic shocks. Extensive retreat of coastal strips has been reported during 373 BC and 1817, 1861, 1965 and 1995 AD (Schmidt 1875; Papazachos & Papazachos; Mouyaris et al. 1992; Lekkas et al. 1996;) in the Western Gulf of Corinth (Aegialia-Eratini region). The dimensions of the retreated coastal strips are in the order of several kilometers in length and tens to hundreds of meters in width. Slump-induced tsunamis, not accompanied necessarily by coastal retreat, constitute an additional significant coastal hazard. Catastrophic tsunamis, some of them with human losses, were observed during 373 BC, 1748, 1817, 1861, 1965 and 1995 (Galanopoulos (1966; Papadopoulos & Chalkis 1984 and Lykousis et al. 1995); these were not always related directly to specific earthquakes. The wave height of these tsunsmis ranged from 3-7m, except in the case of 373 BC (submergence of ancient city Eliki), where the wave high was estimated to be around 20m. 3.3 SLOPE STABILITY The NSP slope stability method has been used successfully, to identify the failure conditions in slides and mudflows, in the seismically active slopes of the western US continental margin offshore California and Alaska (Lee et al., 1999). In Europe, the method has been applied to the analysis of slope stability of the Ebro passive margin in the Western Mediterranean (Baraza et al., 1990) and in the Gulf of Cadiz (Atlantic Spanish coasts) (Lee and Baraza, 1999). The relative stability of slopes undergoing seismic loading can be assessed, by the NSP method, considering the following equation: Kc = ( ¶ [AcArUS(OCR)m – sin ] (Lee and Edwards, 1986) :KHUH7DEOHV DQG,, kc is the critical ground earthquake acceleration, capable of inducing slope instability; is the ratio of submerged, to total bulk density, of the sediment; Ac is a factor for correcting laboratory shear strengths to anisotropic (real) consolidation conditions; Ar is the factor for degrading static shear strengths for cyclic loading; U is the degree of consolidation - this factor equals 1, since the bottom sediments are normally consolidated to slightly overconsolidated; S is the ratio of the undrained shear strength to consolidation stress, for normal consolidation - this ratio was calculated from the triaxial tests; OCR is the overconsolidation ratio, calculated for the lower part of the Holocene layer (around 1 m bsb); m is a sediment constant, relating overconsolidated normalised strength to normally consolidated normalized strength (typically equal to about 0.8, according to Ladd et al., 1977), but can be measured from specific isotropic consolidation tests, in which a known OCR is induced followed by graphical estimations (Mayne, 1985). Note: in the tests described here, m was estimated to be 0.78; this is slightly higher than the value calculated for the W. Mediterranean (Ebro) margin (0.76)(Baraza et al., 1990); and is the mean slope angle, ranging from 0.5-30. Lykousis et al. 438 Laboratory analysis of a series of short sediment cores from prodelta deposits was revealed slight differences in the geotechnical character of seismic stratigraphic units A relatively to B. The unit A representing Upper Holocene clayey silts-silty clays display high water content (40-90 %), low bulk density (1.4-1.8 g cm-3) and relatively low values of undrained shear strength (3-20 kPa). These values exhibits gradual and almost linear increase or decrease with depth (bulk density, shear strength and water content, Atterberg limits respectively). The lower unit B (Lower Holocene silty clays) indicates similar values of geotechnical properties with unit A. The water content is relatively high (40-80 %) and the bulk density slightly lower (1.3-1.6 g cm-3) due to their finer texture in respect to unit A. The low values of shear strength (3-8 kPa) reflect, as well, mainly textural differences. Important differences was observed in the consolidation characteristics due to higher silt content in the unit A (significantly higher overconsolidation ratio of unit A). The various calculated Normalised Soil Parameters in prodelta sediments and used in this study are presented in Table I Table 1. Prodelta slope stability using Normalised Soil Parameters (NSP). Sediment sequence A B Sampling depth (cm) 100 100 Water content (%) 40 50 S Ar OCR Ac m 0.42 0.32 0.88 0.52 0.64 0.91 2 1 0.76 0.94 0.74 0.78 Four values of kc were calculated using the slope angle, the geotechnical characteristics (mean values) and the consolidation state of the three cores from the upper (unit A) and lowermost slope (distal bottomsets-unit B). The calculations were repeated for the maximum and minimum slope