ARCHITECTURE AND FAILURE MECHANISM OF THE OFFSHORE SLUMP RESPONSIBLE FOR THE 1998 PAPUA NEW GUINEA TSUNAMI D.R. TAPPIN British Geological Survey, Keyworth, Nottingham, NG12 5GG United Kingdom. P. WATTS Applied Fluids Engineering, Private Mail Box 237, 5710 E. 7th Street Long Beach CA 90803 United States of America T. MATSUMOTO Japan Marine Science and Technology Center, 2-15 Natsushima-Cho, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, 237-0061, Japan Abstract After considerable controversy over the origin of the July 1998 PNG tsunami, there is now a large body of evidence that supports a sediment slump offshore of the devastated area. Between 1999 and 2000, four surveys were carried out offshore of the affected area, acquiring bathymetry, sediment cores, 3.5kHz seismic, multi-channel seismic and seabed imagery. In 2001, the same area was surveyed using single channel seismic that has been used to interpret the northern margin of PNG and the internal architecture of the slump. The susceptibility to slumping of the area offshore of northern PNG can be more definitively assessed. Keywords: Submarine slump, Papua New Guinea, mass movement, Tsunami, convergent margin, 1. Introduction The tsunami that struck the north coast of Papua New Guinea (PNG) in the evening of July 17th 1998 has been, from the outset, controversial. Argument as to whether the tsunami was the result of an earthquake or an offshore sediment slump continues. The scale of the devastation is well known, with 2000 people dead and numerous villages destroyed. As a result, there has been a comprehensive investigation into the event and now we have a compendium of survivors’ accounts, onland study, offshore seabed imaging, geological interpretation, seismological analyses, and computer simulations (Davies, 1998; Kawata et. al., 1999; Tappin et al., 1999, 2001, 2002; McSaveny, 2000; Synolakis et al., 2002). Further, the event identified the danger to coastal communities worldwide of tsunamis that are generated from local sources and with no adequate warning. This message has had a major import on tsunami science that has been taken up internationally. We present here further results from the surveys offshore of the north coast of PNG conducted during 1999 to 2001 carried out from the JAMSTEC vessels Natsushima and Kairei (Figure 1). The interpretation is based on 1600km of single channel seismic data acquired in February 2001 from the area previously 383 384 Tappin et al. Figure 1. Bathymetry and main morphologic elements offshore of northern Papua New Guinea. Filled triangles identify the area devastated by the 17th July 1998 tsunami. Box is the area of the amphitheatre where a close-spaced grid of seismic was acquired. NNE-SSW oriented lines mark the regional seismic lines. Large star is location of the Earthquake of September 9th 2002. Inset map shows tectonic configuration of the area and the box marks the area shown in the main figure. Failure mechanism for 1998 PNG tsunami 385 surveyed by multibeam in 1999. Most particularly there was acquired a closely spaced grid of data from within the area of the amphitheatre, the location of the slump that is thought to have generated the 1998 tsunami (Figure 2). Figure 2. Amphitheatre area off of Sissano Lagoon (Located in Figure 1) with features identified in the text. The solid white line is the slump area identified from the multibeam data. The dashed line is the slump identified from the single channel seismic. Fine black lines are seismic acquired during the survey of February 2001. Numbered thick black lines 23 and 43A are seismic lines illustrated in Figures 3 and 4. Contours at 100m intervals. 2. Offshore survey – data acquisition The data was acquired using a Single Channel Seismic profiling system comprising a GI gun and Streamer cable. The GI gun had a volume of 150cu.in and was used in GI mode with the Primary pulse controlled by the Injector pulse. Shooting rate was every 16 seconds and the ship speed varied between 6 and 8 knots. Data was recorded using an analogue streamer comprising a 65m active section with 48 hydrophones and a 200m lead cable. 780km of data were acquired on regional grid of 16 lines oriented NNE to ESE with a line spacing of between 13 and 17km (Figure 1). Over the amphitheatre area 800km of data were acquired on 25 north to south trending lines with a spacing of mainly 900 m and seven ENE-WSW trending tie lines (Figure 2). 386 Tappin et al. 3. Results 3.1 REGIONAL GRID OF DATA Using the regional grid of data the area has been subdivided into an inner trench slope and a subducted (Pacific) Plate (Figure 1). We focus our attention here on the Inner Trench slope because of its tsunamagenic potential. The inner trench slope has been subdivided along its length into two sections, the boundary of which lies in the area of the Yalingi Canyon and amphitheatre. In the east, the inner trench slope is narrow and steep with a thin sedimentary sequence on its uppermost part. On the steepest gradients a sedimentary section is not distinguished but on less steep slopes a trenchward-dipping sedimentary sequence is imaged. In the west the inner trench slope is wider with the increase in width mainly accounted for by the presence of a series of lower inner slope sedimentary basins. There are numerous backward tilted fault blocks on the lower sections of the slope. Within the lower slope basins, there are at least two sedimentary units present, with the lower unit backtilted towards land (south). To landward of the basins, inner trench slope gradients are again steep and the sedimentary sequence poorly imaged. In the west, and also in the area of the Yalingi Canyon and amphitheatre, there is a thick sedimentary sequence on the upper inner trench slope. In both eastern and western areas there are numerous incised canyons that dissect the upper part of the slope. The two largest submarine canyons (the Pual and Yalingi) continue downward to (respectively) the inner slope basins in the west and the New Guinea Trench in the central area. In the area around the Pual Canyon there is a major sedimentary accumulation. Within this region, at the foot of the steep inner trench slope, there is a sediment failure. 