Introduction to Information Technology 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Data, Knowledge, and Decision Support Prepared by: Roberta M. Roth, Ph.D. University of Northern Iowa Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-1 Chapter Preview In this chapter, we will study: The decision making process and how IT can support it Various types of decision support, including DSS, EIS, and GDSS Methods of analyzing and mining stored data Ways of presenting information through data visualization techniques Knowledge management and how it can benefit an organization Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-2 What do Managers do? Make decisions in the process of achieving goals Interpersonal roles: figurehead, leader, liaison Informational roles: monitor, disseminator, spokesperson Decisional roles: entrepreneur, disturbance handler, resource allocator, negotiator Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-3 Why Do Managers Need IT Support? Volume of available information is staggering Manually processing information quickly is increasingly difficult Computerized modeling helps manage complexity examine numerous alternatives very quickly provide a systematic risk analysis Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-4 Data, Information, and Knowledge Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-5 Where do we get the data we need? Data Sources Internal Data Personal Data External Data Data Collection Methods Manually By instruments and sensors Scanning or electronic transfer Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-6 What is ‘good’ data? Data Quality quality determines the data’s usefulness as well as the quality of the decisions based on these data an extremely important issue characteristics of high quality data: accurate, secure, relevant, timely, complete, and consistent Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-7 Data Storage and Management Data Storage Databases or in data warehouse and data marts Data Management difficulties Data volume exponentially increases with time Many methods and devices used to collect data Raw data stored many places and ways only small portions of data are relevant for specific situations More and more external data Different legal requirements relating to data Difficulty selecting data management tools Data security, quality, and integrity are essential Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-8 Document Management Systems Much data is contained in documents DMS manage electronic documents Provide control over and access to documents within organization Imaging systems, workflow software, and databases are utilized to efficiently capture and control documents Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-9 Business Intelligence Ultimate goal of collecting data is to provide a foundation for business intelligence All data needed for sound decisions Data is drawn from data warehouses or data marts Data analysis tools are applied Decision makers’ judgment is augmented with facts, analysis, and forecasts Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-10 Decision Making Process REALITY SUCCESS Examination Intelligence Phase Validation of the Model Design Phase Verification, Testing of Proposed Solution Choice Phase Implementation of Solution FAILURE Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-11 Decision Making Process (continued) Decision Support Systems supply computerized support for the decision making process End-users actively work with the data warehouse End-users apply models to represent, understand, and simplify the decision situation Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-12 What do we mean by ‘model’? Model - simplified representation of reality Iconic (scale) models • physical replica of a system Analog models • Behaves like real system; does not look like it Mathematical (quantitative) model • models complex relationships and conducts experimentations with them Mental models • how a person thinks about a situation Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-13 Thinking about decisions… A Framework for Computerized Decision Support Problem Structure • decision making processes fall along a continuum that ranges from highly structured to highly unstructured decisions Nature of Decisions • strategic planning - the long-range goals and policies for resource allocation • management control - the acquisition and efficient utilization of resources in the accomplishment of organizational goals • operational control - the efficient and effective execution of specific tasks Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-14 Decision Support Framework Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-15 Thinking about decisions… Structured decisions have long been supported by computers Classes of structured decisions have been addressed mathematically with Management Science models Define the problem Classify the problem into a standard category Construct a standard mathematical model Find potential solutions Choose and recommend a specific solution Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-16 Decision Support Systems Needed when decision is not structured Characteristics and Capabilities Support decision makers at all managerial levels Support several interdependent and/or sequential decisions Support all phases of decision making and a variety of decision-making processes and styles Can be adapted over time to deal with changing conditions Easy to construct Utilizes models and links to data- and knowledge bases Execute sensitivity analysis Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-17 DSS (continued) Sensitivity Analysis the study of the effect that changes in one or more parts of a model have on other parts of the model What-if Analysis checks the impact of a change in the assumptions or other input data on the proposed solution Goal-seeking Analysis find the value of the inputs necessary to achieve a desired level of output Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-18 DSS (continued) Components and Structure of DSS Data Management • Includes the database(s) containing relevant data for the decision situation User Interface • Enables the users to communicate with and command the DSS Model Management • Includes software with