angles estimated in prodelta slopes (Table II). These values of kc clearly indicate that prodelta slope gradient up to 30 is not a significant factor affecting slope stability in both units. The significant differences in the values of kc that was calculated for the units A and B mostly reflect the consolidation state of each unit, textural and water content variations. The kc calculated values of 0.27-0.30 g for the unit A are appreciably higher than the regionally expected (0.16-0.18 g) and consequently is appeared to be relatively stable. The lower kc values that estimated for the unit B (0.13-0.14 g) indicate that this is a weak zone regarding of sediment slope stability and could be regarded as a potential slide plane. This is in accordance with the high resolution seismic profiling analysis (see 3.1. Prodelta slope instabilities). These values are very much comparable with the estimated kc values for the N. Aegean upper and lower slope (0.16-0.17 g and 0.29-0.30 g respectively) (Lykousis et al., 2002) and comparable with the kc values that were calculated for the S. Aegean slopes (Perissoratis and Papadopoulos, 1999). The application of these kc values of the Lower Holocene unit B (potential failure zone) on a regional basis indicates that the prodelta slopes in W. Greece are highly unstable. Table 2. Seismically induced ground acceleration able to cause failure (kc). Sediment sequence A B Max / min Slope angle (o) 0.5 / 3 0.5 / 3 Kc (g’s) 0.296 / 0.278 0.141 / 0.129 Prodelta slope stability 439 4. Conclusions Evidence of instability is common, in almost all the modern prodelta slopes of the seismically active continental margins of W. Greece. In low-angle (0.5-3o) prodelta slope, sediment failures has appeared as shallow-seated arcuate or listric gravity faults, with small vertical displacement. These faults are slip planes, associated with a sequence or peripheral (rotational) block slumps restricted to the Upper Holocene (upper stratified layers). The individual slump blocks are about 80-150m wide; they have slip planes extending to a mean depth of 10m. The deeper, transparent (reflectionfree) Lower Holocene muddy layers, together with the parallel Late Pleistocene transgressive sequences, are mostly unaffected. These observations imply a basal shear zone of Lower Holocene muddy and/or methane-gas-charged sediments, which are expected to have lower shear strength than the overlying muddy-silty stratified layers (Upper Holocene). In the steeper (2-6o) prodelta slopes, translational sliding is the prominent instabilities associated with retrogressional failure processes. These active processes have caused significant coastal collapse-retreat, with important human and economic impact. Prodelta failures that occurred in the last 0.15 ka in the Gulf of Corinth have destroyed telecommunication cables and initiated destructive tsunami waves. The regional prodelta slope stability was calculated using the Normalised-SoilParameter (NSP) method (Lee et al., 1986). The calculated values of the earthquake ground acceleration, able to generate failures (kc) of the prodelta slopes (0.13-0.14 g) are lower than those due to earthquake motion expected (0.16-0.18 g); consequently these are in agreement with the observed slope failures. The application of these kc values on a regional basis in the W. Greece marginal slopes indicates that the normally consolidated prodelta sediments in this area are highly unstable. The Lower Holocene sediment sequence (B) and the associated gas charged sediments should be regarded as potential failure zone. This is in agreement with the observed instabilities in the investigated areas, where the expected ground accelerations varies from 0.15-0.20 g. Overconsolidated prodelta sediments was appeared relatively stable, since the calculated ground accelerations able to trigger mass failures range from 0.27-0.30 g. 5. Aknowledgements The authors are greatful to Prof. M.B. Collins and Dr. C. Perissoratis for their constructive comments on the original manuscript submitted. The officers and crew of the R/V AEGAEO are also greatfully aknowledged. 6. References Baraza, J., Lee, H.J, Kayen, R.E. and Hampton, M.A, 1990. Geotechnical characteristics and slope stability on the Ebro margin, western Mediterranean. Marine Geology, 95, 379-393. Bea, R.G. & Audibert J.M.E., 1980. Offshore platforms and pipelines in Mississippi River delta. Journal Geotechnical Engineering Division, Proceedings American Society Civil Engineering, 106 (GT8), 853-869. British Standards Institutions, BS 1377, 1975. 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