3.2 AMPHITHEATRE In the region adjacent to the amphitheatre and the nearby Yalingi Canyon there is a sedimentary depocentre. There are numerous slumped areas here, located on the steep slopes of the inner trench wall. Their presence signifies this area to be a region of common sediment failure. In the eastern part of the amphitheatre, the slump proposed as the probable source of the 1998 tsunami (Tappin et al., 1999), and mapped previously with multibeam and seabed observation (Tappin et al., 1999, 2001 and 2002) and multichannel seismic (Sweet and Silver, in press) was located and mapped. The slump lies between the Bliri Delta to the southwest and the upraised block in the north (Figure 2). On the seismic data it displays a complex morphology (Figures 3 and 4). There are three seismic units, the lowest of which is only clearly imaged on east-west Section 43A (Figure 4) where its base lies at 1500ms (TWT) below seabed. The internal seismic reflections at the bases of the two upper units are very disturbed. Failure mechanism for 1998 PNG tsunami 387 The seabed expression of the topmost seismic unit agrees generally with that of the slump area identified from the multibeam data (Tappin et al., 2001). The extent of the second seismic unit has a greater extent particularly to the west, in which direction it is overlain by slumps derived from the steep headscarp that is present here (Figure 4). These later slumps have a characteristic morphology with numerous benches formed by discrete sediment failures down the headscarp. In the east the slump is more homogeneous. At its thickest, the base of the second seismic unit lies at a maximum of 700ms two-way time (TWT) below seabed that, using a velocity of 2km/sec, gives a thickness of 700 metres. Upraised block Dipping sequence 14km Fault Figure 3. Seismic line 23 (north-south), showing the two slump seismic units 1 and 2. At its base, the slump over-rides a sedimentary sequence that dips to the northwest and is downfaulted at the 14km fault, against the upraised block (Figures 2 and 3). The dipping sequence thins to the southwest, whereas to the northeast it is overlain by a horizontally stratified seismic sequence (Figure 3). Above the slump headscarp there is a morphologic high that, to the south, descends into the Yalingi Canyon (Figure 2). West of the area of the amphitheatre and the slump, the morphology changes. The upraised block is absent and the inner trench slope descends without interruption to the trench. The sediment thickness on the slope seaward of the Bliri delta front is thinner. The delta front sediments prograde northward, with the margin of this sediment wedge deeply incised and, at many locations, truncated by slumping. There are slumps identified on the slope and at its foot. A large slump is traversed by line 12 (Figure 2). 388 Tappin et al. Figure 4. Seismic line 43A (west-east) showing seismic units 1, 2 (slump) and 3. 4. Discussion and Conclusions The inner trench slope outside of the areas of fluvial input is sediment starved. Slumps are rare except where associated with localised sources of sediment supplied from major rivers. In the vicinity of the amphitheatre, sediment from the Bliri River has constructed a delta. As the delta front progrades there is collapse along the delta front leading to slumping. These slumps are both cohesive rotational failures and translational slides. The seismic data has been use to map out in detail the sediment failure located in the eastern part of the amphitheatre, identified on previous surveys. The upper two seismic units are interpreted as the slump proposed previously as the source of the 1998 tsunami. This agrees with the multichannel interpretation of Sweet and Silver (in press). The architecture of the slump indicates a rotational failure mechanism (Tappin et al., 1999, 2001 and 2002; Sweet and Silver, in press). However, the main slump is 7-8km wide rather than the 5km mapped previously by multibeam and multichannel seismic. Its mapped maximum length of 4 km agrees with previous results. The maximum slump thickness is of the order of 700m and confirms that measured previously (Sweet and Silver, in press). The slump is parabolic in morphology with well-defined margins that taper outward to the sides. The slump failure is complex, and involves two sedimentary units. The disrupted bases of the two upper units suggest internal sliding on sub-horizontal planes in addition to the ‘domino’ type faulting identified on the multichannel seismic (Sweet and Silver, in press). In the west it is overlain by small slumps derived from the headscarp that may have been part of the same major slumping event of 1998. In the south, located at the Failure mechanism for 1998 PNG tsunami 389 foot of the headscarp, there is a major fault. At the base of the slump, there is a sharp discontinuity with the underlying northwest dipping seismic sequence. In the northwest, this underlying sequence is faulted against the upraised block along the 14km fault. The slump mapped in the eastern part of the amphitheatre has been modelled on the basis of previous interpretations of its architecture and location as a probable source of the 1998 tsunami. The new data indicates that there may have been movement along internal sub-horizontal discontinuities during failure, also that the failure may have taken place episodically over a short time scale. Based on the new slump size and the architecture presented above, new modelling should be attempted. On a regional scale, the main areas of slumping are associated with sediment depocentres at the mouths of major rivers in the area. Whereas slumping in these areas is common, majortsunami events are probably due to slump size and failure mechanism as well as to the local morphology such as that represented by the amphitheatre. A major (Magnitude 7) earthquake in September 2002, located to the west of the amphitheatre (Figure 3) created a tsunami wave of less than 2 metres. 5. 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