financial, statistical, management science, or other quantitative models Knowledge Management • Provides knowledge for solution of the problem; supports any of the other subsystems or act as an independent component Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-19 DSS (continued) Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-20 Enterprise Decision Support Executive Information Systems Meet information needs of executives • Very limited time • Need to monitor and identify problematic trends • Need external as well as internal information Rapid access to data needed to executives Very easy user interface Highly graphical Often connected with online information services (e.g., Dow Jones News Retrieval) Incorporates email Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-21 Enterprise Decision Support Executive Information Systems (continued) Capabilities of EIS • Drill down • Critical success factors and key performance indicators • Status access • Trend analysis • Ad hoc analysis • Exception reporting • Intelligent EIS • Integration with DSS; web accessibility Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-22 Enterprise Decision Support Group Decision Support Systems Facilitate solution of semistructured and unstructured decisions by a group of decision makers Help the group be productive by mitigating some negative group behaviors Support the group’s process by encouraging idea generation, improving communication, and applying analytical tools as needed to the problem Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-23 Enterprise Decision Support GDSS Implementations Face-to-face meetings – special ‘decision room’ created with linked computers and GDSS software; use is facilitated by trained leader Corporate ‘war room’ – information displayed graphically and analyses conducted for all to see Support for virtual teams – collaborative team tools for geographically dispersed teams; support discussion, calendars, polling, etc. Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-24 What can we do with the stored data? Analytical Processing - the activity of analyzing accumulated data Online analytical processing (OLAP) An end-user activity Involve large data sets with complex relationships Use Decision Support Systems models Is retrospective Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-25 Online Analytical Processing (OLAP) Analysis by end users from their desktop, online, using tools like spreadsheets Analyze the relationships between many types of business elements Involve aggregated data Compare aggregated data over hierarchical time periods (monthly, quarterly, annually) Present data in different perspectives Involve complex calculations between data elements Respond quickly to users requests Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-26 What can we do with the stored data? Data mining – intelligent search of data stored in data marts or warehouses Find predictive information Discover unknown patterns End users perform mining tasks with very powerful tools Mining tools apply advanced computing techniques (learning, intelligence) Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-27 Data Mining and Analysis Concerns Ethical Issues Valuable data-mined information may violate individual privacy Who is accountable for incorrect decisions that are based on DSS? Human judgment is fallible Job loss due to automated decision making? Legal Issues Discrimination based on data mining results Data security from external snooping or sabotage Data ownership of personal data Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-28 Data Visualization Analyzed data can be even more useful if presented using Data Visualization techniques Visual Interactive Modeling – graphic display of decision consequences Visual Interactive Simulation – simulation model is animated and can be viewed and modified by decision maker Geographic Information Systems – display data related to geographic location using digitized maps Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-29 What is Knowledge Management? Key Concepts Knowledge assets - regarding markets, products, technologies, and organizations that a business owns or needs to own Best practices - collection of the most successful solutions and/or case studies Intellectual capital - collection of knowledge amassed by an organization over the years Knowledge system - collects knowledge, stores it in a database, maintains the database, and disseminates the knowledge to users Competitive intelligence - collection of competitive information Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-30 IT Support for Knowledge Management Knowledge identification – what is important? Knowledge discovery and analysis – finding and organizing knowledge Knowledge acquisition – going and getting needed knowledge by asking or promoting idea generation Establishment of organizational knowledge bases – storing and organization corporate knowledge Knowledge distribution and use – ensuring that those who need knowledge can access it Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-31 Implementing Knowledge Management Reorganize as knowledge-based organizations Created a new position, chief knowledge officer (CKO) creating knowledge management infrastructure building a knowledge culture making it pay off Facilitate organizational learning learn from their experiences in order to survive Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-32 Promoting Idea Generation Key source of knowledge is creative idea generation by individuals or groups Software tools (GDSS) can promote productive idea generation for groups Software tools also available for individuals to help stimulate creative production of ideas Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-33 Chapter Summary High quality data can be analysed to improve decision making DSSs help decision makers with semi- or unstructured decisions Executives can use EISs tailored to their information needs GDSSs support group decision activities Data analysis and data mining help in understanding and discovery of new insight Knowledge is also an organizational resource that can be stored and managed Introduction to Information Technology, 2nd Edition Turban, Rainer & Potter © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-34